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 "heading": "Luton Town vs Leicester City: recorded predictions and results",
 "description": "Luton Town vs Leicester City, 24 October 2026. Final score 2-1 · EFL League One: 11 distinct predictions from 5 authors.",
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  "body": "Luton Town finished 2-1 against Leicester City. 1 of the 3 recorded correct-score predictions matched that score. Other markets are shown separately below. Forecast Record recorded 11 statements from 5 authors on Luton Town vs Leicester City (EFL League One, kick-off 24 October 2026): 11 distinct predictions, all of the statements recorded before kick-off.",
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    "entity_ref": "e-720ec2720a5ebeecc34f3c04",
    "name_shown": "WhoScored",
    "url": "/sources/whoscored-com/"
   },
   {
    "id": "sr-392631c1d199a5edd7643f45",
    "type_code": "author_before_match",
    "moment_at": "2026-10-24T11:30:00.000Z",
    "freeze_at": "2026-10-24T16:09:01.554Z",
    "approach": "by_capture_time",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "counting_rule": "1",
    "figures": {
     "matches": 65,
     "method_version": "2.2",
     "net_points_hundredths": -57399,
     "period_from": "2026-10-11",
     "period_to": "2026-10-22",
     "price_rule": "Our market snapshot",
     "return_percent": "-3.75",
     "settled_picks": 172,
     "staked_hundredths": 1530000,
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   },
   "group_count": 7,
   "bookmakers": 7,
   "snapshot_at": "2026-10-24T11:30:00.000Z",
   "closing_line": true,
   "first_at": "2026-10-22T10:09:25.695Z",
   "shift_pp": 0.7,
   "phrase": "The market has barely changed its mind since our first snapshot on 22 October 2026: Luton Town 42% then, 43% at kick-off.",
   "technique": "Median across groups of bookmakers, without margin: brands on one platform count once (median within the group); betting exchanges and prediction markets are excluded. Market price from an odds aggregator; the data provider is not named.",
   "t24": {
    "snapshot_at": "2026-10-23T11:30:00.000Z",
    "probabilities": {
     "1": 43,
     "2": 33,
     "X": 24
    }
   },
   "t2": {
    "snapshot_at": "2026-10-24T09:30:00.000Z",
    "probabilities": {
     "1": 43,
     "2": 33,
     "X": 24
    }
   }
  },
  "market_mode": "show",
  "fact_sheet": {
   "tournament": "EFL League One (England)",
   "matchday": "Matchweek 13",
   "starts_at": "2026-10-24T11:30:00.000Z",
   "form": {
    "home_side": [
     {
      "res": "W",
      "scoreline": "2-1",
      "opponent": "Barnsley",
      "at_home": true,
      "data": "2026-10-20"
     },
     {
      "res": "L",
      "scoreline": "1-2",
      "opponent": "Milton Keynes Dons",
      "at_home": false,
      "data": "2026-10-17"
     },
     {
      "res": "W",
      "scoreline": "4-1",
      "opponent": "Wycombe Wanderers",
      "at_home": false,
      "data": "2026-10-10"
     },
     {
      "res": "D",
      "scoreline": "1-1",
      "opponent": "Colchester United",
      "at_home": false,
      "data": "2026-10-03"
     },
     {
      "res": "W",
      "scoreline": "6-0",
      "opponent": "Ipswich Town U21",
      "at_home": true,
      "data": "2026-09-22"
     }
    ],
    "away": [
     {
      "res": "W",
      "scoreline": "4-0",
      "opponent": "Bromley",
      "at_home": false,
      "data": "2026-10-20"
     },
     {
      "res": "W",
      "scoreline": "2-1",
      "opponent": "Doncaster Rovers",
      "at_home": true,
      "data": "2026-10-17"
     },
     {
      "res": "L",
      "scoreline": "1-3",
      "opponent": "Peterborough United",
      "at_home": true,
      "data": "2026-10-10"
     },
     {
      "res": "L",
      "scoreline": "1-2",
      "opponent": "Stevenage",
      "at_home": false,
      "data": "2026-10-06"
     },
     {
      "res": "W",
      "scoreline": "6-1",
      "opponent": "Fulham U21",
      "at_home": true,
      "data": "2026-09-22"
     }
    ]
   },
   "head_to_head": [],
   "past_cards": [],
   "reach": ""
  },
  "after_match": {
   "scoreline": "2-1",
   "fact_code": "1",
   "row_list": [
    "Match-result predictions from tipsters and sources with 10 or more predictions checked against the final score to date: 2 of 3 matched · Tipsters 1 of 1 · Prediction sites 1 of 2",
    "All recorded exact-score predictions: 1 of 3 matched",
    "Exact-score predictions from tipsters and sources with 10 or more predictions checked against the final score to date: 1 of 3 matched the score, 1 of 3 the outcome",
    "Most common selection among tipsters and sources with 10 or more predictions checked against the final score to date: Luton Town (2 of 3), matched",
    "Market favourite at kick-off: Luton Town (matched)"
   ],
   "by_group": {
    "tipsters": {
     "correct": 1,
     "of": 1
    },
    "websites": {
     "correct": 1,
     "of": 2
    }
   },
   "placement": null,
   "checks": []
  },
  "prices": [
   {
    "author_name": "Baba",
    "choice": "Luton Town",
    "market_label": "1X2, match result",
    "author_quoted_price": "2.23",
    "our_snapshot": "2.2000",
    "closing_line": null
   },
   {
    "author_name": "Baba",
    "choice": "yes",
    "market_label": "Both teams to score",
    "author_quoted_price": "1.50",
    "our_snapshot": "1.4200",
    "closing_line": null
   }
  ],
  "revisions": [
   "Market 24 hours before kick-off: Luton Town 43%.",
   "Market 2 hours before kick-off: Luton Town 43%.",
   "First published with predictions on 22 October 2026."
  ],
  "titles": {
   "shown": true,
   "legend": "Badges show titles earned before this prediction, by published rules.",
   "frozen_in": "sr-aba7272218a262cce728e250"
  },
  "tracker": null,
  "source_groups": {
   "as_of": "2026-10-24T11:30:00.000Z",
   "groups": [
    {
     "key": "prediction_sites",
     "label": "Prediction sites"
    },
    {
     "key": "media",
     "label": "Media"
    },
    {
     "key": "telegram_channels",
     "label": "Telegram channels"
    },
    {
     "key": "private_authors",
     "label": "Independent tipsters"
    }
   ],
   "authors": 5,
   "by_group": [
    {
     "key": "prediction_sites",
     "authors": 1
    },
    {
     "key": "media",
     "authors": 1
    },
    {
     "key": "telegram_channels",
     "authors": 3
    },
    {
     "key": "private_authors",
     "authors": 0
    }
   ],
   "markets": [
    {
     "key": "1x2",
     "label": "Match result",
     "authors": 3,
     "by_group": [
      {
       "key": "prediction_sites",
       "authors": 1
      },
      {
       "key": "media",
       "authors": 0
      },
      {
       "key": "telegram_channels",
       "authors": 2
      },
      {
       "key": "private_authors",
       "authors": 0
      }
     ],
     "choices": [
      {
       "code_name": "1",
       "in_words": "Luton Town",
       "authors": 2,
       "by_group": [
        {
         "key": "prediction_sites",
         "authors": 1
        },
        {
         "key": "media",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "telegram_channels",
         "authors": 1
        },
        {
         "key": "private_authors",
         "authors": 0
        }
       ]
      },
      {
       "code_name": "X",
       "in_words": "Draw",
       "authors": 1,
       "by_group": [
        {
         "key": "prediction_sites",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "media",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "telegram_channels",
         "authors": 1
        },
        {
         "key": "private_authors",
         "authors": 0
        }
       ]
      },
      {
       "code_name": "2",
       "in_words": "Leicester City",
       "authors": 0,
       "by_group": [
        {
         "key": "prediction_sites",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "media",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "telegram_channels",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "private_authors",
         "authors": 0
        }
       ]
      }
     ]
    },
    {
     "key": "totals",
     "label": "Goal totals",
     "authors": 2,
     "by_group": [
      {
       "key": "prediction_sites",
       "authors": 1
      },
      {
       "key": "media",
       "authors": 0
      },
      {
       "key": "telegram_channels",
       "authors": 1
      },
      {
       "key": "private_authors",
       "authors": 0
      }
     ]
    },
    {
     "key": "other",
     "label": "Handicaps, both teams to score, correct score and other markets",
     "authors": 3,
     "by_group": [
      {
       "key": "prediction_sites",
       "authors": 1
      },
      {
       "key": "media",
       "authors": 1
      },
      {
       "key": "telegram_channels",
       "authors": 1
      },
      {
       "key": "private_authors",
       "authors": 0
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  "market_line": {
   "line_state": "barely_moved",
   "line_frozen": true,
   "phrase": "Market line at kick-off (24 October 2026, 12:30 BST): Luton Town 43%, draw 24%, Leicester City 33%. From 22 October 2026, 11:09 BST to kick-off it barely moved: the largest change was 0.7 percentage points (Leicester City down).",
   "line_markets": [
    {
     "market_text": "1X2, match result",
     "market_group": "1x2",
     "line_kind": "median_line",
     "margin_included": false,
     "snapshot_at": "2026-10-24T11:30:00.000Z",
     "closing_line": true,
     "probabilities": [
      {
       "outcome_label": "1",
       "in_words": "Luton Town",
       "percent_value": 43
      },
      {
       "outcome_label": "X",
       "in_words": "Draw",
       "percent_value": 24
      },
      {
       "outcome_label": "2",
       "in_words": "Leicester City",
       "percent_value": 33
      }
     ],
     "group_count": 7,
     "first_at": "2026-10-22T10:09:25.695Z",
     "first_probabilities": {
      "1": 42,
      "2": 33,
      "X": 24
     },
     "shift_pp": 0.7,
     "shift_outcome": "2",
     "shift_direction": "down",
     "line_state": "barely_moved",
     "phrase": "Market line at kick-off (24 October 2026, 12:30 BST): Luton Town 43%, draw 24%, Leicester City 33%. From 22 October 2026, 11:09 BST to kick-off it barely moved: the largest change was 0.7 percentage points (Leicester City down)."
    },
    {
     "market_text": "Both teams to score",
     "market_group": "other",
     "line_kind": "recorded_price",
     "margin_included": true,
     "closing_line": false,
     "price_sides": [
      {
       "choice": "yes",
       "snapshot_price": "1.42",
       "percent_value": 70,
       "snapshot_at": "2026-10-24T01:07:21.836Z",
       "snapshot_count": 1,
       "first_snapshot_price": null,
       "first_at": null,
       "shift_pp": null,
       "shift_direction": null,
       "line_state": "single_snapshot"
      }
     ],
     "line_state": "single_snapshot",
     "phrase": "Both teams to score, yes: market price 1.42 on 24 October 2026, 02:07 BST (implied 70%, margin included)."
    },
    {
     "market_text": "Over/Under 1.5 goals",
     "market_group": "totals",
     "line_kind": "recorded_price",
     "margin_included": true,
     "closing_line": false,
     "price_sides": [
      {
       "choice": "over 1.5",
       "snapshot_price": "1.11",
       "percent_value": 90,
       "snapshot_at": "2026-10-24T01:07:21.836Z",
       "snapshot_count": 1,
       "first_snapshot_price": null,
       "first_at": null,
       "shift_pp": null,
       "shift_direction": null,
       "line_state": "single_snapshot"
      }
     ],
     "line_state": "single_snapshot",
     "phrase": "Over/Under 1.5 goals, over 1.5 goals: market price 1.11 on 24 October 2026, 02:07 BST (implied 90%, margin included)."
    },
    {
     "market_text": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
     "market_group": "totals",
     "line_kind": "recorded_price",
     "margin_included": true,
     "closing_line": false,
     "price_sides": [
      {
       "choice": "over 2.5",
       "snapshot_price": "1.47",
       "percent_value": 68,
       "snapshot_at": "2026-10-24T01:07:21.836Z",
       "snapshot_count": 2,
       "first_snapshot_price": "1.45",
       "first_at": "2026-10-23T14:49:41.423Z",
       "shift_pp": 0.9,
       "shift_direction": "down",
       "line_state": "barely_moved"
      }
     ],
     "line_state": "barely_moved",
     "phrase": "Over/Under 2.5 goals, over 2.5 goals: market price 1.47 on 24 October 2026, 02:07 BST (implied 68%, margin included), 0.9 percentage points down from 23 October 2026, 15:49 BST."
    }
   ]
  },
  "pre_kickoff_snapshot": {
   "frozen_before_kickoff": true,
   "as_of_moment": "2026-10-24T11:30:00.000Z",
   "starts_at": "2026-10-24T11:30:00.000Z",
   "phrase": "Before kick-off on 24 October 2026, 12:30 BST: market line at kick-off Luton Town 43%, draw 24%, Leicester City 33%; 1X2, match result, recorded picks before the match (3): 2 on Luton Town, 1 on the draw, 0 on Leicester City; Over/Under 2.5 goals, recorded picks before the match (2): 2 on over 2.5 goals; Correct score, recorded picks before the match (3): 1 on Luton Town 1-1 Leicester City, 1 on Luton Town 2-1 Leicester City, 1 on Luton Town 2-2 Leicester City.",
   "market_line_brief": {
    "snapshot_at": "2026-10-24T11:30:00.000Z",
    "closing_line": true,
    "probabilities": {
     "1": 43,
     "X": 24,
     "2": 33
    }
   },
   "market_groups": [
    {
     "market_group": "1x2",
     "group_markets": [
      {
       "market_text": "1X2, match result",
       "prediction_count": 3,
       "row_count": 3,
       "market_choices": [
        {
         "choice": "Luton Town",
         "figure": 2
        },
        {
         "choice": "draw",
         "figure": 1
        }
       ],
       "phrase_mode": "listing",
       "leader_choice": null,
       "leader_count": null,
       "share_percent": 67,
       "phrase": "1X2, match result, recorded picks before the match (3): 2 on Luton Town, 1 on the draw, 0 on Leicester City",
       "sides_1x2": [
        {
         "side": "1",
         "in_words": "Luton Town",
         "figure": 2
        },
        {
         "side": "X",
         "in_words": "draw",
         "figure": 1
        },
        {
         "side": "2",
         "in_words": "Leicester City",
         "figure": 0
        }
       ]
      }
     ]
    },
    {
     "market_group": "totals",
     "group_markets": [
      {
       "market_text": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
       "prediction_count": 2,
       "row_count": 2,
       "market_choices": [
        {
         "choice": "over 2.5",
         "figure": 2
        }
       ],
       "phrase_mode": "listing",
       "leader_choice": null,
       "leader_count": null,
       "share_percent": 100,
       "phrase": "Over/Under 2.5 goals, recorded picks before the match (2): 2 on over 2.5 goals"
      },
      {
       "market_text": "Over/Under 1.5 goals",
       "prediction_count": 1,
       "row_count": 1,
       "market_choices": [
        {
         "choice": "over 1.5",
         "figure": 1
        }
       ],
       "phrase_mode": "listing",
       "leader_choice": null,
       "leader_count": null,
       "share_percent": 100,
       "phrase": "Over/Under 1.5 goals, recorded picks before the match (1): 1 on over 1.5 goals"
      }
     ]
    },
    {
     "market_group": "other",
     "group_markets": [
      {
       "market_text": "Correct score",
       "prediction_count": 3,
       "row_count": 3,
       "market_choices": [
        {
         "choice": "Luton Town 1-1 Leicester City",
         "figure": 1
        },
        {
         "choice": "Luton Town 2-1 Leicester City",
         "figure": 1
        },
        {
         "choice": "Luton Town 2-2 Leicester City",
         "figure": 1
        }
       ],
       "phrase_mode": "listing",
       "leader_choice": null,
       "leader_count": null,
       "share_percent": null,
       "phrase": "Correct score, recorded picks before the match (3): 1 on Luton Town 1-1 Leicester City, 1 on Luton Town 2-1 Leicester City, 1 on Luton Town 2-2 Leicester City"
      },
      {
       "market_text": "Both teams to score",
       "prediction_count": 1,
       "row_count": 1,
       "market_choices": [
        {
         "choice": "yes",
         "figure": 1
        }
       ],
       "phrase_mode": "listing",
       "leader_choice": null,
       "leader_count": null,
       "share_percent": 100,
       "phrase": "Both teams to score, recorded picks before the match (1): 1 on yes"
      },
      {
       "market_text": "Double chance",
       "prediction_count": 1,
       "row_count": 1,
       "market_choices": [
        {
         "choice": "Luton Town or Leicester City",
         "figure": 1
        }
       ],
       "phrase_mode": "listing",
       "leader_choice": null,
       "leader_count": null,
       "share_percent": 100,
       "phrase": "Double chance, recorded picks before the match (1): 1 on Luton Town or Leicester City"
      }
     ]
    }
   ],
   "predictions_before_kickoff": 11,
   "majority_threshold": {
    "min_predictions": 5,
    "min_share_percent": 60.0
   }
  },
  "teams_prev_next": [
   {
    "side": "home",
    "team": "Luton Town",
    "team_url": "/football/teams/luton-town/",
    "participant_id": "u-d3089fe08106",
    "previous": {
     "kickoff": "2026-10-20T18:45:00.000Z",
     "name": "Luton Town vs Barnsley",
     "url": "/football/matches/luton-town-vs-barnsley-2026-10-20/",
     "competition": "EFL League One",
     "state": "played",
     "score": "2-1"
    },
    "next": {
     "kickoff": "2026-10-27T19:45:00.000Z",
     "name": "Luton Town vs Doncaster Rovers",
     "url": "/football/matches/luton-town-vs-doncaster-rovers-2026-10-27/",
     "competition": "EFL League One",
     "state": "played",
     "score": "3-1"
    },
    "why": null
   },
   {
    "side": "away",
    "team": "Leicester City",
    "team_url": "/football/teams/leicester-city/",
    "participant_id": "u-1acc376eab5f",
    "previous": {
     "kickoff": "2026-10-20T18:45:00.000Z",
     "name": "Bromley vs Leicester City",
     "url": "/football/matches/bromley-vs-leicester-city-2026-10-20/",
     "competition": "EFL League One",
     "state": "played",
     "score": "0-4"
    },
    "next": {
     "kickoff": "2026-10-27T19:45:00.000Z",
     "name": "Leicester City vs Wigan Athletic",
     "url": "/football/matches/leicester-city-vs-wigan-athletic-2026-10-27/",
     "competition": "EFL League One",
     "state": "played",
     "score": "3-0"
    },
    "why": null
   }
  ]
 },
 "number_sets": [
  {
   "set": "match.market_line.percent",
   "entity": "/football/matches/luton-town-vs-leicester-city-2026-10-24/|1x2|1",
   "value": 43,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.market_line.percent",
   "entity": "/football/matches/luton-town-vs-leicester-city-2026-10-24/|1x2|X",
   "value": 24,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.market_line.percent",
   "entity": "/football/matches/luton-town-vs-leicester-city-2026-10-24/|1x2|2",
   "value": 33,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.recorded_price.percent",
   "entity": "/football/matches/luton-town-vs-leicester-city-2026-10-24/|Both teams to score|yes",
   "value": 70,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.recorded_price.percent",
   "entity": "/football/matches/luton-town-vs-leicester-city-2026-10-24/|Over/Under 1.5 goals|over 1.5",
   "value": 90,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.recorded_price.percent",
   "entity": "/football/matches/luton-town-vs-leicester-city-2026-10-24/|Over/Under 2.5 goals|over 2.5",
   "value": 68,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.before_kickoff.market",
   "entity": "/football/matches/luton-town-vs-leicester-city-2026-10-24/|1X2, match result",
   "value": 3,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.before_kickoff.leader_share_percent",
   "entity": "/football/matches/luton-town-vs-leicester-city-2026-10-24/|1X2, match result",
   "value": 67,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.before_kickoff.selection",
   "entity": "/football/matches/luton-town-vs-leicester-city-2026-10-24/|1X2, match result|Luton Town",
   "value": 2,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.before_kickoff.selection",
   "entity": "/football/matches/luton-town-vs-leicester-city-2026-10-24/|1X2, match result|draw",
   "value": 1,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.before_kickoff.selection",
   "entity": "/football/matches/luton-town-vs-leicester-city-2026-10-24/|1X2, match result|Leicester City",
   "value": 0,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.before_kickoff.market",
   "entity": "/football/matches/luton-town-vs-leicester-city-2026-10-24/|Over/Under 2.5 goals",
   "value": 2,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.before_kickoff.leader_share_percent",
   "entity": "/football/matches/luton-town-vs-leicester-city-2026-10-24/|Over/Under 2.5 goals",
   "value": 100,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.before_kickoff.selection",
   "entity": "/football/matches/luton-town-vs-leicester-city-2026-10-24/|Over/Under 2.5 goals|over 2.5",
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  "title": "Luton Town vs Leicester: Predictions & Results — 24 Oct 2026",
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