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 "heading": "Bet-Experts.nl: Football Prediction Record",
 "description": "Verified record: 21 settled picks by Bet-Experts.nl recorded before kick-off across 20 matches, 11 Oct 2026 – 19 Oct 2026.",
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  "body": "Forecast Record recorded 21 settled live picks by Bet-Experts.nl before kick-off across 20 matches between 11 and 19 October 2026. At our recorded market prices these picks returned +29.3% on the total staked. Of the 229 predictions we hold for Bet-Experts.nl, 138 are linked to matches: 122 were recorded by us before kick-off and 16 first found after the match. Figures as of 7 November 2026.",
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   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-7f02878db6ed5f6096c8e31c",
   "quote_text": "Wel kun je met een gratis account bij TOTO live meewedden tijdens de wedstrijd. Maak een account bij TOTO.",
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   "quote_text": "Live kijken naar VVV Venlo – Jong AZ\n\nVVV Venlo – Jong AZ begint op vrijdag 16 oktober om 20:00 uur en is in Nederland live te zien bij ESPN 4.",
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   "quote_text": "👉 VVV Venlo is de lichte favoriet, maar de odds voor Jong AZ zijn relatief laag voor een ploeg die zeven van de tien onderlinge duels won.",
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   "observation_id": "n-1be42a89159db053bd8af7e8",
   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-1be42a89159db053bd8af7e8",
   "quote_text": "Vermoedelijke opstelling Jong AZ (4-2-3-1): K. Zeggen; J. Zwart, A. Natali, F. Andersen",
   "fragment_from": 8022,
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   "source_info": {
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    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
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  {
   "observation_id": "n-a851fb4ca877a22d608b16df",
   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-a851fb4ca877a22d608b16df",
   "quote_text": "Afwezigen Jong AZ: op het moment van schrijven zijn er geen blessures of schorsingen gemeld.",
   "fragment_from": 7928,
   "fragment_to": 8020,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "website",
    "url": "https://www.bet-experts.nl/nieuws/wedtips-vvv-venlo---jong-az-voorspelling-odds-opstellingen-kan-jong-az-de-venlonaren-een-hak-zetten",
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  {
   "observation_id": "n-c6c2f5df074eca8078e3ade2",
   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-c6c2f5df074eca8078e3ade2",
   "quote_text": "Vermoedelijke opstelling VVV Venlo (4-2-3-1): Y. Schoonderwaldt; Raf Vullers, É. Clancy",
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   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
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   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-c8d7670cec8b99f8caf19bcc",
   "quote_text": "Afwezigen VVV Venlo: op het moment van schrijven zijn er geen blessures of schorsingen gemeld.",
   "fragment_from": 7571,
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   "source_info": {
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   "observation_id": "n-86da681dd29de6677e49955a",
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   "quote_text": "👉 VVV heeft duidelijk de betere vorm van de twee, met een consistentere reeks en meer doelpunten",
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   "quote_allowed": true,
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   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-a8cb73dc5deee8be9bd4d16c",
   "quote_text": "👉 Jong AZ heeft de betere onderlinge statistieken, maar VVV is dit seizoen de sterkere ploeg",
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   "event": null,
   "market_label": null,
   "outcome_label": null,
   "odds_set": {
    "by_author": null,
    "our_snapshot": null,
    "our_snapshot_at": null,
    "our_snapshot_source": null,
    "closing": null,
    "closing_source": null
   },
   "stake_hundredths": null,
   "result": null,
   "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
   "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
   "executed_by": null,
   "series_label": null,
   "withdrawn": false,
   "dates": {
    "fragment_at": null,
    "fragment_basis": "no",
    "source_page_at": null,
    "detected_at": "2026-10-16T06:19:21.628Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [
     "no_date"
    ],
    "flag_words": "The source states no publication date.",
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "no_match_linked",
   "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": null,
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": null,
    "scoreline": null,
    "data_status": "unknown",
    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
   },
   "settlements": [],
   "corrections": [],
   "funnel_stage": "statement",
   "authorship": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-09dd6a5f1328adfb690c21aa",
   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-09dd6a5f1328adfb690c21aa",
   "quote_text": "👉 Trend: Jong AZ domineert de onderlinge duels en won ook het laatste treffen in Venlo",
   "fragment_from": 5959,
   "fragment_to": 6045,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "website",
    "url": "https://www.bet-experts.nl/nieuws/wedtips-vvv-venlo---jong-az-voorspelling-odds-opstellingen-kan-jong-az-de-venlonaren-een-hak-zetten",
    "display_name": null,
    "speaker": null,
    "authorship": "channel_consensus",
    "media_from_ms": null,
    "bundle_id": "80aa27e3fbe9bfdcccaa379142acd534bc4de701ba85a3241eae83304ec2b9a3",
    "material_removed": false
   },
   "published_at": null,
   "detected_at": "2026-10-16T06:19:21.628Z",
   "executed_at": null,
   "statement_class": "no_event",
   "status": "recognised",
   "cause": null,
   "cause_code": null,
   "event": null,
   "market_label": null,
   "outcome_label": null,
   "odds_set": {
    "by_author": null,
    "our_snapshot": null,
    "our_snapshot_at": null,
    "our_snapshot_source": null,
    "closing": null,
    "closing_source": null
   },
   "stake_hundredths": null,
   "result": null,
   "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
   "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
   "executed_by": null,
   "series_label": null,
   "withdrawn": false,
   "dates": {
    "fragment_at": null,
    "fragment_basis": "no",
    "source_page_at": null,
    "detected_at": "2026-10-16T06:19:21.628Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [
     "no_date"
    ],
    "flag_words": "The source states no publication date.",
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "no_match_linked",
   "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": null,
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": null,
    "scoreline": null,
    "data_status": "unknown",
    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
   },
   "settlements": [],
   "corrections": [],
   "funnel_stage": "statement",
   "authorship": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-77aca4cc83fcb6dabe7a70ab",
   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-77aca4cc83fcb6dabe7a70ab",
   "quote_text": "De onderlinge historie vertelt een duidelijk verhaal: Jong AZ heeft dit duel traditioneel in handen.",
   "fragment_from": 5104,
   "fragment_to": 5204,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "website",
    "url": "https://www.bet-experts.nl/nieuws/wedtips-vvv-venlo---jong-az-voorspelling-odds-opstellingen-kan-jong-az-de-venlonaren-een-hak-zetten",
    "display_name": null,
    "speaker": null,
    "authorship": "channel_consensus",
    "media_from_ms": null,
    "bundle_id": "80aa27e3fbe9bfdcccaa379142acd534bc4de701ba85a3241eae83304ec2b9a3",
    "material_removed": false
   },
   "published_at": null,
   "detected_at": "2026-10-16T06:19:21.628Z",
   "executed_at": null,
   "statement_class": "no_event",
   "status": "recognised",
   "cause": null,
   "cause_code": null,
   "event": null,
   "market_label": null,
   "outcome_label": null,
   "odds_set": {
    "by_author": null,
    "our_snapshot": null,
    "our_snapshot_at": null,
    "our_snapshot_source": null,
    "closing": null,
    "closing_source": null
   },
   "stake_hundredths": null,
   "result": null,
   "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
   "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
   "executed_by": null,
   "series_label": null,
   "withdrawn": false,
   "dates": {
    "fragment_at": null,
    "fragment_basis": "no",
    "source_page_at": null,
    "detected_at": "2026-10-16T06:19:21.628Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [
     "no_date"
    ],
    "flag_words": "The source states no publication date.",
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "no_match_linked",
   "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": null,
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": null,
    "scoreline": null,
    "data_status": "unknown",
    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
   },
   "settlements": [],
   "corrections": [],
   "funnel_stage": "statement",
   "authorship": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-8e6d59e8475639ee805530fc",
   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-8e6d59e8475639ee805530fc",
   "quote_text": "Conclusie Jong AZ: De wisselvalligheid en de moeizame uitprestaties maken Jong AZ tot een onzekere factor, maar de ploeg kan op een goede dag zeker verrassen.",
   "fragment_from": 4812,
   "fragment_to": 4970,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "website",
    "url": "https://www.bet-experts.nl/nieuws/wedtips-vvv-venlo---jong-az-voorspelling-odds-opstellingen-kan-jong-az-de-venlonaren-een-hak-zetten",
    "display_name": null,
    "speaker": null,
    "authorship": "channel_consensus",
    "media_from_ms": null,
    "bundle_id": "80aa27e3fbe9bfdcccaa379142acd534bc4de701ba85a3241eae83304ec2b9a3",
    "material_removed": false
   },
   "published_at": null,
   "detected_at": "2026-10-16T06:19:21.628Z",
   "executed_at": null,
   "statement_class": "opinion",
   "status": "recognised",
   "cause": null,
   "cause_code": null,
   "event": null,
   "market_label": null,
   "outcome_label": null,
   "odds_set": {
    "by_author": null,
    "our_snapshot": null,
    "our_snapshot_at": null,
    "our_snapshot_source": null,
    "closing": null,
    "closing_source": null
   },
   "stake_hundredths": null,
   "result": null,
   "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
   "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
   "executed_by": null,
   "series_label": null,
   "withdrawn": false,
   "dates": {
    "fragment_at": null,
    "fragment_basis": "no",
    "source_page_at": null,
    "detected_at": "2026-10-16T06:19:21.628Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [
     "no_date"
    ],
    "flag_words": "The source states no publication date.",
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "no_match_linked",
   "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": null,
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": null,
    "scoreline": null,
    "data_status": "unknown",
    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
   },
   "settlements": [],
   "corrections": [],
   "funnel_stage": "statement",
   "authorship": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-4476956134855eaa9c2b1cb3",
   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-4476956134855eaa9c2b1cb3",
   "quote_text": "Conclusie VVV Venlo: De Venlonaren zijn in topvorm en zijn thuis dit seizoen nog niet verslagen, wat hen tot duidelijke favoriet maakt.",
   "fragment_from": 3936,
   "fragment_to": 4071,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "website",
    "url": "https://www.bet-experts.nl/nieuws/wedtips-vvv-venlo---jong-az-voorspelling-odds-opstellingen-kan-jong-az-de-venlonaren-een-hak-zetten",
    "display_name": null,
    "speaker": null,
    "authorship": "channel_consensus",
    "media_from_ms": null,
    "bundle_id": "80aa27e3fbe9bfdcccaa379142acd534bc4de701ba85a3241eae83304ec2b9a3",
    "material_removed": false
   },
   "published_at": null,
   "detected_at": "2026-10-16T06:19:21.628Z",
   "executed_at": null,
   "statement_class": "opinion",
   "status": "recognised",
   "cause": null,
   "cause_code": null,
   "event": null,
   "market_label": null,
   "outcome_label": null,
   "odds_set": {
    "by_author": null,
    "our_snapshot": null,
    "our_snapshot_at": null,
    "our_snapshot_source": null,
    "closing": null,
    "closing_source": null
   },
   "stake_hundredths": null,
   "result": null,
   "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
   "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
   "executed_by": null,
   "series_label": null,
   "withdrawn": false,
   "dates": {
    "fragment_at": null,
    "fragment_basis": "no",
    "source_page_at": null,
    "detected_at": "2026-10-16T06:19:21.628Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [
     "no_date"
    ],
    "flag_words": "The source states no publication date.",
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "no_match_linked",
   "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": null,
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": null,
    "scoreline": null,
    "data_status": "unknown",
    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
   },
   "settlements": [],
   "corrections": [],
   "funnel_stage": "statement",
   "authorship": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-95767ed9711c7989138c1e46",
   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-95767ed9711c7989138c1e46",
   "quote_text": "Conclusie: VVV speelt voor een plek in de top twee, Jong AZ moet punten pakken om niet verder weg te zakken in de middenmoot.",
   "fragment_from": 3028,
   "fragment_to": 3153,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "website",
    "url": "https://www.bet-experts.nl/nieuws/wedtips-vvv-venlo---jong-az-voorspelling-odds-opstellingen-kan-jong-az-de-venlonaren-een-hak-zetten",
    "display_name": null,
    "speaker": null,
    "authorship": "channel_consensus",
    "media_from_ms": null,
    "bundle_id": "80aa27e3fbe9bfdcccaa379142acd534bc4de701ba85a3241eae83304ec2b9a3",
    "material_removed": false
   },
   "published_at": null,
   "detected_at": "2026-10-16T06:19:21.628Z",
   "executed_at": null,
   "statement_class": "opinion",
   "status": "recognised",
   "cause": null,
   "cause_code": null,
   "event": null,
   "market_label": null,
   "outcome_label": null,
   "odds_set": {
    "by_author": null,
    "our_snapshot": null,
    "our_snapshot_at": null,
    "our_snapshot_source": null,
    "closing": null,
    "closing_source": null
   },
   "stake_hundredths": null,
   "result": null,
   "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
   "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
   "executed_by": null,
   "series_label": null,
   "withdrawn": false,
   "dates": {
    "fragment_at": null,
    "fragment_basis": "no",
    "source_page_at": null,
    "detected_at": "2026-10-16T06:19:21.628Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [
     "no_date"
    ],
    "flag_words": "The source states no publication date.",
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "no_match_linked",
   "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": null,
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": null,
    "scoreline": null,
    "data_status": "unknown",
    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
   },
   "settlements": [],
   "corrections": [],
   "funnel_stage": "statement",
   "authorship": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-f2743c47df5e8b30c379383c",
   "url": "/sources/bet-experts-nl/picks/13/#pick-n-f2743c47df5e8b30c379383c",
   "quote_text": "Op basis van de huidige vorm en het thuisvoordeel van VVV is de verwachting dat de Venlonaren winnen, met een voorspelde eindstand van 2-1.",
   "fragment_from": 10575,
   "fragment_to": 10714,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "website",
    "url": "https://www.bet-experts.nl/nieuws/wedtips-vvv-venlo---jong-az-voorspelling-odds-opstellingen-kan-jong-az-de-venlonaren-een-hak-zetten",
    "display_name": null,
    "speaker": null,
    "authorship": "channel_consensus",
    "media_from_ms": null,
    "bundle_id": "80aa27e3fbe9bfdcccaa379142acd534bc4de701ba85a3241eae83304ec2b9a3",
    "material_removed": false
   },
   "published_at": null,
   "detected_at": "2026-10-16T06:19:21.628Z",
   "executed_at": null,
   "statement_class": "unpriced",
   "status": "not_supported",
   "cause": "",
   "cause_code": "not_supported",
   "event": null,
   "market_label": null,
   "outcome_label": null,
   "odds_set": {
    "by_author": null,
    "our_snapshot": null,
    "our_snapshot_at": null,
    "our_snapshot_source": null,
    "closing": null,
    "closing_source": null
   },
   "stake_hundredths": null,
   "result": null,
   "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
   "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
   "executed_by": null,
   "series_label": null,
   "withdrawn": false,
   "dates": {
    "fragment_at": null,
    "fragment_basis": "no",
    "source_page_at": null,
    "detected_at": "2026-10-16T06:19:21.628Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [
     "no_date"
    ],
    "flag_words": "The source states no publication date.",
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "no_match_linked",
   "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": null,
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": null,
    "scoreline": null,
    "data_status": "unknown",
    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
   },
   "settlements": [],
   "corrections": [],
   "funnel_stage": "prediction",
   "authorship": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-b3932217387a1328a8a583c4",
   "url": "/sources/bet-experts-nl/picks/13/#pick-n-b3932217387a1328a8a583c4",
   "quote_text": "Op basis van de huidige vorm en het thuisvoordeel van VVV is de verwachting dat de Venlonaren winnen, met een voorspelde eindstand van 2-1.",
   "fragment_from": 10575,
   "fragment_to": 10714,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "website",
    "url": "https://www.bet-experts.nl/nieuws/wedtips-vvv-venlo---jong-az-voorspelling-odds-opstellingen-kan-jong-az-de-venlonaren-een-hak-zetten",
    "display_name": null,
    "speaker": null,
    "authorship": "channel_consensus",
    "media_from_ms": null,
    "bundle_id": "80aa27e3fbe9bfdcccaa379142acd534bc4de701ba85a3241eae83304ec2b9a3",
    "material_removed": false
   },
   "published_at": null,
   "detected_at": "2026-10-16T06:19:21.628Z",
   "executed_at": null,
   "statement_class": "score_forecast",
   "status": "not_supported",
   "cause": "",
   "cause_code": "not_supported",
   "event": null,
   "market_label": null,
   "outcome_label": null,
   "odds_set": {
    "by_author": null,
    "our_snapshot": null,
    "our_snapshot_at": null,
    "our_snapshot_source": null,
    "closing": null,
    "closing_source": null
   },
   "stake_hundredths": null,
   "result": null,
   "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
   "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
   "executed_by": null,
   "series_label": null,
   "withdrawn": false,
   "dates": {
    "fragment_at": null,
    "fragment_basis": "no",
    "source_page_at": null,
    "detected_at": "2026-10-16T06:19:21.628Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [
     "no_date"
    ],
    "flag_words": "The source states no publication date.",
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "no_match_linked",
   "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": null,
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": null,
    "scoreline": null,
    "data_status": "unknown",
    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
   },
   "settlements": [],
   "corrections": [],
   "funnel_stage": "prediction",
   "authorship": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-151025e7b564b9eca247280a",
   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-151025e7b564b9eca247280a",
   "quote_text": "Abha\n\n→\n\nAl-Qadisiyah\n\n→\n\nSaudi Pro League (SPL)\nSaudi-Arabië",
   "fragment_from": 10425,
   "fragment_to": 10486,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "website",
    "url": "https://www.bet-experts.nl/nieuws/wedtips-al-qadisiyah-fc---abha-voorspelling-odds-opstellingen-kan-abha-de-nummer-twee-van-saudi-arabie-verrassen",
    "display_name": null,
    "speaker": null,
    "authorship": "channel_consensus",
    "media_from_ms": null,
    "bundle_id": "ebfa6743a93e295cf47dea4d75634dd8c60d26bbe86d8db3f191b3d5b9780e6e",
    "material_removed": false
   },
   "published_at": null,
   "detected_at": "2026-10-16T06:09:25.525Z",
   "executed_at": null,
   "statement_class": "no_event",
   "status": "recognised",
   "cause": null,
   "cause_code": null,
   "event": null,
   "market_label": null,
   "outcome_label": null,
   "odds_set": {
    "by_author": null,
    "our_snapshot": null,
    "our_snapshot_at": null,
    "our_snapshot_source": null,
    "closing": null,
    "closing_source": null
   },
   "stake_hundredths": null,
   "result": null,
   "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
   "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
   "executed_by": null,
   "series_label": null,
   "withdrawn": false,
   "dates": {
    "fragment_at": null,
    "fragment_basis": "no",
    "source_page_at": null,
    "detected_at": "2026-10-16T06:09:25.525Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [
     "no_date"
    ],
    "flag_words": "The source states no publication date.",
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
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   "quote_text": "In januari 2021 speelden ze 2-2 bij Abha thuis, en in mei 2021 werd het 1-1 in Kobar.",
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   "quote_text": "Trainer Damir Buric heeft weinig te kiezen: zijn ploeg moet punten pakken, maar reist af naar een van de sterkste thuisploegen van de competitie.",
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   "quote_text": "Nabil Fekir, Georges-Kévin N'Koudou en Michy Batshuayi staan in de vermoedelijke opstelling.",
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   "quote_text": "Het meest recente duel waarvan de uitslag bekend is, eindigde in een 0-0 gelijkspel bij Al Diriyah.",
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   "quote_text": "met spelers als Tijjani Reijnders, Mateo Retegui en Koen Casteels heeft de ploeg namen die ook in Europa meekomen.",
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   "quote_text": "In de AFC Champions League Elite liet Al-Qadisiyah ook zijn waarde zien.",
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   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-30321c41fc65857f555b3c54",
   "quote_text": "De aanval draait goed. Tegen FC Eindhoven scoorde NAC vier keer thuis, en ook in de andere duels wist de ploeg steeds te scoren.",
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   "quote_text": "Opvallend: NAC won ook op vreemde bodem, bij De Graafschap met 2-1.",
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   "quote_text": "NAC Breda is de ploeg in vorm. De Bredanaars wonnen drie van de laatste vier wedstrijden en verloren alleen van Jong Utrecht thuis.",
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   "quote_text": "👉 Conclusie Helmond Sport: De thuisploeg heeft thuis nog wat te bieden, maar de tegendoelpunten stapelen zich op",
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    "source_page_at": null,
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   "origin_detail": "no_match_linked",
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   "added_on": null,
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   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-d37fbe7bd1e04e0b38fee998",
   "quote_text": "Afwezigen Helmond Sport: op het moment van schrijven zijn er geen blessures of schorsingen gemeld.",
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   "added_on": null,
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   "authorship": null,
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  {
   "observation_id": "n-f0021c225a71748a5d24857e",
   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-f0021c225a71748a5d24857e",
   "quote_text": "Thuis is het Lavans Stadion dus nog enigszins een vesting, maar de vraag is of dat genoeg is tegen een NAC-ploeg",
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   "source_info": {
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    "url": "https://www.bet-experts.nl/nieuws/wedtips-helmond-sport---nac-breda-voorspelling-odds-opstellingen-kan-helmond-de-degradatiezone-ontlopen",
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   "added_on": null,
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   "authorship": null,
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   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-330ce01590c1062f317e882e",
   "quote_text": "De cijfers van Helmond Sport liegen er niet om. De ploeg van Frans won dit seizoen slechts twee keer",
   "fragment_from": 3229,
   "fragment_to": 3329,
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    "url": "https://www.bet-experts.nl/nieuws/wedtips-helmond-sport---nac-breda-voorspelling-odds-opstellingen-kan-helmond-de-degradatiezone-ontlopen",
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   "withdrawn": false,
   "dates": {
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    "fragment_basis": "no",
    "source_page_at": null,
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   "observation_id": "n-6c8285ef52e2550e2942cf18",
   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-6c8285ef52e2550e2942cf18",
   "quote_text": "👉 Conclusie: De inzet is voor beide ploegen groot, maar de belangen liggen ver uit elkaar",
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   "withdrawn": false,
   "dates": {
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    "fragment_basis": "no",
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    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [
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   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
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    "provenance": "live",
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    "title_id": "zk-11ce0189c2a8bb16c7f0",
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    "title_tier": "dated_record",
    "badge_label": "4 right in a row · 18 Oct",
    "body": "4 matches in a row, every pick correct · 16 Oct–18 Oct 2026",
    "tier": null,
    "provenance": "live",
    "anchor_id": "title-11ce0189c2a8",
    "event_at": "2026-10-18",
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   {
    "title_id": "zk-8a6a2c8cee44f9938619",
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    "badge_label": "10/12 · week of 5 Oct",
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    "tier": null,
    "provenance": "live",
    "anchor_id": "title-8a6a2c8cee44",
    "event_at": "2026-10-11",
    "url": "/titles/p-01-week-record/#zk-8a6a2c8cee44f9938619"
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    "event_at": "2026-10-11",
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    "provenance": "live",
    "anchor_id": "title-8a6a2c8cee44"
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    "url": null,
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    "anchor_id": "title-7659476c2b78"
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   {
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    "body": "Exact score 1–2 · Burnley v Wolverhampton Wanderers · 16 Oct 2026",
    "event_at": "2026-10-16",
    "url": null,
    "provenance": "live",
    "anchor_id": "title-0ad455b45e33"
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    "event_at": "2026-10-15",
    "url": null,
    "provenance": "live",
    "anchor_id": "title-1833af67f77d"
   },
   {
    "code_name": "CS-10",
    "body": "Exact score 1–2 · Celta Vigo v Juventus · 15 Oct 2026",
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    "url": null,
    "provenance": "live",
    "anchor_id": "title-2e0323358f6b"
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   {
    "code_name": "CS-10",
    "body": "Exact score 1–2 · Wrexham v West Bromwich Albion · 13 Oct 2026",
    "event_at": "2026-10-13",
    "url": null,
    "provenance": "live",
    "anchor_id": "title-3b4943704097"
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   {
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   {
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    "event_at": "2026-10-13",
    "url": null,
    "provenance": "live",
    "anchor_id": "title-47990daa2b51"
   }
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   }
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 "late": null,
 "price_vs_market": null,
 "record_summary": {
  "contract_version": "1",
  "entity_type": "editorial",
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  "series_code": "market_price",
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  "restored": false,
  "headline_kind": "live_snapshot",
  "headline_part": "live",
  "settled_picks": 21,
  "matches": 20,
  "void": 0,
  "net_points_hundredths": 61621,
  "staked_hundredths": 210000,
  "return_percent": "29.34",
  "stake_per_pick_hundredths": 10000,
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  "period_to": "2026-10-19",
  "status": "calculated",
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  "sentence": "Forecast Record recorded 21 settled live picks by Bet-Experts.nl before kick-off across 20 matches between 11 and 19 October 2026. At our recorded market prices these picks returned +29.3% on the total staked. Of the 229 predictions we hold for Bet-Experts.nl, 138 are linked to matches: 122 were recorded by us before kick-off and 16 first found after the match. Figures as of 7 November 2026.",
  "numbers": [
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    "value": "21",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#settled-pick",
    "note": null
   },
   {
    "label": "Matches",
    "value": "20",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#match",
    "note": null
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    "anchor": "/methodology/#settlement",
    "note": "100 points per pick"
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   {
    "label": "Return at our recorded market price",
    "value": "+29.3%",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#roi",
    "note": "95% interval −3.2% to +60.0%"
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   {
    "date": "2026-10-15",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": 16162,
    "n": 11
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   {
    "date": "2026-10-16",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": 27287,
    "n": 13
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   {
    "date": "2026-10-17",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": 31906,
    "n": 15
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-10-18",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": 42971,
    "n": 20
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   {
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    "series_code": "market_price",
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    "dated_note": "Dated by match day. Each pick was recorded by us before kick-off and settled after the match.",
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    "matches": 20,
    "match_dates": 6,
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    "period_to": "2026-10-19",
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     "after_picks": 2
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     "after_picks": 21
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    "steps": [
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      "picks": 2
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     {
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      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 16162,
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      "picks": 9
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-16",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 27287,
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      "picks": 2
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-17",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 31906,
      "n": 15,
      "picks": 2
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-18",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 42971,
      "n": 20,
      "picks": 5
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-19",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 61621,
      "n": 21,
      "picks": 1
     }
    ]
   },
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  "cite": {
   "text": "Forecast Record recorded 21 settled live picks by Bet-Experts.nl before kick-off across 20 matches between 11 and 19 October 2026. At our recorded market prices these picks returned +29.3% on the total staked. Of the 229 predictions we hold for Bet-Experts.nl, 138 are linked to matches: 122 were recorded by us before kick-off and 16 first found after the match. Figures as of 7 November 2026.",
   "url": "https://forecastrecord.com/sources/bet-experts-nl/",
   "data_as_of": "2026-11-07",
   "method_version": "2.2"
  },
  "origin": {
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   "predictions": 229,
   "under_review": 0,
   "no_match_linked": 91,
   "proven_predictions": 122,
   "proven_checked": 121,
   "proven_measured": 74,
   "proven_dates": 9,
   "parts": [
    {
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     "title": "Recorded before kick-off",
     "explanation": "Saved by us from the source before kick-off.",
     "predictions": 122,
     "checked": 121,
     "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price",
     "series_code": "market_price",
     "main": {
      "settled_picks": 21,
      "void": 0,
      "matches": 20,
      "net_points_hundredths": 61621,
      "staked_hundredths": 210000,
      "return_percent": "29.34",
      "interval_low": "-3.16",
      "interval_high": "59.98",
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      "period_to": "2026-10-19",
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      "checked_after_kickoff_picks": 2
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     "same_picks": [
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       "price": "Closing price",
       "series_code": "closing_live",
       "picks": 15,
       "return_main_percent": "23.28",
       "return_other_percent": "21.05",
       "settled_excluding_void": 15,
       "net_main_points_hundredths": 34921,
       "net_other_points_hundredths": 31578,
       "period_from": "2026-10-11",
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      "exact_hits": 4,
      "exact_rate": 7.5,
      "outcome_checked": 53,
      "outcome_hits": 35,
      "outcome_rate": 66.0,
      "baseline_matches": 37,
      "baseline_distinct_matches": 37,
      "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 23,
      "outcome_rate_on_baseline": 62.2,
      "favourite_hits": 23,
      "favourite_rate": 62.2,
      "price_basis": "our pre-match snapshot",
      "pending": 1,
      "void": 0,
      "recorded_after_kickoff": 6,
      "lines": [
       "Outcome checked. No betting return is attributed to these score forecasts.",
       "4 of 53 score forecasts named the exact score (7.5%).",
       "The result implied by the named score was right in 23 of 37 matches; the market favourite was right in 23 of the same 37 matches.",
       "A pre-match market favourite is known for 37 of 53 forecasts; the comparison uses only those.",
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      ]
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      "priced": 21
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      "by_market": [
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        "market": "Match result",
        "won": 10,
        "picks": 13,
        "implied_percent": "63.9"
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       {
        "market": "Double chance",
        "won": 6,
        "picks": 7,
        "implied_percent": "71.8"
       },
       {
        "market": "Over/under goals",
        "won": 1,
        "picks": 1,
        "implied_percent": "54.9"
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      "predictions": 41,
      "right": 20,
      "wrong": 21,
      "other": 0
     }
    },
    {
     "code": "archived",
     "title": "Archived before kick-off",
     "explanation": "Restored from a copy saved by an independent web archive before kick-off.",
     "predictions": 0,
     "checked": 0,
     "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices",
     "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
     "main": null,
     "same_picks": [],
     "score": {
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      "exact_rate": null,
      "outcome_checked": 0,
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      "outcome_rate": null,
      "baseline_matches": 0,
      "baseline_distinct_matches": 0,
      "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0,
      "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null,
      "favourite_hits": 0,
      "favourite_rate": null,
      "price_basis": null,
      "pending": 0,
      "void": 0,
      "recorded_after_kickoff": 0,
      "lines": []
     },
     "eligible": {
      "checked": 0,
      "priced": 0
     },
     "accuracy": null
    },
    {
     "code": "found_after",
     "title": "Found after the match",
     "explanation": "First found after the match; the date is the one the source states.",
     "predictions": 16,
     "checked": 10,
     "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices",
     "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
     "main": null,
     "same_picks": [],
     "score": {
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      "exact_rate": null,
      "outcome_checked": 0,
      "outcome_hits": 0,
      "outcome_rate": null,
      "baseline_matches": 0,
      "baseline_distinct_matches": 0,
      "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0,
      "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null,
      "favourite_hits": 0,
      "favourite_rate": null,
      "price_basis": null,
      "pending": 0,
      "void": 0,
      "recorded_after_kickoff": 0,
      "lines": []
     },
     "eligible": {
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      "priced": 0
     },
     "accuracy": null
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  "interval_low": "-3.16",
  "interval_high": "59.98",
  "caption": "Recorded before kick-off, at our recorded market price · 100 points per pick · 11–19 October 2026 · Calculated · picks settled under method v2.2",
  "record_from": "2026-10-11",
  "record_to": "2026-10-19"
 },
 "recorded_picks": [
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   "url": "/sources/bet-experts-nl/picks/6/#pick-n-5f732e220315a06fa48f7f27",
   "match": "Trabzonspor v Beşiktaş",
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   "kickoff": "2026-10-19T17:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Süper Lig",
   "lead_hours": 143.2,
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   "quote": null,
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   "points_hundredths": 18650,
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   "settled_price": "2.8650",
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   "recorded_at": "2026-10-13T17:49:22.937Z",
   "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "record_part": "live",
   "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off",
   "in_headline": true,
   "attribution": null,
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   "evidence": {
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    "quote_text": "Ons rekenmodel verwacht dat Trabzonspor wint en dat er meer dan 1,5 doelpunten vallen.",
    "fragment_from": 2195,
    "fragment_to": 2281,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
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     "url": "https://www.bet-experts.nl/nieuws/super-lig-speelronde-8-op-tv-16-oktober-2026",
     "display_name": null,
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     "url": "/football/matches/trabzonspor-vs-besiktas-2026-10-19/",
     "scoreline": "2-0",
     "condition": "finished"
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    "odds_set": {
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     "our_snapshot_at": "2026-10-13T17:45:36.000Z",
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     "closing": null,
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    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "win",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": 18650,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
    "withdrawn": false,
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    "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": null,
     "fragment_basis": "no",
     "source_page_at": null,
     "detected_at": "2026-10-13T17:49:22.937Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [
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     ],
     "flag_words": "The source states no publication date.",
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "added_on": null,
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    "author_claim": {
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     "choice": "Trabzonspor",
     "author_odds": null,
     "market_key": "1x2",
     "choice_key": "1",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "1X2, match result: Trabzonspor"
    },
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     "scoreline": "2-0",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Won: the final score was Trabzonspor 2-0 Beşiktaş."
    },
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   "quote": "👉 Eindvoorspelling: 1-1 – Flamengo pakt een waardevol gelijkspel in La Plata en neemt een goede uitgangspositie mee naar de return in Rio de Janeiro.",
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  "changes_url": "#changes",
  "corrections_url": "/corrections/"
 },
 "number_changes": [
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   "at": "2026-10-22T13:04:00.441Z",
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   "url": "/sources/bet-experts-nl/",
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    "composition_hash": "e5992960e029e2e731ccff69f07404538e7dbb3074b81453792e76c17a7b62ae",
    "text": "+18.30% on 19 settled picks across 19 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "after": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-22.4",
    "return_percent": "29.34",
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    "composition_hash": "f74f7acf8d48bde541a386fb05971502b9f095ecaa799a5da3261931460abe5f",
    "text": "+29.34% on 21 settled picks across 20 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "reason": "Data corrected: line sign (1 pick); 2 picks added.",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
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   },
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  {
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   "url": "/sources/bet-experts-nl/",
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    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "14a6868940312a895b946899f0337c2d352e7f3f56cb2737ef9342dc234720cc",
    "text": "+12.39% on 20 settled picks across 20 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "after": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-19.7",
    "return_percent": "18.30",
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    "composition_hash": "e5992960e029e2e731ccff69f07404538e7dbb3074b81453792e76c17a7b62ae",
    "text": "+18.30% on 19 settled picks across 19 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "reason": "Data corrected: 1 pick left the headline sample.",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
   "affected_records": {
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   },
   "correction_id": "i-9921b3a237f47ea3e47e"
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  {
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   "url": "/sources/bet-experts-nl/",
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    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "fb0ee609028daf1ca7fb8aa032479f0c77b51f505e9d16342c732ad851abfd7c",
    "text": "+15.92% on 28 settled picks across 27 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "after": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-19.6",
    "return_percent": "12.39",
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    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "14a6868940312a895b946899f0337c2d352e7f3f56cb2737ef9342dc234720cc",
    "text": "+12.39% on 20 settled picks across 20 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "reason": "Data corrected: 8 picks left the headline sample.",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
   "affected_records": {
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  {
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   "at": "2026-10-19T04:51:01.140Z",
   "data_version": "2026-10-19.2",
   "previous_data_version": "2026-10-19.1",
   "url": "/sources/bet-experts-nl/",
   "category": "coverage_extended",
   "category_words": "Coverage extended",
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    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
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    "composition_hash": "d55d80554fb4d15c7b53ca4917f0d2b57f608a6fba31dd9a9f10308d864d5a33",
    "text": "+11.99% on 27 settled picks across 26 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "after": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-19.2",
    "return_percent": "15.92",
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    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "fb0ee609028daf1ca7fb8aa032479f0c77b51f505e9d16342c732ad851abfd7c",
    "text": "+15.92% on 28 settled picks across 27 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "reason": "Added 1 earlier pick for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
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   },
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  },
  {
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   "url": "/sources/bet-experts-nl/",
   "category": "new_results",
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    "composition_hash": "6b82171a3263d948e0453a2d9fb55bbf0197c1896aaa7a6c7774feabac397b8b",
    "text": "+14.57% on 23 settled picks across 22 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
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    "return_percent": "11.99",
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    "composition_hash": "d55d80554fb4d15c7b53ca4917f0d2b57f608a6fba31dd9a9f10308d864d5a33",
    "text": "+11.99% on 27 settled picks across 26 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "reason": "4 new settled picks from matches played after the previous data version.",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
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   },
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  {
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   "at": "2026-10-18T01:26:50.135Z",
   "data_version": "2026-10-18.1",
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   "url": "/sources/bet-experts-nl/",
   "category": "coverage_extended",
   "category_words": "Coverage extended",
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    "settled_picks": 22,
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    "series_code": "market_price",
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    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "f9cf9563de1873032b35bcd5742ff37933ec93a4384948f700c377d95d11cda0",
    "text": "+14.13% on 22 settled picks across 21 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "after": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-18.1",
    "return_percent": "14.57",
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    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "6b82171a3263d948e0453a2d9fb55bbf0197c1896aaa7a6c7774feabac397b8b",
    "text": "+14.57% on 23 settled picks across 22 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "reason": "Added 1 earlier pick for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
   "affected_records": {
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   },
   "correction_id": null
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  {
   "id": "zc-d245b7371abb6b8a7e3c",
   "at": "2026-10-17T20:13:03.224Z",
   "data_version": "2026-10-17.4",
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   "url": "/sources/bet-experts-nl/",
   "category": "coverage_extended",
   "category_words": "Coverage extended",
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    "return_percent": "9.35",
    "settled_picks": 19,
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    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "ffaeb1fed3ef6383b9e4db754b55efa5c11870367729a0981ca4b9e8b406fef2",
    "text": "+9.35% on 19 settled picks across 18 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "after": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-17.4",
    "return_percent": "14.13",
    "settled_picks": 22,
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    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "f9cf9563de1873032b35bcd5742ff37933ec93a4384948f700c377d95d11cda0",
    "text": "+14.13% on 22 settled picks across 21 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "reason": "Added 2 earlier picks for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture); also 1 new result.",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
   "affected_records": {
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    "removed": 0,
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   },
   "correction_id": null
  },
  {
   "id": "zc-37d8f046b126577ffa3c",
   "at": "2026-10-17T06:36:35.903Z",
   "data_version": "2026-10-17.2",
   "previous_data_version": "2026-10-17.1",
   "url": "/sources/bet-experts-nl/",
   "category": "coverage_extended",
   "category_words": "Coverage extended",
   "before": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-15.9",
    "return_percent": "15.43",
    "settled_picks": 18,
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    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "875f07fe5b70bab4eabecea01856a5673c3077ca9139638c31a5486ba106dbd2",
    "text": "+15.43% on 18 settled picks across 17 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "after": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-17.2",
    "return_percent": "9.35",
    "settled_picks": 19,
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    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "ffaeb1fed3ef6383b9e4db754b55efa5c11870367729a0981ca4b9e8b406fef2",
    "text": "+9.35% on 19 settled picks across 18 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "reason": "Added 1 earlier pick for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
   "affected_records": {
    "added": 1,
    "removed": 0,
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   },
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  },
  {
   "id": "zc-590b8efef79b22cb7b94",
   "at": "2026-10-15T21:55:15.257Z",
   "data_version": "2026-10-15.9",
   "previous_data_version": "2026-10-15.8",
   "url": "/sources/bet-experts-nl/",
   "category": "coverage_extended",
   "category_words": "Coverage extended",
   "before": {
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    "return_percent": "8.98",
    "settled_picks": 9,
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    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "0f5a356f0ef8a38ade7efb4fda4efa2e44e3b50d643e449a3419a197b279dc10",
    "text": "+80.84 points on 9 settled picks across 9 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "after": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-15.9",
    "return_percent": "15.43",
    "settled_picks": 18,
    "matches": 17,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "875f07fe5b70bab4eabecea01856a5673c3077ca9139638c31a5486ba106dbd2",
    "text": "+15.43% on 18 settled picks across 17 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "reason": "Added 9 earlier picks for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
   "affected_records": {
    "added": 9,
    "removed": 0,
    "changed": 0
   },
   "correction_id": null
  },
  {
   "id": "zc-14f7b044d93ea856b31e",
   "at": "2026-10-15T19:51:34.525Z",
   "data_version": "2026-10-15.7",
   "previous_data_version": "2026-10-15.6",
   "url": "/sources/bet-experts-nl/",
   "category": "coverage_extended",
   "category_words": "Coverage extended",
   "before": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-15.6",
    "return_percent": "-26.40",
    "settled_picks": 5,
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    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "f587611aa556bd19eab952626db2e1d5f9a29847f45b7a603bb89d8d44cd9247",
    "text": "−132.00 points on 5 settled picks across 5 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "after": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-15.7",
    "return_percent": "8.98",
    "settled_picks": 9,
    "matches": 9,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "0f5a356f0ef8a38ade7efb4fda4efa2e44e3b50d643e449a3419a197b279dc10",
    "text": "+80.84 points on 9 settled picks across 9 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "reason": "Added 4 earlier picks for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
   "affected_records": {
    "added": 4,
    "removed": 0,
    "changed": 0
   },
   "correction_id": null
  },
  {
   "id": "zc-d5781ae64864e98f4bf1",
   "at": "2026-10-15T19:14:55.556Z",
   "data_version": "2026-10-15.6",
   "previous_data_version": "2026-10-15.5",
   "url": "/sources/bet-experts-nl/",
   "category": "coverage_extended",
   "category_words": "Coverage extended",
   "before": {
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    "return_percent": "10.00",
    "settled_picks": 2,
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    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "1482e09ab318da6ba389d9114bae5ea40d5fa4ea19de99883f11476483a12db6",
    "text": "+20.00 points on 2 settled picks across 2 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "after": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-15.6",
    "return_percent": "-26.40",
    "settled_picks": 5,
    "matches": 5,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "f587611aa556bd19eab952626db2e1d5f9a29847f45b7a603bb89d8d44cd9247",
    "text": "−132.00 points on 5 settled picks across 5 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "reason": "Added 3 earlier picks for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
   "affected_records": {
    "added": 3,
    "removed": 0,
    "changed": 0
   },
   "correction_id": null
  },
  {
   "id": "zc-bc31c1a644a0f691c696",
   "at": "2026-10-11T21:54:36.315Z",
   "data_version": "2026-10-11.8",
   "previous_data_version": "2026-10-11.7",
   "url": "/sources/bet-experts-nl/",
   "category": "coverage_extended",
   "category_words": "Coverage extended",
   "before": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-11.7",
    "return_percent": "120.00",
    "settled_picks": 1,
    "matches": 1,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "1b0296de7bb2d953b046026698be0c6fedc3177d55d455d9a1f29b01bbe6db01",
    "text": "+120.00 points on 1 settled pick across 1 match · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "after": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-11.8",
    "return_percent": "10.00",
    "settled_picks": 2,
    "matches": 2,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "1482e09ab318da6ba389d9114bae5ea40d5fa4ea19de99883f11476483a12db6",
    "text": "+20.00 points on 2 settled picks across 2 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "reason": "Added 1 earlier pick for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
   "affected_records": {
    "added": 1,
    "removed": 0,
    "changed": 0
   },
   "correction_id": null
  },
  {
   "id": "zc-cb50fbf08c0cd68e88cb",
   "at": "2026-10-11T20:14:51.236Z",
   "data_version": "2026-10-11.7",
   "previous_data_version": "2026-10-11.6",
   "url": "/sources/bet-experts-nl/",
   "category": "method_changed",
   "category_words": "Method changed",
   "before": null,
   "after": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-11.7",
    "return_percent": "120.00",
    "settled_picks": 1,
    "matches": 1,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "1b0296de7bb2d953b046026698be0c6fedc3177d55d455d9a1f29b01bbe6db01",
    "text": "+120.00 points on 1 settled pick across 1 match · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "reason": "Method 2.2 (11 October 2026): the live market price of a pick is now the price at the moment we first recorded it (median of bookmakers in our price feed, quote no older than 5 minutes; failing that, the first price within 2 hours after, before kick-off), not the price when our checks admitted it. Picks recorded before kick-off but checked after it are now settled the same way; picks with no price at that moment have no return. First headline number for this record: 1 settled pick.",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
   "affected_records": {
    "added": 1,
    "removed": 0,
    "changed": 0
   },
   "correction_id": "i-cd98cbbb3736b5246e37"
  }
 ],
 "counts_by_slice": {
  "portions": [
   {
    "code": "live",
    "title": "Recorded before kick-off",
    "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price",
    "settled_picks": 21,
    "total_check": true,
    "market_list": [
     {
      "code_name": "1x2",
      "in_words": "Match result",
      "url": null,
      "settled_picks": 13,
      "won": 10,
      "void": 0,
      "net_points_hundredths": 35262,
      "return_percent": "27.1",
      "period_from": "2026-10-11",
      "period_to": "2026-10-19",
      "small_sample": false,
      "average_odds": "1.70",
      "odds_from_author": 0,
      "odds_from_snapshot": 13
     },
     {
      "code_name": "double_chance",
      "in_words": "Double chance",
      "url": null,
      "settled_picks": 7,
      "won": 6,
      "void": 0,
      "net_points_hundredths": 18159,
      "return_percent": "25.9",
      "period_from": "2026-10-16",
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