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 "heading": "Nacional vs Sporting Braga: recorded predictions and results",
 "description": "Nacional vs Sporting Braga, 25 October 2026. Final score 1-0 · Primeira Liga: 11 distinct predictions from 6 authors.",
 "first_paragraph": {
  "body": "Nacional finished 1-0 against Sporting Braga. None of the 4 recorded correct-score predictions matched that score. Other markets are shown separately below. Forecast Record recorded 11 statements from 6 authors on Nacional vs Sporting Braga (Primeira Liga, kick-off 25 October 2026): 11 distinct predictions, all of the statements recorded before kick-off.",
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  "data": "2026-10-25",
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  "display_name": "Nacional — Sporting Braga",
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     "outcome_label": "Nacional 0-2 Sporting Braga",
     "figure": 2,
     "share": "50.0"
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     "outcome_label": "Nacional 0-1 Sporting Braga",
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     "outcome_label": "Nacional 1-2 Sporting Braga",
     "figure": 1,
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   "author_count": 4,
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   "summary": "Most common recorded selection in this market: Nacional 0-2 Sporting Braga — 2 of 4 eligible picks (one per author), with no stated price",
   "late_excluded": 0,
   "contributions": 4,
   "prediction_count": 4,
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 ],
 "record_counts": {
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    "market": "Both teams to score",
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    "market": "Both teams to score",
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    "published_at": "2026-10-23T18:19:13.000Z",
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    "author": "Adeyeye Oluwapelumi",
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    "market": "Correct score",
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    "lead_hours": 41.8,
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     "author_href": "/authors/jasper-van-den-boogaard/",
     "source_group": "tipsters",
     "trust_tier": "probation",
     "market_label": "Correct score",
     "market_key": "correct_score_market",
     "choice": "Nacional 0-2 Sporting Braga",
     "choice_key": "0-2",
     "byline": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
     "logged_at": "2026-10-24T22:49:26.441Z",
     "posted_at": "2026-10-23T10:01:38.000Z",
     "author_quoted_price": null,
     "our_snapshot": "7.0000",
     "closing_line": null,
     "outcome_label": "Lost",
     "pre_match": true,
     "proof": "/authors/jasper-van-den-boogaard/picks/27/#pick-n-efda2c85cb9a013d42452469",
     "original": null,
     "contradictory": false,
     "authorship": null,
     "source_type": "prediction_sites",
     "own_page": true,
     "trust_settled_count": 521
    },
    {
     "entry_id": "n-5ed2571f48b996b49858ac38",
     "author_name": "Jasper van den Boogaard",
     "author_href": "/authors/jasper-van-den-boogaard/",
     "source_group": "tipsters",
     "trust_tier": "probation",
     "market_label": "Match result and over/under 3.5 goals",
     "market_key": "result_and_total",
     "choice": "Sporting Braga to win and under 3.5 goals",
     "choice_key": "2-under",
     "byline": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
     "logged_at": "2026-10-24T22:49:26.441Z",
     "posted_at": "2026-10-23T10:01:38.000Z",
     "author_quoted_price": "1.80",
     "our_snapshot": "2.1800",
     "closing_line": null,
     "outcome_label": "Lost",
     "pre_match": true,
     "proof": "/authors/jasper-van-den-boogaard/picks/27/#pick-n-5ed2571f48b996b49858ac38",
     "original": null,
     "contradictory": false,
     "authorship": null,
     "source_type": "prediction_sites",
     "own_page": true,
     "trust_settled_count": 521
    }
   ],
   "not_counted": [],
   "after_start": [],
   "forecaster_split": {
    "contracts": [
     {
      "contract_code": "1x2|*|match|*|*#explicit",
      "source_group": "explicit",
      "market_label": "1X2, match result",
      "market_key": "1x2",
      "choices": [
       {
        "code_name": "1",
        "in_words": "Nacional",
        "tips": [],
        "figure": 0
       },
       {
        "code_name": "X",
        "in_words": "Draw",
        "tips": [],
        "figure": 0
       },
       {
        "code_name": "2",
        "in_words": "Sporting Braga",
        "tips": [
         {
          "author_name": "BetClan",
          "entry_id": "n-36b94e83534c9b4927c689aa",
          "outcome_label": "Lost",
          "source_group": "websites"
         },
         {
          "author_name": "Enrico Giordano",
          "entry_id": "n-e25f151cf59ca939381951f0",
          "outcome_label": "Lost",
          "source_group": "tipsters"
         }
        ],
        "figure": 2
       }
      ],
      "n": 2,
      "publisher_count": 2
     },
     {
      "contract_code": "correct_score_market|*|match|*|*#explicit",
      "source_group": "explicit",
      "market_label": "Correct score",
      "market_key": "correct_score_market",
      "choices": [
       {
        "code_name": "0-2",
        "in_words": "Nacional 0-2 Sporting Braga",
        "tips": [
         {
          "author_name": "Adeyeye Oluwapelumi",
          "entry_id": "n-bdb1b07b1980ad845620de05",
          "outcome_label": "Lost",
          "source_group": "experts"
         },
         {
          "author_name": "Jasper van den Boogaard",
          "entry_id": "n-efda2c85cb9a013d42452469",
          "outcome_label": "Lost",
          "source_group": "tipsters"
         }
        ],
        "figure": 2
       },
       {
        "code_name": "0-1",
        "in_words": "Nacional 0-1 Sporting Braga",
        "tips": [
         {
          "author_name": "BetClan",
          "entry_id": "n-71ebb0f528a1676aa6f84622",
          "outcome_label": "Lost",
          "source_group": "websites"
         }
        ],
        "figure": 1
       },
       {
        "code_name": "1-2",
        "in_words": "Nacional 1-2 Sporting Braga",
        "tips": [
         {
          "author_name": "FootballPredictions.com",
          "entry_id": "n-ad5b39c40cba90fba9c42d98",
          "outcome_label": "Lost",
          "source_group": "websites"
         }
        ],
        "figure": 1
       }
      ],
      "n": 4,
      "publisher_count": 4
     },
     {
      "contract_code": "both_teams_score|*|match|*|*#explicit",
      "source_group": "explicit",
      "market_label": "Both teams to score",
      "market_key": "both_teams_score",
      "choices": [
       {
        "code_name": "yes",
        "in_words": "yes",
        "tips": [
         {
          "author_name": "Goksim",
          "entry_id": "n-6bd16121c3db440edaa55412",
          "outcome_label": "Lost",
          "source_group": "tipsters"
         }
        ],
        "figure": 1
       },
       {
        "code_name": "no",
        "in_words": "no",
        "tips": [
         {
          "author_name": "BetClan",
          "entry_id": "n-ac49b06f34a9e71c4f664c80",
          "outcome_label": "Won",
          "source_group": "websites"
         }
        ],
        "figure": 1
       }
      ],
      "n": 2,
      "publisher_count": 2
     },
     {
      "contract_code": "total|2.5|match|*|*#explicit",
      "source_group": "explicit",
      "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
      "market_key": "total",
      "choices": [
       {
        "code_name": "over",
        "in_words": "over 2.5",
        "tips": [
         {
          "author_name": "Goksim",
          "entry_id": "n-41a251174aa7b4523820bdb3",
          "outcome_label": "Lost",
          "source_group": "tipsters"
         }
        ],
        "figure": 1
       },
       {
        "code_name": "under",
        "in_words": "under 2.5",
        "tips": [
         {
          "author_name": "BetClan",
          "entry_id": "n-23b388a8e54a2d668a5fb231",
          "outcome_label": "Won",
          "source_group": "websites"
         }
        ],
        "figure": 1
       }
      ],
      "n": 2,
      "publisher_count": 2
     },
     {
      "contract_code": "result_and_total|3.5|match|*|*#explicit",
      "source_group": "explicit",
      "market_label": "Match result and over/under 3.5 goals",
      "market_key": "result_and_total",
      "choices": [
       {
        "code_name": "2-under",
        "in_words": "Sporting Braga to win and under 3.5 goals",
        "tips": [
         {
          "author_name": "Jasper van den Boogaard",
          "entry_id": "n-5ed2571f48b996b49858ac38",
          "outcome_label": "Lost",
          "source_group": "tipsters"
         }
        ],
        "figure": 1
       }
      ],
      "n": 1,
      "publisher_count": 1
     }
    ],
    "author_count": 6,
    "below_threshold": {
     "prediction_count": 0,
     "author_count": 0
    },
    "limit": 10
   },
   "chain": {
    "publications": 2,
    "unique": 2,
    "comparable": 2,
    "admissible": 2,
    "contributions": 2
   },
   "differing_choices": 0,
   "visible_who": 2,
   "newcomers_who": 4,
   "newcomers_before": 9,
   "titles_shown": true,
   "legend": "Badges show titles earned before this prediction, by published rules."
  },
  "arguments": {
   "topics": [
    {
     "code_name": "recent_form",
     "display_name": "Form",
     "checkable_item": false,
     "bullet_points": [
      {
       "entry_id": "n-bdb1b07b1980ad845620de05",
       "author_name": "Adeyeye Oluwapelumi",
       "author_href": "/authors/adeyeye-oluwapelumi/",
       "source_group": "experts",
       "choice": "Nacional 0-2 Sporting Braga",
       "market_label": "Correct score",
       "logged_at": "2026-10-24T00:10:14.140Z",
       "original": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/nacional/preview/nacional-vs-braga-prediction-team-news-lineups_607607.html",
       "proof": "/authors/adeyeye-oluwapelumi/picks/8/#pick-n-bdb1b07b1980ad845620de05",
       "quote_text": "Nacional's losing streak and defensive record make it difficult to back them to turn their season around immediately, particularly given the uncertainty…",
       "retelling": null,
       "checkable_item": false,
       "against": false
      }
     ],
     "total_count": 1
    }
   ],
   "against": [],
   "other_languages": 1,
   "other_language_hosts": [
    "bottadiculo.it"
   ],
   "mode": "quotes",
   "topics_total": 1,
   "checkable": 0
  },
  "market_label": {
   "favourite_code": "2",
   "favourite": "Sporting Braga",
   "probabilities": [
    {
     "outcome_label": "1",
     "in_words": "Nacional",
     "percent_value": 15
    },
    {
     "outcome_label": "X",
     "in_words": "Draw",
     "percent_value": 23
    },
    {
     "outcome_label": "2",
     "in_words": "Sporting Braga",
     "percent_value": 62
    }
   ],
   "prices": {
    "1": "6.10",
    "X": "4.15",
    "2": "1.51"
   },
   "group_count": 13,
   "bookmakers": 15,
   "snapshot_at": "2026-10-25T18:00:00.000Z",
   "closing_line": true,
   "first_at": "2026-10-22T10:09:25.695Z",
   "shift_pp": 2.2,
   "phrase": "The market has barely changed its mind since our first snapshot on 22 October 2026: Sporting Braga 60% then, 62% at kick-off.",
   "technique": "Median across groups of bookmakers, without margin: brands on one platform count once (median within the group); betting exchanges and prediction markets are excluded. Market price from an odds aggregator; the data provider is not named.",
   "t24": {
    "snapshot_at": "2026-10-24T18:00:00.000Z",
    "probabilities": {
     "1": 16,
     "2": 60,
     "X": 23
    }
   },
   "t2": {
    "snapshot_at": "2026-10-25T16:00:00.000Z",
    "probabilities": {
     "1": 15,
     "2": 63,
     "X": 22
    }
   }
  },
  "market_mode": "show",
  "fact_sheet": {
   "tournament": "Primeira Liga (Portugal)",
   "matchday": "Matchweek 9",
   "starts_at": "2026-10-25T18:00:00.000Z",
   "form": {
    "home_side": [
     {
      "res": "L",
      "scoreline": "0-1",
      "opponent": "AD Sanjoanense",
      "at_home": false,
      "data": "2026-10-17"
     },
     {
      "res": "L",
      "scoreline": "2-3",
      "opponent": "Rio Ave",
      "at_home": false,
      "data": "2026-10-11"
     },
     {
      "res": "L",
      "scoreline": "0-4",
      "opponent": "Famalicão",
      "at_home": true,
      "data": "2026-09-19"
     },
     {
      "res": "L",
      "scoreline": "1-3",
      "opponent": "Alverca",
      "at_home": true,
      "data": "2026-09-12"
     },
     {
      "res": "L",
      "scoreline": "0-2",
      "opponent": "Sporting CP",
      "at_home": false,
      "data": "2026-09-05"
     }
    ],
    "away": [
     {
      "res": "W",
      "scoreline": "2-0",
      "opponent": "Gent",
      "at_home": true,
      "data": "2026-10-22"
     },
     {
      "res": "L",
      "scoreline": "1-2",
      "opponent": "Gil Vicente",
      "at_home": true,
      "data": "2026-10-19"
     },
     {
      "res": "L",
      "scoreline": "0-3",
      "opponent": "FC København",
      "at_home": false,
      "data": "2026-10-15"
     },
     {
      "res": "L",
      "scoreline": "1-3",
      "opponent": "Sporting CP",
      "at_home": true,
      "data": "2026-10-09"
     },
     {
      "res": "D",
      "scoreline": "0-0",
      "opponent": "Santa Clara",
      "at_home": false,
      "data": "2026-09-20"
     }
    ]
   },
   "head_to_head": [],
   "past_cards": [],
   "reach": ""
  },
  "after_match": {
   "scoreline": "1-0",
   "fact_code": "1",
   "row_list": [
    "Match-result predictions from tipsters and sources with 10 or more predictions checked against the final score to date: 0 of 2 matched · Tipsters 0 of 1 · Prediction sites 0 of 1",
    "All recorded exact-score predictions: 0 of 4 matched",
    "Exact-score predictions from tipsters and sources with 10 or more predictions checked against the final score to date: 0 of 4 matched the score, 0 of 4 the outcome",
    "Most common selection among tipsters and sources with 10 or more predictions checked against the final score to date: Sporting Braga (2 of 2), missed",
    "Market favourite at kick-off: Sporting Braga (missed)"
   ],
   "by_group": {
    "websites": {
     "correct": 0,
     "of": 1
    },
    "tipsters": {
     "correct": 0,
     "of": 1
    }
   },
   "placement": null,
   "checks": []
  },
  "prices": [
   {
    "author_name": "Enrico Giordano",
    "choice": "Sporting Braga",
    "market_label": "1X2, match result",
    "author_quoted_price": "1.57",
    "our_snapshot": "1.5500",
    "closing_line": null
   }
  ],
  "revisions": [
   "Market 24 hours before kick-off: Sporting Braga 60%.",
   "Market 2 hours before kick-off: Sporting Braga 63%.",
   "First published with predictions on 19 October 2026."
  ],
  "titles": {
   "shown": true,
   "legend": "Badges show titles earned before this prediction, by published rules.",
   "frozen_in": "sr-31e4890b09ab62147b3d8f22"
  },
  "tracker": null,
  "source_groups": {
   "as_of": "2026-10-25T18:00:00.000Z",
   "groups": [
    {
     "key": "prediction_sites",
     "label": "Prediction sites"
    },
    {
     "key": "media",
     "label": "Media"
    },
    {
     "key": "telegram_channels",
     "label": "Telegram channels"
    },
    {
     "key": "private_authors",
     "label": "Independent tipsters"
    }
   ],
   "authors": 6,
   "by_group": [
    {
     "key": "prediction_sites",
     "authors": 2
    },
    {
     "key": "media",
     "authors": 1
    },
    {
     "key": "telegram_channels",
     "authors": 2
    },
    {
     "key": "private_authors",
     "authors": 1
    }
   ],
   "markets": [
    {
     "key": "1x2",
     "label": "Match result",
     "authors": 2,
     "by_group": [
      {
       "key": "prediction_sites",
       "authors": 1
      },
      {
       "key": "media",
       "authors": 0
      },
      {
       "key": "telegram_channels",
       "authors": 1
      },
      {
       "key": "private_authors",
       "authors": 0
      }
     ],
     "choices": [
      {
       "code_name": "1",
       "in_words": "Nacional",
       "authors": 0,
       "by_group": [
        {
         "key": "prediction_sites",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "media",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "telegram_channels",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "private_authors",
         "authors": 0
        }
       ]
      },
      {
       "code_name": "X",
       "in_words": "Draw",
       "authors": 0,
       "by_group": [
        {
         "key": "prediction_sites",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "media",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "telegram_channels",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "private_authors",
         "authors": 0
        }
       ]
      },
      {
       "code_name": "2",
       "in_words": "Sporting Braga",
       "authors": 2,
       "by_group": [
        {
         "key": "prediction_sites",
         "authors": 1
        },
        {
         "key": "media",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "telegram_channels",
         "authors": 1
        },
        {
         "key": "private_authors",
         "authors": 0
        }
       ]
      }
     ]
    },
    {
     "key": "totals",
     "label": "Goal totals",
     "authors": 2,
     "by_group": [
      {
       "key": "prediction_sites",
       "authors": 0
      },
      {
       "key": "media",
       "authors": 0
      },
      {
       "key": "telegram_channels",
       "authors": 1
      },
      {
       "key": "private_authors",
       "authors": 1
      }
     ]
    },
    {
     "key": "other",
     "label": "Handicaps, both teams to score, correct score and other markets",
     "authors": 5,
     "by_group": [
      {
       "key": "prediction_sites",
       "authors": 1
      },
      {
       "key": "media",
       "authors": 1
      },
      {
       "key": "telegram_channels",
       "authors": 2
      },
      {
       "key": "private_authors",
       "authors": 1
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  "market_line": {
   "line_state": "barely_moved",
   "line_frozen": true,
   "phrase": "Market line at kick-off (25 October 2026, 18:00 GMT): Nacional 15%, draw 23%, Sporting Braga 62%. From 22 October 2026, 11:09 BST to kick-off it barely moved: the largest change was 2.2 percentage points (Sporting Braga up).",
   "line_markets": [
    {
     "market_text": "1X2, match result",
     "market_group": "1x2",
     "line_kind": "median_line",
     "margin_included": false,
     "snapshot_at": "2026-10-25T18:00:00.000Z",
     "closing_line": true,
     "probabilities": [
      {
       "outcome_label": "1",
       "in_words": "Nacional",
       "percent_value": 15
      },
      {
       "outcome_label": "X",
       "in_words": "Draw",
       "percent_value": 23
      },
      {
       "outcome_label": "2",
       "in_words": "Sporting Braga",
       "percent_value": 62
      }
     ],
     "group_count": 13,
     "first_at": "2026-10-22T10:09:25.695Z",
     "first_probabilities": {
      "1": 17,
      "2": 60,
      "X": 23
     },
     "shift_pp": 2.2,
     "shift_outcome": "2",
     "shift_direction": "up",
     "line_state": "barely_moved",
     "phrase": "Market line at kick-off (25 October 2026, 18:00 GMT): Nacional 15%, draw 23%, Sporting Braga 62%. From 22 October 2026, 11:09 BST to kick-off it barely moved: the largest change was 2.2 percentage points (Sporting Braga up)."
    },
    {
     "market_text": "Both teams to score",
     "market_group": "other",
     "line_kind": "recorded_price",
     "margin_included": true,
     "closing_line": false,
     "price_sides": [
      {
       "choice": "no",
       "snapshot_price": "1.80",
       "percent_value": 56,
       "snapshot_at": "2026-10-24T23:49:30.109Z",
       "snapshot_count": 1,
       "first_snapshot_price": null,
       "first_at": null,
       "shift_pp": null,
       "shift_direction": null,
       "line_state": "single_snapshot"
      },
      {
       "choice": "yes",
       "snapshot_price": "1.90",
       "percent_value": 53,
       "snapshot_at": "2026-10-23T18:19:02.760Z",
       "snapshot_count": 1,
       "first_snapshot_price": null,
       "first_at": null,
       "shift_pp": null,
       "shift_direction": null,
       "line_state": "single_snapshot"
      }
     ],
     "line_state": "single_snapshot",
     "phrase": "Both teams to score, no: market price 1.80 on 25 October 2026, 00:49 BST (implied 56%, margin included). Both teams to score, yes: market price 1.90 on 23 October 2026, 19:19 BST (implied 53%, margin included)."
    },
    {
     "market_text": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
     "market_group": "totals",
     "line_kind": "recorded_price",
     "margin_included": true,
     "closing_line": false,
     "price_sides": [
      {
       "choice": "over 2.5",
       "snapshot_price": "1.88",
       "percent_value": 53,
       "snapshot_at": "2026-10-23T18:19:02.760Z",
       "snapshot_count": 1,
       "first_snapshot_price": null,
       "first_at": null,
       "shift_pp": null,
       "shift_direction": null,
       "line_state": "single_snapshot"
      },
      {
       "choice": "under 2.5",
       "snapshot_price": "1.95",
       "percent_value": 51,
       "snapshot_at": "2026-10-24T23:49:30.109Z",
       "snapshot_count": 1,
       "first_snapshot_price": null,
       "first_at": null,
       "shift_pp": null,
       "shift_direction": null,
       "line_state": "single_snapshot"
      }
     ],
     "line_state": "single_snapshot",
     "phrase": "Over/Under 2.5 goals, over 2.5 goals: market price 1.88 on 23 October 2026, 19:19 BST (implied 53%, margin included). Over/Under 2.5 goals, under 2.5 goals: market price 1.95 on 25 October 2026, 00:49 BST (implied 51%, margin included)."
    }
   ]
  },
  "pre_kickoff_snapshot": {
   "frozen_before_kickoff": true,
   "as_of_moment": "2026-10-25T18:00:00.000Z",
   "starts_at": "2026-10-25T18:00:00.000Z",
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 ],
 "data_changes": {
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  "last_correction_at": null,
  "corrections_url": "/corrections/"
 },
 "entity_id": "event:s-0b602069b796",
 "source_revision": 77,
 "title_short": {
  "length": 65,
  "names": [
   "Nacional",
   "Braga"
  ],
  "title": "Nacional vs Braga: Predictions and Results — 25 Oct 2026",
  "title_length": 56
 }
}