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Of the 109 predictions we hold for BBC Sport (Premier League), 88 are linked to matches: 88 were recorded by us before kick-off. The statements are listed below; as of 7 November 2026.", "numbers": [ { "label": "Statements", "value": "632", "anchor": "/methodology/#statement", "note": null }, { "label": "Predictions", "value": "109", "anchor": "/methodology/#prediction", "note": null } ], "limitations": [], "other_series": [], "return_over_time": [], "return_over_time_parts": { "live": null, "archived": null }, "author_response": null, "cite": { "text": "Forecast Record has recorded 632 statements by BBC Sport (Premier League), including 109 predictions. Of the 109 predictions we hold for BBC Sport (Premier League), 88 are linked to matches: 88 were recorded by us before kick-off. The statements are listed below; as of 7 November 2026.", "url": "https://forecastrecord.com/sources/bbc-sport/products/premier-league/", "data_as_of": "2026-11-07", "method_version": null }, "origin": { "contract_version": "1", "predictions": 109, "under_review": 0, "no_match_linked": 21, "proven_predictions": 88, "proven_checked": 74, "proven_measured": 68, "proven_dates": 11, "parts": [ { "code": "live", "title": "Recorded before kick-off", "explanation": "Saved by us from the source before kick-off.", "predictions": 88, "checked": 74, "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price", "series_code": "market_price", "main": null, "same_picks": [], "score": { "score_forecasts": 68, "exact_hits": 8, "exact_rate": 11.8, "outcome_checked": 68, "outcome_hits": 34, "outcome_rate": 50.0, "baseline_matches": 54, "baseline_distinct_matches": 26, "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 26, "outcome_rate_on_baseline": 48.1, "favourite_hits": 18, "favourite_rate": 33.3, "price_basis": "our pre-match snapshot", "pending": 14, "void": 0, "recorded_after_kickoff": 0, "lines": [ "Outcome checked. No betting return is attributed to these score forecasts.", "8 of 68 score forecasts named the exact score (11.8%).", "The result implied by the named score was right in 26 of 54 forecasts; the market favourite was right in 18 of the same 54 forecasts.", "Some matches carry more than one of these forecasts: 54 forecasts on 26 matches.", "A pre-match market favourite is known for 54 of 68 forecasts; the comparison uses only those.", "The market favourite is the home win, draw or away win with the lowest price in our own odds snapshot taken before kick-off.", "The implied result follows from the named score (2-1 implies a home win)." ] }, "eligible": { "checked": 74, "priced": 0 }, "accuracy": null, "reviewed_after": { "predictions": 6, "right": 1, "wrong": 5, "other": 0 } }, { "code": "archived", "title": "Archived before kick-off", "explanation": "Restored from a copy saved by an independent web archive before kick-off.", "predictions": 0, "checked": 0, "price_rule": "Reconstructed at 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"withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-11-05T18:02:15.000Z", "fragment_basis": "element", "source_page_at": "2026-11-05T18:02:15.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-05T18:10:44.364Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Correct score", "choice": "Manchester United 2-1 Aston Villa", "author_odds": null, "market_key": "correct_score_market", "choice_key": "2-1", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Correct score: Manchester United 2-1 Aston Villa" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "unknown", "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "kick-off 8 November 2026, 16:30 UTC", "methodology_version": "2.2", 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