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 "heading": "Puebla vs Monterrey: recorded predictions and results",
 "description": "Puebla vs Monterrey, 22 October 2026. Final score 1-4 · Liga MX: 7 distinct predictions from 3 authors.",
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  "body": "Puebla finished 1-4 against Monterrey. The recorded predictions are listed below by market, each with its own outcome. Forecast Record recorded 7 statements from 3 authors on Puebla vs Monterrey (Liga MX, kick-off 22 October 2026): 7 distinct predictions, all of the statements recorded before kick-off.",
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    "Most common selection among tipsters and sources with 10 or more predictions checked against the final score to date: Monterrey (2 of 3), matched",
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  "prices": [],
  "revisions": [
   "Market 2 hours before kick-off: Monterrey 51%.",
   "First published with predictions on 20 October 2026."
  ],
  "titles": {
   "shown": true,
   "legend": "Badges show titles earned before this prediction, by published rules.",
   "frozen_in": "sr-76405b33783ea3b3582f6265"
  },
  "tracker": null,
  "source_groups": {
   "as_of": "2026-10-22T01:00:00.000Z",
   "groups": [
    {
     "key": "prediction_sites",
     "label": "Prediction sites"
    },
    {
     "key": "media",
     "label": "Media"
    },
    {
     "key": "telegram_channels",
     "label": "Telegram channels"
    },
    {
     "key": "private_authors",
     "label": "Independent tipsters"
    }
   ],
   "authors": 3,
   "by_group": [
    {
     "key": "prediction_sites",
     "authors": 1
    },
    {
     "key": "media",
     "authors": 0
    },
    {
     "key": "telegram_channels",
     "authors": 2
    },
    {
     "key": "private_authors",
     "authors": 0
    }
   ],
   "markets": [
    {
     "key": "1x2",
     "label": "Match result",
     "authors": 3,
     "by_group": [
      {
       "key": "prediction_sites",
       "authors": 1
      },
      {
       "key": "media",
       "authors": 0
      },
      {
       "key": "telegram_channels",
       "authors": 2
      },
      {
       "key": "private_authors",
       "authors": 0
      }
     ],
     "choices": [
      {
       "code_name": "1",
       "in_words": "Puebla",
       "authors": 1,
       "by_group": [
        {
         "key": "prediction_sites",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "media",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "telegram_channels",
         "authors": 1
        },
        {
         "key": "private_authors",
         "authors": 0
        }
       ]
      },
      {
       "code_name": "X",
       "in_words": "Draw",
       "authors": 0,
       "by_group": [
        {
         "key": "prediction_sites",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "media",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "telegram_channels",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "private_authors",
         "authors": 0
        }
       ]
      },
      {
       "code_name": "2",
       "in_words": "Monterrey",
       "authors": 2,
       "by_group": [
        {
         "key": "prediction_sites",
         "authors": 1
        },
        {
         "key": "media",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "telegram_channels",
         "authors": 1
        },
        {
         "key": "private_authors",
         "authors": 0
        }
       ]
      }
     ]
    },
    {
     "key": "totals",
     "label": "Goal totals",
     "authors": 2,
     "by_group": [
      {
       "key": "prediction_sites",
       "authors": 1
      },
      {
       "key": "media",
       "authors": 0
      },
      {
       "key": "telegram_channels",
       "authors": 1
      },
      {
       "key": "private_authors",
       "authors": 0
      }
     ]
    },
    {
     "key": "other",
     "label": "Handicaps, both teams to score, correct score and other markets",
     "authors": 1,
     "by_group": [
      {
       "key": "prediction_sites",
       "authors": 0
      },
      {
       "key": "media",
       "authors": 0
      },
      {
       "key": "telegram_channels",
       "authors": 1
      },
      {
       "key": "private_authors",
       "authors": 0
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  "market_line": {
   "line_state": "barely_moved",
   "line_frozen": true,
   "phrase": "Market line at kick-off (22 October 2026, 02:00 BST): Puebla 24%, draw 26%, Monterrey 50%. From 21 October 2026, 04:00 BST to kick-off it barely moved: the largest change was 1.2 percentage points (Monterrey down).",
   "line_markets": [
    {
     "market_text": "1X2, match result",
     "market_group": "1x2",
     "line_kind": "median_line",
     "margin_included": false,
     "snapshot_at": "2026-10-22T01:00:00.000Z",
     "closing_line": true,
     "probabilities": [
      {
       "outcome_label": "1",
       "in_words": "Puebla",
       "percent_value": 24
      },
      {
       "outcome_label": "X",
       "in_words": "Draw",
       "percent_value": 26
      },
      {
       "outcome_label": "2",
       "in_words": "Monterrey",
       "percent_value": 50
      }
     ],
     "group_count": 22,
     "first_at": "2026-10-21T03:00:27.637Z",
     "first_probabilities": {
      "1": 24,
      "2": 51,
      "X": 25
     },
     "shift_pp": 1.2,
     "shift_outcome": "2",
     "shift_direction": "down",
     "line_state": "barely_moved",
     "phrase": "Market line at kick-off (22 October 2026, 02:00 BST): Puebla 24%, draw 26%, Monterrey 50%. From 21 October 2026, 04:00 BST to kick-off it barely moved: the largest change was 1.2 percentage points (Monterrey down)."
    },
    {
     "market_text": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
     "market_group": "totals",
     "line_kind": "recorded_price",
     "margin_included": true,
     "closing_line": false,
     "price_sides": [
      {
       "choice": "over 2.5",
       "snapshot_price": "1.71",
       "percent_value": 58,
       "snapshot_at": "2026-10-20T19:14:46.166Z",
       "snapshot_count": 1,
       "first_snapshot_price": null,
       "first_at": null,
       "shift_pp": null,
       "shift_direction": null,
       "line_state": "single_snapshot"
      },
      {
       "choice": "under 2.5",
       "snapshot_price": "2.09",
       "percent_value": 48,
       "snapshot_at": "2026-10-21T18:35:36.000Z",
       "snapshot_count": 1,
       "first_snapshot_price": null,
       "first_at": null,
       "shift_pp": null,
       "shift_direction": null,
       "line_state": "single_snapshot"
      }
     ],
     "line_state": "single_snapshot",
     "phrase": "Over/Under 2.5 goals, over 2.5 goals: market price 1.71 on 20 October 2026, 20:14 BST (implied 58%, margin included). Over/Under 2.5 goals, under 2.5 goals: market price 2.09 on 21 October 2026, 19:35 BST (implied 48%, margin included)."
    }
   ]
  },
  "pre_kickoff_snapshot": {
   "frozen_before_kickoff": true,
   "as_of_moment": "2026-10-22T01:00:00.000Z",
   "starts_at": "2026-10-22T01:00:00.000Z",
   "phrase": "Before kick-off on 22 October 2026, 02:00 BST: market line at kick-off Puebla 24%, draw 26%, Monterrey 50%; 1X2, match result, recorded picks before the match (3): 1 on Puebla, 0 on the draw, 2 on Monterrey; Over/Under 2.5 goals, recorded picks before the match (2): 1 on over 2.5 goals, 1 on under 2.5 goals.",
   "market_line_brief": {
    "snapshot_at": "2026-10-22T01:00:00.000Z",
    "closing_line": true,
    "probabilities": {
     "1": 24,
     "X": 26,
     "2": 50
    }
   },
   "market_groups": [
    {
     "market_group": "1x2",
     "group_markets": [
      {
       "market_text": "1X2, match result",
       "prediction_count": 3,
       "row_count": 3,
       "market_choices": [
        {
         "choice": "Monterrey",
         "figure": 2
        },
        {
         "choice": "Puebla",
         "figure": 1
        }
       ],
       "phrase_mode": "listing",
       "leader_choice": null,
       "leader_count": null,
       "share_percent": 67,
       "phrase": "1X2, match result, recorded picks before the match (3): 1 on Puebla, 0 on the draw, 2 on Monterrey",
       "sides_1x2": [
        {
         "side": "1",
         "in_words": "Puebla",
         "figure": 1
        },
        {
         "side": "X",
         "in_words": "draw",
         "figure": 0
        },
        {
         "side": "2",
         "in_words": "Monterrey",
         "figure": 2
        }
       ]
      }
     ]
    },
    {
     "market_group": "totals",
     "group_markets": [
      {
       "market_text": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
       "prediction_count": 2,
       "row_count": 2,
       "market_choices": [
        {
         "choice": "over 2.5",
         "figure": 1
        },
        {
         "choice": "under 2.5",
         "figure": 1
        }
       ],
       "phrase_mode": "listing",
       "leader_choice": null,
       "leader_count": null,
       "share_percent": null,
       "phrase": "Over/Under 2.5 goals, recorded picks before the match (2): 1 on over 2.5 goals, 1 on under 2.5 goals"
      },
      {
       "market_text": "Over/Under 1.5 goals",
       "prediction_count": 1,
       "row_count": 1,
       "market_choices": [
        {
         "choice": "over 1.5",
         "figure": 1
        }
       ],
       "phrase_mode": "listing",
       "leader_choice": null,
       "leader_count": null,
       "share_percent": 100,
       "phrase": "Over/Under 1.5 goals, recorded picks before the match (1): 1 on over 1.5 goals"
      },
      {
       "market_text": "Over/Under 10.5 corners",
       "prediction_count": 1,
       "row_count": 1,
       "market_choices": [
        {
         "choice": "over 10.5",
         "figure": 1
        }
       ],
       "phrase_mode": "listing",
       "leader_choice": null,
       "leader_count": null,
       "share_percent": 100,
       "phrase": "Over/Under 10.5 corners, recorded picks before the match (1): 1 on over 10.5 corners"
      }
     ]
    }
   ],
   "predictions_before_kickoff": 7,
   "majority_threshold": {
    "min_predictions": 5,
    "min_share_percent": 60.0
   }
  },
  "teams_prev_next": [
   {
    "side": "home",
    "team": "Puebla",
    "team_url": null,
    "participant_id": "u-58bd8f9f403f",
    "previous": {
     "kickoff": "2026-10-17T03:05:00.000Z",
     "name": "Club Tijuana vs Puebla",
     "url": "/football/matches/club-tijuana-vs-puebla-2026-10-17/",
     "competition": "Liga MX",
     "state": "played",
     "score": "0-0"
    },
    "next": {
     "kickoff": "2026-10-25T23:00:00.000Z",
     "name": "Atlas vs Puebla",
     "url": "/football/matches/atlas-vs-puebla-2026-10-25/",
     "competition": "Liga MX",
     "state": "played",
     "score": "4-3"
    },
    "why": null
   },
   {
    "side": "away",
    "team": "Monterrey",
    "team_url": null,
    "participant_id": "u-d06fc4d96483",
    "previous": {
     "kickoff": "2026-10-19T01:00:00.000Z",
     "name": "Monterrey vs CF Pachuca",
     "url": "/football/matches/monterrey-vs-cf-pachuca-2026-10-19/",
     "competition": "Liga MX",
     "state": "played",
     "score": "2-1"
    },
    "next": {
     "kickoff": "2026-10-25T02:00:00.000Z",
     "name": "Monterrey vs Guadalajara Chivas",
     "url": "/football/matches/monterrey-vs-guadalajara-chivas-2026-10-25/",
     "competition": "Liga MX",
     "state": "played",
     "score": "0-1"
    },
    "why": null
   }
  ]
 },
 "number_sets": [
  {
   "set": "match.market_line.percent",
   "entity": "/football/matches/puebla-vs-monterrey-2026-10-22/|1x2|1",
   "value": 24,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.market_line.percent",
   "entity": "/football/matches/puebla-vs-monterrey-2026-10-22/|1x2|X",
   "value": 26,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.market_line.percent",
   "entity": "/football/matches/puebla-vs-monterrey-2026-10-22/|1x2|2",
   "value": 50,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.recorded_price.percent",
   "entity": "/football/matches/puebla-vs-monterrey-2026-10-22/|Over/Under 2.5 goals|over 2.5",
   "value": 58,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.recorded_price.percent",
   "entity": "/football/matches/puebla-vs-monterrey-2026-10-22/|Over/Under 2.5 goals|under 2.5",
   "value": 48,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.before_kickoff.market",
   "entity": "/football/matches/puebla-vs-monterrey-2026-10-22/|1X2, match result",
   "value": 3,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.before_kickoff.leader_share_percent",
   "entity": "/football/matches/puebla-vs-monterrey-2026-10-22/|1X2, match result",
   "value": 67,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.before_kickoff.selection",
   "entity": "/football/matches/puebla-vs-monterrey-2026-10-22/|1X2, match result|Puebla",
   "value": 1,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.before_kickoff.selection",
   "entity": "/football/matches/puebla-vs-monterrey-2026-10-22/|1X2, match result|draw",
   "value": 0,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.before_kickoff.selection",
   "entity": "/football/matches/puebla-vs-monterrey-2026-10-22/|1X2, match result|Monterrey",
   "value": 2,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.before_kickoff.market",
   "entity": "/football/matches/puebla-vs-monterrey-2026-10-22/|Over/Under 2.5 goals",
   "value": 2,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.before_kickoff.selection",
   "entity": "/football/matches/puebla-vs-monterrey-2026-10-22/|Over/Under 2.5 goals|over 2.5",
   "value": 1,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.before_kickoff.selection",
   "entity": "/football/matches/puebla-vs-monterrey-2026-10-22/|Over/Under 2.5 goals|under 2.5",
   "value": 1,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.before_kickoff.market",
   "entity": "/football/matches/puebla-vs-monterrey-2026-10-22/|Over/Under 1.5 goals",
   "value": 1,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.before_kickoff.leader_share_percent",
   "entity": "/football/matches/puebla-vs-monterrey-2026-10-22/|Over/Under 1.5 goals",
   "value": 100,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.before_kickoff.selection",
   "entity": "/football/matches/puebla-vs-monterrey-2026-10-22/|Over/Under 1.5 goals|over 1.5",
   "value": 1,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.before_kickoff.market",
   "entity": "/football/matches/puebla-vs-monterrey-2026-10-22/|Over/Under 10.5 corners",
   "value": 1,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.before_kickoff.leader_share_percent",
   "entity": "/football/matches/puebla-vs-monterrey-2026-10-22/|Over/Under 10.5 corners",
   "value": 100,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.before_kickoff.selection",
   "entity": "/football/matches/puebla-vs-monterrey-2026-10-22/|Over/Under 10.5 corners|over 10.5",
   "value": 1,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.other_forecasters",
   "entity": "/football/matches/puebla-vs-monterrey-2026-10-22/",
   "value": 7,
   "where": "new-forecasters",
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.snapshot",
   "entity": "/football/matches/puebla-vs-monterrey-2026-10-22/",
   "value": 10,
   "where": "pre-match-record",
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.snapshot.on_page",
   "entity": "/football/matches/puebla-vs-monterrey-2026-10-22/",
   "value": 6,
   "where": "pre-match-record",
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.snapshot.left",
   "entity": "/football/matches/puebla-vs-monterrey-2026-10-22/",
   "value": 4,
   "where": "pre-match-record",
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  }
 ],
 "data_changes": {
  "records_corrected": 0,
  "last_correction_at": null,
  "corrections_url": "/corrections/"
 },
 "entity_id": "event:s-93ecea5fb61c",
 "source_revision": 102
}
