{ "schema_name": "page", "schema_version": "2.0", "page_type": "source", "url": "/sources/bbc-sport/products/football/", "canonical": "/sources/bbc-sport/products/football/", "language": "en", "hreflang": [], "translations": [], "heading": "BBC Sport — Football: Football Prediction Record", "description": "BBC Sport — Football: 952 statements recorded by Forecast Record. Every statement with its source and the rule applied to it.", "first_paragraph": { "body": "Forecast Record has recorded 952 statements by BBC Sport — Football, including 13 predictions. Of the 13 predictions we hold for BBC Sport — Football, 12 were recorded by us before kick-off and 1 first found after the match. 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They never affect what you see above: the order of any table is computed before any commission is known.", "page_category": "author" }, "restrictions": { "name_withdrawn": false, "tracker_number": null, "withdrawn_quotes": [], "removed_at": null, "cause": null, "suspended_records": [], "withdrawal_log_number": 0 }, "page_links": { "methodology": "/methodology/", "right_of_reply": "/right-of-reply/", "source_coverage": "/coverage/", "corrections_log": "/corrections/", "api": "/api/", "claim": "/claim/" }, "entity": { "id": "e-9ab8a4b9c257dd666ebc0ca3", "public_name": "BBC Sport (football)", "tracker_number": 1206, "status": "active", "inactive_since": null, "verified_creator": false, "observation_period": { "since": "2026-09-26", "until": "2026-11-06" }, "platform_list": [ { "medium": "website", "handle": null, "url": null, "link_confirmed": false, "show": true } ], "comment": null }, "headline_number": { "metric": { "metric_id": "p-e-9ab8a4b9c257dd666ebc0ca3-roi-market-price-90d-z99", "code_name": "roi_market_price", "display_name": "Return on stakes at an independent odds snapshot", "window_kind": "90d", "window_from": "2026-08-09", "window_to": "2026-11-07", "amount": null, "unit": "percent", "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "no pick in this window has been settled", "n_bets": 0, "n_events": 0, "n_void": null, "ci_low": null, "ci_high": null, "ci_method": "not_estimated", "price_source": "market_price", "coverage_percent": null, "breakdown": [], "methodology_version": "2.2", "data_date": "2026-11-07T18:04:58.656Z", "enough_for_ranking": false, "series_uid": null, "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot" }, "byline": "Return on stakes at an independent odds snapshot over 90 days: 0 settled picks across 0 matches", "average_odds": null, "odds_from_author": null, "odds_from_snapshot": null }, "metrics": [], "history": [], "simulation": { "series_uid": "sr-935f939c237bee5c5dcfbf5a", "bankroll_hundredths": 982529, "reserve_hundredths": 0, "issued_total_hundredths": 1000000, "top_up_count": 0, "profit_hundredths": -17471, "rewards_off": null, "initial_hundredths": 1000000, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "data_points": [ { "at": "2026-10-10T23:35:57.690Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 990000, "profit_hundredths": -10000, "outcome_id": "ish-4a55b5c85e97a3716e1d1eab" }, { "at": "2026-10-10T23:35:57.696Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 980000, "profit_hundredths": -20000, "outcome_id": "ish-73e65f5666b42313d0e6cd94" }, { "at": "2026-10-11T15:11:30.433Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 1004000, "profit_hundredths": 4000, "outcome_id": "ish-03aeac6bf561a8e0e3d6bea2" }, { "at": "2026-10-24T14:46:21.842Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 994000, "profit_hundredths": -6000, "outcome_id": "ish-b9a3f8080472d639fea1194b" }, { "at": "2026-10-24T16:08:18.178Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 998405, "profit_hundredths": -1595, "outcome_id": "ish-4cf854a672eb173dab512fdd" }, { "at": "2026-10-24T16:08:18.183Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 988405, "profit_hundredths": -11595, "outcome_id": "ish-09b7391d8ad134c109791c40" }, { "at": "2026-10-24T19:17:46.785Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 978405, "profit_hundredths": -21595, "outcome_id": "ish-0bb2eeb751635120040c83ff" }, { "at": "2026-10-31T14:56:12.859Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 986738, "profit_hundredths": -13262, "outcome_id": "ish-bb5082a4666679b1c408f389" }, { "at": "2026-10-31T17:50:50.841Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 976738, "profit_hundredths": -23262, "outcome_id": "ish-e4a2f7ca454ed90ad289ec95" }, { "at": "2026-10-31T17:50:50.847Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 966738, "profit_hundredths": -33262, "outcome_id": "ish-2e4acd215b65b395ce30e7e2" }, { "at": "2026-10-31T17:50:50.852Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 977238, "profit_hundredths": -22762, "outcome_id": "ish-2de28eefb77694089536fc86" }, { "at": "2026-10-31T20:11:18.533Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 982529, "profit_hundredths": -17471, "outcome_id": "ish-d34df08d8626ec5ecf6791c7" } ], "top_ups": [], "rule": "When the balance falls below 100 points and no bets are open, 10000 points are added; the remaining balance is kept. 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Of the 13 predictions we hold for BBC Sport (football), 12 were recorded by us before kick-off and 1 first found after the match. The statements are listed below; as of 7 November 2026.", "numbers": [ { "label": "Statements", "value": "952", "anchor": "/methodology/#statement", "note": null }, { "label": "Predictions", "value": "13", "anchor": "/methodology/#prediction", "note": null } ], "limitations": [], "other_series": [], "return_over_time": [], "return_over_time_parts": { "live": null, "archived": null }, "author_response": null, "cite": { "text": "Forecast Record has recorded 952 statements by BBC Sport (football), including 13 predictions. Of the 13 predictions we hold for BBC Sport (football), 12 were recorded by us before kick-off and 1 first found after the match. The statements are listed below; as of 7 November 2026.", "url": "https://forecastrecord.com/sources/bbc-sport/products/football/", "data_as_of": "2026-11-07", "method_version": null }, "origin": { "contract_version": "1", "predictions": 13, "under_review": 0, "no_match_linked": 0, "proven_predictions": 12, "proven_checked": 12, "proven_measured": 12, "proven_dates": 4, "parts": [ { "code": "live", "title": "Recorded before kick-off", "explanation": "Saved by us from the source before kick-off.", "predictions": 12, "checked": 12, "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price", "series_code": "market_price", "main": null, "same_picks": [], "score": { "score_forecasts": 12, "exact_hits": 2, "exact_rate": 16.7, "outcome_checked": 12, "outcome_hits": 5, "outcome_rate": 41.7, "baseline_matches": 8, "baseline_distinct_matches": 8, "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 4, "outcome_rate_on_baseline": 50.0, "favourite_hits": 4, "favourite_rate": 50.0, "price_basis": "our pre-match snapshot", "pending": 0, "void": 0, "recorded_after_kickoff": 1, "lines": [ "Outcome checked. No betting return is attributed to these score forecasts.", "2 of 12 score forecasts named the exact score (16.7%).", "The result implied by the named score was right in 4 of 8 matches; the market favourite was right in 4 of the same 8 matches.", "A pre-match market favourite is known for 8 of 12 forecasts; the comparison uses only those.", "The market favourite is the home win, draw or away win with the lowest price in our own odds snapshot taken before kick-off.", "The implied result follows from the named score (2-1 implies a home win)." ] }, "eligible": { "checked": 12, "priced": 0 }, "accuracy": null }, { "code": "archived", "title": "Archived before kick-off", "explanation": "Restored from a copy saved by an independent web archive before kick-off.", "predictions": 0, "checked": 0, "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices", "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm", "main": null, "same_picks": [], "score": { "score_forecasts": 0, "exact_hits": 0, "exact_rate": null, 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