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 "heading": "Sporting Kansas City vs Austin FC: recorded predictions and results",
 "description": "Sporting Kansas City vs Austin FC, 25 October 2026. Final score 1-2 · MLS: 4 distinct predictions from 4 authors.",
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  "body": "Sporting Kansas City finished 1-2 against Austin FC. None of the 2 recorded correct-score predictions matched that score. Other markets are shown separately below. 1 prediction found after kick-off is shown separately and excluded from the pre-match count. Forecast Record recorded 4 statements from 4 authors on Sporting Kansas City vs Austin FC (MLS, kick-off 25 October 2026): 4 distinct predictions, 3 of the statements recorded before kick-off.",
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    "entity_ref": "e-b0bfb9308866fece07daabfa",
    "name_shown": "FootballPredictions.com",
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   {
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    "type_code": "author_before_match",
    "moment_at": "2026-10-25T00:30:00.000Z",
    "freeze_at": "2026-10-25T02:27:23.516Z",
    "approach": "by_capture_time",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "counting_rule": "1",
    "figures": {
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     "method_version": "2.2",
     "net_points_hundredths": -118987,
     "period_from": "2026-10-14",
     "period_to": "2026-10-24",
     "price_rule": "Our market snapshot",
     "return_percent": "-13.22",
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     "staked_hundredths": 900000,
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   "titles_shown": true,
   "legend": "Badges show titles earned before this prediction, by published rules."
  },
  "arguments": {
   "topics": [],
   "against": [],
   "other_languages": 0,
   "other_language_hosts": [],
   "mode": "quotes",
   "topics_total": 0,
   "checkable": 0
  },
  "market_label": {
   "favourite_code": "1",
   "favourite": "Sporting Kansas City",
   "probabilities": [
    {
     "outcome_label": "1",
     "in_words": "Sporting Kansas City",
     "percent_value": 45
    },
    {
     "outcome_label": "X",
     "in_words": "Draw",
     "percent_value": 24
    },
    {
     "outcome_label": "2",
     "in_words": "Austin FC",
     "percent_value": 31
    }
   ],
   "prices": {
    "1": "2.08",
    "X": "3.90",
    "2": "3.00"
   },
   "group_count": 30,
   "bookmakers": 48,
   "snapshot_at": "2026-10-25T00:30:00.000Z",
   "closing_line": true,
   "first_at": "2026-10-22T00:00:27.637Z",
   "shift_pp": 1.3,
   "phrase": "The market has barely changed its mind since our first snapshot on 22 October 2026: Sporting Kansas City 44% then, 45% at kick-off.",
   "technique": "Median across groups of bookmakers, without margin: brands on one platform count once (median within the group); betting exchanges and prediction markets are excluded. Market price from an odds aggregator; the data provider is not named.",
   "t24": {
    "snapshot_at": "2026-10-24T00:30:00.000Z",
    "probabilities": {
     "1": 44,
     "2": 32,
     "X": 24
    }
   },
   "t2": {
    "snapshot_at": "2026-10-24T22:30:00.000Z",
    "probabilities": {
     "1": 43,
     "2": 32,
     "X": 24
    }
   }
  },
  "market_mode": "show",
  "fact_sheet": {
   "tournament": "MLS (United States)",
   "matchday": null,
   "starts_at": "2026-10-25T00:30:00.000Z",
   "form": {
    "home_side": [
     {
      "res": "L",
      "scoreline": "1-3",
      "opponent": "Real Salt Lake",
      "at_home": true,
      "data": "2026-10-18"
     },
     {
      "res": "L",
      "scoreline": "0-4",
      "opponent": "Nashville SC",
      "at_home": false,
      "data": "2026-10-15"
     },
     {
      "res": "D",
      "scoreline": "3-3",
      "opponent": "Portland Timbers",
      "at_home": true,
      "data": "2026-10-11"
     },
     {
      "res": "L",
      "scoreline": "1-2",
      "opponent": "Seattle Sounders FC",
      "at_home": false,
      "data": "2026-10-02"
     },
     {
      "res": "W",
      "scoreline": "2-0",
      "opponent": "Houston Dynamo",
      "at_home": false,
      "data": "2026-09-27"
     }
    ],
    "away": [
     {
      "res": "L",
      "scoreline": "1-2",
      "opponent": "Vancouver Whitecaps",
      "at_home": true,
      "data": "2026-10-18"
     },
     {
      "res": "L",
      "scoreline": "1-3",
      "opponent": "Los Angeles FC",
      "at_home": false,
      "data": "2026-10-15"
     },
     {
      "res": "L",
      "scoreline": "1-4",
      "opponent": "Nashville SC",
      "at_home": true,
      "data": "2026-10-11"
     },
     {
      "res": "D",
      "scoreline": "3-3",
      "opponent": "San Diego FC",
      "at_home": true,
      "data": "2026-09-27"
     },
     {
      "res": "D",
      "scoreline": "0-0",
      "opponent": "FC Dallas",
      "at_home": false,
      "data": "2026-09-20"
     }
    ]
   },
   "head_to_head": [],
   "past_cards": [],
   "reach": ""
  },
  "after_match": {
   "scoreline": "1-2",
   "fact_code": "2",
   "row_list": [
    "All recorded exact-score predictions: 0 of 2 matched",
    "Exact-score predictions from tipsters and sources with 10 or more predictions checked against the final score to date: 0 of 2 matched the score, 0 of 2 the outcome",
    "Market favourite at kick-off: Sporting Kansas City (missed)"
   ],
   "by_group": {},
   "placement": null,
   "checks": []
  },
  "prices": [],
  "revisions": [
   "Market 24 hours before kick-off: Sporting Kansas City 44%.",
   "Market 2 hours before kick-off: Sporting Kansas City 43%.",
   "First published with predictions on 23 October 2026."
  ],
  "titles": {
   "shown": true,
   "legend": "Badges show titles earned before this prediction, by published rules.",
   "frozen_in": "sr-be8283db561d2762ca75ad0a"
  },
  "tracker": null,
  "source_groups": {
   "as_of": "2026-10-25T00:30:00.000Z",
   "groups": [
    {
     "key": "prediction_sites",
     "label": "Prediction sites"
    },
    {
     "key": "media",
     "label": "Media"
    },
    {
     "key": "telegram_channels",
     "label": "Telegram channels"
    },
    {
     "key": "private_authors",
     "label": "Independent tipsters"
    }
   ],
   "authors": 3,
   "by_group": [
    {
     "key": "prediction_sites",
     "authors": 0
    },
    {
     "key": "media",
     "authors": 1
    },
    {
     "key": "telegram_channels",
     "authors": 2
    },
    {
     "key": "private_authors",
     "authors": 0
    }
   ],
   "markets": [
    {
     "key": "1x2",
     "label": "Match result",
     "authors": 0,
     "by_group": [
      {
       "key": "prediction_sites",
       "authors": 0
      },
      {
       "key": "media",
       "authors": 0
      },
      {
       "key": "telegram_channels",
       "authors": 0
      },
      {
       "key": "private_authors",
       "authors": 0
      }
     ],
     "choices": [
      {
       "code_name": "1",
       "in_words": "Sporting Kansas City",
       "authors": 0,
       "by_group": [
        {
         "key": "prediction_sites",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "media",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "telegram_channels",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "private_authors",
         "authors": 0
        }
       ]
      },
      {
       "code_name": "X",
       "in_words": "Draw",
       "authors": 0,
       "by_group": [
        {
         "key": "prediction_sites",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "media",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "telegram_channels",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "private_authors",
         "authors": 0
        }
       ]
      },
      {
       "code_name": "2",
       "in_words": "Austin FC",
       "authors": 0,
       "by_group": [
        {
         "key": "prediction_sites",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "media",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "telegram_channels",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "private_authors",
         "authors": 0
        }
       ]
      }
     ]
    },
    {
     "key": "totals",
     "label": "Goal totals",
     "authors": 1,
     "by_group": [
      {
       "key": "prediction_sites",
       "authors": 0
      },
      {
       "key": "media",
       "authors": 0
      },
      {
       "key": "telegram_channels",
       "authors": 1
      },
      {
       "key": "private_authors",
       "authors": 0
      }
     ]
    },
    {
     "key": "other",
     "label": "Handicaps, both teams to score, correct score and other markets",
     "authors": 2,
     "by_group": [
      {
       "key": "prediction_sites",
       "authors": 0
      },
      {
       "key": "media",
       "authors": 1
      },
      {
       "key": "telegram_channels",
       "authors": 1
      },
      {
       "key": "private_authors",
       "authors": 0
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  "market_line": {
   "line_state": "barely_moved",
   "line_frozen": true,
   "phrase": "Market line at kick-off (25 October 2026, 01:30 BST): Sporting Kansas City 45%, draw 24%, Austin FC 31%. From 22 October 2026, 01:00 BST to kick-off it barely moved: the largest change was 1.3 percentage points (Sporting Kansas City up).",
   "line_markets": [
    {
     "market_text": "1X2, match result",
     "market_group": "1x2",
     "line_kind": "median_line",
     "margin_included": false,
     "snapshot_at": "2026-10-25T00:30:00.000Z",
     "closing_line": true,
     "probabilities": [
      {
       "outcome_label": "1",
       "in_words": "Sporting Kansas City",
       "percent_value": 45
      },
      {
       "outcome_label": "X",
       "in_words": "Draw",
       "percent_value": 24
      },
      {
       "outcome_label": "2",
       "in_words": "Austin FC",
       "percent_value": 31
      }
     ],
     "group_count": 30,
     "first_at": "2026-10-22T00:00:27.637Z",
     "first_probabilities": {
      "1": 44,
      "2": 32,
      "X": 24
     },
     "shift_pp": 1.3,
     "shift_outcome": "1",
     "shift_direction": "up",
     "line_state": "barely_moved",
     "phrase": "Market line at kick-off (25 October 2026, 01:30 BST): Sporting Kansas City 45%, draw 24%, Austin FC 31%. From 22 October 2026, 01:00 BST to kick-off it barely moved: the largest change was 1.3 percentage points (Sporting Kansas City up)."
    },
    {
     "market_text": "Over/Under 3.5 goals",
     "market_group": "totals",
     "line_kind": "recorded_price",
     "margin_included": true,
     "closing_line": false,
     "price_sides": [
      {
       "choice": "over 3.5",
       "snapshot_price": "2.14",
       "percent_value": 47,
       "snapshot_at": "2026-10-24T00:11:23.735Z",
       "snapshot_count": 1,
       "first_snapshot_price": null,
       "first_at": null,
       "shift_pp": null,
       "shift_direction": null,
       "line_state": "single_snapshot"
      }
     ],
     "line_state": "single_snapshot",
     "phrase": "Over/Under 3.5 goals, over 3.5 goals: market price 2.14 on 24 October 2026, 01:11 BST (implied 47%, margin included)."
    }
   ]
  },
  "pre_kickoff_snapshot": {
   "frozen_before_kickoff": true,
   "as_of_moment": "2026-10-25T00:30:00.000Z",
   "starts_at": "2026-10-25T00:30:00.000Z",
   "phrase": "Before kick-off on 25 October 2026, 01:30 BST: market line at kick-off Sporting Kansas City 45%, draw 24%, Austin FC 31%; Over/Under 3.5 goals, recorded picks before the match (1): 1 on over 3.5 goals; Correct score, recorded picks before the match (2): 1 on Sporting Kansas City 1-1 Austin FC, 1 on Sporting Kansas City 4-4 Austin FC.",
   "market_line_brief": {
    "snapshot_at": "2026-10-25T00:30:00.000Z",
    "closing_line": true,
    "probabilities": {
     "1": 45,
     "X": 24,
     "2": 31
    }
   },
   "market_groups": [
    {
     "market_group": "totals",
     "group_markets": [
      {
       "market_text": "Over/Under 3.5 goals",
       "prediction_count": 1,
       "row_count": 1,
       "market_choices": [
        {
         "choice": "over 3.5",
         "figure": 1
        }
       ],
       "phrase_mode": "listing",
       "leader_choice": null,
       "leader_count": null,
       "share_percent": 100,
       "phrase": "Over/Under 3.5 goals, recorded picks before the match (1): 1 on over 3.5 goals"
      }
     ]
    },
    {
     "market_group": "other",
     "group_markets": [
      {
       "market_text": "Correct score",
       "prediction_count": 2,
       "row_count": 2,
       "market_choices": [
        {
         "choice": "Sporting Kansas City 1-1 Austin FC",
         "figure": 1
        },
        {
         "choice": "Sporting Kansas City 4-4 Austin FC",
         "figure": 1
        }
       ],
       "phrase_mode": "listing",
       "leader_choice": null,
       "leader_count": null,
       "share_percent": null,
       "phrase": "Correct score, recorded picks before the match (2): 1 on Sporting Kansas City 1-1 Austin FC, 1 on Sporting Kansas City 4-4 Austin FC"
      }
     ]
    }
   ],
   "predictions_before_kickoff": 3,
   "majority_threshold": {
    "min_predictions": 5,
    "min_share_percent": 60.0
   }
  },
  "teams_prev_next": [
   {
    "side": "home",
    "team": "Sporting Kansas City",
    "team_url": null,
    "participant_id": "u-ac23448291ec",
    "previous": {
     "kickoff": "2026-10-18T00:30:00.000Z",
     "name": "Sporting Kansas City vs Real Salt Lake",
     "url": "/football/matches/sporting-kansas-city-vs-real-salt-lake-2026-10-18/",
     "competition": "MLS",
     "state": "played",
     "score": "1-3"
    },
    "next": {
     "kickoff": "2026-10-29T00:30:00.000Z",
     "name": "Minnesota United vs Sporting Kansas City",
     "url": "/football/matches/minnesota-united-vs-sporting-kansas-city-2026-10-29/",
     "competition": "MLS",
     "state": "played",
     "score": "3-1"
    },
    "why": null
   },
   {
    "side": "away",
    "team": "Austin FC",
    "team_url": null,
    "participant_id": "u-1870ddf67987",
    "previous": {
     "kickoff": "2026-10-18T00:30:00.000Z",
     "name": "Austin FC vs Vancouver Whitecaps",
     "url": "/football/matches/austin-fc-vs-vancouver-whitecaps-2026-10-18/",
     "competition": "MLS",
     "state": "played",
     "score": "1-2"
    },
    "next": {
     "kickoff": "2026-10-29T00:30:00.000Z",
     "name": "Austin FC vs Real Salt Lake",
     "url": "/football/matches/austin-fc-vs-real-salt-lake-2026-10-29/",
     "competition": "MLS",
     "state": "played",
     "score": "1-2"
    },
    "why": null
   }
  ]
 },
 "number_sets": [
  {
   "set": "match.market_line.percent",
   "entity": "/football/matches/sporting-kansas-city-vs-austin-fc-2026-10-25/|1x2|1",
   "value": 45,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.market_line.percent",
   "entity": "/football/matches/sporting-kansas-city-vs-austin-fc-2026-10-25/|1x2|X",
   "value": 24,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.market_line.percent",
   "entity": "/football/matches/sporting-kansas-city-vs-austin-fc-2026-10-25/|1x2|2",
   "value": 31,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.recorded_price.percent",
   "entity": "/football/matches/sporting-kansas-city-vs-austin-fc-2026-10-25/|Over/Under 3.5 goals|over 3.5",
   "value": 47,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.before_kickoff.market",
   "entity": "/football/matches/sporting-kansas-city-vs-austin-fc-2026-10-25/|Over/Under 3.5 goals",
   "value": 1,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.before_kickoff.leader_share_percent",
   "entity": "/football/matches/sporting-kansas-city-vs-austin-fc-2026-10-25/|Over/Under 3.5 goals",
   "value": 100,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.before_kickoff.selection",
   "entity": "/football/matches/sporting-kansas-city-vs-austin-fc-2026-10-25/|Over/Under 3.5 goals|over 3.5",
   "value": 1,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.before_kickoff.market",
   "entity": "/football/matches/sporting-kansas-city-vs-austin-fc-2026-10-25/|Correct score",
   "value": 2,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.before_kickoff.selection",
   "entity": "/football/matches/sporting-kansas-city-vs-austin-fc-2026-10-25/|Correct score|Sporting Kansas City 1-1 Austin FC",
   "value": 1,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.before_kickoff.selection",
   "entity": "/football/matches/sporting-kansas-city-vs-austin-fc-2026-10-25/|Correct score|Sporting Kansas City 4-4 Austin FC",
   "value": 1,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.other_forecasters",
   "entity": "/football/matches/sporting-kansas-city-vs-austin-fc-2026-10-25/",
   "value": 3,
   "where": "new-forecasters",
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  }
 ],
 "data_changes": {
  "records_corrected": 0,
  "last_correction_at": null,
  "corrections_url": "/corrections/"
 },
 "entity_id": "event:s-88e96af175d8",
 "source_revision": 111
}