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 "heading": "SV 07 Elversberg vs 1. FSV Mainz 05: recorded predictions and results",
 "description": "SV 07 Elversberg vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, 30 October 2026. Final score 4-1 · Bundesliga: 30 distinct predictions from 21 authors.",
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  "body": "SV 07 Elversberg finished 4-1 against 1. FSV Mainz 05. None of the 6 recorded correct-score predictions matched that score. Other markets are shown separately below. Forecast Record recorded 32 statements from 21 authors on SV 07 Elversberg vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 (Bundesliga, kick-off 30 October 2026): 30 distinct predictions, all of the statements recorded before kick-off.",
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  "data": "2026-10-30",
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     "figure": 9,
     "share": "100.0"
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   "median_odds": "1.41",
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   "contributions": 9,
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   "quote_text": "beim Elversberg – Mainz Tipp ist Beide Teams treffen die Variante mit niedrigerem bis moderatem Risiko.",
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 ],
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    "entity_ref": "e-0549569e6a7d199732457195",
    "name_shown": "Théo Becker",
    "url": "/authors/theo-becker/"
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   {
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    "type_code": "author_before_match",
    "moment_at": "2026-10-30T19:30:00.000Z",
    "freeze_at": "2026-10-31T04:00:27.402Z",
    "approach": "by_capture_time",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "counting_rule": "1",
    "figures": {
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     "method_version": "2.2",
     "net_points_hundredths": -54873,
     "period_from": "2026-10-11",
     "period_to": "2026-10-29",
     "price_rule": "Our market snapshot",
     "return_percent": "-12.19",
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     "staked_hundredths": 450000,
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    "entity_ref": "e-720ec2720a5ebeecc34f3c04",
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   {
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    "type_code": "author_before_match",
    "moment_at": "2026-10-30T19:30:00.000Z",
    "freeze_at": "2026-10-31T04:00:27.402Z",
    "approach": "by_capture_time",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "counting_rule": "1",
    "figures": {
     "matches": 91,
     "method_version": "2.2",
     "net_points_hundredths": 129126,
     "period_from": "2026-10-11",
     "period_to": "2026-10-30",
     "price_rule": "Our market snapshot",
     "return_percent": "13.31",
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     "staked_hundredths": 970000,
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          "outcome_label": "Lost",
          "source_group": "websites"
         }
        ],
        "figure": 4
       },
       {
        "code_name": "2-2",
        "in_words": "SV 07 Elversberg 2-2 1. FSV Mainz 05",
        "tips": [
         {
          "author_name": "FootballPredictions.com",
          "entry_id": "n-ff1612db3921519d9093ef7f",
          "outcome_label": "Lost",
          "source_group": "websites"
         }
        ],
        "figure": 1
       },
       {
        "code_name": "2-3",
        "in_words": "SV 07 Elversberg 2-3 1. FSV Mainz 05",
        "tips": [
         {
          "author_name": "Baba",
          "entry_id": "n-0e5f5d0183e6c4e155ddf0e9",
          "outcome_label": "Lost",
          "source_group": "tipsters"
         }
        ],
        "figure": 1
       }
      ],
      "n": 6,
      "publisher_count": 6
     },
     {
      "contract_code": "both_teams_score|*|match|*|*#explicit",
      "source_group": "explicit",
      "market_label": "Both teams to score",
      "market_key": "both_teams_score",
      "choices": [
       {
        "code_name": "yes",
        "in_words": "yes",
        "tips": [
         {
          "author_name": "Alexandru Doroftei",
          "entry_id": "n-5a50f94b3378ec203eacb84d",
          "outcome_label": "Won",
          "source_group": "tipsters"
         },
         {
          "author_name": "Baba",
          "entry_id": "n-a1c425ecc1a8aa05a43c2f6c",
          "outcome_label": "Won",
          "source_group": "tipsters"
         },
         {
          "author_name": "Goksim",
          "entry_id": "n-175247787677202aa2b52786",
          "outcome_label": "Won",
          "source_group": "tipsters"
         },
         {
          "author_name": "Katrin",
          "entry_id": "n-bac631206c749ae928318063",
          "outcome_label": "Won",
          "source_group": "tipsters"
         }
        ],
        "figure": 4
       }
      ],
      "n": 4,
      "publisher_count": 4
     },
     {
      "contract_code": "double_chance|*|match|*|*#explicit",
      "source_group": "explicit",
      "market_label": "Double chance",
      "market_key": "double_chance",
      "choices": [
       {
        "code_name": "12",
        "in_words": "SV 07 Elversberg or 1. FSV Mainz 05",
        "tips": [
         {
          "author_name": "Baba",
          "entry_id": "n-1a8b790a8e27f914e023a2d1",
          "outcome_label": "Won",
          "source_group": "tipsters"
         }
        ],
        "figure": 1
       },
       {
        "code_name": "X2",
        "in_words": "draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05",
        "tips": [
         {
          "author_name": "Speltips.se",
          "entry_id": "n-1a02b00aabf375a991cd5ea4",
          "outcome_label": "Lost",
          "source_group": "websites"
         }
        ],
        "figure": 1
       }
      ],
      "n": 2,
      "publisher_count": 2
     },
     {
      "contract_code": "team_total|1.5|match|*|*#explicit",
      "source_group": "explicit",
      "market_label": "Team goals over/under 1.5",
      "market_key": "team_total",
      "choices": [
       {
        "code_name": "2-over",
        "in_words": "1. FSV Mainz 05 over 1.5",
        "tips": [
         {
          "author_name": "Aleksej Tarabrin",
          "entry_id": "n-3afbd9454e33a3a68d6e79b4",
          "outcome_label": "Lost",
          "source_group": "tipsters"
         },
         {
          "author_name": "Rekatochklart",
          "entry_id": "n-a9dd371e7204b1f293c62225",
          "outcome_label": "Lost",
          "source_group": "websites"
         }
        ],
        "figure": 2
       }
      ],
      "n": 2,
      "publisher_count": 2
     },
     {
      "contract_code": "total|3.5|match|*|*#explicit",
      "source_group": "explicit",
      "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals",
      "market_key": "total",
      "choices": [
       {
        "code_name": "over",
        "in_words": "over 3.5",
        "tips": [
         {
          "author_name": "Baba",
          "entry_id": "n-3f8ffa563eb2bf5ab2712950",
          "outcome_label": "Won",
          "source_group": "tipsters"
         }
        ],
        "figure": 1
       }
      ],
      "n": 1,
      "publisher_count": 1
     }
    ],
    "author_count": 21,
    "below_threshold": {
     "prediction_count": 0,
     "author_count": 0
    },
    "limit": 10
   },
   "chain": {
    "publications": 9,
    "unique": 9,
    "comparable": 9,
    "admissible": 9,
    "contributions": 9
   },
   "differing_choices": 0,
   "visible_who": 3,
   "newcomers_who": 18,
   "newcomers_before": 21,
   "titles_shown": true,
   "legend": "Badges show titles earned before this prediction, by published rules."
  },
  "arguments": {
   "topics": [
    {
     "code_name": "recent_form",
     "display_name": "Form",
     "checkable_item": false,
     "bullet_points": [
      {
       "entry_id": "n-8e8ccb8e76d91c312a547f99",
       "author_name": "Free Super Tips",
       "author_href": "/sources/free-super-tips/",
       "source_group": "websites",
       "choice": "1. FSV Mainz 05",
       "market_label": "1X2, match result",
       "logged_at": "2026-10-28T13:44:50.170Z",
       "original": "https://www.freesupertips.com/predictions/elversberg-vs-fsv-mainz-05-predictions-betting-tips-match-previews-2/",
       "proof": "/sources/free-super-tips/picks/30/#pick-n-8e8ccb8e76d91c312a547f99",
       "quote_text": "Elversberg have won only one of their last six matches, they rate as the Bundesliga’s weakest side",
       "retelling": null,
       "checkable_item": false,
       "against": false
      },
      {
       "entry_id": "n-66027d1af43933272bb2ffb9",
       "author_name": "Free Super Tips",
       "author_href": "/sources/free-super-tips/",
       "source_group": "websites",
       "choice": "SV 07 Elversberg 1-2 1. FSV Mainz 05",
       "market_label": "Correct score",
       "logged_at": "2026-10-28T13:44:50.170Z",
       "original": "https://www.freesupertips.com/predictions/elversberg-vs-fsv-mainz-05-predictions-betting-tips-match-previews-2/",
       "proof": "/sources/free-super-tips/picks/30/#pick-n-66027d1af43933272bb2ffb9",
       "quote_text": "Elversberg have seen six of their nine matches this season go over 2.5 goals and the Black and Whites have conceded nine times in their last three games. Mainz…",
       "retelling": null,
       "checkable_item": false,
       "against": false
      }
     ],
     "total_count": 8
    },
    {
     "code_name": "home_form",
     "display_name": "Home and away",
     "checkable_item": false,
     "bullet_points": [
      {
       "entry_id": "n-a35cdb71fc3044a97ef3db75",
       "author_name": "Lewis Nolan",
       "author_href": "/authors/lewis-nolan/",
       "source_group": "experts",
       "choice": "SV 07 Elversberg 1-2 1. FSV Mainz 05",
       "market_label": "Correct score",
       "logged_at": "2026-10-28T22:10:50.196Z",
       "original": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/elversberg/preview/elversberg-vs-mainz-prediction-team-news-lineups_607863.html",
       "proof": "/authors/lewis-nolan/picks/11/#pick-n-a35cdb71fc3044a97ef3db75",
       "quote_text": "Neither side have been particularly strong lately, though Mainz's record on the road has been excellent this season.",
       "retelling": null,
       "checkable_item": false,
       "against": false
      }
     ],
     "total_count": 1
    }
   ],
   "against": [],
   "other_languages": 0,
   "other_language_hosts": [],
   "mode": "quotes",
   "topics_total": 2,
   "checkable": 0
  },
  "market_label": {
   "favourite_code": "2",
   "favourite": "1. FSV Mainz 05",
   "probabilities": [
    {
     "outcome_label": "1",
     "in_words": "SV 07 Elversberg",
     "percent_value": 26
    },
    {
     "outcome_label": "X",
     "in_words": "Draw",
     "percent_value": 24
    },
    {
     "outcome_label": "2",
     "in_words": "1. FSV Mainz 05",
     "percent_value": 50
    }
   ],
   "prices": {
    "1": "3.60",
    "X": "3.90",
    "2": "1.88"
   },
   "group_count": 29,
   "bookmakers": 43,
   "snapshot_at": "2026-10-30T19:30:00.000Z",
   "closing_line": true,
   "first_at": "2026-10-23T13:51:50.640Z",
   "shift_pp": 3.8,
   "phrase": "The market has moved a little since our first snapshot on 23 October 2026: 1. FSV Mainz 05 46% then, 50% at kick-off.",
   "technique": "Median across groups of bookmakers, without margin: brands on one platform count once (median within the group); betting exchanges and prediction markets are excluded. Market price from an odds aggregator; the data provider is not named.",
   "t24": {
    "snapshot_at": "2026-10-29T19:30:00.000Z",
    "probabilities": {
     "1": 31,
     "2": 44,
     "X": 25
    }
   },
   "t2": {
    "snapshot_at": "2026-10-30T17:30:00.000Z",
    "probabilities": {
     "1": 28,
     "2": 47,
     "X": 25
    }
   }
  },
  "market_mode": "show",
  "fact_sheet": {
   "tournament": "Bundesliga (Germany)",
   "matchday": "Matchweek 8",
   "starts_at": "2026-10-30T19:30:00.000Z",
   "form": {
    "home_side": [
     {
      "res": "L",
      "scoreline": "0-2",
      "opponent": "SV Darmstadt 98",
      "at_home": true,
      "data": "2026-10-27"
     },
     {
      "res": "L",
      "scoreline": "0-4",
      "opponent": "RB Leipzig",
      "at_home": false,
      "data": "2026-10-24"
     },
     {
      "res": "W",
      "scoreline": "4-3",
      "opponent": "FC Augsburg",
      "at_home": true,
      "data": "2026-10-17"
     },
     {
      "res": "L",
      "scoreline": "0-1",
      "opponent": "1. FC Union Berlin",
      "at_home": false,
      "data": "2026-10-10"
     },
     {
      "res": "D",
      "scoreline": "0-0",
      "opponent": "FC Schalke 04",
      "at_home": false,
      "data": "2026-09-20"
     }
    ],
    "away": [
     {
      "res": "L",
      "scoreline": "0-2",
      "opponent": "VfL Bochum",
      "at_home": false,
      "data": "2026-10-27"
     },
     {
      "res": "L",
      "scoreline": "2-3",
      "opponent": "SV Werder Bremen",
      "at_home": true,
      "data": "2026-10-24"
     },
     {
      "res": "W",
      "scoreline": "1-0",
      "opponent": "FC Schalke 04",
      "at_home": false,
      "data": "2026-10-17"
     },
     {
      "res": "L",
      "scoreline": "3-4",
      "opponent": "Bayer 04 Leverkusen",
      "at_home": true,
      "data": "2026-10-10"
     },
     {
      "res": "W",
      "scoreline": "4-3",
      "opponent": "Borussia M'gladbach",
      "at_home": false,
      "data": "2026-09-19"
     }
    ]
   },
   "head_to_head": [],
   "past_cards": [],
   "reach": ""
  },
  "after_match": {
   "scoreline": "4-1",
   "fact_code": "1",
   "row_list": [
    "Match-result predictions from tipsters and sources with 10 or more predictions checked against the final score to date: 0 of 6 matched · Tipsters 0 of 3 · Prediction sites 0 of 3",
    "All recorded exact-score predictions: 0 of 6 matched",
    "Exact-score predictions from tipsters and sources with 10 or more predictions checked against the final score to date: 0 of 6 matched the score, 0 of 6 the outcome",
    "Most common selection among tipsters and sources with 10 or more predictions checked against the final score to date: 1. FSV Mainz 05 (5 of 6), missed",
    "Market favourite at kick-off: 1. FSV Mainz 05 (missed)"
   ],
   "by_group": {
    "tipsters": {
     "correct": 0,
     "of": 3
    },
    "websites": {
     "correct": 0,
     "of": 3
    }
   },
   "placement": null,
   "checks": []
  },
  "prices": [
   {
    "author_name": "Free Super Tips",
    "choice": "SV 07 Elversberg 1-2 1. FSV Mainz 05",
    "market_label": "Correct score",
    "author_quoted_price": "9.50",
    "our_snapshot": "8.5000",
    "closing_line": null
   }
  ],
  "revisions": [
   "Market 24 hours before kick-off: 1. FSV Mainz 05 44%.",
   "Market 2 hours before kick-off: 1. FSV Mainz 05 47%.",
   "First published with predictions on 29 October 2026."
  ],
  "titles": {
   "shown": true,
   "legend": "Badges show titles earned before this prediction, by published rules.",
   "frozen_in": "sr-5bfd1c1a50cc1c5b3f64bca7"
  },
  "tracker": null,
  "source_groups": {
   "as_of": "2026-10-30T19:30:00.000Z",
   "groups": [
    {
     "key": "prediction_sites",
     "label": "Prediction sites"
    },
    {
     "key": "media",
     "label": "Media"
    },
    {
     "key": "telegram_channels",
     "label": "Telegram channels"
    },
    {
     "key": "private_authors",
     "label": "Independent tipsters"
    }
   ],
   "authors": 21,
   "by_group": [
    {
     "key": "prediction_sites",
     "authors": 9
    },
    {
     "key": "media",
     "authors": 1
    },
    {
     "key": "telegram_channels",
     "authors": 5
    },
    {
     "key": "private_authors",
     "authors": 6
    }
   ],
   "markets": [
    {
     "key": "1x2",
     "label": "Match result",
     "authors": 6,
     "by_group": [
      {
       "key": "prediction_sites",
       "authors": 4
      },
      {
       "key": "media",
       "authors": 0
      },
      {
       "key": "telegram_channels",
       "authors": 2
      },
      {
       "key": "private_authors",
       "authors": 0
      }
     ],
     "choices": [
      {
       "code_name": "1",
       "in_words": "SV 07 Elversberg",
       "authors": 0,
       "by_group": [
        {
         "key": "prediction_sites",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "media",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "telegram_channels",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "private_authors",
         "authors": 0
        }
       ]
      },
      {
       "code_name": "X",
       "in_words": "Draw",
       "authors": 1,
       "by_group": [
        {
         "key": "prediction_sites",
         "authors": 1
        },
        {
         "key": "media",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "telegram_channels",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "private_authors",
         "authors": 0
        }
       ]
      },
      {
       "code_name": "2",
       "in_words": "1. FSV Mainz 05",
       "authors": 5,
       "by_group": [
        {
         "key": "prediction_sites",
         "authors": 3
        },
        {
         "key": "media",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "telegram_channels",
         "authors": 2
        },
        {
         "key": "private_authors",
         "authors": 0
        }
       ]
      }
     ]
    },
    {
     "key": "totals",
     "label": "Goal totals",
     "authors": 11,
     "by_group": [
      {
       "key": "prediction_sites",
       "authors": 3
      },
      {
       "key": "media",
       "authors": 0
      },
      {
       "key": "telegram_channels",
       "authors": 2
      },
      {
       "key": "private_authors",
       "authors": 6
      }
     ]
    },
    {
     "key": "other",
     "label": "Handicaps, both teams to score, correct score and other markets",
     "authors": 10,
     "by_group": [
      {
       "key": "prediction_sites",
       "authors": 6
      },
      {
       "key": "media",
       "authors": 1
      },
      {
       "key": "telegram_channels",
       "authors": 2
      },
      {
       "key": "private_authors",
       "authors": 1
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  "market_line": {
   "line_state": "moved",
   "line_frozen": true,
   "phrase": "Market line at kick-off (30 October 2026, 19:30 GMT): SV 07 Elversberg 26%, draw 24%, 1. FSV Mainz 05 50%. From 23 October 2026, 14:51 BST to kick-off the line moved 3.8 percentage points (1. FSV Mainz 05 up).",
   "line_markets": [
    {
     "market_text": "1X2, match result",
     "market_group": "1x2",
     "line_kind": "median_line",
     "margin_included": false,
     "snapshot_at": "2026-10-30T19:30:00.000Z",
     "closing_line": true,
     "probabilities": [
      {
       "outcome_label": "1",
       "in_words": "SV 07 Elversberg",
       "percent_value": 26
      },
      {
       "outcome_label": "X",
       "in_words": "Draw",
       "percent_value": 24
      },
      {
       "outcome_label": "2",
       "in_words": "1. FSV Mainz 05",
       "percent_value": 50
      }
     ],
     "group_count": 29,
     "first_at": "2026-10-23T13:51:50.640Z",
     "first_probabilities": {
      "1": 29,
      "2": 46,
      "X": 24
     },
     "shift_pp": 3.8,
     "shift_outcome": "2",
     "shift_direction": "up",
     "line_state": "moved",
     "phrase": "Market line at kick-off (30 October 2026, 19:30 GMT): SV 07 Elversberg 26%, draw 24%, 1. FSV Mainz 05 50%. From 23 October 2026, 14:51 BST to kick-off the line moved 3.8 percentage points (1. FSV Mainz 05 up)."
    },
    {
     "market_text": "Both teams to score",
     "market_group": "other",
     "line_kind": "recorded_price",
     "margin_included": true,
     "closing_line": false,
     "price_sides": [
      {
       "choice": "yes",
       "snapshot_price": "1.42",
       "percent_value": 70,
       "snapshot_at": "2026-10-30T00:57:50.307Z",
       "snapshot_count": 4,
       "first_snapshot_price": "1.44",
       "first_at": "2026-10-26T16:49:39.652Z",
       "shift_pp": 1.1,
       "shift_direction": "up",
       "line_state": "barely_moved"
      }
     ],
     "line_state": "barely_moved",
     "phrase": "Both teams to score, yes: market price 1.42 on 30 October 2026, 00:57 GMT (implied 70%, margin included), 1.1 percentage points up from 26 October 2026, 16:49 GMT."
    },
    {
     "market_text": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
     "market_group": "totals",
     "line_kind": "recorded_price",
     "margin_included": true,
     "closing_line": false,
     "price_sides": [
      {
       "choice": "over 2.5",
       "snapshot_price": "1.46",
       "percent_value": 68,
       "snapshot_at": "2026-10-30T11:17:37.476Z",
       "snapshot_count": 7,
       "first_snapshot_price": "1.48",
       "first_at": "2026-10-27T07:37:15.668Z",
       "shift_pp": 0.8,
       "shift_direction": "up",
       "line_state": "barely_moved"
      }
     ],
     "line_state": "barely_moved",
     "phrase": "Over/Under 2.5 goals, over 2.5 goals: market price 1.46 on 30 October 2026, 11:17 GMT (implied 68%, margin included), 0.8 percentage points up from 27 October 2026, 07:37 GMT."
    },
    {
     "market_text": "Team goals over/under 1.5",
     "market_group": "totals",
     "line_kind": "recorded_price",
     "margin_included": true,
     "closing_line": false,
     "price_sides": [
      {
       "choice": "1. FSV Mainz 05 over 1.5",
       "snapshot_price": "1.68",
       "percent_value": 60,
       "snapshot_at": "2026-10-30T02:09:12.173Z",
       "snapshot_count": 2,
       "first_snapshot_price": "1.72",
       "first_at": "2026-10-28T12:59:34.753Z",
       "shift_pp": 1.4,
       "shift_direction": "up",
       "line_state": "barely_moved"
      }
     ],
     "line_state": "barely_moved",
     "phrase": "Team goals over/under 1.5, 1. FSV Mainz 05 over 1.5 goals: market price 1.68 on 30 October 2026, 02:09 GMT (implied 60%, margin included), 1.4 percentage points up from 28 October 2026, 12:59 GMT."
    }
   ]
  },
  "pre_kickoff_snapshot": {
   "frozen_before_kickoff": true,
   "as_of_moment": "2026-10-30T19:30:00.000Z",
   "starts_at": "2026-10-30T19:30:00.000Z",
   "phrase": "Before kick-off on 30 October 2026, 19:30 GMT: market line at kick-off SV 07 Elversberg 26%, draw 24%, 1. FSV Mainz 05 50%; 1X2, match result: most expected 1. FSV Mainz 05 (5 of 6 predictions); Over/Under 2.5 goals: most expected over 2.5 goals (9 of 9 predictions); Correct score: most expected SV 07 Elversberg 1-2 1. FSV Mainz 05 (4 of 6 predictions).",
   "market_line_brief": {
    "snapshot_at": "2026-10-30T19:30:00.000Z",
    "closing_line": true,
    "probabilities": {
     "1": 26,
     "X": 24,
     "2": 50
    }
   },
   "market_groups": [
    {
     "market_group": "1x2",
     "group_markets": [
      {
       "market_text": "1X2, match result",
       "prediction_count": 6,
       "row_count": 6,
       "market_choices": [
        {
         "choice": "1. FSV Mainz 05",
         "figure": 5
        },
        {
         "choice": "draw",
         "figure": 1
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