{ "schema_name": "page", "schema_version": "2.0", "page_type": "event", "url": "/football/matches/vitoria-vs-athletico-2026-10-24/", "canonical": "/football/matches/vitoria-vs-athletico-2026-10-24/", "language": "en", "hreflang": [], "translations": [], "heading": "Vitória vs Athletico: recorded predictions and results", "description": "Vitória vs Athletico, 24 October 2026. Final score 1-1 · Brasileiro Série A: 4 distinct predictions from 3 authors.", "first_paragraph": { "body": "Vitória finished 1-1 against Athletico. The recorded predictions are listed below by market, each with its own outcome. 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They never affect what you see above: the order of any table is computed before any commission is known.", "page_category": "event" }, "restrictions": { "name_withdrawn": false, "tracker_number": null, "withdrawn_quotes": [], "removed_at": null, "cause": null, "suspended_records": [], "withdrawal_log_number": 0 }, "page_links": { "methodology": "/methodology/", "right_of_reply": "/right-of-reply/", "source_coverage": "/coverage/", "corrections_log": "/corrections/", "api": "/api/", "claim": "/claim/" }, "event": { "id": "s-420a9ad2efda", "display_name": "Vitória — Athletico", "competition_name": "Brasileiro Série A", "starts_at": "2026-10-24T19:30:00.000Z", "status": "finished", "scoreline": "1-1", "condition": "finished", "condition_words": "finished", "result_received_at": "2026-10-24T21:39:12.516Z", "postponement": null, "consensus": { "market_label": "Both teams to score", "distribution": [ { "outcome_label": "yes", "figure": 2, "share": "100.0" } ], "n": 2, "author_count": 2, 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"lead_hours": 5.5, "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "outcome_reason": null, "before_kickoff": true, "attribution": null } ], "by_market": [ { "market": "Both teams to score", "predictions": 2, "sources": 2, "one_source": false, "eligible": 2, "different_selections": 0, "selections": [ { "selection": "yes", "predictions": 2, "eligible": 2 } ], "median_odds": "1.75", "odds_from_author": 2, "odds_from_snapshot": 0 }, { "market": "1X2, match result", "predictions": 1, "sources": 1, "one_source": true, "eligible": 1, "different_selections": 0, "selections": [ { "selection": "draw", "predictions": 1, "eligible": 1 } ], "median_odds": "3.40", "odds_from_author": 1, "odds_from_snapshot": 0 }, { "market": "Over/Under 3.5 goals", "predictions": 1, "sources": 1, "one_source": true, "eligible": 1, "different_selections": 0, "selections": [ { "selection": "over 3.5", "predictions": 1, "eligible": 1 } ], "median_odds": "3.20", "odds_from_author": 1, "odds_from_snapshot": 0 } ], 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} ], "not_counted": [], "after_start": [], "forecaster_split": { "contracts": [ { "contract_code": "1x2|*|match|*|*#explicit", "source_group": "explicit", "market_label": "1X2, match result", "market_key": "1x2", "choices": [ { "code_name": "1", "in_words": "Vitória", "tips": [], "figure": 0 }, { "code_name": "X", "in_words": "Draw", "tips": [ { "author_name": "Théo Becker", "entry_id": "n-b70b8ddbc5936df5de4c6b4c", "outcome_label": "Won", "source_group": "tipsters" } ], "figure": 1 }, { "code_name": "2", "in_words": "Athletico", "tips": [], "figure": 0 } ], "n": 1, "publisher_count": 1 }, { "contract_code": "both_teams_score|*|match|*|*#explicit", "source_group": "explicit", "market_label": "Both teams to score", "market_key": "both_teams_score", "choices": [ { "code_name": "yes", "in_words": "yes", "tips": [ { "author_name": "Théo Becker", "entry_id": "n-195017472c3e36222881ac32", "outcome_label": "Won", "source_group": "tipsters" }, { "author_name": "WinDrawWin", "entry_id": "n-be3a77b74d616a2f39b6fafb", "outcome_label": "Won", "source_group": "websites" } ], "figure": 2 } ], "n": 2, "publisher_count": 2 }, { "contract_code": "total|3.5|match|*|*#explicit", "source_group": "explicit", "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals", "market_key": "total", "choices": [ { "code_name": "over", "in_words": "over 3.5", "tips": [ { "author_name": "Fabian Schuster", "entry_id": "n-066ed84e59e8dba474f5abde", "outcome_label": "Lost", "source_group": "tipsters" } ], "figure": 1 } ], "n": 1, "publisher_count": 1 } ], "author_count": 3, "below_threshold": { "prediction_count": 0, "author_count": 0 }, "limit": 10 }, "chain": { "publications": 1, "unique": 1, "comparable": 1, "admissible": 1, "contributions": 1 }, "differing_choices": 0, "visible_who": 1, "newcomers_who": 2, "newcomers_before": 3, "titles_shown": true, "legend": "Badges show titles earned before this prediction, by published rules." }, "arguments": { "topics": [], "against": [], "other_languages": 1, "other_language_hosts": [ "sportwetten.bild.de" ], "mode": "quotes", "topics_total": 0, "checkable": 0 }, "market_label": { "favourite_code": "1", "favourite": "Vitória", "probabilities": [ { "outcome_label": "1", "in_words": "Vitória", "percent_value": 39 }, { "outcome_label": "X", "in_words": "Draw", "percent_value": 28 }, { "outcome_label": "2", "in_words": "Athletico", "percent_value": 33 } ], "prices": { "1": "2.39", "X": "3.31", "2": "2.83" }, "group_count": 26, "bookmakers": 38, "snapshot_at": "2026-10-24T19:30:00.000Z", "closing_line": true, "first_at": "2026-10-22T10:09:25.695Z", "shift_pp": 2.1, "phrase": "The market has barely changed its mind since our first snapshot on 22 October 2026: Vitória 37% then, 39% at kick-off.", "technique": "Median across groups of bookmakers, without margin: brands on one platform count once (median within the group); betting exchanges and prediction markets are excluded. Market price from an odds aggregator; the data provider is not named.", "t24": { "snapshot_at": "2026-10-23T19:30:00.000Z", "probabilities": { "1": 37, "2": 35, "X": 28 } }, "t2": { "snapshot_at": "2026-10-24T17:30:00.000Z", "probabilities": { "1": 36, "2": 36, "X": 28 } } }, "market_mode": "show", "fact_sheet": { "tournament": "Brasileiro Série A (Brazil)", "matchday": "Matchweek 32", "starts_at": "2026-10-24T19:30:00.000Z", "form": { "home_side": [ { "res": "D", "scoreline": "1-1", "opponent": "Corinthians", "at_home": false, "data": "2026-10-20" }, { "res": "L", "scoreline": "1-2", "opponent": "São Paulo", "at_home": false, "data": "2026-10-11" }, { "res": "W", "scoreline": "4-0", "opponent": "Chapecoense", "at_home": true, "data": "2026-10-08" }, { "res": "L", "scoreline": "1-3", "opponent": "Cruzeiro", "at_home": true, "data": "2026-09-20" }, { "res": "D", "scoreline": "2-2", "opponent": "Mirassol", "at_home": false, "data": "2026-09-13" } ], "away": [ { "res": "L", "scoreline": "0-2", "opponent": "Palmeiras", "at_home": true, "data": "2026-10-17" }, { "res": "W", "scoreline": "4-1", "opponent": "Chapecoense", "at_home": false, "data": "2026-10-12" }, { "res": "D", "scoreline": "2-2", "opponent": "Atlético Mineiro", "at_home": true, "data": "2026-10-09" }, { "res": "W", "scoreline": "2-1", "opponent": "Bahia", "at_home": true, "data": "2026-09-20" }, { "res": "D", "scoreline": "3-3", "opponent": "Coritiba", "at_home": false, "data": "2026-09-12" } ] }, "head_to_head": [ { "data": "2026-04-26", "match_list": "Athletico 3-1 Vitória", "event_id": "sm:19621952" } ], "past_cards": [], "reach": "" }, "after_match": { "scoreline": "1-1", "fact_code": "X", "row_list": [ "Match-result predictions from tipsters and sources with 10 or more predictions checked against the final score to date: 1 of 1 matched", "Most common selection among tipsters and sources with 10 or more predictions checked against the final score to date: Draw (1 of 1), matched", "Market favourite at kick-off: Vitória (missed)" ], "by_group": { "tipsters": { "correct": 1, "of": 1 } }, "placement": null, "checks": [] }, "prices": [ { "author_name": "Fabian Schuster", "choice": "over 3.5", "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals", "author_quoted_price": "3.20", "our_snapshot": "3.2800", "closing_line": null } ], "revisions": [ "Market 24 hours before kick-off: Vitória 37%.", "Market 2 hours before kick-off: Vitória 36%.", "First published with predictions on 23 October 2026." ], "titles": { "shown": true, "legend": "Badges show titles earned before this prediction, by published rules.", "frozen_in": "sr-8a1cba4bc36f0b41c094d49e" }, "tracker": null, "source_groups": { "as_of": "2026-10-24T19:30:00.000Z", "groups": [ { "key": "prediction_sites", "label": "Prediction sites" }, { "key": "media", "label": "Media" }, { "key": "telegram_channels", "label": "Telegram channels" }, { "key": "private_authors", "label": "Independent tipsters" } ], "authors": 3, "by_group": [ { "key": "prediction_sites", "authors": 1 }, { "key": "media", "authors": 1 }, { "key": "telegram_channels", "authors": 1 }, { "key": "private_authors", "authors": 0 } ], "markets": [ { "key": "1x2", "label": "Match result", "authors": 1, "by_group": [ { "key": "prediction_sites", "authors": 1 }, { "key": "media", "authors": 0 }, { "key": "telegram_channels", "authors": 0 }, { "key": "private_authors", "authors": 0 } ], "choices": [ { "code_name": "1", "in_words": "Vitória", "authors": 0, "by_group": [ { "key": "prediction_sites", "authors": 0 }, { "key": "media", "authors": 0 }, { "key": "telegram_channels", "authors": 0 }, { "key": "private_authors", "authors": 0 } ] }, { "code_name": "X", "in_words": "Draw", "authors": 1, "by_group": [ { "key": "prediction_sites", "authors": 1 }, { "key": "media", "authors": 0 }, { "key": "telegram_channels", "authors": 0 }, { "key": "private_authors", "authors": 0 } ] }, { "code_name": "2", "in_words": "Athletico", "authors": 0, "by_group": [ { "key": "prediction_sites", "authors": 0 }, { "key": "media", "authors": 0 }, { "key": "telegram_channels", "authors": 0 }, { "key": "private_authors", "authors": 0 } ] } ] }, { "key": "totals", "label": "Goal totals", "authors": 1, "by_group": [ { "key": "prediction_sites", "authors": 0 }, { "key": "media", "authors": 1 }, { "key": "telegram_channels", "authors": 0 }, { "key": "private_authors", "authors": 0 } ] }, { "key": "other", "label": "Handicaps, both teams to score, correct score and other markets", "authors": 2, "by_group": [ { "key": "prediction_sites", "authors": 1 }, { "key": "media", "authors": 0 }, { "key": "telegram_channels", "authors": 1 }, { "key": "private_authors", "authors": 0 } ] } ] }, "market_line": { "line_state": "barely_moved", "line_frozen": true, "phrase": "Market line at kick-off (24 October 2026, 20:30 BST): Vitória 39%, draw 28%, Athletico 33%. From 22 October 2026, 11:09 BST to kick-off it barely moved: the largest change was 2.1 percentage points (Vitória up).", "line_markets": [ { "market_text": "1X2, match result", "market_group": "1x2", "line_kind": "median_line", "margin_included": false, "snapshot_at": "2026-10-24T19:30:00.000Z", "closing_line": true, "probabilities": [ { "outcome_label": "1", "in_words": "Vitória", "percent_value": 39 }, { "outcome_label": "X", "in_words": "Draw", "percent_value": 28 }, { "outcome_label": "2", "in_words": "Athletico", "percent_value": 33 } ], "group_count": 26, "first_at": "2026-10-22T10:09:25.695Z", "first_probabilities": { "1": 37, "2": 35, "X": 28 }, "shift_pp": 2.1, "shift_outcome": "1", "shift_direction": "up", "line_state": "barely_moved", "phrase": "Market line at kick-off (24 October 2026, 20:30 BST): Vitória 39%, draw 28%, Athletico 33%. From 22 October 2026, 11:09 BST to kick-off it barely moved: the largest change was 2.1 percentage points (Vitória up)." }, { "market_text": "Both teams to score", "market_group": "other", "line_kind": "recorded_price", "margin_included": true, "closing_line": false, "price_sides": [ { "choice": "yes", "snapshot_price": "1.68", "percent_value": 60, "snapshot_at": "2026-10-23T02:29:52.268Z", "snapshot_count": 2, "first_snapshot_price": "1.73", "first_at": "2026-10-21T02:17:02.879Z", "shift_pp": 1.7, "shift_direction": "up", "line_state": "barely_moved" } ], "line_state": "barely_moved", "phrase": "Both teams to score, yes: market price 1.68 on 23 October 2026, 03:29 BST (implied 60%, margin included), 1.7 percentage points up from 21 October 2026, 03:17 BST." }, { "market_text": "Over/Under 3.5 goals", "market_group": "totals", "line_kind": "recorded_price", "margin_included": true, "closing_line": false, "price_sides": [ { "choice": "over 3.5", "snapshot_price": "3.28", "percent_value": 30, "snapshot_at": "2026-10-24T13:56:44.125Z", "snapshot_count": 1, "first_snapshot_price": null, "first_at": null, "shift_pp": null, "shift_direction": null, "line_state": "single_snapshot" } ], "line_state": "single_snapshot", "phrase": "Over/Under 3.5 goals, over 3.5 goals: market price 3.28 on 24 October 2026, 14:56 BST (implied 30%, margin included)." } ] }, "pre_kickoff_snapshot": { "frozen_before_kickoff": true, "as_of_moment": "2026-10-24T19:30:00.000Z", "starts_at": "2026-10-24T19:30:00.000Z", "phrase": "Before kick-off on 24 October 2026, 20:30 BST: market line at kick-off Vitória 39%, draw 28%, Athletico 33%; 1X2, match result, recorded picks before the match (1): 0 on Vitória, 1 on the draw, 0 on Athletico; Over/Under 3.5 goals, recorded picks before the match (1): 1 on over 3.5 goals; Both teams to score, recorded picks before the match (2): 2 on yes.", "market_line_brief": { "snapshot_at": "2026-10-24T19:30:00.000Z", "closing_line": true, "probabilities": { "1": 39, "X": 28, "2": 33 } }, "market_groups": [ { "market_group": "1x2", "group_markets": [ { "market_text": "1X2, match result", "prediction_count": 1, "row_count": 1, "market_choices": [ { "choice": "draw", "figure": 1 } ], "phrase_mode": "listing", "leader_choice": null, "leader_count": null, "share_percent": 100, "phrase": "1X2, match result, recorded picks before the match (1): 0 on Vitória, 1 on the draw, 0 on Athletico", "sides_1x2": [ { "side": "1", "in_words": "Vitória", "figure": 0 }, { "side": "X", "in_words": "draw", "figure": 1 }, { "side": "2", "in_words": "Athletico", "figure": 0 } ] } ] }, { "market_group": "totals", "group_markets": [ { "market_text": "Over/Under 3.5 goals", "prediction_count": 1, "row_count": 1, "market_choices": [ { "choice": "over 3.5", "figure": 1 } ], "phrase_mode": "listing", "leader_choice": null, "leader_count": null, "share_percent": 100, "phrase": "Over/Under 3.5 goals, recorded picks before the match (1): 1 on over 3.5 goals" } ] }, { "market_group": "other", "group_markets": [ { "market_text": "Both teams to score", "prediction_count": 2, "row_count": 2, "market_choices": [ { "choice": "yes", "figure": 2 } ], "phrase_mode": "listing", "leader_choice": null, "leader_count": null, "share_percent": 100, "phrase": "Both teams to score, recorded picks before the match (2): 2 on yes" } ] } ], "predictions_before_kickoff": 4, "majority_threshold": { "min_predictions": 5, "min_share_percent": 60.0 } }, "teams_prev_next": [ { "side": "home", "team": "Vitória", "team_url": null, "participant_id": "u-7e3c1333a7c4", "previous": { "kickoff": "2026-10-19T23:00:00.000Z", "name": "Corinthians vs Vitória", "url": "/football/matches/corinthians-vs-vitoria-2026-10-19/", "competition": "Brasileiro Série A", "state": "played", "score": "1-1" }, "next": { "kickoff": "2026-10-31T19:00:00.000Z", "name": "Coritiba vs Vitória", "url": "/football/matches/coritiba-vs-vitoria-2026-10-31/", "competition": "Brasileiro Série A", "state": "played", "score": "2-0" }, "why": null }, { "side": "away", "team": "Athletico", "team_url": null, "participant_id": "u-6303ff5cf15f", "previous": { "kickoff": "2026-10-18T20:00:00.000Z", "name": "Athletico vs Palmeiras", "url": null, "competition": "Brasileiro Série A", "state": "no_result", "score": null }, "next": { "kickoff": "2026-10-30T00:30:00.000Z", "name": "Grêmio vs Athletico", "url": "/football/matches/gremio-vs-athletico-2026-10-30/", "competition": "Brasileiro Série A", "state": "played", "score": "2-0" }, "why": null } ] }, "number_sets": [ { "set": "match.market_line.percent", "entity": "/football/matches/vitoria-vs-athletico-2026-10-24/|1x2|1", "value": 39, "where": null, "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z" }, { "set": "match.market_line.percent", "entity": "/football/matches/vitoria-vs-athletico-2026-10-24/|1x2|X", "value": 28, "where": null, "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z" }, { "set": "match.market_line.percent", "entity": "/football/matches/vitoria-vs-athletico-2026-10-24/|1x2|2", "value": 33, "where": null, "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z" }, { "set": "match.recorded_price.percent", "entity": "/football/matches/vitoria-vs-athletico-2026-10-24/|Both teams to score|yes", "value": 60, "where": null, "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z" }, { "set": "match.recorded_price.percent", "entity": "/football/matches/vitoria-vs-athletico-2026-10-24/|Over/Under 3.5 goals|over 3.5", "value": 30, "where": null, "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z" }, { "set": "match.before_kickoff.market", "entity": "/football/matches/vitoria-vs-athletico-2026-10-24/|1X2, match result", "value": 1, "where": null, "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z" }, { "set": "match.before_kickoff.leader_share_percent", "entity": "/football/matches/vitoria-vs-athletico-2026-10-24/|1X2, match result", "value": 100, "where": null, "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z" }, { "set": "match.before_kickoff.selection", "entity": "/football/matches/vitoria-vs-athletico-2026-10-24/|1X2, match result|Vitória", "value": 0, "where": null, "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z" }, { "set": "match.before_kickoff.selection", "entity": "/football/matches/vitoria-vs-athletico-2026-10-24/|1X2, match result|draw", "value": 1, "where": null, "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z" }, { "set": "match.before_kickoff.selection", "entity": "/football/matches/vitoria-vs-athletico-2026-10-24/|1X2, match result|Athletico", "value": 0, "where": null, "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z" }, { "set": "match.before_kickoff.market", "entity": "/football/matches/vitoria-vs-athletico-2026-10-24/|Over/Under 3.5 goals", "value": 1, "where": null, "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z" }, { "set": "match.before_kickoff.leader_share_percent", "entity": "/football/matches/vitoria-vs-athletico-2026-10-24/|Over/Under 3.5 goals", "value": 100, "where": null, "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z" }, { "set": "match.before_kickoff.selection", "entity": "/football/matches/vitoria-vs-athletico-2026-10-24/|Over/Under 3.5 goals|over 3.5", "value": 1, "where": null, "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z" }, { "set": "match.before_kickoff.market", "entity": "/football/matches/vitoria-vs-athletico-2026-10-24/|Both teams to score", "value": 2, "where": null, "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z" }, { "set": "match.before_kickoff.leader_share_percent", "entity": "/football/matches/vitoria-vs-athletico-2026-10-24/|Both teams to score", "value": 100, "where": null, "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z" }, { "set": "match.before_kickoff.selection", "entity": "/football/matches/vitoria-vs-athletico-2026-10-24/|Both teams to score|yes", "value": 2, "where": null, "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z" }, { "set": "match.other_forecasters", "entity": "/football/matches/vitoria-vs-athletico-2026-10-24/", "value": 3, "where": null, "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z" }, { "set": "match.snapshot", "entity": "/football/matches/vitoria-vs-athletico-2026-10-24/", "value": 2, "where": "pre-match-record", "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z" }, { "set": "match.snapshot.on_page", "entity": "/football/matches/vitoria-vs-athletico-2026-10-24/", "value": 1, "where": "pre-match-record", "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z" }, { "set": "match.snapshot.left", "entity": "/football/matches/vitoria-vs-athletico-2026-10-24/", "value": 1, "where": "pre-match-record", "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z" } ], "data_changes": { "records_corrected": 0, "last_correction_at": null, "corrections_url": "/corrections/" }, "entity_id": "event:s-420a9ad2efda", "source_revision": 163 }