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 "heading": "Oxford United vs Reading: recorded predictions and results",
 "description": "Oxford United vs Reading, 4 November 2026. Final score 2-0 · EFL League One: 15 distinct predictions from 10 authors.",
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  "body": "Oxford United finished 2-0 against Reading. None of the 2 recorded correct-score predictions matched that score. Other markets are shown separately below. Forecast Record recorded 15 statements from 10 authors on Oxford United vs Reading (EFL League One, kick-off 4 November 2026): 15 distinct predictions, all of the statements recorded before kick-off.",
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   {
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    "author": "Kappara.Net",
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    "market": "Double chance",
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    "lead_hours": 12.5,
    "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
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    "author": "Statarea",
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    "market": "Double chance",
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    "recorded_at": "2026-11-04T00:32:49.343Z",
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   {
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    "author": "FootballPredictions.com",
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    "market": "Half-time/full-time",
    "selection": "draw at half-time, draw at full-time",
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    "lead_hours": 18.4,
    "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
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    "entity_ref": "e-584ae723dcff5b098d7b1d38",
    "name_shown": "Speltips.se",
    "url": "/sources/speltips-se/"
   },
   {
    "id": "sr-916db0fa53c0cd530c841fd2",
    "type_code": "author_before_match",
    "moment_at": "2026-11-04T19:45:00.000Z",
    "freeze_at": "2026-11-05T05:32:51.539Z",
    "approach": "by_capture_time",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "counting_rule": "1",
    "figures": {
     "matches": 314,
     "method_version": "2.2",
     "net_points_hundredths": 154387,
     "period_from": "2026-10-18",
     "period_to": "2026-11-04",
     "price_rule": "Our market snapshot",
     "return_percent": "4.87",
     "settled_picks": 317,
     "staked_hundredths": 3170000,
     "void": 0
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    "entity_ref": "e-7f83bd7721d89891f4e099e8",
    "name_shown": "Statarea",
    "url": "/sources/statarea-com/"
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   {
    "id": "sr-cc532688f48c4b9094ed248b",
    "type_code": "author_before_match",
    "moment_at": "2026-11-04T19:45:00.000Z",
    "freeze_at": "2026-11-05T05:32:51.539Z",
    "approach": "by_capture_time",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "counting_rule": "1",
    "figures": {
     "matches": 189,
     "method_version": "2.2",
     "net_points_hundredths": -480803,
     "period_from": "2026-10-11",
     "period_to": "2026-11-04",
     "price_rule": "Our market snapshot",
     "return_percent": "-12.17",
     "settled_picks": 417,
     "staked_hundredths": 3950000,
     "void": 22
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      "market_key": "total",
      "choices": [
       {
        "code_name": "under",
        "in_words": "under 3.5",
        "tips": [
         {
          "author_name": "Baba",
          "entry_id": "n-a6daee012460c90bdbf34378",
          "outcome_label": "Won",
          "source_group": "tipsters"
         }
        ],
        "figure": 1
       }
      ],
      "n": 1,
      "publisher_count": 1
     }
    ],
    "author_count": 10,
    "below_threshold": {
     "prediction_count": 0,
     "author_count": 0
    },
    "limit": 10
   },
   "chain": {
    "publications": 6,
    "unique": 6,
    "comparable": 6,
    "admissible": 6,
    "contributions": 6
   },
   "differing_choices": 0,
   "visible_who": 4,
   "newcomers_who": 6,
   "newcomers_before": 9,
   "titles_shown": true,
   "legend": "Badges show titles earned before this prediction, by published rules."
  },
  "arguments": {
   "topics": [
    {
     "code_name": "recent_form",
     "display_name": "Form",
     "checkable_item": false,
     "bullet_points": [
      {
       "entry_id": "n-dea4a48ecf95b9b12c7fd26f",
       "author_name": "Darren Plant",
       "author_href": "/authors/darren-plant/",
       "source_group": "experts",
       "choice": "Oxford United 2-1 Reading",
       "market_label": "Correct score",
       "logged_at": "2026-11-02T12:10:05.741Z",
       "original": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/oxford-united/preview/oxford-utd-vs-reading-prediction-team-news-lineups_608246.html",
       "proof": "/authors/darren-plant/picks/3/#pick-n-dea4a48ecf95b9b12c7fd26f",
       "quote_text": "With Reading having produced a similar run of form as Oxford, we expect the visitors to push Ramsey's side all the way on Wednesday night. Nevertheless, Oxford…",
       "retelling": null,
       "checkable_item": false,
       "against": false
      },
      {
       "entry_id": "n-c410007514e8a9f96d183468",
       "author_name": "Alex Sarwar",
       "author_href": "/authors/alex-sarwar/",
       "source_group": "tipsters",
       "choice": "Oxford United",
       "market_label": "1X2, match result",
       "logged_at": "2026-11-03T10:58:50.820Z",
       "original": "https://www.thestatszone.com/oxford-united-vs-reading-preview-prediction-234611",
       "proof": "/authors/alex-sarwar/picks/15/#pick-n-c410007514e8a9f96d183468",
       "quote_text": "Key to their success has been an excellent backline, which has conceded just 11 goals, with only Bradford City having given up fewer. Their last three home…",
       "retelling": null,
       "checkable_item": false,
       "against": false
      }
     ],
     "total_count": 6
    }
   ],
   "against": [],
   "other_languages": 0,
   "other_language_hosts": [],
   "mode": "quotes",
   "topics_total": 1,
   "checkable": 0
  },
  "market_label": {
   "favourite_code": "2",
   "favourite": "Reading",
   "probabilities": [
    {
     "outcome_label": "1",
     "in_words": "Oxford United",
     "percent_value": 34
    },
    {
     "outcome_label": "X",
     "in_words": "Draw",
     "percent_value": 28
    },
    {
     "outcome_label": "2",
     "in_words": "Reading",
     "percent_value": 38
    }
   ],
   "prices": {
    "1": "2.75",
    "X": "3.34",
    "2": "2.48"
   },
   "group_count": 7,
   "bookmakers": 7,
   "snapshot_at": "2026-11-04T19:45:00.000Z",
   "closing_line": true,
   "first_at": "2026-11-03T19:45:00.000Z",
   "shift_pp": 1.7,
   "phrase": "The market has barely changed its mind since our first snapshot on 3 November 2026: Reading 38% then, 38% at kick-off.",
   "technique": "Median across groups of bookmakers, without margin: brands on one platform count once (median within the group); betting exchanges and prediction markets are excluded. Market price from an odds aggregator; the data provider is not named.",
   "t24": {
    "snapshot_at": "2026-11-03T19:45:00.000Z",
    "probabilities": {
     "1": 36,
     "2": 38,
     "X": 27
    }
   },
   "t2": {
    "snapshot_at": "2026-11-04T17:45:00.000Z",
    "probabilities": {
     "1": 34,
     "2": 38,
     "X": 28
    }
   }
  },
  "market_mode": "show",
  "fact_sheet": {
   "tournament": "EFL League One (England)",
   "matchday": "Matchweek 3",
   "starts_at": "2026-11-04T19:45:00.000Z",
   "form": {
    "home_side": [
     {
      "res": "D",
      "scoreline": "1-1",
      "opponent": "Barnsley",
      "at_home": false,
      "data": "2026-10-31"
     },
     {
      "res": "W",
      "scoreline": "1-0",
      "opponent": "Stockport County",
      "at_home": true,
      "data": "2026-10-27"
     },
     {
      "res": "D",
      "scoreline": "0-0",
      "opponent": "Bradford City",
      "at_home": true,
      "data": "2026-10-24"
     },
     {
      "res": "W",
      "scoreline": "2-1",
      "opponent": "Wigan Athletic",
      "at_home": true,
      "data": "2026-10-20"
     },
     {
      "res": "D",
      "scoreline": "1-1",
      "opponent": "Mansfield Town",
      "at_home": false,
      "data": "2026-10-15"
     }
    ],
    "away": [
     {
      "res": "D",
      "scoreline": "0-0",
      "opponent": "Plymouth Argyle",
      "at_home": false,
      "data": "2026-10-31"
     },
     {
      "res": "W",
      "scoreline": "2-1",
      "opponent": "Barnsley",
      "at_home": true,
      "data": "2026-10-24"
     },
     {
      "res": "W",
      "scoreline": "1-0",
      "opponent": "Leyton Orient",
      "at_home": true,
      "data": "2026-10-21"
     },
     {
      "res": "L",
      "scoreline": "0-1",
      "opponent": "Wigan Athletic",
      "at_home": false,
      "data": "2026-10-17"
     },
     {
      "res": "L",
      "scoreline": "0-2",
      "opponent": "Chelsea U21",
      "at_home": true,
      "data": "2026-10-13"
     }
    ]
   },
   "head_to_head": [],
   "past_cards": [],
   "reach": ""
  },
  "after_match": {
   "scoreline": "2-0",
   "fact_code": "1",
   "row_list": [
    "Match-result predictions from tipsters and sources with 10 or more predictions checked against the final score to date: 3 of 5 matched · Tipsters 1 of 2 · Prediction sites 2 of 3",
    "All recorded exact-score predictions: 0 of 2 matched",
    "Exact-score predictions from tipsters and sources with 10 or more predictions checked against the final score to date: 0 of 2 matched the score, 1 of 2 the outcome",
    "Most common selection among tipsters and sources with 10 or more predictions checked against the final score to date: Oxford United (3 of 5), matched",
    "Market favourite at kick-off: Reading (missed)"
   ],
   "by_group": {
    "tipsters": {
     "correct": 1,
     "of": 2
    },
    "websites": {
     "correct": 2,
     "of": 3
    }
   },
   "placement": null,
   "checks": []
  },
  "prices": [],
  "revisions": [
   "Market 24 hours before kick-off: Reading 38%.",
   "Market 2 hours before kick-off: Reading 38%.",
   "First published with predictions on 3 November 2026."
  ],
  "titles": {
   "shown": true,
   "legend": "Badges show titles earned before this prediction, by published rules.",
   "frozen_in": "sr-ecad671acf1bd8d69c84fd02"
  },
  "tracker": null,
  "source_groups": {
   "as_of": "2026-11-04T19:45:00.000Z",
   "groups": [
    {
     "key": "prediction_sites",
     "label": "Prediction sites"
    },
    {
     "key": "media",
     "label": "Media"
    },
    {
     "key": "telegram_channels",
     "label": "Telegram channels"
    },
    {
     "key": "private_authors",
     "label": "Independent tipsters"
    }
   ],
   "authors": 10,
   "by_group": [
    {
     "key": "prediction_sites",
     "authors": 4
    },
    {
     "key": "media",
     "authors": 1
    },
    {
     "key": "telegram_channels",
     "authors": 5
    },
    {
     "key": "private_authors",
     "authors": 0
    }
   ],
   "markets": [
    {
     "key": "1x2",
     "label": "Match result",
     "authors": 5,
     "by_group": [
      {
       "key": "prediction_sites",
       "authors": 4
      },
      {
       "key": "media",
       "authors": 0
      },
      {
       "key": "telegram_channels",
       "authors": 1
      },
      {
       "key": "private_authors",
       "authors": 0
      }
     ],
     "choices": [
      {
       "code_name": "1",
       "in_words": "Oxford United",
       "authors": 3,
       "by_group": [
        {
         "key": "prediction_sites",
         "authors": 2
        },
        {
         "key": "media",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "telegram_channels",
         "authors": 1
        },
        {
         "key": "private_authors",
         "authors": 0
        }
       ]
      },
      {
       "code_name": "X",
       "in_words": "Draw",
       "authors": 1,
       "by_group": [
        {
         "key": "prediction_sites",
         "authors": 1
        },
        {
         "key": "media",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "telegram_channels",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "private_authors",
         "authors": 0
        }
       ]
      },
      {
       "code_name": "2",
       "in_words": "Reading",
       "authors": 1,
       "by_group": [
        {
         "key": "prediction_sites",
         "authors": 1
        },
        {
         "key": "media",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "telegram_channels",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "private_authors",
         "authors": 0
        }
       ]
      }
     ]
    },
    {
     "key": "totals",
     "label": "Goal totals",
     "authors": 2,
     "by_group": [
      {
       "key": "prediction_sites",
       "authors": 1
      },
      {
       "key": "media",
       "authors": 0
      },
      {
       "key": "telegram_channels",
       "authors": 1
      },
      {
       "key": "private_authors",
       "authors": 0
      }
     ]
    },
    {
     "key": "other",
     "label": "Handicaps, both teams to score, correct score and other markets",
     "authors": 4,
     "by_group": [
      {
       "key": "prediction_sites",
       "authors": 0
      },
      {
       "key": "media",
       "authors": 1
      },
      {
       "key": "telegram_channels",
       "authors": 3
      },
      {
       "key": "private_authors",
       "authors": 0
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  "market_line": {
   "line_state": "barely_moved",
   "line_frozen": true,
   "phrase": "Market line at kick-off (4 November 2026, 19:45 GMT): Oxford United 34%, draw 28%, Reading 38%. From 3 November 2026, 19:45 GMT to kick-off it barely moved: the largest change was 1.7 percentage points (Oxford United down).",
   "line_markets": [
    {
     "market_text": "1X2, match result",
     "market_group": "1x2",
     "line_kind": "median_line",
     "margin_included": false,
     "snapshot_at": "2026-11-04T19:45:00.000Z",
     "closing_line": true,
     "probabilities": [
      {
       "outcome_label": "1",
       "in_words": "Oxford United",
       "percent_value": 34
      },
      {
       "outcome_label": "X",
       "in_words": "Draw",
       "percent_value": 28
      },
      {
       "outcome_label": "2",
       "in_words": "Reading",
       "percent_value": 38
      }
     ],
     "group_count": 7,
     "first_at": "2026-11-03T19:45:00.000Z",
     "first_probabilities": {
      "1": 36,
      "2": 38,
      "X": 27
     },
     "shift_pp": 1.7,
     "shift_outcome": "1",
     "shift_direction": "down",
     "line_state": "barely_moved",
     "phrase": "Market line at kick-off (4 November 2026, 19:45 GMT): Oxford United 34%, draw 28%, Reading 38%. From 3 November 2026, 19:45 GMT to kick-off it barely moved: the largest change was 1.7 percentage points (Oxford United down)."
    },
    {
     "market_text": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
     "market_group": "totals",
     "line_kind": "recorded_price",
     "margin_included": true,
     "closing_line": false,
     "price_sides": [
      {
       "choice": "under 2.5",
       "snapshot_price": "1.88",
       "percent_value": 53,
       "snapshot_at": "2026-11-04T18:52:14.974Z",
       "snapshot_count": 2,
       "first_snapshot_price": "2.13",
       "first_at": "2026-11-04T01:15:31.472Z",
       "shift_pp": 6.2,
       "shift_direction": "up",
       "line_state": "moved"
      }
     ],
     "line_state": "moved",
     "phrase": "Over/Under 2.5 goals, under 2.5 goals: market price 1.88 on 4 November 2026, 18:52 GMT (implied 53%, margin included), 6.2 percentage points up from 4 November 2026, 01:15 GMT."
    },
    {
     "market_text": "Over/Under 2.75 goals",
     "market_group": "totals",
     "line_kind": "recorded_price",
     "margin_included": true,
     "closing_line": false,
     "price_sides": [
      {
       "choice": "under 2.75",
       "snapshot_price": "1.66",
       "percent_value": 60,
       "snapshot_at": "2026-11-04T18:52:14.974Z",
       "snapshot_count": 1,
       "first_snapshot_price": null,
       "first_at": null,
       "shift_pp": null,
       "shift_direction": null,
       "line_state": "single_snapshot"
      }
     ],
     "line_state": "single_snapshot",
     "phrase": "Over/Under 2.75 goals, under 2.75 goals: market price 1.66 on 4 November 2026, 18:52 GMT (implied 60%, margin included)."
    },
    {
     "market_text": "Over/Under 3.5 goals",
     "market_group": "totals",
     "line_kind": "recorded_price",
     "margin_included": true,
     "closing_line": false,
     "price_sides": [
      {
       "choice": "under 3.5",
       "snapshot_price": "1.42",
       "percent_value": 70,
       "snapshot_at": "2026-11-04T01:15:31.472Z",
       "snapshot_count": 1,
       "first_snapshot_price": null,
       "first_at": null,
       "shift_pp": null,
       "shift_direction": null,
       "line_state": "single_snapshot"
      }
     ],
     "line_state": "single_snapshot",
     "phrase": "Over/Under 3.5 goals, under 3.5 goals: market price 1.42 on 4 November 2026, 01:15 GMT (implied 70%, margin included)."
    }
   ]
  },
  "pre_kickoff_snapshot": {
   "frozen_before_kickoff": true,
   "as_of_moment": "2026-11-04T19:45:00.000Z",
   "starts_at": "2026-11-04T19:45:00.000Z",
   "phrase": "Before kick-off on 4 November 2026, 19:45 GMT: market line at kick-off Oxford United 34%, draw 28%, Reading 38%; 1X2, match result: most expected Oxford United (3 of 5 predictions); Over/Under 2.5 goals, recorded picks before the match (2): 2 on under 2.5 goals; Double chance, recorded picks before the match (3): 2 on Oxford United or draw, 1 on draw or Reading.",
   "market_line_brief": {
    "snapshot_at": "2026-11-04T19:45:00.000Z",
    "closing_line": true,
    "probabilities": {
     "1": 34,
     "X": 28,
     "2": 38
    }
   },
   "market_groups": [
    {
     "market_group": "1x2",
     "group_markets": [
      {
       "market_text": "1X2, match result",
       "prediction_count": 5,
       "row_count": 5,
       "market_choices": [
        {
         "choice": "Oxford United",
         "figure": 3
        },
        {
         "choice": "Reading",
         "figure": 1
        },
        {
         "choice": "draw",
         "figure": 1
        }
       ],
       "phrase_mode": "majority",
       "leader_choice": "Oxford United",
       "leader_count": 3,
       "share_percent": 60,
       "phrase": "1X2, match result: most expected Oxford United (3 of 5 predictions)",
       "sides_1x2": [
        {
         "side": "1",
         "in_words": "Oxford United",
         "figure": 3
        },
        {
         "side": "X",
         "in_words": "draw",
         "figure": 1
        },
        {
         "side": "2",
         "in_words": "Reading",
         "figure": 1
        }
       ]
      }
     ]
    },
    {
     "market_group": "totals",
     "group_markets": [
      {
       "market_text": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
       "prediction_count": 2,
       "row_count": 2,
       "market_choices": [
        {
         "choice": "under 2.5",
         "figure": 2
        }
       ],
       "phrase_mode": "listing",
       "leader_choice": null,
       "leader_count": null,
       "share_percent": 100,
       "phrase": "Over/Under 2.5 goals, recorded picks before the match (2): 2 on under 2.5 goals"
      },
      {
       "market_text": "Over/Under 2.75 goals",
       "prediction_count": 1,
       "row_count": 1,
       "market_choices": [
        {
         "choice": "under 2.75",
         "figure": 1
        }
       ],
       "phrase_mode": "listing",
       "leader_choice": null,
       "leader_count": null,
       "share_percent": 100,
       "phrase": "Over/Under 2.75 goals, recorded picks before the match (1): 1 on under 2.75 goals"
      },
      {
       "market_text": "Over/Under 3.5 goals",
       "prediction_count": 1,
       "row_count": 1,
       "market_choices": [
        {
         "choice": "under 3.5",
         "figure": 1
        }
       ],
       "phrase_mode": "listing",
       "leader_choice": null,
       "leader_count": null,
       "share_percent": 100,
       "phrase": "Over/Under 3.5 goals, recorded picks before the match (1): 1 on under 3.5 goals"
      }
     ]
    },
    {
     "market_group": "other",
     "group_markets": [
      {
       "market_text": "Double chance",
       "prediction_count": 3,
       "row_count": 3,
       "market_choices": [
        {
         "choice": "Oxford United or draw",
         "figure": 2
        },
        {
         "choice": "draw or Reading",
         "figure": 1
        }
       ],
       "phrase_mode": "listing",
       "leader_choice": null,
       "leader_count": null,
       "share_percent": 67,
       "phrase": "Double chance, recorded picks before the match (3): 2 on Oxford United or draw, 1 on draw or Reading"
      },
      {
       "market_text": "Correct score",
       "prediction_count": 2,
       "row_count": 2,
       "market_choices": [
        {
         "choice": "Oxford United 1-1 Reading",
         "figure": 1
        },
        {
         "choice": "Oxford United 2-1 Reading",
         "figure": 1
        }
       ],
       "phrase_mode": "listing",
       "leader_choice": null,
       "leader_count": null,
       "share_percent": null,
       "phrase": "Correct score, recorded picks before the match (2): 1 on Oxford United 1-1 Reading, 1 on Oxford United 2-1 Reading"
      },
      {
       "market_text": "Half-time/full-time",
       "prediction_count": 1,
       "row_count": 1,
       "market_choices": [
        {
         "choice": "draw at half-time, draw at full-time",
         "figure": 1
        }
       ],
       "phrase_mode": "listing",
       "leader_choice": null,
       "leader_count": null,
       "share_percent": 100,
       "phrase": "Half-time/full-time, recorded picks before the match (1): 1 on draw at half-time, draw at full-time"
      }
     ]
    }
   ],
   "predictions_before_kickoff": 15,
   "majority_threshold": {
    "min_predictions": 5,
    "min_share_percent": 60.0
   }
  },
  "teams_prev_next": [
   {
    "side": "home",
    "team": "Oxford United",
    "team_url": "/football/teams/oxford-united/",
    "participant_id": "u-93e1454a35e0",
    "previous": {
     "kickoff": "2026-10-31T15:00:00.000Z",
     "name": "Barnsley vs Oxford United",
     "url": "/football/matches/barnsley-vs-oxford-united-2026-10-31/",
     "competition": "EFL League One",
     "state": "played",
     "score": "1-1"
    },
    "next": {
     "kickoff": "2026-11-10T19:00:00.000Z",
     "name": "Oxford United vs Cheltenham Town",
     "url": "/football/matches/oxford-united-vs-cheltenham-town-2026-11-10/",
     "competition": "EFL Trophy",
     "state": "upcoming",
     "score": null
    },
    "why": null
   },
   {
    "side": "away",
    "team": "Reading",
    "team_url": null,
    "participant_id": "u-c29002255c5a",
    "previous": {
     "kickoff": "2026-10-31T12:30:00.000Z",
     "name": "Plymouth Argyle vs Reading",
     "url": "/football/matches/plymouth-argyle-vs-reading-2026-10-31/",
     "competition": "EFL League One",
     "state": "played",
     "score": "0-0"
    },
    "next": {
     "kickoff": "2026-11-10T19:00:00.000Z",
     "name": "Bristol Rovers vs Reading",
     "url": "/football/matches/bristol-rovers-vs-reading-2026-11-10/",
     "competition": "EFL Trophy",
     "state": "upcoming",
     "score": null
    },
    "why": null
   }
  ]
 },
 "number_sets": [
  {
   "set": "match.market_line.percent",
   "entity": "/football/matches/oxford-united-vs-reading-2026-11-04/|1x2|1",
   "value": 34,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.market_line.percent",
   "entity": "/football/matches/oxford-united-vs-reading-2026-11-04/|1x2|X",
   "value": 28,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.market_line.percent",
   "entity": "/football/matches/oxford-united-vs-reading-2026-11-04/|1x2|2",
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