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 "heading": "Unión La Calera vs Universidad Católica: recorded predictions and results",
 "description": "Unión La Calera vs Universidad Católica, 25 October 2026. Final score 3-1 · Primera División (Chile): 5 distinct predictions from 2 authors.",
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   "quote_text": "Anotará un gol: Fernando Zampedri\n\nFernando Zampedri marcó en sus últimos seis partidos de liga y lidera la tabla de goleadores con 25 tantos en 22 encuentros. Además, convirtió siete goles en 12 enfrentamientos ligueros ante Unión La Calera.\n\n1xBet\n\n1.84",
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    "url": "/football/matches/union-la-calera-vs-universidad-catolica-2026-10-25/",
    "scoreline": "3-1",
    "condition": "finished"
   },
   "market_label": "Double chance",
   "outcome_label": "draw or Universidad Católica",
   "odds_set": {
    "by_author": null,
    "our_snapshot": "1.2800",
    "our_snapshot_at": "2026-10-25T09:17:37.444Z",
    "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot",
    "closing": null,
    "closing_source": null
   },
   "stake_hundredths": 10000,
   "result": "loss",
   "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000,
   "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
   "executed_by": "ours",
   "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
   "withdrawn": false,
   "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
   "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "dates": {
    "fragment_at": "2026-10-23T00:33:13.000Z",
    "fragment_basis": "page",
    "source_page_at": "2026-10-23T00:33:13.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-25T09:19:36.285Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [],
    "flag_words": null,
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
   "origin_detail": null,
   "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": {
    "market_label": "Double chance",
    "choice": "draw or Universidad Católica",
    "author_odds": null,
    "market_key": "double_chance",
    "choice_key": "X2",
    "period": "match",
    "line": null,
    "subject": "goals_total",
    "in_words": "Double chance: draw or Universidad Católica"
   },
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": "loss",
    "scoreline": "3-1",
    "data_status": "measured",
    "cause": null,
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Unión La Calera 3-1 Universidad Católica."
   },
   "settlements": [
    {
     "operation_id": "47c72a2e8b4d4794a8bd2ffb05db4b6116ad5f0548dbd7829872ad85d7dd0f64",
     "series_key": "market_price",
     "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
     "derived": false,
     "site_simulation": true,
     "author_words": true,
     "market_label": "Double chance",
     "choice": "draw or Universidad Católica",
     "decimal_odds": "1.2800",
     "odds_role": "market_price",
     "stake_hundredths": 10000,
     "status": "confirmed",
     "status_text": "Executed",
     "result": "loss",
     "result_words": "Lost",
     "change_hundredths": -10000,
     "executed_at": "2026-10-25T14:31:44.193Z",
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "on_claim_market": true,
     "replaced": false
    }
   ],
   "corrections": [],
   "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
   "authorship": {
    "material_author": "Javier Ortega",
    "publisher": "AS Apuestas — «Pronósticos»",
    "forecaster": "Javier Ortega",
    "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
    "basis": null,
    "status": "not_named",
    "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
    "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
    "evidence_fragment": null,
    "material_url": "https://as.com/apuestas/pronosticos/union-la-calera-vs-universidad-catolica-pronostico-25-10-2026/",
    "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
    "verdict_by": null,
    "verdict_line": null
   },
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-b5aa9aa1fb73c202188bab8a",
   "url": "/authors/javier-ortega/picks/65/#pick-n-b5aa9aa1fb73c202188bab8a",
   "quote_text": "Goles totales\n\nBajo 3,5",
   "fragment_from": 7476,
   "fragment_to": 7499,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "website",
    "url": "https://as.com/apuestas/pronosticos/union-la-calera-vs-universidad-catolica-pronostico-25-10-2026/",
    "display_name": null,
    "speaker": "Javier Ortega",
    "authorship": "channel_owner",
    "media_from_ms": null,
    "bundle_id": "687f61587e759c5a4d75366b6c1a8057ec8c9a1b4286b989cb60b343510ac518",
    "material_removed": false
   },
   "published_at": "2026-10-23T00:33:13.000Z",
   "detected_at": "2026-10-25T09:19:36.285Z",
   "executed_at": "2026-11-07T11:51:29.546Z",
   "statement_class": "unpriced",
   "status": "recognised",
   "cause": null,
   "cause_code": null,
   "event": {
    "event_id": "s-6d1f34684b5e",
    "display_name": "Unión La Calera — Universidad Católica",
    "competition_name": "Primera División (Chile)",
    "starts_at": "2026-10-25T18:00:00.000Z",
    "url": "/football/matches/union-la-calera-vs-universidad-catolica-2026-10-25/",
    "scoreline": "3-1",
    "condition": "finished"
   },
   "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals",
   "outcome_label": "under 3.5",
   "odds_set": {
    "by_author": null,
    "our_snapshot": "1.3250",
    "our_snapshot_at": "2026-10-25T09:17:37.444Z",
    "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot",
    "closing": null,
    "closing_source": null
   },
   "stake_hundredths": 10000,
   "result": "loss",
   "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000,
   "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
   "executed_by": "ours",
   "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
   "withdrawn": false,
   "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
   "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "dates": {
    "fragment_at": "2026-10-23T00:33:13.000Z",
    "fragment_basis": "page",
    "source_page_at": "2026-10-23T00:33:13.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-25T09:19:36.285Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [],
    "flag_words": null,
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
   "origin_detail": null,
   "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": {
    "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals",
    "choice": "under 3.5",
    "author_odds": null,
    "market_key": "total",
    "choice_key": "under",
    "period": "match",
    "line": "3.5",
    "subject": "goals_total",
    "in_words": "Over/Under 3.5 goals: under 3.5"
   },
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": "loss",
    "scoreline": "3-1",
    "data_status": "measured",
    "cause": null,
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Unión La Calera 3-1 Universidad Católica."
   },
   "settlements": [
    {
     "operation_id": "b024197a8d5dd082107656cfd808f499267005daa47d55319931b1f373b43914",
     "series_key": "market_price",
     "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
     "derived": false,
     "site_simulation": true,
     "author_words": true,
     "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals",
     "choice": "under 3.5",
     "decimal_odds": "1.3250",
     "odds_role": "market_price",
     "stake_hundredths": 10000,
     "status": "confirmed",
     "status_text": "Executed",
     "result": "loss",
     "result_words": "Lost",
     "change_hundredths": -10000,
     "executed_at": "2026-11-07T11:51:29.546Z",
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "on_claim_market": true,
     "replaced": false
    }
   ],
   "corrections": [],
   "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
   "authorship": {
    "material_author": "Javier Ortega",
    "publisher": "AS Apuestas — «Pronósticos»",
    "forecaster": "Javier Ortega",
    "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
    "basis": null,
    "status": "not_named",
    "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
    "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
    "evidence_fragment": null,
    "material_url": "https://as.com/apuestas/pronosticos/union-la-calera-vs-universidad-catolica-pronostico-25-10-2026/",
    "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
    "verdict_by": null,
    "verdict_line": null
   },
   "correction": null
  }
 ],
 "record_counts": {
  "dictionary_version": "1",
  "dictionary_url": "/methodology/#words",
  "statements": 5,
  "predictions": 5,
  "authors": 2,
  "statements_before_kickoff": 5,
  "settled_picks": 4,
  "duplicates": 4,
  "junk": {}
 },
 "match_summary": {
  "contract_version": "1",
  "final_score": "3-1",
  "state_words": "finished",
  "distinct_predictions": 5,
  "sources": 2,
  "one_source": false,
  "sentence": "Unión La Calera finished 3-1 against Universidad Católica. The recorded predictions are listed below by market, each with its own outcome.",
  "who_predicted_what": [
   {
    "record_id": "n-1475ae40588591810708fb58",
    "url": "/authors/javier-ortega/picks/64/#pick-n-1475ae40588591810708fb58",
    "author": "Javier Ortega",
    "author_url": "/authors/javier-ortega/",
    "market": "1X2, match result",
    "selection": "Universidad Católica",
    "outcome": "Lost",
    "price": "1.93",
    "published_at": "2026-10-23T00:33:13.000Z",
    "recorded_at": "2026-10-25T09:19:36.285Z",
    "lead_hours": 8.7,
    "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "outcome_reason": null,
    "before_kickoff": true,
    "attribution": null
   },
   {
    "record_id": "n-caaa3e190c3f74b19ce6fb9a",
    "url": "/authors/javier-ortega/picks/65/#pick-n-caaa3e190c3f74b19ce6fb9a",
    "author": "Javier Ortega",
    "author_url": "/authors/javier-ortega/",
    "market": "Double chance",
    "selection": "draw or Universidad Católica",
    "outcome": "Lost",
    "price": null,
    "published_at": "2026-10-23T00:33:13.000Z",
    "recorded_at": "2026-10-25T09:19:36.285Z",
    "lead_hours": 8.7,
    "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "outcome_reason": null,
    "before_kickoff": true,
    "attribution": null
   },
   {
    "record_id": "n-0c866493a6d3e4d301079dd8",
    "url": "/authors/javier-ortega/picks/64/#pick-n-0c866493a6d3e4d301079dd8",
    "author": "Javier Ortega",
    "author_url": "/authors/javier-ortega/",
    "market": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
    "selection": "under 2.5",
    "outcome": "Lost",
    "price": null,
    "published_at": "2026-10-23T00:33:13.000Z",
    "recorded_at": "2026-10-25T09:19:36.285Z",
    "lead_hours": 8.7,
    "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "outcome_reason": null,
    "before_kickoff": true,
    "attribution": null
   },
   {
    "record_id": "n-b5aa9aa1fb73c202188bab8a",
    "url": "/authors/javier-ortega/picks/65/#pick-n-b5aa9aa1fb73c202188bab8a",
    "author": "Javier Ortega",
    "author_url": "/authors/javier-ortega/",
    "market": "Over/Under 3.5 goals",
    "selection": "under 3.5",
    "outcome": "Lost",
    "price": null,
    "published_at": "2026-10-23T00:33:13.000Z",
    "recorded_at": "2026-10-25T09:19:36.285Z",
    "lead_hours": 8.7,
    "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "outcome_reason": null,
    "before_kickoff": true,
    "attribution": null
   },
   {
    "record_id": "n-52cffec62ca4e930072f2e08",
    "url": "/authors/benjamin-martos/picks/4/#pick-n-52cffec62ca4e930072f2e08",
    "author": "Benjamín Martos",
    "author_url": "/authors/benjamin-martos/",
    "market": "Player to score",
    "selection": "Fernando Zampedri to score",
    "outcome": "Not settled",
    "price": "1.84",
    "published_at": "2026-10-24T18:00:00.000Z",
    "recorded_at": "2026-10-24T18:10:22.202Z",
    "lead_hours": 23.8,
    "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "outcome_reason": "the result data received so far does not include the player statistics this market needs",
    "before_kickoff": true,
    "attribution": null
   }
  ],
  "by_market": [
   {
    "market": "1X2, match result",
    "predictions": 1,
    "sources": 1,
    "one_source": true,
    "eligible": 1,
    "different_selections": 0,
    "selections": [
     {
      "selection": "Universidad Católica",
      "predictions": 1,
      "eligible": 1
     }
    ],
    "median_odds": "1.93",
    "odds_from_author": 1,
    "odds_from_snapshot": 0
   },
   {
    "market": "Double chance",
    "predictions": 1,
    "sources": 1,
    "one_source": true,
    "eligible": 1,
    "different_selections": 0,
    "selections": [
     {
      "selection": "draw or Universidad Católica",
      "predictions": 1,
      "eligible": 1
     }
    ],
    "median_odds": "1.28",
    "odds_from_author": 0,
    "odds_from_snapshot": 1
   },
   {
    "market": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
    "predictions": 1,
    "sources": 1,
    "one_source": true,
    "eligible": 1,
    "different_selections": 0,
    "selections": [
     {
      "selection": "under 2.5",
      "predictions": 1,
      "eligible": 1
     }
    ],
    "median_odds": "1.91",
    "odds_from_author": 0,
    "odds_from_snapshot": 1
   },
   {
    "market": "Over/Under 3.5 goals",
    "predictions": 1,
    "sources": 1,
    "one_source": true,
    "eligible": 1,
    "different_selections": 0,
    "selections": [
     {
      "selection": "under 3.5",
      "predictions": 1,
      "eligible": 1
     }
    ],
    "median_odds": "1.32",
    "odds_from_author": 0,
    "odds_from_snapshot": 1
   },
   {
    "market": "Player to score",
    "predictions": 1,
    "sources": 1,
    "one_source": true,
    "eligible": 1,
    "different_selections": 0,
    "selections": [
     {
      "selection": "Fernando Zampedri to score",
      "predictions": 1,
      "eligible": 1
     }
    ],
    "median_odds": "1.84",
    "odds_from_author": 1,
    "odds_from_snapshot": 0
   }
  ],
  "found_after_kickoff": 0,
  "selections_before_kickoff": 5,
  "independent_sources": 2,
  "same_material_repeats": 0,
  "sources_list": [
   {
    "source": "as.com",
    "materials": 1,
    "authors": 1,
    "selections": 4
   },
   {
    "source": "redgol.cl",
    "materials": 1,
    "authors": 1,
    "selections": 1
   }
  ],
  "what_happened": {
   "won": 0,
   "lost": 4,
   "void": 0,
   "half_won": 0,
   "half_lost": 0,
   "not_settled": 1
  },
  "scenarios": [
   {
    "author": "Javier Ortega",
    "author_url": "/authors/javier-ortega/",
    "picks": 4,
    "record_ids": [
     "n-1475ae40588591810708fb58",
     "n-caaa3e190c3f74b19ce6fb9a",
     "n-0c866493a6d3e4d301079dd8",
     "n-b5aa9aa1fb73c202188bab8a"
    ],
    "markets": [
     "1X2, match result",
     "Double chance",
     "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
     "Over/Under 3.5 goals"
    ],
    "selections": [
     "Universidad Católica",
     "draw or Universidad Católica",
     "under 2.5",
     "under 3.5"
    ],
    "prices": [
     "1.93",
     null,
     null,
     null
    ],
    "outcomes": [
     "Lost",
     "Lost",
     "Lost",
     "Lost"
    ],
    "scenario": "Universidad Católica · draw or Universidad Católica · under 2.5 goals · under 3.5 goals",
    "result": "any_wrong",
    "recorded_at": "2026-10-25T09:19:36.285Z",
    "lead_hours": 8.7,
    "evidence_urls": [
     "/authors/javier-ortega/picks/64/#pick-n-1475ae40588591810708fb58",
     "/authors/javier-ortega/picks/65/#pick-n-caaa3e190c3f74b19ce6fb9a",
     "/authors/javier-ortega/picks/64/#pick-n-0c866493a6d3e4d301079dd8",
     "/authors/javier-ortega/picks/65/#pick-n-b5aa9aa1fb73c202188bab8a"
    ]
   }
  ],
  "lead_time": {
   "contract_version": 1,
   "threshold_hours": 2.0,
   "picks": 5,
   "before_kickoff": 5,
   "after_kickoff": 0,
   "at_least_2h": 5,
   "share_2h_plus": 100.0,
   "median_hours": 8.7,
   "min_hours": 8.7,
   "max_hours": 23.8,
   "words": "Hours between the moment we recorded the pick and kick-off; the share counts picks recorded at least two hours before kick-off."
  }
 },
 "title_tag": "Unión La Calera vs Universidad Católica: Results — 25 Oct 2026",
 "snapshots": {
  "counting_rule": "1",
  "early": {
   "id": "sr-007466616d3b184e95427088",
   "type_code": "early",
   "moment_at": "2026-10-22T17:37:32.998Z",
   "freeze_at": "2026-10-22T17:37:32.998Z",
   "approach": "at_the_time",
   "methodology_version": null,
   "counting_rule": "1",
   "figures": {
    "chain": {
     "admissible": 2,
     "publications": 2,
     "comparable": 2,
     "unique": 2,
     "contributions": 2
    },
    "group_list": [
     {
      "phrase": "Both teams to score — Most common recorded selection: yes (1 of 1 eligible)",
      "source_group": "both_teams_score|*|match|*|*#explicit",
      "leader": "yes",
      "n": 1,
      "market_label": "Both teams to score",
      "row_list": [
       {
        "figure": 1,
        "in_words": "yes",
        "choice": "yes"
       }
      ]
     },
     {
      "phrase": "Correct score — Most common recorded selection: Unión La Calera 1-0 Universidad Católica (1 of 1 eligible)",
      "source_group": "correct_score_market|*|match|*|*#explicit",
      "leader": "1-0",
      "n": 1,
      "market_label": "Correct score",
      "row_list": [
       {
        "figure": 1,
        "in_words": "Unión La Calera 1-0 Universidad Católica",
        "choice": "1-0"
       }
      ]
     }
    ],
    "counting_rule": "1",
    "different_products": 0,
    "differing_choices": 0,
    "not_counted": 0
   },
   "composition": [
    "n-4153a13827b5ed513d7ed00e",
    "n-cf5d61d06ceb7d8d2dd4099d"
   ],
   "hash": "ccb5f8e8a497b0dbbc3995177a8422e6c284207802f576a675928ee6e5b8a9c5"
  },
  "closing_line": {
   "id": "sr-b078bc0e22e061df5da52c94",
   "type_code": "closing_price",
   "moment_at": "2026-10-25T18:00:00.000Z",
   "freeze_at": "2026-10-25T23:09:00.125Z",
   "approach": "by_capture_time",
   "methodology_version": null,
   "counting_rule": "1",
   "figures": {
    "chain": {
     "admissible": 8,
     "publications": 10,
     "comparable": 8,
     "unique": 8,
     "contributions": 8
    },
    "group_list": [
     {
      "phrase": "1X2, match result — Most common recorded selection: Universidad Católica (2 of 2 eligible)",
      "source_group": "1x2|*|match|*|*#explicit",
      "leader": "2",
      "n": 2,
      "market_label": "1X2, match result",
      "row_list": [
       {
        "figure": 2,
        "in_words": "Universidad Católica",
        "choice": "2"
       }
      ]
     },
     {
      "phrase": "1X2, match result, second half — Most common recorded selection: Universidad Católica (1 of 1 eligible)",
      "source_group": "1x2|*|second_half|*|*#explicit",
      "leader": "2",
      "n": 1,
      "market_label": "1X2, match result, second half",
      "row_list": [
       {
        "figure": 1,
        "in_words": "Universidad Católica",
        "choice": "2"
       }
      ]
     },
     {
      "phrase": "Double chance — Most common recorded selection: draw or Universidad Católica (1 of 1 eligible)",
      "source_group": "double_chance|*|match|*|*#explicit",
      "leader": "X2",
      "n": 1,
      "market_label": "Double chance",
      "row_list": [
       {
        "figure": 1,
        "in_words": "draw or Universidad Católica",
        "choice": "X2"
       }
      ]
     },
     {
      "phrase": "Player to score — Most common recorded selection: da (1 of 1 eligible)",
      "source_group": "player_to_score|*|match|ig-f6ec9d93c530|*#explicit",
      "leader": "yes",
      "n": 1,
      "market_label": "Player to score",
      "row_list": [
       {
        "figure": 1,
        "in_words": "da",
        "choice": "yes"
       }
      ]
     },
     {
      "phrase": "Both teams to score — Most common recorded selection: yes (1 of 1 eligible)",
      "source_group": "both_teams_score|*|match|*|*#explicit",
      "leader": "yes",
      "n": 1,
      "market_label": "Both teams to score",
      "row_list": [
       {
        "figure": 1,
        "in_words": "yes",
        "choice": "yes"
       }
      ]
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     "source_type": "media",
     "own_page": true,
     "trust_settled_count": 1057
    },
    {
     "entry_id": "n-52cffec62ca4e930072f2e08",
     "author_name": "Benjamín Martos",
     "author_href": "/authors/benjamin-martos/",
     "source_group": "tipsters",
     "trust_tier": "probation",
     "market_label": "Player to score",
     "market_key": "player_to_score",
     "choice": "Fernando Zampedri to score",
     "choice_key": "yes",
     "byline": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
     "logged_at": "2026-10-24T18:10:22.202Z",
     "posted_at": "2026-10-24T18:00:00.000Z",
     "author_quoted_price": "1.84",
     "our_snapshot": "1.9000",
     "closing_line": null,
     "outcome_label": "Not settled",
     "pre_match": true,
     "outcome_pending_reason": "the result data received so far does not include the player statistics this market needs",
     "proof": "/authors/benjamin-martos/picks/4/#pick-n-52cffec62ca4e930072f2e08",
     "original": null,
     "contradictory": false,
     "authorship": null,
     "source_type": "media",
     "own_page": true,
     "trust_settled_count": 17
    },
    {
     "entry_id": "n-caaa3e190c3f74b19ce6fb9a",
     "author_name": "Javier Ortega",
     "author_href": "/authors/javier-ortega/",
     "source_group": "tipsters",
     "trust_tier": "probation",
     "market_label": "Double chance",
     "market_key": "double_chance",
     "choice": "draw or Universidad Católica",
     "choice_key": "X2",
     "byline": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
     "logged_at": "2026-10-25T09:19:36.285Z",
     "posted_at": "2026-10-23T00:33:13.000Z",
     "author_quoted_price": null,
     "our_snapshot": "1.2800",
     "closing_line": null,
     "outcome_label": "Lost",
     "pre_match": true,
     "proof": "/authors/javier-ortega/picks/65/#pick-n-caaa3e190c3f74b19ce6fb9a",
     "original": null,
     "contradictory": false,
     "authorship": null,
     "source_type": "media",
     "own_page": true,
     "trust_settled_count": 1057
    },
    {
     "entry_id": "n-0c866493a6d3e4d301079dd8",
     "author_name": "Javier Ortega",
     "author_href": "/authors/javier-ortega/",
     "source_group": "tipsters",
     "trust_tier": "probation",
     "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
     "market_key": "total",
     "choice": "under 2.5",
     "choice_key": "under",
     "byline": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
     "logged_at": "2026-10-25T09:19:36.285Z",
     "posted_at": "2026-10-23T00:33:13.000Z",
     "author_quoted_price": null,
     "our_snapshot": "1.9100",
     "closing_line": null,
     "outcome_label": "Lost",
     "pre_match": true,
     "proof": "/authors/javier-ortega/picks/64/#pick-n-0c866493a6d3e4d301079dd8",
     "original": null,
     "contradictory": false,
     "authorship": null,
     "source_type": "media",
     "own_page": true,
     "trust_settled_count": 1057
    },
    {
     "entry_id": "n-b5aa9aa1fb73c202188bab8a",
     "author_name": "Javier Ortega",
     "author_href": "/authors/javier-ortega/",
     "source_group": "tipsters",
     "trust_tier": "probation",
     "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals",
     "market_key": "total",
     "choice": "under 3.5",
     "choice_key": "under",
     "byline": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
     "logged_at": "2026-10-25T09:19:36.285Z",
     "posted_at": "2026-10-23T00:33:13.000Z",
     "author_quoted_price": null,
     "our_snapshot": "1.3250",
     "closing_line": null,
     "outcome_label": "Lost",
     "pre_match": true,
     "proof": "/authors/javier-ortega/picks/65/#pick-n-b5aa9aa1fb73c202188bab8a",
     "original": null,
     "contradictory": false,
     "authorship": null,
     "source_type": "media",
     "own_page": true,
     "trust_settled_count": 1057
    }
   ],
   "not_counted": [],
   "after_start": [],
   "forecaster_split": {
    "contracts": [
     {
      "contract_code": "1x2|*|match|*|*#explicit",
      "source_group": "explicit",
      "market_label": "1X2, match result",
      "market_key": "1x2",
      "choices": [
       {
        "code_name": "1",
        "in_words": "Unión La Calera",
        "tips": [],
        "figure": 0
       },
       {
        "code_name": "X",
        "in_words": "Draw",
        "tips": [],
        "figure": 0
       },
       {
        "code_name": "2",
        "in_words": "Universidad Católica",
        "tips": [
         {
          "author_name": "Javier Ortega",
          "entry_id": "n-1475ae40588591810708fb58",
          "outcome_label": "Lost",
          "source_group": "tipsters"
         }
        ],
        "figure": 1
       }
      ],
      "n": 1,
      "publisher_count": 1
     },
     {
      "contract_code": "double_chance|*|match|*|*#explicit",
      "source_group": "explicit",
      "market_label": "Double chance",
      "market_key": "double_chance",
      "choices": [
       {
        "code_name": "X2",
        "in_words": "draw or Universidad Católica",
        "tips": [
         {
          "author_name": "Javier Ortega",
          "entry_id": "n-caaa3e190c3f74b19ce6fb9a",
          "outcome_label": "Lost",
          "source_group": "tipsters"
         }
        ],
        "figure": 1
       }
      ],
      "n": 1,
      "publisher_count": 1
     },
     {
      "contract_code": "total|2.5|match|*|*#explicit",
      "source_group": "explicit",
      "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
      "market_key": "total",
      "choices": [
       {
        "code_name": "under",
        "in_words": "under 2.5",
        "tips": [
         {
          "author_name": "Javier Ortega",
          "entry_id": "n-0c866493a6d3e4d301079dd8",
          "outcome_label": "Lost",
          "source_group": "tipsters"
         }
        ],
        "figure": 1
       }
      ],
      "n": 1,
      "publisher_count": 1
     },
     {
      "contract_code": "total|3.5|match|*|*#explicit",
      "source_group": "explicit",
      "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals",
      "market_key": "total",
      "choices": [
       {
        "code_name": "under",
        "in_words": "under 3.5",
        "tips": [
         {
          "author_name": "Javier Ortega",
          "entry_id": "n-b5aa9aa1fb73c202188bab8a",
          "outcome_label": "Lost",
          "source_group": "tipsters"
         }
        ],
        "figure": 1
       }
      ],
      "n": 1,
      "publisher_count": 1
     },
     {
      "contract_code": "player_to_score|*|match|ig-f6ec9d93c530|*#explicit",
      "source_group": "explicit",
      "market_label": "Player to score",
      "market_key": "player_to_score",
      "choices": [
       {
        "code_name": "yes",
        "in_words": "Fernando Zampedri to score",
        "tips": [
         {
          "author_name": "Benjamín Martos",
          "entry_id": "n-52cffec62ca4e930072f2e08",
          "outcome_label": "Not settled",
          "source_group": "tipsters"
         }
        ],
        "figure": 1
       }
      ],
      "n": 1,
      "publisher_count": 1
     }
    ],
    "author_count": 2,
    "below_threshold": {
     "prediction_count": 0,
     "author_count": 0
    },
    "limit": 10
   },
   "chain": null,
   "differing_choices": 0,
   "visible_who": 0,
   "newcomers_who": 2,
   "newcomers_before": 5,
   "titles_shown": true,
   "legend": "Badges show titles earned before this prediction, by published rules."
  },
  "arguments": {
   "topics": [],
   "against": [],
   "other_languages": 0,
   "other_language_hosts": [],
   "mode": "quotes",
   "topics_total": 0,
   "checkable": 0
  },
  "market_label": {
   "favourite_code": "2",
   "favourite": "Universidad Católica",
   "probabilities": [
    {
     "outcome_label": "1",
     "in_words": "Unión La Calera",
     "percent_value": 27
    },
    {
     "outcome_label": "X",
     "in_words": "Draw",
     "percent_value": 27
    },
    {
     "outcome_label": "2",
     "in_words": "Universidad Católica",
     "percent_value": 46
    }
   ],
   "prices": {
    "1": "3.46",
    "X": "3.45",
    "2": "1.99"
   },
   "group_count": 13,
   "bookmakers": 15,
   "snapshot_at": "2026-10-25T18:00:00.000Z",
   "closing_line": true,
   "first_at": "2026-10-22T10:09:25.695Z",
   "shift_pp": 1.3,
   "phrase": "The market has barely changed its mind since our first snapshot on 22 October 2026: Universidad Católica 48% then, 46% at kick-off.",
   "technique": "Median across groups of bookmakers, without margin: brands on one platform count once (median within the group); betting exchanges and prediction markets are excluded. Market price from an odds aggregator; the data provider is not named.",
   "t24": {
    "snapshot_at": "2026-10-24T18:00:00.000Z",
    "probabilities": {
     "1": 26,
     "2": 47,
     "X": 27
    }
   },
   "t2": {
    "snapshot_at": "2026-10-25T16:00:00.000Z",
    "probabilities": {
     "1": 27,
     "2": 46,
     "X": 27
    }
   }
  },
  "market_mode": "show",
  "fact_sheet": {
   "tournament": "Primera División (Chile)",
   "matchday": "Matchweek 25",
   "starts_at": "2026-10-25T18:00:00.000Z",
   "form": {
    "home_side": [
     {
      "res": "D",
      "scoreline": "1-1",
      "opponent": "Concepcion",
      "at_home": false,
      "data": "2026-10-11"
     },
     {
      "res": "W",
      "scoreline": "1-0",
      "opponent": "Deportes Limache",
      "at_home": true,
      "data": "2026-09-15"
     },
     {
      "res": "L",
      "scoreline": "1-2",
      "opponent": "O'Higgins",
      "at_home": false,
      "data": "2026-09-06"
     },
     {
      "res": "L",
      "scoreline": "0-1",
      "opponent": "La Serena",
      "at_home": true,
      "data": "2026-08-31"
     },
     {
      "res": "D",
      "scoreline": "0-0",
      "opponent": "Audax Italiano",
      "at_home": false,
      "data": "2026-08-22"
     }
    ],
    "away": [
     {
      "res": "W",
      "scoreline": "3-2",
      "opponent": "Palestino",
      "at_home": false,
      "data": "2026-09-13"
     },
     {
      "res": "W",
      "scoreline": "1-0",
      "opponent": "Everton",
      "at_home": false,
      "data": "2026-09-05"
     },
     {
      "res": "W",
      "scoreline": "3-2",
      "opponent": "O'Higgins",
      "at_home": true,
      "data": "2026-09-01"
     },
     {
      "res": "W",
      "scoreline": "2-1",
      "opponent": "Coquimbo Unido",
      "at_home": false,
      "data": "2026-08-26"
     },
     {
      "res": "L",
      "scoreline": "1-2",
      "opponent": "Ñublense",
      "at_home": true,
      "data": "2026-08-23"
     }
    ]
   },
   "head_to_head": [
    {
     "data": "2026-04-21",
     "match_list": "Universidad Católica 1-2 Unión La Calera",
     "event_id": "sm:19645016"
    }
   ],
   "past_cards": [],
   "reach": ""
  },
  "after_match": {
   "scoreline": "3-1",
   "fact_code": "1",
   "row_list": [
    "Match-result predictions from tipsters and sources with 10 or more predictions checked against the final score to date: 0 of 1 matched",
    "Most common selection among tipsters and sources with 10 or more predictions checked against the final score to date: Universidad Católica (1 of 1), missed",
    "Market favourite at kick-off: Universidad Católica (missed)"
   ],
   "by_group": {
    "tipsters": {
     "correct": 0,
     "of": 1
    }
   },
   "placement": null,
   "checks": []
  },
  "prices": [],
  "revisions": [
   "Market 24 hours before kick-off: Universidad Católica 47%.",
   "Market 2 hours before kick-off: Universidad Católica 46%.",
   "First published with predictions on 22 October 2026."
  ],
  "titles": {
   "shown": true,
   "legend": "Badges show titles earned before this prediction, by published rules.",
   "frozen_in": "sr-b078bc0e22e061df5da52c94"
  },
  "tracker": null,
  "source_groups": {
   "as_of": "2026-10-25T18:00:00.000Z",
   "groups": [
    {
     "key": "prediction_sites",
     "label": "Prediction sites"
    },
    {
     "key": "media",
     "label": "Media"
    },
    {
     "key": "telegram_channels",
     "label": "Telegram channels"
    },
    {
     "key": "private_authors",
     "label": "Independent tipsters"
    }
   ],
   "authors": 2,
   "by_group": [
    {
     "key": "prediction_sites",
     "authors": 0
    },
    {
     "key": "media",
     "authors": 2
    },
    {
     "key": "telegram_channels",
     "authors": 0
    },
    {
     "key": "private_authors",
     "authors": 0
    }
   ],
   "markets": [
    {
     "key": "1x2",
     "label": "Match result",
     "authors": 1,
     "by_group": [
      {
       "key": "prediction_sites",
       "authors": 0
      },
      {
       "key": "media",
       "authors": 1
      },
      {
       "key": "telegram_channels",
       "authors": 0
      },
      {
       "key": "private_authors",
       "authors": 0
      }
     ],
     "choices": [
      {
       "code_name": "1",
       "in_words": "Unión La Calera",
       "authors": 0,
       "by_group": [
        {
         "key": "prediction_sites",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "media",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "telegram_channels",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "private_authors",
         "authors": 0
        }
       ]
      },
      {
       "code_name": "X",
       "in_words": "Draw",
       "authors": 0,
       "by_group": [
        {
         "key": "prediction_sites",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "media",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "telegram_channels",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "private_authors",
         "authors": 0
        }
       ]
      },
      {
       "code_name": "2",
       "in_words": "Universidad Católica",
       "authors": 1,
       "by_group": [
        {
         "key": "prediction_sites",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "media",
         "authors": 1
        },
        {
         "key": "telegram_channels",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "private_authors",
         "authors": 0
        }
       ]
      }
     ]
    },
    {
     "key": "totals",
     "label": "Goal totals",
     "authors": 1,
     "by_group": [
      {
       "key": "prediction_sites",
       "authors": 0
      },
      {
       "key": "media",
       "authors": 1
      },
      {
       "key": "telegram_channels",
       "authors": 0
      },
      {
       "key": "private_authors",
       "authors": 0
      }
     ]
    },
    {
     "key": "other",
     "label": "Handicaps, both teams to score, correct score and other markets",
     "authors": 2,
     "by_group": [
      {
       "key": "prediction_sites",
       "authors": 0
      },
      {
       "key": "media",
       "authors": 2
      },
      {
       "key": "telegram_channels",
       "authors": 0
      },
      {
       "key": "private_authors",
       "authors": 0
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  "market_line": {
   "line_state": "barely_moved",
   "line_frozen": true,
   "phrase": "Market line at kick-off (25 October 2026, 18:00 GMT): Unión La Calera 27%, draw 27%, Universidad Católica 46%. From 22 October 2026, 11:09 BST to kick-off it barely moved: the largest change was 1.3 percentage points (Unión La Calera up).",
   "line_markets": [
    {
     "market_text": "1X2, match result",
     "market_group": "1x2",
     "line_kind": "median_line",
     "margin_included": false,
     "snapshot_at": "2026-10-25T18:00:00.000Z",
     "closing_line": true,
     "probabilities": [
      {
       "outcome_label": "1",
       "in_words": "Unión La Calera",
       "percent_value": 27
      },
      {
       "outcome_label": "X",
       "in_words": "Draw",
       "percent_value": 27
      },
      {
       "outcome_label": "2",
       "in_words": "Universidad Católica",
       "percent_value": 46
      }
     ],
     "group_count": 13,
     "first_at": "2026-10-22T10:09:25.695Z",
     "first_probabilities": {
      "1": 25,
      "2": 48,
      "X": 27
     },
     "shift_pp": 1.3,
     "shift_outcome": "1",
     "shift_direction": "up",
     "line_state": "barely_moved",
     "phrase": "Market line at kick-off (25 October 2026, 18:00 GMT): Unión La Calera 27%, draw 27%, Universidad Católica 46%. From 22 October 2026, 11:09 BST to kick-off it barely moved: the largest change was 1.3 percentage points (Unión La Calera up)."
    },
    {
     "market_text": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
     "market_group": "totals",
     "line_kind": "recorded_price",
     "margin_included": true,
     "closing_line": false,
     "price_sides": [
      {
       "choice": "under 2.5",
       "snapshot_price": "1.91",
       "percent_value": 52,
       "snapshot_at": "2026-10-25T09:17:37.444Z",
       "snapshot_count": 1,
       "first_snapshot_price": null,
       "first_at": null,
       "shift_pp": null,
       "shift_direction": null,
       "line_state": "single_snapshot"
      }
     ],
     "line_state": "single_snapshot",
     "phrase": "Over/Under 2.5 goals, under 2.5 goals: market price 1.91 on 25 October 2026, 09:17 GMT (implied 52%, margin included)."
    },
    {
     "market_text": "Over/Under 3.5 goals",
     "market_group": "totals",
     "line_kind": "recorded_price",
     "margin_included": true,
     "closing_line": false,
     "price_sides": [
      {
       "choice": "under 3.5",
       "snapshot_price": "1.32",
       "percent_value": 75,
       "snapshot_at": "2026-10-25T09:17:37.444Z",
       "snapshot_count": 1,
       "first_snapshot_price": null,
       "first_at": null,
       "shift_pp": null,
       "shift_direction": null,
       "line_state": "single_snapshot"
      }
     ],
     "line_state": "single_snapshot",
     "phrase": "Over/Under 3.5 goals, under 3.5 goals: market price 1.32 on 25 October 2026, 09:17 GMT (implied 75%, margin included)."
    }
   ]
  },
  "pre_kickoff_snapshot": {
   "frozen_before_kickoff": true,
   "as_of_moment": "2026-10-25T18:00:00.000Z",
   "starts_at": "2026-10-25T18:00:00.000Z",
   "phrase": "Before kick-off on 25 October 2026, 18:00 GMT: market line at kick-off Unión La Calera 27%, draw 27%, Universidad Católica 46%; 1X2, match result, recorded picks before the match (1): 0 on Unión La Calera, 0 on the draw, 1 on Universidad Católica; Over/Under 2.5 goals, recorded picks before the match (1): 1 on under 2.5 goals; Double chance, recorded picks before the match (1): 1 on draw or Universidad Católica.",
   "market_line_brief": {
    "snapshot_at": "2026-10-25T18:00:00.000Z",
    "closing_line": true,
    "probabilities": {
     "1": 27,
     "X": 27,
     "2": 46
    }
   },
   "market_groups": [
    {
     "market_group": "1x2",
     "group_markets": [
      {
       "market_text": "1X2, match result",
       "prediction_count": 1,
       "row_count": 1,
       "market_choices": [
        {
         "choice": "Universidad Católica",
         "figure": 1
        }
       ],
       "phrase_mode": "listing",
       "leader_choice": null,
       "leader_count": null,
       "share_percent": 100,
       "phrase": "1X2, match result, recorded picks before the match (1): 0 on Unión La Calera, 0 on the draw, 1 on Universidad Católica",
       "sides_1x2": [
        {
         "side": "1",
         "in_words": "Unión La Calera",
         "figure": 0
        },
        {
         "side": "X",
         "in_words": "draw",
         "figure": 0
        },
        {
         "side": "2",
         "in_words": "Universidad Católica",
         "figure": 1
        }
       ]
      }
     ]
    },
    {
     "market_group": "totals",
     "group_markets": [
      {
       "market_text": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
       "prediction_count": 1,
       "row_count": 1,
       "market_choices": [
        {
         "choice": "under 2.5",
         "figure": 1
        }
       ],
       "phrase_mode": "listing",
       "leader_choice": null,
       "leader_count": null,
       "share_percent": 100,
       "phrase": "Over/Under 2.5 goals, recorded picks before the match (1): 1 on under 2.5 goals"
      },
      {
       "market_text": "Over/Under 3.5 goals",
       "prediction_count": 1,
       "row_count": 1,
       "market_choices": [
        {
         "choice": "under 3.5",
         "figure": 1
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  "title": "La Calera vs U. Católica: Results — 25 Oct 2026",
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}
