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 "heading": "Modena vs Mantova: recorded predictions and results",
 "description": "Modena vs Mantova, 31 October 2026. Final score 1-1 · Serie B: 5 distinct predictions from 4 authors.",
 "first_paragraph": {
  "body": "Modena finished 1-1 against Mantova. The one recorded correct-score prediction (Modena 2-1 Mantova) did not match. Other markets are shown separately below. Forecast Record recorded 5 statements from 4 authors on Modena vs Mantova (Serie B, kick-off 31 October 2026): 5 distinct predictions, all of the statements recorded before kick-off.",
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  "data": "2026-10-31",
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 "data_date": "2026-10-31T16:45:36.860Z",
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 "event": {
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   "summary": "Most common recorded selection in this market: Modena — 2 of 2 eligible picks (one per author), median stated price 1.83",
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    "entity_ref": "e-2fa1be53e6384fcd44cfc55c",
    "name_shown": "Salvatore Maniaci",
    "url": "/authors/salvatore-maniaci/"
   },
   {
    "id": "sr-4dcd28771447fe8e52f04a49",
    "type_code": "author_before_match",
    "moment_at": "2026-10-31T14:00:00.000Z",
    "freeze_at": "2026-10-31T20:52:12.314Z",
    "approach": "by_capture_time",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "counting_rule": "1",
    "figures": {
     "matches": 108,
     "method_version": "2.2",
     "net_points_hundredths": -95275,
     "period_from": "2026-10-11",
     "period_to": "2026-10-30",
     "price_rule": "Our market snapshot",
     "return_percent": "-4.05",
     "settled_picks": 257,
     "staked_hundredths": 2350000,
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     "logged_at": "2026-10-31T02:59:51.840Z",
     "posted_at": "2026-10-26T14:11:49.000Z",
     "author_quoted_price": null,
     "our_snapshot": "7.7500",
     "closing_line": null,
     "outcome_label": "Lost",
     "pre_match": true,
     "proof": "/sources/footballpredictions-com/picks/316/#pick-n-26673e2e8846dcdb953fcf75",
     "original": null,
     "contradictory": false,
     "authorship": null,
     "source_type": "telegram_channels",
     "own_page": true,
     "trust_settled_count": 3753
    },
    {
     "entry_id": "n-f04bd32effcf137dfcf4ae39",
     "author_name": "Salvatore Maniaci",
     "author_href": "/authors/salvatore-maniaci/",
     "source_group": "tipsters",
     "trust_tier": "probation",
     "market_label": "Both teams to score",
     "market_key": "both_teams_score",
     "choice": "yes",
     "choice_key": "yes",
     "byline": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
     "logged_at": "2026-10-30T02:18:57.393Z",
     "posted_at": "2026-10-30T02:00:00.000Z",
     "author_quoted_price": "1.74",
     "our_snapshot": "1.6250",
     "closing_line": null,
     "outcome_label": "Won",
     "pre_match": true,
     "proof": "/authors/salvatore-maniaci/picks/11/#pick-n-f04bd32effcf137dfcf4ae39",
     "original": null,
     "contradictory": false,
     "authorship": null,
     "source_type": "prediction_sites",
     "own_page": true,
     "trust_settled_count": 78
    },
    {
     "entry_id": "n-b040f255f1c9d58775f5cefd",
     "author_name": "Stefano Scorrano",
     "author_href": "/authors/stefano-scorrano/",
     "source_group": "tipsters",
     "trust_tier": "probation",
     "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
     "market_key": "total",
     "choice": "under 2.5",
     "choice_key": "under",
     "byline": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
     "logged_at": "2026-10-29T14:49:57.811Z",
     "posted_at": "2026-10-29T14:40:01.000Z",
     "author_quoted_price": "2.10",
     "our_snapshot": "2.1350",
     "closing_line": null,
     "outcome_label": "Won",
     "pre_match": true,
     "proof": "/authors/stefano-scorrano/picks/4/#pick-n-b040f255f1c9d58775f5cefd",
     "original": null,
     "contradictory": false,
     "authorship": null,
     "source_type": "prediction_sites",
     "own_page": true,
     "trust_settled_count": 47
    }
   ],
   "not_counted": [],
   "after_start": [],
   "forecaster_split": {
    "contracts": [
     {
      "contract_code": "1x2|*|match|*|*#explicit",
      "source_group": "explicit",
      "market_label": "1X2, match result",
      "market_key": "1x2",
      "choices": [
       {
        "code_name": "1",
        "in_words": "Modena",
        "tips": [
         {
          "author_name": "FootballPredictions.com",
          "entry_id": "n-d9d0f1cc728d8f54e08cf0b3",
          "outcome_label": "Lost",
          "source_group": "websites"
         },
         {
          "author_name": "Infobetting",
          "entry_id": "n-89999fadd9952402cfa5940a",
          "outcome_label": "Lost",
          "source_group": "websites"
         }
        ],
        "figure": 2
       },
       {
        "code_name": "X",
        "in_words": "Draw",
        "tips": [],
        "figure": 0
       },
       {
        "code_name": "2",
        "in_words": "Mantova",
        "tips": [],
        "figure": 0
       }
      ],
      "n": 2,
      "publisher_count": 2
     },
     {
      "contract_code": "both_teams_score|*|match|*|*#explicit",
      "source_group": "explicit",
      "market_label": "Both teams to score",
      "market_key": "both_teams_score",
      "choices": [
       {
        "code_name": "yes",
        "in_words": "yes",
        "tips": [
         {
          "author_name": "Salvatore Maniaci",
          "entry_id": "n-f04bd32effcf137dfcf4ae39",
          "outcome_label": "Won",
          "source_group": "tipsters"
         }
        ],
        "figure": 1
       }
      ],
      "n": 1,
      "publisher_count": 1
     },
     {
      "contract_code": "correct_score_market|*|match|*|*#explicit",
      "source_group": "explicit",
      "market_label": "Correct score",
      "market_key": "correct_score_market",
      "choices": [
       {
        "code_name": "2-1",
        "in_words": "Modena 2-1 Mantova",
        "tips": [
         {
          "author_name": "FootballPredictions.com",
          "entry_id": "n-26673e2e8846dcdb953fcf75",
          "outcome_label": "Lost",
          "source_group": "websites"
         }
        ],
        "figure": 1
       }
      ],
      "n": 1,
      "publisher_count": 1
     },
     {
      "contract_code": "total|2.5|match|*|*#explicit",
      "source_group": "explicit",
      "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
      "market_key": "total",
      "choices": [
       {
        "code_name": "under",
        "in_words": "under 2.5",
        "tips": [
         {
          "author_name": "Stefano Scorrano",
          "entry_id": "n-b040f255f1c9d58775f5cefd",
          "outcome_label": "Won",
          "source_group": "tipsters"
         }
        ],
        "figure": 1
       }
      ],
      "n": 1,
      "publisher_count": 1
     }
    ],
    "author_count": 4,
    "below_threshold": {
     "prediction_count": 0,
     "author_count": 0
    },
    "limit": 10
   },
   "chain": {
    "publications": 1,
    "unique": 1,
    "comparable": 1,
    "admissible": 1,
    "contributions": 1
   },
   "differing_choices": 0,
   "visible_who": 1,
   "newcomers_who": 3,
   "newcomers_before": 4,
   "titles_shown": true,
   "legend": "Badges show titles earned before this prediction, by published rules."
  },
  "arguments": {
   "topics": [],
   "against": [],
   "other_languages": 1,
   "other_language_hosts": [
    "infobetting.com"
   ],
   "mode": "quotes",
   "topics_total": 0,
   "checkable": 0
  },
  "market_label": {
   "favourite_code": "1",
   "favourite": "Modena",
   "probabilities": [
    {
     "outcome_label": "1",
     "in_words": "Modena",
     "percent_value": 49
    },
    {
     "outcome_label": "X",
     "in_words": "Draw",
     "percent_value": 27
    },
    {
     "outcome_label": "2",
     "in_words": "Mantova",
     "percent_value": 25
    }
   ],
   "prices": {
    "1": "1.91",
    "X": "3.46",
    "2": "3.75"
   },
   "group_count": 12,
   "bookmakers": 14,
   "snapshot_at": "2026-10-31T14:00:00.000Z",
   "closing_line": true,
   "first_at": "2026-10-30T14:00:00.000Z",
   "shift_pp": 4.5,
   "phrase": "The market has moved a little since our first snapshot on 30 October 2026: Modena 53% then, 49% at kick-off.",
   "technique": "Median across groups of bookmakers, without margin: brands on one platform count once (median within the group); betting exchanges and prediction markets are excluded. Market price from an odds aggregator; the data provider is not named.",
   "t24": {
    "snapshot_at": "2026-10-30T14:00:00.000Z",
    "probabilities": {
     "1": 53,
     "2": 22,
     "X": 25
    }
   },
   "t2": {
    "snapshot_at": "2026-10-31T12:00:00.000Z",
    "probabilities": {
     "1": 46,
     "2": 26,
     "X": 27
    }
   }
  },
  "market_mode": "show",
  "fact_sheet": {
   "tournament": "Serie B (Italy)",
   "matchday": "Matchweek 10",
   "starts_at": "2026-10-31T14:00:00.000Z",
   "form": {
    "home_side": [
     {
      "res": "W",
      "scoreline": "2-1",
      "opponent": "L.R. Vicenza",
      "at_home": false,
      "data": "2026-10-27"
     },
     {
      "res": "W",
      "scoreline": "3-0",
      "opponent": "Cesena",
      "at_home": true,
      "data": "2026-10-24"
     },
     {
      "res": "L",
      "scoreline": "1-2",
      "opponent": "Carrarese",
      "at_home": false,
      "data": "2026-10-17"
     },
     {
      "res": "W",
      "scoreline": "3-2",
      "opponent": "Hellas Verona",
      "at_home": true,
      "data": "2026-10-11"
     },
     {
      "res": "W",
      "scoreline": "2-1",
      "opponent": "Empoli",
      "at_home": true,
      "data": "2026-09-20"
     }
    ],
    "away": [
     {
      "res": "L",
      "scoreline": "0-2",
      "opponent": "Cremonese",
      "at_home": true,
      "data": "2026-10-27"
     },
     {
      "res": "W",
      "scoreline": "1-0",
      "opponent": "Virtus Entella",
      "at_home": false,
      "data": "2026-10-24"
     },
     {
      "res": "L",
      "scoreline": "0-2",
      "opponent": "Palermo",
      "at_home": true,
      "data": "2026-10-17"
     },
     {
      "res": "W",
      "scoreline": "3-1",
      "opponent": "Catanzaro",
      "at_home": false,
      "data": "2026-10-11"
     },
     {
      "res": "D",
      "scoreline": "2-2",
      "opponent": "Pisa",
      "at_home": true,
      "data": "2026-09-20"
     }
    ]
   },
   "head_to_head": [],
   "past_cards": [],
   "reach": ""
  },
  "after_match": {
   "scoreline": "1-1",
   "fact_code": "X",
   "row_list": [
    "Match-result predictions from tipsters and sources with 10 or more predictions checked against the final score to date: 0 of 2 matched",
    "All recorded exact-score predictions: 0 of 1 matched",
    "Exact-score predictions from tipsters and sources with 10 or more predictions checked against the final score to date: 0 of 1 matched the score, 0 of 1 the outcome",
    "Most common selection among tipsters and sources with 10 or more predictions checked against the final score to date: Modena (2 of 2), missed",
    "Market favourite at kick-off: Modena (missed)"
   ],
   "by_group": {
    "websites": {
     "correct": 0,
     "of": 2
    }
   },
   "placement": null,
   "checks": []
  },
  "prices": [
   {
    "author_name": "Infobetting",
    "choice": "Modena",
    "market_label": "1X2, match result",
    "author_quoted_price": "1.83",
    "our_snapshot": "1.7692",
    "closing_line": null
   }
  ],
  "revisions": [
   "Market 24 hours before kick-off: Modena 53%.",
   "Market 2 hours before kick-off: Modena 46%."
  ],
  "titles": {
   "shown": true,
   "legend": "Badges show titles earned before this prediction, by published rules.",
   "frozen_in": "sr-98efb64b0f4f4be8ded60432"
  },
  "tracker": null,
  "source_groups": {
   "as_of": "2026-10-31T14:00:00.000Z",
   "groups": [
    {
     "key": "prediction_sites",
     "label": "Prediction sites"
    },
    {
     "key": "media",
     "label": "Media"
    },
    {
     "key": "telegram_channels",
     "label": "Telegram channels"
    },
    {
     "key": "private_authors",
     "label": "Independent tipsters"
    }
   ],
   "authors": 4,
   "by_group": [
    {
     "key": "prediction_sites",
     "authors": 2
    },
    {
     "key": "media",
     "authors": 0
    },
    {
     "key": "telegram_channels",
     "authors": 2
    },
    {
     "key": "private_authors",
     "authors": 0
    }
   ],
   "markets": [
    {
     "key": "1x2",
     "label": "Match result",
     "authors": 2,
     "by_group": [
      {
       "key": "prediction_sites",
       "authors": 0
      },
      {
       "key": "media",
       "authors": 0
      },
      {
       "key": "telegram_channels",
       "authors": 2
      },
      {
       "key": "private_authors",
       "authors": 0
      }
     ],
     "choices": [
      {
       "code_name": "1",
       "in_words": "Modena",
       "authors": 2,
       "by_group": [
        {
         "key": "prediction_sites",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "media",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "telegram_channels",
         "authors": 2
        },
        {
         "key": "private_authors",
         "authors": 0
        }
       ]
      },
      {
       "code_name": "X",
       "in_words": "Draw",
       "authors": 0,
       "by_group": [
        {
         "key": "prediction_sites",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "media",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "telegram_channels",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "private_authors",
         "authors": 0
        }
       ]
      },
      {
       "code_name": "2",
       "in_words": "Mantova",
       "authors": 0,
       "by_group": [
        {
         "key": "prediction_sites",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "media",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "telegram_channels",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "private_authors",
         "authors": 0
        }
       ]
      }
     ]
    },
    {
     "key": "totals",
     "label": "Goal totals",
     "authors": 1,
     "by_group": [
      {
       "key": "prediction_sites",
       "authors": 1
      },
      {
       "key": "media",
       "authors": 0
      },
      {
       "key": "telegram_channels",
       "authors": 0
      },
      {
       "key": "private_authors",
       "authors": 0
      }
     ]
    },
    {
     "key": "other",
     "label": "Handicaps, both teams to score, correct score and other markets",
     "authors": 2,
     "by_group": [
      {
       "key": "prediction_sites",
       "authors": 1
      },
      {
       "key": "media",
       "authors": 0
      },
      {
       "key": "telegram_channels",
       "authors": 1
      },
      {
       "key": "private_authors",
       "authors": 0
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  "market_line": {
   "line_state": "moved",
   "line_frozen": true,
   "phrase": "Market line at kick-off (31 October 2026, 14:00 GMT): Modena 49%, draw 27%, Mantova 25%. From 30 October 2026, 14:00 GMT to kick-off the line moved 4.5 percentage points (Modena down).",
   "line_markets": [
    {
     "market_text": "1X2, match result",
     "market_group": "1x2",
     "line_kind": "median_line",
     "margin_included": false,
     "snapshot_at": "2026-10-31T14:00:00.000Z",
     "closing_line": true,
     "probabilities": [
      {
       "outcome_label": "1",
       "in_words": "Modena",
       "percent_value": 49
      },
      {
       "outcome_label": "X",
       "in_words": "Draw",
       "percent_value": 27
      },
      {
       "outcome_label": "2",
       "in_words": "Mantova",
       "percent_value": 25
      }
     ],
     "group_count": 12,
     "first_at": "2026-10-30T14:00:00.000Z",
     "first_probabilities": {
      "1": 53,
      "2": 22,
      "X": 25
     },
     "shift_pp": 4.5,
     "shift_outcome": "1",
     "shift_direction": "down",
     "line_state": "moved",
     "phrase": "Market line at kick-off (31 October 2026, 14:00 GMT): Modena 49%, draw 27%, Mantova 25%. From 30 October 2026, 14:00 GMT to kick-off the line moved 4.5 percentage points (Modena down)."
    },
    {
     "market_text": "Both teams to score",
     "market_group": "other",
     "line_kind": "recorded_price",
     "margin_included": true,
     "closing_line": false,
     "price_sides": [
      {
       "choice": "yes",
       "snapshot_price": "1.62",
       "percent_value": 62,
       "snapshot_at": "2026-10-30T02:18:03.388Z",
       "snapshot_count": 1,
       "first_snapshot_price": null,
       "first_at": null,
       "shift_pp": null,
       "shift_direction": null,
       "line_state": "single_snapshot"
      }
     ],
     "line_state": "single_snapshot",
     "phrase": "Both teams to score, yes: market price 1.62 on 30 October 2026, 02:18 GMT (implied 62%, margin included)."
    },
    {
     "market_text": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
     "market_group": "totals",
     "line_kind": "recorded_price",
     "margin_included": true,
     "closing_line": false,
     "price_sides": [
      {
       "choice": "under 2.5",
       "snapshot_price": "2.13",
       "percent_value": 47,
       "snapshot_at": "2026-10-29T14:45:44.885Z",
       "snapshot_count": 1,
       "first_snapshot_price": null,
       "first_at": null,
       "shift_pp": null,
       "shift_direction": null,
       "line_state": "single_snapshot"
      }
     ],
     "line_state": "single_snapshot",
     "phrase": "Over/Under 2.5 goals, under 2.5 goals: market price 2.13 on 29 October 2026, 14:45 GMT (implied 47%, margin included)."
    }
   ]
  },
  "pre_kickoff_snapshot": {
   "frozen_before_kickoff": true,
   "as_of_moment": "2026-10-31T14:00:00.000Z",
   "starts_at": "2026-10-31T14:00:00.000Z",
   "phrase": "Before kick-off on 31 October 2026, 14:00 GMT: market line at kick-off Modena 49%, draw 27%, Mantova 25%; 1X2, match result, recorded picks before the match (2): 2 on Modena, 0 on the draw, 0 on Mantova; Over/Under 2.5 goals, recorded picks before the match (1): 1 on under 2.5 goals; Both teams to score, recorded picks before the match (1): 1 on yes.",
   "market_line_brief": {
    "snapshot_at": "2026-10-31T14:00:00.000Z",
    "closing_line": true,
    "probabilities": {
     "1": 49,
     "X": 27,
     "2": 25
    }
   },
   "market_groups": [
    {
     "market_group": "1x2",
     "group_markets": [
      {
       "market_text": "1X2, match result",
       "prediction_count": 2,
       "row_count": 2,
       "market_choices": [
        {
         "choice": "Modena",
         "figure": 2
        }
       ],
       "phrase_mode": "listing",
       "leader_choice": null,
       "leader_count": null,
       "share_percent": 100,
       "phrase": "1X2, match result, recorded picks before the match (2): 2 on Modena, 0 on the draw, 0 on Mantova",
       "sides_1x2": [
        {
         "side": "1",
         "in_words": "Modena",
         "figure": 2
        },
        {
         "side": "X",
         "in_words": "draw",
         "figure": 0
        },
        {
         "side": "2",
         "in_words": "Mantova",
         "figure": 0
        }
       ]
      }
     ]
    },
    {
     "market_group": "totals",
     "group_markets": [
      {
       "market_text": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
       "prediction_count": 1,
       "row_count": 1,
       "market_choices": [
        {
         "choice": "under 2.5",
         "figure": 1
        }
       ],
       "phrase_mode": "listing",
       "leader_choice": null,
       "leader_count": null,
       "share_percent": 100,
       "phrase": "Over/Under 2.5 goals, recorded picks before the match (1): 1 on under 2.5 goals"
      }
     ]
    },
    {
     "market_group": "other",
     "group_markets": [
      {
       "market_text": "Both teams to score",
       "prediction_count": 1,
       "row_count": 1,
       "market_choices": [
        {
         "choice": "yes",
         "figure": 1
        }
       ],
       "phrase_mode": "listing",
       "leader_choice": null,
       "leader_count": null,
       "share_percent": 100,
       "phrase": "Both teams to score, recorded picks before the match (1): 1 on yes"
      },
      {
       "market_text": "Correct score",
       "prediction_count": 1,
       "row_count": 1,
       "market_choices": [
        {
         "choice": "Modena 2-1 Mantova",
         "figure": 1
        }
       ],
       "phrase_mode": "listing",
       "leader_choice": null,
       "leader_count": null,
       "share_percent": 100,
       "phrase": "Correct score, recorded picks before the match (1): 1 on Modena 2-1 Mantova"
      }
     ]
    }
   ],
   "predictions_before_kickoff": 5,
   "majority_threshold": {
    "min_predictions": 5,
    "min_share_percent": 60.0
   }
  },
  "teams_prev_next": [
   {
    "side": "home",
    "team": "Modena",
    "team_url": "/football/teams/modena/",
    "participant_id": "u-47dd74b56156",
    "previous": {
     "kickoff": "2026-10-27T19:00:00.000Z",
     "name": "L.R. Vicenza vs Modena",
     "url": "/football/matches/l-r-vicenza-vs-modena-2026-10-27/",
     "competition": "Serie B",
     "state": "played",
     "score": "1-2"
    },
    "next": {
     "kickoff": "2026-11-08T14:00:00.000Z",
     "name": "Virtus Entella vs Modena",
     "url": "/football/matches/virtus-entella-vs-modena-2026-11-08/",
     "competition": "Serie B",
     "state": "upcoming",
     "score": null
    },
    "why": null
   },
   {
    "side": "away",
    "team": "Mantova",
    "team_url": "/football/teams/mantova/",
    "participant_id": "u-1d4d42687fe6",
    "previous": {
     "kickoff": "2026-10-27T19:00:00.000Z",
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