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 "heading": "Philadelphia Union vs Toronto FC: tipsters, sources and their records",
 "description": "4 predictions recorded for Philadelphia Union vs Toronto FC (MLS, 7 November 2026): authors, markets and recording times.",
 "first_paragraph": {
  "body": "Forecast Record recorded 4 statements from 3 authors on Philadelphia Union vs Toronto FC (MLS, kick-off 7 November 2026): 4 distinct predictions, all of the statements recorded before kick-off; the selections are listed below by market.",
  "key_number": "4",
  "data": "2026-11-07",
  "source_info": "our own evidence archive",
  "brand": "Forecast Record"
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 "data_date": "2026-11-05T21:16:55.590Z",
 "built_at": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z",
 "lastmod": "2026-11-08T02:12:33.000Z",
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 "dependency_group": "event:s-e620be72bdeb",
 "release_id": "20261107-195223",
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   "url": "/football/matches/philadelphia-union-vs-toronto-fc-2026-11-07/picks.csv",
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 "modules": {
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 "affiliate_block": {
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  "request_url": "/partnery/moi",
  "disclosure": "Some links below are affiliate links and are marked as such. They never affect what you see above: the order of any table is computed before any commission is known.",
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 "restrictions": {
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 "event": {
  "id": "s-e620be72bdeb",
  "display_name": "Philadelphia Union — Toronto FC",
  "competition_name": "MLS",
  "starts_at": "2026-11-07T21:00:00.000Z",
  "status": "scheduled",
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     "outcome_label": "Philadelphia Union",
     "figure": 2,
     "share": "100.0"
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   ],
   "n": 2,
   "author_count": 2,
   "median_odds": "1.39",
   "summary": "Most common recorded selection in this market: Philadelphia Union — 2 of 2 eligible picks (one per author), median stated price 1.39",
   "late_excluded": 0,
   "contributions": 2,
   "prediction_count": 2,
   "chain": {
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  },
  "country_name": "United States",
  "competition_full": "MLS (United States)"
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   "quote_text": "2\n\nPhiladelphia\n\n1\n\nToronto\n\nHome win",
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   "quote_text": "Notre pronostic Philadelphia Union - Toronto FC : victoire de Philadelphia Union !\n\nLe pronostic :\n\nPhiladelphia Union gagne\n\n1.39",
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      "body": "Bundesliga, week of 26 Oct 2026: 2/3 result calls right, first of 22 tipsters and sources with 3+ calls",
      "provenance": "live",
      "anchor_id": "title-1f2dc73852fb",
      "url": null,
      "tier": null,
      "event_at": "2026-11-01"
     },
     {
      "title_id": "zk-ca7508509979566f1f5d",
      "code_name": "S-01",
      "title_tier": "dated_record",
      "badge_label": "8 right in a row · 12 Oct",
      "body": "8 matches in a row, every pick correct · 11 Oct–12 Oct 2026",
      "provenance": "live",
      "anchor_id": "title-ca7508509979",
      "url": null,
      "tier": null,
      "event_at": "2026-10-12"
     }
    ]
   },
   {
    "name_shown": "Miguel Alvim",
    "url": "/authors/miguel-alvim/",
    "source_group": "tipsters",
    "settled_count": 1,
    "match_count": 1,
    "portion": "live",
    "portion_words": "Recorded before kick-off · return at our recorded market price",
    "return_percent": null,
    "too_few": true,
    "header_titles": [
     {
      "title_id": "zk-1d5292ed85a71802d687",
      "code_name": "P-01",
      "title_tier": "dated_record",
      "badge_label": "6/7 · week of 19 Oct",
      "body": "6/7 result calls right · week of 19 Oct 2026",
      "provenance": "live",
      "anchor_id": "title-1d5292ed85a7",
      "url": null,
      "tier": null,
      "event_at": "2026-10-25"
     }
    ]
   }
  ],
  "competition_authors_total": 9,
  "competition_authors_10": 4,
  "full": false,
  "facts_only": false,
  "checked_count": null,
  "window": {
   "d_minus_14_at": "2026-10-24T21:00:00.000Z",
   "d_minus_3_at": "2026-11-04T21:00:00.000Z"
  },
  "first_screen": {
   "body": "As of 5 November 2026, 21:16 UTC (latest recorded prediction), 2 tipsters and sources with 10 or more predictions checked against the final score to date had a 90-minute match-result prediction: Philadelphia Union 2 · Draw 0 · Toronto FC 0. Another 1 predicted an exact score (implied: Philadelphia Union 1 · Draw 0 · Toronto FC 0).",
   "byline": "Split of recorded tipsters and sources.",
   "outcome_split": {
    "1": 2,
    "X": 0,
    "2": 0
   },
   "forecasters_outcome": 2,
   "from_score": {
    "1": 1
   },
   "forecasters_from_score": 1,
   "other_markets_only": 0,
   "newcomers": null,
   "market_label": "Market favourite: Philadelphia Union · implied 66%",
   "market_at": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z",
   "predictions_at": "2026-11-05T21:16:55.590Z",
   "comparison": null
  },
  "who_what": {
   "contracts": [
    {
     "contract_code": "correct_score_market|*|match|*|*#explicit",
     "source_group": "explicit",
     "market_label": "Correct score",
     "market_key": "correct_score_market",
     "choices": [
      {
       "code_name": "2-0",
       "in_words": "Philadelphia Union 2-0 Toronto FC",
       "tips": [
        {
         "entry_id": "n-a2d3227269a5afeda2e11907",
         "author_name": "Joel Lefevre",
         "author_href": "/authors/joel-lefevre/",
         "source_group": "experts",
         "trust_tier": "tracked",
         "market_label": "Correct score",
         "market_key": "correct_score_market",
         "choice": "Philadelphia Union 2-0 Toronto FC",
         "choice_key": "2-0",
         "byline": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
         "logged_at": "2026-11-04T23:10:21.863Z",
         "posted_at": "2026-11-04T22:38:21.000Z",
         "author_quoted_price": null,
         "our_snapshot": null,
         "closing_line": null,
         "outcome_label": "Pending",
         "pre_match": true,
         "outcome_pending_reason": null,
         "proof": "/authors/joel-lefevre/picks/4/#pick-n-a2d3227269a5afeda2e11907",
         "original": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/philadelphia-union/preview/philadelphia-vs-toronto-prediction-team-news-lineups_608434.html",
         "contradictory": false,
         "authorship": null,
         "chips": [],
         "tracker": null,
         "tally": {
          "settled_picks": 1,
          "won": 0,
          "void": 0,
          "return_percent": "-100.0",
          "period_from": "2026-11-01",
          "period_to": "2026-11-01",
          "portion": "live",
          "market_label": "Correct score"
         },
         "prematch_tally": null,
         "source_type": "media",
         "entry_record": {
          "scope": "all",
          "competition": null,
          "market_key": null,
          "portion": "live",
          "n": 1,
          "won": 0,
          "lost": 1,
          "void": 0,
          "net_points_hundredths": -10000,
          "return_percent": "-100.0",
          "avg_odds": "10.00",
          "odds_from_author": 0,
          "odds_from_snapshot": 1,
          "league_market_n": 0,
          "market_n": 1,
          "small_sample": true,
          "period_from": "2026-11-01",
          "period_to": "2026-11-01",
          "as_of": "2026-11-07T21:00:00.000Z"
         },
         "repeats": 0,
         "publications": 1
        }
       ],
       "figure": 1
      }
     ],
     "n": 1,
     "publisher_count": 1
    }
   ],
   "newcomers": [
    {
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     "author_name": "Steeven Occhipinti",
     "author_href": "/authors/steeven-occhipinti/",
     "source_group": "tipsters",
     "trust_tier": "probation",
     "market_label": "1X2, match result",
     "market_key": "1x2",
     "choice": "Philadelphia Union",
     "choice_key": "1",
     "byline": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
     "logged_at": "2026-11-05T21:16:55.590Z",
     "posted_at": null,
     "author_quoted_price": "1.39",
     "our_snapshot": "1.4255",
     "closing_line": null,
     "outcome_label": "Pending",
     "pre_match": true,
     "proof": "/authors/steeven-occhipinti/picks/27/#pick-n-526ae950b442bc08c89fb197",
     "original": null,
     "contradictory": false,
     "authorship": null,
     "source_type": "prediction_sites",
     "own_page": true,
     "trust_settled_count": 221
    },
    {
     "entry_id": "n-ada08949e691dc6af9a1c3b6",
     "author_name": "WhoScored",
     "author_href": "/sources/whoscored-com/",
     "source_group": "websites",
     "trust_tier": "probation",
     "market_label": "1X2, match result",
     "market_key": "1x2",
     "choice": "Philadelphia Union",
     "choice_key": "1",
     "byline": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
     "logged_at": "2026-11-04T06:56:40.873Z",
     "posted_at": null,
     "author_quoted_price": null,
     "our_snapshot": "1.4255",
     "closing_line": null,
     "outcome_label": "Pending",
     "pre_match": true,
     "proof": "/sources/whoscored-com/picks/36/#pick-n-ada08949e691dc6af9a1c3b6",
     "original": null,
     "contradictory": false,
     "authorship": null,
     "source_type": "telegram_channels",
     "own_page": true,
     "trust_settled_count": 684
    },
    {
     "entry_id": "n-12114d718590489e0e80d2d4",
     "author_name": "WhoScored",
     "author_href": "/sources/whoscored-com/",
     "source_group": "websites",
     "trust_tier": "probation",
     "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
     "market_key": "total",
     "choice": "over 2.5",
     "choice_key": "over",
     "byline": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
     "logged_at": "2026-11-04T06:56:40.873Z",
     "posted_at": null,
     "author_quoted_price": null,
     "our_snapshot": "1.3636",
     "closing_line": null,
     "outcome_label": "Pending",
     "pre_match": true,
     "proof": "/sources/whoscored-com/picks/36/#pick-n-12114d718590489e0e80d2d4",
     "original": null,
     "contradictory": false,
     "authorship": null,
     "source_type": "telegram_channels",
     "own_page": true,
     "trust_settled_count": 684
    }
   ],
   "not_counted": [],
   "after_start": [],
   "forecaster_split": {
    "contracts": [
     {
      "contract_code": "1x2|*|match|*|*#explicit",
      "source_group": "explicit",
      "market_label": "1X2, match result",
      "market_key": "1x2",
      "choices": [
       {
        "code_name": "1",
        "in_words": "Philadelphia Union",
        "tips": [
         {
          "author_name": "Steeven Occhipinti",
          "entry_id": "n-526ae950b442bc08c89fb197",
          "outcome_label": "Pending",
          "source_group": "tipsters"
         },
         {
          "author_name": "WhoScored",
          "entry_id": "n-ada08949e691dc6af9a1c3b6",
          "outcome_label": "Pending",
          "source_group": "websites"
         }
        ],
        "figure": 2
       },
       {
        "code_name": "X",
        "in_words": "Draw",
        "tips": [],
        "figure": 0
       },
       {
        "code_name": "2",
        "in_words": "Toronto FC",
        "tips": [],
        "figure": 0
       }
      ],
      "n": 2,
      "publisher_count": 2
     },
     {
      "contract_code": "correct_score_market|*|match|*|*#explicit",
      "source_group": "explicit",
      "market_label": "Correct score",
      "market_key": "correct_score_market",
      "choices": [
       {
        "code_name": "2-0",
        "in_words": "Philadelphia Union 2-0 Toronto FC",
        "tips": [
         {
          "author_name": "Joel Lefevre",
          "entry_id": "n-a2d3227269a5afeda2e11907",
          "outcome_label": "Pending",
          "source_group": "experts"
         }
        ],
        "figure": 1
       }
      ],
      "n": 1,
      "publisher_count": 1
     },
     {
      "contract_code": "total|2.5|match|*|*#explicit",
      "source_group": "explicit",
      "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
      "market_key": "total",
      "choices": [
       {
        "code_name": "over",
        "in_words": "over 2.5",
        "tips": [
         {
          "author_name": "WhoScored",
          "entry_id": "n-12114d718590489e0e80d2d4",
          "outcome_label": "Pending",
          "source_group": "websites"
         }
        ],
        "figure": 1
       }
      ],
      "n": 1,
      "publisher_count": 1
     }
    ],
    "author_count": 3,
    "below_threshold": {
     "prediction_count": 0,
     "author_count": 0
    },
    "limit": 10
   },
   "chain": {
    "publications": 1,
    "unique": 1,
    "comparable": 1,
    "admissible": 1,
    "contributions": 1
   },
   "differing_choices": 0,
   "visible_who": 1,
   "newcomers_who": 2,
   "newcomers_before": 3,
   "titles_shown": true,
   "legend": "Badges show titles earned before this prediction, by published rules."
  },
  "arguments": {
   "topics": [
    {
     "code_name": "tactics",
     "display_name": "Tactics and style",
     "checkable_item": false,
     "bullet_points": [
      {
       "entry_id": "n-a2d3227269a5afeda2e11907",
       "author_name": "Joel Lefevre",
       "author_href": "/authors/joel-lefevre/",
       "source_group": "experts",
       "choice": "Philadelphia Union 2-0 Toronto FC",
       "market_label": "Correct score",
       "logged_at": "2026-11-04T23:10:21.863Z",
       "original": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/philadelphia-union/preview/philadelphia-vs-toronto-prediction-team-news-lineups_608434.html",
       "proof": "/authors/joel-lefevre/picks/4/#pick-n-a2d3227269a5afeda2e11907",
       "quote_text": "The Reds' defensive woes have hurt them all season, and against a Union side that have netted multiple goals in seven MLS home games since August, we believe…",
       "retelling": null,
       "checkable_item": false,
       "against": false
      }
     ],
     "total_count": 1
    }
   ],
   "against": [],
   "other_languages": 0,
   "other_language_hosts": [],
   "mode": "quotes",
   "topics_total": 1,
   "checkable": 0
  },
  "market_label": {
   "favourite_code": "1",
   "favourite": "Philadelphia Union",
   "probabilities": [
    {
     "outcome_label": "1",
     "in_words": "Philadelphia Union",
     "percent_value": 66
    },
    {
     "outcome_label": "X",
     "in_words": "Draw",
     "percent_value": 19
    },
    {
     "outcome_label": "2",
     "in_words": "Toronto FC",
     "percent_value": 16
    }
   ],
   "prices": {
    "1": "1.41",
    "X": "5.00",
    "2": "6.00"
   },
   "group_count": 31,
   "bookmakers": 48,
   "snapshot_at": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z",
   "closing_line": false,
   "first_at": "2026-11-06T21:00:00.000Z",
   "shift_pp": 0.5,
   "phrase": "The market has barely changed its mind since our first snapshot on 6 November 2026: Philadelphia Union 65% then, 66% now.",
   "technique": "Median across groups of bookmakers, without margin: brands on one platform count once (median within the group); betting exchanges and prediction markets are excluded. Market price from an odds aggregator; the data provider is not named.",
   "t24": {
    "snapshot_at": "2026-11-06T21:00:00.000Z",
    "probabilities": {
     "1": 65,
     "2": 16,
     "X": 19
    }
   },
   "t2": {
    "snapshot_at": "2026-11-07T19:00:00.000Z",
    "probabilities": {
     "1": 66,
     "2": 16,
     "X": 19
    }
   }
  },
  "market_mode": "show",
  "fact_sheet": {
   "tournament": "MLS (United States)",
   "matchday": null,
   "starts_at": "2026-11-07T21:00:00.000Z",
   "form": {
    "home_side": [
     {
      "res": "L",
      "scoreline": "0-1",
      "opponent": "FC Cincinnati",
      "at_home": false,
      "data": "2026-10-31"
     },
     {
      "res": "D",
      "scoreline": "0-0",
      "opponent": "Nashville SC",
      "at_home": false,
      "data": "2026-10-29"
     },
     {
      "res": "L",
      "scoreline": "1-2",
      "opponent": "New England Revolution",
      "at_home": true,
      "data": "2026-10-25"
     },
     {
      "res": "D",
      "scoreline": "2-2",
      "opponent": "Charlotte FC",
      "at_home": true,
      "data": "2026-10-17"
     },
     {
      "res": "W",
      "scoreline": "3-1",
      "opponent": "Chicago Fire",
      "at_home": false,
      "data": "2026-10-15"
     }
    ],
    "away": [
     {
      "res": "L",
      "scoreline": "1-3",
      "opponent": "Atlanta United",
      "at_home": false,
      "data": "2026-11-01"
     },
     {
      "res": "W",
      "scoreline": "2-1",
      "opponent": "DC United",
      "at_home": true,
      "data": "2026-10-28"
     },
     {
      "res": "L",
      "scoreline": "2-4",
      "opponent": "Columbus Crew",
      "at_home": false,
      "data": "2026-10-24"
     },
     {
      "res": "W",
      "scoreline": "2-0",
      "opponent": "New York Red Bulls",
      "at_home": false,
      "data": "2026-10-18"
     },
     {
      "res": "D",
      "scoreline": "3-3",
      "opponent": "Orlando City SC",
      "at_home": true,
      "data": "2026-10-15"
     }
    ]
   },
   "head_to_head": [],
   "past_cards": [],
   "reach": ""
  },
  "after_match": null,
  "prices": [],
  "revisions": [
   "Market 24 hours before kick-off: Philadelphia Union 65%.",
   "Market 2 hours before kick-off: Philadelphia Union 66%.",
   "First published with predictions on 6 November 2026."
  ],
  "titles": {
   "shown": true,
   "legend": "Badges show titles earned before this prediction, by published rules.",
   "frozen_in": null
  },
  "tracker": null,
  "source_groups": {
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T21:00:00.000Z",
   "groups": [
    {
     "key": "prediction_sites",
     "label": "Prediction sites"
    },
    {
     "key": "media",
     "label": "Media"
    },
    {
     "key": "telegram_channels",
     "label": "Telegram channels"
    },
    {
     "key": "private_authors",
     "label": "Independent tipsters"
    }
   ],
   "authors": 3,
   "by_group": [
    {
     "key": "prediction_sites",
     "authors": 1
    },
    {
     "key": "media",
     "authors": 1
    },
    {
     "key": "telegram_channels",
     "authors": 1
    },
    {
     "key": "private_authors",
     "authors": 0
    }
   ],
   "markets": [
    {
     "key": "1x2",
     "label": "Match result",
     "authors": 2,
     "by_group": [
      {
       "key": "prediction_sites",
       "authors": 1
      },
      {
       "key": "media",
       "authors": 0
      },
      {
       "key": "telegram_channels",
       "authors": 1
      },
      {
       "key": "private_authors",
       "authors": 0
      }
     ],
     "choices": [
      {
       "code_name": "1",
       "in_words": "Philadelphia Union",
       "authors": 2,
       "by_group": [
        {
         "key": "prediction_sites",
         "authors": 1
        },
        {
         "key": "media",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "telegram_channels",
         "authors": 1
        },
        {
         "key": "private_authors",
         "authors": 0
        }
       ]
      },
      {
       "code_name": "X",
       "in_words": "Draw",
       "authors": 0,
       "by_group": [
        {
         "key": "prediction_sites",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "media",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "telegram_channels",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "private_authors",
         "authors": 0
        }
       ]
      },
      {
       "code_name": "2",
       "in_words": "Toronto FC",
       "authors": 0,
       "by_group": [
        {
         "key": "prediction_sites",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "media",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "telegram_channels",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "private_authors",
         "authors": 0
        }
       ]
      }
     ]
    },
    {
     "key": "totals",
     "label": "Goal totals",
     "authors": 1,
     "by_group": [
      {
       "key": "prediction_sites",
       "authors": 0
      },
      {
       "key": "media",
       "authors": 0
      },
      {
       "key": "telegram_channels",
       "authors": 1
      },
      {
       "key": "private_authors",
       "authors": 0
      }
     ]
    },
    {
     "key": "other",
     "label": "Handicaps, both teams to score, correct score and other markets",
     "authors": 1,
     "by_group": [
      {
       "key": "prediction_sites",
       "authors": 0
      },
      {
       "key": "media",
       "authors": 1
      },
      {
       "key": "telegram_channels",
       "authors": 0
      },
      {
       "key": "private_authors",
       "authors": 0
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  "market_line": {
   "line_state": "barely_moved",
   "line_frozen": false,
   "phrase": "Market line on 7 November 2026, 19:52 GMT: Philadelphia Union 66%, draw 19%, Toronto FC 16%. Since 6 November 2026, 21:00 GMT it has barely moved: the largest change is 0.5 percentage points (Philadelphia Union up).",
   "line_markets": [
    {
     "market_text": "1X2, match result",
     "market_group": "1x2",
     "line_kind": "median_line",
     "margin_included": false,
     "snapshot_at": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z",
     "closing_line": false,
     "probabilities": [
      {
       "outcome_label": "1",
       "in_words": "Philadelphia Union",
       "percent_value": 66
      },
      {
       "outcome_label": "X",
       "in_words": "Draw",
       "percent_value": 19
      },
      {
       "outcome_label": "2",
       "in_words": "Toronto FC",
       "percent_value": 16
      }
     ],
     "group_count": 31,
     "first_at": "2026-11-06T21:00:00.000Z",
     "first_probabilities": {
      "1": 65,
      "2": 16,
      "X": 19
     },
     "shift_pp": 0.5,
     "shift_outcome": "1",
     "shift_direction": "up",
     "line_state": "barely_moved",
     "phrase": "Market line on 7 November 2026, 19:52 GMT: Philadelphia Union 66%, draw 19%, Toronto FC 16%. Since 6 November 2026, 21:00 GMT it has barely moved: the largest change is 0.5 percentage points (Philadelphia Union up)."
    },
    {
     "market_text": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
     "market_group": "totals",
     "line_kind": "recorded_price",
     "margin_included": true,
     "closing_line": false,
     "price_sides": [
      {
       "choice": "over 2.5",
       "snapshot_price": "1.36",
       "percent_value": 73,
       "snapshot_at": "2026-11-04T06:51:56.476Z",
       "snapshot_count": 1,
       "first_snapshot_price": null,
       "first_at": null,
       "shift_pp": null,
       "shift_direction": null,
       "line_state": "single_snapshot"
      }
     ],
     "line_state": "single_snapshot",
     "phrase": "Over/Under 2.5 goals, over 2.5 goals: market price 1.36 on 4 November 2026, 06:51 GMT (implied 73%, margin included)."
    }
   ]
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 "data_changes": {
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  "corrections_url": "/corrections/"
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 "entity_id": "event:s-e620be72bdeb",
 "source_revision": 38,
 "title_short": {
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  "names": [
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   "Toronto FC"
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  "title": "Philadelphia vs Toronto FC: Tipster Coverage — 7 Nov 2026",
  "title_length": 57
 }
}