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 "heading": "Riga vs FC Kairat Almaty: recorded predictions and results",
 "description": "Riga vs FC Kairat Almaty, 15 October 2026. Final score 1-1 · UEFA Conference League: 4 distinct predictions from 4 authors.",
 "first_paragraph": {
  "body": "Riga finished 1-1 against FC Kairat Almaty. The recorded predictions are listed below by market, each with its own outcome. Forecast Record recorded 5 statements from 4 authors on Riga vs FC Kairat Almaty (UEFA Conference League, kick-off 15 October 2026): 4 distinct predictions, all of the statements recorded before kick-off.",
  "key_number": "5",
  "data": "2026-10-15",
  "source_info": "our own evidence archive",
  "brand": "Forecast Record"
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 "data_date": "2026-10-15T18:56:35.299Z",
 "built_at": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z",
 "lastmod": "2026-11-08T02:12:33.000Z",
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  {
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  "disclosure": "Some links below are affiliate links and are marked as such. They never affect what you see above: the order of any table is computed before any commission is known.",
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 "restrictions": {
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 "event": {
  "id": "s-4425bd4efb2a",
  "display_name": "Riga — FC Kairat Almaty",
  "competition_name": "UEFA Conference League",
  "starts_at": "2026-10-15T16:45:00.000Z",
  "status": "finished",
  "scoreline": "1-1",
  "condition": "finished",
  "condition_words": "finished",
  "result_received_at": "2026-10-15T18:56:35.299Z",
  "postponement": null,
  "consensus": {
   "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
   "distribution": [
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     "outcome_label": "under 2.5",
     "figure": 2,
     "share": "66.7"
    },
    {
     "outcome_label": "over 2.5",
     "figure": 1,
     "share": "33.3"
    }
   ],
   "n": 3,
   "author_count": 3,
   "median_odds": "1.84",
   "summary": "Most common recorded selection in this market: under 2.5 — 2 of 3 eligible picks (one per author), median stated price 1.84",
   "late_excluded": 0,
   "contributions": 3,
   "prediction_count": 3,
   "chain": {
    "publications": 4,
    "unique": 4,
    "comparable": 4,
    "admissible": 4,
    "contributions": 4
   },
   "differing_choices": 0,
   "different_products": 0,
   "counting_rule": "1"
  },
  "country_name": "Europe",
  "competition_full": "UEFA Conference League (Europe)"
 },
 "evidence_items": [
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   "observation_id": "n-36a09e2a8f77d09d288a4f60",
   "url": "/authors/daniele-cerato/picks/2/#pick-n-36a09e2a8f77d09d288a4f60",
   "quote_text": "in un incontro da meno di quattro gol in totale",
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   "source_info": {
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    "url": "https://www.sportytrader.it/pronostici/riga-fc-kairat-almaty-378667/",
    "display_name": null,
    "speaker": "Daniele Cerato",
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   "cause_code": "no_price_at_capture",
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    "display_name": "Riga — FC Kairat Almaty",
    "competition_name": "UEFA Conference League",
    "starts_at": "2026-10-15T16:45:00.000Z",
    "url": "/football/matches/riga-vs-fc-kairat-almaty-2026-10-15/",
    "scoreline": "1-1",
    "condition": "finished"
   },
   "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals",
   "outcome_label": "under 3.5",
   "odds_set": {
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   "withdrawn": false,
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   "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
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    "flags": [
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    ],
    "flag_words": "The source states no publication date.",
    "rule_version": "1.1"
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   "origin_detail": null,
   "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
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   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": {
    "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals",
    "choice": "under 3.5",
    "author_odds": null,
    "market_key": "total",
    "choice_key": "under",
    "period": "match",
    "line": "3.5",
    "subject": "goals_total",
    "in_words": "Over/Under 3.5 goals: under 3.5"
   },
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": "win",
    "scoreline": "1-1",
    "data_status": "measured",
    "cause": null,
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "Won: the final score was Riga 1-1 FC Kairat Almaty."
   },
   "settlements": [
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     "derived": false,
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     "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals",
     "choice": "under 3.5",
     "decimal_odds": null,
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     "stake_hundredths": null,
     "status": "skipped",
     "status_text": "Not executed: ",
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   ],
   "corrections": [],
   "funnel_stage": "prediction",
   "authorship": {
    "material_author": "Daniele Cerato",
    "publisher": "sportytrader.it",
    "forecaster": "Daniele Cerato",
    "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
    "basis": null,
    "status": "not_named",
    "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
    "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
    "evidence_fragment": null,
    "material_url": "https://www.sportytrader.it/pronostici/riga-fc-kairat-almaty-378667/",
    "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
    "verdict_by": null,
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  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-18d5ca9a9424e0390a6dc09c",
   "url": "/authors/aleksej-tarabrin/picks/4/#pick-n-18d5ca9a9424e0390a6dc09c",
   "quote_text": "Moj tip je ukupno manje od 2,5 gola.\n\nTip za klađenje\n\nUkupno manje od 2,5 gola\n\nCf\n\nKvote\n\n1.80",
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   "source_info": {
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    "url": "https://legalbet.rs/mec-centar/fc-riga-kairat-15-10-2026/",
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    "speaker": "Aleksej Tarabrin",
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   "detected_at": "2026-10-13T19:06:28.073Z",
   "executed_at": "2026-10-22T11:09:02.904Z",
   "statement_class": "priced",
   "status": "recognised",
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   "event": {
    "event_id": "s-4425bd4efb2a",
    "display_name": "Riga — FC Kairat Almaty",
    "competition_name": "UEFA Conference League",
    "starts_at": "2026-10-15T16:45:00.000Z",
    "url": "/football/matches/riga-vs-fc-kairat-almaty-2026-10-15/",
    "scoreline": "1-1",
    "condition": "finished"
   },
   "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
   "outcome_label": "under 2.5",
   "odds_set": {
    "by_author": "1.8",
    "our_snapshot": "1.8200",
    "our_snapshot_at": "2026-10-13T19:05:36.000Z",
    "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot",
    "closing": null,
    "closing_source": null
   },
   "stake_hundredths": 10000,
   "result": "win",
   "simulation_change_hundredths": 8200,
   "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
   "executed_by": "ours",
   "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
   "withdrawn": false,
   "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
   "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "dates": {
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    "fragment_basis": "no",
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    "detected_at": "2026-10-13T19:06:28.073Z",
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    "flags": [
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    ],
    "flag_words": "The source states no publication date.",
    "rule_version": "1.1"
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   "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
   "origin_detail": null,
   "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": {
    "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
    "choice": "under 2.5",
    "author_odds": "1.8",
    "market_key": "total",
    "choice_key": "under",
    "period": "match",
    "line": "2.5",
    "subject": "goals_total",
    "in_words": "Over/Under 2.5 goals: under 2.5 at 1.8"
   },
   "author_claim_outcome": {
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    "scoreline": "1-1",
    "data_status": "measured",
    "cause": null,
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "Won: the final score was Riga 1-1 FC Kairat Almaty."
   },
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     "series_label": "At the author's stated price",
     "derived": false,
     "site_simulation": true,
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     "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
     "choice": "under 2.5",
     "decimal_odds": "1.8",
     "odds_role": "author_price",
     "stake_hundredths": 10000,
     "status": "confirmed",
     "status_text": "Executed",
     "result": "win",
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     "change_hundredths": 8000,
     "executed_at": "2026-10-13T19:16:51.225Z",
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     "derived": false,
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     "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
     "choice": "under 2.5",
     "decimal_odds": "1.8200",
     "odds_role": "market_price",
     "stake_hundredths": 10000,
     "status": "confirmed",
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     "executed_at": "2026-10-22T11:09:02.904Z",
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "on_claim_market": true,
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   ],
   "corrections": [
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     "at": "2026-10-14T02:01:15.512Z",
     "field_name": "line sign",
     "was": "Over/Under −2.5 goals · under −2.5",
     "now": "Over/Under 2.5 goals · under 2.5",
     "cause": "Data corrected: line sign. The line of this over/under market was recorded with a minus sign; a total cannot be negative, and the source gives the line without one. The line now matches the source and the outcome is worked out on it. The pick was executed, and its settlement is recalculated on the corrected line; the earlier settlement stays in the record history."
    }
   ],
   "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
   "authorship": {
    "material_author": "Aleksej Tarabrin",
    "publisher": "Legalbet.rs",
    "forecaster": "Aleksej Tarabrin",
    "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
    "basis": null,
    "status": "not_named",
    "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
    "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
    "evidence_fragment": null,
    "material_url": "https://legalbet.rs/mec-centar/fc-riga-kairat-15-10-2026/",
    "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
    "verdict_by": null,
    "verdict_line": null
   },
   "correction": {
    "at": "2026-10-14T02:01:15.512Z",
    "field": "line sign",
    "reason": "Data corrected: line sign. The line of this over/under market was recorded with a minus sign; a total cannot be negative, and the source gives the line without one. The line now matches the source and the outcome is worked out on it. The pick was executed, and its settlement is recalculated on the c",
    "version": 2,
    "url": "/corrections/#c-0079864628b8",
    "text": "Corrected on 14 October 2026: Data corrected: line sign. The line of this over/under market was recorded with a minus sign; a total cannot be negative, and the source gives the line without one. The line now matches the source and"
   }
  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-70405d9a50ad2fe8705b2b2e",
   "url": "/sources/dailysports-net/picks/6/#pick-n-70405d9a50ad2fe8705b2b2e",
   "quote_text": "Recommended Bet: Over 2.5 Total Goals.\n\nPrediction on game\n\nTotal over 2.5\n\nOdds:\n\n2.03",
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    "url": "https://dailysports.net/predictions/can-rigas-winning-run-continue-against-kairat-riga-vs-kairat-prediction-october-15-2026/",
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   "detected_at": "2026-10-14T12:49:23.691Z",
   "executed_at": "2026-10-22T11:44:57.837Z",
   "statement_class": "priced",
   "status": "recognised",
   "cause": null,
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   "event": {
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    "display_name": "Riga — FC Kairat Almaty",
    "competition_name": "UEFA Conference League",
    "starts_at": "2026-10-15T16:45:00.000Z",
    "url": "/football/matches/riga-vs-fc-kairat-almaty-2026-10-15/",
    "scoreline": "1-1",
    "condition": "finished"
   },
   "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
   "outcome_label": "over 2.5",
   "odds_set": {
    "by_author": "2.03",
    "our_snapshot": "1.9800",
    "our_snapshot_at": "2026-10-14T12:45:36.000Z",
    "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot",
    "closing": null,
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   },
   "stake_hundredths": 10000,
   "result": "loss",
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   "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
   "executed_by": "ours",
   "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
   "withdrawn": false,
   "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
   "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
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   "author_claim": {
    "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
    "choice": "over 2.5",
    "author_odds": "2.03",
    "market_key": "total",
    "choice_key": "over",
    "period": "match",
    "line": "2.5",
    "subject": "goals_total",
    "in_words": "Over/Under 2.5 goals: over 2.5 at 2.03"
   },
   "author_claim_outcome": {
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    "scoreline": "1-1",
    "data_status": "measured",
    "cause": null,
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Riga 1-1 FC Kairat Almaty."
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     "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
     "choice": "over 2.5",
     "decimal_odds": "2.03",
     "odds_role": "author_price",
     "stake_hundredths": 10000,
     "status": "confirmed",
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     "result_words": "Lost",
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     "executed_at": "2026-10-14T12:50:11.797Z",
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     "site_simulation": true,
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     "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
     "choice": "over 2.5",
     "decimal_odds": "1.9800",
     "odds_role": "market_price",
     "stake_hundredths": 10000,
     "status": "confirmed",
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     "result": "loss",
     "result_words": "Lost",
     "change_hundredths": -10000,
     "executed_at": "2026-10-22T11:44:57.837Z",
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "on_claim_market": true,
     "replaced": false
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   ],
   "corrections": [],
   "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
   "authorship": {
    "material_author": "Dailysports",
    "publisher": "Dailysports",
    "forecaster": "Dailysports",
    "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
    "basis": null,
    "status": "not_named",
    "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
    "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
    "evidence_fragment": null,
    "material_url": "https://dailysports.net/predictions/can-rigas-winning-run-continue-against-kairat-riga-vs-kairat-prediction-october-15-2026/",
    "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
    "verdict_by": null,
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  },
  {
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   "url": "/sources/scores24-live/picks/10/#pick-n-9595cdf2d15ee6aa371f8065",
   "quote_text": "Total goals Under (2,5)\n\n--\n\n1.84",
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