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 "heading": "Watford vs Burnley: recorded predictions and results",
 "description": "Watford vs Burnley, 10 October 2026. Final score 0-4 · EFL Championship: 8 distinct predictions from 5 authors.",
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  "body": "Watford finished 0-4 against Burnley. None of the 3 recorded correct-score predictions matched that score. Other markets are shown separately below. 1 prediction found after kick-off is shown separately and excluded from the pre-match count. Forecast Record recorded 8 statements from 5 authors on Watford vs Burnley (EFL Championship, kick-off 10 October 2026): 8 distinct predictions, 7 of the statements recorded before kick-off.",
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    "bundle_id": "e99795a18230c84b4eef51ac7a66d8437c0ed4fcbf5cd2815368e7bb86865fa8",
    "material_removed": false
   },
   "published_at": "2026-10-09T08:30:00.000Z",
   "detected_at": "2026-10-12T20:06:55.213Z",
   "executed_at": "2026-10-13T20:11:04.034Z",
   "statement_class": "priced",
   "status": "too_late",
   "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
   "cause_code": null,
   "event": {
    "event_id": "s-a6d599e29c75",
    "display_name": "Watford v Burnley",
    "competition_name": "EFL Championship",
    "starts_at": "2026-10-10T14:00:00.000Z",
    "url": "/football/matches/watford-vs-burnley-2026-10-10/",
    "scoreline": "0-4"
   },
   "market_label": "Double chance",
   "outcome_label": "Watford or draw",
   "odds_set": {
    "by_author": "1.6",
    "our_snapshot": null,
    "our_snapshot_at": null,
    "our_snapshot_source": null,
    "closing": "1.5700",
    "closing_source": "last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)"
   },
   "stake_hundredths": 10000,
   "result": "loss",
   "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000,
   "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
   "executed_by": "ours",
   "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
   "withdrawn": false,
   "provenance": "source_reported_history",
   "provenance_words": "Source-reported history",
   "dates": {
    "fragment_at": "2026-10-09T08:30:00.000Z",
    "fragment_basis": "page",
    "source_page_at": "2026-10-09T08:30:00.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-12T20:06:55.213Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [],
    "flag_words": null,
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "source_reported_history",
   "origin_words": "Source-reported history",
   "added_on": "Added to our record on 12 Oct 2026",
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": {
    "market_label": "Double chance",
    "choice": "Watford or draw",
    "author_odds": "1.6",
    "market_key": "double_chance",
    "choice_key": "1X",
    "period": "match",
    "line": null,
    "subject": "goals_total",
    "in_words": "Double chance: Watford or draw at 1.6"
   },
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": "loss",
    "scoreline": "0-4",
    "data_status": "measured",
    "cause": null,
    "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
    "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Watford 0-4 Burnley."
   },
   "settlements": [
    {
     "operation_id": "edc3c9f81ea5fb86f79d3940ead19ed47ff27cd2e732da634cd4589f8d9f2aaa",
     "series_key": "retro_author_price",
     "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
     "derived": false,
     "site_simulation": true,
     "author_words": true,
     "market_label": "Double chance",
     "choice": "Watford or draw",
     "decimal_odds": "1.6",
     "odds_role": "author_price",
     "stake_hundredths": 10000,
     "status": "confirmed",
     "status_text": "Executed",
     "result": "loss",
     "result_words": "Lost",
     "change_hundredths": -10000,
     "executed_at": "2026-10-13T20:11:04.033Z",
     "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
     "on_claim_market": true,
     "replaced": false
    },
    {
     "operation_id": "79af3711814997e8fd0000fcd9dd730e182f931aff2460cccf452779f1b9f617",
     "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm",
     "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
     "derived": false,
     "site_simulation": true,
     "author_words": true,
     "market_label": "Double chance",
     "choice": "Watford or draw",
     "decimal_odds": "1.5700",
     "odds_role": "closing_odds",
     "stake_hundredths": 10000,
     "status": "confirmed",
     "status_text": "Executed",
     "result": "loss",
     "result_words": "Lost",
     "change_hundredths": -10000,
     "executed_at": "2026-10-13T20:11:04.034Z",
     "methodology_version": "retro-1.1",
     "on_claim_market": true,
     "replaced": false
    }
   ],
   "corrections": [],
   "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
   "authorship": {
    "material_author": "7",
    "publisher": "Bottadiculo",
    "forecaster": "7",
    "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
    "basis": null,
    "status": "not_named",
    "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
    "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
    "evidence_fragment": null,
    "material_url": "https://www.bottadiculo.it/pronostico-watford-burnley-10-ottobre-2026-9a-giornata-di-championship/",
    "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
    "verdict_by": null,
    "verdict_line": null
   },
   "correction": null
  }
 ],
 "record_counts": {
  "dictionary_version": "1",
  "dictionary_url": "/methodology/#words",
  "statements": 8,
  "predictions": 8,
  "authors": 5,
  "statements_before_kickoff": 7,
  "settled_picks": 3,
  "duplicates": 0,
  "junk": {}
 },
 "match_summary": {
  "contract_version": "1",
  "final_score": "0-4",
  "state_words": "finished",
  "distinct_predictions": 8,
  "sources": 5,
  "one_source": false,
  "sentence": "Watford finished 0-4 against Burnley. None of the 3 recorded correct-score predictions matched that score. Other markets are shown separately below. 1 prediction found after kick-off is shown separately and excluded from the pre-match count.",
  "who_predicted_what": [
   {
    "record_id": "n-9e59b373fbf405dda98fe4d9",
    "url": "/sources/sportsgambler/picks/93/#pick-n-9e59b373fbf405dda98fe4d9",
    "author": "SportsGambler",
    "author_url": "/sources/sportsgambler/",
    "market": "Asian handicap 0.25",
    "selection": "Watford +0.25",
    "outcome": "Lost",
    "price": "1.77",
    "published_at": "2026-10-08T20:28:10.000Z",
    "recorded_at": "2026-10-08T20:39:02.508Z",
    "lead_hours": 41.3,
    "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "outcome_reason": null,
    "before_kickoff": true,
    "attribution": null
   },
   {
    "record_id": "n-c9a5af8e9efabc3859dbb5dc",
    "url": "/authors/baptiste-couturiaux/picks/2/#pick-n-c9a5af8e9efabc3859dbb5dc",
    "author": "Baptiste Couturiaux",
    "author_url": "/authors/baptiste-couturiaux/",
    "market": "Both teams to score",
    "selection": "yes",
    "outcome": "Lost",
    "price": "1.55",
    "published_at": null,
    "recorded_at": "2026-10-09T14:31:29.157Z",
    "lead_hours": 23.5,
    "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "outcome_reason": null,
    "before_kickoff": true,
    "attribution": null
   },
   {
    "record_id": "n-184047346ef8a95a0f53841d",
    "url": "/authors/carter-white/picks/2/#pick-n-184047346ef8a95a0f53841d",
    "author": "Carter White",
    "author_url": "/authors/carter-white/",
    "market": "Correct score",
    "selection": "Watford 2-1 Burnley",
    "outcome": "Lost",
    "price": null,
    "published_at": "2026-10-08T12:19:56.000Z",
    "recorded_at": "2026-10-08T13:07:05.899Z",
    "lead_hours": 48.9,
    "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "outcome_reason": null,
    "before_kickoff": true,
    "attribution": null
   },
   {
    "record_id": "n-2b7cf1e1ec4a763fbfcdaebc",
    "url": "/sources/sportsgambler/picks/93/#pick-n-2b7cf1e1ec4a763fbfcdaebc",
    "author": "SportsGambler",
    "author_url": "/sources/sportsgambler/",
    "market": "Correct score",
    "selection": "Watford 1-0 Burnley",
    "outcome": "Lost",
    "price": "8.00",
    "published_at": "2026-10-08T20:28:10.000Z",
    "recorded_at": "2026-10-08T20:39:02.508Z",
    "lead_hours": 41.3,
    "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "outcome_reason": null,
    "before_kickoff": true,
    "attribution": null
   },
   {
    "record_id": "n-78df8a337fb29295a44c5a35",
    "url": "/authors/tony-incenzo/picks/37/#pick-n-78df8a337fb29295a44c5a35",
    "author": "Tony Incenzo",
    "author_url": "/authors/tony-incenzo/",
    "market": "Correct score",
    "selection": "Watford 0-0 Burnley",
    "outcome": "Lost",
    "price": null,
    "published_at": "2026-10-08T10:15:23.000Z",
    "recorded_at": "2026-10-08T10:23:29.540Z",
    "lead_hours": 51.6,
    "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "outcome_reason": null,
    "before_kickoff": true,
    "attribution": null
   },
   {
    "record_id": "n-0850186cae1edd3ae7494e6d",
    "url": "/authors/enrico-giordano/picks/23/#pick-n-0850186cae1edd3ae7494e6d",
    "author": "Enrico Giordano",
    "author_url": "/authors/enrico-giordano/",
    "market": "Double chance",
    "selection": "Watford or draw",
    "outcome": "Lost",
    "price": "1.60",
    "published_at": "2026-10-09T08:30:00.000Z",
    "recorded_at": "2026-10-12T20:06:55.213Z",
    "lead_hours": -54.1,
    "origin": "Source-reported history",
    "outcome_reason": null,
    "before_kickoff": false,
    "attribution": null
   },
   {
    "record_id": "n-88d47cb2473f43988abc0e3a",
    "url": "/sources/sportsgambler/picks/93/#pick-n-88d47cb2473f43988abc0e3a",
    "author": "SportsGambler",
    "author_url": "/sources/sportsgambler/",
    "market": "Over/Under 9.5 corners",
    "selection": "under 9.5",
    "outcome": "Not settled",
    "price": "2.02",
    "published_at": "2026-10-08T20:28:10.000Z",
    "recorded_at": "2026-10-08T20:39:02.508Z",
    "lead_hours": 41.3,
    "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "outcome_reason": "the result data received so far does not include the corner counts this market needs",
    "before_kickoff": true,
    "attribution": null
   },
   {
    "record_id": "n-79c2ba98b86b58a5c56e5329",
    "url": "/sources/sportsgambler/picks/93/#pick-n-79c2ba98b86b58a5c56e5329",
    "author": "SportsGambler",
    "author_url": "/sources/sportsgambler/",
    "market": "Player shots on target over/under 0.5",
    "selection": "Othmane Maamma over 0.5 shots on target",
    "outcome": "Not settled",
    "price": "2.02",
    "published_at": "2026-10-08T20:28:10.000Z",
    "recorded_at": "2026-10-08T20:39:02.508Z",
    "lead_hours": 41.3,
    "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "outcome_reason": "the result data received so far does not include the player shot counts this market needs",
    "before_kickoff": true,
    "attribution": null
   }
  ],
  "by_market": [
   {
    "market": "Correct score",
    "predictions": 3,
    "sources": 3,
    "one_source": false,
    "eligible": 3,
    "different_selections": 0,
    "selections": [
     {
      "selection": "Watford 0-0 Burnley",
      "predictions": 1,
      "eligible": 1
     },
     {
      "selection": "Watford 1-0 Burnley",
      "predictions": 1,
      "eligible": 1
     },
     {
      "selection": "Watford 2-1 Burnley",
      "predictions": 1,
      "eligible": 1
     }
    ],
    "implied_by_score": [
     {
      "selection": "Watford",
      "predictions": 2
     },
     {
      "selection": "draw",
      "predictions": 1
     }
    ],
    "median_odds": "8.00",
    "odds_from_author": 1,
    "odds_from_snapshot": 0
   },
   {
    "market": "Asian handicap 0.25",
    "predictions": 1,
    "sources": 1,
    "one_source": true,
    "eligible": 1,
    "different_selections": 0,
    "selections": [
     {
      "selection": "Watford +0.25",
      "predictions": 1,
      "eligible": 1
     }
    ],
    "median_odds": "1.77",
    "odds_from_author": 1,
    "odds_from_snapshot": 0
   },
   {
    "market": "Both teams to score",
    "predictions": 1,
    "sources": 1,
    "one_source": true,
    "eligible": 1,
    "different_selections": 0,
    "selections": [
     {
      "selection": "yes",
      "predictions": 1,
      "eligible": 1
     }
    ],
    "median_odds": "1.55",
    "odds_from_author": 1,
    "odds_from_snapshot": 0
   },
   {
    "market": "Over/Under 9.5 corners",
    "predictions": 1,
    "sources": 1,
    "one_source": true,
    "eligible": 1,
    "different_selections": 0,
    "selections": [
     {
      "selection": "under 9.5",
      "predictions": 1,
      "eligible": 1
     }
    ],
    "median_odds": "2.02",
    "odds_from_author": 1,
    "odds_from_snapshot": 0
   },
   {
    "market": "Player shots on target over/under 0.5",
    "predictions": 1,
    "sources": 1,
    "one_source": true,
    "eligible": 1,
    "different_selections": 0,
    "selections": [
     {
      "selection": "Othmane Maamma over 0.5 shots on target",
      "predictions": 1,
      "eligible": 1
     }
    ],
    "median_odds": "2.02",
    "odds_from_author": 1,
    "odds_from_snapshot": 0
   }
  ],
  "found_after_kickoff": 1,
  "selections_before_kickoff": 7,
  "independent_sources": 4,
  "same_material_repeats": 0,
  "sources_list": [
   {
    "source": "sportsgambler.com",
    "materials": 1,
    "authors": 1,
    "selections": 4
   },
   {
    "source": "news.williamhill.com",
    "materials": 1,
    "authors": 1,
    "selections": 1
   },
   {
    "source": "sportsmole.co.uk",
    "materials": 1,
    "authors": 1,
    "selections": 1
   },
   {
    "source": "sportytrader.com",
    "materials": 1,
    "authors": 1,
    "selections": 1
   }
  ],
  "what_happened": {
   "won": 0,
   "lost": 5,
   "void": 0,
   "half_won": 0,
   "half_lost": 0,
   "not_settled": 2
  },
  "scenarios": [
   {
    "author": "SportsGambler",
    "author_url": "/sources/sportsgambler/",
    "picks": 4,
    "record_ids": [
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     "n-9e59b373fbf405dda98fe4d9",
     "n-2b7cf1e1ec4a763fbfcdaebc"
    ],
    "markets": [
     "Over/Under 9.5 corners",
     "Player shots on target over/under 0.5",
     "Asian handicap 0.25",
     "Correct score"
    ],
    "selections": [
     "under 9.5",
     "Othmane Maamma over 0.5 shots on target",
     "Watford +0.25",
     "Watford 1-0 Burnley"
    ],
    "prices": [
     "2.02",
     "2.02",
     "1.77",
     "8.00"
    ],
    "outcomes": [
     "Not settled",
     "Not settled",
     "Lost",
     "Lost"
    ],
    "scenario": "under 9.5 · Othmane Maamma over 0.5 shots on target · Watford +0.25 · Watford 1-0 Burnley",
    "result": "any_wrong",
    "recorded_at": "2026-10-08T20:39:02.508Z",
    "lead_hours": 41.3,
    "evidence_urls": [
     "/sources/sportsgambler/picks/93/#pick-n-88d47cb2473f43988abc0e3a",
     "/sources/sportsgambler/picks/93/#pick-n-79c2ba98b86b58a5c56e5329",
     "/sources/sportsgambler/picks/93/#pick-n-9e59b373fbf405dda98fe4d9",
     "/sources/sportsgambler/picks/93/#pick-n-2b7cf1e1ec4a763fbfcdaebc"
    ]
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  ],
  "lead_time": {
   "contract_version": 1,
   "threshold_hours": 2.0,
   "picks": 8,
   "before_kickoff": 7,
   "after_kickoff": 1,
   "at_least_2h": 7,
   "share_2h_plus": 87.5,
   "median_hours": 41.3,
   "min_hours": 23.5,
   "max_hours": 51.6,
   "words": "Hours between the moment we recorded the pick and kick-off; the share counts picks recorded at least two hours before kick-off."
  }
 },
 "title_tag": "Watford vs Burnley: Predictions and Results — 10 Oct 2026",
 "snapshots": {
  "counting_rule": "1",
  "early": null,
  "closing_line": {
   "id": "sr-177e3b5d81db996d27a099de",
   "type_code": "closing_price",
   "moment_at": "2026-10-10T14:00:00.000Z",
   "freeze_at": "2026-10-11T07:25:41.262Z",
   "approach": "by_capture_time",
   "methodology_version": null,
   "counting_rule": "1",
   "figures": {
    "chain": {
     "admissible": 9,
     "publications": 10,
     "comparable": 9,
     "unique": 10,
     "contributions": 9
    },
    "group_list": [
     {
      "phrase": "Correct score — Most common recorded selection: Watford 2-1 Burnley — 2 of 4 eligible",
      "source_group": "correct_score_market|*|match|*|*#explicit",
      "leader": "2-1",
      "n": 4,
      "market_label": "Correct score",
      "row_list": [
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        "figure": 2,
        "in_words": "Watford 2-1 Burnley",
        "choice": "2-1"
       },
       {
        "figure": 1,
        "in_words": "Watford 0-0 Burnley",
        "choice": "0-0"
       },
       {
        "figure": 1,
        "in_words": "Watford 1-0 Burnley",
        "choice": "1-0"
       }
      ]
     },
     {
      "phrase": "1X2, match result — Most common recorded selection: Burnley — 1 of 1 eligible",
      "source_group": "1x2|*|match|*|*#explicit",
      "leader": "2",
      "n": 1,
      "market_label": "1X2, match result",
      "row_list": [
       {
        "figure": 1,
        "in_words": "Burnley",
        "choice": "2"
       }
      ]
     },
     {
      "phrase": "Asian handicap 0.25 — Most common recorded selection: Watford +0.25 — 1 of 1 eligible",
      "source_group": "handicap_asian|0.25|match|*|*#explicit",
      "leader": "1",
      "n": 1,
      "market_label": "Asian handicap 0.25",
      "row_list": [
       {
        "figure": 1,
        "in_words": "Watford +0.25",
        "choice": "1"
       }
      ]
     },
     {
      "phrase": "Both teams to score — Most common recorded selection: yes — 1 of 1 eligible",
      "source_group": "both_teams_score|*|match|*|*#explicit",
      "leader": "yes",
      "n": 1,
      "market_label": "Both teams to score",
      "row_list": [
       {
        "figure": 1,
        "in_words": "yes",
        "choice": "yes"
       }
      ]
     },
     {
      "phrase": null,
      "source_group": "player_shots|0.5|match|ig-139d78c4d755|*#explicit",
      "leader": "over",
      "n": 1,
      "market_label": "Player shots on target over/under 0.5",
      "row_list": [
       {
        "figure": 1,
        "in_words": null,
        "choice": "over"
       }
      ]
     },
     {
      "phrase": "Over/Under -9.5 corners — Most common recorded selection: under -9.5 — 1 of 1 eligible",
      "source_group": "corners_total|-9.5|match|*|*#explicit",
      "leader": "under",
      "n": 1,
      "market_label": "Over/Under -9.5 corners",
      "row_list": [
       {
        "figure": 1,
        "in_words": "under -9.5",
        "choice": "under"
       }
      ]
     }
    ],
    "counting_rule": "1",
    "different_products": 0,
    "differing_choices": 0,
    "not_counted": 1
   },
   "composition": [
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   "hash": "a1b0277b46d2a3c924a6c4ca3f204acc2f79bd3479655e1e12472386330d962c"
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  "author_rows": [
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    "type_code": "author_before_match",
    "moment_at": "2026-10-10T14:00:00.000Z",
    "freeze_at": "2026-10-11T07:25:41.262Z",
    "approach": "by_capture_time",
    "methodology_version": null,
    "counting_rule": "1",
    "figures": {
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    },
    "composition": [],
    "hash": "68a17d1979b45051b594cd26e7f5c975ab5588abc361c2c49e2d74c3d5bfc792",
    "entity_ref": "e-7fad73c8ed3b0228fd4a0b7d",
    "name_shown": "Carter White",
    "url": "/authors/carter-white/"
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        ],
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      ],
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     {
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   "other_language_hosts": [
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    "Exact-score predictions from tipsters and sources with 10 or more predictions checked against the final score to date: 0 of 3 matched the score, 0 of 3 the outcome"
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   "legend": "Badges show titles earned before this prediction, by published rules.",
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    {
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    {
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   ],
   "markets": [
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        {
         "key": "prediction_sites",
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        },
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         "key": "media",
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        {
         "key": "private_authors",
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      },
      {
       "code_name": "X",
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        {
         "key": "prediction_sites",
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}