{ "schema_name": "page", "schema_version": "2.0", "page_type": "event", "url": "/football/matches/pafos-vs-riga-2026-10-22/", "canonical": "/football/matches/pafos-vs-riga-2026-10-22/", "language": "en", "hreflang": [], "translations": [], "heading": "Pafos vs Riga: recorded predictions and results", "description": "Pafos vs Riga, 22 October 2026. Final score 1-1 · UEFA Conference League: 17 distinct predictions from 7 authors.", "first_paragraph": { "body": "Pafos finished 1-1 against Riga. The one recorded correct-score prediction (Pafos 1-1 Riga) matched it. Other markets are shown separately below. Forecast Record recorded 17 statements from 7 authors on Pafos vs Riga (UEFA Conference League, kick-off 22 October 2026): 17 distinct predictions, all of the statements recorded before kick-off.", "key_number": "17", "data": "2026-10-22", "source_info": "our own evidence archive", "brand": "Forecast Record" }, "indexable": true, "noindex_reason": null, "indexing_threshold": { "settled_count": 17, "date_count": 1, "required_settled": 0, "required_dates": 0 }, "data_date": "2026-10-22T19:00:43.337Z", "built_at": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z", "lastmod": "2026-11-08T02:12:33.000Z", "content_hash": null, "meaning_hash": "a9b0200a08d40eaca1f85299594cd25cfed22023691b1fdabbbd37b813aa588d", "dependency_group": "event:s-5f1b8df27ab5", "release_id": "20261107-195223", "markup": [ { "type_code": "WebPage", "allowed": true, "cause": null }, { "type_code": "Organization", "allowed": true, "cause": null }, { "type_code": "SportsEvent", "allowed": true, "cause": null } ], "exports": [ { "type_code": "json", "url": "/football/matches/pafos-vs-riga-2026-10-22/index.json", "bytes": null }, { "type_code": "csv", "url": "/football/matches/pafos-vs-riga-2026-10-22/picks.csv", "bytes": null } ], "modules": { "affiliate": true, "api": true, "compare_yourself": false }, "affiliate_block": { "container": true, "request_url": "/partnery/moi", "disclosure": "Some links below are affiliate links and are marked as such. 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"2", "in_words": "Riga +1", "tips": [ { "author_name": "Dailysports", "entry_id": "n-712345164a5206e8587637da", "outcome_label": "Won", "source_group": "websites" }, { "author_name": "FootballPredictions.com", "entry_id": "n-b529c85ee853c875c3f613b0", "outcome_label": "Won", "source_group": "websites" } ], "figure": 2 } ], "n": 2, "publisher_count": 2 }, { "contract_code": "correct_score_market|*|match|*|*#explicit", "source_group": "explicit", "market_label": "Correct score", "market_key": "correct_score_market", "choices": [ { "code_name": "1-1", "in_words": "Pafos 1-1 Riga", "tips": [ { "author_name": "FootballPredictions.com", "entry_id": "n-4155c4b55b91fc1910865e75", "outcome_label": "Won", "source_group": "websites" } ], "figure": 1 } ], "n": 1, "publisher_count": 1 }, { "contract_code": "double_chance|*|match|*|*#explicit", "source_group": "explicit", "market_label": "Double chance", "market_key": "double_chance", "choices": [ { "code_name": "X2", "in_words": "draw or Riga", "tips": [ { "author_name": "Tobias Brandt", "entry_id": "n-33239b257c9614a0ab156dd6", "outcome_label": "Won", "source_group": "tipsters" } ], "figure": 1 } ], "n": 1, "publisher_count": 1 }, { "contract_code": "draw_no_bet|*|match|*|*#explicit", "source_group": "explicit", "market_label": "Draw no bet", "market_key": "draw_no_bet", "choices": [ { "code_name": "1", "in_words": "Pafos", "tips": [ { "author_name": "FootballPredictions.com", "entry_id": "n-6618412443986ced6ba992c2", "outcome_label": "Void", "source_group": "websites" } ], "figure": 1 } ], "n": 1, "publisher_count": 1 }, { "contract_code": "handicap_european|2|match|*|*#explicit", "source_group": "explicit", "market_label": "European handicap 2", "market_key": "handicap_european", "choices": [ { "code_name": "2", "in_words": "Riga +2", "tips": [ { "author_name": "FootballPredictions.com", "entry_id": "n-ec121dea0555dbb521888536", "outcome_label": "Won", "source_group": "websites" } ], "figure": 1 } ], "n": 1, "publisher_count": 1 }, { "contract_code": "total|1.5|match|*|*#explicit", "source_group": "explicit", "market_label": "Over/Under 1.5 goals", "market_key": "total", "choices": [ { "code_name": "over", "in_words": "over 1.5", "tips": [ { "author_name": "FootballPredictions.com", "entry_id": "n-2e44e9940661f53e3392fa32", "outcome_label": "Won", "source_group": "websites" } ], "figure": 1 } ], "n": 1, "publisher_count": 1 }, { "contract_code": "total|2.5|match|*|*#explicit", "source_group": "explicit", "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals", "market_key": "total", "choices": [ { "code_name": "under", "in_words": "under 2.5", "tips": [ { "author_name": "FootballPredictions.com", "entry_id": "n-fa41fd08662ec33634330378", "outcome_label": "Won", "source_group": "websites" } ], "figure": 1 } ], "n": 1, "publisher_count": 1 }, { "contract_code": "total|3.5|match|*|*#explicit", "source_group": "explicit", "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals", "market_key": "total", "choices": [ { "code_name": "under", "in_words": "under 3.5", "tips": [ { "author_name": "FootballPredictions.com", "entry_id": "n-53f887e6441d4aa2ad6fd68b", "outcome_label": "Won", "source_group": "websites" } ], "figure": 1 } ], "n": 1, "publisher_count": 1 }, { "contract_code": "total|4.5|match|*|*#explicit", "source_group": "explicit", "market_label": "Over/Under 4.5 goals", "market_key": "total", "choices": [ { "code_name": "under", "in_words": "under 4.5", "tips": [ { "author_name": "FootballPredictions.com", "entry_id": "n-d7a4eb6bf7642c9298cf6678", "outcome_label": "Won", "source_group": "websites" } ], "figure": 1 } ], "n": 1, "publisher_count": 1 } ], "author_count": 7, "below_threshold": { "prediction_count": 0, "author_count": 0 }, "limit": 10 }, "chain": { "publications": 5, "unique": 5, "comparable": 5, "admissible": 5, "contributions": 5 }, "differing_choices": 0, "visible_who": 3, "newcomers_who": 4, "newcomers_before": 12, "titles_shown": true, "legend": "Badges show titles earned before this prediction, by published rules." }, "arguments": { "topics": [ { "code_name": "tactics", "display_name": "Tactics and style", "checkable_item": false, "bullet_points": [ { "entry_id": "n-712345164a5206e8587637da", "author_name": "Dailysports", "author_href": "/sources/dailysports-net/", "source_group": "websites", "choice": "Riga +1", "market_label": "Asian handicap 1", "logged_at": "2026-10-21T16:49:38.756Z", "original": "https://dailysports.net/predictions/can-rigas-european-discipline-survive-the-trip-to-cyprus-pafos-vs-riga-prediction-22102026/", "proof": "/sources/dailysports-net/picks/14/#pick-n-712345164a5206e8587637da", "quote_text": "However, Riga have already shown that they are comfortable without controlling the game. Their away performances in qualifying included a 3-2 victory at…", "retelling": null, "checkable_item": false, "against": false } ], "total_count": 1 } ], "against": [], "other_languages": 4, "other_language_hosts": [ "bottadiculo.it", "sportwetten.bild.de" ], "mode": "quotes", "topics_total": 1, "checkable": 0 }, "market_label": { "favourite_code": "1", "favourite": "Pafos", "probabilities": [ { "outcome_label": "1", "in_words": "Pafos", "percent_value": 50 }, { "outcome_label": "X", "in_words": "Draw", "percent_value": 26 }, { "outcome_label": "2", "in_words": "Riga", "percent_value": 24 } ], "prices": { "1": "1.85", "X": "3.67", "2": "3.92" }, "group_count": 14, "bookmakers": 16, "snapshot_at": "2026-10-22T16:45:00.000Z", "closing_line": true, "first_at": "2026-10-22T10:09:25.695Z", "shift_pp": 8.6, "phrase": "The market has moved clearly since our first snapshot on 22 October 2026: Pafos 59% then, 50% at kick-off.", "technique": "Median across groups of bookmakers, without margin: brands on one platform count once (median within the group); betting exchanges and prediction markets are excluded. Market price from an odds aggregator; the data provider is not named.", "t2": { "snapshot_at": "2026-10-22T14:45:00.000Z", "probabilities": { "1": 59, "2": 18, "X": 23 } } }, "market_mode": "show", "fact_sheet": { "tournament": "UEFA Conference League (Europe)", "matchday": "League Stage · Matchday 2", "starts_at": "2026-10-22T16:45:00.000Z", "form": { "home_side": [ { "res": "D", "scoreline": "0-0", "opponent": "Apoel Nicosia", "at_home": true, "data": "2026-10-19" }, { "res": "L", "scoreline": "1-3", "opponent": "Atalanta", "at_home": false, "data": "2026-10-15" }, { "res": "W", "scoreline": "3-1", "opponent": "Anorthosis Famagusta", "at_home": false, "data": "2026-10-11" }, { "res": "D", "scoreline": "0-0", "opponent": "Olympiakos Nicosia", "at_home": true, "data": "2026-09-07" }, { "res": "D", "scoreline": "2-2", "opponent": "FC Dinamo City", "at_home": true, "data": "2026-08-27" } ], "away": [ { "res": "W", "scoreline": "2-1", "opponent": "SK Super Nova", "at_home": true, "data": "2026-10-18" }, { "res": "D", "scoreline": "1-1", "opponent": "FC Kairat Almaty", "at_home": true, "data": "2026-10-15" }, { "res": "W", "scoreline": "2-0", "opponent": "Tukums 2000", "at_home": false, "data": "2026-10-10" }, { "res": "D", "scoreline": "1-1", "opponent": "BFC Daugavpils", "at_home": true, "data": "2026-09-07" }, { "res": "W", "scoreline": "2-1", "opponent": "KÍ", "at_home": true, "data": "2026-08-27" } ] }, "head_to_head": [], "past_cards": [], "reach": "" }, "after_match": { "scoreline": "1-1", "fact_code": "X", "row_list": [ "Match-result predictions from tipsters and sources with 10 or more predictions checked against the final score to date: 1 of 4 matched · Tipsters 1 of 3 · Prediction sites 0 of 1", "All recorded exact-score predictions: 1 of 1 matched", "Exact-score predictions from tipsters and sources with 10 or more predictions checked against the final score to date: 1 of 1 matched the score, 1 of 1 the outcome", "Most common selection among tipsters and sources with 10 or more predictions checked against the final score to date: Pafos (3 of 4), missed", "Market favourite at kick-off: Pafos (missed)" ], "by_group": { "tipsters": { "correct": 1, "of": 3 }, "websites": { "correct": 0, "of": 1 } }, "placement": null, "checks": [] }, "prices": [ { "author_name": "Tobias Brandt", "choice": "draw", "market_label": "1X2, match result", "author_quoted_price": "4.00", "our_snapshot": "3.9300", "closing_line": null }, { "author_name": "Dailysports", "choice": "Riga +1", "market_label": "Asian handicap 1", "author_quoted_price": "1.89", "our_snapshot": "1.8000", "closing_line": null } ], "revisions": [ "Market 2 hours before kick-off: Pafos 59%.", "First published with predictions on 20 October 2026." ], "titles": { "shown": true, "legend": "Badges show titles earned before this prediction, by published rules.", "frozen_in": "sr-9467d53d8d2edba7cb2fe68f" }, "tracker": null, "source_groups": { "as_of": "2026-10-22T16:45:00.000Z", "groups": [ { "key": "prediction_sites", "label": "Prediction sites" }, { "key": "media", "label": "Media" }, { "key": "telegram_channels", "label": "Telegram channels" }, { "key": "private_authors", "label": "Independent tipsters" } ], "authors": 7, "by_group": [ { "key": "prediction_sites", "authors": 2 }, { "key": "media", "authors": 1 }, { "key": "telegram_channels", "authors": 4 }, { "key": "private_authors", "authors": 0 } ], "markets": [ { "key": "1x2", "label": "Match result", "authors": 4, "by_group": [ { "key": "prediction_sites", "authors": 2 }, { "key": "media", "authors": 1 }, { "key": "telegram_channels", "authors": 1 }, { "key": "private_authors", "authors": 0 } ], "choices": [ { "code_name": "1", "in_words": "Pafos", "authors": 3, "by_group": [ { "key": "prediction_sites", "authors": 2 }, { "key": "media", "authors": 0 }, { "key": "telegram_channels", "authors": 1 }, { "key": "private_authors", "authors": 0 } ] }, { "code_name": "X", "in_words": "Draw", "authors": 1, "by_group": [ { "key": "prediction_sites", "authors": 0 }, { "key": "media", "authors": 1 }, { "key": "telegram_channels", "authors": 0 }, { "key": "private_authors", "authors": 0 } ] }, { "code_name": "2", "in_words": "Riga", "authors": 0, "by_group": [ { "key": "prediction_sites", "authors": 0 }, { "key": "media", "authors": 0 }, { "key": "telegram_channels", "authors": 0 }, { "key": "private_authors", "authors": 0 } ] } ] }, { "key": "totals", "label": "Goal totals", "authors": 1, "by_group": [ { "key": "prediction_sites", "authors": 0 }, { "key": "media", "authors": 0 }, { "key": "telegram_channels", "authors": 1 }, { "key": "private_authors", "authors": 0 } ] }, { "key": "other", "label": "Handicaps, both teams to score, correct score and other markets", "authors": 4, "by_group": [ { "key": "prediction_sites", "authors": 0 }, { "key": "media", "authors": 1 }, { "key": "telegram_channels", "authors": 3 }, { "key": "private_authors", "authors": 0 } ] } ] }, "market_line": { "line_state": "moved", "line_frozen": true, "phrase": "Market line at kick-off (22 October 2026, 17:45 BST): Pafos 50%, draw 26%, Riga 24%. From 22 October 2026, 11:09 BST to kick-off the line moved 8.6 percentage points (Pafos down).", "line_markets": [ { "market_text": "1X2, match result", "market_group": "1x2", "line_kind": "median_line", "margin_included": false, "snapshot_at": "2026-10-22T16:45:00.000Z", "closing_line": true, "probabilities": [ { "outcome_label": "1", "in_words": "Pafos", "percent_value": 50 }, { "outcome_label": "X", "in_words": "Draw", "percent_value": 26 }, { "outcome_label": "2", "in_words": "Riga", "percent_value": 24 } ], "group_count": 14, "first_at": "2026-10-22T10:09:25.695Z", "first_probabilities": { "1": 59, "2": 18, "X": 23 }, "shift_pp": 8.6, "shift_outcome": "1", "shift_direction": "down", "line_state": "moved", "phrase": "Market line at kick-off (22 October 2026, 17:45 BST): Pafos 50%, draw 26%, Riga 24%. From 22 October 2026, 11:09 BST to kick-off the line moved 8.6 percentage points (Pafos down)." }, { "market_text": "Both teams to score", "market_group": "other", "line_kind": "recorded_price", "margin_included": true, "closing_line": false, "price_sides": [ { "choice": "yes", "snapshot_price": "1.74", "percent_value": 58, "snapshot_at": "2026-10-21T08:14:28.168Z", "snapshot_count": 1, "first_snapshot_price": null, "first_at": null, "shift_pp": null, "shift_direction": null, "line_state": "single_snapshot" } ], "line_state": "single_snapshot", "phrase": "Both teams to score, yes: market price 1.74 on 21 October 2026, 09:14 BST (implied 58%, margin included)." } ] }, "pre_kickoff_snapshot": { "frozen_before_kickoff": true, "as_of_moment": "2026-10-22T16:45:00.000Z", "starts_at": "2026-10-22T16:45:00.000Z", "phrase": "Before kick-off on 22 October 2026, 17:45 BST: market line at kick-off Pafos 50%, draw 26%, Riga 24%; 1X2, match result, recorded picks before the match (4): 3 on Pafos, 1 on the draw, 0 on Riga; Over/Under 1.5 goals, recorded picks before the match (1): 1 on over 1.5 goals; Both teams to score, recorded picks before the match (3): 2 on yes, 1 on no.", "market_line_brief": { "snapshot_at": "2026-10-22T16:45:00.000Z", "closing_line": true, "probabilities": { "1": 50, "X": 26, "2": 24 } }, "market_groups": [ { "market_group": "1x2", "group_markets": [ { "market_text": "1X2, match result", "prediction_count": 4, "row_count": 4, "market_choices": [ { "choice": "Pafos", "figure": 3 }, { "choice": "draw", "figure": 1 } ], "phrase_mode": "listing", "leader_choice": null, "leader_count": null, "share_percent": 75, "phrase": "1X2, match result, recorded picks before the match (4): 3 on Pafos, 1 on the draw, 0 on Riga", "sides_1x2": [ { "side": "1", "in_words": "Pafos", "figure": 3 }, { "side": "X", "in_words": "draw", "figure": 1 }, { "side": "2", "in_words": "Riga", "figure": 0 } ] } ] }, { "market_group": "totals", "group_markets": [ { "market_text": "Over/Under 1.5 goals", "prediction_count": 1, "row_count": 1, "market_choices": [ { "choice": "over 1.5", "figure": 1 } ], "phrase_mode": "listing", "leader_choice": null, "leader_count": null, "share_percent": 100, "phrase": "Over/Under 1.5 goals, recorded picks before the match (1): 1 on over 1.5 goals" }, { "market_text": "Over/Under 2.5 goals", "prediction_count": 1, "row_count": 1, "market_choices": [ { "choice": "under 2.5", "figure": 1 } ], "phrase_mode": "listing", "leader_choice": null, "leader_count": null, "share_percent": 100, "phrase": "Over/Under 2.5 goals, recorded picks before the match (1): 1 on under 2.5 goals" }, { "market_text": "Over/Under 3.5 goals", "prediction_count": 1, "row_count": 1, "market_choices": [ { "choice": "under 3.5", "figure": 1 } ], "phrase_mode": "listing", "leader_choice": null, "leader_count": null, "share_percent": 100, "phrase": "Over/Under 3.5 goals, recorded picks before the match (1): 1 on under 3.5 goals" }, { "market_text": "Over/Under 4.5 goals", "prediction_count": 1, "row_count": 1, "market_choices": [ { "choice": "under 4.5", "figure": 1 } ], "phrase_mode": "listing", "leader_choice": null, "leader_count": null, "share_percent": 100, "phrase": "Over/Under 4.5 goals, recorded picks before the match (1): 1 on under 4.5 goals" } ] }, { "market_group": "other", "group_markets": [ { "market_text": "Both teams to score", "prediction_count": 3, "row_count": 3, "market_choices": [ { "choice": "yes", "figure": 2 }, { "choice": "no", "figure": 1 } ], "phrase_mode": "listing", "leader_choice": null, "leader_count": null, "share_percent": 67, "phrase": "Both teams to score, recorded picks before the match (3): 2 on yes, 1 on no" }, { "market_text": "Asian handicap 1", "prediction_count": 2, "row_count": 2, "market_choices": [ { "choice": "Riga +1", "figure": 2 } ], "phrase_mode": "listing", "leader_choice": null, "leader_count": null, "share_percent": 100, "phrase": "Asian handicap 1, recorded picks before the match (2): 2 on Riga +1" }, { "market_text": "Correct score", "prediction_count": 1, "row_count": 1, "market_choices": [ { "choice": "Pafos 1-1 Riga", "figure": 1 } ], "phrase_mode": "listing", "leader_choice": null, "leader_count": null, "share_percent": 100, "phrase": "Correct score, recorded picks before the match (1): 1 on Pafos 1-1 Riga" }, { "market_text": "Double chance", "prediction_count": 1, "row_count": 1, "market_choices": [ { "choice": "draw or Riga", "figure": 1 } ], "phrase_mode": "listing", "leader_choice": null, "leader_count": null, "share_percent": 100, "phrase": "Double chance, recorded picks before the match (1): 1 on draw or Riga" }, { "market_text": "Draw no bet", "prediction_count": 1, "row_count": 1, "market_choices": [ { "choice": "Pafos", "figure": 1 } ], "phrase_mode": "listing", "leader_choice": null, "leader_count": null, "share_percent": 100, "phrase": "Draw no bet, recorded picks before the match (1): 1 on Pafos" }, { "market_text": "European handicap 2", "prediction_count": 1, "row_count": 1, "market_choices": [ { "choice": "Riga +2", "figure": 1 } ], "phrase_mode": "listing", "leader_choice": null, "leader_count": null, "share_percent": 100, "phrase": "European handicap 2, recorded picks before the match (1): 1 on Riga +2" } ] } ], "predictions_before_kickoff": 17, "majority_threshold": { "min_predictions": 5, "min_share_percent": 60.0 } }, "teams_prev_next": [ { "side": "home", "team": "Pafos", "team_url": "/football/teams/pafos/", "participant_id": "u-bbdc87f974bd", "previous": { "kickoff": "2026-10-19T15:00:00.000Z", "name": "Pafos vs Apoel Nicosia", "url": "/football/matches/pafos-vs-apoel-nicosia-2026-10-19/", "competition": "Cyprus Division 1", "state": "played", "score": "0-0" }, "next": { "kickoff": "2026-10-26T16:00:00.000Z", "name": "Nea Salamis Famagusta vs Pafos", "url": null, "competition": "Cyprus Division 1", "state": "no_result", "score": null }, "why": null }, { "side": "away", "team": "Riga", "team_url": null, 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