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 "heading": "St.Louis City vs Portland Timbers: recorded predictions and results",
 "description": "St.Louis City vs Portland Timbers, 29 October 2026. Final score 2-3 · MLS: 11 distinct predictions from 5 authors.",
 "first_paragraph": {
  "body": "St.Louis City finished 2-3 against Portland Timbers. The one recorded correct-score prediction (St.Louis City 2-2 Portland Timbers) did not match. Other markets are shown separately below. Forecast Record recorded 11 statements from 5 authors on St.Louis City vs Portland Timbers (MLS, kick-off 29 October 2026): 11 distinct predictions, all of the statements recorded before kick-off.",
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  "data": "2026-10-29",
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 "built_at": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z",
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 "event": {
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  "display_name": "St.Louis City — Portland Timbers",
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   "summary": "Most common recorded selection in this market: yes — 2 of 3 eligible picks (one per author), median stated price 1.44",
   "late_excluded": 0,
   "contributions": 3,
   "prediction_count": 3,
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   "quote_text": "Doppelte Chance: Unentschieden oder Sieg der Portland Timbers\n\nMajor League Soccer\n\nMorgen\n01:30\n\nSt. Louis City\n\nVS\n\nPortland Timbers\n\nNS\n\n2,00\n\nbei\n\nODDSET",
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  "authors": 5,
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    "recorded_at": "2026-10-28T11:39:38.894Z",
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    "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
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    "before_kickoff": true,
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    "author": "FootballPredictions.com",
    "author_url": "/sources/footballpredictions-com/",
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    "published_at": "2026-10-22T06:17:43.000Z",
    "recorded_at": "2026-10-28T12:49:34.217Z",
    "lead_hours": 11.7,
    "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "outcome_reason": null,
    "before_kickoff": true,
    "attribution": null
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    "sources": 3,
    "one_source": false,
    "eligible": 3,
    "different_selections": 0,
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    "predictions": 1,
    "sources": 1,
    "one_source": true,
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      "eligible": 1
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    "odds_from_author": 1,
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  "independent_sources": 5,
  "same_material_repeats": 0,
  "sources_list": [
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    "authors": 1,
    "selections": 4
   },
   {
    "source": "footystats.org",
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    "authors": 1,
    "selections": 2
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   {
    "source": "paris-sportifs.lefigaro.fr",
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    "authors": 1,
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   {
    "source": "sportwetten.bild.de",
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    "authors": 1,
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   {
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    "authors": 1,
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  "what_happened": {
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   "void": 0,
   "half_won": 0,
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    "markets": [
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    "outcomes": [
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    "scenario": "Both teams to score: yes · St.Louis City 2-2 Portland Timbers · draw at half-time, draw at full-time · Rafael Navarro Leal to score",
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    "evidence_urls": [
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     "/sources/footballpredictions-com/picks/269/#pick-n-dbbd8844baafe1a919a3d2a4",
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   {
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    "outcomes": [
     "Lost",
     "Lost"
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    "scenario": "under 3.5 goals · Both teams to score: no",
    "result": "any_wrong",
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    "evidence_urls": [
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  ],
  "lead_time": {
   "contract_version": 1,
   "threshold_hours": 2.0,
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   "after_kickoff": 0,
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   "share_2h_plus": 100.0,
   "median_hours": 12.8,
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   "words": "Hours between the moment we recorded the pick and kick-off; the share counts picks recorded at least two hours before kick-off."
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 },
 "title_tag": "St.Louis City vs Portland Timbers: Results — 29 Oct 2026",
 "snapshots": {
  "counting_rule": "1",
  "early": {
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   "counting_rule": "1",
   "figures": {
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     {
      "phrase": "Player to score — Most common recorded selection: da (1 of 1 eligible)",
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        "figure": 1,
        "in_words": "da",
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     },
     {
      "phrase": "Both teams to score — Most common recorded selection: yes (1 of 1 eligible)",
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        "figure": 1,
        "in_words": "yes",
        "choice": "yes"
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      ]
     },
     {
      "phrase": "Half-time/full-time — Most common recorded selection: draw at half-time, draw at full-time (1 of 1 eligible)",
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      "row_list": [
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        "figure": 1,
        "in_words": "draw at half-time, draw at full-time",
        "choice": "X/X"
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      ]
     },
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      "phrase": "Correct score — Most common recorded selection: St.Louis City 2-2 Portland Timbers (1 of 1 eligible)",
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      "leader": "2-2",
      "n": 1,
      "market_label": "Correct score",
      "row_list": [
       {
        "figure": 1,
        "in_words": "St.Louis City 2-2 Portland Timbers",
        "choice": "2-2"
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      ]
     }
    ],
    "counting_rule": "1",
    "different_products": 0,
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    "not_counted": 0
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    "entity_ref": "e-2b039fe17676dade1865ad74",
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    "type_code": "author_before_match",
    "moment_at": "2026-10-29T00:30:00.000Z",
    "freeze_at": "2026-10-29T04:10:01.639Z",
    "approach": "by_capture_time",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
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     "price_rule": "Our market snapshot",
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    "entity_ref": "e-720ec2720a5ebeecc34f3c04",
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    "type_code": "author_before_match",
    "moment_at": "2026-10-29T00:30:00.000Z",
    "freeze_at": "2026-10-29T04:10:01.639Z",
    "approach": "by_capture_time",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
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    "figures": {
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     "period_from": "2026-10-11",
     "period_to": "2026-10-28",
     "price_rule": "Our market snapshot",
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    "type_code": "author_before_match",
    "moment_at": "2026-10-29T00:30:00.000Z",
    "freeze_at": "2026-10-29T04:10:01.639Z",
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     "period_to": "2026-10-26",
     "price_rule": "Our market snapshot",
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     "market_key": "correct_score_market",
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     "market_key": "half_time_full_time",
     "choice": "draw at half-time, draw at full-time",
     "choice_key": "X/X",
     "byline": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
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    {
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     "market_key": "player_to_score",
     "choice": "Rafael Navarro Leal to score",
     "choice_key": "yes",
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     "logged_at": "2026-10-28T12:49:34.217Z",
     "posted_at": "2026-10-22T06:17:43.000Z",
     "author_quoted_price": "2.20",
     "our_snapshot": "1.9967",
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     "pre_match": true,
     "proof": "/sources/footballpredictions-com/picks/269/#pick-n-fedd5290e0f7d83b02772f24",
     "original": null,
     "contradictory": false,
     "authorship": null,
     "source_type": "telegram_channels",
     "own_page": true,
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    },
    {
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     "author_name": "FootyStats",
     "author_href": "/sources/footystats-org/",
     "source_group": "websites",
     "trust_tier": "probation",
     "market_label": "Both teams to score",
     "market_key": "both_teams_score",
     "choice": "yes",
     "choice_key": "yes",
     "byline": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
     "logged_at": "2026-10-28T14:29:22.864Z",
     "posted_at": null,
     "author_quoted_price": "1.40",
     "our_snapshot": "1.4211",
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     "pre_match": true,
     "proof": "/sources/footystats-org/picks/79/#pick-n-b2eeb085df9f3e1b7ef3f748",
     "original": null,
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     "source_type": "telegram_channels",
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     "trust_settled_count": 855
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    {
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     "author_href": "/sources/paris-sportifs-lefigaro-fr/",
     "source_group": "websites",
     "trust_tier": "probation",
     "market_label": "Both teams to score",
     "market_key": "both_teams_score",
     "choice": "no",
     "choice_key": "no",
     "byline": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
     "logged_at": "2026-10-28T11:39:38.894Z",
     "posted_at": "2026-10-28T11:30:00.000Z",
     "author_quoted_price": "2.65",
     "our_snapshot": "2.8000",
     "closing_line": null,
     "outcome_label": "Lost",
     "pre_match": true,
     "proof": "/sources/paris-sportifs-lefigaro-fr/picks/10/#pick-n-4ce5afe5757e75723b1f39d9",
     "original": null,
     "contradictory": false,
     "authorship": null,
     "source_type": "media",
     "own_page": true,
     "trust_settled_count": 140
    },
    {
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     "author_name": "Le Figaro Paris Sportifs",
     "author_href": "/sources/paris-sportifs-lefigaro-fr/",
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     "trust_tier": "probation",
     "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals",
     "market_key": "total",
     "choice": "under 3.5",
     "choice_key": "under",
     "byline": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
     "logged_at": "2026-10-28T11:39:38.894Z",
     "posted_at": "2026-10-28T11:30:00.000Z",
     "author_quoted_price": "1.71",
     "our_snapshot": "1.7600",
     "closing_line": null,
     "outcome_label": "Lost",
     "pre_match": true,
     "proof": "/sources/paris-sportifs-lefigaro-fr/picks/10/#pick-n-278bc64a08d447510c51706f",
     "original": null,
     "contradictory": false,
     "authorship": null,
     "source_type": "media",
     "own_page": true,
     "trust_settled_count": 140
    },
    {
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     "author_name": "WhoScored",
     "author_href": "/sources/whoscored-com/",
     "source_group": "websites",
     "trust_tier": "probation",
     "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
     "market_key": "total",
     "choice": "over 2.5",
     "choice_key": "over",
     "byline": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
     "logged_at": "2026-10-27T23:53:09.489Z",
     "posted_at": null,
     "author_quoted_price": null,
     "our_snapshot": "1.4100",
     "closing_line": null,
     "outcome_label": "Won",
     "pre_match": true,
     "proof": "/sources/whoscored-com/picks/22/#pick-n-8850b49ad5275267c0386db0",
     "original": null,
     "contradictory": false,
     "authorship": null,
     "source_type": "telegram_channels",
     "own_page": true,
     "trust_settled_count": 684
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   ],
   "not_counted": [],
   "after_start": [],
   "forecaster_split": {
    "contracts": [
     {
      "contract_code": "1x2|*|match|*|*#explicit",
      "source_group": "explicit",
      "market_label": "1X2, match result",
      "market_key": "1x2",
      "choices": [
       {
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        "in_words": "St.Louis City",
        "tips": [
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          "outcome_label": "Lost",
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         }
        ],
        "figure": 1
       },
       {
        "code_name": "X",
        "in_words": "Draw",
        "tips": [],
        "figure": 0
       },
       {
        "code_name": "2",
        "in_words": "Portland Timbers",
        "tips": [],
        "figure": 0
       }
      ],
      "n": 1,
      "publisher_count": 1
     },
     {
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      "source_group": "explicit",
      "market_label": "Both teams to score",
      "market_key": "both_teams_score",
      "choices": [
       {
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        "tips": [
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         },
         {
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          "outcome_label": "Won",
          "source_group": "websites"
         }
        ],
        "figure": 2
       },
       {
        "code_name": "no",
        "in_words": "no",
        "tips": [
         {
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          "entry_id": "n-4ce5afe5757e75723b1f39d9",
          "outcome_label": "Lost",
          "source_group": "websites"
         }
        ],
        "figure": 1
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      ],
      "n": 3,
      "publisher_count": 3
     },
     {
      "contract_code": "total|3.5|match|*|*#explicit",
      "source_group": "explicit",
      "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals",
      "market_key": "total",
      "choices": [
       {
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        "in_words": "under 3.5",
        "tips": [
         {
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          "outcome_label": "Lost",
          "source_group": "tipsters"
         },
         {
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          "outcome_label": "Lost",
          "source_group": "websites"
         }
        ],
        "figure": 2
       }
      ],
      "n": 2,
      "publisher_count": 2
     },
     {
      "contract_code": "correct_score_market|*|match|*|*#explicit",
      "source_group": "explicit",
      "market_label": "Correct score",
      "market_key": "correct_score_market",
      "choices": [
       {
        "code_name": "2-2",
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        "tips": [
         {
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          "entry_id": "n-119b9780dbd7addf80dc7738",
          "outcome_label": "Lost",
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        ],
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      ],
      "n": 1,
      "publisher_count": 1
     },
     {
      "contract_code": "double_chance|*|match|*|*#explicit",
      "source_group": "explicit",
      "market_label": "Double chance",
      "market_key": "double_chance",
      "choices": [
       {
        "code_name": "X2",
        "in_words": "draw or Portland Timbers",
        "tips": [
         {
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      ],
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      "publisher_count": 1
     },
     {
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      "source_group": "explicit",
      "market_label": "Half-time/full-time",
      "market_key": "half_time_full_time",
      "choices": [
       {
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        "in_words": "draw at half-time, draw at full-time",
        "tips": [
         {
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          "outcome_label": "Lost",
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         }
        ],
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      ],
      "n": 1,
      "publisher_count": 1
     },
     {
      "contract_code": "total|2.5|match|*|*#explicit",
      "source_group": "explicit",
      "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
      "market_key": "total",
      "choices": [
       {
        "code_name": "over",
        "in_words": "over 2.5",
        "tips": [
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          "entry_id": "n-8850b49ad5275267c0386db0",
          "outcome_label": "Won",
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         }
        ],
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      ],
      "n": 1,
      "publisher_count": 1
     },
     {
      "contract_code": "player_to_score|*|match|ig-9d8dc517349d|*#explicit",
      "source_group": "explicit",
      "market_label": "Player to score",
      "market_key": "player_to_score",
      "choices": [
       {
        "code_name": "yes",
        "in_words": "Rafael Navarro Leal to score",
        "tips": [
         {
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          "outcome_label": "Won",
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         }
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        "figure": 1
       }
      ],
      "n": 1,
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    ],
    "author_count": 5,
    "below_threshold": {
     "prediction_count": 0,
     "author_count": 0
    },
    "limit": 10
   },
   "chain": {
    "publications": 2,
    "unique": 2,
    "comparable": 2,
    "admissible": 2,
    "contributions": 2
   },
   "differing_choices": 0,
   "visible_who": 1,
   "newcomers_who": 4,
   "newcomers_before": 9,
   "titles_shown": true,
   "legend": "Badges show titles earned before this prediction, by published rules."
  },
  "arguments": {
   "topics": [],
   "against": [],
   "other_languages": 1,
   "other_language_hosts": [
    "sportwetten.bild.de"
   ],
   "mode": "quotes",
   "topics_total": 0,
   "checkable": 0
  },
  "market_label": {
   "favourite_code": "1",
   "favourite": "St.Louis City",
   "probabilities": [
    {
     "outcome_label": "1",
     "in_words": "St.Louis City",
     "percent_value": 49
    },
    {
     "outcome_label": "X",
     "in_words": "Draw",
     "percent_value": 24
    },
    {
     "outcome_label": "2",
     "in_words": "Portland Timbers",
     "percent_value": 27
    }
   ],
   "prices": {
    "1": "1.92",
    "X": "3.85",
    "2": "3.50"
   },
   "group_count": 30,
   "bookmakers": 48,
   "snapshot_at": "2026-10-29T00:30:00.000Z",
   "closing_line": true,
   "first_at": "2026-10-28T00:30:00.000Z",
   "shift_pp": 5.5,
   "phrase": "The market has moved a little since our first snapshot on 28 October 2026: St.Louis City 54% then, 49% at kick-off.",
   "technique": "Median across groups of bookmakers, without margin: brands on one platform count once (median within the group); betting exchanges and prediction markets are excluded. Market price from an odds aggregator; the data provider is not named.",
   "t24": {
    "snapshot_at": "2026-10-28T00:30:00.000Z",
    "probabilities": {
     "1": 54,
     "2": 23,
     "X": 22
    }
   },
   "t2": {
    "snapshot_at": "2026-10-28T22:30:00.000Z",
    "probabilities": {
     "1": 48,
     "2": 28,
     "X": 24
    }
   }
  },
  "market_mode": "show",
  "fact_sheet": {
   "tournament": "MLS (United States)",
   "matchday": null,
   "starts_at": "2026-10-29T00:30:00.000Z",
   "form": {
    "home_side": [
     {
      "res": "L",
      "scoreline": "0-3",
      "opponent": "Real Salt Lake",
      "at_home": false,
      "data": "2026-10-25"
     },
     {
      "res": "D",
      "scoreline": "0-0",
      "opponent": "Columbus Crew",
      "at_home": false,
      "data": "2026-10-22"
     },
     {
      "res": "L",
      "scoreline": "2-3",
      "opponent": "Minnesota United",
      "at_home": false,
      "data": "2026-10-17"
     },
     {
      "res": "D",
      "scoreline": "0-0",
      "opponent": "Vancouver Whitecaps",
      "at_home": true,
      "data": "2026-10-15"
     },
     {
      "res": "W",
      "scoreline": "6-2",
      "opponent": "LA Galaxy",
      "at_home": true,
      "data": "2026-10-12"
     }
    ],
    "away": [
     {
      "res": "W",
      "scoreline": "3-2",
      "opponent": "Charlotte FC",
      "at_home": true,
      "data": "2026-10-25"
     },
     {
      "res": "D",
      "scoreline": "0-0",
      "opponent": "Colorado Rapids",
      "at_home": true,
      "data": "2026-10-18"
     },
     {
      "res": "L",
      "scoreline": "0-2",
      "opponent": "LA Galaxy",
      "at_home": false,
      "data": "2026-10-15"
     },
     {
      "res": "D",
      "scoreline": "3-3",
      "opponent": "Sporting Kansas City",
      "at_home": false,
      "data": "2026-10-11"
     },
     {
      "res": "L",
      "scoreline": "1-3",
      "opponent": "San Jose Earthquakes",
      "at_home": false,
      "data": "2026-09-27"
     }
    ]
   },
   "head_to_head": [
    {
     "data": "2026-09-10",
     "match_list": "Portland Timbers 2-2 St.Louis City",
     "event_id": "s-5efc161f79c9"
    }
   ],
   "past_cards": [],
   "reach": ""
  },
  "after_match": {
   "scoreline": "2-3",
   "fact_code": "2",
   "row_list": [
    "Match-result predictions from tipsters and sources with 10 or more predictions checked against the final score to date: 0 of 1 matched",
    "All recorded exact-score predictions: 0 of 1 matched",
    "Exact-score predictions from tipsters and sources with 10 or more predictions checked against the final score to date: 0 of 1 matched the score, 0 of 1 the outcome",
    "Most common selection among tipsters and sources with 10 or more predictions checked against the final score to date: St.Louis City (1 of 1), missed",
    "Market favourite at kick-off: St.Louis City (missed)"
   ],
   "by_group": {
    "websites": {
     "correct": 0,
     "of": 1
    }
   },
   "placement": null,
   "checks": []
  },
  "prices": [
   {
    "author_name": "Ali Demir",
    "choice": "draw or Portland Timbers",
    "market_label": "Double chance",
    "author_quoted_price": "2.00",
    "our_snapshot": "1.8673",
    "closing_line": null
   },
   {
    "author_name": "Ali Demir",
    "choice": "under 3.5",
    "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals",
    "author_quoted_price": "1.73",
    "our_snapshot": "1.7700",
    "closing_line": null
   }
  ],
  "revisions": [
   "Market 24 hours before kick-off: St.Louis City 54%.",
   "Market 2 hours before kick-off: St.Louis City 48%.",
   "First published with predictions on 28 October 2026."
  ],
  "titles": {
   "shown": true,
   "legend": "Badges show titles earned before this prediction, by published rules.",
   "frozen_in": "sr-98d8093f38286ac865927049"
  },
  "tracker": null,
  "source_groups": {
   "as_of": "2026-10-29T00:30:00.000Z",
   "groups": [
    {
     "key": "prediction_sites",
     "label": "Prediction sites"
    },
    {
     "key": "media",
     "label": "Media"
    },
    {
     "key": "telegram_channels",
     "label": "Telegram channels"
    },
    {
     "key": "private_authors",
     "label": "Independent tipsters"
    }
   ],
   "authors": 5,
   "by_group": [
    {
     "key": "prediction_sites",
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    },
    {
     "key": "media",
     "authors": 2
    },
    {
     "key": "telegram_channels",
     "authors": 3
    },
    {
     "key": "private_authors",
     "authors": 0
    }
   ],
   "markets": [
    {
     "key": "1x2",
     "label": "Match result",
     "authors": 1,
     "by_group": [
      {
       "key": "prediction_sites",
       "authors": 0
      },
      {
       "key": "media",
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      },
      {
       "key": "telegram_channels",
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      },
      {
       "key": "private_authors",
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     ],
     "choices": [
      {
       "code_name": "1",
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       "by_group": [
        {
         "key": "prediction_sites",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "media",
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        },
        {
         "key": "telegram_channels",
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        {
         "key": "private_authors",
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    },
    {
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    {
     "market_text": "Both teams to score",
     "market_group": "other",
     "line_kind": "recorded_price",
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       "line_state": "single_snapshot"
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     ],
     "line_state": "not_moved",
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     "market_text": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
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     ],
     "line_state": "single_snapshot",
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    {
     "market_text": "Over/Under 3.5 goals",
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