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 "heading": "NK Celje vs Red Bull Salzburg: recorded predictions and results",
 "description": "NK Celje vs Red Bull Salzburg, 22 October 2026. Final score 2-2 · UEFA Europa League: 19 distinct predictions from 8 authors.",
 "first_paragraph": {
  "body": "NK Celje finished 2-2 against Red Bull Salzburg. None of the 2 recorded correct-score predictions matched that score. Other markets are shown separately below. Forecast Record recorded 19 statements from 8 authors on NK Celje vs Red Bull Salzburg (UEFA Europa League, kick-off 22 October 2026): 19 distinct predictions, all of the statements recorded before kick-off.",
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  "data": "2026-10-22",
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 "event": {
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  "display_name": "NK Celje — Red Bull Salzburg",
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     "share": "100.0"
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   "summary": "Most common recorded selection in this market: Red Bull Salzburg — 5 of 5 eligible picks (one per author), median stated price 1.60",
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   "quote_text": "Beide Teams treffen: Nein\n\nUEFA Europa League\n\n22 Okt.\n21:00\n\nNK Celje\n\nVS\n\nRed Bull Salzburg\n\nNS\n\n2,15",
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      "contract_code": "total|2.5|match|*|*#explicit",
      "source_group": "explicit",
      "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
      "market_key": "total",
      "choices": [
       {
        "code_name": "under",
        "in_words": "under 2.5",
        "tips": [
         {
          "author_name": "FootballPredictions.com",
          "entry_id": "n-b933d716a061ab969450bd21",
          "outcome_label": "Lost",
          "source_group": "websites"
         },
         {
          "author_name": "WhoScored",
          "entry_id": "n-b0c45f126afae5f7658f9f98",
          "outcome_label": "Lost",
          "source_group": "websites"
         }
        ],
        "figure": 2
       }
      ],
      "n": 2,
      "publisher_count": 2
     },
     {
      "contract_code": "handicap_asian|-0.5|match|*|*#explicit",
      "source_group": "explicit",
      "market_label": "Asian handicap -0.5",
      "market_key": "handicap_asian",
      "choices": [
       {
        "code_name": "2",
        "in_words": "Red Bull Salzburg -0.5",
        "tips": [
         {
          "author_name": "FootballPredictions.com",
          "entry_id": "n-ae675c47eaee9d94243fc523",
          "outcome_label": "Lost",
          "source_group": "websites"
         }
        ],
        "figure": 1
       }
      ],
      "n": 1,
      "publisher_count": 1
     },
     {
      "contract_code": "draw_no_bet|*|match|*|*#explicit",
      "source_group": "explicit",
      "market_label": "Draw no bet",
      "market_key": "draw_no_bet",
      "choices": [
       {
        "code_name": "2",
        "in_words": "Red Bull Salzburg",
        "tips": [
         {
          "author_name": "FootballPredictions.com",
          "entry_id": "n-2d3b14b41aa40cf4556c5843",
          "outcome_label": "Void",
          "source_group": "websites"
         }
        ],
        "figure": 1
       }
      ],
      "n": 1,
      "publisher_count": 1
     },
     {
      "contract_code": "handicap_european|1|match|*|*#explicit",
      "source_group": "explicit",
      "market_label": "European handicap 1",
      "market_key": "handicap_european",
      "choices": [
       {
        "code_name": "2",
        "in_words": "Red Bull Salzburg +1",
        "tips": [
         {
          "author_name": "FootballPredictions.com",
          "entry_id": "n-0bdf22956054b683d42ea803",
          "outcome_label": "Won",
          "source_group": "websites"
         }
        ],
        "figure": 1
       }
      ],
      "n": 1,
      "publisher_count": 1
     },
     {
      "contract_code": "total|3.5|match|*|*#explicit",
      "source_group": "explicit",
      "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals",
      "market_key": "total",
      "choices": [
       {
        "code_name": "under",
        "in_words": "under 3.5",
        "tips": [
         {
          "author_name": "FootballPredictions.com",
          "entry_id": "n-14265d15763cd1149d5744ca",
          "outcome_label": "Lost",
          "source_group": "websites"
         }
        ],
        "figure": 1
       }
      ],
      "n": 1,
      "publisher_count": 1
     },
     {
      "contract_code": "total|4.5|match|*|*#explicit",
      "source_group": "explicit",
      "market_label": "Over/Under 4.5 goals",
      "market_key": "total",
      "choices": [
       {
        "code_name": "under",
        "in_words": "under 4.5",
        "tips": [
         {
          "author_name": "FootballPredictions.com",
          "entry_id": "n-8101260105c728bdbf4204b1",
          "outcome_label": "Won",
          "source_group": "websites"
         }
        ],
        "figure": 1
       }
      ],
      "n": 1,
      "publisher_count": 1
     },
     {
      "contract_code": "player_to_score|*|match|ig-4dff6f499d9e|*#explicit",
      "source_group": "explicit",
      "market_label": "Player to score",
      "market_key": "player_to_score",
      "choices": [
       {
        "code_name": "yes",
        "in_words": "Haris Tabakovic to score",
        "tips": [
         {
          "author_name": "Victor Arnaud-Etchemendy",
          "entry_id": "n-3c92ed1dd002c1b58f60b45e",
          "outcome_label": "Not settled",
          "source_group": "tipsters"
         }
        ],
        "figure": 1
       }
      ],
      "n": 1,
      "publisher_count": 1
     }
    ],
    "author_count": 8,
    "below_threshold": {
     "prediction_count": 0,
     "author_count": 0
    },
    "limit": 10
   },
   "chain": {
    "publications": 4,
    "unique": 4,
    "comparable": 4,
    "admissible": 4,
    "contributions": 4
   },
   "differing_choices": 0,
   "visible_who": 3,
   "newcomers_who": 5,
   "newcomers_before": 15,
   "titles_shown": true,
   "legend": "Badges show titles earned before this prediction, by published rules."
  },
  "arguments": {
   "topics": [
    {
     "code_name": "home_form",
     "display_name": "Home and away",
     "checkable_item": false,
     "bullet_points": [
      {
       "entry_id": "n-2b528e18b673797d01c8b106",
       "author_name": "Ben Sully",
       "author_href": "/authors/ben-sully/",
       "source_group": "experts",
       "choice": "NK Celje 1-2 Red Bull Salzburg",
       "market_label": "Correct score",
       "logged_at": "2026-10-20T23:10:15.029Z",
       "original": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/celje/europa-league/preview/celje-vs-salzburg-prediction-team-news-lineups_607325.html",
       "proof": "/authors/ben-sully/picks/3/#pick-n-2b528e18b673797d01c8b106",
       "quote_text": "Salzburg head to Slovenia with an unbeaten away record this season, and we think they will enjoy more success on their travels against a Celje side who may be…",
       "retelling": null,
       "checkable_item": false,
       "against": false
      }
     ],
     "total_count": 1
    },
    {
     "code_name": "recent_form",
     "display_name": "Form",
     "checkable_item": false,
     "bullet_points": [
      {
       "entry_id": "n-a6213fee266be823a3c7f269",
       "author_name": "Dailysports",
       "author_href": "/sources/dailysports-net/",
       "source_group": "websites",
       "choice": "Red Bull Salzburg",
       "market_label": "1X2, match result",
       "logged_at": "2026-10-21T08:39:28.950Z",
       "original": "https://dailysports.net/predictions/visitors-can-take-advantage-of-the-hosts-slow-start-celje-vs-red-bull-salzburg-prediction/",
       "proof": "/sources/dailysports-net/picks/13/#pick-n-a6213fee266be823a3c7f269",
       "quote_text": "Salzburg have not lost any of their nine competitive away matches this season. The Austrian club have kept clean sheets in five of their last six away games.…",
       "retelling": null,
       "checkable_item": false,
       "against": false
      }
     ],
     "total_count": 1
    }
   ],
   "against": [],
   "other_languages": 2,
   "other_language_hosts": [
    "sportwetten.bild.de"
   ],
   "mode": "quotes",
   "topics_total": 2,
   "checkable": 0
  },
  "market_label": {
   "favourite_code": "2",
   "favourite": "Red Bull Salzburg",
   "probabilities": [
    {
     "outcome_label": "1",
     "in_words": "NK Celje",
     "percent_value": 20
    },
    {
     "outcome_label": "X",
     "in_words": "Draw",
     "percent_value": 22
    },
    {
     "outcome_label": "2",
     "in_words": "Red Bull Salzburg",
     "percent_value": 57
    }
   ],
   "prices": {
    "1": "4.71",
    "X": "4.20",
    "2": "1.65"
   },
   "group_count": 24,
   "bookmakers": 39,
   "snapshot_at": "2026-10-22T19:00:00.000Z",
   "closing_line": true,
   "first_at": "2026-10-21T03:17:15.868Z",
   "shift_pp": 1.1,
   "phrase": "The market has barely changed its mind since our first snapshot on 21 October 2026: Red Bull Salzburg 58% then, 57% at kick-off.",
   "technique": "Median across groups of bookmakers, without margin: brands on one platform count once (median within the group); betting exchanges and prediction markets are excluded. Market price from an odds aggregator; the data provider is not named.",
   "t24": {
    "snapshot_at": "2026-10-21T19:00:00.000Z",
    "probabilities": {
     "1": 18,
     "2": 61,
     "X": 22
    }
   },
   "t2": {
    "snapshot_at": "2026-10-22T17:00:00.000Z",
    "probabilities": {
     "1": 16,
     "2": 63,
     "X": 21
    }
   }
  },
  "market_mode": "show",
  "fact_sheet": {
   "tournament": "UEFA Europa League (Europe)",
   "matchday": "League Stage · Matchday 3",
   "starts_at": "2026-10-22T19:00:00.000Z",
   "form": {
    "home_side": [
     {
      "res": "D",
      "scoreline": "0-0",
      "opponent": "NK Maribor",
      "at_home": false,
      "data": "2026-10-18"
     },
     {
      "res": "L",
      "scoreline": "0-3",
      "opponent": "Omonia Nicosia",
      "at_home": true,
      "data": "2026-10-15"
     },
     {
      "res": "W",
      "scoreline": "1-0",
      "opponent": "Aluminij Kidricevo",
      "at_home": true,
      "data": "2026-10-10"
     },
     {
      "res": "L",
      "scoreline": "0-2",
      "opponent": "Bayer 04 Leverkusen",
      "at_home": false,
      "data": "2026-09-16"
     },
     {
      "res": "W",
      "scoreline": "3-0",
      "opponent": "NK Rudar Velenje",
      "at_home": false,
      "data": "2026-09-09"
     }
    ],
    "away": [
     {
      "res": "W",
      "scoreline": "3-0",
      "opponent": "SCR Altach",
      "at_home": true,
      "data": "2026-10-18"
     },
     {
      "res": "L",
      "scoreline": "0-4",
      "opponent": "AC Milan",
      "at_home": true,
      "data": "2026-10-15"
     },
     {
      "res": "D",
      "scoreline": "0-0",
      "opponent": "Grazer AK",
      "at_home": false,
      "data": "2026-10-10"
     },
     {
      "res": "W",
      "scoreline": "1-0",
      "opponent": "Levski Sofia",
      "at_home": false,
      "data": "2026-09-17"
     },
     {
      "res": "W",
      "scoreline": "5-1",
      "opponent": "Rapid Vienna",
      "at_home": true,
      "data": "2026-09-02"
     }
    ]
   },
   "head_to_head": [],
   "past_cards": [],
   "reach": ""
  },
  "after_match": {
   "scoreline": "2-2",
   "fact_code": "X",
   "row_list": [
    "Match-result predictions from tipsters and sources with 10 or more predictions checked against the final score to date: 0 of 5 matched · Tipsters 0 of 1 · Prediction sites 0 of 4",
    "All recorded exact-score predictions: 0 of 2 matched",
    "Exact-score predictions from tipsters and sources with 10 or more predictions checked against the final score to date: 0 of 2 matched the score, 0 of 2 the outcome",
    "Most common selection among tipsters and sources with 10 or more predictions checked against the final score to date: Red Bull Salzburg (5 of 5), missed",
    "Market favourite at kick-off: Red Bull Salzburg (missed)"
   ],
   "by_group": {
    "websites": {
     "correct": 0,
     "of": 4
    },
    "tipsters": {
     "correct": 0,
     "of": 1
    }
   },
   "placement": null,
   "checks": []
  },
  "prices": [
   {
    "author_name": "Dailysports",
    "choice": "Red Bull Salzburg",
    "market_label": "1X2, match result",
    "author_quoted_price": "1.60",
    "our_snapshot": "1.5988",
    "closing_line": null
   },
   {
    "author_name": "Fabian Schuster",
    "choice": "no",
    "market_label": "Both teams to score",
    "author_quoted_price": "2.15",
    "our_snapshot": "2.1850",
    "closing_line": null
   }
  ],
  "revisions": [
   "Market 24 hours before kick-off: Red Bull Salzburg 61%.",
   "Market 2 hours before kick-off: Red Bull Salzburg 63%.",
   "First published with predictions on 20 October 2026."
  ],
  "titles": {
   "shown": true,
   "legend": "Badges show titles earned before this prediction, by published rules.",
   "frozen_in": "sr-70aa5c07d184927b2e50653c"
  },
  "tracker": null,
  "source_groups": {
   "as_of": "2026-10-22T19:00:00.000Z",
   "groups": [
    {
     "key": "prediction_sites",
     "label": "Prediction sites"
    },
    {
     "key": "media",
     "label": "Media"
    },
    {
     "key": "telegram_channels",
     "label": "Telegram channels"
    },
    {
     "key": "private_authors",
     "label": "Independent tipsters"
    }
   ],
   "authors": 8,
   "by_group": [
    {
     "key": "prediction_sites",
     "authors": 1
    },
    {
     "key": "media",
     "authors": 2
    },
    {
     "key": "telegram_channels",
     "authors": 5
    },
    {
     "key": "private_authors",
     "authors": 0
    }
   ],
   "markets": [
    {
     "key": "1x2",
     "label": "Match result",
     "authors": 5,
     "by_group": [
      {
       "key": "prediction_sites",
       "authors": 1
      },
      {
       "key": "media",
       "authors": 0
      },
      {
       "key": "telegram_channels",
       "authors": 4
      },
      {
       "key": "private_authors",
       "authors": 0
      }
     ],
     "choices": [
      {
       "code_name": "1",
       "in_words": "NK Celje",
       "authors": 0,
       "by_group": [
        {
         "key": "prediction_sites",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "media",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "telegram_channels",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "private_authors",
         "authors": 0
        }
       ]
      },
      {
       "code_name": "X",
       "in_words": "Draw",
       "authors": 0,
       "by_group": [
        {
         "key": "prediction_sites",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "media",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "telegram_channels",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "private_authors",
         "authors": 0
        }
       ]
      },
      {
       "code_name": "2",
       "in_words": "Red Bull Salzburg",
       "authors": 5,
       "by_group": [
        {
         "key": "prediction_sites",
         "authors": 1
        },
        {
         "key": "media",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "telegram_channels",
         "authors": 4
        },
        {
         "key": "private_authors",
         "authors": 0
        }
       ]
      }
     ]
    },
    {
     "key": "totals",
     "label": "Goal totals",
     "authors": 3,
     "by_group": [
      {
       "key": "prediction_sites",
       "authors": 0
      },
      {
       "key": "media",
       "authors": 1
      },
      {
       "key": "telegram_channels",
       "authors": 2
      },
      {
       "key": "private_authors",
       "authors": 0
      }
     ]
    },
    {
     "key": "other",
     "label": "Handicaps, both teams to score, correct score and other markets",
     "authors": 4,
     "by_group": [
      {
       "key": "prediction_sites",
       "authors": 1
      },
      {
       "key": "media",
       "authors": 2
      },
      {
       "key": "telegram_channels",
       "authors": 1
      },
      {
       "key": "private_authors",
       "authors": 0
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  "market_line": {
   "line_state": "barely_moved",
   "line_frozen": true,
   "phrase": "Market line at kick-off (22 October 2026, 20:00 BST): NK Celje 20%, draw 22%, Red Bull Salzburg 57%. From 21 October 2026, 04:17 BST to kick-off it barely moved: the largest change was 1.1 percentage points (Red Bull Salzburg down).",
   "line_markets": [
    {
     "market_text": "1X2, match result",
     "market_group": "1x2",
     "line_kind": "median_line",
     "margin_included": false,
     "snapshot_at": "2026-10-22T19:00:00.000Z",
     "closing_line": true,
     "probabilities": [
      {
       "outcome_label": "1",
       "in_words": "NK Celje",
       "percent_value": 20
      },
      {
       "outcome_label": "X",
       "in_words": "Draw",
       "percent_value": 22
      },
      {
       "outcome_label": "2",
       "in_words": "Red Bull Salzburg",
       "percent_value": 57
      }
     ],
     "group_count": 24,
     "first_at": "2026-10-21T03:17:15.868Z",
     "first_probabilities": {
      "1": 19,
      "2": 58,
      "X": 22
     },
     "shift_pp": 1.1,
     "shift_outcome": "2",
     "shift_direction": "down",
     "line_state": "barely_moved",
     "phrase": "Market line at kick-off (22 October 2026, 20:00 BST): NK Celje 20%, draw 22%, Red Bull Salzburg 57%. From 21 October 2026, 04:17 BST to kick-off it barely moved: the largest change was 1.1 percentage points (Red Bull Salzburg down)."
    },
    {
     "market_text": "Both teams to score",
     "market_group": "other",
     "line_kind": "recorded_price",
     "margin_included": true,
     "closing_line": false,
     "price_sides": [
      {
       "choice": "no",
       "snapshot_price": "2.19",
       "percent_value": 46,
       "snapshot_at": "2026-10-20T13:09:30.288Z",
       "snapshot_count": 1,
       "first_snapshot_price": null,
       "first_at": null,
       "shift_pp": null,
       "shift_direction": null,
       "line_state": "single_snapshot"
      }
     ],
     "line_state": "single_snapshot",
     "phrase": "Both teams to score, no: market price 2.19 on 20 October 2026, 14:09 BST (implied 46%, margin included)."
    },
    {
     "market_text": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
     "market_group": "totals",
     "line_kind": "recorded_price",
     "margin_included": true,
     "closing_line": false,
     "price_sides": [
      {
       "choice": "under 2.5",
       "snapshot_price": "2.23",
       "percent_value": 45,
       "snapshot_at": "2026-10-21T17:50:36.000Z",
       "snapshot_count": 1,
       "first_snapshot_price": null,
       "first_at": null,
       "shift_pp": null,
       "shift_direction": null,
       "line_state": "single_snapshot"
      }
     ],
     "line_state": "single_snapshot",
     "phrase": "Over/Under 2.5 goals, under 2.5 goals: market price 2.23 on 21 October 2026, 18:50 BST (implied 45%, margin included)."
    }
   ]
  },
  "pre_kickoff_snapshot": {
   "frozen_before_kickoff": true,
   "as_of_moment": "2026-10-22T19:00:00.000Z",
   "starts_at": "2026-10-22T19:00:00.000Z",
   "phrase": "Before kick-off on 22 October 2026, 20:00 BST: market line at kick-off NK Celje 20%, draw 22%, Red Bull Salzburg 57%; 1X2, match result: most expected Red Bull Salzburg (5 of 5 predictions); Over/Under 1.5 goals, recorded picks before the match (2): 1 on over 1.5 goals, 1 on under 1.5 goals; Both teams to score, recorded picks before the match (2): 2 on no.",
   "market_line_brief": {
    "snapshot_at": "2026-10-22T19:00:00.000Z",
    "closing_line": true,
    "probabilities": {
     "1": 20,
     "X": 22,
     "2": 57
    }
   },
   "market_groups": [
    {
     "market_group": "1x2",
     "group_markets": [
      {
       "market_text": "1X2, match result",
       "prediction_count": 5,
       "row_count": 5,
       "market_choices": [
        {
         "choice": "Red Bull Salzburg",
         "figure": 5
        }
       ],
       "phrase_mode": "majority",
       "leader_choice": "Red Bull Salzburg",
       "leader_count": 5,
       "share_percent": 100,
       "phrase": "1X2, match result: most expected Red Bull Salzburg (5 of 5 predictions)",
       "sides_1x2": [
        {
         "side": "1",
         "in_words": "NK Celje",
         "figure": 0
        },
        {
         "side": "X",
         "in_words": "draw",
         "figure": 0
        },
        {
         "side": "2",
         "in_words": "Red Bull Salzburg",
         "figure": 5
        }
       ]
      }
     ]
    },
    {
     "market_group": "totals",
     "group_markets": [
      {
       "market_text": "Over/Under 1.5 goals",
       "prediction_count": 2,
       "row_count": 2,
       "market_choices": [
        {
         "choice": "over 1.5",
         "figure": 1
        },
        {
         "choice": "under 1.5",
         "figure": 1
        }
       ],
       "phrase_mode": "listing",
       "leader_choice": null,
       "leader_count": null,
       "share_percent": null,
       "phrase": "Over/Under 1.5 goals, recorded picks before the match (2): 1 on over 1.5 goals, 1 on under 1.5 goals"
      },
      {
       "market_text": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
       "prediction_count": 2,
       "row_count": 2,
       "market_choices": [
        {
         "choice": "under 2.5",
         "figure": 2
        }
       ],
       "phrase_mode": "listing",
       "leader_choice": null,
       "leader_count": null,
       "share_percent": 100,
       "phrase": "Over/Under 2.5 goals, recorded picks before the match (2): 2 on under 2.5 goals"
      },
      {
       "market_text": "Over/Under 3.5 goals",
       "prediction_count": 1,
       "row_count": 1,
       "market_choices": [
        {
         "choice": "under 3.5",
         "figure": 1
        }
       ],
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