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 "heading": "Bet Forge Daily: Football Prediction Record",
 "description": "3 settled picks by Bet Forge Daily recorded before kick-off across 3 matches, 3 Nov 2026 – 4 Nov 2026: won 2 of 3 at our recorded market prices.",
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  "body": "Forecast Record recorded 3 settled live picks by Bet Forge Daily before kick-off across 3 matches between 3 and 4 November 2026. Won 2 of 3 settled live picks at our recorded market prices. Of the 28 predictions we hold for Bet Forge Daily, 19 are linked to matches: 19 were recorded by us before kick-off. Figures as of 7 November 2026.",
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    "display_name": "Celtic — Beşiktaş",
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    "data_status": "unknown",
    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
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  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-8aa378728be60e554ef402e5",
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   "quote_text": "✅ 2/2 in free channel today and we are back to our winning streak",
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   "origin": "source_stated_date",
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  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-6a6e14e5a93795970a796a35",
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   "quote_text": "✅ Bet: Both Teams to Score & Total Over 2.5 (x1.65)",
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 "standing": null,
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    "basis_words": "our market price for the same selection when we first recorded the pick (median of bookmakers in our price feed; failing that, the first price within 2 hours after, always before kick-off)",
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    "above": 0,
    "above_share_percent": "0.0",
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    "median_difference_percent": "2.4",
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  ],
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  "method": "Difference = the author's stated price ÷ the market price of the same selection − 1. A pick counts as above the market when the stated price is more than 5% higher. Each basis is its own comparison; they are never added together. A pair whose prices differ more than twofold is marked “price disputed”: it is probably not the same selection, so it is left out of this comparison and of every return at the author’s price until a manual check confirms the price. A price that the quoted text does not give is marked “price disputed” in the same way."
 },
 "record_summary": {
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  "sentence": "Forecast Record recorded 3 settled live picks by Bet Forge Daily before kick-off across 3 matches between 3 and 4 November 2026. Won 2 of 3 settled live picks at our recorded market prices. Of the 28 predictions we hold for Bet Forge Daily, 19 are linked to matches: 19 were recorded by us before kick-off. Figures as of 7 November 2026.",
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   },
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   "text": "Forecast Record recorded 3 settled live picks by Bet Forge Daily before kick-off across 3 matches between 3 and 4 November 2026. Won 2 of 3 settled live picks at our recorded market prices. Of the 28 predictions we hold for Bet Forge Daily, 19 are linked to matches: 19 were recorded by us before kick-off. Figures as of 7 November 2026.",
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     "predictions": 19,
     "checked": 19,
     "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price",
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      "interval_note": "too few independent matches to estimate an interval",
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     "same_picks": [
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     ],
     "score": {
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     },
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     },
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      "by_market": [
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        "market": "Match result",
        "won": 1,
        "picks": 1,
        "implied_percent": "59.2"
       },
       {
        "market": "Result and both teams to score",
        "won": 0,
        "picks": 1,
        "implied_percent": "53.3"
       },
       {
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        "picks": 1,
        "implied_percent": "59.8"
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      ]
     },
     "reviewed_after": {
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      "other": 0
     }
    },
    {
     "code": "archived",
     "title": "Archived before kick-off",
     "explanation": "Restored from a copy saved by an independent web archive before kick-off.",
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     "checked": 0,
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     },
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    },
    {
     "code": "found_after",
     "title": "Found after the match",
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     "predictions": 0,
     "checked": 0,
     "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices",
     "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
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  "headline_record_ids": [
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  ],
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  "caption": "Recorded before kick-off, at our recorded market price · 100 points per pick · 3–4 November 2026 · Calculated · picks settled under method v2.2",
  "record_from": "2026-10-25",
  "record_to": "2026-11-07"
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 "recorded_picks": [
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   "match": "RC Lens v Como",
   "match_url": "/football/matches/rc-lens-vs-como-2026-11-04/",
   "kickoff": "2026-11-04T20:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "UEFA Champions League",
   "lead_hours": 3.2,
   "market_code": "team_total",
   "author_said": "Team goals over/under 1.5: Como over 1.5 at 1.7",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Won",
   "claim_outcome": "Won",
   "final_score": "1-9",
   "reason": null,
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   "points_hundredths": 6712,
   "series_code": "market_price",
   "series_short": "odds snapshot",
   "author_price": "1.7",
   "settled_price": "1.6712",
   "published_at": "2026-11-04T16:32:11.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-11-04T16:45:24.240Z",
   "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "record_part": "live",
   "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off",
   "in_headline": true,
   "attribution": null,
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   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
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    "quote_text": "✅ Bet: Como Total Over 1.5 (x1.70)",
    "fragment_from": 36,
    "fragment_to": 70,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
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     "url": "https://t.me/BetForgeDaily/8519",
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     "speaker": "Bet Forge Daily",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
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    "published_at": "2026-11-04T16:32:11.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-11-04T16:45:24.240Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-11-04T16:47:36.347Z",
    "statement_class": "priced",
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    "event": {
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     "display_name": "RC Lens — Como",
     "competition_name": "UEFA Champions League",
     "starts_at": "2026-11-04T20:00:00.000Z",
     "url": "/football/matches/rc-lens-vs-como-2026-11-04/",
     "scoreline": "1-9",
     "condition": "finished"
    },
    "market_label": "Team goals over/under 1.5",
    "outcome_label": "Como over 1.5",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "1.7",
     "our_snapshot": "1.6712",
     "our_snapshot_at": "2026-11-04T16:44:05.043Z",
     "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot",
     "closing": null,
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    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "win",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": 6712,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
    "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "dates": {
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     "fragment_basis": "element",
     "source_page_at": "2026-11-04T16:32:11.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-11-04T16:45:24.240Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Team goals over/under 1.5",
     "choice": "Como over 1.5",
     "author_odds": "1.7",
     "market_key": "team_total",
     "choice_key": "2-over",
     "period": "match",
     "line": "1.5",
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Team goals over/under 1.5: Como over 1.5 at 1.7"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "win",
     "scoreline": "1-9",
     "data_status": "measured",
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   "quote": "✅ Bet: Total Under 3.5 (x1.68)",
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  },
  {
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   "quote": "✅ Bet: Both Teams to Score & Total Over 2.5 (x1.65)",
   "group": "excluded",
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   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
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