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 "heading": "Sportivo Ameliano vs Olimpia: recorded predictions and results",
 "description": "Sportivo Ameliano vs Olimpia, 25 October 2026. Final score 2-3 · División de Honor (Paraguay): 1 distinct prediction from 1 author.",
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  "body": "Sportivo Ameliano finished 2-3 against Olimpia. The recorded prediction is listed below with its outcome. Forecast Record recorded 1 statement from 1 author on Sportivo Ameliano vs Olimpia (División de Honor (Paraguay), kick-off 25 October 2026): 1 distinct prediction, recorded before kick-off. The kick-off was moved by the organiser: originally 29 October 2026, 22:00 GMT, now 25 October 2026, 13:00 GMT; picks are timed against the new kick-off.",
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   "market_at": "2026-10-25T13:00:00.000Z",
   "predictions_at": "2026-10-22T08:30:01.066Z",
   "comparison": null
  },
  "who_what": {
   "contracts": [],
   "newcomers": [
    {
     "entry_id": "n-f5c677d18f14c73498336fcc",
     "author_name": "WinDrawWin",
     "author_href": "/sources/windrawwin-com/",
     "source_group": "websites",
     "trust_tier": "probation",
     "market_label": "1X2, match result",
     "market_key": "1x2",
     "choice": "Olimpia",
     "choice_key": "2",
     "byline": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
     "logged_at": "2026-10-22T08:30:01.066Z",
     "posted_at": null,
     "author_quoted_price": null,
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "closing_line": null,
     "outcome_label": "Void",
     "pre_match": true,
     "outcome_pending_reason": "The match was moved by 105 hours after this pick was recorded; a match moved by more than 48 hours is void",
     "proof": "/sources/windrawwin-com/products/windrawwin-paraguay/picks/3/#pick-n-f5c677d18f14c73498336fcc",
     "original": null,
     "contradictory": false,
     "authorship": null,
     "source_type": "telegram_channels",
     "own_page": true,
     "trust_settled_count": 838
    }
   ],
   "not_counted": [],
   "after_start": [],
   "forecaster_split": {
    "contracts": [
     {
      "contract_code": "1x2|*|match|*|*#explicit",
      "source_group": "explicit",
      "market_label": "1X2, match result",
      "market_key": "1x2",
      "choices": [
       {
        "code_name": "1",
        "in_words": "Sportivo Ameliano",
        "tips": [],
        "figure": 0
       },
       {
        "code_name": "X",
        "in_words": "Draw",
        "tips": [],
        "figure": 0
       },
       {
        "code_name": "2",
        "in_words": "Olimpia",
        "tips": [
         {
          "author_name": "WinDrawWin",
          "entry_id": "n-f5c677d18f14c73498336fcc",
          "outcome_label": "Void",
          "source_group": "websites"
         }
        ],
        "figure": 1
       }
      ],
      "n": 1,
      "publisher_count": 1
     }
    ],
    "author_count": 1,
    "below_threshold": {
     "prediction_count": 0,
     "author_count": 0
    },
    "limit": 10
   },
   "chain": null,
   "differing_choices": 0,
   "visible_who": 0,
   "newcomers_who": 1,
   "newcomers_before": 1,
   "titles_shown": true,
   "legend": "Badges show titles earned before this prediction, by published rules."
  },
  "arguments": {
   "topics": [],
   "against": [],
   "other_languages": 0,
   "other_language_hosts": [],
   "mode": "quotes",
   "topics_total": 0,
   "checkable": 0
  },
  "market_label": {
   "favourite_code": "2",
   "favourite": "Olimpia",
   "probabilities": [
    {
     "outcome_label": "1",
     "in_words": "Sportivo Ameliano",
     "percent_value": 22
    },
    {
     "outcome_label": "X",
     "in_words": "Draw",
     "percent_value": 26
    },
    {
     "outcome_label": "2",
     "in_words": "Olimpia",
     "percent_value": 52
    }
   ],
   "prices": {
    "1": "4.17",
    "X": "3.50",
    "2": "1.75"
   },
   "group_count": 12,
   "bookmakers": 14,
   "snapshot_at": "2026-10-25T13:00:00.000Z",
   "closing_line": true,
   "first_at": "2026-10-23T15:10:14.458Z",
   "shift_pp": 0.8,
   "phrase": "The market has barely changed its mind since our first snapshot on 23 October 2026: Olimpia 51% then, 52% at kick-off.",
   "technique": "Median across groups of bookmakers, without margin: brands on one platform count once (median within the group); betting exchanges and prediction markets are excluded. Market price from an odds aggregator; the data provider is not named.",
   "t24": {
    "snapshot_at": "2026-10-24T13:00:00.000Z",
    "probabilities": {
     "1": 22,
     "2": 52,
     "X": 26
    }
   },
   "t2": {
    "snapshot_at": "2026-10-25T11:00:00.000Z",
    "probabilities": {
     "1": 23,
     "2": 51,
     "X": 26
    }
   }
  },
  "market_mode": "show",
  "fact_sheet": {
   "tournament": "División de Honor (Paraguay)",
   "matchday": "Clausura · Matchday 16",
   "starts_at": "2026-10-25T13:00:00.000Z",
   "form": {
    "home_side": [
     {
      "res": "D",
      "scoreline": "2-2",
      "opponent": "Cerro Porteño",
      "at_home": false,
      "data": "2026-10-18"
     },
     {
      "res": "L",
      "scoreline": "0-1",
      "opponent": "2 de Mayo",
      "at_home": false,
      "data": "2026-10-12"
     },
     {
      "res": "L",
      "scoreline": "1-2",
      "opponent": "Rubio Ñú",
      "at_home": true,
      "data": "2026-10-06"
     },
     {
      "res": "D",
      "scoreline": "1-1",
      "opponent": "Nacional Asunción",
      "at_home": false,
      "data": "2026-09-25"
     },
     {
      "res": "D",
      "scoreline": "1-1",
      "opponent": "Libertad",
      "at_home": false,
      "data": "2026-09-19"
     }
    ],
    "away": [
     {
      "res": "W",
      "scoreline": "3-0",
      "opponent": "2 de Mayo",
      "at_home": true,
      "data": "2026-10-21"
     },
     {
      "res": "D",
      "scoreline": "0-0",
      "opponent": "Rubio Ñú",
      "at_home": false,
      "data": "2026-10-11"
     },
     {
      "res": "D",
      "scoreline": "1-1",
      "opponent": "Nacional Asunción",
      "at_home": true,
      "data": "2026-10-06"
     },
     {
      "res": "D",
      "scoreline": "1-1",
      "opponent": "Sportivo Luqueño",
      "at_home": true,
      "data": "2026-10-01"
     },
     {
      "res": "W",
      "scoreline": "1-0",
      "opponent": "Libertad",
      "at_home": false,
      "data": "2026-09-28"
     }
    ]
   },
   "head_to_head": [
    {
     "data": "2026-08-16",
     "match_list": "Olimpia 2-1 Sportivo Ameliano",
     "event_id": "sm:19745670"
    },
    {
     "data": "2026-05-03",
     "match_list": "Olimpia 1-1 Sportivo Ameliano",
     "event_id": "sm:19643376"
    },
    {
     "data": "2026-02-28",
     "match_list": "Sportivo Ameliano 0-1 Olimpia",
     "event_id": "sm:19643310"
    }
   ],
   "past_cards": [],
   "reach": ""
  },
  "after_match": {
   "scoreline": "2-3",
   "fact_code": "2",
   "row_list": [
    "Match-result predictions from tipsters and sources with 10 or more predictions checked against the final score to date: 1 of 1 matched",
    "Most common selection among tipsters and sources with 10 or more predictions checked against the final score to date: Olimpia (1 of 1), matched",
    "Market favourite at kick-off: Olimpia (matched)"
   ],
   "by_group": {
    "websites": {
     "correct": 1,
     "of": 1
    }
   },
   "placement": null,
   "checks": []
  },
  "prices": [],
  "revisions": [
   "Market 24 hours before kick-off: Olimpia 52%.",
   "Market 2 hours before kick-off: Olimpia 51%.",
   "First published with predictions on 22 October 2026."
  ],
  "titles": {
   "shown": true,
   "legend": "Badges show titles earned before this prediction, by published rules.",
   "frozen_in": "sr-0192780339bb9d49e52a6b74"
  },
  "tracker": null,
  "source_groups": {
   "as_of": "2026-10-25T13:00:00.000Z",
   "groups": [
    {
     "key": "prediction_sites",
     "label": "Prediction sites"
    },
    {
     "key": "media",
     "label": "Media"
    },
    {
     "key": "telegram_channels",
     "label": "Telegram channels"
    },
    {
     "key": "private_authors",
     "label": "Independent tipsters"
    }
   ],
   "authors": 1,
   "by_group": [
    {
     "key": "prediction_sites",
     "authors": 0
    },
    {
     "key": "media",
     "authors": 0
    },
    {
     "key": "telegram_channels",
     "authors": 1
    },
    {
     "key": "private_authors",
     "authors": 0
    }
   ],
   "markets": [
    {
     "key": "1x2",
     "label": "Match result",
     "authors": 1,
     "by_group": [
      {
       "key": "prediction_sites",
       "authors": 0
      },
      {
       "key": "media",
       "authors": 0
      },
      {
       "key": "telegram_channels",
       "authors": 1
      },
      {
       "key": "private_authors",
       "authors": 0
      }
     ],
     "choices": [
      {
       "code_name": "1",
       "in_words": "Sportivo Ameliano",
       "authors": 0,
       "by_group": [
        {
         "key": "prediction_sites",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "media",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "telegram_channels",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "private_authors",
         "authors": 0
        }
       ]
      },
      {
       "code_name": "X",
       "in_words": "Draw",
       "authors": 0,
       "by_group": [
        {
         "key": "prediction_sites",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "media",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "telegram_channels",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "private_authors",
         "authors": 0
        }
       ]
      },
      {
       "code_name": "2",
       "in_words": "Olimpia",
       "authors": 1,
       "by_group": [
        {
         "key": "prediction_sites",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "media",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "telegram_channels",
         "authors": 1
        },
        {
         "key": "private_authors",
         "authors": 0
        }
       ]
      }
     ]
    },
    {
     "key": "totals",
     "label": "Goal totals",
     "authors": 0,
     "by_group": [
      {
       "key": "prediction_sites",
       "authors": 0
      },
      {
       "key": "media",
       "authors": 0
      },
      {
       "key": "telegram_channels",
       "authors": 0
      },
      {
       "key": "private_authors",
       "authors": 0
      }
     ]
    },
    {
     "key": "other",
     "label": "Handicaps, both teams to score, correct score and other markets",
     "authors": 0,
     "by_group": [
      {
       "key": "prediction_sites",
       "authors": 0
      },
      {
       "key": "media",
       "authors": 0
      },
      {
       "key": "telegram_channels",
       "authors": 0
      },
      {
       "key": "private_authors",
       "authors": 0
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  "market_line": {
   "line_state": "barely_moved",
   "line_frozen": true,
   "phrase": "Market line at kick-off (25 October 2026, 13:00 GMT): Sportivo Ameliano 22%, draw 26%, Olimpia 52%. From 23 October 2026, 16:10 BST to kick-off it barely moved: the largest change was 0.8 percentage points (Olimpia up).",
   "line_markets": [
    {
     "market_text": "1X2, match result",
     "market_group": "1x2",
     "line_kind": "median_line",
     "margin_included": false,
     "snapshot_at": "2026-10-25T13:00:00.000Z",
     "closing_line": true,
     "probabilities": [
      {
       "outcome_label": "1",
       "in_words": "Sportivo Ameliano",
       "percent_value": 22
      },
      {
       "outcome_label": "X",
       "in_words": "Draw",
       "percent_value": 26
      },
      {
       "outcome_label": "2",
       "in_words": "Olimpia",
       "percent_value": 52
      }
     ],
     "group_count": 12,
     "first_at": "2026-10-23T15:10:14.458Z",
     "first_probabilities": {
      "1": 22,
      "2": 51,
      "X": 26
     },
     "shift_pp": 0.8,
     "shift_outcome": "2",
     "shift_direction": "up",
     "line_state": "barely_moved",
     "phrase": "Market line at kick-off (25 October 2026, 13:00 GMT): Sportivo Ameliano 22%, draw 26%, Olimpia 52%. From 23 October 2026, 16:10 BST to kick-off it barely moved: the largest change was 0.8 percentage points (Olimpia up)."
    }
   ]
  },
  "pre_kickoff_snapshot": {
   "frozen_before_kickoff": true,
   "as_of_moment": "2026-10-25T13:00:00.000Z",
   "starts_at": "2026-10-25T13:00:00.000Z",
   "phrase": "Before kick-off on 25 October 2026, 13:00 GMT: market line at kick-off Sportivo Ameliano 22%, draw 26%, Olimpia 52%; 1X2, match result, recorded picks before the match (1): 0 on Sportivo Ameliano, 0 on the draw, 1 on Olimpia.",
   "market_line_brief": {
    "snapshot_at": "2026-10-25T13:00:00.000Z",
    "closing_line": true,
    "probabilities": {
     "1": 22,
     "X": 26,
     "2": 52
    }
   },
   "market_groups": [
    {
     "market_group": "1x2",
     "group_markets": [
      {
       "market_text": "1X2, match result",
       "prediction_count": 1,
       "row_count": 1,
       "market_choices": [
        {
         "choice": "Olimpia",
         "figure": 1
        }
       ],
       "phrase_mode": "listing",
       "leader_choice": null,
       "leader_count": null,
       "share_percent": 100,
       "phrase": "1X2, match result, recorded picks before the match (1): 0 on Sportivo Ameliano, 0 on the draw, 1 on Olimpia",
       "sides_1x2": [
        {
         "side": "1",
         "in_words": "Sportivo Ameliano",
         "figure": 0
        },
        {
         "side": "X",
         "in_words": "draw",
         "figure": 0
        },
        {
         "side": "2",
         "in_words": "Olimpia",
         "figure": 1
        }
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ],
   "predictions_before_kickoff": 1,
   "majority_threshold": {
    "min_predictions": 5,
    "min_share_percent": 60.0
   }
  },
  "teams_prev_next": [
   {
    "side": "home",
    "team": "Sportivo Ameliano",
    "team_url": null,
    "participant_id": "u-ad13fc481f87",
    "previous": {
     "kickoff": "2026-10-18T20:00:00.000Z",
     "name": "Cerro Porteño vs Sportivo Ameliano",
     "url": "/football/matches/cerro-porteno-vs-sportivo-ameliano-2026-10-18/",
     "competition": "División de Honor (Paraguay)",
     "state": "played",
     "score": "2-2"
    },
    "next": {
     "kickoff": "2026-10-31T20:00:00.000Z",
     "name": "Deportivo Recoleta vs Sportivo Ameliano",
     "url": null,
     "competition": "División de Honor (Paraguay)",
     "state": "played",
     "score": "3-0"
    },
    "why": null
   },
   {
    "side": "away",
    "team": "Olimpia",
    "team_url": null,
    "participant_id": "u-c4f150384757",
    "previous": {
     "kickoff": "2026-10-21T22:00:00.000Z",
     "name": "Olimpia vs 2 de Mayo",
     "url": null,
     "competition": "División de Honor (Paraguay)",
     "state": "played",
     "score": "3-0"
    },
    "next": {
     "kickoff": "2026-11-01T20:00:00.000Z",
     "name": "Cerro Porteño vs Olimpia",
     "url": "/football/matches/cerro-porteno-vs-olimpia-2026-11-01/",
     "competition": "División de Honor (Paraguay)",
     "state": "played",
     "score": "0-2"
    },
    "why": null
   }
  ]
 },
 "number_sets": [
  {
   "set": "match.market_line.percent",
   "entity": "/football/matches/sportivo-ameliano-vs-olimpia-2026-10-25/|1x2|1",
   "value": 22,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.market_line.percent",
   "entity": "/football/matches/sportivo-ameliano-vs-olimpia-2026-10-25/|1x2|X",
   "value": 26,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.market_line.percent",
   "entity": "/football/matches/sportivo-ameliano-vs-olimpia-2026-10-25/|1x2|2",
   "value": 52,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.before_kickoff.market",
   "entity": "/football/matches/sportivo-ameliano-vs-olimpia-2026-10-25/|1X2, match result",
   "value": 1,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.before_kickoff.leader_share_percent",
   "entity": "/football/matches/sportivo-ameliano-vs-olimpia-2026-10-25/|1X2, match result",
   "value": 100,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.before_kickoff.selection",
   "entity": "/football/matches/sportivo-ameliano-vs-olimpia-2026-10-25/|1X2, match result|Sportivo Ameliano",
   "value": 0,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.before_kickoff.selection",
   "entity": "/football/matches/sportivo-ameliano-vs-olimpia-2026-10-25/|1X2, match result|draw",
   "value": 0,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.before_kickoff.selection",
   "entity": "/football/matches/sportivo-ameliano-vs-olimpia-2026-10-25/|1X2, match result|Olimpia",
   "value": 1,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.other_forecasters",
   "entity": "/football/matches/sportivo-ameliano-vs-olimpia-2026-10-25/",
   "value": 1,
   "where": "new-forecasters",
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.snapshot",
   "entity": "/football/matches/sportivo-ameliano-vs-olimpia-2026-10-25/",
   "value": 8,
   "where": "pre-match-record",
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.snapshot.on_page",
   "entity": "/football/matches/sportivo-ameliano-vs-olimpia-2026-10-25/",
   "value": 1,
   "where": "pre-match-record",
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.snapshot.left",
   "entity": "/football/matches/sportivo-ameliano-vs-olimpia-2026-10-25/",
   "value": 7,
   "where": "pre-match-record",
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  }
 ],
 "data_changes": {
  "records_corrected": 0,
  "last_correction_at": null,
  "corrections_url": "/corrections/"
 },
 "entity_id": "event:s-5d873b7e8853",
 "source_revision": 52,
 "title_short": {
  "length": 65,
  "names": [
   "Ameliano",
   "Olimpia"
  ],
  "title": "Ameliano vs Olimpia: Predictions & Results — 25 Oct 2026",
  "title_length": 56
 }
}