{ "schema_name": "page", "schema_version": "2.0", "page_type": "event", "url": "/football/matches/manchester-united-vs-aston-villa-2026-11-08/", "canonical": "/football/matches/manchester-united-vs-aston-villa-2026-11-08/", "language": "en", "hreflang": [], "translations": [], "heading": "Manchester United vs Aston Villa prediction: tipster picks compared", "description": "Manchester United vs Aston Villa, 8 November 2026: 19 tipsters and sources with 10 or more predictions checked against the final score picked this match.", "first_paragraph": { "body": "Forecast Record recorded 32 statements from 19 authors on Manchester United vs Aston Villa (Premier League, kick-off 8 November 2026): 32 distinct predictions, all of the statements recorded before kick-off; the selections are listed below by market.", "key_number": "32", "data": "2026-11-08", "source_info": "our own evidence archive", "brand": "Forecast Record" }, "indexable": true, "noindex_reason": null, "indexing_threshold": { "settled_count": 32, "date_count": 1, "required_settled": 0, "required_dates": 0 }, "data_date": "2026-11-07T16:48:26.110Z", "built_at": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z", "lastmod": "2026-11-08T02:12:33.000Z", "content_hash": null, "meaning_hash": "d59e0309bc1a8aa5c30457d0c6428549ab50b0c1b877c921439cf56869b91872", "dependency_group": "event:s-0efac66d1287", "release_id": "20261107-195223", "markup": [ { "type_code": "WebPage", "allowed": true, "cause": null }, { "type_code": "Organization", "allowed": true, "cause": null }, { "type_code": "SportsEvent", "allowed": true, "cause": null } ], "exports": [ { "type_code": "json", "url": "/football/matches/manchester-united-vs-aston-villa-2026-11-08/index.json", "bytes": null }, { "type_code": "csv", "url": "/football/matches/manchester-united-vs-aston-villa-2026-11-08/picks.csv", "bytes": null } ], "modules": { "affiliate": true, "api": true, "compare_yourself": false }, "affiliate_block": { "container": true, "request_url": "/partnery/moi", "disclosure": "Some links below are affiliate links and are marked as such. They never affect what you see above: the order of any table is computed before any commission is known.", "page_category": "event" }, "restrictions": { "name_withdrawn": false, "tracker_number": null, "withdrawn_quotes": [], "removed_at": null, "cause": null, "suspended_records": [], "withdrawal_log_number": 0 }, "page_links": { "methodology": "/methodology/", "right_of_reply": "/right-of-reply/", "source_coverage": "/coverage/", "corrections_log": "/corrections/", "api": "/api/", "claim": "/claim/" }, "event": { "id": "s-0efac66d1287", "display_name": "Manchester United — Aston Villa", "competition_name": "Premier League", "starts_at": "2026-11-08T16:30:00.000Z", "status": "scheduled", "scoreline": null, "condition": "scheduled", "condition_words": "scheduled", "result_received_at": null, "postponement": null, "consensus": { "market_label": "1X2, match result", "distribution": [ { "outcome_label": "Aston Villa", "figure": 6, "share": "54.5" }, { "outcome_label": "Manchester United", 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true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Aston Villa", "decimal_odds": "2.95", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": null, "result_words": null, "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": "2026-11-04T01:08:28.480Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "37586bf05b0ff2d7183b0ae89d714d474ae03a4c23a878aa51ad2bcc5141ac88", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Aston Villa", "decimal_odds": "2.9650", "odds_role": "market_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": null, "result_words": null, "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": "2026-11-04T01:08:33.793Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], 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"https://www.neds.com.au/blog/2026/11/premier-league-game-week-10-tips-preview-7/", "display_name": null, "speaker": null, "authorship": "channel_consensus", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "61659c6c145d5c6096bb6dcbe67d3c4bcc0b58dc78494c17ad0cb4b7a765a943", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-11-04T00:49:52.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-04T01:00:45.036Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "score_forecast", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-0efac66d1287", "display_name": "Manchester United — Aston Villa", "competition_name": "Premier League", "starts_at": "2026-11-08T16:30:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/manchester-united-vs-aston-villa-2026-11-08/", "scoreline": null, "condition": "scheduled" }, "market_label": "Correct score", "outcome_label": "Manchester United 1-2 Aston Villa", "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": "unknown", "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-11-04T00:49:52.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-11-04T00:49:52.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-04T01:00:45.036Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Correct score", "choice": "Manchester United 1-2 Aston Villa", "author_odds": null, "market_key": "correct_score_market", "choice_key": "1-2", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Correct score: Manchester United 1-2 Aston Villa" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "unknown", "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "kick-off 8 November 2026, 16:30 UTC", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Pending: kick-off 8 November 2026, 16:30 UTC." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "e7e9621331fd46efbaacd7733e50468cd9cee30d402d4c4a6336fce607718b01", "series_key": "derived_series", "series_label": "Forecast Record reconstruction from the predicted score", "derived": true, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": false, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Aston Villa", "decimal_odds": "2.9650", "odds_role": "market_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": null, "result_words": null, "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": "2026-11-04T01:08:33.895Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": false, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": { "material_author": "Neds", "publisher": "neds.com.au", "forecaster": "Neds", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.neds.com.au/blog/2026/11/premier-league-game-week-10-tips-preview-7/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-ee34a0e94bddb3c49b3ce4d6", "url": "/authors/baba/picks/318/#pick-n-ee34a0e94bddb3c49b3ce4d6", "quote_text": "Total Goals\n\nOver 2.5\n\nThere have been over 2.5 goals scored in 3 of Manchester United's last 5 matches.\n\nThere have been over 2.5 goals scored in 4 of Aston Villa's last 5 matches.", "fragment_from": 2851, "fragment_to": 3032, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": 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"2026-11-05T02:29:14.601Z", "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot", "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "unknown", "simulation_change_hundredths": 0, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-11-05T01:14:20.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-11-05T01:14:20.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-05T02:29:49.884Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals", "choice": "over 2.5", "author_odds": null, "market_key": "total", "choice_key": "over", "period": "match", "line": "2.5", "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Over/Under 2.5 goals: over 2.5" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "unknown", "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "kick-off 8 November 2026, 16:30 UTC", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Pending: kick-off 8 November 2026, 16:30 UTC." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "a9e91c2aaeb663861e317dcfd4abe26b4f42dccea5a9c371d112d4175fb7c598", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals", "choice": "over 2.5", "decimal_odds": "1.5988", "odds_role": "market_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": null, "result_words": null, "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": "2026-11-05T02:38:42.038Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "qualifying_pick", 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"match_count": 18, "portion": "live", "portion_words": "Recorded before kick-off · return at our recorded market price", "return_percent": "-32.0", "too_few": false, "header_titles": [ { "title_id": "zk-995afab395afa7f853bd", "code_name": "C-02", "title_tier": "dated_record", "badge_label": "Only right of 7 · 6 Nov", "body": "Only one right of 7 tipsters and sources · Draw · Eintracht Braunschweig v Cottbus · 6 Nov 2026", "provenance": "live", "anchor_id": "title-995afab395af", "url": null, "tier": null, "event_at": "2026-11-06" }, { "title_id": "zk-b9b44f30079e1d970ae9", "code_name": "E-07", "title_tier": "dated_record", "badge_label": "Correct at 3.73 · 24 Oct", "body": "Draw at 3.73 · 1. 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"explicit", "market_label": "Double chance", "market_key": "double_chance", "choices": [ { "code_name": "X2", "in_words": "draw or Aston Villa", "tips": [ { "author_name": "Bianconeri331", "entry_id": "n-29f17c26d1ca859177fbe4d8", "outcome_label": "Pending", "source_group": "tipsters" } ], "figure": 1 } ], "n": 1, "publisher_count": 1 }, { "contract_code": "draw_no_bet|*|match|*|*#explicit", "source_group": "explicit", "market_label": "Draw no bet", "market_key": "draw_no_bet", "choices": [ { "code_name": "2", "in_words": "Aston Villa", "tips": [ { "author_name": "Bren Gray", "entry_id": "n-038d02b1a3d20af47856cd10", "outcome_label": "Pending", "source_group": "tipsters" } ], "figure": 1 } ], "n": 1, "publisher_count": 1 }, { "contract_code": "both_teams_score_and_result|*|match|*|*#explicit", "source_group": "explicit", "market_label": "Match result and both teams to score", "market_key": "both_teams_score_and_result", "choices": [ { "code_name": "2-yes", "in_words": "Aston Villa win, both teams to score: yes", "tips": [ { "author_name": "James Milton", "entry_id": "n-927b08e5bfb932c098892ca8", "outcome_label": "Pending", "source_group": "experts" } ], "figure": 1 } ], "n": 1, "publisher_count": 1 }, { "contract_code": "total|1.5|match|*|*#explicit", "source_group": "explicit", "market_label": "Over/Under 1.5 goals", "market_key": "total", "choices": [ { "code_name": "over", "in_words": "over 1.5", "tips": [ { "author_name": "Baba", "entry_id": "n-c34dd8ae15d6d06fdceadc78", "outcome_label": "Pending", "source_group": "tipsters" } ], "figure": 1 } ], "n": 1, "publisher_count": 1 }, { "contract_code": "player_card|*|match|ig-0118fe0377c8|*#explicit", "source_group": "explicit", "market_label": "Player to be carded", "market_key": "player_card", "choices": [ { "code_name": "yes", "in_words": "Ayden Heaven to be carded", "tips": [ { "author_name": "James Milton", "entry_id": "n-124341c0a897483e89bb9399", "outcome_label": "Pending", "source_group": "experts" } ], "figure": 1 } ], "n": 1, "publisher_count": 1 }, { "contract_code": "player_goal_or_assist|*|match|ig-1a4ed56f54d3|*#explicit", "source_group": "explicit", "market_label": "Player to score or assist", "market_key": "player_goal_or_assist", "choices": [ { "code_name": "yes", "in_words": "Johan Manzambi to score or assist", "tips": [ { "author_name": "Sporting Life", "entry_id": "n-3a33593fdab9838f3bfb4842", "outcome_label": "Pending", "source_group": "websites" } ], "figure": 1 } ], "n": 1, "publisher_count": 1 } ], "author_count": 19, "below_threshold": { "prediction_count": 0, "author_count": 0 }, "limit": 10 }, "chain": { "publications": 15, "unique": 15, "comparable": 15, "admissible": 15, "contributions": 15 }, "differing_choices": 0, "visible_who": 7, "newcomers_who": 12, "newcomers_before": 17, "titles_shown": true, "legend": "Badges show titles earned before this prediction, by published rules." }, "arguments": { "topics": [ { "code_name": "recent_form", "display_name": "Form", "checkable_item": false, "bullet_points": [ { "entry_id": "n-c34dd8ae15d6d06fdceadc78", "author_name": "Baba", "author_href": "/authors/baba/", "source_group": "tipsters", "choice": "over 1.5", "market_label": "Over/Under 1.5 goals", "logged_at": "2026-11-05T02:29:49.884Z", "original": "https://www.livetipsportal.com/en/sportsbetting-tips/manchester-united-vs-aston-villa-premier-league-12153439/", "proof": "/authors/baba/picks/318/#pick-n-c34dd8ae15d6d06fdceadc78", "quote_text": "There have been over 1.5 goals scored in 5 of Manchester United's last 5 matches. There have been over 1.5 goals scored in 5 of Aston Villa's last 5 matches.", "retelling": null, "checkable_item": false, "against": false }, { "entry_id": "n-ee34a0e94bddb3c49b3ce4d6", "author_name": "Baba", "author_href": "/authors/baba/", "source_group": "tipsters", "choice": "over 2.5", "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals", "logged_at": "2026-11-05T02:29:49.884Z", "original": "https://www.livetipsportal.com/en/sportsbetting-tips/manchester-united-vs-aston-villa-premier-league-12153439/", "proof": "/authors/baba/picks/318/#pick-n-ee34a0e94bddb3c49b3ce4d6", "quote_text": "There have been over 2.5 goals scored in 3 of Manchester United's last 5 matches. There have been over 2.5 goals scored in 4 of Aston Villa's last 5 matches.", "retelling": null, "checkable_item": false, "against": false } ], "total_count": 9 }, { "code_name": "other_topic", "display_name": "Other reasons", "checkable_item": false, "bullet_points": [ { "entry_id": "n-b6e274d8415f5c515dbd0411", "author_name": "Ali Demir", "author_href": "/authors/ali-demir/", "source_group": "tipsters", "choice": "under 3.5", "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals", "logged_at": "2026-11-07T06:27:24.379Z", "original": "https://sportwetten.bild.de/tipps/manchester-united-aston-villa-prognose-08-11-2026/", "proof": "/authors/ali-demir/picks/33/#pick-n-b6e274d8415f5c515dbd0411", "quote_text": "Benjamin Šeško fällt aus. Damit fehlt Manchester United gegen Aston Villa ein Mittelstürmer. In vier der letzten fünf Spiele von Aston Villa und drei der…", "retelling": null, "checkable_item": false, "against": false }, { "entry_id": "n-124341c0a897483e89bb9399", "author_name": "James Milton", "author_href": "/authors/james-milton/", "source_group": "experts", "choice": "Ayden Heaven to be carded", "market_label": "Player to be carded", "logged_at": "2026-11-07T16:48:26.110Z", "original": "https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/premier-league/manchester-united-vs-aston-villa-betting-tips-predictions-team-news-odds-bet-builder-ajZYR4x8c5Sg/", "proof": "/authors/james-milton/picks/38/#pick-n-124341c0a897483e89bb9399", "quote_text": "Heaven may not get much protection from a weak United midfield and he has picked up two yellow cards in just 335 minutes of Premier League and Champions League…", "retelling": null, "checkable_item": false, "against": false } ], "total_count": 2 }, { "code_name": "tactics", "display_name": "Tactics and style", "checkable_item": false, "bullet_points": [ { "entry_id": "n-934fcf2c38ff99b980b01b4c", "author_name": "Bren Gray", "author_href": "/authors/bren-gray/", "source_group": "tipsters", "choice": "Manchester United 1-2 Aston Villa", "market_label": "Correct score", "logged_at": "2026-11-05T22:07:16.982Z", "original": "https://www.bettingtop10.co.nz/betting-tips/football/man-united-vs-aston-villa-prediction-odds/", "proof": "/authors/bren-gray/picks/32/#pick-n-934fcf2c38ff99b980b01b4c", "quote_text": "with Man United getting one against a patched-up Villa back four.", "retelling": null, "checkable_item": false, "against": false }, { "entry_id": "n-f6e6af3eba2459b1ee407eb2", "author_name": "Sporting Life", "author_href": "/sources/sporting-life/", "source_group": "websites", "choice": "Manchester United 2-2 Aston Villa", "market_label": "Correct score", "logged_at": "2026-11-06T12:52:05.084Z", "original": "https://www.sportinglife.com/football/news/manchester-united-vs-aston-villa-predictions-tips-and-super-sunday-preview/235259", "proof": "/sources/sporting-life/picks/18/#pick-n-f6e6af3eba2459b1ee407eb2", "quote_text": "Even so, the match itself just feels too difficult to call considering United's uncanny ability of pulling out a result when all seems lost, often defying all…", "retelling": null, "checkable_item": false, "against": false } ], "total_count": 2 } ], "against": [], "other_languages": 0, "other_language_hosts": [], "mode": "quotes", "topics_total": 3, "checkable": 0 }, "market_label": { "favourite_code": "1", "favourite": "Manchester United", "probabilities": [ { "outcome_label": "1", "in_words": "Manchester United", "percent_value": 44 }, { "outcome_label": "X", "in_words": "Draw", "percent_value": 26 }, { "outcome_label": "2", "in_words": "Aston Villa", "percent_value": 30 } ], "prices": { "1": "2.14", "X": "3.70", "2": "3.15" }, "group_count": 34, "bookmakers": 51, "snapshot_at": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z", "closing_line": false, "first_at": "2026-10-24T17:36:33.395Z", "shift_pp": 1.6, "phrase": "The market has barely changed its mind since our first snapshot on 24 October 2026: Manchester United 43% then, 44% now.", "technique": "Median across groups of bookmakers, without margin: brands on one platform count once (median within the group); betting exchanges and prediction markets are excluded. Market price from an odds aggregator; the data provider is not named.", "t24": { "snapshot_at": "2026-11-07T16:30:00.000Z", "probabilities": { "1": 44, "2": 30, "X": 26 } } }, "market_mode": "show", "fact_sheet": { "tournament": "Premier League (England)", "matchday": "Matchweek 10", "starts_at": "2026-11-08T16:30:00.000Z", "form": { "home_side": [ { "res": "W", "scoreline": "3-2", "opponent": "AS Roma", "at_home": true, "data": "2026-11-03" }, { "res": "L", "scoreline": "0-2", "opponent": "Chelsea", "at_home": false, "data": "2026-10-31" }, { "res": "L", "scoreline": "0-3", "opponent": "AFC Bournemouth", "at_home": true, "data": "2026-10-25" }, { "res": "L", "scoreline": "1-4", "opponent": "Como", "at_home": false, "data": "2026-10-21" }, { "res": "D", "scoreline": "1-1", "opponent": "Leeds United", "at_home": false, "data": "2026-10-18" } ], "away": [ { "res": "L", "scoreline": "0-3", "opponent": "FC Barcelona", "at_home": false, "data": "2026-11-03" }, { "res": "D", "scoreline": "1-1", "opponent": "Fulham", "at_home": true, "data": "2026-10-31" }, { "res": "L", "scoreline": "0-3", "opponent": "AFC Bournemouth", "at_home": false, "data": "2026-10-28" }, { "res": "W", "scoreline": "2-1", "opponent": "Manchester City", "at_home": true, "data": "2026-10-24" }, { "res": "W", "scoreline": "3-1", "opponent": "Viking FK", "at_home": true, "data": "2026-10-21" } ] }, "head_to_head": [], "past_cards": [], "reach": "" }, "after_match": null, "prices": [], "revisions": [ "9 new picks recorded in the last 24 hours.", "Market 24 hours before kick-off: Manchester United 44%.", "First published with predictions on 4 November 2026." ], "titles": { "shown": true, "legend": "Badges show titles earned before this prediction, by published rules.", "frozen_in": null }, "tracker": null, "source_groups": { "as_of": "2026-11-08T16:30:00.000Z", "groups": [ { "key": "prediction_sites", "label": "Prediction sites" }, { "key": "media", "label": "Media" }, { "key": "telegram_channels", "label": "Telegram channels" }, { "key": "private_authors", "label": "Independent tipsters" } ], "authors": 19, "by_group": [ { "key": "prediction_sites", "authors": 8 }, { "key": "media", "authors": 6 }, { "key": "telegram_channels", "authors": 5 }, { "key": "private_authors", "authors": 0 } ], "markets": [ { "key": "1x2", "label": "Match result", "authors": 11, "by_group": [ { "key": "prediction_sites", "authors": 4 }, { "key": "media", "authors": 3 }, { "key": "telegram_channels", "authors": 4 }, { "key": "private_authors", "authors": 0 } ], "choices": [ { "code_name": "1", "in_words": "Manchester United", "authors": 5, "by_group": [ { "key": "prediction_sites", "authors": 2 }, { "key": "media", "authors": 1 }, { "key": "telegram_channels", "authors": 2 }, { "key": "private_authors", "authors": 0 } ] }, { "code_name": "X", "in_words": "Draw", "authors": 0, "by_group": [ { "key": "prediction_sites", "authors": 0 }, { "key": "media", "authors": 0 }, { "key": "telegram_channels", "authors": 0 }, { "key": "private_authors", "authors": 0 } ] }, { "code_name": "2", "in_words": "Aston Villa", "authors": 6, "by_group": [ { "key": "prediction_sites", "authors": 2 }, { "key": "media", "authors": 2 }, { "key": "telegram_channels", "authors": 2 }, { "key": "private_authors", "authors": 0 } ] } ] }, { "key": "totals", "label": "Goal totals", "authors": 4, "by_group": [ { "key": "prediction_sites", "authors": 2 }, { "key": "media", "authors": 1 }, { "key": "telegram_channels", "authors": 1 }, { "key": "private_authors", "authors": 0 } ] }, { "key": "other", "label": "Handicaps, both teams to score, correct score and other markets", "authors": 10, "by_group": [ { "key": "prediction_sites", "authors": 4 }, { "key": "media", "authors": 4 }, { "key": "telegram_channels", "authors": 2 }, { "key": "private_authors", "authors": 0 } ] } ] }, "market_line": { "line_state": "barely_moved", "line_frozen": false, "phrase": "Market line on 7 November 2026, 19:52 GMT: Manchester United 44%, draw 26%, Aston Villa 30%. Since 24 October 2026, 18:36 BST it has barely moved: the largest change is 1.6 percentage points (Manchester United up).", "line_markets": [ { "market_text": "1X2, match result", "market_group": "1x2", "line_kind": "median_line", "margin_included": false, "snapshot_at": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z", "closing_line": false, "probabilities": [ { "outcome_label": "1", "in_words": "Manchester United", "percent_value": 44 }, { "outcome_label": "X", "in_words": "Draw", "percent_value": 26 }, { "outcome_label": "2", "in_words": "Aston Villa", "percent_value": 30 } ], "group_count": 34, "first_at": "2026-10-24T17:36:33.395Z", "first_probabilities": { "1": 43, "2": 32, "X": 26 }, "shift_pp": 1.6, "shift_outcome": "1", "shift_direction": "up", "line_state": "barely_moved", "phrase": "Market line on 7 November 2026, 19:52 GMT: Manchester United 44%, draw 26%, Aston Villa 30%. Since 24 October 2026, 18:36 BST it has barely moved: the largest change is 1.6 percentage points (Manchester United up)." }, { "market_text": "Both teams to score", "market_group": "other", "line_kind": "recorded_price", "margin_included": true, "closing_line": false, "price_sides": [ { "choice": "yes", "snapshot_price": "1.50", "percent_value": 67, "snapshot_at": "2026-11-06T16:33:07.395Z", "snapshot_count": 3, "first_snapshot_price": "1.50", "first_at": "2026-11-05T08:07:55.189Z", "shift_pp": 0.0, "shift_direction": null, "line_state": "not_moved" } ], "line_state": "not_moved", "phrase": "Both teams to score, yes: market price 1.50 on 6 November 2026, 16:33 GMT (implied 67%, margin included), the same as on 5 November 2026, 08:07 GMT." }, { "market_text": "Over/Under 1.5 goals", "market_group": "totals", "line_kind": "recorded_price", "margin_included": true, "closing_line": false, "price_sides": [ { "choice": "over 1.5", "snapshot_price": "1.18", "percent_value": 85, "snapshot_at": "2026-11-05T02:29:14.601Z", "snapshot_count": 1, "first_snapshot_price": null, "first_at": null, "shift_pp": null, "shift_direction": null, "line_state": "single_snapshot" } ], "line_state": "single_snapshot", "phrase": "Over/Under 1.5 goals, over 1.5 goals: market price 1.18 on 5 November 2026, 02:29 GMT (implied 85%, margin included)." }, { "market_text": "Over/Under 2.5 goals", "market_group": "totals", "line_kind": "recorded_price", "margin_included": true, "closing_line": false, "price_sides": [ { "choice": "over 2.5", "snapshot_price": "1.59", "percent_value": 63, "snapshot_at": "2026-11-06T21:04:08.628Z", "snapshot_count": 2, "first_snapshot_price": "1.60", "first_at": "2026-11-05T02:29:14.601Z", "shift_pp": 0.3, "shift_direction": "up", "line_state": "barely_moved" } ], "line_state": "barely_moved", "phrase": "Over/Under 2.5 goals, over 2.5 goals: market price 1.59 on 6 November 2026, 21:04 GMT (implied 63%, margin included), 0.3 percentage points up from 5 November 2026, 02:29 GMT." }, { "market_text": "Over/Under 3.5 goals", "market_group": "totals", "line_kind": "recorded_price", "margin_included": true, "closing_line": false, "price_sides": [ { "choice": "over 3.5", "snapshot_price": "2.42", "percent_value": 41, "snapshot_at": "2026-11-06T14:57:20.083Z", "snapshot_count": 1, "first_snapshot_price": null, "first_at": null, "shift_pp": null, "shift_direction": null, "line_state": "single_snapshot" }, { "choice": "under 3.5", "snapshot_price": "1.57", "percent_value": 64, "snapshot_at": "2026-11-07T06:25:24.634Z", "snapshot_count": 1, "first_snapshot_price": null, "first_at": null, "shift_pp": null, "shift_direction": null, "line_state": "single_snapshot" } ], "line_state": "single_snapshot", "phrase": "Over/Under 3.5 goals, over 3.5 goals: market price 2.42 on 6 November 2026, 14:57 GMT (implied 41%, margin included). Over/Under 3.5 goals, under 3.5 goals: market price 1.57 on 7 November 2026, 06:25 GMT (implied 64%, margin included)." } ] }, "pre_kickoff_snapshot": { "frozen_before_kickoff": false, "as_of_moment": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z", "starts_at": "2026-11-08T16:30:00.000Z", "phrase": "As of 7 November 2026, 19:52 GMT: market line Manchester United 44%, draw 26%, Aston Villa 30%; 1X2, match result, recorded picks before the match (11): 5 on Manchester United, 0 on the draw, 6 on Aston Villa; Over/Under 2.5 goals, recorded picks before the match (2): 2 on over 2.5 goals; Correct score, recorded picks before the match (6): 3 on Manchester United 1-2 Aston Villa, 1 on Manchester United 1-3 Aston Villa, 1 on Manchester United 2-1 Aston Villa, 1 on other picks.", "market_line_brief": { "snapshot_at": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z", "closing_line": false, "probabilities": { "1": 44, "X": 26, "2": 30 } }, "market_groups": [ { "market_group": "1x2", "group_markets": [ { "market_text": "1X2, match result", "prediction_count": 11, "row_count": 11, "market_choices": [ { "choice": "Aston Villa", "figure": 6 }, { "choice": "Manchester United", "figure": 5 } ], "phrase_mode": "listing", "leader_choice": null, "leader_count": null, "share_percent": 55, "phrase": "1X2, match result, recorded picks before the match (11): 5 on Manchester United, 0 on the draw, 6 on Aston Villa", "sides_1x2": [ { "side": "1", "in_words": "Manchester United", "figure": 5 }, { "side": "X", "in_words": "draw", "figure": 0 }, { "side": "2", "in_words": "Aston Villa", "figure": 6 } ] } ] }, { "market_group": "totals", "group_markets": [ { "market_text": "Over/Under 2.5 goals", "prediction_count": 2, "row_count": 2, "market_choices": [ { "choice": "over 2.5", "figure": 2 } ], "phrase_mode": "listing", "leader_choice": null, "leader_count": null, "share_percent": 100, "phrase": "Over/Under 2.5 goals, recorded picks before the match (2): 2 on over 2.5 goals" }, { "market_text": "Over/Under 3.5 goals", 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