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"2026-10-11T01:49:42.094Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "unpriced", "status": "not_supported", "cause": "", "cause_code": "not_supported", "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-10T19:37:38.000Z", "fragment_basis": "element", "source_page_at": "2026-10-10T19:37:38.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-11T01:49:42.094Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "no_match_linked", "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": null, "correction": null } ], "standing": null, "retro": null, "late": null, "price_vs_market": null, "record_summary": { "contract_version": "1", "entity_type": "editorial", "entity_words": "Editorial source", "source": { "name": "academiadasapostas.com", "url": "https://www.academiadasapostas.com/stats/match/mundo/uefa-champions-league/dortmund/betis/jJzZxlKLgZR0v/preview" }, "observed_from": "2026-10-11", "observed_to": "2026-11-04", "data_as_of": "2026-11-07", "state": "settled", "series_code": "market_price", "series": "Recorded before kick-off, at our recorded market price", "restored": false, "headline_kind": "live_snapshot", "headline_part": "live", "settled_picks": 1, "matches": 1, "void": 0, "net_points_hundredths": 8264, "staked_hundredths": 10000, "return_percent": "82.64", "stake_per_pick_hundredths": 10000, "period_from": "2026-10-31", "period_to": "2026-10-31", "status": "calculated", "method_version": "2.2", "short_history": true, "reason": null, "reasons": [], "sentence": "Forecast Record recorded 1 settled live pick by Academia das Apostas before kick-off across 1 match on 31 October 2026. Won 1 of 1 settled live pick at our recorded market prices. Of the 30 predictions we hold for Academia das Apostas, 13 are linked to matches: 6 were recorded by us before kick-off and 7 first found after the match. Figures as of 7 November 2026.", "numbers": [ { "label": "Settled live picks", "value": "1", "anchor": "/methodology/#settled-pick", "note": null }, { "label": "Matches", "value": "1", "anchor": "/methodology/#match", "note": null }, { "label": "Net result", "value": "+82.64 points", "anchor": "/methodology/#settlement", "note": "100 points per pick" }, { "label": "Return at our recorded market price", "value": "+82.6%", "anchor": "/methodology/#roi", "note": null } ], "limitations": [ "Most of this history was found after the matches." ], "other_series": [], "return_over_time": [], "return_over_time_parts": { "live": { "part": "live", "label": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price", "x_axis": "match_date", "dated_note": "Dated by match day. Each pick was recorded by us before kick-off and settled after the match.", "settled_picks": 1, "matches": 1, "match_dates": 1, "period_from": "2026-10-31", "period_to": "2026-10-31", "stake_per_pick_hundredths": 10000, "final_points_hundredths": 8264, "low": { "date": "2026-10-31", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 8264, "after_picks": 1 }, "high": { "date": "2026-10-31", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 8264, "after_picks": 1 }, "line_drawn": false, "steps": [ { "date": "2026-10-31", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 8264, "n": 1, "picks": 1 } ] }, "archived": null }, "author_response": null, "cite": { "text": "Forecast Record recorded 1 settled live pick by Academia das Apostas before kick-off across 1 match on 31 October 2026. Won 1 of 1 settled live pick at our recorded market prices. Of the 30 predictions we hold for Academia das Apostas, 13 are linked to matches: 6 were recorded by us before kick-off and 7 first found after the match. Figures as of 7 November 2026.", "url": "https://forecastrecord.com/sources/academiadasapostas-com/", "data_as_of": "2026-11-07", "method_version": "2.2" }, "origin": { "contract_version": "1", "predictions": 30, "under_review": 0, "no_match_linked": 17, "proven_predictions": 6, "proven_checked": 6, "proven_measured": 1, "proven_dates": 4, "parts": [ { "code": "live", "title": "Recorded before kick-off", "explanation": "Saved by us from the source before kick-off.", "predictions": 6, "checked": 6, "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price", "series_code": "market_price", "main": { "settled_picks": 1, "void": 0, "matches": 1, "net_points_hundredths": 8264, "staked_hundredths": 10000, "return_percent": "82.64", "interval_low": null, "interval_high": null, "interval_note": "too few independent matches to estimate an interval", "period_from": "2026-10-31", "period_to": "2026-10-31", "method_version": "2.2", "snapshot_delay_median_hours": "0.0", "snapshot_delay_max_hours": "0.0", "checked_after_kickoff_picks": 0 }, "same_picks": [ { "price": "Closing price", "series_code": "closing_live", "picks": 1, "return_main_percent": "82.64", "return_other_percent": "120.00", "settled_excluding_void": 1, "net_main_points_hundredths": 8264, "net_other_points_hundredths": 12000, "period_from": "2026-10-31", "period_to": "2026-10-31" } ], "score": { "score_forecasts": 0, "exact_hits": 0, "exact_rate": null, "outcome_checked": 0, "outcome_hits": 0, "outcome_rate": null, "baseline_matches": 0, "baseline_distinct_matches": 0, "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0, "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null, "favourite_hits": 0, "favourite_rate": null, "price_basis": null, "pending": 0, "void": 0, "recorded_after_kickoff": 0, "lines": [] }, "eligible": { "checked": 6, "priced": 1 }, "accuracy": { "picks": 1, "won": 1, "won_percent": "100.0", "implied_percent": "54.8", "left_out": 0, "by_market": [ { "market": "Match result", "won": 1, "picks": 1, "implied_percent": "54.8" } ] }, "reviewed_after": { "predictions": 1, "right": 1, "wrong": 0, "other": 0 } }, { "code": "archived", "title": "Archived before kick-off", "explanation": "Restored from a copy saved by an independent web archive before kick-off.", "predictions": 0, "checked": 0, "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices", "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm", "main": null, "same_picks": [], "score": { "score_forecasts": 0, "exact_hits": 0, "exact_rate": null, "outcome_checked": 0, "outcome_hits": 0, "outcome_rate": null, "baseline_matches": 0, "baseline_distinct_matches": 0, "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0, "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null, "favourite_hits": 0, "favourite_rate": null, "price_basis": null, "pending": 0, "void": 0, "recorded_after_kickoff": 0, "lines": [] }, "eligible": { "checked": 0, "priced": 0 }, "accuracy": null }, { "code": "found_after", "title": "Found after the match", "explanation": "First found after the match; the date is the one the source states.", "predictions": 7, "checked": 0, "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices", "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm", "main": null, "same_picks": [], "score": { "score_forecasts": 0, "exact_hits": 0, "exact_rate": null, "outcome_checked": 0, "outcome_hits": 0, "outcome_rate": null, "baseline_matches": 0, "baseline_distinct_matches": 0, "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0, "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null, "favourite_hits": 0, "favourite_rate": null, "price_basis": null, "pending": 0, "void": 0, "recorded_after_kickoff": 0, "lines": [] }, "eligible": { "checked": 0, "priced": 0 }, "accuracy": null } ] }, "live_alongside": null, "headline_record_ids": [ "n-a334d708a613c8c8325d1169" ], "interval_low": null, "interval_high": null, "caption": "Recorded before kick-off, at our recorded market price · 100 points per pick · 31 October 2026 · Calculated · picks settled under method v2.2", "record_from": "2026-10-11", "record_to": "2026-11-04" }, "recorded_picks": [ { "record_id": "n-a334d708a613c8c8325d1169", "url": "/sources/academiadasapostas-com/picks/3/#pick-n-a334d708a613c8c8325d1169", "match": "Chelsea v Manchester United", "match_url": "/football/matches/chelsea-vs-manchester-united-2026-10-31/", "kickoff": "2026-10-31T12:30:00.000Z", "competition": "Premier League", "lead_hours": 48.9, "market_code": "1x2", "author_said": "1X2, match result: Chelsea", "quote": null, "group": "settled", "outcome": "Won", "claim_outcome": "Won", "final_score": "2-0", "reason": null, "reason_code": null, "points_hundredths": 8264, "series_code": "market_price", "series_short": "odds snapshot", "author_price": null, "settled_price": "1.8264", "published_at": "2026-10-29T11:16:58.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-29T11:38:47.206Z", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "record_part": "live", "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off", "in_headline": true, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": { "outcome": "1", "price": "1.8264", 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"Premier League", "starts_at": "2026-10-31T12:30:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/chelsea-vs-manchester-united-2026-10-31/", "scoreline": "2-0", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "outcome_label": "Chelsea", "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": "1.8264", "our_snapshot_at": "2026-10-29T11:36:35.318Z", "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot", "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "win", "simulation_change_hundredths": 8264, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-29T11:16:58.000Z", "fragment_basis": "element", "source_page_at": "2026-10-29T11:16:58.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-29T11:38:47.206Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Chelsea", "author_odds": null, "market_key": "1x2", "choice_key": "1", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "1X2, match result: Chelsea" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "win", "scoreline": "2-0", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Won: the final score was Chelsea 2-0 Manchester United." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "c1228329e43ec6cd7a547c1a0c16d363dad5b195df8c728a32888d2f75a4c196", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Chelsea", "decimal_odds": "1.8264", "odds_role": "market_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 8264, "executed_at": "2026-10-31T06:37:48.200Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Academia das Apostas", "publisher": "Academia das Apostas", "forecaster": "Academia das Apostas", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.academiadasapostas.com/stats/match/inglaterra/premier-league/chelsea/man-utd/qxRQ5lRjKm7Ee/preview", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "Chelsea to win" } }, { "record_id": 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