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 "heading": "Vancouver Whitecaps vs San Diego FC: recorded predictions and results",
 "description": "Vancouver Whitecaps vs San Diego FC, 29 October 2026. Final score 4-1 · MLS: 7 distinct predictions from 5 authors.",
 "first_paragraph": {
  "body": "Vancouver Whitecaps finished 4-1 against San Diego FC. The recorded predictions are listed below by market, each with its own outcome. 1 prediction found after kick-off is shown separately and excluded from the pre-match count. Forecast Record recorded 7 statements from 5 authors on Vancouver Whitecaps vs San Diego FC (MLS, kick-off 29 October 2026): 7 distinct predictions, 6 of the statements recorded before kick-off.",
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  "data": "2026-10-29",
  "source_info": "our own evidence archive",
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  {
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 "event": {
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  "display_name": "Vancouver Whitecaps — San Diego FC",
  "competition_name": "MLS",
  "starts_at": "2026-10-29T02:30:00.000Z",
  "status": "finished",
  "scoreline": "4-1",
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  "result_received_at": "2026-10-29T05:03:22.841Z",
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     "outcome_label": "Vancouver Whitecaps",
     "figure": 3,
     "share": "100.0"
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   "n": 3,
   "author_count": 3,
   "median_odds": "1.43",
   "summary": "Most common recorded selection in this market: Vancouver Whitecaps — 3 of 3 eligible picks (one per author), median stated price 1.43; 1 prediction found after kick-off is excluded from the pre-match count",
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   "contributions": 3,
   "prediction_count": 3,
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   "quote_text": "Über 3,5 Tore\n\nMajor League Soccer\n\n29 Okt.\n03:30\n\nVancouver Whitecaps\n\nVS\n\nSan Diego\n\nNS\n\n1,82\n\nbei\n\nWinamax",
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    "entity_ref": "e-720ec2720a5ebeecc34f3c04",
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   {
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    "type_code": "author_before_match",
    "moment_at": "2026-10-29T02:30:00.000Z",
    "freeze_at": "2026-10-29T04:10:01.639Z",
    "approach": "by_capture_time",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "counting_rule": "1",
    "figures": {
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     "method_version": "2.2",
     "net_points_hundredths": -211382,
     "period_from": "2026-10-10",
     "period_to": "2026-10-28",
     "price_rule": "Our market snapshot",
     "return_percent": "-32.03",
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     "staked_hundredths": 660000,
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      "source_group": "explicit",
      "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals",
      "market_key": "total",
      "choices": [
       {
        "code_name": "over",
        "in_words": "over 3.5",
        "tips": [
         {
          "author_name": "Fabian Schuster",
          "entry_id": "n-3bd773e7aedc34f8363dedd3",
          "outcome_label": "Won",
          "source_group": "tipsters"
         }
        ],
        "figure": 1
       }
      ],
      "n": 1,
      "publisher_count": 1
     }
    ],
    "author_count": 4,
    "below_threshold": {
     "prediction_count": 0,
     "author_count": 0
    },
    "limit": 10
   },
   "chain": {
    "publications": 2,
    "unique": 2,
    "comparable": 2,
    "admissible": 2,
    "contributions": 2
   },
   "differing_choices": 0,
   "visible_who": 1,
   "newcomers_who": 3,
   "newcomers_before": 4,
   "titles_shown": true,
   "legend": "Badges show titles earned before this prediction, by published rules."
  },
  "arguments": {
   "topics": [],
   "against": [],
   "other_languages": 2,
   "other_language_hosts": [
    "sportwetten.bild.de"
   ],
   "mode": "quotes",
   "topics_total": 0,
   "checkable": 0
  },
  "market_label": {
   "favourite_code": "1",
   "favourite": "Vancouver Whitecaps",
   "probabilities": [
    {
     "outcome_label": "1",
     "in_words": "Vancouver Whitecaps",
     "percent_value": 62
    },
    {
     "outcome_label": "X",
     "in_words": "Draw",
     "percent_value": 19
    },
    {
     "outcome_label": "2",
     "in_words": "San Diego FC",
     "percent_value": 19
    }
   ],
   "prices": {
    "1": "1.50",
    "X": "4.82",
    "2": "5.01"
   },
   "group_count": 31,
   "bookmakers": 48,
   "snapshot_at": "2026-10-29T02:30:00.000Z",
   "closing_line": true,
   "first_at": "2026-10-28T02:30:00.000Z",
   "shift_pp": 3.5,
   "phrase": "The market has moved a little since our first snapshot on 28 October 2026: Vancouver Whitecaps 66% then, 62% at kick-off.",
   "technique": "Median across groups of bookmakers, without margin: brands on one platform count once (median within the group); betting exchanges and prediction markets are excluded. Market price from an odds aggregator; the data provider is not named.",
   "t24": {
    "snapshot_at": "2026-10-28T02:30:00.000Z",
    "probabilities": {
     "1": 66,
     "2": 16,
     "X": 19
    }
   },
   "t2": {
    "snapshot_at": "2026-10-29T00:30:00.000Z",
    "probabilities": {
     "1": 66,
     "2": 16,
     "X": 18
    }
   }
  },
  "market_mode": "show",
  "fact_sheet": {
   "tournament": "MLS (United States)",
   "matchday": null,
   "starts_at": "2026-10-29T02:30:00.000Z",
   "form": {
    "home_side": [],
    "away": [
     {
      "res": "D",
      "scoreline": "2-2",
      "opponent": "Seattle Sounders FC",
      "at_home": true,
      "data": "2026-10-25"
     },
     {
      "res": "D",
      "scoreline": "2-2",
      "opponent": "LA Galaxy",
      "at_home": false,
      "data": "2026-10-18"
     },
     {
      "res": "D",
      "scoreline": "3-3",
      "opponent": "Houston Dynamo",
      "at_home": true,
      "data": "2026-10-15"
     },
     {
      "res": "L",
      "scoreline": "1-4",
      "opponent": "New York Red Bulls",
      "at_home": false,
      "data": "2026-10-11"
     },
     {
      "res": "D",
      "scoreline": "3-3",
      "opponent": "Austin FC",
      "at_home": false,
      "data": "2026-09-27"
     }
    ]
   },
   "head_to_head": [],
   "past_cards": [],
   "reach": ""
  },
  "after_match": {
   "scoreline": "4-1",
   "fact_code": "1",
   "row_list": [
    "Match-result predictions from tipsters and sources with 10 or more predictions checked against the final score to date: 3 of 3 matched · Tipsters 1 of 1 · Prediction sites 2 of 2",
    "Most common selection among tipsters and sources with 10 or more predictions checked against the final score to date: Vancouver Whitecaps (3 of 3), matched",
    "Market favourite at kick-off: Vancouver Whitecaps (matched)"
   ],
   "by_group": {
    "websites": {
     "correct": 2,
     "of": 2
    },
    "tipsters": {
     "correct": 1,
     "of": 1
    }
   },
   "placement": null,
   "checks": []
  },
  "prices": [
   {
    "author_name": "Fabian Schuster",
    "choice": "draw or San Diego FC",
    "market_label": "Double chance",
    "author_quoted_price": "2.60",
    "our_snapshot": "2.8400",
    "closing_line": null
   },
   {
    "author_name": "Fabian Schuster",
    "choice": "over 3.5",
    "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals",
    "author_quoted_price": "1.82",
    "our_snapshot": "1.8000",
    "closing_line": null
   }
  ],
  "revisions": [
   "Market 24 hours before kick-off: Vancouver Whitecaps 66%.",
   "Market 2 hours before kick-off: Vancouver Whitecaps 66%.",
   "First published with predictions on 28 October 2026."
  ],
  "titles": {
   "shown": true,
   "legend": "Badges show titles earned before this prediction, by published rules.",
   "frozen_in": "sr-0369d373cb27f895df0c127e"
  },
  "tracker": null,
  "source_groups": {
   "as_of": "2026-10-29T02:30:00.000Z",
   "groups": [
    {
     "key": "prediction_sites",
     "label": "Prediction sites"
    },
    {
     "key": "media",
     "label": "Media"
    },
    {
     "key": "telegram_channels",
     "label": "Telegram channels"
    },
    {
     "key": "private_authors",
     "label": "Independent tipsters"
    }
   ],
   "authors": 4,
   "by_group": [
    {
     "key": "prediction_sites",
     "authors": 1
    },
    {
     "key": "media",
     "authors": 1
    },
    {
     "key": "telegram_channels",
     "authors": 2
    },
    {
     "key": "private_authors",
     "authors": 0
    }
   ],
   "markets": [
    {
     "key": "1x2",
     "label": "Match result",
     "authors": 3,
     "by_group": [
      {
       "key": "prediction_sites",
       "authors": 1
      },
      {
       "key": "media",
       "authors": 0
      },
      {
       "key": "telegram_channels",
       "authors": 2
      },
      {
       "key": "private_authors",
       "authors": 0
      }
     ],
     "choices": [
      {
       "code_name": "1",
       "in_words": "Vancouver Whitecaps",
       "authors": 3,
       "by_group": [
        {
         "key": "prediction_sites",
         "authors": 1
        },
        {
         "key": "media",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "telegram_channels",
         "authors": 2
        },
        {
         "key": "private_authors",
         "authors": 0
        }
       ]
      },
      {
       "code_name": "X",
       "in_words": "Draw",
       "authors": 0,
       "by_group": [
        {
         "key": "prediction_sites",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "media",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "telegram_channels",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "private_authors",
         "authors": 0
        }
       ]
      },
      {
       "code_name": "2",
       "in_words": "San Diego FC",
       "authors": 0,
       "by_group": [
        {
         "key": "prediction_sites",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "media",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "telegram_channels",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "private_authors",
         "authors": 0
        }
       ]
      }
     ]
    },
    {
     "key": "totals",
     "label": "Goal totals",
     "authors": 2,
     "by_group": [
      {
       "key": "prediction_sites",
       "authors": 0
      },
      {
       "key": "media",
       "authors": 1
      },
      {
       "key": "telegram_channels",
       "authors": 1
      },
      {
       "key": "private_authors",
       "authors": 0
      }
     ]
    },
    {
     "key": "other",
     "label": "Handicaps, both teams to score, correct score and other markets",
     "authors": 1,
     "by_group": [
      {
       "key": "prediction_sites",
       "authors": 0
      },
      {
       "key": "media",
       "authors": 1
      },
      {
       "key": "telegram_channels",
       "authors": 0
      },
      {
       "key": "private_authors",
       "authors": 0
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  "market_line": {
   "line_state": "moved",
   "line_frozen": true,
   "phrase": "Market line at kick-off (29 October 2026, 02:30 GMT): Vancouver Whitecaps 62%, draw 19%, San Diego FC 19%. From 28 October 2026, 02:30 GMT to kick-off the line moved 3.5 percentage points (Vancouver Whitecaps down).",
   "line_markets": [
    {
     "market_text": "1X2, match result",
     "market_group": "1x2",
     "line_kind": "median_line",
     "margin_included": false,
     "snapshot_at": "2026-10-29T02:30:00.000Z",
     "closing_line": true,
     "probabilities": [
      {
       "outcome_label": "1",
       "in_words": "Vancouver Whitecaps",
       "percent_value": 62
      },
      {
       "outcome_label": "X",
       "in_words": "Draw",
       "percent_value": 19
      },
      {
       "outcome_label": "2",
       "in_words": "San Diego FC",
       "percent_value": 19
      }
     ],
     "group_count": 31,
     "first_at": "2026-10-28T02:30:00.000Z",
     "first_probabilities": {
      "1": 66,
      "2": 16,
      "X": 19
     },
     "shift_pp": 3.5,
     "shift_outcome": "1",
     "shift_direction": "down",
     "line_state": "moved",
     "phrase": "Market line at kick-off (29 October 2026, 02:30 GMT): Vancouver Whitecaps 62%, draw 19%, San Diego FC 19%. From 28 October 2026, 02:30 GMT to kick-off the line moved 3.5 percentage points (Vancouver Whitecaps down)."
    },
    {
     "market_text": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
     "market_group": "totals",
     "line_kind": "recorded_price",
     "margin_included": true,
     "closing_line": false,
     "price_sides": [
      {
       "choice": "over 2.5",
       "snapshot_price": "1.32",
       "percent_value": 76,
       "snapshot_at": "2026-10-28T05:55:42.022Z",
       "snapshot_count": 1,
       "first_snapshot_price": null,
       "first_at": null,
       "shift_pp": null,
       "shift_direction": null,
       "line_state": "single_snapshot"
      }
     ],
     "line_state": "single_snapshot",
     "phrase": "Over/Under 2.5 goals, over 2.5 goals: market price 1.32 on 28 October 2026, 05:55 GMT (implied 76%, margin included)."
    },
    {
     "market_text": "Over/Under 3.5 goals",
     "market_group": "totals",
     "line_kind": "recorded_price",
     "margin_included": true,
     "closing_line": false,
     "price_sides": [
      {
       "choice": "over 3.5",
       "snapshot_price": "1.80",
       "percent_value": 56,
       "snapshot_at": "2026-10-27T06:15:27.238Z",
       "snapshot_count": 1,
       "first_snapshot_price": null,
       "first_at": null,
       "shift_pp": null,
       "shift_direction": null,
       "line_state": "single_snapshot"
      }
     ],
     "line_state": "single_snapshot",
     "phrase": "Over/Under 3.5 goals, over 3.5 goals: market price 1.80 on 27 October 2026, 06:15 GMT (implied 56%, margin included)."
    }
   ]
  },
  "pre_kickoff_snapshot": {
   "frozen_before_kickoff": true,
   "as_of_moment": "2026-10-29T02:30:00.000Z",
   "starts_at": "2026-10-29T02:30:00.000Z",
   "phrase": "Before kick-off on 29 October 2026, 02:30 GMT: market line at kick-off Vancouver Whitecaps 62%, draw 19%, San Diego FC 19%; 1X2, match result, recorded picks before the match (3): 3 on Vancouver Whitecaps, 0 on the draw, 0 on San Diego FC; Over/Under 2.5 goals, recorded picks before the match (1): 1 on over 2.5 goals; Double chance, recorded picks before the match (1): 1 on draw or San Diego FC.",
   "market_line_brief": {
    "snapshot_at": "2026-10-29T02:30:00.000Z",
    "closing_line": true,
    "probabilities": {
     "1": 62,
     "X": 19,
     "2": 19
    }
   },
   "market_groups": [
    {
     "market_group": "1x2",
     "group_markets": [
      {
       "market_text": "1X2, match result",
       "prediction_count": 3,
       "row_count": 3,
       "market_choices": [
        {
         "choice": "Vancouver Whitecaps",
         "figure": 3
        }
       ],
       "phrase_mode": "listing",
       "leader_choice": null,
       "leader_count": null,
       "share_percent": 100,
       "phrase": "1X2, match result, recorded picks before the match (3): 3 on Vancouver Whitecaps, 0 on the draw, 0 on San Diego FC",
       "sides_1x2": [
        {
         "side": "1",
         "in_words": "Vancouver Whitecaps",
         "figure": 3
        },
        {
         "side": "X",
         "in_words": "draw",
         "figure": 0
        },
        {
         "side": "2",
         "in_words": "San Diego FC",
         "figure": 0
        }
       ]
      }
     ]
    },
    {
     "market_group": "totals",
     "group_markets": [
      {
       "market_text": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
       "prediction_count": 1,
       "row_count": 1,
       "market_choices": [
        {
         "choice": "over 2.5",
         "figure": 1
        }
       ],
       "phrase_mode": "listing",
       "leader_choice": null,
       "leader_count": null,
       "share_percent": 100,
       "phrase": "Over/Under 2.5 goals, recorded picks before the match (1): 1 on over 2.5 goals"
      },
      {
       "market_text": "Over/Under 3.5 goals",
       "prediction_count": 1,
       "row_count": 1,
       "market_choices": [
        {
         "choice": "over 3.5",
         "figure": 1
        }
       ],
       "phrase_mode": "listing",
       "leader_choice": null,
       "leader_count": null,
       "share_percent": 100,
       "phrase": "Over/Under 3.5 goals, recorded picks before the match (1): 1 on over 3.5 goals"
      }
     ]
    },
    {
     "market_group": "other",
     "group_markets": [
      {
       "market_text": "Double chance",
       "prediction_count": 1,
       "row_count": 1,
       "market_choices": [
        {
         "choice": "draw or San Diego FC",
         "figure": 1
        }
       ],
       "phrase_mode": "listing",
       "leader_choice": null,
       "leader_count": null,
       "share_percent": 100,
       "phrase": "Double chance, recorded picks before the match (1): 1 on draw or San Diego FC"
      }
     ]
    }
   ],
   "predictions_before_kickoff": 6,
   "majority_threshold": {
    "min_predictions": 5,
    "min_share_percent": 60.0
   }
  },
  "teams_prev_next": [
   {
    "side": "home",
    "team": "Vancouver Whitecaps",
    "team_url": null,
    "participant_id": "u-f8fd12a6d28c",
    "previous": {
     "kickoff": "2026-10-25T01:30:00.000Z",
     "name": "Colorado Rapids vs Vancouver Whitecaps",
     "url": "/football/matches/colorado-rapids-vs-vancouver-whitecaps-2026-10-25/",
     "competition": "MLS",
     "state": "played",
     "score": "1-0"
    },
    "next": {
     "kickoff": "2026-11-01T20:30:00.000Z",
     "name": "Vancouver Whitecaps vs Seattle Sounders FC",
     "url": "/football/matches/vancouver-whitecaps-vs-seattle-sounders-fc-2026-11-01/",
     "competition": "MLS",
     "state": "played",
     "score": "5-1"
    },
    "why": null
   },
   {
    "side": "away",
    "team": "San Diego FC",
    "team_url": null,
    "participant_id": "u-e40aeef21ce1",
    "previous": {
     "kickoff": "2026-10-25T02:30:00.000Z",
     "name": "San Diego FC vs Seattle Sounders FC",
     "url": null,
     "competition": "MLS",
     "state": "played",
     "score": "2-2"
    },
    "next": {
     "kickoff": "2026-10-31T19:00:00.000Z",
     "name": "St.Louis City vs San Diego FC",
     "url": "/football/matches/st-louis-city-vs-san-diego-fc-2026-10-31/",
     "competition": "MLS",
     "state": "played",
     "score": "0-1"
    },
    "why": null
   }
  ]
 },
 "number_sets": [
  {
   "set": "match.market_line.percent",
   "entity": "/football/matches/vancouver-whitecaps-vs-san-diego-fc-2026-10-29/|1x2|1",
   "value": 62,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.market_line.percent",
   "entity": "/football/matches/vancouver-whitecaps-vs-san-diego-fc-2026-10-29/|1x2|X",
   "value": 19,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.market_line.percent",
   "entity": "/football/matches/vancouver-whitecaps-vs-san-diego-fc-2026-10-29/|1x2|2",
   "value": 19,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.recorded_price.percent",
   "entity": "/football/matches/vancouver-whitecaps-vs-san-diego-fc-2026-10-29/|Over/Under 2.5 goals|over 2.5",
   "value": 76,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.recorded_price.percent",
   "entity": "/football/matches/vancouver-whitecaps-vs-san-diego-fc-2026-10-29/|Over/Under 3.5 goals|over 3.5",
   "value": 56,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.before_kickoff.market",
   "entity": "/football/matches/vancouver-whitecaps-vs-san-diego-fc-2026-10-29/|1X2, match result",
   "value": 3,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.before_kickoff.leader_share_percent",
   "entity": "/football/matches/vancouver-whitecaps-vs-san-diego-fc-2026-10-29/|1X2, match result",
   "value": 100,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.before_kickoff.selection",
   "entity": "/football/matches/vancouver-whitecaps-vs-san-diego-fc-2026-10-29/|1X2, match result|Vancouver Whitecaps",
   "value": 3,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.before_kickoff.selection",
   "entity": "/football/matches/vancouver-whitecaps-vs-san-diego-fc-2026-10-29/|1X2, match result|draw",
   "value": 0,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.before_kickoff.selection",
   "entity": "/football/matches/vancouver-whitecaps-vs-san-diego-fc-2026-10-29/|1X2, match result|San Diego FC",
   "value": 0,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.before_kickoff.market",
   "entity": "/football/matches/vancouver-whitecaps-vs-san-diego-fc-2026-10-29/|Over/Under 2.5 goals",
   "value": 1,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.before_kickoff.leader_share_percent",
   "entity": "/football/matches/vancouver-whitecaps-vs-san-diego-fc-2026-10-29/|Over/Under 2.5 goals",
   "value": 100,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.before_kickoff.selection",
   "entity": "/football/matches/vancouver-whitecaps-vs-san-diego-fc-2026-10-29/|Over/Under 2.5 goals|over 2.5",
   "value": 1,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.before_kickoff.market",
   "entity": "/football/matches/vancouver-whitecaps-vs-san-diego-fc-2026-10-29/|Over/Under 3.5 goals",
   "value": 1,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.before_kickoff.leader_share_percent",
   "entity": "/football/matches/vancouver-whitecaps-vs-san-diego-fc-2026-10-29/|Over/Under 3.5 goals",
   "value": 100,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.before_kickoff.selection",
   "entity": "/football/matches/vancouver-whitecaps-vs-san-diego-fc-2026-10-29/|Over/Under 3.5 goals|over 3.5",
   "value": 1,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.before_kickoff.market",
   "entity": "/football/matches/vancouver-whitecaps-vs-san-diego-fc-2026-10-29/|Double chance",
   "value": 1,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.before_kickoff.leader_share_percent",
   "entity": "/football/matches/vancouver-whitecaps-vs-san-diego-fc-2026-10-29/|Double chance",
   "value": 100,
   "where": null,
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