{ "schema_name": "page", "schema_version": "2.0", "page_type": "event", "url": "/football/matches/villarreal-vs-espanyol-2026-10-30/", "canonical": "/football/matches/villarreal-vs-espanyol-2026-10-30/", "language": "en", "hreflang": [], "translations": [], "heading": "Villarreal vs Espanyol: recorded predictions and results", "description": "Villarreal vs Espanyol, 30 October 2026. Final score 0-1 · LaLiga: 39 distinct predictions from 27 authors.", "first_paragraph": { "body": "Villarreal finished 0-1 against Espanyol. None of the 3 recorded correct-score predictions matched that score. Other markets are shown separately below. 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They never affect what you see above: the order of any table is computed before any commission is known.", "page_category": "event" }, "restrictions": { "name_withdrawn": false, "tracker_number": null, "withdrawn_quotes": [], "removed_at": null, "cause": null, "suspended_records": [], "withdrawal_log_number": 0 }, "page_links": { "methodology": "/methodology/", "right_of_reply": "/right-of-reply/", "source_coverage": "/coverage/", "corrections_log": "/corrections/", "api": "/api/", "claim": "/claim/" }, "event": { "id": "s-6b2e43166ed3", "display_name": "Villarreal — Espanyol", "competition_name": "LaLiga", "starts_at": "2026-10-30T20:00:00.000Z", "status": "finished", "scoreline": "0-1", "condition": "finished", "condition_words": "finished", "result_received_at": "2026-10-30T22:09:44.321Z", "postponement": null, "consensus": { "market_label": "1X2, match result", "distribution": [ { "outcome_label": "Villarreal", "figure": 14, "share": "100.0" } ], "n": 14, "author_count": 14, 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"material_author": "Kelechi Udoka", "publisher": "Football Whispers", "forecaster": "Kelechi Udoka", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://footballwhispers.com/blog/villarreal-vs-espanyol-prediction-30-10-2026/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-1af8effbbd53aa960e5e4949", "url": "/authors/kelechi-udoka/picks/16/#pick-n-1af8effbbd53aa960e5e4949", "quote_text": "At least five cards were awarded in each of the visiting team's last 10 outings, and this can be backed at 21/20 (2.05).", "fragment_from": 3766, "fragment_to": 3886, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "rss", "url": 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an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Over/Under 4.5 cards", "choice": "over 4.5", "decimal_odds": null, "odds_role": null, "stake_hundredths": null, "status": "skipped", "status_text": "Not executed: ", "result": null, "result_words": null, "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Kelechi Udoka", "publisher": "Football Whispers", "forecaster": "Kelechi Udoka", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://footballwhispers.com/blog/villarreal-vs-espanyol-prediction-30-10-2026/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-97bcdceef5fe56131748ed37", "url": "/authors/kelechi-udoka/picks/16/#pick-n-97bcdceef5fe56131748ed37", "quote_text": "We also fancy over 10.5 total corners at 11/10 (2.10), as was the case in six of the last eight H2Hs.", "fragment_from": 3888, "fragment_to": 3989, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "rss", "url": "https://footballwhispers.com/blog/villarreal-vs-espanyol-prediction-30-10-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Kelechi Udoka", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "f383de23b6583261f1cf4714bb882d73b36e4ee7768461401a954abe06e5cb85", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-28T18:07:45.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-28T18:14:17.424Z", "executed_at": "2026-10-30T11:06:06.977Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": 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"archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Over/Under 10.5 corners", "choice": "over 10.5", "author_odds": "2.1", "market_key": "corners_total", "choice_key": "over", "period": "match", "line": "10.5", "subject": "corners", "in_words": "Over/Under 10.5 corners: over 10.5 at 2.1" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "0-1", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Lost — corners 7-3 in the match (10 in total); the final score was Villarreal 0-1 Espanyol." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "3f44296b101bb937ed3287e2dbcbae685872e433bc4d0c2e92a03afcc0aa1aec", "series_key": "author_price", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Over/Under 10.5 corners", "choice": "over 10.5", "decimal_odds": "2.1", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-10-30T11:06:05.992Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "5fb6fb2e730e1c85e08d762a42487bc0b340e4548a97c18ffd068dccab8b33fb", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Over/Under 10.5 corners", "choice": "over 10.5", "decimal_odds": "2.2000", "odds_role": "market_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-10-30T11:06:06.977Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, 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"scenario": "Villarreal -1.25 · Villarreal -2.0", "result": "any_wrong", "recorded_at": "2026-10-29T04:32:01.925Z", "lead_hours": 39.5, "evidence_urls": [ "/authors/lmguerra/picks/3/#pick-n-20b961a99106e2566496a9b5", "/authors/lmguerra/picks/3/#pick-n-2279fa6c13b12482e936b648" ] }, { "author": "Théo Becker", "author_url": "/authors/theo-becker/", "picks": 2, "record_ids": [ "n-53bb6d3dbd4349b8cbc812c7", "n-69e3466b773c85133c3b5287" ], "markets": [ "Over/Under 3.5 goals", "Over/Under 4.5 goals" ], "selections": [ "under 3.5", "under 4.5" ], "prices": [ null, null ], "outcomes": [ "Won", "Won" ], "scenario": "under 3.5 goals · under 4.5 goals", "result": "all_right", "recorded_at": "2026-10-30T00:40:35.913Z", "lead_hours": 19.3, "evidence_urls": [ "/authors/theo-becker/picks/106/#pick-n-53bb6d3dbd4349b8cbc812c7", "/authors/theo-becker/picks/106/#pick-n-69e3466b773c85133c3b5287" ] }, { "author": "Tobias Brandt", "author_url": "/authors/tobias-brandt/", "picks": 2, "record_ids": [ 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"Espanyol", "tips": [], "figure": 0 } ], "n": 14, "publisher_count": 13 }, { "contract_code": "both_teams_score|*|match|*|*#explicit", "source_group": "explicit", "market_label": "Both teams to score", "market_key": "both_teams_score", "choices": [ { "code_name": "yes", "in_words": "yes", "tips": [ { "author_name": "Coteur", "entry_id": "n-69aea7e2cf4d19163e78ce80", "outcome_label": "Lost", "source_group": "websites" }, { "author_name": "Goksim", "entry_id": "n-965897395a998d20ea8e36b4", "outcome_label": "Lost", "source_group": "tipsters" }, { "author_name": "Kelechi Udoka", "entry_id": "n-6a8b2ed78c7fa0dbed51155b", "outcome_label": "Lost", "source_group": "experts" }, { "author_name": "Massimiliano Ciancaglioni", "entry_id": "n-21aaabc6a9aff88692753085", "outcome_label": "Lost", "source_group": "tipsters" } ], "figure": 4 }, { "code_name": "no", "in_words": "no", "tips": [ { "author_name": "Tobias Brandt", "entry_id": "n-c2851bfd9326d14fabfbbb33", "outcome_label": "Won", "source_group": "tipsters" } ], "figure": 1 } ], "n": 5, "publisher_count": 5 }, { "contract_code": "total|2.5|match|*|*#explicit", "source_group": "explicit", "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals", "market_key": "total", "choices": [ { "code_name": "over", "in_words": "over 2.5", "tips": [ { "author_name": "Alberto Bravo", "entry_id": "n-abb8c4bea34659bee43dc0ec", "outcome_label": "Lost", "source_group": "tipsters" }, { "author_name": "Bianconeri331", "entry_id": "n-3652580715cb9591a4f732c7", "outcome_label": "Lost", "source_group": "tipsters" }, { "author_name": "WhoScored", "entry_id": "n-1c0716f4b13d1851688cba4b", "outcome_label": "Lost", "source_group": "websites" }, { "author_name": "Wincomparator", "entry_id": "n-fc9ecbacdae0168b47c06e5d", "outcome_label": "Lost", "source_group": "websites" } ], "figure": 4 } ], "n": 4, "publisher_count": 4 }, { "contract_code": "correct_score_market|*|match|*|*#explicit", "source_group": "explicit", "market_label": "Correct score", "market_key": "correct_score_market", "choices": [ { "code_name": "2-0", "in_words": "Villarreal 2-0 Espanyol", "tips": [ { "author_name": "Jasper van den Boogaard", "entry_id": "n-0c60de4b72d04b9db76bdac5", "outcome_label": "Lost", "source_group": "tipsters" }, { "author_name": "Matt Law", "entry_id": "n-e877fad814c87c7dfa0b0378", "outcome_label": "Lost", "source_group": "experts" } ], "figure": 2 }, { "code_name": "3-1", "in_words": "Villarreal 3-1 Espanyol", "tips": [ { "author_name": "Kelechi Udoka", "entry_id": "n-773188d95c4ac380e2842704", "outcome_label": "Lost", "source_group": "experts" } ], "figure": 1 } ], "n": 3, "publisher_count": 3 }, { "contract_code": "total|3.5|match|*|*#explicit", "source_group": "explicit", "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals", "market_key": "total", "choices": [ { "code_name": "under", "in_words": "under 3.5", "tips": [ { "author_name": "BETSiE (AceOdds)", "entry_id": "n-90fa233758b855e497f15633", "outcome_label": "Won", "source_group": "websites" }, { "author_name": "Dusan", "entry_id": "n-fff15e6498301fe8ca543700", "outcome_label": "Won", "source_group": "tipsters" }, { "author_name": "Théo Becker", "entry_id": "n-53bb6d3dbd4349b8cbc812c7", "outcome_label": "Won", "source_group": "tipsters" } ], "figure": 3 } ], "n": 3, "publisher_count": 3 }, { "contract_code": "cards_over_under|4.5|match|*|*#explicit", "source_group": "explicit", "market_label": "Over/Under 4.5 cards", "market_key": "cards_over_under", "choices": [ { "code_name": "over", "in_words": "over 4.5", "tips": [ { "author_name": "Kelechi Udoka", "entry_id": "n-1af8effbbd53aa960e5e4949", "outcome_label": "Won", "source_group": "experts" }, { "author_name": "Scores24 Telegram", "entry_id": "n-bbea3a225eff66e4fdff3c56", "outcome_label": "Won", "source_group": "websites" } ], "figure": 2 } ], "n": 2, "publisher_count": 2 }, { "contract_code": "team_total|1.5|match|*|*#explicit", "source_group": "explicit", "market_label": "Team goals over/under 1.5", "market_key": "team_total", "choices": [ { "code_name": "1-over", "in_words": "Villarreal over 1.5", "tips": [ { "author_name": "Aleksej Tarabrin", "entry_id": "n-2edf32048198f14ca8da86f6", "outcome_label": "Lost", "source_group": "tipsters" }, { "author_name": "FootballPredictions.com", "entry_id": "n-a6779aadf95cd54899cee07c", "outcome_label": "Lost", "source_group": "websites" } ], "figure": 2 } ], "n": 2, "publisher_count": 2 }, { "contract_code": "handicap_asian|-1.25|match|*|*#explicit", "source_group": "explicit", "market_label": "Asian handicap -1.25", "market_key": "handicap_asian", "choices": [ { "code_name": "1", "in_words": "Villarreal -1.25", "tips": [ { "author_name": "LMGuerra", "entry_id": "n-20b961a99106e2566496a9b5", "outcome_label": "Lost", "source_group": "tipsters" } ], "figure": 1 } ], "n": 1, "publisher_count": 1 }, { "contract_code": "handicap_asian|-2.0|match|*|*#explicit", "source_group": "explicit", "market_label": "Asian handicap -2", "market_key": "handicap_asian", "choices": [ { "code_name": "1", "in_words": "Villarreal -2.0", "tips": [ { "author_name": "LMGuerra", "entry_id": "n-2279fa6c13b12482e936b648", "outcome_label": "Lost", "source_group": "tipsters" } ], "figure": 1 } ], "n": 1, "publisher_count": 1 }, { "contract_code": "handicap_asian|1.5|match|*|*#explicit", "source_group": "explicit", "market_label": "Asian handicap 1.5", "market_key": "handicap_asian", "choices": [ { "code_name": "2", "in_words": "Espanyol +1.5", "tips": [ { "author_name": "Tobias Brandt", "entry_id": "n-c7a8530ffd33194fcebf1149", "outcome_label": "Won", "source_group": "tipsters" } ], "figure": 1 } ], "n": 1, "publisher_count": 1 }, { "contract_code": "corners_total|10.5|match|*|*#explicit", "source_group": "explicit", "market_label": "Over/Under 10.5 corners", "market_key": "corners_total", "choices": [ { "code_name": "over", "in_words": "over 10.5", "tips": [ { "author_name": "Kelechi Udoka", "entry_id": "n-97bcdceef5fe56131748ed37", "outcome_label": "Lost", "source_group": "experts" } ], "figure": 1 } ], "n": 1, "publisher_count": 1 }, { "contract_code": "total|4.5|match|*|*#explicit", "source_group": "explicit", "market_label": "Over/Under 4.5 goals", "market_key": "total", "choices": [ { "code_name": "under", "in_words": "under 4.5", "tips": [ { "author_name": "Théo Becker", "entry_id": "n-69e3466b773c85133c3b5287", "outcome_label": "Won", "source_group": "tipsters" } ], "figure": 1 } ], "n": 1, "publisher_count": 1 }, { "contract_code": "player_to_score|*|match|ig-951e31973917|*#explicit", "source_group": "explicit", "market_label": "Player to score", "market_key": "player_to_score", "choices": [ { "code_name": "yes", "in_words": "Ilias Akhomach Chakkour to score", "tips": [ { "author_name": "Danilo Loda", "entry_id": "n-f8e45040328ff02f2f49dca4", "outcome_label": "Not settled", "source_group": "tipsters" } ], "figure": 1 } ], "n": 1, "publisher_count": 1 } ], "author_count": 27, "below_threshold": { "prediction_count": 0, "author_count": 0 }, "limit": 10 }, "chain": { "publications": 11, "unique": 11, "comparable": 11, "admissible": 11, "contributions": 11 }, "differing_choices": 0, "visible_who": 6, "newcomers_who": 21, "newcomers_before": 28, "titles_shown": true, "legend": "Badges show titles earned before this prediction, by published rules." }, "arguments": { "topics": [ { "code_name": "other_topic", "display_name": "Other reasons", "checkable_item": false, "bullet_points": [ { "entry_id": "n-e877fad814c87c7dfa0b0378", "author_name": "Matt Law", "author_href": "/authors/matt-law/", "source_group": "experts", "choice": "Villarreal 2-0 Espanyol", "market_label": "Correct score", "logged_at": "2026-10-28T10:10:09.451Z", "original": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/villarreal/preview/villarreal-vs-espanyol-prediction-team-news-lineups_607852.html", "proof": "/authors/matt-law/picks/13/#pick-n-e877fad814c87c7dfa0b0378", "quote_text": "Villarreal have posted back-to-back wins, and we are expecting the Yellow Submarine to be too strong for their struggling opponents on Friday.", "retelling": null, "checkable_item": false, "against": false }, { "entry_id": "n-1af8effbbd53aa960e5e4949", "author_name": "Kelechi Udoka", "author_href": "/authors/kelechi-udoka/", "source_group": "experts", "choice": "over 4.5", "market_label": "Over/Under 4.5 cards", "logged_at": "2026-10-28T18:14:17.424Z", "original": "https://footballwhispers.com/blog/villarreal-vs-espanyol-prediction-30-10-2026/", "proof": "/authors/kelechi-udoka/picks/16/#pick-n-1af8effbbd53aa960e5e4949", "quote_text": "At least five cards were awarded in each of the visiting team's last 10 outings", "retelling": null, "checkable_item": false, "against": false } ], "total_count": 3 }, { "code_name": "recent_form", "display_name": "Form", "checkable_item": false, "bullet_points": [ { "entry_id": "n-6a8b2ed78c7fa0dbed51155b", "author_name": "Kelechi Udoka", "author_href": "/authors/kelechi-udoka/", "source_group": "experts", "choice": "yes", "market_label": "Both teams to score", "logged_at": "2026-10-28T18:14:17.424Z", "original": "https://footballwhispers.com/blog/villarreal-vs-espanyol-prediction-30-10-2026/", "proof": "/authors/kelechi-udoka/picks/16/#pick-n-6a8b2ed78c7fa0dbed51155b", "quote_text": "Five of Espanyol's last six matches have produced goals at both ends.", "retelling": null, "checkable_item": false, "against": false } ], "total_count": 1 }, { "code_name": "head_to_head", "display_name": "Head-to-head", "checkable_item": false, "bullet_points": [ { "entry_id": "n-97bcdceef5fe56131748ed37", "author_name": "Kelechi Udoka", "author_href": "/authors/kelechi-udoka/", "source_group": "experts", "choice": "over 10.5", "market_label": "Over/Under 10.5 corners", "logged_at": "2026-10-28T18:14:17.424Z", "original": "https://footballwhispers.com/blog/villarreal-vs-espanyol-prediction-30-10-2026/", "proof": "/authors/kelechi-udoka/picks/16/#pick-n-97bcdceef5fe56131748ed37", "quote_text": "as was the case in six of the last eight H2Hs", "retelling": null, "checkable_item": false, "against": false } ], "total_count": 1 } ], "against": [], "other_languages": 3, "other_language_hosts": [ "sportwetten.bild.de", "sportytrader.es" ], "mode": "quotes", "topics_total": 3, "checkable": 0 }, "market_label": { "favourite_code": "1", "favourite": "Villarreal", "probabilities": [ { "outcome_label": "1", "in_words": "Villarreal", "percent_value": 69 }, { "outcome_label": "X", "in_words": "Draw", "percent_value": 18 }, { "outcome_label": "2", "in_words": "Espanyol", "percent_value": 13 } ], "prices": { "1": "1.36", "X": "5.25", "2": "7.50" }, "group_count": 30, "bookmakers": 45, "snapshot_at": "2026-10-30T20:00:00.000Z", "closing_line": true, "first_at": "2026-10-22T00:07:05.746Z", "shift_pp": 8.9, "phrase": "The market has moved clearly since our first snapshot on 22 October 2026: Villarreal 60% then, 69% at kick-off.", "technique": "Median across groups of bookmakers, without margin: brands on one platform count once (median within the group); betting exchanges and prediction markets are excluded. Market price from an odds aggregator; the data provider is not named.", "t24": { "snapshot_at": "2026-10-29T20:00:00.000Z", "probabilities": { "1": 68, "2": 14, "X": 19 } }, "t2": { "snapshot_at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00.000Z", "probabilities": { "1": 68, "2": 14, "X": 18 } } }, "market_mode": "show", "fact_sheet": { "tournament": "LaLiga (Spain)", "matchday": "Matchweek 11", "starts_at": "2026-10-30T20:00:00.000Z", "form": { "home_side": [ { "res": "W", "scoreline": "2-1", "opponent": "Valencia", "at_home": false, "data": "2026-10-24" }, { "res": "L", "scoreline": "3-4", "opponent": "Liverpool", "at_home": false, "data": "2026-10-20" }, { "res": "D", "scoreline": "0-0", "opponent": "Elche", "at_home": true, "data": "2026-10-17" }, { "res": "W", "scoreline": "3-1", "opponent": "SSC Napoli", "at_home": true, "data": "2026-10-13" }, { "res": "L", "scoreline": "0-1", "opponent": "Real Madrid", "at_home": false, "data": "2026-10-10" } ], "away": [ { "res": "L", "scoreline": "1-2", "opponent": "Real Racing Club", "at_home": false, "data": "2026-10-24" }, { "res": "L", "scoreline": "0-1", "opponent": "Atlético Madrid", "at_home": true, "data": "2026-10-17" }, { "res": "D", "scoreline": "1-1", "opponent": "Málaga CF", "at_home": false, "data": "2026-10-09" }, { "res": "L", "scoreline": "1-3", "opponent": "Elche", "at_home": true, "data": "2026-09-18" }, { "res": "L", "scoreline": "1-2", "opponent": "Rayo Vallecano", "at_home": false, "data": "2026-09-15" } ] }, "head_to_head": [], "past_cards": [], "reach": "" }, "after_match": { "scoreline": "0-1", "fact_code": "2", "row_list": [ "Match-result predictions from tipsters and sources with 10 or more predictions checked against the final score to date: 0 of 14 matched · Tipsters 0 of 6 · Prediction sites 0 of 8", "All recorded exact-score predictions: 0 of 3 matched", "Exact-score predictions from tipsters and sources with 10 or more predictions checked against the final score to date: 0 of 3 matched the score, 0 of 3 the outcome", "Most common selection among tipsters and sources with 10 or more predictions checked against the final score to date: Villarreal (14 of 14), missed", "Market favourite at kick-off: Villarreal (missed)" ], "by_group": { "tipsters": { "correct": 0, "of": 6 }, "websites": { "correct": 0, "of": 8 } }, "placement": null, "checks": [] }, "prices": [ { "author_name": "Enrico Giordano", "choice": "Villarreal", "market_label": "1X2, match result", "author_quoted_price": "1.43", "our_snapshot": "1.4167", "closing_line": null }, { "author_name": "Alberto Bravo", "choice": "Villarreal", "market_label": "1X2, match result", "author_quoted_price": "1.42", "our_snapshot": "1.4167", "closing_line": null }, { "author_name": "Massimiliano Ciancaglioni", "choice": "yes", "market_label": "Both teams to score", "author_quoted_price": "1.65", "our_snapshot": "1.6757", "closing_line": null }, { "author_name": "Tobias Brandt", "choice": "no", "market_label": "Both teams to score", "author_quoted_price": "2.05", "our_snapshot": "2.1000", "closing_line": null }, { "author_name": "Tobias Brandt", "choice": "Espanyol +1.5", "market_label": "Asian handicap 1.5", "author_quoted_price": "1.72", "our_snapshot": "1.7353", "closing_line": null }, { "author_name": "Kelechi Udoka", "choice": "over 10.5", "market_label": "Over/Under 10.5 corners", "author_quoted_price": "2.10", "our_snapshot": "2.2000", "closing_line": null }, { "author_name": "Alberto Bravo", "choice": "over 2.5", "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals", "author_quoted_price": "1.50", "our_snapshot": "1.5051", "closing_line": null } ], "revisions": [ "Market 24 hours before kick-off: Villarreal 68%.", "Market 2 hours before kick-off: Villarreal 68%.", "First published with predictions on 29 October 2026." ], "titles": { "shown": true, "legend": "Badges show titles earned before this prediction, by published rules.", "frozen_in": "sr-039061124b8c04ba2e8173b5" }, "tracker": null, "source_groups": { "as_of": "2026-10-30T20:00:00.000Z", "groups": [ { "key": "prediction_sites", "label": "Prediction sites" }, { "key": "media", "label": "Media" }, { "key": "telegram_channels", "label": "Telegram channels" }, { "key": "private_authors", "label": "Independent tipsters" } ], "authors": 27, "by_group": [ { "key": "prediction_sites", "authors": 10 }, { "key": "media", "authors": 3 }, { "key": "telegram_channels", "authors": 11 }, { "key": "private_authors", "authors": 3 } ], "markets": [ { "key": "1x2", "label": "Match result", "authors": 14, "by_group": [ { "key": "prediction_sites", "authors": 4 }, { "key": "media", "authors": 0 }, { "key": "telegram_channels", "authors": 8 }, { "key": "private_authors", "authors": 2 } ], "choices": [ { "code_name": "1", "in_words": "Villarreal", "authors": 14, "by_group": [ { "key": "prediction_sites", "authors": 4 }, { "key": "media", "authors": 0 }, { "key": "telegram_channels", "authors": 8 }, { "key": "private_authors", "authors": 2 } ] }, { "code_name": "X", "in_words": "Draw", "authors": 0, "by_group": [ { "key": "prediction_sites", "authors": 0 }, { "key": "media", "authors": 0 }, { "key": "telegram_channels", "authors": 0 }, { "key": "private_authors", "authors": 0 } ] }, { "code_name": "2", "in_words": "Espanyol", "authors": 0, "by_group": [ { "key": "prediction_sites", "authors": 0 }, { "key": "media", "authors": 0 }, { "key": "telegram_channels", "authors": 0 }, { "key": "private_authors", "authors": 0 } ] } ] }, { "key": "totals", "label": "Goal totals", "authors": 9, "by_group": [ { "key": "prediction_sites", "authors": 4 }, { "key": "media", "authors": 0 }, { "key": "telegram_channels", "authors": 4 }, { "key": "private_authors", "authors": 1 } ] }, { "key": "other", "label": "Handicaps, both teams to score, correct score and other markets", "authors": 10, "by_group": [ { "key": "prediction_sites", "authors": 3 }, { "key": "media", "authors": 3 }, { "key": "telegram_channels", "authors": 2 }, { "key": "private_authors", "authors": 2 } ] } ] }, "market_line": { "line_state": "moved", "line_frozen": true, "phrase": "Market line at kick-off (30 October 2026, 20:00 GMT): Villarreal 69%, draw 18%, Espanyol 13%. From 22 October 2026, 01:07 BST to kick-off the line moved 8.9 percentage points (Villarreal up).", "line_markets": [ { "market_text": "1X2, match result", "market_group": "1x2", "line_kind": "median_line", "margin_included": false, "snapshot_at": "2026-10-30T20:00:00.000Z", "closing_line": true, "probabilities": [ { "outcome_label": "1", "in_words": "Villarreal", "percent_value": 69 }, { "outcome_label": "X", "in_words": "Draw", "percent_value": 18 }, { "outcome_label": "2", "in_words": "Espanyol", "percent_value": 13 } ], "group_count": 30, "first_at": "2026-10-22T00:07:05.746Z", "first_probabilities": { "1": 60, "2": 17, "X": 22 }, "shift_pp": 8.9, "shift_outcome": "1", "shift_direction": "up", "line_state": "moved", "phrase": "Market line at kick-off (30 October 2026, 20:00 GMT): Villarreal 69%, draw 18%, Espanyol 13%. From 22 October 2026, 01:07 BST to kick-off the line moved 8.9 percentage points (Villarreal up)." }, { "market_text": "Both teams to score", "market_group": "other", "line_kind": "recorded_price", "margin_included": true, "closing_line": false, "price_sides": [ { "choice": "no", "snapshot_price": "2.10", "percent_value": 48, "snapshot_at": "2026-10-28T05:26:47.432Z", "snapshot_count": 1, "first_snapshot_price": null, "first_at": null, "shift_pp": null, "shift_direction": null, "line_state": "single_snapshot" }, { "choice": "yes", "snapshot_price": "1.67", "percent_value": 60, "snapshot_at": "2026-10-29T17:18:34.183Z", "snapshot_count": 4, "first_snapshot_price": "1.67", "first_at": "2026-10-27T07:36:43.340Z", "shift_pp": 0.0, "shift_direction": null, "line_state": "not_moved" } ], "line_state": "not_moved", "phrase": "Both teams to score, no: market price 2.10 on 28 October 2026, 05:26 GMT (implied 48%, margin included). Both teams to score, yes: market price 1.67 on 29 October 2026, 17:18 GMT (implied 60%, margin included), the same as on 27 October 2026, 07:36 GMT." }, { "market_text": "Over/Under 10.5 corners", "market_group": "totals", "line_kind": "recorded_price", "margin_included": true, "closing_line": false, "price_sides": [ { "choice": "over 10.5", "snapshot_price": "2.20", "percent_value": 45, "snapshot_at": "2026-10-28T18:10:24.438Z", "snapshot_count": 1, "first_snapshot_price": null, "first_at": null, "shift_pp": null, "shift_direction": null, "line_state": "single_snapshot" } ], "line_state": "single_snapshot", "phrase": "Over/Under 10.5 corners, over 10.5 corners: market price 2.20 on 28 October 2026, 18:10 GMT (implied 45%, margin included)." }, { "market_text": "Over/Under 2.5 goals", "market_group": "totals", "line_kind": "recorded_price", "margin_included": true, "closing_line": false, "price_sides": [ { "choice": "over 2.5", "snapshot_price": "1.50", "percent_value": 67, "snapshot_at": "2026-10-29T13:12:38.963Z", "snapshot_count": 3, "first_snapshot_price": "1.50", "first_at": "2026-10-28T11:48:08.008Z", "shift_pp": 0.0, "shift_direction": null, "line_state": "not_moved" } ], "line_state": "not_moved", "phrase": "Over/Under 2.5 goals, over 2.5 goals: market price 1.50 on 29 October 2026, 13:12 GMT (implied 67%, margin included), the same as on 28 October 2026, 11:48 GMT." }, { "market_text": "Over/Under 3.5 goals", "market_group": "totals", "line_kind": "recorded_price", "margin_included": true, "closing_line": false, "price_sides": [ { "choice": "under 3.5", "snapshot_price": "1.65", "percent_value": 60, "snapshot_at": "2026-10-30T06:59:28.522Z", "snapshot_count": 2, "first_snapshot_price": "1.60", "first_at": "2026-10-29T18:05:39.837Z", "shift_pp": 2.1, "shift_direction": "down", "line_state": "barely_moved" } ], "line_state": "barely_moved", "phrase": "Over/Under 3.5 goals, under 3.5 goals: market price 1.65 on 30 October 2026, 06:59 GMT (implied 60%, margin included), 2.1 percentage points down from 29 October 2026, 18:05 GMT." }, { "market_text": "Over/Under 4.5 cards", "market_group": "totals", "line_kind": "recorded_price", "margin_included": true, "closing_line": false, "price_sides": [ { "choice": "over 4.5", "snapshot_price": "1.73", "percent_value": 58, "snapshot_at": "2026-10-30T16:43:59.504Z", "snapshot_count": 1, "first_snapshot_price": null, "first_at": null, "shift_pp": null, "shift_direction": null, "line_state": "single_snapshot" } ], "line_state": "single_snapshot", "phrase": "Over/Under 4.5 cards, over 4.5 cards: market price 1.73 on 30 October 2026, 16:43 GMT (implied 58%, margin included)." }, { "market_text": "Team goals over/under 1.5", "market_group": "totals", "line_kind": "recorded_price", "margin_included": true, "closing_line": false, "price_sides": [ { "choice": "Villarreal over 1.5", "snapshot_price": "1.37", "percent_value": 73, "snapshot_at": "2026-10-30T02:08:44.406Z", "snapshot_count": 2, "first_snapshot_price": "1.38", "first_at": "2026-10-30T01:07:45.963Z", "shift_pp": 0.3, "shift_direction": "up", "line_state": "barely_moved" } ], "line_state": "barely_moved", "phrase": "Team goals over/under 1.5, Villarreal over 1.5 goals: market price 1.37 on 30 October 2026, 02:08 GMT (implied 73%, margin included), 0.3 percentage points up from 30 October 2026, 01:07 GMT." } ] }, "pre_kickoff_snapshot": { "frozen_before_kickoff": true, "as_of_moment": "2026-10-30T20:00:00.000Z", "starts_at": "2026-10-30T20:00:00.000Z", "phrase": "Before kick-off on 30 October 2026, 20:00 GMT: market line at kick-off Villarreal 69%, draw 18%, Espanyol 13%; 1X2, match result: most expected Villarreal (14 of 14 predictions); Over/Under 2.5 goals, recorded picks before the match (4): 4 on over 2.5 goals; Both teams to score: most expected goals at both ends (4 of 5 predictions).", "market_line_brief": { "snapshot_at": "2026-10-30T20:00:00.000Z", "closing_line": true, "probabilities": { "1": 69, "X": 18, "2": 13 } }, "market_groups": [ { "market_group": "1x2", "group_markets": [ { "market_text": "1X2, match result", "prediction_count": 14, "row_count": 14, "market_choices": [ { "choice": "Villarreal", "figure": 14 } ], "phrase_mode": "majority", "leader_choice": "Villarreal", "leader_count": 14, "share_percent": 100, "phrase": "1X2, match result: most expected Villarreal (14 of 14 predictions)", "sides_1x2": [ { "side": "1", "in_words": "Villarreal", "figure": 14 }, { "side": "X", "in_words": "draw", "figure": 0 }, { "side": "2", "in_words": "Espanyol", "figure": 0 } ] } ] }, { "market_group": "totals", "group_markets": [ { "market_text": "Over/Under 2.5 goals", "prediction_count": 4, "row_count": 4, "market_choices": [ { "choice": "over 2.5", "figure": 4 } ], "phrase_mode": "listing", "leader_choice": null, "leader_count": null, "share_percent": 100, "phrase": "Over/Under 2.5 goals, recorded picks before the match (4): 4 on over 2.5 goals" }, { "market_text": "Over/Under 3.5 goals", "prediction_count": 3, "row_count": 3, "market_choices": [ { "choice": "under 3.5", "figure": 3 } ], "phrase_mode": "listing", "leader_choice": null, "leader_count": null, "share_percent": 100, "phrase": "Over/Under 3.5 goals, recorded picks before the match (3): 3 on under 3.5 goals" }, { "market_text": "Over/Under 4.5 cards", "prediction_count": 2, "row_count": 2, "market_choices": [ { "choice": "over 4.5", "figure": 2 } ], "phrase_mode": "listing", "leader_choice": null, "leader_count": null, "share_percent": 100, "phrase": "Over/Under 4.5 cards, recorded picks before the match (2): 2 on over 4.5 cards" }, { "market_text": "Team goals over/under 1.5", "prediction_count": 2, "row_count": 2, "market_choices": [ { "choice": "Villarreal over 1.5", "figure": 2 } ], "phrase_mode": "listing", "leader_choice": null, "leader_count": null, "share_percent": 100, "phrase": "Team goals over/under 1.5, recorded picks before the match (2): 2 on Villarreal over 1.5 goals" }, { "market_text": "Over/Under 10.5 corners", "prediction_count": 1, "row_count": 1, "market_choices": [ { "choice": "over 10.5", "figure": 1 } ], "phrase_mode": "listing", "leader_choice": null, "leader_count": null, "share_percent": 100, "phrase": "Over/Under 10.5 corners, recorded picks before the match (1): 1 on over 10.5 corners" }, { "market_text": "Over/Under 4.5 goals", "prediction_count": 1, "row_count": 1, "market_choices": [ { "choice": "under 4.5", "figure": 1 } ], "phrase_mode": "listing", "leader_choice": null, "leader_count": null, "share_percent": 100, "phrase": "Over/Under 4.5 goals, recorded picks before the match (1): 1 on under 4.5 goals" } ] }, { "market_group": "other", "group_markets": [ { "market_text": "Both teams to score", "prediction_count": 5, "row_count": 5, "market_choices": [ { "choice": "yes", "figure": 4 }, { "choice": "no", "figure": 1 } ], "phrase_mode": "majority", "leader_choice": "yes", "leader_count": 4, "share_percent": 80, "phrase": "Both teams to score: most expected goals at both ends (4 of 5 predictions)" }, { "market_text": "Correct score", "prediction_count": 3, "row_count": 3, "market_choices": [ { "choice": "Villarreal 2-0 Espanyol", "figure": 2 }, { "choice": "Villarreal 3-1 Espanyol", "figure": 1 } ], "phrase_mode": "listing", "leader_choice": null, "leader_count": null, "share_percent": 67, "phrase": "Correct score, recorded picks before the match (3): 2 on Villarreal 2-0 Espanyol, 1 on Villarreal 3-1 Espanyol" }, { "market_text": "Asian handicap -1.25", "prediction_count": 1, "row_count": 1, "market_choices": [ { "choice": "Villarreal -1.25", "figure": 1 } ], "phrase_mode": "listing", "leader_choice": null, "leader_count": null, "share_percent": 100, "phrase": "Asian handicap -1.25, recorded picks before the match (1): 1 on Villarreal -1.25" }, { "market_text": "Asian handicap -2", "prediction_count": 1, "row_count": 1, "market_choices": [ { "choice": "Villarreal -2.0", "figure": 1 } ], "phrase_mode": "listing", "leader_choice": null, "leader_count": null, "share_percent": 100, "phrase": "Asian handicap -2, recorded picks before the match (1): 1 on Villarreal -2.0" }, { "market_text": "Asian handicap 1.5", "prediction_count": 1, "row_count": 1, "market_choices": [ { "choice": "Espanyol +1.5", "figure": 1 } ], "phrase_mode": "listing", "leader_choice": null, "leader_count": null, "share_percent": 100, "phrase": "Asian handicap 1.5, recorded picks before the match (1): 1 on Espanyol +1.5" }, { "market_text": "Player to score", "prediction_count": 1, "row_count": 1, "market_choices": [ { "choice": "Ilias Akhomach Chakkour to score", "figure": 1 } ], "phrase_mode": "listing", "leader_choice": null, "leader_count": null, "share_percent": 100, "phrase": "Player to score, recorded picks before the match (1): 1 on Ilias Akhomach Chakkour to score" } ] } ], "predictions_before_kickoff": 39, "majority_threshold": { "min_predictions": 5, "min_share_percent": 60.0 } }, "teams_prev_next": [ { "side": "home", "team": "Villarreal", "team_url": "/football/teams/villarreal/", "participant_id": "u-0cf64d50afbe", "previous": { "kickoff": "2026-10-24T16:30:00.000Z", "name": "Valencia vs Villarreal", "url": "/football/matches/valencia-vs-villarreal-2026-10-24/", "competition": "LaLiga", "state": "played", "score": "1-2" }, "next": { "kickoff": "2026-11-03T20:00:00.000Z", "name": "Villarreal vs Paris Saint-Germain", "url": "/football/matches/villarreal-vs-paris-saint-germain-2026-11-03/", "competition": "UEFA Champions League", "state": "played", "score": "0-6" }, "why": null }, { "side": "away", "team": "Espanyol", "team_url": "/football/teams/espanyol/", "participant_id": "u-d4216545751a", "previous": { "kickoff": "2026-10-24T14:15:00.000Z", "name": "Real Racing Club vs Espanyol", "url": "/football/matches/real-racing-club-vs-espanyol-2026-10-24/", "competition": "LaLiga", "state": "played", "score": "2-1" }, "next": { "kickoff": "2026-11-07T15:15:00.000Z", "name": "Espanyol vs Deportivo de A Coruña", "url": "/football/matches/espanyol-vs-deportivo-de-a-coruna-2026-11-07/", "competition": "LaLiga", "state": "played", "score": "0-0" }, "why": null } ] }, "number_sets": [ { "set": "match.market_line.percent", "entity": "/football/matches/villarreal-vs-espanyol-2026-10-30/|1x2|1", "value": 69, "where": null, "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z" }, { "set": "match.market_line.percent", "entity": "/football/matches/villarreal-vs-espanyol-2026-10-30/|1x2|X", "value": 18, "where": null, "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z" }, { "set": "match.market_line.percent", "entity": "/football/matches/villarreal-vs-espanyol-2026-10-30/|1x2|2", "value": 13, "where": null, "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z" }, { "set": "match.recorded_price.percent", "entity": "/football/matches/villarreal-vs-espanyol-2026-10-30/|Both teams to score|no", "value": 48, "where": null, "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z" }, { "set": "match.recorded_price.percent", "entity": "/football/matches/villarreal-vs-espanyol-2026-10-30/|Both teams to score|yes", "value": 60, "where": null, "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z" }, { "set": "match.recorded_price.percent", "entity": "/football/matches/villarreal-vs-espanyol-2026-10-30/|Over/Under 10.5 corners|over 10.5", "value": 45, "where": null, "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z" }, { "set": "match.recorded_price.percent", "entity": "/football/matches/villarreal-vs-espanyol-2026-10-30/|Over/Under 2.5 goals|over 2.5", "value": 67, "where": null, "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z" }, { "set": "match.recorded_price.percent", "entity": "/football/matches/villarreal-vs-espanyol-2026-10-30/|Over/Under 3.5 goals|under 3.5", "value": 60, "where": null, "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z" }, { "set": "match.recorded_price.percent", "entity": "/football/matches/villarreal-vs-espanyol-2026-10-30/|Over/Under 4.5 cards|over 4.5", "value": 58, "where": null, "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z" }, { "set": "match.recorded_price.percent", "entity": "/football/matches/villarreal-vs-espanyol-2026-10-30/|Team goals over/under 1.5|Villarreal over 1.5", "value": 73, "where": null, "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z" }, { "set": "match.before_kickoff.market", "entity": "/football/matches/villarreal-vs-espanyol-2026-10-30/|1X2, match result", "value": 14, "where": null, "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z" }, { "set": "match.before_kickoff.leader_share_percent", "entity": "/football/matches/villarreal-vs-espanyol-2026-10-30/|1X2, match result", "value": 100, "where": null, "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z" }, { "set": "match.before_kickoff.selection", "entity": "/football/matches/villarreal-vs-espanyol-2026-10-30/|1X2, match result|Villarreal", "value": 14, "where": null, "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z" }, { "set": "match.before_kickoff.market", "entity": "/football/matches/villarreal-vs-espanyol-2026-10-30/|Over/Under 2.5 goals", "value": 4, "where": null, "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z" }, { "set": "match.before_kickoff.leader_share_percent", "entity": "/football/matches/villarreal-vs-espanyol-2026-10-30/|Over/Under 2.5 goals", "value": 100, "where": null, "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z" }, { "set": "match.before_kickoff.selection", "entity": "/football/matches/villarreal-vs-espanyol-2026-10-30/|Over/Under 2.5 goals|over 2.5", "value": 4, "where": null, "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z" }, { "set": "match.before_kickoff.market", "entity": "/football/matches/villarreal-vs-espanyol-2026-10-30/|Over/Under 3.5 goals", "value": 3, "where": null, "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z" }, { "set": "match.before_kickoff.leader_share_percent", "entity": "/football/matches/villarreal-vs-espanyol-2026-10-30/|Over/Under 3.5 goals", "value": 100, "where": null, "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z" }, { "set": "match.before_kickoff.selection", "entity": "/football/matches/villarreal-vs-espanyol-2026-10-30/|Over/Under 3.5 goals|under 3.5", "value": 3, "where": null, "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z" }, { "set": "match.before_kickoff.market", "entity": "/football/matches/villarreal-vs-espanyol-2026-10-30/|Over/Under 4.5 cards", "value": 2, "where": null, "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z" }, { "set": "match.before_kickoff.leader_share_percent", "entity": "/football/matches/villarreal-vs-espanyol-2026-10-30/|Over/Under 4.5 cards", "value": 100, "where": null, "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z" }, { "set": "match.before_kickoff.selection", "entity": "/football/matches/villarreal-vs-espanyol-2026-10-30/|Over/Under 4.5 cards|over 4.5", "value": 2, "where": null, "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z" }, { "set": "match.before_kickoff.market", "entity": "/football/matches/villarreal-vs-espanyol-2026-10-30/|Team goals over/under 1.5", "value": 2, "where": null, "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z" }, { "set": "match.before_kickoff.leader_share_percent", "entity": "/football/matches/villarreal-vs-espanyol-2026-10-30/|Team goals over/under 1.5", "value": 100, "where": null, "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z" }, { "set": "match.before_kickoff.selection", "entity": "/football/matches/villarreal-vs-espanyol-2026-10-30/|Team goals over/under 1.5|Villarreal over 1.5", "value": 2, "where": null, "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z" }, { "set": "match.before_kickoff.market", "entity": "/football/matches/villarreal-vs-espanyol-2026-10-30/|Over/Under 10.5 corners", "value": 1, "where": null, "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z" }, { "set": "match.before_kickoff.leader_share_percent", "entity": "/football/matches/villarreal-vs-espanyol-2026-10-30/|Over/Under 10.5 corners", "value": 100, "where": null, "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z" }, { "set": "match.before_kickoff.selection", "entity": "/football/matches/villarreal-vs-espanyol-2026-10-30/|Over/Under 10.5 corners|over 10.5", "value": 1, "where": null, "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z" }, { "set": "match.before_kickoff.market", "entity": "/football/matches/villarreal-vs-espanyol-2026-10-30/|Over/Under 4.5 goals", "value": 1, "where": null, "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z" }, { "set": "match.before_kickoff.leader_share_percent", "entity": "/football/matches/villarreal-vs-espanyol-2026-10-30/|Over/Under 4.5 goals", "value": 100, "where": null, "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z" }, { "set": "match.before_kickoff.selection", "entity": "/football/matches/villarreal-vs-espanyol-2026-10-30/|Over/Under 4.5 goals|under 4.5", "value": 1, "where": null, "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z" }, { "set": "match.before_kickoff.market", "entity": "/football/matches/villarreal-vs-espanyol-2026-10-30/|Both teams to score", "value": 5, "where": null, "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z" }, { "set": "match.before_kickoff.leader_share_percent", "entity": "/football/matches/villarreal-vs-espanyol-2026-10-30/|Both teams to score", "value": 80, "where": null, "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z" }, { "set": "match.before_kickoff.selection", 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