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 "heading": "Melgar vs Comerciantes Unidos: recorded predictions and results",
 "description": "Melgar vs Comerciantes Unidos, 30 October 2026. Final score 1-1 · Liga 1: 5 distinct predictions from 3 authors.",
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  "body": "Melgar finished 1-1 against Comerciantes Unidos. The recorded predictions are listed below by market, each with its own outcome. Forecast Record recorded 5 statements from 3 authors on Melgar vs Comerciantes Unidos (Liga 1, kick-off 30 October 2026): 5 distinct predictions, all of the statements recorded before kick-off.",
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  "data": "2026-10-30",
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   "contributions": 3,
   "prediction_count": 3,
   "chain": {
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 },
 "title_tag": "Melgar vs Comerciantes Unidos: Results — 30 Oct 2026",
 "snapshots": {
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   "titles_shown": true,
   "legend": "Badges show titles earned before this prediction, by published rules."
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   "against": [],
   "other_languages": 0,
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   "mode": "quotes",
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   "probabilities": [
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   "closing_line": true,
   "first_at": "2026-10-25T23:02:19.747Z",
   "shift_pp": 4.5,
   "phrase": "The market has moved a little since our first snapshot on 25 October 2026: Melgar 73% then, 69% at kick-off.",
   "technique": "Median across groups of bookmakers, without margin: brands on one platform count once (median within the group); betting exchanges and prediction markets are excluded. Market price from an odds aggregator; the data provider is not named.",
   "t24": {
    "snapshot_at": "2026-10-29T00:30:00.000Z",
    "probabilities": {
     "1": 74,
     "2": 10,
     "X": 17
    }
   },
   "t2": {
    "snapshot_at": "2026-10-29T22:30:00.000Z",
    "probabilities": {
     "1": 69,
     "2": 12,
     "X": 19
    }
   }
  },
  "market_mode": "show",
  "fact_sheet": {
   "tournament": "Liga 1 (Peru)",
   "matchday": "Clausura · Matchday 14",
   "starts_at": "2026-10-30T00:30:00.000Z",
   "form": {
    "home_side": [
     {
      "res": "W",
      "scoreline": "2-1",
      "opponent": "Universidad Técnica de Cajamarca",
      "at_home": false,
      "data": "2026-10-23"
     },
     {
      "res": "W",
      "scoreline": "4-2",
      "opponent": "Deportivo Garcilaso",
      "at_home": true,
      "data": "2026-10-18"
     },
     {
      "res": "D",
      "scoreline": "2-2",
      "opponent": "Universitario de Deportes",
      "at_home": false,
      "data": "2026-10-11"
     },
     {
      "res": "D",
      "scoreline": "1-1",
      "opponent": "Sport Boys",
      "at_home": true,
      "data": "2026-09-20"
     },
     {
      "res": "W",
      "scoreline": "1-0",
      "opponent": "Cusco FC",
      "at_home": false,
      "data": "2026-09-12"
     }
    ],
    "away": [
     {
      "res": "W",
      "scoreline": "3-1",
      "opponent": "Cienciano",
      "at_home": true,
      "data": "2026-10-25"
     },
     {
      "res": "L",
      "scoreline": "2-4",
      "opponent": "Club Sporting Cristal",
      "at_home": false,
      "data": "2026-10-18"
     },
     {
      "res": "D",
      "scoreline": "1-1",
      "opponent": "ACD Juan Pablo II",
      "at_home": true,
      "data": "2026-10-10"
     },
     {
      "res": "L",
      "scoreline": "1-2",
      "opponent": "Alianza Atlético de Sullana",
      "at_home": false,
      "data": "2026-09-18"
     },
     {
      "res": "L",
      "scoreline": "0-1",
      "opponent": "Sport Huancayo",
      "at_home": true,
      "data": "2026-09-12"
     }
    ]
   },
   "head_to_head": [
    {
     "data": "2026-05-10",
     "match_list": "Comerciantes Unidos 1-1 Melgar",
     "event_id": "sm:19660252"
    }
   ],
   "past_cards": [],
   "reach": ""
  },
  "after_match": {
   "scoreline": "1-1",
   "fact_code": "X",
   "row_list": [
    "Match-result predictions from tipsters and sources with 10 or more predictions checked against the final score to date: 0 of 2 matched · Tipsters 0 of 1 · Prediction sites 0 of 1",
    "Most common selection among tipsters and sources with 10 or more predictions checked against the final score to date: Melgar (2 of 2), missed",
    "Market favourite at kick-off: Melgar (missed)"
   ],
   "by_group": {
    "tipsters": {
     "correct": 0,
     "of": 1
    },
    "websites": {
     "correct": 0,
     "of": 1
    }
   },
   "placement": null,
   "checks": []
  },
  "prices": [],
  "revisions": [
   "Market 24 hours before kick-off: Melgar 74%.",
   "Market 2 hours before kick-off: Melgar 69%.",
   "First published with predictions on 28 October 2026."
  ],
  "titles": {
   "shown": true,
   "legend": "Badges show titles earned before this prediction, by published rules.",
   "frozen_in": "sr-ea1cd64c709b1755c105eacd"
  },
  "tracker": null,
  "source_groups": {
   "as_of": "2026-10-30T00:30:00.000Z",
   "groups": [
    {
     "key": "prediction_sites",
     "label": "Prediction sites"
    },
    {
     "key": "media",
     "label": "Media"
    },
    {
     "key": "telegram_channels",
     "label": "Telegram channels"
    },
    {
     "key": "private_authors",
     "label": "Independent tipsters"
    }
   ],
   "authors": 3,
   "by_group": [
    {
     "key": "prediction_sites",
     "authors": 2
    },
    {
     "key": "media",
     "authors": 0
    },
    {
     "key": "telegram_channels",
     "authors": 1
    },
    {
     "key": "private_authors",
     "authors": 0
    }
   ],
   "markets": [
    {
     "key": "1x2",
     "label": "Match result",
     "authors": 2,
     "by_group": [
      {
       "key": "prediction_sites",
       "authors": 1
      },
      {
       "key": "media",
       "authors": 0
      },
      {
       "key": "telegram_channels",
       "authors": 1
      },
      {
       "key": "private_authors",
       "authors": 0
      }
     ],
     "choices": [
      {
       "code_name": "1",
       "in_words": "Melgar",
       "authors": 2,
       "by_group": [
        {
         "key": "prediction_sites",
         "authors": 1
        },
        {
         "key": "media",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "telegram_channels",
         "authors": 1
        },
        {
         "key": "private_authors",
         "authors": 0
        }
       ]
      },
      {
       "code_name": "X",
       "in_words": "Draw",
       "authors": 0,
       "by_group": [
        {
         "key": "prediction_sites",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "media",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "telegram_channels",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "private_authors",
         "authors": 0
        }
       ]
      },
      {
       "code_name": "2",
       "in_words": "Comerciantes Unidos",
       "authors": 0,
       "by_group": [
        {
         "key": "prediction_sites",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "media",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "telegram_channels",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "private_authors",
         "authors": 0
        }
       ]
      }
     ]
    },
    {
     "key": "totals",
     "label": "Goal totals",
     "authors": 3,
     "by_group": [
      {
       "key": "prediction_sites",
       "authors": 2
      },
      {
       "key": "media",
       "authors": 0
      },
      {
       "key": "telegram_channels",
       "authors": 1
      },
      {
       "key": "private_authors",
       "authors": 0
      }
     ]
    },
    {
     "key": "other",
     "label": "Handicaps, both teams to score, correct score and other markets",
     "authors": 0,
     "by_group": [
      {
       "key": "prediction_sites",
       "authors": 0
      },
      {
       "key": "media",
       "authors": 0
      },
      {
       "key": "telegram_channels",
       "authors": 0
      },
      {
       "key": "private_authors",
       "authors": 0
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  "market_line": {
   "line_state": "moved",
   "line_frozen": true,
   "phrase": "Market line at kick-off (30 October 2026, 00:30 GMT): Melgar 69%, draw 19%, Comerciantes Unidos 12%. From 25 October 2026, 23:02 GMT to kick-off the line moved 4.5 percentage points (Melgar down).",
   "line_markets": [
    {
     "market_text": "1X2, match result",
     "market_group": "1x2",
     "line_kind": "median_line",
     "margin_included": false,
     "snapshot_at": "2026-10-30T00:30:00.000Z",
     "closing_line": true,
     "probabilities": [
      {
       "outcome_label": "1",
       "in_words": "Melgar",
       "percent_value": 69
      },
      {
       "outcome_label": "X",
       "in_words": "Draw",
       "percent_value": 19
      },
      {
       "outcome_label": "2",
       "in_words": "Comerciantes Unidos",
       "percent_value": 12
      }
     ],
     "group_count": 12,
     "first_at": "2026-10-25T23:02:19.747Z",
     "first_probabilities": {
      "1": 73,
      "2": 9,
      "X": 17
     },
     "shift_pp": 4.5,
     "shift_outcome": "1",
     "shift_direction": "down",
     "line_state": "moved",
     "phrase": "Market line at kick-off (30 October 2026, 00:30 GMT): Melgar 69%, draw 19%, Comerciantes Unidos 12%. From 25 October 2026, 23:02 GMT to kick-off the line moved 4.5 percentage points (Melgar down)."
    },
    {
     "market_text": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
     "market_group": "totals",
     "line_kind": "recorded_price",
     "margin_included": true,
     "closing_line": false,
     "price_sides": [
      {
       "choice": "over 2.5",
       "snapshot_price": "1.50",
       "percent_value": 67,
       "snapshot_at": "2026-10-29T03:29:38.860Z",
       "snapshot_count": 1,
       "first_snapshot_price": null,
       "first_at": null,
       "shift_pp": null,
       "shift_direction": null,
       "line_state": "single_snapshot"
      },
      {
       "choice": "under 2.5",
       "snapshot_price": "2.42",
       "percent_value": 41,
       "snapshot_at": "2026-10-28T22:59:36.919Z",
       "snapshot_count": 1,
       "first_snapshot_price": null,
       "first_at": null,
       "shift_pp": null,
       "shift_direction": null,
       "line_state": "single_snapshot"
      }
     ],
     "line_state": "single_snapshot",
     "phrase": "Over/Under 2.5 goals, over 2.5 goals: market price 1.50 on 29 October 2026, 03:29 GMT (implied 67%, margin included). Over/Under 2.5 goals, under 2.5 goals: market price 2.42 on 28 October 2026, 22:59 GMT (implied 41%, margin included)."
    }
   ]
  },
  "pre_kickoff_snapshot": {
   "frozen_before_kickoff": true,
   "as_of_moment": "2026-10-30T00:30:00.000Z",
   "starts_at": "2026-10-30T00:30:00.000Z",
   "phrase": "Before kick-off on 30 October 2026, 00:30 GMT: market line at kick-off Melgar 69%, draw 19%, Comerciantes Unidos 12%; 1X2, match result, recorded picks before the match (2): 2 on Melgar, 0 on the draw, 0 on Comerciantes Unidos; Over/Under 2.5 goals, recorded picks before the match (3): 2 on over 2.5 goals, 1 on under 2.5 goals.",
   "market_line_brief": {
    "snapshot_at": "2026-10-30T00:30:00.000Z",
    "closing_line": true,
    "probabilities": {
     "1": 69,
     "X": 19,
     "2": 12
    }
   },
   "market_groups": [
    {
     "market_group": "1x2",
     "group_markets": [
      {
       "market_text": "1X2, match result",
       "prediction_count": 2,
       "row_count": 2,
       "market_choices": [
        {
         "choice": "Melgar",
         "figure": 2
        }
       ],
       "phrase_mode": "listing",
       "leader_choice": null,
       "leader_count": null,
       "share_percent": 100,
       "phrase": "1X2, match result, recorded picks before the match (2): 2 on Melgar, 0 on the draw, 0 on Comerciantes Unidos",
       "sides_1x2": [
        {
         "side": "1",
         "in_words": "Melgar",
         "figure": 2
        },
        {
         "side": "X",
         "in_words": "draw",
         "figure": 0
        },
        {
         "side": "2",
         "in_words": "Comerciantes Unidos",
         "figure": 0
        }
       ]
      }
     ]
    },
    {
     "market_group": "totals",
     "group_markets": [
      {
       "market_text": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
       "prediction_count": 3,
       "row_count": 3,
       "market_choices": [
        {
         "choice": "over 2.5",
         "figure": 2
        },
        {
         "choice": "under 2.5",
         "figure": 1
        }
       ],
       "phrase_mode": "listing",
       "leader_choice": null,
       "leader_count": null,
       "share_percent": 67,
       "phrase": "Over/Under 2.5 goals, recorded picks before the match (3): 2 on over 2.5 goals, 1 on under 2.5 goals"
      }
     ]
    }
   ],
   "predictions_before_kickoff": 5,
   "majority_threshold": {
    "min_predictions": 5,
    "min_share_percent": 60.0
   }
  },
  "teams_prev_next": [
   {
    "side": "home",
    "team": "Melgar",
    "team_url": null,
    "participant_id": "u-59a84dad7753",
    "previous": {
     "kickoff": "2026-10-23T18:00:00.000Z",
     "name": "Universidad Técnica de Cajamarca vs Melgar",
     "url": "/football/matches/universidad-tecnica-de-cajamarca-vs-melgar-2026-10-23/",
     "competition": "Liga 1",
     "state": "played",
     "score": "1-2"
    },
    "next": {
     "kickoff": "2026-11-02T16:00:00.000Z",
     "name": "Sport Huancayo vs Melgar",
     "url": "/football/matches/sport-huancayo-vs-melgar-2026-11-02/",
     "competition": "Liga 1",
     "state": "played",
     "score": "2-0"
    },
    "why": null
   },
   {
    "side": "away",
    "team": "Comerciantes Unidos",
    "team_url": null,
    "participant_id": "u-b589cbbac55a",
    "previous": {
     "kickoff": "2026-10-25T16:00:00.000Z",
     "name": "Comerciantes Unidos vs Cienciano",
     "url": null,
     "competition": "Liga 1",
     "state": "no_result",
     "score": null
    },
    "next": {
     "kickoff": "2026-11-03T20:00:00.000Z",
     "name": "Comerciantes Unidos vs Asociación Deportiva Tarma",
     "url": "/football/matches/comerciantes-unidos-vs-asociacion-deportiva-tarma-2026-11-03/",
     "competition": "Liga 1",
     "state": "played",
     "score": "2-2"
    },
    "why": null
   }
  ]
 },
 "number_sets": [
  {
   "set": "match.market_line.percent",
   "entity": "/football/matches/melgar-vs-comerciantes-unidos-2026-10-30/|1x2|1",
   "value": 69,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.market_line.percent",
   "entity": "/football/matches/melgar-vs-comerciantes-unidos-2026-10-30/|1x2|X",
   "value": 19,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.market_line.percent",
   "entity": "/football/matches/melgar-vs-comerciantes-unidos-2026-10-30/|1x2|2",
   "value": 12,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.recorded_price.percent",
   "entity": "/football/matches/melgar-vs-comerciantes-unidos-2026-10-30/|Over/Under 2.5 goals|over 2.5",
   "value": 67,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.recorded_price.percent",
   "entity": "/football/matches/melgar-vs-comerciantes-unidos-2026-10-30/|Over/Under 2.5 goals|under 2.5",
   "value": 41,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.before_kickoff.market",
   "entity": "/football/matches/melgar-vs-comerciantes-unidos-2026-10-30/|1X2, match result",
   "value": 2,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.before_kickoff.leader_share_percent",
   "entity": "/football/matches/melgar-vs-comerciantes-unidos-2026-10-30/|1X2, match result",
   "value": 100,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.before_kickoff.selection",
   "entity": "/football/matches/melgar-vs-comerciantes-unidos-2026-10-30/|1X2, match result|Melgar",
   "value": 2,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.before_kickoff.selection",
   "entity": "/football/matches/melgar-vs-comerciantes-unidos-2026-10-30/|1X2, match result|draw",
   "value": 0,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.before_kickoff.selection",
   "entity": "/football/matches/melgar-vs-comerciantes-unidos-2026-10-30/|1X2, match result|Comerciantes Unidos",
   "value": 0,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.before_kickoff.market",
   "entity": "/football/matches/melgar-vs-comerciantes-unidos-2026-10-30/|Over/Under 2.5 goals",
   "value": 3,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.before_kickoff.leader_share_percent",
   "entity": "/football/matches/melgar-vs-comerciantes-unidos-2026-10-30/|Over/Under 2.5 goals",
   "value": 67,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.before_kickoff.selection",
   "entity": "/football/matches/melgar-vs-comerciantes-unidos-2026-10-30/|Over/Under 2.5 goals|over 2.5",
   "value": 2,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.before_kickoff.selection",
   "entity": "/football/matches/melgar-vs-comerciantes-unidos-2026-10-30/|Over/Under 2.5 goals|under 2.5",
   "value": 1,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.other_forecasters",
   "entity": "/football/matches/melgar-vs-comerciantes-unidos-2026-10-30/",
   "value": 5,
   "where": "new-forecasters",
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  }
 ],
 "data_changes": {
  "records_corrected": 0,
  "last_correction_at": null,
  "corrections_url": "/corrections/"
 },
 "entity_id": "event:s-73cb3a06c552",
 "source_revision": 68
}