{ "schema_name": "page", "schema_version": "2.0", "page_type": "event", "url": "/football/matches/sc-freiburg-vs-fc-bayern-munchen-2026-10-25/", "canonical": "/football/matches/sc-freiburg-vs-fc-bayern-munchen-2026-10-25/", "language": "en", "hreflang": [], "translations": [], "heading": "SC Freiburg vs FC Bayern München: recorded predictions and results", "description": "SC Freiburg vs FC Bayern München, 25 October 2026. Final score 1-3 · Bundesliga: 24 distinct predictions from 16 authors.", "first_paragraph": { "body": "SC Freiburg finished 1-3 against FC Bayern München. None of the 3 recorded correct-score predictions matched that score. Other markets are shown separately below. 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There have been over 2.5 goals scored in 6 of Bayern Munich's last 6 matches.", "retelling": null, "checkable_item": false, "against": false } ], "total_count": 2 }, { "code_name": "tactics", "display_name": "Tactics and style", "checkable_item": false, "bullet_points": [ { "entry_id": "n-70885a074f205cc551377391", "author_name": "Free Super Tips", "author_href": "/sources/free-super-tips/", "source_group": "websites", "choice": "FC Bayern München win, both teams to score: yes", "market_label": "Match result and both teams to score", "logged_at": "2026-10-23T12:34:50.359Z", "original": "https://www.freesupertips.com/predictions/sc-freiburg-vs-bayern-munich-predictions-betting-tips-match-previews/", "proof": "/sources/free-super-tips/picks/25/#pick-n-70885a074f205cc551377391", "quote_text": "Bayern have scored 38 goals in 11 games this season but have kept just three clean sheets. Their defence could once again be exposed against a Freiburg side…", "retelling": null, "checkable_item": false, "against": false }, { "entry_id": "n-5940a16ae4ee8ce593375e2d", "author_name": "Baba", "author_href": "/authors/baba/", "source_group": "tipsters", "choice": "yes", "market_label": "Both teams to score", "logged_at": "2026-10-25T02:05:32.152Z", "original": "https://www.livetipsportal.com/en/sportsbetting-tips/sc-freiburg-vs-bayern-munich-bundesliga-12194365/", "proof": "/authors/baba/picks/173/#pick-n-5940a16ae4ee8ce593375e2d", "quote_text": "Given the attacking prowess both teams have displayed this season, this bet holds significant promise.", "retelling": null, "checkable_item": false, "against": false } ], "total_count": 2 }, { "code_name": "other_topic", "display_name": "Other reasons", "checkable_item": false, "bullet_points": [ { "entry_id": "n-318de9b04e4c2fcc916aa793", "author_name": "Lewis Nolan", "author_href": "/authors/lewis-nolan/", "source_group": "experts", "choice": "SC Freiburg 2-4 FC Bayern München", "market_label": "Correct score", "logged_at": "2026-10-23T15:10:06.894Z", "original": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/freiburg/bundesliga-title-race/preview/freiburg-vs-bayern-prediction-team-news-lineups_607552.html", "proof": "/authors/lewis-nolan/picks/10/#pick-n-318de9b04e4c2fcc916aa793", "quote_text": "With both teams having frequently found the back of the net, fans should expect to see a high-scoring game on Sunday. Bayern's record against Freiburg is…", "retelling": null, "checkable_item": false, "against": false } ], "total_count": 1 } ], "against": [], "other_languages": 1, "other_language_hosts": [ "sportwetten.bild.de" ], "mode": "quotes", "topics_total": 3, "checkable": 0 }, "market_label": { "favourite_code": "2", "favourite": "FC Bayern München", "probabilities": [ { "outcome_label": "1", "in_words": "SC Freiburg", "percent_value": 16 }, { "outcome_label": "X", "in_words": "Draw", "percent_value": 18 }, { "outcome_label": "2", "in_words": "FC Bayern München", "percent_value": 66 } ], "prices": { "1": "5.75", "X": "5.22", "2": "1.44" }, "group_count": 31, "bookmakers": 45, "snapshot_at": "2026-10-25T16:30:00.000Z", "closing_line": true, "first_at": "2026-10-22T10:09:25.695Z", "shift_pp": 3.4, "phrase": "The market has moved a little since our first snapshot on 22 October 2026: FC Bayern München 69% then, 66% at kick-off.", "technique": "Median across groups of bookmakers, without margin: brands on one platform count once (median within the group); betting exchanges and prediction markets are excluded. Market price from an odds aggregator; the data provider is not named.", "t24": { "snapshot_at": "2026-10-24T16:30:00.000Z", "probabilities": { "1": 14, "2": 69, "X": 16 } }, "t2": { "snapshot_at": "2026-10-25T14:30:00.000Z", "probabilities": { "1": 17, "2": 64, "X": 19 } } }, "market_mode": "show", "fact_sheet": { "tournament": "Bundesliga (Germany)", "matchday": "Matchweek 7", "starts_at": "2026-10-25T16:30:00.000Z", "form": { "home_side": [ { "res": "L", "scoreline": "0-3", "opponent": "Monaco", "at_home": false, "data": "2026-10-22" }, { "res": "L", "scoreline": "1-2", "opponent": "Bayer 04 Leverkusen", "at_home": false, "data": "2026-10-18" }, { "res": "W", "scoreline": "3-2", "opponent": "Jablonec", "at_home": true, "data": "2026-10-15" }, { "res": "W", "scoreline": "2-1", "opponent": "FC Schalke 04", "at_home": true, "data": "2026-10-11" }, { "res": "D", "scoreline": "2-2", "opponent": "Eintracht Frankfurt", "at_home": false, "data": "2026-09-19" } ], "away": [ { "res": "D", "scoreline": "2-2", "opponent": "Arsenal", "at_home": true, "data": "2026-10-21" }, { "res": "W", "scoreline": "6-1", "opponent": "RB Leipzig", "at_home": true, "data": "2026-10-17" }, { "res": "D", "scoreline": "3-3", "opponent": "Viking FK", "at_home": false, "data": "2026-10-13" }, { "res": "D", "scoreline": "2-2", "opponent": "FC Augsburg", "at_home": false, "data": "2026-10-10" }, { "res": "W", "scoreline": "7-0", "opponent": "1. FC Union Berlin", "at_home": true, "data": "2026-09-18" } ] }, "head_to_head": [], "past_cards": [], "reach": "" }, "after_match": { "scoreline": "1-3", "fact_code": "2", "row_list": [ "All recorded exact-score predictions: 0 of 3 matched", "Exact-score predictions from tipsters and sources with 10 or more predictions checked against the final score to date: 0 of 3 matched the score, 3 of 3 the outcome", "Market favourite at kick-off: FC Bayern München (matched)" ], "by_group": {}, "placement": null, "checks": [] }, "prices": [ { "author_name": "Tobias Brandt", "choice": "over 3.5", "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals", "author_quoted_price": "1.62", "our_snapshot": "1.6500", "closing_line": null }, { "author_name": "Free Super Tips", "choice": "FC Bayern München win, both teams to score: yes", "market_label": "Match result and both teams to score", "author_quoted_price": "2.10", "our_snapshot": "2.1000", "closing_line": null } ], "revisions": [ "Market 24 hours before kick-off: FC Bayern München 69%.", "Market 2 hours before kick-off: FC Bayern München 64%.", "First published with predictions on 22 October 2026." ], "titles": { "shown": true, "legend": "Badges show titles earned before this prediction, by published rules.", "frozen_in": "sr-4c52b42971d49a194023f297" }, "tracker": null, "source_groups": { "as_of": "2026-10-25T16:30:00.000Z", "groups": [ { "key": "prediction_sites", "label": "Prediction sites" }, { "key": "media", "label": "Media" }, { "key": "telegram_channels", "label": "Telegram channels" }, { "key": "private_authors", "label": "Independent tipsters" } ], "authors": 16, "by_group": [ { "key": "prediction_sites", "authors": 5 }, { "key": "media", "authors": 3 }, { "key": "telegram_channels", "authors": 5 }, { "key": "private_authors", "authors": 3 } ], "markets": [ { "key": "1x2", "label": "Match result", "authors": 0, "by_group": [ { "key": "prediction_sites", "authors": 0 }, { "key": "media", "authors": 0 }, { "key": "telegram_channels", "authors": 0 }, { "key": "private_authors", "authors": 0 } ], "choices": [ { "code_name": "1", "in_words": "SC Freiburg", "authors": 0, "by_group": [ { "key": "prediction_sites", "authors": 0 }, { "key": "media", "authors": 0 }, { "key": "telegram_channels", "authors": 0 }, { "key": "private_authors", "authors": 0 } ] }, { "code_name": "X", "in_words": "Draw", "authors": 0, "by_group": [ { "key": "prediction_sites", "authors": 0 }, { "key": "media", "authors": 0 }, { "key": "telegram_channels", "authors": 0 }, { "key": "private_authors", "authors": 0 } ] }, { "code_name": "2", "in_words": "FC Bayern München", "authors": 0, "by_group": [ { "key": "prediction_sites", "authors": 0 }, { "key": "media", "authors": 0 }, { "key": "telegram_channels", "authors": 0 }, { "key": "private_authors", "authors": 0 } ] } ] }, { "key": "totals", "label": "Goal totals", "authors": 10, "by_group": [ { "key": "prediction_sites", "authors": 4 }, { "key": "media", "authors": 1 }, { "key": "telegram_channels", "authors": 3 }, { "key": "private_authors", "authors": 2 } ] }, { "key": "other", "label": "Handicaps, both teams to score, correct score and other markets", "authors": 10, "by_group": [ { "key": "prediction_sites", "authors": 3 }, { "key": "media", "authors": 2 }, { "key": "telegram_channels", "authors": 2 }, { "key": "private_authors", "authors": 3 } ] } ] }, "market_line": { "line_state": "moved", "line_frozen": true, "phrase": "Market line at kick-off (25 October 2026, 16:30 GMT): SC Freiburg 16%, draw 18%, FC Bayern München 66%. From 22 October 2026, 11:09 BST to kick-off the line moved 3.4 percentage points (FC Bayern München down).", "line_markets": [ { "market_text": "1X2, match result", "market_group": "1x2", "line_kind": "median_line", "margin_included": false, "snapshot_at": "2026-10-25T16:30:00.000Z", "closing_line": true, "probabilities": [ { "outcome_label": "1", "in_words": "SC Freiburg", "percent_value": 16 }, { "outcome_label": "X", "in_words": "Draw", "percent_value": 18 }, { "outcome_label": "2", "in_words": "FC Bayern München", "percent_value": 66 } ], "group_count": 31, "first_at": "2026-10-22T10:09:25.695Z", "first_probabilities": { "1": 15, "2": 69, "X": 16 }, "shift_pp": 3.4, "shift_outcome": "2", "shift_direction": "down", "line_state": "moved", "phrase": "Market line at kick-off (25 October 2026, 16:30 GMT): SC Freiburg 16%, draw 18%, FC Bayern München 66%. From 22 October 2026, 11:09 BST to kick-off the line moved 3.4 percentage points (FC Bayern München down)." }, { "market_text": "Both teams to score", "market_group": "other", "line_kind": "recorded_price", "margin_included": true, "closing_line": false, "price_sides": [ { "choice": "yes", "snapshot_price": "1.39", "percent_value": 72, "snapshot_at": "2026-10-25T12:58:23.540Z", "snapshot_count": 6, "first_snapshot_price": "1.39", "first_at": "2026-10-23T10:19:47.664Z", "shift_pp": 0.0, "shift_direction": null, "line_state": "not_moved" } ], "line_state": "not_moved", "phrase": "Both teams to score, yes: market price 1.39 on 25 October 2026, 12:58 GMT (implied 72%, margin included), the same as on 23 October 2026, 11:19 BST." }, { "market_text": "Over/Under 2.5 goals", "market_group": "totals", "line_kind": "recorded_price", "margin_included": true, "closing_line": false, "price_sides": [ { "choice": "over 2.5", "snapshot_price": "1.27", "percent_value": 78, "snapshot_at": "2026-10-25T06:51:02.206Z", "snapshot_count": 4, "first_snapshot_price": "1.23", "first_at": "2026-10-23T18:15:08.771Z", "shift_pp": 2.9, "shift_direction": "down", "line_state": "barely_moved" } ], "line_state": "barely_moved", "phrase": "Over/Under 2.5 goals, over 2.5 goals: market price 1.27 on 25 October 2026, 06:51 GMT (implied 78%, margin included), 2.9 percentage points down from 23 October 2026, 19:15 BST." }, { "market_text": "Over/Under 3.5 goals", "market_group": "totals", "line_kind": "recorded_price", "margin_included": true, "closing_line": false, "price_sides": [ { "choice": "over 3.5", "snapshot_price": "1.66", "percent_value": 60, "snapshot_at": "2026-10-25T02:02:53.649Z", "snapshot_count": 5, "first_snapshot_price": "1.65", "first_at": "2026-10-23T06:56:28.439Z", "shift_pp": 0.4, "shift_direction": "down", "line_state": "barely_moved" } ], "line_state": "barely_moved", "phrase": "Over/Under 3.5 goals, over 3.5 goals: market price 1.66 on 25 October 2026, 02:02 GMT (implied 60%, margin included), 0.4 percentage points down from 23 October 2026, 07:56 BST." }, { "market_text": "Over/Under 4.5 goals", "market_group": "totals", "line_kind": "recorded_price", "margin_included": true, "closing_line": false, "price_sides": [ { "choice": "over 4.5", "snapshot_price": "2.40", "percent_value": 42, "snapshot_at": "2026-10-23T10:19:47.664Z", "snapshot_count": 1, "first_snapshot_price": null, "first_at": null, "shift_pp": null, "shift_direction": null, "line_state": "single_snapshot" } ], "line_state": "single_snapshot", "phrase": "Over/Under 4.5 goals, over 4.5 goals: market price 2.40 on 23 October 2026, 11:19 BST (implied 42%, margin included)." }, { "market_text": "Team goals over/under 1.5", "market_group": "totals", "line_kind": "recorded_price", "margin_included": true, "closing_line": false, "price_sides": [ { "choice": "SC Freiburg over 1.5", "snapshot_price": "2.56", "percent_value": 39, "snapshot_at": "2026-10-23T14:18:40.121Z", "snapshot_count": 1, "first_snapshot_price": null, "first_at": null, "shift_pp": null, "shift_direction": null, "line_state": "single_snapshot" } ], "line_state": "single_snapshot", "phrase": "Team goals over/under 1.5, SC Freiburg over 1.5 goals: market price 2.56 on 23 October 2026, 15:18 BST (implied 39%, margin included)." } ] }, "pre_kickoff_snapshot": { "frozen_before_kickoff": true, "as_of_moment": "2026-10-25T16:30:00.000Z", "starts_at": "2026-10-25T16:30:00.000Z", "phrase": "Before kick-off on 25 October 2026, 16:30 GMT: market line at kick-off SC Freiburg 16%, draw 18%, FC Bayern München 66%; Over/Under 3.5 goals: most expected over 3.5 goals (5 of 5 predictions); Both teams to score: most expected goals at both ends (6 of 6 predictions).", "market_line_brief": { "snapshot_at": "2026-10-25T16:30:00.000Z", "closing_line": true, "probabilities": { "1": 16, "X": 18, "2": 66 } }, "market_groups": [ { "market_group": "totals", "group_markets": [ { "market_text": "Over/Under 3.5 goals", "prediction_count": 5, "row_count": 5, "market_choices": [ { "choice": "over 3.5", "figure": 5 } ], "phrase_mode": "majority", "leader_choice": "over 3.5", "leader_count": 5, "share_percent": 100, "phrase": "Over/Under 3.5 goals: most expected over 3.5 goals (5 of 5 predictions)" }, { "market_text": "Over/Under 2.5 goals", "prediction_count": 4, "row_count": 4, "market_choices": [ { "choice": "over 2.5", "figure": 4 } ], "phrase_mode": "listing", "leader_choice": null, "leader_count": null, "share_percent": 100, "phrase": "Over/Under 2.5 goals, recorded picks before the match (4): 4 on over 2.5 goals" }, { "market_text": "Over/Under 4.5 goals", "prediction_count": 1, "row_count": 1, "market_choices": [ { "choice": "over 4.5", "figure": 1 } ], "phrase_mode": "listing", "leader_choice": null, "leader_count": null, "share_percent": 100, "phrase": "Over/Under 4.5 goals, recorded picks before the match (1): 1 on over 4.5 goals" }, { "market_text": "Team goals over/under 1.5", "prediction_count": 1, "row_count": 1, "market_choices": [ { "choice": "SC Freiburg over 1.5", "figure": 1 } ], "phrase_mode": "listing", "leader_choice": null, "leader_count": null, "share_percent": 100, "phrase": "Team goals over/under 1.5, recorded picks before the match (1): 1 on SC Freiburg over 1.5 goals" } ] }, { "market_group": "other", "group_markets": [ { "market_text": "Both teams to score", "prediction_count": 6, "row_count": 6, "market_choices": [ { "choice": "yes", "figure": 6 } ], "phrase_mode": "majority", "leader_choice": "yes", "leader_count": 6, "share_percent": 100, "phrase": "Both teams to score: most expected goals at both ends (6 of 6 predictions)" }, { "market_text": "Correct score", "prediction_count": 3, "row_count": 3, "market_choices": [ { "choice": "SC Freiburg 0-3 FC Bayern München", "figure": 1 }, { "choice": "SC Freiburg 1-2 FC Bayern München", "figure": 1 }, { "choice": "SC Freiburg 2-4 FC Bayern München", "figure": 1 } ], "phrase_mode": "listing", "leader_choice": null, "leader_count": null, "share_percent": null, "phrase": "Correct score, recorded picks before the match (3): 1 on SC Freiburg 0-3 FC Bayern München, 1 on SC Freiburg 1-2 FC Bayern München, 1 on SC Freiburg 2-4 FC Bayern München" }, { "market_text": "Match result and both teams to score", "prediction_count": 2, "row_count": 2, "market_choices": [ { "choice": "FC Bayern München win, both teams to score: yes", "figure": 2 } ], "phrase_mode": "listing", "leader_choice": null, "leader_count": null, "share_percent": 100, "phrase": "Match result and both teams to score, recorded picks before the match (2): 2 on FC Bayern München win, both teams to score: yes" }, { "market_text": "Double chance", "prediction_count": 1, "row_count": 1, "market_choices": [ { "choice": "SC Freiburg or draw", "figure": 1 } ], "phrase_mode": "listing", "leader_choice": null, "leader_count": null, "share_percent": 100, "phrase": "Double chance, recorded picks before the match (1): 1 on SC Freiburg or draw" }, { "market_text": "Player to score", "prediction_count": 1, "row_count": 1, "market_choices": [ { "choice": "Michael Olise to score", "figure": 1 } ], "phrase_mode": "listing", "leader_choice": null, "leader_count": null, "share_percent": 100, "phrase": "Player to score, recorded picks before the match (1): 1 on Michael Olise to score" } ] } ], "predictions_before_kickoff": 24, "majority_threshold": { "min_predictions": 5, "min_share_percent": 60.0 } }, "teams_prev_next": [ { "side": "home", "team": "SC Freiburg", "team_url": "/football/teams/sc-freiburg/", "participant_id": "u-d8da8395f85b", "previous": { "kickoff": "2026-10-22T19:00:00.000Z", "name": "Monaco vs SC Freiburg", "url": "/football/matches/monaco-vs-sc-freiburg-2026-10-22/", "competition": "UEFA Conference League", "state": "played", "score": "3-0" }, "next": { "kickoff": "2026-10-28T17:00:00.000Z", "name": "SC Freiburg vs VfL Wolfsburg", "url": 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