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 "heading": "Lorient vs Paris FC: recorded predictions and results",
 "description": "Lorient vs Paris FC, 10 October 2026. Final score 1-0 · Ligue 1: 9 distinct predictions from 7 authors.",
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  "body": "Lorient finished 1-0 against Paris FC. None of the 3 recorded correct-score predictions matched that score. Other markets are shown separately below. 1 prediction found after kick-off is shown separately and excluded from the pre-match count. Forecast Record recorded 9 statements from 7 authors on Lorient vs Paris FC (Ligue 1, kick-off 10 October 2026): 9 distinct predictions, 8 of the statements recorded before kick-off.",
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    "in_words": "Did not match: the final score was Lorient 1-0 Paris FC."
   },
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    {
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     "series_label": "Forecast Record reconstruction from the predicted score",
     "derived": true,
     "site_simulation": true,
     "author_words": false,
     "market_label": "1X2, match result",
     "choice": "Paris FC",
     "decimal_odds": "2.2000",
     "odds_role": "market_price",
     "stake_hundredths": 10000,
     "status": "confirmed",
     "status_text": "Executed",
     "result": "loss",
     "result_words": "Lost",
     "change_hundredths": -10000,
     "executed_at": "2026-10-10T23:11:40.104Z",
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "on_claim_market": false,
     "replaced": false
    }
   ],
   "corrections": [],
   "funnel_stage": "prediction",
   "authorship": {
    "material_author": "Matt Law",
    "publisher": "Sports Mole",
    "forecaster": "Matt Law",
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    "basis": null,
    "status": "not_named",
    "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
    "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
    "evidence_fragment": null,
    "material_url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/psg/ligue-1-predictions/feature/will-le-mans-shock-psg-saturdays-ligue-1-predictions_606534.html",
    "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
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  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-f16949e709f6c3e109b0588b",
   "url": "/authors/enrico-giordano/picks/24/#pick-n-f16949e709f6c3e109b0588b",
   "quote_text": "Doppia chance x2 a quota 1.35",
   "fragment_from": 3907,
   "fragment_to": 3936,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "website",
    "url": "https://www.bottadiculo.it/pronostico-fc-lorient-paris-fc-10-ottobre-2026-6a-giornata-di-ligue-1/",
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    "speaker": "Enrico Giordano",
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   "detected_at": "2026-10-12T20:06:56.280Z",
   "executed_at": "2026-10-13T20:11:08.965Z",
   "statement_class": "priced",
   "status": "too_late",
   "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
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   "event": {
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    "display_name": "Lorient v Paris FC",
    "competition_name": "Ligue 1",
    "starts_at": "2026-10-10T18:45:00.000Z",
    "url": "/football/matches/lorient-vs-paris-fc-2026-10-10/",
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   },
   "market_label": "Double chance",
   "outcome_label": "draw or Paris FC",
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    "our_snapshot": null,
    "our_snapshot_at": null,
    "our_snapshot_source": null,
    "closing": "1.2600",
    "closing_source": "last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)"
   },
   "stake_hundredths": 10000,
   "result": "loss",
   "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000,
   "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
   "executed_by": "ours",
   "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
   "withdrawn": false,
   "provenance": "source_reported_history",
   "provenance_words": "Source-reported history",
   "dates": {
    "fragment_at": "2026-10-09T06:59:00.000Z",
    "fragment_basis": "page",
    "source_page_at": "2026-10-09T06:59:00.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-12T20:06:56.280Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [],
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    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "source_reported_history",
   "origin_words": "Source-reported history",
   "added_on": "Added to our record on 12 Oct 2026",
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": {
    "market_label": "Double chance",
    "choice": "draw or Paris FC",
    "author_odds": "1.35",
    "market_key": "double_chance",
    "choice_key": "X2",
    "period": "match",
    "line": null,
    "subject": "goals_total",
    "in_words": "Double chance: draw or Paris FC at 1.35"
   },
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": "loss",
    "scoreline": "1-0",
    "data_status": "measured",
    "cause": null,
    "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
    "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Lorient 1-0 Paris FC."
   },
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     "site_simulation": true,
     "author_words": true,
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     "choice": "draw or Paris FC",
     "decimal_odds": "1.35",
     "odds_role": "author_price",
     "stake_hundredths": 10000,
     "status": "confirmed",
     "status_text": "Executed",
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     "result_words": "Lost",
     "change_hundredths": -10000,
     "executed_at": "2026-10-13T20:11:08.965Z",
     "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
     "on_claim_market": true,
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    {
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     "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
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     "site_simulation": true,
     "author_words": true,
     "market_label": "Double chance",
     "choice": "draw or Paris FC",
     "decimal_odds": "1.2600",
     "odds_role": "closing_odds",
     "stake_hundredths": 10000,
     "status": "confirmed",
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     "result_words": "Lost",
     "change_hundredths": -10000,
     "executed_at": "2026-10-13T20:11:08.965Z",
     "methodology_version": "retro-1.1",
     "on_claim_market": true,
     "replaced": false
    }
   ],
   "corrections": [],
   "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
   "authorship": {
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    "publisher": "Bottadiculo",
    "forecaster": "7",
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    "basis": null,
    "status": "not_named",
    "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
    "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
    "evidence_fragment": null,
    "material_url": "https://www.bottadiculo.it/pronostico-fc-lorient-paris-fc-10-ottobre-2026-6a-giornata-di-ligue-1/",
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 ],
 "record_counts": {
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  "dictionary_url": "/methodology/#words",
  "statements": 9,
  "predictions": 9,
  "authors": 7,
  "statements_before_kickoff": 8,
  "settled_picks": 5,
  "duplicates": 0,
  "junk": {}
 },
 "match_summary": {
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  "state_words": "finished",
  "distinct_predictions": 9,
  "sources": 7,
  "one_source": false,
  "sentence": "Lorient finished 1-0 against Paris FC. None of the 3 recorded correct-score predictions matched that score. Other markets are shown separately below. 1 prediction found after kick-off is shown separately and excluded from the pre-match count.",
  "who_predicted_what": [
   {
    "record_id": "n-65df87e81a70e3457f20f505",
    "url": "/authors/marvellous-adepoju/picks/3/#pick-n-65df87e81a70e3457f20f505",
    "author": "Marvellous Adepoju",
    "author_url": "/authors/marvellous-adepoju/",
    "market": "1X2, match result",
    "selection": "Paris FC",
    "outcome": "Lost",
    "price": "2.10",
    "published_at": "2026-10-08T18:17:23.000Z",
    "recorded_at": "2026-10-08T18:25:01.325Z",
    "lead_hours": 48.3,
    "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "outcome_reason": null,
    "before_kickoff": true,
    "attribution": null
   },
   {
    "record_id": "n-a7edee8efbef6ba94c55461d",
    "url": "/sources/sportytrader-es/picks/2/#pick-n-a7edee8efbef6ba94c55461d",
    "author": "SportyTrader.es",
    "author_url": "/sources/sportytrader-es/",
    "market": "1X2, match result",
    "selection": "Paris FC",
    "outcome": "Lost",
    "price": "2.20",
    "published_at": null,
    "recorded_at": "2026-10-09T14:02:19.220Z",
    "lead_hours": 28.7,
    "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "outcome_reason": null,
    "before_kickoff": true,
    "attribution": null
   },
   {
    "record_id": "n-84110eafa78de8a1b7d65973",
    "url": "/authors/steeven-occhipinti/picks/4/#pick-n-84110eafa78de8a1b7d65973",
    "author": "Steeven Occhipinti",
    "author_url": "/authors/steeven-occhipinti/",
    "market": "1X2, match result",
    "selection": "Paris FC",
    "outcome": "Lost",
    "price": "2.15",
    "published_at": null,
    "recorded_at": "2026-10-09T15:12:23.551Z",
    "lead_hours": 27.5,
    "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "outcome_reason": null,
    "before_kickoff": true,
    "attribution": null
   },
   {
    "record_id": "n-b149ce007bb06de0f24b0486",
    "url": "/authors/marvellous-adepoju/picks/3/#pick-n-b149ce007bb06de0f24b0486",
    "author": "Marvellous Adepoju",
    "author_url": "/authors/marvellous-adepoju/",
    "market": "Both teams to score",
    "selection": "yes",
    "outcome": "Lost",
    "price": "1.75",
    "published_at": "2026-10-08T18:17:23.000Z",
    "recorded_at": "2026-10-08T18:25:01.325Z",
    "lead_hours": 48.3,
    "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "outcome_reason": null,
    "before_kickoff": true,
    "attribution": null
   },
   {
    "record_id": "n-dd8b459e21efff5a5517ecce",
    "url": "/authors/joel-lefevre/picks/2/#pick-n-dd8b459e21efff5a5517ecce",
    "author": "Joel Lefevre",
    "author_url": "/authors/joel-lefevre/",
    "market": "Correct score",
    "selection": "Lorient 0-1 Paris FC",
    "outcome": "Lost",
    "price": null,
    "published_at": "2026-10-07T21:20:00.000Z",
    "recorded_at": "2026-10-07T22:07:38.182Z",
    "lead_hours": 68.6,
    "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "outcome_reason": null,
    "before_kickoff": true,
    "attribution": null
   },
   {
    "record_id": "n-6a46332c460cf57ab9a7988a",
    "url": "/authors/marvellous-adepoju/picks/3/#pick-n-6a46332c460cf57ab9a7988a",
    "author": "Marvellous Adepoju",
    "author_url": "/authors/marvellous-adepoju/",
    "market": "Correct score",
    "selection": "Lorient 1-2 Paris FC",
    "outcome": "Lost",
    "price": null,
    "published_at": "2026-10-08T18:17:23.000Z",
    "recorded_at": "2026-10-08T18:25:01.325Z",
    "lead_hours": 48.3,
    "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "outcome_reason": null,
    "before_kickoff": true,
    "attribution": null
   },
   {
    "record_id": "n-7470775cd1a316be8a31377c",
    "url": "/authors/matt-law/picks/6/#pick-n-7470775cd1a316be8a31377c",
    "author": "Matt Law",
    "author_url": "/authors/matt-law/",
    "market": "Correct score",
    "selection": "Lorient 0-1 Paris FC",
    "outcome": "Lost",
    "price": null,
    "published_at": "2026-10-09T23:25:00.000Z",
    "recorded_at": "2026-10-10T01:04:13.431Z",
    "lead_hours": 17.7,
    "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "outcome_reason": null,
    "before_kickoff": true,
    "attribution": null
   },
   {
    "record_id": "n-f16949e709f6c3e109b0588b",
    "url": "/authors/enrico-giordano/picks/24/#pick-n-f16949e709f6c3e109b0588b",
    "author": "Enrico Giordano",
    "author_url": "/authors/enrico-giordano/",
    "market": "Double chance",
    "selection": "draw or Paris FC",
    "outcome": "Lost",
    "price": "1.35",
    "published_at": "2026-10-09T06:59:00.000Z",
    "recorded_at": "2026-10-12T20:06:56.280Z",
    "lead_hours": -49.4,
    "origin": "Source-reported history",
    "outcome_reason": null,
    "before_kickoff": false,
    "attribution": null
   },
   {
    "record_id": "n-aa847e0ed05f29bf66b3c3cd",
    "url": "/authors/alex-lawes/picks/4/#pick-n-aa847e0ed05f29bf66b3c3cd",
    "author": "Alex Lawes",
    "author_url": "/authors/alex-lawes/",
    "market": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
    "selection": "under 2.5",
    "outcome": "Won",
    "price": null,
    "published_at": null,
    "recorded_at": "2026-10-07T10:20:49.686Z",
    "lead_hours": 80.4,
    "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "outcome_reason": null,
    "before_kickoff": true,
    "attribution": null
   }
  ],
  "by_market": [
   {
    "market": "1X2, match result",
    "predictions": 3,
    "sources": 3,
    "one_source": false,
    "eligible": 3,
    "different_selections": 0,
    "selections": [
     {
      "selection": "Paris FC",
      "predictions": 3,
      "eligible": 3
     }
    ],
    "median_odds": "2.15",
    "odds_from_author": 3,
    "odds_from_snapshot": 0
   },
   {
    "market": "Correct score",
    "predictions": 3,
    "sources": 3,
    "one_source": false,
    "eligible": 3,
    "different_selections": 0,
    "selections": [
     {
      "selection": "Lorient 0-1 Paris FC",
      "predictions": 2,
      "eligible": 2
     },
     {
      "selection": "Lorient 1-2 Paris FC",
      "predictions": 1,
      "eligible": 1
     }
    ],
    "implied_by_score": [
     {
      "selection": "Paris FC",
      "predictions": 3
     }
    ],
    "median_odds": null,
    "odds_from_author": 0,
    "odds_from_snapshot": 0
   },
   {
    "market": "Both teams to score",
    "predictions": 1,
    "sources": 1,
    "one_source": true,
    "eligible": 1,
    "different_selections": 0,
    "selections": [
     {
      "selection": "yes",
      "predictions": 1,
      "eligible": 1
     }
    ],
    "median_odds": "1.75",
    "odds_from_author": 1,
    "odds_from_snapshot": 0
   },
   {
    "market": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
    "predictions": 1,
    "sources": 1,
    "one_source": true,
    "eligible": 1,
    "different_selections": 0,
    "selections": [
     {
      "selection": "under 2.5",
      "predictions": 1,
      "eligible": 1
     }
    ],
    "median_odds": "1.84",
    "odds_from_author": 0,
    "odds_from_snapshot": 1
   }
  ],
  "found_after_kickoff": 1,
  "selections_before_kickoff": 8,
  "independent_sources": 6,
  "same_material_repeats": 0,
  "sources_list": [
   {
    "source": "footballwhispers.com",
    "materials": 1,
    "authors": 1,
    "selections": 3
   },
   {
    "source": "sportsmole.co.uk",
    "materials": 2,
    "authors": 2,
    "selections": 2
   },
   {
    "source": "sportytrader.com",
    "materials": 1,
    "authors": 1,
    "selections": 1
   },
   {
    "source": "sportytrader.es",
    "materials": 1,
    "authors": 1,
    "selections": 1
   },
   {
    "source": "thestatszone.com",
    "materials": 1,
    "authors": 1,
    "selections": 1
   }
  ],
  "what_happened": {
   "won": 1,
   "lost": 7,
   "void": 0,
   "half_won": 0,
   "half_lost": 0,
   "not_settled": 0
  },
  "scenarios": [
   {
    "author": "Marvellous Adepoju",
    "author_url": "/authors/marvellous-adepoju/",
    "picks": 3,
    "record_ids": [
     "n-65df87e81a70e3457f20f505",
     "n-b149ce007bb06de0f24b0486",
     "n-6a46332c460cf57ab9a7988a"
    ],
    "markets": [
     "1X2, match result",
     "Both teams to score",
     "Correct score"
    ],
    "selections": [
     "Paris FC",
     "yes",
     "Lorient 1-2 Paris FC"
    ],
    "prices": [
     "2.10",
     "1.75",
     null
    ],
    "outcomes": [
     "Lost",
     "Lost",
     "Lost"
    ],
    "scenario": "Paris FC · Both teams to score: yes · Lorient 1-2 Paris FC",
    "result": "any_wrong",
    "recorded_at": "2026-10-08T18:25:01.325Z",
    "lead_hours": 48.3,
    "evidence_urls": [
     "/authors/marvellous-adepoju/picks/3/#pick-n-65df87e81a70e3457f20f505",
     "/authors/marvellous-adepoju/picks/3/#pick-n-b149ce007bb06de0f24b0486",
     "/authors/marvellous-adepoju/picks/3/#pick-n-6a46332c460cf57ab9a7988a"
    ]
   }
  ],
  "lead_time": {
   "contract_version": 1,
   "threshold_hours": 2.0,
   "picks": 9,
   "before_kickoff": 8,
   "after_kickoff": 1,
   "at_least_2h": 8,
   "share_2h_plus": 88.9,
   "median_hours": 48.3,
   "min_hours": 17.7,
   "max_hours": 80.4,
   "words": "Hours between the moment we recorded the pick and kick-off; the share counts picks recorded at least two hours before kick-off."
  }
 },
 "title_tag": "Lorient vs Paris FC: Predictions and Results — 10 Oct 2026",
 "snapshots": {
  "counting_rule": "1",
  "early": null,
  "closing_line": {
   "id": "sr-f8878d696590604c107f6a87",
   "type_code": "closing_price",
   "moment_at": "2026-10-10T18:45:00.000Z",
   "freeze_at": "2026-10-11T07:25:40.973Z",
   "approach": "by_capture_time",
   "methodology_version": null,
   "counting_rule": "1",
   "figures": {
    "chain": {
     "admissible": 13,
     "publications": 13,
     "comparable": 13,
     "unique": 13,
     "contributions": 13
    },
    "group_list": [
     {
      "phrase": "1X2, match result — Most common recorded selection: Paris FC — 4 of 4 eligible",
      "source_group": "1x2|*|match|*|*#explicit",
      "leader": "2",
      "n": 4,
      "market_label": "1X2, match result",
      "row_list": [
       {
        "figure": 4,
        "in_words": "Paris FC",
        "choice": "2"
       }
      ]
     },
     {
      "phrase": "Correct score — Most common recorded selection: Lorient 0-1 Paris FC — 2 of 3 eligible",
      "source_group": "correct_score_market|*|match|*|*#explicit",
      "leader": "0-1",
      "n": 3,
      "market_label": "Correct score",
      "row_list": [
       {
        "figure": 2,
        "in_words": "Lorient 0-1 Paris FC",
        "choice": "0-1"
       },
       {
        "figure": 1,
        "in_words": "Lorient 1-2 Paris FC",
        "choice": "1-2"
       }
      ]
     },
     {
      "phrase": "Both teams to score — Most common recorded selection: yes — 2 of 2 eligible",
      "source_group": "both_teams_score|*|match|*|*#explicit",
      "leader": "yes",
      "n": 2,
      "market_label": "Both teams to score",
      "row_list": [
       {
        "figure": 2,
        "in_words": "yes",
        "choice": "yes"
       }
      ]
     },
     {
      "phrase": "Over/Under 2.5 goals — No single most common selection: over 2.5 and under 2.5 — 1 of 2 eligible each",
      "source_group": "total|2.5|match|*|*#explicit",
      "leader": null,
      "n": 2,
      "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
      "row_list": [
       {
        "figure": 1,
        "in_words": "over 2.5",
        "choice": "over"
       },
       {
        "figure": 1,
        "in_words": "under 2.5",
        "choice": "under"
       }
      ]
     },
     {
      "phrase": "Double chance — Most common recorded selection: draw or Paris FC — 1 of 1 eligible",
      "source_group": "double_chance|*|match|*|*#explicit",
      "leader": "X2",
      "n": 1,
      "market_label": "Double chance",
      "row_list": [
       {
        "figure": 1,
        "in_words": "draw or Paris FC",
        "choice": "X2"
       }
      ]
     },
     {
      "phrase": "Over/Under 3.5 goals — Most common recorded selection: under 3.5 — 1 of 1 eligible",
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