{ "schema_name": "page", "schema_version": "2.0", "page_type": "event", "url": "/football/matches/sparta-rotterdam-vs-afc-ajax-2026-10-25/", "canonical": "/football/matches/sparta-rotterdam-vs-afc-ajax-2026-10-25/", "language": "en", "hreflang": [], "translations": [], "heading": "Sparta Rotterdam vs AFC Ajax: recorded predictions and results", "description": "Sparta Rotterdam vs AFC Ajax, 25 October 2026. Final score 1-2 · Eredivisie: 13 distinct predictions from 9 authors.", "first_paragraph": { "body": "Sparta Rotterdam finished 1-2 against AFC Ajax. 1 of the 2 recorded correct-score predictions matched that score. Other markets are shown separately below. Forecast Record recorded 13 statements from 9 authors on Sparta Rotterdam vs AFC Ajax (Eredivisie, kick-off 25 October 2026): 13 distinct predictions, all of the statements recorded before kick-off.", "key_number": "13", "data": "2026-10-25", "source_info": "our own evidence archive", "brand": "Forecast Record" }, "indexable": true, "noindex_reason": null, "indexing_threshold": { "settled_count": 13, "date_count": 1, "required_settled": 0, "required_dates": 0 }, "data_date": "2026-10-25T18:07:16.434Z", "built_at": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z", "lastmod": "2026-11-08T02:12:33.000Z", "content_hash": null, "meaning_hash": "c1b2dd0c70a1d8cb0a8b32a200651c87f41897864c8142d7c3567cda25269f7b", "dependency_group": "event:s-2f7a600f8a8b", "release_id": "20261107-195223", "markup": [ { "type_code": "WebPage", "allowed": true, "cause": null }, { "type_code": "Organization", "allowed": true, "cause": null }, { "type_code": "SportsEvent", "allowed": true, "cause": null } ], "exports": [ { "type_code": "json", "url": "/football/matches/sparta-rotterdam-vs-afc-ajax-2026-10-25/index.json", "bytes": null }, { "type_code": "csv", "url": "/football/matches/sparta-rotterdam-vs-afc-ajax-2026-10-25/picks.csv", "bytes": null } ], "modules": { "affiliate": true, "api": true, "compare_yourself": false }, "affiliate_block": { "container": true, "request_url": "/partnery/moi", "disclosure": "Some links below are affiliate links and are marked as such. They never affect what you see above: the order of any table is computed before any commission is known.", "page_category": "event" }, "restrictions": { "name_withdrawn": false, "tracker_number": null, "withdrawn_quotes": [], "removed_at": null, "cause": null, "suspended_records": [], "withdrawal_log_number": 0 }, "page_links": { "methodology": "/methodology/", "right_of_reply": "/right-of-reply/", "source_coverage": "/coverage/", "corrections_log": "/corrections/", "api": "/api/", "claim": "/claim/" }, "event": { "id": "s-2f7a600f8a8b", "display_name": "Sparta Rotterdam — AFC Ajax", "competition_name": "Eredivisie", "starts_at": "2026-10-25T15:45:00.000Z", "status": "finished", "scoreline": "1-2", "condition": "finished", "condition_words": "finished", "result_received_at": "2026-10-25T18:07:16.434Z", "postponement": null, "consensus": { "market_label": "1X2, match result", "distribution": [ { "outcome_label": "AFC Ajax", "figure": 4, "share": "100.0" } ], "n": 4, "author_count": 4, 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"dates": { "fragment_at": null, "fragment_basis": "no", "source_page_at": null, "detected_at": "2026-10-23T16:29:38.038Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [ "no_date" ], "flag_words": "The source states no publication date.", "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "AFC Ajax", "author_odds": "1.46", "market_key": "1x2", "choice_key": "2", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "1X2, match result: AFC Ajax at 1.46" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "win", "scoreline": "1-2", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Won: the final score was Sparta Rotterdam 1-2 AFC Ajax." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "f89a6d0f4baf7cd9116c76b7c934b1c7aeff3efa7b812d1ba2184ca1114176e3", "series_key": "author_price", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "AFC Ajax", "decimal_odds": "1.46", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 4600, "executed_at": "2026-10-25T10:22:36.665Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "911ba5dd2068b7547f969f5ac4a044873bbdba6010779408b8b2da90c56ae0dd", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "AFC Ajax", "decimal_odds": "1.4878", "odds_role": "market_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 4878, 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"correct_score_market", "choice": "Sparta Rotterdam 1-2 AFC Ajax", "choice_key": "1-2", "byline": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "logged_at": "2026-10-16T05:09:38.100Z", "posted_at": "2026-10-15T17:17:31.000Z", "author_quoted_price": null, "our_snapshot": null, "closing_line": null, "outcome_label": "Won", "pre_match": true, "proof": "/sources/footballpredictions-com/picks/153/#pick-n-a016dd41d225cbfa6c35fedc", "original": null, "contradictory": false, "authorship": null, "source_type": "telegram_channels", "own_page": true, "trust_settled_count": 3753 }, { "entry_id": "n-11cc002a522fe087d3dcdeee", "author_name": "Tomasz Dmytruszyński", "author_href": "/authors/tomasz-dmytruszynski/", "source_group": "tipsters", "trust_tier": "probation", "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals", "market_key": "total", "choice": "over 3.5", "choice_key": "over", "byline": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "logged_at": "2026-10-24T20:22:50.280Z", "posted_at": "2026-10-24T20:20:21.000Z", "author_quoted_price": "1.83", "our_snapshot": "1.8650", "closing_line": null, "outcome_label": "Lost", "pre_match": true, "proof": "/authors/tomasz-dmytruszynski/picks/8/#pick-n-11cc002a522fe087d3dcdeee", "original": null, "contradictory": false, "authorship": null, "source_type": "media", "own_page": true, "trust_settled_count": 184 }, { "entry_id": "n-d09546e203021cf77d4f601a", "author_name": "WhoScored", "author_href": "/sources/whoscored-com/", "source_group": "websites", "trust_tier": "probation", "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals", "market_key": "total", "choice": "over 2.5", "choice_key": "over", "byline": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "logged_at": "2026-10-25T14:53:05.262Z", "posted_at": null, "author_quoted_price": null, "our_snapshot": "1.3300", "closing_line": null, "outcome_label": "Won", "pre_match": true, "proof": "/sources/whoscored-com/picks/16/#pick-n-d09546e203021cf77d4f601a", "original": null, "contradictory": false, "authorship": null, "source_type": "telegram_channels", "own_page": true, "trust_settled_count": 684 } ], "not_counted": [], "after_start": [], "forecaster_split": { "contracts": [ { "contract_code": "1x2|*|match|*|*#explicit", "source_group": "explicit", "market_label": "1X2, match result", "market_key": "1x2", "choices": [ { "code_name": "1", "in_words": "Sparta Rotterdam", "tips": [], "figure": 0 }, { "code_name": "X", "in_words": "Draw", "tips": [], "figure": 0 }, { "code_name": "2", "in_words": "AFC Ajax", "tips": [ { "author_name": "Arjan Van Tongerloo", "entry_id": "n-7d213f73da4037ac1e425d94", "outcome_label": "Won", "source_group": "tipsters" }, { "author_name": "Enrico Giordano", "entry_id": "n-af2a65892563c540202571cf", "outcome_label": "Won", "source_group": "tipsters" }, { "author_name": "Ilies Peeters", "entry_id": "n-635d58e911421ef4969f324f", "outcome_label": "Won", "source_group": "tipsters" }, { "author_name": "WhoScored", "entry_id": "n-7e6afaee1aa4176eb1f7c5ea", "outcome_label": "Won", "source_group": "websites" } ], "figure": 4 } ], "n": 4, "publisher_count": 4 }, { "contract_code": "total|2.5|match|*|*#explicit", "source_group": "explicit", "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals", "market_key": "total", "choices": [ { "code_name": "over", "in_words": "over 2.5", "tips": [ { "author_name": "Arjan Van Tongerloo", "entry_id": "n-ddfd9c4081e491c70f4bae14", "outcome_label": "Won", "source_group": "tipsters" }, { "author_name": "Joshua Ojele", "entry_id": "n-8394ba5253c0286cfa6e1e95", "outcome_label": "Won", "source_group": "experts" }, { "author_name": "WhoScored", "entry_id": "n-d09546e203021cf77d4f601a", "outcome_label": "Won", "source_group": "websites" } ], "figure": 3 } ], "n": 3, "publisher_count": 3 }, { "contract_code": "correct_score_market|*|match|*|*#explicit", "source_group": "explicit", "market_label": "Correct score", "market_key": "correct_score_market", "choices": [ { "code_name": "1-2", "in_words": "Sparta Rotterdam 1-2 AFC Ajax", "tips": [ { "author_name": "FootballPredictions.com", "entry_id": "n-a016dd41d225cbfa6c35fedc", "outcome_label": "Won", "source_group": "websites" } ], "figure": 1 }, { "code_name": "1-3", "in_words": "Sparta Rotterdam 1-3 AFC Ajax", "tips": [ { "author_name": "Seye Omidiora", "entry_id": "n-f4d616f4b92a912d56368c10", "outcome_label": "Lost", "source_group": "experts" } ], "figure": 1 } ], "n": 2, "publisher_count": 2 }, { "contract_code": "both_teams_score|*|match|*|*#explicit", "source_group": "explicit", "market_label": "Both teams to score", "market_key": "both_teams_score", "choices": [ { "code_name": "yes", "in_words": "yes", "tips": [ { "author_name": "Joshua Ojele", "entry_id": "n-2f9d005ce4feeffd458f9037", "outcome_label": "Won", "source_group": "experts" } ], "figure": 1 } ], "n": 1, "publisher_count": 1 }, { "contract_code": "both_teams_score_and_result|*|match|*|*#explicit", "source_group": "explicit", "market_label": "Match result and both teams to score", "market_key": "both_teams_score_and_result", "choices": [ { "code_name": "2-yes", "in_words": "AFC Ajax win, both teams to score: yes", "tips": [ { "author_name": "Infobetting", "entry_id": "n-b9be357f663aa7c6c2937d4e", "outcome_label": "Won", "source_group": "websites" } ], "figure": 1 } ], "n": 1, "publisher_count": 1 }, { "contract_code": "total|3.5|match|*|*#explicit", "source_group": "explicit", "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals", "market_key": "total", "choices": [ { "code_name": "over", "in_words": "over 3.5", "tips": [ { "author_name": "Tomasz Dmytruszyński", "entry_id": "n-11cc002a522fe087d3dcdeee", "outcome_label": "Lost", "source_group": "tipsters" } ], "figure": 1 } ], "n": 1, "publisher_count": 1 }, { "contract_code": "team_total|1.5|match|*|*#explicit", "source_group": "explicit", "market_label": "Team goals over/under 1.5", "market_key": "team_total", "choices": [ { "code_name": "2-over", "in_words": "AFC Ajax over 1.5", "tips": [ { "author_name": "Arjan Van Tongerloo", "entry_id": "n-b88356dc15056bd6684d17b5", "outcome_label": "Won", "source_group": "tipsters" } ], "figure": 1 } ], "n": 1, "publisher_count": 1 } ], "author_count": 9, "below_threshold": { "prediction_count": 0, "author_count": 0 }, "limit": 10 }, "chain": { "publications": 5, "unique": 5, "comparable": 5, "admissible": 5, "contributions": 5 }, "differing_choices": 0, "visible_who": 4, "newcomers_who": 5, "newcomers_before": 8, "titles_shown": true, "legend": "Badges show titles earned before this prediction, by published rules." }, "arguments": { "topics": [ { "code_name": "other_topic", "display_name": "Other reasons", "checkable_item": false, "bullet_points": [ { "entry_id": "n-8394ba5253c0286cfa6e1e95", "author_name": "Joshua Ojele", "author_href": "/authors/joshua-ojele/", "source_group": "experts", "choice": "over 2.5", "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals", "logged_at": "2026-10-24T05:44:17.473Z", "original": "https://footballwhispers.com/blog/sparta-rotterdam-vs-ajax-prediction-25-10-2026/", "proof": "/authors/joshua-ojele/picks/5/#pick-n-8394ba5253c0286cfa6e1e95", "quote_text": "Five of the last seven meetings between the two teams have seen at least three goals scored", "retelling": null, "checkable_item": false, "against": false } ], "total_count": 1 }, { "code_name": "recent_form", "display_name": "Form", "checkable_item": false, "bullet_points": [ { "entry_id": "n-2f9d005ce4feeffd458f9037", "author_name": "Joshua Ojele", "author_href": "/authors/joshua-ojele/", "source_group": "experts", "choice": "yes", "market_label": "Both teams to score", "logged_at": "2026-10-24T05:44:17.473Z", "original": "https://footballwhispers.com/blog/sparta-rotterdam-vs-ajax-prediction-25-10-2026/", "proof": "/authors/joshua-ojele/picks/5/#pick-n-2f9d005ce4feeffd458f9037", "quote_text": "with Ajax managing just one clean sheet in their last eight matches", "retelling": null, "checkable_item": false, "against": false } ], "total_count": 1 }, { "code_name": "tactics", "display_name": "Tactics and style", "checkable_item": false, "bullet_points": [ { "entry_id": "n-f4d616f4b92a912d56368c10", "author_name": "Seye Omidiora", "author_href": "/authors/seye-omidiora/", "source_group": "experts", "choice": "Sparta Rotterdam 1-3 AFC Ajax", "market_label": "Correct score", "logged_at": "2026-10-24T13:10:11.535Z", "original": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/sparta-rotterdam/preview/sparta-vs-ajax-prediction-team-news-lineups_607526.html", "proof": "/authors/seye-omidiora/picks/3/#pick-n-f4d616f4b92a912d56368c10", "quote_text": "conceding 13 goals across their last four matches highlights the danger of adopting an open approach against the Amsterdam giants. The Castle Lords carry a…", "retelling": null, "checkable_item": false, "against": false } ], "total_count": 1 } ], "against": [], "other_languages": 2, "other_language_hosts": [ "bottadiculo.it", "infobetting.com" ], "mode": "quotes", "topics_total": 3, "checkable": 0 }, "market_label": { "favourite_code": "2", "favourite": "AFC Ajax", "probabilities": [ { "outcome_label": "1", "in_words": "Sparta Rotterdam", "percent_value": 18 }, { "outcome_label": "X", "in_words": "Draw", "percent_value": 20 }, { "outcome_label": "2", "in_words": "AFC Ajax", "percent_value": 63 } ], "prices": { "1": "5.26", "X": "4.80", "2": "1.50" }, "group_count": 13, "bookmakers": 15, "snapshot_at": "2026-10-25T15:45:00.000Z", "closing_line": true, "first_at": "2026-10-22T10:09:25.695Z", "shift_pp": 2.2, "phrase": "The market has barely changed its mind since our first snapshot on 22 October 2026: AFC Ajax 60% then, 63% at kick-off.", "technique": "Median across groups of bookmakers, without margin: brands on one platform count once (median within the group); betting exchanges and prediction markets are excluded. Market price from an odds aggregator; the data provider is not named.", "t24": { "snapshot_at": "2026-10-24T15:45:00.000Z", "probabilities": { "1": 16, "2": 65, "X": 19 } }, "t2": { "snapshot_at": "2026-10-25T13:45:00.000Z", "probabilities": { "1": 16, "2": 65, "X": 19 } } }, "market_mode": "show", "fact_sheet": { "tournament": "Eredivisie (Netherlands)", "matchday": "Matchweek 10", "starts_at": "2026-10-25T15:45:00.000Z", "form": { "home_side": [ { "res": "W", "scoreline": "3-2", "opponent": "Willem II Tilburg", "at_home": true, "data": "2026-10-17" }, { "res": "D", "scoreline": "3-3", "opponent": "Go Ahead Eagles", "at_home": false, "data": "2026-10-10" }, { "res": "L", "scoreline": "0-4", "opponent": "SC Heerenveen", "at_home": true, "data": "2026-09-19" }, { "res": "L", "scoreline": "1-4", "opponent": "PSV Eindhoven", "at_home": false, "data": "2026-09-13" }, { "res": "D", "scoreline": "2-2", "opponent": "PEC Zwolle", "at_home": true, "data": "2026-09-04" } ], "away": [ { "res": "W", "scoreline": "2-0", "opponent": "Atalanta", "at_home": true, "data": "2026-10-22" }, { "res": "W", "scoreline": "5-2", "opponent": "FC Groningen", "at_home": false, "data": "2026-10-18" }, { "res": "L", "scoreline": "1-2", "opponent": "Hajduk Split", "at_home": false, "data": "2026-10-15" }, { "res": "D", "scoreline": "1-1", "opponent": "NEC Nijmegen", "at_home": true, "data": "2026-10-10" }, { "res": "D", "scoreline": "2-2", "opponent": "Excelsior", "at_home": true, "data": "2026-09-19" } ] }, "head_to_head": [], "past_cards": [], "reach": "" }, "after_match": { "scoreline": "1-2", "fact_code": "2", "row_list": [ "Match-result predictions from tipsters and sources with 10 or more predictions checked against the final score to date: 4 of 4 matched · Tipsters 3 of 3 · Prediction sites 1 of 1", "All recorded exact-score predictions: 1 of 2 matched", "Exact-score predictions from tipsters and sources with 10 or more predictions checked against the final score to date: 1 of 2 matched the score, 2 of 2 the outcome", "Most common selection among tipsters and sources with 10 or more predictions checked against the final score to date: AFC Ajax (4 of 4), matched", "Market favourite at kick-off: AFC Ajax (matched)" ], "by_group": { "tipsters": { "correct": 3, "of": 3 }, "websites": { "correct": 1, "of": 1 } }, "placement": null, "checks": [] }, "prices": [ { "author_name": "Enrico Giordano", "choice": "AFC Ajax", "market_label": "1X2, match result", "author_quoted_price": "1.50", "our_snapshot": "1.4255", "closing_line": null }, { "author_name": "Joshua Ojele", "choice": "yes", "market_label": "Both teams to score", "author_quoted_price": "1.50", "our_snapshot": "1.4400", "closing_line": null }, { "author_name": "Infobetting", "choice": "AFC Ajax win, both teams to score: yes", "market_label": "Match result and both teams to score", "author_quoted_price": "2.45", "our_snapshot": "2.4000", "closing_line": null }, { "author_name": "Joshua Ojele", "choice": "over 2.5", "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals", "author_quoted_price": "1.36", "our_snapshot": "1.3400", "closing_line": null } ], "revisions": [ "Market 24 hours before kick-off: AFC Ajax 65%.", "Market 2 hours before kick-off: AFC Ajax 65%.", "First published with predictions on 23 October 2026." ], "titles": { "shown": true, "legend": "Badges show titles earned before this prediction, by published rules.", "frozen_in": "sr-f472f4757963cc44c5e7b804" }, "tracker": null, "source_groups": { "as_of": "2026-10-25T15:45:00.000Z", "groups": [ { "key": "prediction_sites", "label": "Prediction sites" }, { "key": "media", "label": "Media" }, { "key": "telegram_channels", "label": "Telegram channels" }, { "key": "private_authors", "label": "Independent tipsters" } ], "authors": 9, "by_group": [ { "key": "prediction_sites", "authors": 2 }, { "key": "media", "authors": 3 }, { "key": "telegram_channels", "authors": 3 }, { "key": "private_authors", "authors": 1 } ], "markets": [ { "key": "1x2", "label": "Match result", "authors": 4, "by_group": [ { "key": "prediction_sites", "authors": 2 }, { "key": "media", "authors": 0 }, { "key": "telegram_channels", "authors": 1 }, { "key": "private_authors", "authors": 1 } ], "choices": [ { "code_name": "1", "in_words": "Sparta Rotterdam", "authors": 0, "by_group": [ { "key": "prediction_sites", "authors": 0 }, { "key": "media", "authors": 0 }, { "key": "telegram_channels", "authors": 0 }, { "key": "private_authors", "authors": 0 } ] }, { "code_name": "X", "in_words": "Draw", "authors": 0, "by_group": [ { "key": "prediction_sites", "authors": 0 }, { "key": "media", "authors": 0 }, { "key": "telegram_channels", "authors": 0 }, { "key": "private_authors", "authors": 0 } ] }, { "code_name": "2", "in_words": "AFC Ajax", "authors": 4, "by_group": [ { "key": "prediction_sites", "authors": 2 }, { "key": "media", "authors": 0 }, { "key": "telegram_channels", "authors": 1 }, { "key": "private_authors", "authors": 1 } ] } ] }, { "key": "totals", "label": "Goal totals", "authors": 4, "by_group": [ { "key": "prediction_sites", "authors": 0 }, { "key": "media", "authors": 2 }, { "key": "telegram_channels", "authors": 1 }, { "key": "private_authors", "authors": 1 } ] }, { "key": "other", "label": "Handicaps, both teams to score, correct score and other markets", "authors": 4, "by_group": [ { "key": "prediction_sites", "authors": 0 }, { "key": "media", "authors": 2 }, { "key": "telegram_channels", "authors": 2 }, { "key": "private_authors", "authors": 0 } ] } ] }, "market_line": { "line_state": "barely_moved", "line_frozen": true, "phrase": "Market line at kick-off (25 October 2026, 15:45 GMT): Sparta Rotterdam 18%, draw 20%, AFC Ajax 63%. From 22 October 2026, 11:09 BST to kick-off it barely moved: the largest change was 2.2 percentage points (AFC Ajax up).", "line_markets": [ { "market_text": "1X2, match result", "market_group": "1x2", "line_kind": "median_line", "margin_included": false, "snapshot_at": "2026-10-25T15:45:00.000Z", "closing_line": true, "probabilities": [ { "outcome_label": "1", "in_words": "Sparta Rotterdam", "percent_value": 18 }, { "outcome_label": "X", "in_words": "Draw", "percent_value": 20 }, { "outcome_label": "2", "in_words": "AFC Ajax", "percent_value": 63 } ], "group_count": 13, "first_at": "2026-10-22T10:09:25.695Z", "first_probabilities": { "1": 19, "2": 60, "X": 20 }, "shift_pp": 2.2, "shift_outcome": "2", "shift_direction": "up", "line_state": "barely_moved", "phrase": "Market line at kick-off (25 October 2026, 15:45 GMT): Sparta Rotterdam 18%, draw 20%, AFC Ajax 63%. From 22 October 2026, 11:09 BST to kick-off it barely moved: the largest change was 2.2 percentage points (AFC Ajax up)." }, { "market_text": "Both teams to score", "market_group": "other", "line_kind": "recorded_price", "margin_included": true, "closing_line": false, "price_sides": [ { "choice": "yes", "snapshot_price": "1.44", "percent_value": 69, "snapshot_at": "2026-10-24T05:43:56.156Z", "snapshot_count": 1, "first_snapshot_price": null, "first_at": null, "shift_pp": null, "shift_direction": null, "line_state": "single_snapshot" } ], "line_state": "single_snapshot", "phrase": "Both teams to score, yes: market price 1.44 on 24 October 2026, 06:43 BST (implied 69%, margin included)." }, { "market_text": "Over/Under 2.5 goals", "market_group": "totals", "line_kind": "recorded_price", "margin_included": true, "closing_line": false, "price_sides": [ { "choice": "over 2.5", "snapshot_price": "1.33", "percent_value": 75, "snapshot_at": "2026-10-25T14:52:17.537Z", "snapshot_count": 3, "first_snapshot_price": "1.34", "first_at": "2026-10-23T16:29:34.449Z", "shift_pp": 0.8, "shift_direction": "up", "line_state": "barely_moved" } ], "line_state": "barely_moved", "phrase": "Over/Under 2.5 goals, over 2.5 goals: market price 1.33 on 25 October 2026, 14:52 GMT (implied 75%, margin included), 0.8 percentage points up from 23 October 2026, 17:29 BST." }, { "market_text": "Over/Under 3.5 goals", "market_group": "totals", "line_kind": "recorded_price", "margin_included": true, "closing_line": false, "price_sides": [ { "choice": "over 3.5", "snapshot_price": "1.86", "percent_value": 54, "snapshot_at": "2026-10-24T20:21:26.674Z", "snapshot_count": 1, "first_snapshot_price": null, "first_at": null, "shift_pp": null, "shift_direction": null, "line_state": "single_snapshot" } ], "line_state": "single_snapshot", "phrase": "Over/Under 3.5 goals, over 3.5 goals: market price 1.86 on 24 October 2026, 21:21 BST (implied 54%, margin included)." }, { "market_text": "Team goals over/under 1.5", "market_group": "totals", "line_kind": "recorded_price", "margin_included": true, "closing_line": false, "price_sides": [ { "choice": "AFC Ajax over 1.5", "snapshot_price": "1.34", "percent_value": 74, "snapshot_at": "2026-10-23T16:29:34.449Z", "snapshot_count": 1, "first_snapshot_price": null, "first_at": null, "shift_pp": null, "shift_direction": null, "line_state": "single_snapshot" } ], "line_state": "single_snapshot", "phrase": "Team goals over/under 1.5, AFC Ajax over 1.5 goals: market price 1.34 on 23 October 2026, 17:29 BST (implied 74%, margin included)." } ] }, "pre_kickoff_snapshot": { "frozen_before_kickoff": true, "as_of_moment": "2026-10-25T15:45:00.000Z", "starts_at": "2026-10-25T15:45:00.000Z", "phrase": "Before kick-off on 25 October 2026, 15:45 GMT: market line at kick-off Sparta Rotterdam 18%, draw 20%, AFC Ajax 63%; 1X2, match result, recorded picks before the match (4): 0 on Sparta Rotterdam, 0 on the draw, 4 on AFC Ajax; Over/Under 2.5 goals, recorded picks before the match (3): 3 on over 2.5 goals; Correct score, recorded picks before the match (2): 1 on Sparta Rotterdam 1-2 AFC Ajax, 1 on Sparta Rotterdam 1-3 AFC Ajax.", "market_line_brief": { "snapshot_at": "2026-10-25T15:45:00.000Z", "closing_line": true, "probabilities": { "1": 18, "X": 20, "2": 63 } }, "market_groups": [ { "market_group": "1x2", "group_markets": [ { "market_text": "1X2, match result", "prediction_count": 4, "row_count": 4, "market_choices": [ { "choice": "AFC Ajax", "figure": 4 } ], "phrase_mode": "listing", "leader_choice": null, "leader_count": null, "share_percent": 100, "phrase": "1X2, match result, recorded picks before the match (4): 0 on Sparta Rotterdam, 0 on the draw, 4 on AFC Ajax", "sides_1x2": [ { "side": "1", "in_words": "Sparta Rotterdam", "figure": 0 }, { "side": "X", "in_words": "draw", "figure": 0 }, { "side": "2", "in_words": "AFC Ajax", "figure": 4 } ] } ] }, { "market_group": "totals", "group_markets": [ { "market_text": "Over/Under 2.5 goals", 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"leader_choice": null, "leader_count": null, "share_percent": 100, "phrase": "Match result and both teams to score, recorded picks before the match (1): 1 on AFC Ajax win, both teams to score: yes" } ] } ], "predictions_before_kickoff": 13, "majority_threshold": { "min_predictions": 5, "min_share_percent": 60.0 } }, "teams_prev_next": [ { "side": "home", "team": "Sparta Rotterdam", "team_url": "/football/teams/sparta-rotterdam/", "participant_id": "u-e2899d12895d", "previous": { "kickoff": "2026-10-17T19:00:00.000Z", "name": "Sparta Rotterdam vs Willem II Tilburg", "url": "/football/matches/sparta-rotterdam-vs-willem-ii-tilburg-2026-10-17/", "competition": "Eredivisie", "state": "played", "score": "3-2" }, "next": { "kickoff": "2026-11-01T15:45:00.000Z", "name": "FC Groningen vs Sparta Rotterdam", "url": "/football/matches/fc-groningen-vs-sparta-rotterdam-2026-11-01/", "competition": "Eredivisie", "state": "played", "score": "2-3" }, "why": null }, { "side": "away", "team": "AFC Ajax", 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}, { "set": "match.before_kickoff.selection", "entity": "/football/matches/sparta-rotterdam-vs-afc-ajax-2026-10-25/|Both teams to score|yes", "value": 1, "where": null, "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z" }, { "set": "match.before_kickoff.market", "entity": "/football/matches/sparta-rotterdam-vs-afc-ajax-2026-10-25/|Match result and both teams to score", "value": 1, "where": null, "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z" }, { "set": "match.before_kickoff.leader_share_percent", "entity": "/football/matches/sparta-rotterdam-vs-afc-ajax-2026-10-25/|Match result and both teams to score", "value": 100, "where": null, "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z" }, { "set": "match.before_kickoff.selection", "entity": "/football/matches/sparta-rotterdam-vs-afc-ajax-2026-10-25/|Match result and both teams to score|AFC Ajax win, both teams to score: yes", "value": 1, "where": null, "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z" }, { "set": "match.other_forecasters", "entity": 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