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 "heading": "Rotherham United vs Newcastle United U21: recorded predictions and results",
 "description": "Rotherham United vs Newcastle United U21, 3 November 2026. Final score 0-1 · EFL Trophy: 4 distinct predictions from 1 author.",
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  "body": "Rotherham United finished 0-1 against Newcastle United U21. The one recorded correct-score prediction (Rotherham United 3-1 Newcastle United U21) did not match. Other markets are shown separately below. Forecast Record recorded 4 statements from 1 author on Rotherham United vs Newcastle United U21 (EFL Trophy, kick-off 3 November 2026): 4 distinct predictions, all of the statements recorded before kick-off.",
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     "outcome_label": "2",
     "in_words": "Newcastle United U21",
     "percent_value": 21
    }
   ],
   "prices": {
    "1": "1.60",
    "X": "4.05",
    "2": "4.40"
   },
   "group_count": 12,
   "bookmakers": 14,
   "snapshot_at": "2026-11-03T19:00:00.000Z",
   "closing_line": true,
   "first_at": "2026-11-02T13:35:17.070Z",
   "shift_pp": 2.9,
   "phrase": "The market has barely changed its mind since our first snapshot on 2 November 2026: Rotherham United 54% then, 57% at kick-off.",
   "technique": "Median across groups of bookmakers, without margin: brands on one platform count once (median within the group); betting exchanges and prediction markets are excluded. Market price from an odds aggregator; the data provider is not named.",
   "t24": {
    "snapshot_at": "2026-11-02T19:00:00.000Z",
    "probabilities": {
     "1": 54,
     "2": 23,
     "X": 23
    }
   },
   "t2": {
    "snapshot_at": "2026-11-03T17:00:00.000Z",
    "probabilities": {
     "1": 46,
     "2": 30,
     "X": 24
    }
   }
  },
  "market_mode": "show",
  "fact_sheet": {
   "tournament": "EFL Trophy (England)",
   "matchday": "Group Stage · Matchday 3",
   "starts_at": "2026-11-03T19:00:00.000Z",
   "form": {
    "home_side": [
     {
      "res": "L",
      "scoreline": "1-2",
      "opponent": "Swindon",
      "at_home": false,
      "data": "2026-10-31"
     },
     {
      "res": "D",
      "scoreline": "3-3",
      "opponent": "Shrewsbury Town",
      "at_home": true,
      "data": "2026-10-24"
     },
     {
      "res": "D",
      "scoreline": "2-2",
      "opponent": "Newport County",
      "at_home": true,
      "data": "2026-10-20"
     },
     {
      "res": "L",
      "scoreline": "0-2",
      "opponent": "Fleetwood Town",
      "at_home": false,
      "data": "2026-10-17"
     },
     {
      "res": "L",
      "scoreline": "1-4",
      "opponent": "Gillingham",
      "at_home": true,
      "data": "2026-10-10"
     }
    ],
    "away": [
     {
      "res": "L",
      "scoreline": "1-2",
      "opponent": "Bradford City",
      "at_home": false,
      "data": "2026-09-22"
     },
     {
      "res": "W",
      "scoreline": "3-1",
      "opponent": "York City",
      "at_home": false,
      "data": "2026-09-15"
     }
    ]
   },
   "head_to_head": [],
   "past_cards": [],
   "reach": ""
  },
  "after_match": {
   "scoreline": "0-1",
   "fact_code": "2",
   "row_list": [
    "Match-result predictions from tipsters and sources with 10 or more predictions checked against the final score to date: 0 of 1 matched",
    "All recorded exact-score predictions: 0 of 1 matched",
    "Exact-score predictions from tipsters and sources with 10 or more predictions checked against the final score to date: 0 of 1 matched the score, 0 of 1 the outcome",
    "Most common selection among tipsters and sources with 10 or more predictions checked against the final score to date: Rotherham United (1 of 1), missed",
    "Market favourite at kick-off: Rotherham United (missed)"
   ],
   "by_group": {
    "websites": {
     "correct": 0,
     "of": 1
    }
   },
   "placement": null,
   "checks": []
  },
  "prices": [],
  "revisions": [
   "Market 24 hours before kick-off: Rotherham United 54%.",
   "Market 2 hours before kick-off: Rotherham United 46%.",
   "First published with predictions on 3 November 2026."
  ],
  "titles": {
   "shown": true,
   "legend": "Badges show titles earned before this prediction, by published rules.",
   "frozen_in": "sr-c2c066ae1649b1cae830d310"
  },
  "tracker": null,
  "source_groups": {
   "as_of": "2026-11-03T19:00:00.000Z",
   "groups": [
    {
     "key": "prediction_sites",
     "label": "Prediction sites"
    },
    {
     "key": "media",
     "label": "Media"
    },
    {
     "key": "telegram_channels",
     "label": "Telegram channels"
    },
    {
     "key": "private_authors",
     "label": "Independent tipsters"
    }
   ],
   "authors": 1,
   "by_group": [
    {
     "key": "prediction_sites",
     "authors": 0
    },
    {
     "key": "media",
     "authors": 0
    },
    {
     "key": "telegram_channels",
     "authors": 1
    },
    {
     "key": "private_authors",
     "authors": 0
    }
   ],
   "markets": [
    {
     "key": "1x2",
     "label": "Match result",
     "authors": 1,
     "by_group": [
      {
       "key": "prediction_sites",
       "authors": 0
      },
      {
       "key": "media",
       "authors": 0
      },
      {
       "key": "telegram_channels",
       "authors": 1
      },
      {
       "key": "private_authors",
       "authors": 0
      }
     ],
     "choices": [
      {
       "code_name": "1",
       "in_words": "Rotherham United",
       "authors": 1,
       "by_group": [
        {
         "key": "prediction_sites",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "media",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "telegram_channels",
         "authors": 1
        },
        {
         "key": "private_authors",
         "authors": 0
        }
       ]
      },
      {
       "code_name": "X",
       "in_words": "Draw",
       "authors": 0,
       "by_group": [
        {
         "key": "prediction_sites",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "media",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "telegram_channels",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "private_authors",
         "authors": 0
        }
       ]
      },
      {
       "code_name": "2",
       "in_words": "Newcastle United U21",
       "authors": 0,
       "by_group": [
        {
         "key": "prediction_sites",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "media",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "telegram_channels",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "private_authors",
         "authors": 0
        }
       ]
      }
     ]
    },
    {
     "key": "totals",
     "label": "Goal totals",
     "authors": 1,
     "by_group": [
      {
       "key": "prediction_sites",
       "authors": 0
      },
      {
       "key": "media",
       "authors": 0
      },
      {
       "key": "telegram_channels",
       "authors": 1
      },
      {
       "key": "private_authors",
       "authors": 0
      }
     ]
    },
    {
     "key": "other",
     "label": "Handicaps, both teams to score, correct score and other markets",
     "authors": 1,
     "by_group": [
      {
       "key": "prediction_sites",
       "authors": 0
      },
      {
       "key": "media",
       "authors": 0
      },
      {
       "key": "telegram_channels",
       "authors": 1
      },
      {
       "key": "private_authors",
       "authors": 0
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  "market_line": {
   "line_state": "barely_moved",
   "line_frozen": true,
   "phrase": "Market line at kick-off (3 November 2026, 19:00 GMT): Rotherham United 57%, draw 22%, Newcastle United U21 21%. From 2 November 2026, 13:35 GMT to kick-off it barely moved: the largest change was 2.9 percentage points (Rotherham United up).",
   "line_markets": [
    {
     "market_text": "1X2, match result",
     "market_group": "1x2",
     "line_kind": "median_line",
     "margin_included": false,
     "snapshot_at": "2026-11-03T19:00:00.000Z",
     "closing_line": true,
     "probabilities": [
      {
       "outcome_label": "1",
       "in_words": "Rotherham United",
       "percent_value": 57
      },
      {
       "outcome_label": "X",
       "in_words": "Draw",
       "percent_value": 22
      },
      {
       "outcome_label": "2",
       "in_words": "Newcastle United U21",
       "percent_value": 21
      }
     ],
     "group_count": 12,
     "first_at": "2026-11-02T13:35:17.070Z",
     "first_probabilities": {
      "1": 54,
      "2": 23,
      "X": 23
     },
     "shift_pp": 2.9,
     "shift_outcome": "1",
     "shift_direction": "up",
     "line_state": "barely_moved",
     "phrase": "Market line at kick-off (3 November 2026, 19:00 GMT): Rotherham United 57%, draw 22%, Newcastle United U21 21%. From 2 November 2026, 13:35 GMT to kick-off it barely moved: the largest change was 2.9 percentage points (Rotherham United up)."
    },
    {
     "market_text": "Both teams to score",
     "market_group": "other",
     "line_kind": "recorded_price",
     "margin_included": true,
     "closing_line": false,
     "price_sides": [
      {
       "choice": "yes",
       "snapshot_price": "1.38",
       "percent_value": 72,
       "snapshot_at": "2026-11-03T01:08:52.287Z",
       "snapshot_count": 1,
       "first_snapshot_price": null,
       "first_at": null,
       "shift_pp": null,
       "shift_direction": null,
       "line_state": "single_snapshot"
      }
     ],
     "line_state": "single_snapshot",
     "phrase": "Both teams to score, yes: market price 1.38 on 3 November 2026, 01:08 GMT (implied 72%, margin included)."
    },
    {
     "market_text": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
     "market_group": "totals",
     "line_kind": "recorded_price",
     "margin_included": true,
     "closing_line": false,
     "price_sides": [
      {
       "choice": "over 2.5",
       "snapshot_price": "1.32",
       "percent_value": 75,
       "snapshot_at": "2026-11-03T01:08:52.287Z",
       "snapshot_count": 1,
       "first_snapshot_price": null,
       "first_at": null,
       "shift_pp": null,
       "shift_direction": null,
       "line_state": "single_snapshot"
      }
     ],
     "line_state": "single_snapshot",
     "phrase": "Over/Under 2.5 goals, over 2.5 goals: market price 1.32 on 3 November 2026, 01:08 GMT (implied 75%, margin included)."
    }
   ]
  },
  "pre_kickoff_snapshot": {
   "frozen_before_kickoff": true,
   "as_of_moment": "2026-11-03T19:00:00.000Z",
   "starts_at": "2026-11-03T19:00:00.000Z",
   "phrase": "Before kick-off on 3 November 2026, 19:00 GMT: market line at kick-off Rotherham United 57%, draw 22%, Newcastle United U21 21%; 1X2, match result, recorded picks before the match (1): 1 on Rotherham United, 0 on the draw, 0 on Newcastle United U21; Over/Under 2.5 goals, recorded picks before the match (1): 1 on over 2.5 goals; Both teams to score, recorded picks before the match (1): 1 on yes.",
   "market_line_brief": {
    "snapshot_at": "2026-11-03T19:00:00.000Z",
    "closing_line": true,
    "probabilities": {
     "1": 57,
     "X": 22,
     "2": 21
    }
   },
   "market_groups": [
    {
     "market_group": "1x2",
     "group_markets": [
      {
       "market_text": "1X2, match result",
       "prediction_count": 1,
       "row_count": 1,
       "market_choices": [
        {
         "choice": "Rotherham United",
         "figure": 1
        }
       ],
       "phrase_mode": "listing",
       "leader_choice": null,
       "leader_count": null,
       "share_percent": 100,
       "phrase": "1X2, match result, recorded picks before the match (1): 1 on Rotherham United, 0 on the draw, 0 on Newcastle United U21",
       "sides_1x2": [
        {
         "side": "1",
         "in_words": "Rotherham United",
         "figure": 1
        },
        {
         "side": "X",
         "in_words": "draw",
         "figure": 0
        },
        {
         "side": "2",
         "in_words": "Newcastle United U21",
         "figure": 0
        }
       ]
      }
     ]
    },
    {
     "market_group": "totals",
     "group_markets": [
      {
       "market_text": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
       "prediction_count": 1,
       "row_count": 1,
       "market_choices": [
        {
         "choice": "over 2.5",
         "figure": 1
        }
       ],
       "phrase_mode": "listing",
       "leader_choice": null,
       "leader_count": null,
       "share_percent": 100,
       "phrase": "Over/Under 2.5 goals, recorded picks before the match (1): 1 on over 2.5 goals"
      }
     ]
    },
    {
     "market_group": "other",
     "group_markets": [
      {
       "market_text": "Both teams to score",
       "prediction_count": 1,
       "row_count": 1,
       "market_choices": [
        {
         "choice": "yes",
         "figure": 1
        }
       ],
       "phrase_mode": "listing",
       "leader_choice": null,
       "leader_count": null,
       "share_percent": 100,
       "phrase": "Both teams to score, recorded picks before the match (1): 1 on yes"
      },
      {
       "market_text": "Correct score",
       "prediction_count": 1,
       "row_count": 1,
       "market_choices": [
        {
         "choice": "Rotherham United 3-1 Newcastle United U21",
         "figure": 1
        }
       ],
       "phrase_mode": "listing",
       "leader_choice": null,
       "leader_count": null,
       "share_percent": 100,
       "phrase": "Correct score, recorded picks before the match (1): 1 on Rotherham United 3-1 Newcastle United U21"
      }
     ]
    }
   ],
   "predictions_before_kickoff": 4,
   "majority_threshold": {
    "min_predictions": 5,
    "min_share_percent": 60.0
   }
  },
  "teams_prev_next": [
   {
    "side": "home",
    "team": "Rotherham United",
    "team_url": null,
    "participant_id": "u-b333211fd2e5",
    "previous": {
     "kickoff": "2026-10-31T15:00:00.000Z",
     "name": "Swindon vs Rotherham United",
     "url": "/football/matches/swindon-vs-rotherham-united-2026-10-31/",
     "competition": "EFL League Two",
     "state": "played",
     "score": "2-1"
    },
    "next": {
     "kickoff": "2026-11-14T15:00:00.000Z",
     "name": "Rotherham United vs Crawley Town",
     "url": "/football/matches/rotherham-united-vs-crawley-town-2026-11-14/",
     "competition": "EFL League Two",
     "state": "upcoming",
     "score": null
    },
    "why": null
   },
   {
    "side": "away",
    "team": "Newcastle United U21",
    "team_url": null,
    "participant_id": "u-37a39ef10765",
    "previous": {
     "kickoff": "2026-09-22T18:30:00.000Z",
     "name": "Bradford City vs Newcastle United U21",
     "url": null,
     "competition": "EFL Trophy",
     "state": "played",
     "score": "2-1"
    },
    "next": null,
    "why": null
   }
  ]
 },
 "number_sets": [
  {
   "set": "match.market_line.percent",
   "entity": "/football/matches/rotherham-united-vs-newcastle-united-u21-2026-11-03/|1x2|1",
   "value": 57,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.market_line.percent",
   "entity": "/football/matches/rotherham-united-vs-newcastle-united-u21-2026-11-03/|1x2|X",
   "value": 22,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.market_line.percent",
   "entity": "/football/matches/rotherham-united-vs-newcastle-united-u21-2026-11-03/|1x2|2",
   "value": 21,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.recorded_price.percent",
   "entity": "/football/matches/rotherham-united-vs-newcastle-united-u21-2026-11-03/|Both teams to score|yes",
   "value": 72,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.recorded_price.percent",
   "entity": "/football/matches/rotherham-united-vs-newcastle-united-u21-2026-11-03/|Over/Under 2.5 goals|over 2.5",
   "value": 75,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.before_kickoff.market",
   "entity": "/football/matches/rotherham-united-vs-newcastle-united-u21-2026-11-03/|1X2, match result",
   "value": 1,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.before_kickoff.leader_share_percent",
   "entity": "/football/matches/rotherham-united-vs-newcastle-united-u21-2026-11-03/|1X2, match result",
   "value": 100,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.before_kickoff.selection",
   "entity": "/football/matches/rotherham-united-vs-newcastle-united-u21-2026-11-03/|1X2, match result|Rotherham United",
   "value": 1,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.before_kickoff.selection",
   "entity": "/football/matches/rotherham-united-vs-newcastle-united-u21-2026-11-03/|1X2, match result|draw",
   "value": 0,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.before_kickoff.selection",
   "entity": "/football/matches/rotherham-united-vs-newcastle-united-u21-2026-11-03/|1X2, match result|Newcastle United U21",
   "value": 0,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.before_kickoff.market",
   "entity": "/football/matches/rotherham-united-vs-newcastle-united-u21-2026-11-03/|Over/Under 2.5 goals",
   "value": 1,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.before_kickoff.leader_share_percent",
   "entity": "/football/matches/rotherham-united-vs-newcastle-united-u21-2026-11-03/|Over/Under 2.5 goals",
   "value": 100,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.before_kickoff.selection",
   "entity": "/football/matches/rotherham-united-vs-newcastle-united-u21-2026-11-03/|Over/Under 2.5 goals|over 2.5",
   "value": 1,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.before_kickoff.market",
   "entity": "/football/matches/rotherham-united-vs-newcastle-united-u21-2026-11-03/|Both teams to score",
   "value": 1,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.before_kickoff.leader_share_percent",
   "entity": "/football/matches/rotherham-united-vs-newcastle-united-u21-2026-11-03/|Both teams to score",
   "value": 100,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.before_kickoff.selection",
   "entity": "/football/matches/rotherham-united-vs-newcastle-united-u21-2026-11-03/|Both teams to score|yes",
   "value": 1,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.before_kickoff.market",
   "entity": "/football/matches/rotherham-united-vs-newcastle-united-u21-2026-11-03/|Correct score",
   "value": 1,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.before_kickoff.leader_share_percent",
   "entity": "/football/matches/rotherham-united-vs-newcastle-united-u21-2026-11-03/|Correct score",
   "value": 100,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.before_kickoff.selection",
   "entity": "/football/matches/rotherham-united-vs-newcastle-united-u21-2026-11-03/|Correct score|Rotherham United 3-1 Newcastle United U21",
   "value": 1,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.other_forecasters",
   "entity": "/football/matches/rotherham-united-vs-newcastle-united-u21-2026-11-03/",
   "value": 4,
   "where": "new-forecasters",
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  }
 ],
 "data_changes": {
  "records_corrected": 0,
  "last_correction_at": null,
  "corrections_url": "/corrections/"
 },
 "entity_id": "event:s-91606c918542",
 "source_revision": 26,
 "title_short": {
  "length": 62,
  "names": [
   "Rotherham",
   "Newcastle U21"
  ],
  "title": "Rotherham vs Newcastle U21: Results — 3 Nov 2026",
  "title_length": 48
 }
}