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   "snapshot_at": "2026-11-03T22:30:00.000Z",
   "closing_line": true,
   "first_at": "2026-11-01T05:08:33.115Z",
   "shift_pp": 1.6,
   "phrase": "The market has barely changed its mind since our first snapshot on 1 November 2026: Nacional Asunción 73% then, 71% at kick-off.",
   "technique": "Median across groups of bookmakers, without margin: brands on one platform count once (median within the group); betting exchanges and prediction markets are excluded. Market price from an odds aggregator; the data provider is not named.",
   "t24": {
    "snapshot_at": "2026-11-02T22:30:00.000Z",
    "probabilities": {
     "1": 71,
     "2": 10,
     "X": 19
    }
   },
   "t2": {
    "snapshot_at": "2026-11-03T20:30:00.000Z",
    "probabilities": {
     "1": 72,
     "2": 10,
     "X": 19
    }
   }
  },
  "market_mode": "show",
  "fact_sheet": {
   "tournament": "División de Honor (Paraguay)",
   "matchday": "Clausura · Matchday 18",
   "starts_at": "2026-11-03T22:30:00.000Z",
   "form": {
    "home_side": [
     {
      "res": "W",
      "scoreline": "3-0",
      "opponent": "Sportivo Luqueño",
      "at_home": false,
      "data": "2026-10-31"
     },
     {
      "res": "L",
      "scoreline": "0-1",
      "opponent": "Sportivo Trinidense",
      "at_home": true,
      "data": "2026-10-29"
     },
     {
      "res": "W",
      "scoreline": "2-0",
      "opponent": "Guaraní",
      "at_home": false,
      "data": "2026-10-17"
     },
     {
      "res": "W",
      "scoreline": "1-0",
      "opponent": "Deportivo Recoleta",
      "at_home": true,
      "data": "2026-10-12"
     },
     {
      "res": "D",
      "scoreline": "1-1",
      "opponent": "Olimpia",
      "at_home": false,
      "data": "2026-10-06"
     }
    ],
    "away": [
     {
      "res": "W",
      "scoreline": "2-1",
      "opponent": "Libertad",
      "at_home": true,
      "data": "2026-10-31"
     },
     {
      "res": "L",
      "scoreline": "1-3",
      "opponent": "Cerro Porteño",
      "at_home": true,
      "data": "2026-10-25"
     },
     {
      "res": "L",
      "scoreline": "2-3",
      "opponent": "Sportivo Luqueño",
      "at_home": false,
      "data": "2026-10-18"
     },
     {
      "res": "D",
      "scoreline": "2-2",
      "opponent": "Cerro Porteño",
      "at_home": false,
      "data": "2026-10-14"
     },
     {
      "res": "D",
      "scoreline": "1-1",
      "opponent": "Sportivo Trinidense",
      "at_home": true,
      "data": "2026-10-10"
     }
    ]
   },
   "head_to_head": [
    {
     "data": "2026-08-28",
     "match_list": "Sportivo San Lorenzo 0-3 Nacional Asunción",
     "event_id": "sm:19745686"
    },
    {
     "data": "2026-03-22",
     "match_list": "Sportivo San Lorenzo 0-0 Nacional Asunción",
     "event_id": "sm:19643330"
    },
    {
     "data": "2026-01-24",
     "match_list": "Nacional Asunción 1-0 Sportivo San Lorenzo",
     "event_id": "sm:19622542"
    }
   ],
   "past_cards": [],
   "reach": ""
  },
  "after_match": {
   "scoreline": "0-2",
   "fact_code": "2",
   "row_list": [
    "Match-result predictions from tipsters and sources with 10 or more predictions checked against the final score to date: 0 of 1 matched",
    "Most common selection among tipsters and sources with 10 or more predictions checked against the final score to date: Nacional Asunción (1 of 1), missed",
    "Market favourite at kick-off: Nacional Asunción (missed)"
   ],
   "by_group": {
    "websites": {
     "correct": 0,
     "of": 1
    }
   },
   "placement": null,
   "checks": []
  },
  "prices": [],
  "revisions": [
   "Market 24 hours before kick-off: Nacional Asunción 71%.",
   "Market 2 hours before kick-off: Nacional Asunción 72%.",
   "First published with predictions on 3 November 2026."
  ],
  "titles": {
   "shown": true,
   "legend": "Badges show titles earned before this prediction, by published rules.",
   "frozen_in": "sr-d6e9736de1e8d71919a7d961"
  },
  "tracker": null,
  "source_groups": {
   "as_of": "2026-11-03T22:30:00.000Z",
   "groups": [
    {
     "key": "prediction_sites",
     "label": "Prediction sites"
    },
    {
     "key": "media",
     "label": "Media"
    },
    {
     "key": "telegram_channels",
     "label": "Telegram channels"
    },
    {
     "key": "private_authors",
     "label": "Independent tipsters"
    }
   ],
   "authors": 1,
   "by_group": [
    {
     "key": "prediction_sites",
     "authors": 0
    },
    {
     "key": "media",
     "authors": 0
    },
    {
     "key": "telegram_channels",
     "authors": 1
    },
    {
     "key": "private_authors",
     "authors": 0
    }
   ],
   "markets": [
    {
     "key": "1x2",
     "label": "Match result",
     "authors": 1,
     "by_group": [
      {
       "key": "prediction_sites",
       "authors": 0
      },
      {
       "key": "media",
       "authors": 0
      },
      {
       "key": "telegram_channels",
       "authors": 1
      },
      {
       "key": "private_authors",
       "authors": 0
      }
     ],
     "choices": [
      {
       "code_name": "1",
       "in_words": "Nacional Asunción",
       "authors": 1,
       "by_group": [
        {
         "key": "prediction_sites",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "media",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "telegram_channels",
         "authors": 1
        },
        {
         "key": "private_authors",
         "authors": 0
        }
       ]
      },
      {
       "code_name": "X",
       "in_words": "Draw",
       "authors": 0,
       "by_group": [
        {
         "key": "prediction_sites",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "media",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "telegram_channels",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "private_authors",
         "authors": 0
        }
       ]
      },
      {
       "code_name": "2",
       "in_words": "Sportivo San Lorenzo",
       "authors": 0,
       "by_group": [
        {
         "key": "prediction_sites",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "media",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "telegram_channels",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "private_authors",
         "authors": 0
        }
       ]
      }
     ]
    },
    {
     "key": "totals",
     "label": "Goal totals",
     "authors": 0,
     "by_group": [
      {
       "key": "prediction_sites",
       "authors": 0
      },
      {
       "key": "media",
       "authors": 0
      },
      {
       "key": "telegram_channels",
       "authors": 0
      },
      {
       "key": "private_authors",
       "authors": 0
      }
     ]
    },
    {
     "key": "other",
     "label": "Handicaps, both teams to score, correct score and other markets",
     "authors": 0,
     "by_group": [
      {
       "key": "prediction_sites",
       "authors": 0
      },
      {
       "key": "media",
       "authors": 0
      },
      {
       "key": "telegram_channels",
       "authors": 0
      },
      {
       "key": "private_authors",
       "authors": 0
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  "market_line": {
   "line_state": "barely_moved",
   "line_frozen": true,
   "phrase": "Market line at kick-off (3 November 2026, 22:30 GMT): Nacional Asunción 71%, draw 19%, Sportivo San Lorenzo 10%. From 1 November 2026, 05:08 GMT to kick-off it barely moved: the largest change was 1.6 percentage points (Nacional Asunción down).",
   "line_markets": [
    {
     "market_text": "1X2, match result",
     "market_group": "1x2",
     "line_kind": "median_line",
     "margin_included": false,
     "snapshot_at": "2026-11-03T22:30:00.000Z",
     "closing_line": true,
     "probabilities": [
      {
       "outcome_label": "1",
       "in_words": "Nacional Asunción",
       "percent_value": 71
      },
      {
       "outcome_label": "X",
       "in_words": "Draw",
       "percent_value": 19
      },
      {
       "outcome_label": "2",
       "in_words": "Sportivo San Lorenzo",
       "percent_value": 10
      }
     ],
     "group_count": 11,
     "first_at": "2026-11-01T05:08:33.115Z",
     "first_probabilities": {
      "1": 73,
      "2": 10,
      "X": 17
     },
     "shift_pp": 1.6,
     "shift_outcome": "1",
     "shift_direction": "down",
     "line_state": "barely_moved",
     "phrase": "Market line at kick-off (3 November 2026, 22:30 GMT): Nacional Asunción 71%, draw 19%, Sportivo San Lorenzo 10%. From 1 November 2026, 05:08 GMT to kick-off it barely moved: the largest change was 1.6 percentage points (Nacional Asunción down)."
    }
   ]
  },
  "pre_kickoff_snapshot": {
   "frozen_before_kickoff": true,
   "as_of_moment": "2026-11-03T22:30:00.000Z",
   "starts_at": "2026-11-03T22:30:00.000Z",
   "phrase": "Before kick-off on 3 November 2026, 22:30 GMT: market line at kick-off Nacional Asunción 71%, draw 19%, Sportivo San Lorenzo 10%; 1X2, match result, recorded picks before the match (1): 1 on Nacional Asunción, 0 on the draw, 0 on Sportivo San Lorenzo.",
   "market_line_brief": {
    "snapshot_at": "2026-11-03T22:30:00.000Z",
    "closing_line": true,
    "probabilities": {
     "1": 71,
     "X": 19,
     "2": 10
    }
   },
   "market_groups": [
    {
     "market_group": "1x2",
     "group_markets": [
      {
       "market_text": "1X2, match result",
       "prediction_count": 1,
       "row_count": 1,
       "market_choices": [
        {
         "choice": "Nacional Asunción",
         "figure": 1
        }
       ],
       "phrase_mode": "listing",
       "leader_choice": null,
       "leader_count": null,
       "share_percent": 100,
       "phrase": "1X2, match result, recorded picks before the match (1): 1 on Nacional Asunción, 0 on the draw, 0 on Sportivo San Lorenzo",
       "sides_1x2": [
        {
         "side": "1",
         "in_words": "Nacional Asunción",
         "figure": 1
        },
        {
         "side": "X",
         "in_words": "draw",
         "figure": 0
        },
        {
         "side": "2",
         "in_words": "Sportivo San Lorenzo",
         "figure": 0
        }
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ],
   "predictions_before_kickoff": 1,
   "majority_threshold": {
    "min_predictions": 5,
    "min_share_percent": 60.0
   }
  },
  "teams_prev_next": [
   {
    "side": "home",
    "team": "Nacional Asunción",
    "team_url": null,
    "participant_id": "u-8293443b0cbb",
    "previous": {
     "kickoff": "2026-10-31T22:30:00.000Z",
     "name": "Sportivo Luqueño vs Nacional Asunción",
     "url": "/football/matches/sportivo-luqueno-vs-nacional-asuncion-2026-10-31/",
     "competition": "División de Honor (Paraguay)",
     "state": "played",
     "score": "0-3"
    },
    "next": {
     "kickoff": "2026-11-07T22:30:00.000Z",
     "name": "Libertad vs Nacional Asunción",
     "url": "/football/matches/libertad-vs-nacional-asuncion-2026-11-07/",
     "competition": "División de Honor (Paraguay)",
     "state": "upcoming",
     "score": null
    },
    "why": null
   },
   {
    "side": "away",
    "team": "Sportivo San Lorenzo",
    "team_url": null,
    "participant_id": "u-35adaf2dc98d",
    "previous": {
     "kickoff": "2026-10-31T22:30:00.000Z",
     "name": "Sportivo San Lorenzo vs Libertad",
     "url": null,
     "competition": "División de Honor (Paraguay)",
     "state": "played",
     "score": "2-1"
    },
    "next": {
     "kickoff": "2026-11-09T20:00:00.000Z",
     "name": "Sportivo San Lorenzo vs Rubio Ñú",
     "url": "/football/matches/sportivo-san-lorenzo-vs-rubio-nu-2026-11-09/",
     "competition": "División de Honor (Paraguay)",
     "state": "upcoming",
     "score": null
    },
    "why": null
   }
  ]
 },
 "number_sets": [
  {
   "set": "match.market_line.percent",
   "entity": "/football/matches/nacional-asuncion-vs-sportivo-san-lorenzo-2026-11-03/|1x2|1",
   "value": 71,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.market_line.percent",
   "entity": "/football/matches/nacional-asuncion-vs-sportivo-san-lorenzo-2026-11-03/|1x2|X",
   "value": 19,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.market_line.percent",
   "entity": "/football/matches/nacional-asuncion-vs-sportivo-san-lorenzo-2026-11-03/|1x2|2",
   "value": 10,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.before_kickoff.market",
   "entity": "/football/matches/nacional-asuncion-vs-sportivo-san-lorenzo-2026-11-03/|1X2, match result",
   "value": 1,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.before_kickoff.leader_share_percent",
   "entity": "/football/matches/nacional-asuncion-vs-sportivo-san-lorenzo-2026-11-03/|1X2, match result",
   "value": 100,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.before_kickoff.selection",
   "entity": "/football/matches/nacional-asuncion-vs-sportivo-san-lorenzo-2026-11-03/|1X2, match result|Nacional Asunción",
   "value": 1,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.before_kickoff.selection",
   "entity": "/football/matches/nacional-asuncion-vs-sportivo-san-lorenzo-2026-11-03/|1X2, match result|draw",
   "value": 0,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.before_kickoff.selection",
   "entity": "/football/matches/nacional-asuncion-vs-sportivo-san-lorenzo-2026-11-03/|1X2, match result|Sportivo San Lorenzo",
   "value": 0,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.other_forecasters",
   "entity": "/football/matches/nacional-asuncion-vs-sportivo-san-lorenzo-2026-11-03/",
   "value": 1,
   "where": "new-forecasters",
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  }
 ],
 "data_changes": {
  "records_corrected": 0,
  "last_correction_at": null,
  "corrections_url": "/corrections/"
 },
 "entity_id": "event:s-41334cde1570",
 "source_revision": 26,
 "title_short": {
  "length": 63,
  "names": [
   "Nac. Asunción",
   "San Lorenzo"
  ],
  "title": "Nac. Asunción vs San Lorenzo: Results — 3 Nov 2026",
  "title_length": 50
 }
}