{ "schema_name": "page", "schema_version": "2.0", "page_type": "event", "url": "/football/matches/liverpool-vs-chelsea-2026-10-28/", "canonical": "/football/matches/liverpool-vs-chelsea-2026-10-28/", "language": "en", "hreflang": [], "translations": [], "heading": "Liverpool vs Chelsea: recorded predictions and results", "description": "Liverpool vs Chelsea, 28 October 2026. Final score 1-1 · EFL Cup (Carabao): 79 distinct predictions from 49 authors.", "first_paragraph": { "body": "Liverpool finished 1-1 against Chelsea. None of the 10 recorded correct-score predictions matched that score. Other markets are shown separately below. Forecast Record recorded 83 statements from 49 authors on Liverpool vs Chelsea (EFL Cup (Carabao), kick-off 28 October 2026): 79 distinct predictions, all of the statements recorded before kick-off.", "key_number": "83", "data": "2026-10-28", "source_info": "our own evidence archive", "brand": "Forecast Record" }, "indexable": true, "noindex_reason": null, "indexing_threshold": { "settled_count": 83, "date_count": 1, "required_settled": 0, "required_dates": 0 }, "data_date": "2026-10-28T22:04:07.156Z", "built_at": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z", "lastmod": "2026-11-08T02:12:33.000Z", "content_hash": null, "meaning_hash": "b3491091682b465cec1447bfe4173873eacd41f6ffa8ed6a606b6d752c634aa6", "dependency_group": "event:s-b845d6ad7355", "release_id": "20261107-195223", "markup": [ { "type_code": "WebPage", "allowed": true, "cause": null }, { "type_code": "Organization", "allowed": true, "cause": null }, { "type_code": "SportsEvent", "allowed": true, "cause": null } ], "exports": [ { "type_code": "json", "url": "/football/matches/liverpool-vs-chelsea-2026-10-28/index.json", "bytes": null }, { "type_code": "csv", "url": "/football/matches/liverpool-vs-chelsea-2026-10-28/picks.csv", "bytes": null } ], "modules": { "affiliate": true, "api": true, "compare_yourself": false }, "affiliate_block": { "container": true, "request_url": "/partnery/moi", "disclosure": "Some links below are affiliate links and are marked as such. They never affect what you see above: the order of any table is computed before any commission is known.", "page_category": "event" }, "restrictions": { "name_withdrawn": false, "tracker_number": null, "withdrawn_quotes": [], "removed_at": null, "cause": null, "suspended_records": [], "withdrawal_log_number": 0 }, "page_links": { "methodology": "/methodology/", "right_of_reply": "/right-of-reply/", "source_coverage": "/coverage/", "corrections_log": "/corrections/", "api": "/api/", "claim": "/claim/" }, "event": { "id": "s-b845d6ad7355", "display_name": "Liverpool — Chelsea", "competition_name": "EFL Cup (Carabao)", "starts_at": "2026-10-28T20:00:00.000Z", "status": "finished", "scoreline": "1-1", "condition": "finished", "condition_words": "finished", "result_received_at": "2026-10-28T22:04:07.156Z", "postponement": null, "consensus": { "market_label": "1X2, match result", "distribution": [ { "outcome_label": "Liverpool", "figure": 22, "share": "91.7" }, { "outcome_label": "draw", 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"cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Won: the final score was Liverpool 1-1 Chelsea." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "a66b51432a10076e3d77ffee16b8e1dbef8203a5a85d4363ab1c237781a61a83", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "draw", "decimal_odds": "3.7200", "odds_role": "market_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 27200, "executed_at": "2026-10-26T00:54:32.604Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "pronostici di oggi", "publisher": "Pronostici Calcio Mimmo", "forecaster": "pronostici di oggi", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", 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Sí\n\nAmbos equipos tienen una capacidad ofensiva notable, y las cuotas de 1.57 para que ambos marquen son atractivas. Liverpool ha anotado 4 goles en su último partido, mientras que Chelsea también ha mostrado su capacidad anotadora a pesar de su reciente tropiezo. Esto hace que la opción de que ambos equipos encuentren el fondo de la red sea una apuesta razonable.", "fragment_from": 1334, "fragment_to": 1725, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.futbol24.com/es/pronosticos-deportivos/previa/28-10-2026-liverpool-fc-chelsea-fc-pronostico/", "display_name": null, "speaker": null, "authorship": "channel_consensus", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "9b367fd0e76208a1e46091407781c8c5952ca0b385784b3432e3dd2b1c1a96c4", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-25T01:59:17.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-25T02:40:53.949Z", "executed_at": "2026-10-28T19:56:46.639Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-b845d6ad7355", "display_name": "Liverpool — Chelsea", "competition_name": "EFL Cup (Carabao)", "starts_at": "2026-10-28T20:00:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/liverpool-vs-chelsea-2026-10-28/", "scoreline": "1-1", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "Both teams to score", "outcome_label": "yes", "odds_set": { "by_author": "1.57", "our_snapshot": "1.4000", "our_snapshot_at": "2026-10-25T02:39:05.621Z", "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot", "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "win", "simulation_change_hundredths": 4000, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-25T01:59:17.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-25T01:59:17.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-25T02:40:53.949Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, 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"1d20aa7848110554010ac38372153ac3a789f2ee5f62f6f50908cc2413626d11", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-26T08:49:08.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-26T09:06:44.403Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "score_forecast", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-b845d6ad7355", "display_name": "Liverpool — Chelsea", "competition_name": "EFL Cup (Carabao)", "starts_at": "2026-10-28T20:00:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/liverpool-vs-chelsea-2026-10-28/", "scoreline": "1-1", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "Correct score", "outcome_label": "Liverpool 3-2 Chelsea", "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": "loss", "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "provenance": 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"operation_id": "550f83d8dc398ae40bae6266183f5ed46f134509ceb8a619e429b78ba602ed41", "series_key": "derived_series", "series_label": "Forecast Record reconstruction from the predicted score", "derived": true, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": false, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Liverpool", "decimal_odds": "2.4300", "odds_role": "market_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-10-28T08:21:31.817Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": false, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": { "material_author": "Bren Gray", "publisher": "bettingtop10.co.nz", "forecaster": "Bren Gray", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.bettingtop10.co.nz/betting-tips/football/liverpool-vs-chelsea-prediction-odds/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-82f3e567009940be7f5d45fb", "url": "/authors/bren-gray/picks/31/#pick-n-82f3e567009940be7f5d45fb", "quote_text": "Over 3.5 Goals @ $2.15", "fragment_from": 4951, "fragment_to": 4973, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.bettingtop10.co.nz/betting-tips/football/liverpool-vs-chelsea-prediction-odds/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Bren Gray", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "1d20aa7848110554010ac38372153ac3a789f2ee5f62f6f50908cc2413626d11", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-26T08:49:08.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-26T09:06:44.403Z", "executed_at": "2026-10-28T08:21:32.462Z", 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"page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-26T08:49:08.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-26T09:06:44.403Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals", "choice": "over 3.5", "author_odds": "2.15", "market_key": "total", "choice_key": "over", "period": "match", "line": "3.5", "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Over/Under 3.5 goals: over 3.5 at 2.15" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "1-1", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Liverpool 1-1 Chelsea." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "66bc56c54744da078baa7912752373a7d7b18171c6c40aa0171b4dcaf6f6b5c4", "series_key": "author_price", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals", "choice": "over 3.5", "decimal_odds": "2.15", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-10-28T08:21:31.988Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "fa8095877740d523d34feb990ac3e68c0cd3257d7957523ac35ea112c0aadcc5", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals", "choice": "over 3.5", "decimal_odds": "2.1700", "odds_role": "market_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-10-28T08:21:32.462Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Bren Gray", "publisher": "bettingtop10.co.nz", "forecaster": "Bren Gray", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.bettingtop10.co.nz/betting-tips/football/liverpool-vs-chelsea-prediction-odds/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-626ae530cb51331ed47b2941", "url": "/sources/wincomparator-com/products/wincomparator/picks/21/#pick-n-626ae530cb51331ed47b2941", "quote_text": "Notre pronostic\n\nLiverpool gagne le match\n\nProbabilité : 53.06%\n\nProbabilité : 53.06%\n\n2.20", "fragment_from": 702, "fragment_to": 793, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.wincomparator.com/fr-fr/pronostics/liverpool-chelsea-8834916/", "display_name": null, "speaker": null, "authorship": "channel_consensus", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "c82ef5bf146a8329f50afeabfe253e3324aeddb515cee43e3c76e833f0edc2ba", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": null, "detected_at": "2026-10-26T11:10:52.324Z", "executed_at": "2026-10-28T10:45:24.234Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-b845d6ad7355", "display_name": "Liverpool — Chelsea", "competition_name": "EFL Cup (Carabao)", "starts_at": "2026-10-28T20:00:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/liverpool-vs-chelsea-2026-10-28/", "scoreline": "1-1", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "outcome_label": "Liverpool", "odds_set": { "by_author": "2.2", "our_snapshot": "2.4300", "our_snapshot_at": 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"n-4b42c3a79313353e61004dcc", "n-687ed879e0746842f1d7c256" ], "markets": [ "1X2, match result", "Over/Under 2.5 goals", "Both teams to score" ], "selections": [ "Liverpool", "over 2.5", "yes" ], "prices": [ "2.40", "1.46", "1.42" ], "outcomes": [ "Lost", "Lost", "Won" ], "scenario": "Liverpool · over 2.5 goals · Both teams to score: yes", "result": "any_wrong", "recorded_at": "2026-10-26T20:10:11.060Z", "lead_hours": 47.8, "evidence_urls": [ "/authors/sergio-stanco/picks/7/#pick-n-0254d7d2d43603cd79058752", "/authors/sergio-stanco/picks/7/#pick-n-4b42c3a79313353e61004dcc", "/authors/sergio-stanco/picks/7/#pick-n-687ed879e0746842f1d7c256" ] }, { "author": "Bren Gray", "author_url": "/authors/bren-gray/", "picks": 2, "record_ids": [ "n-82f3e567009940be7f5d45fb", "n-5229804e66b3e0de0b8a56f3" ], "markets": [ "Over/Under 3.5 goals", "Correct score" ], "selections": [ "over 3.5", "Liverpool 3-2 Chelsea" ], "prices": [ "2.15", null ], "outcomes": [ "Lost", "Lost" ], "scenario": "over 3.5 goals · Liverpool 3-2 Chelsea", "result": "any_wrong", "recorded_at": "2026-10-26T09:06:44.403Z", "lead_hours": 58.9, "evidence_urls": [ "/authors/bren-gray/picks/31/#pick-n-82f3e567009940be7f5d45fb", "/authors/bren-gray/picks/31/#pick-n-5229804e66b3e0de0b8a56f3" ] }, { "author": "Francisco Tochón Rosales", "author_url": "/authors/francisco-tochon-rosales/", "picks": 2, "record_ids": [ "n-24d8eaea64fabaf41b4fce17", "n-88f13312f1b875aedec3f3bc" ], "markets": [ "1X2, match result", "Team goals over/under 1.5" ], "selections": [ "Liverpool", "Liverpool over 1.5" ], "prices": [ "2.35", "1.79" ], "outcomes": [ "Lost", "Lost" ], "scenario": "Liverpool · Liverpool over 1.5", "result": "any_wrong", "recorded_at": "2026-10-27T21:50:12.727Z", "lead_hours": 22.2, "evidence_urls": [ "/authors/francisco-tochon-rosales/picks/4/#pick-n-24d8eaea64fabaf41b4fce17", "/authors/francisco-tochon-rosales/picks/4/#pick-n-88f13312f1b875aedec3f3bc" ] }, { "author": "Free Super Tips", "author_url": 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archive price", "return_percent": null, "too_few": true }, { "name_shown": "Andy Delaney", "url": "/authors/andy-delaney/", "source_group": "experts", "settled_count": 1, "match_count": 2, "portion": "live", "portion_words": "Recorded before kick-off · return at our recorded market price", "return_percent": null, "too_few": true, "header_titles": [ { "title_id": "zk-ab6a854fb24fe0d0ce5b", "code_name": "P-01", "title_tier": "dated_record", "badge_label": "4/5 · week of 19 Oct", "body": "4/5 result calls right · week of 19 Oct 2026", "provenance": "live", "anchor_id": "title-ab6a854fb24f", "url": null, "tier": null, "event_at": "2026-10-25" }, { "title_id": "zk-a13aa60d078b553fb263", "code_name": "C-02", "title_tier": "dated_record", "badge_label": "Only right of 11 · 20 Oct", "body": "Only one right of 11 tipsters and sources · Draw · Wolverhampton Wanderers v Portsmouth · 20 Oct 2026", "provenance": "live", "anchor_id": "title-a13aa60d078b", "url": null, "tier": null, "event_at": "2026-10-20" } ] }, { "name_shown": "Ben Sully", "url": "/authors/ben-sully/", "source_group": "experts", "settled_count": 1, "match_count": 1, "portion": "live", "portion_words": "Recorded before kick-off · return at our recorded market price", "return_percent": null, "too_few": true, "header_titles": [ { "title_id": "zk-f27483582c3756acd72f", "code_name": "P-01", "title_tier": "dated_record", "badge_label": "6/7 · week of 5 Oct", "body": "6/7 result calls right · week of 5 Oct 2026", "provenance": "live", "anchor_id": "title-f27483582c37", "url": null, "tier": null, "event_at": "2026-10-11" }, { "title_id": "zk-bd2ae6579bf9115ac363", "code_name": "CS-10", "title_tier": "dated_record", "badge_label": "Exact score 0–2 · 28 Oct", "body": "Exact score 0–2 · Hannover 96 v Kaiserslautern · 28 Oct 2026", "provenance": "live", "anchor_id": "title-bd2ae6579bf9", "url": null, "tier": null, "event_at": "2026-10-28" } ] } ], "competition_authors_total": 19, "competition_authors_10": 1, "full": false, "facts_only": false, "checked_count": null, "window": { "d_minus_14_at": "2026-10-14T20:00:00.000Z", "d_minus_3_at": "2026-10-25T20:00:00.000Z" }, "first_screen": { "body": "Before kick-off, 22 tipsters and sources with 10 or more predictions checked against the final score to date had a 90-minute match-result prediction: Liverpool 20 · Draw 2 · Chelsea 0. 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"legend": "Badges show titles earned before this prediction, by published rules." }, "arguments": { "topics": [ { "code_name": "recent_form", "display_name": "Form", "checkable_item": false, "bullet_points": [ { "entry_id": "n-4e5176411c6b153e6174d3ee", "author_name": "Free Super Tips", "author_href": "/sources/free-super-tips/", "source_group": "websites", "choice": "Liverpool", "market_label": "1X2, match result", "logged_at": "2026-10-26T12:44:52.937Z", "original": "https://www.freesupertips.com/predictions/liverpool-vs-chelsea-predictions-betting-tips-match-previews/", "proof": "/sources/free-super-tips/picks/28/#pick-n-4e5176411c6b153e6174d3ee", "quote_text": "Liverpool are on a four-game winning run across all competitions and have been generally strong at home all season, losing just once to Man City. 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"source_group": "tipsters", "choice": "Liverpool 3-2 Chelsea", "market_label": "Correct score", "logged_at": "2026-10-26T09:06:44.403Z", "original": "https://www.bettingtop10.co.nz/betting-tips/football/liverpool-vs-chelsea-prediction-odds/", "proof": "/authors/bren-gray/picks/31/#pick-n-5229804e66b3e0de0b8a56f3", "quote_text": "Chelsea at $2.55 doesn’t appeal to me without their best player, and I can’t see Welbeck getting much change out of Virgil van Dijk if he plays.", "retelling": null, "checkable_item": true, "against": false }, { "entry_id": "n-82f3e567009940be7f5d45fb", "author_name": "Bren Gray", "author_href": "/authors/bren-gray/", "source_group": "tipsters", "choice": "over 3.5", "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals", "logged_at": "2026-10-26T09:06:44.403Z", "original": "https://www.bettingtop10.co.nz/betting-tips/football/liverpool-vs-chelsea-prediction-odds/", "proof": "/authors/bren-gray/picks/31/#pick-n-82f3e567009940be7f5d45fb", "quote_text": "Two rotated sides on a cup night is usually a recipe for gaps, and Chelsea have a young keeper who’ll be under pressure from the first whistle.", "retelling": null, "checkable_item": true, "against": false } ], "total_count": 4 }, { "code_name": "other_topic", "display_name": "Other reasons", "checkable_item": false, "bullet_points": [ { "entry_id": "n-c9a05c69bc6b64c990f65ab9", "author_name": "Infobetting", "author_href": "/sources/infobetting-com/", "source_group": "websites", "choice": "Chelsea", "market_label": "Draw no bet", "logged_at": "2026-10-27T13:19:50.558Z", "original": "https://www.infobetting.com/blog/liverpool-chelsea-28-10-2026-formazioni-quote-pronostici-20262027-efl-cup/", "proof": "/sources/infobetting-com/products/redazione/picks/44/#pick-n-c9a05c69bc6b64c990f65ab9", "quote_text": "Ma Alonso, che non ha le coppe europee, per il resto potrebbe avere meno interesse a risparmiare oltre il dovuto mentre Iraola deve pensare all’Arsenal, in…", "retelling": null, "checkable_item": false, "against": false }, { "entry_id": "n-2404bf4ed664e9a404581f6a", "author_name": "Baba", "author_href": "/authors/baba/", "source_group": "tipsters", "choice": "yes", "market_label": "Both teams to score", "logged_at": "2026-10-28T02:09:47.670Z", "original": "https://www.livetipsportal.com/en/sportsbetting-tips/liverpool-fc-vs-chelsea-fc-league-cup-12561523/", "proof": "/authors/baba/picks/206/#pick-n-2404bf4ed664e9a404581f6a", "quote_text": "as Chelsea, despite their struggles, has shown they can find the back of the net.", "retelling": null, "checkable_item": false, "against": false } ], "total_count": 3 }, { "code_name": "head_to_head", "display_name": "Head-to-head", "checkable_item": false, "bullet_points": [ { "entry_id": "n-9c9cef462218f9279fc8f0fb", "author_name": "Adam Clancy", "author_href": "/authors/adam-clancy/", "source_group": "experts", "choice": "yes", "market_label": "Both teams to score", "logged_at": "2026-10-26T20:24:17.080Z", "original": "https://footballwhispers.com/blog/liverpool-vs-chelsea-prediction-28-10-2026/", "proof": "/authors/adam-clancy/picks/10/#pick-n-9c9cef462218f9279fc8f0fb", "quote_text": "has come through in the last four head-to-heads", "retelling": null, "checkable_item": false, "against": false } ], "total_count": 1 } ], "against": [], "other_languages": 0, "other_language_hosts": [], "mode": "quotes", "topics_total": 5, "checkable": 2 }, "market_label": { "favourite_code": "1", "favourite": "Liverpool", "probabilities": [ { "outcome_label": "1", "in_words": "Liverpool", "percent_value": 38 }, { "outcome_label": "X", "in_words": "Draw", "percent_value": 26 }, { "outcome_label": "2", "in_words": "Chelsea", "percent_value": 36 } ], "prices": { "1": "2.45", "X": "3.60", "2": "2.65" }, "group_count": 15, "bookmakers": 17, "snapshot_at": "2026-10-28T20:00:00.000Z", "closing_line": true, "first_at": "2026-10-22T11:07:23.936Z", "shift_pp": 4.9, "phrase": "The market has moved a little since our first snapshot on 22 October 2026: Chelsea 40% then, 36% at kick-off.", "technique": "Median across groups of bookmakers, without margin: brands on one platform count once (median within the group); betting exchanges and prediction markets are excluded. Market price from an odds aggregator; the data provider is not named.", "t24": { "snapshot_at": "2026-10-27T20:00:00.000Z", "probabilities": { "1": 44, "2": 31, "X": 24 } }, "t2": { "snapshot_at": "2026-10-28T18:00:00.000Z", "probabilities": { "1": 42, "2": 32, "X": 25 } } }, "market_mode": "show", "fact_sheet": { "tournament": "EFL Cup (Carabao) (England)", "matchday": null, "starts_at": "2026-10-28T20:00:00.000Z", "form": { "home_side": [ { "res": "W", "scoreline": "2-0", "opponent": "Brighton & Hove Albion", "at_home": true, "data": "2026-10-25" }, { "res": "W", "scoreline": "4-3", "opponent": "Villarreal", "at_home": true, "data": "2026-10-20" }, { "res": "W", "scoreline": "2-1", "opponent": "Brentford", "at_home": false, "data": "2026-10-17" }, { "res": "W", "scoreline": "6-3", "opponent": "LASK", "at_home": false, "data": "2026-10-14" }, { "res": "L", "scoreline": "0-3", "opponent": "Manchester City", "at_home": true, "data": "2026-10-11" } ], "away": [ { "res": "L", "scoreline": "0-2", "opponent": "Tottenham Hotspur", "at_home": true, "data": "2026-10-24" }, { "res": "W", "scoreline": "2-0", "opponent": "Everton", "at_home": false, "data": "2026-10-17" }, { "res": "W", "scoreline": "5-1", "opponent": "AFC Bournemouth", "at_home": true, "data": "2026-10-10" }, { "res": "L", "scoreline": "0-3", "opponent": "Brentford", "at_home": false, "data": "2026-09-18" }, { "res": "D", "scoreline": "2-2", "opponent": "Hull City", "at_home": true, "data": "2026-09-12" } ] }, "head_to_head": [], "past_cards": [], "reach": "" }, "after_match": { "scoreline": "1-1", "fact_code": "X", "row_list": [ "Match-result predictions from tipsters and sources with 10 or more predictions checked against the final score to date: 2 of 22 matched · Tipsters 1 of 12 · Pundits 0 of 1 · Prediction sites 1 of 9", "All recorded exact-score predictions: 0 of 10 matched", "Exact-score predictions from tipsters and sources with 10 or more predictions checked against the final score to date: 0 of 10 matched the score, 0 of 10 the outcome", "Predictions from tipsters and sources with fewer than 10 predictions checked against the final score to date, recorded before kick-off: 4 predictions · 1 won, 3 lost", "Most common selection among tipsters and sources with 10 or more predictions checked against the final score to date: Liverpool (20 of 22), missed", "Market favourite at kick-off: Liverpool (missed)" ], "by_group": { "experts": { "correct": 0, "of": 1 }, "tipsters": { "correct": 1, "of": 12 }, "websites": { "correct": 1, "of": 9 } }, "placement": null, "checks": [] }, "prices": [ { "author_name": "Free Super Tips", "choice": "Liverpool", "market_label": "1X2, match result", "author_quoted_price": "2.45", "our_snapshot": "2.3100", "closing_line": null }, { "author_name": "Adam Clancy", "choice": "Liverpool", "market_label": "1X2, match result", "author_quoted_price": "2.38", "our_snapshot": "2.2700", "closing_line": null }, { "author_name": "Free Super Tips", "choice": "Liverpool 2-0 Chelsea", "market_label": "Correct score", "author_quoted_price": "17.00", "our_snapshot": "15.0000", "closing_line": null }, { "author_name": "Adam Clancy", "choice": "over 3.5", "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals", "author_quoted_price": "2.20", "our_snapshot": "2.1700", "closing_line": null }, { "author_name": "Bren Gray", "choice": "over 3.5", "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals", "author_quoted_price": "2.15", "our_snapshot": "2.1700", "closing_line": null }, { "author_name": "Adam Clancy", "choice": "yes", "market_label": "Both teams to score", "author_quoted_price": "1.44", "our_snapshot": "1.4132", "closing_line": null }, { "author_name": "Infobetting", "choice": "Chelsea", "market_label": "Draw no bet", "author_quoted_price": "2.20", "our_snapshot": "2.1000", "closing_line": null } ], "revisions": [ "Market 24 hours before kick-off: Liverpool 44%.", "Market 2 hours before kick-off: Liverpool 42%.", "First published with predictions on 26 October 2026." ], "titles": { "shown": true, "legend": "Badges show titles earned before this prediction, by published rules.", "frozen_in": "sr-30b9fed8011db206d2ff56d0" }, "tracker": null, "source_groups": { "as_of": "2026-10-28T20:00:00.000Z", "groups": [ { "key": "prediction_sites", "label": "Prediction sites" }, { "key": "media", "label": "Media" }, { "key": "telegram_channels", "label": "Telegram channels" }, { "key": "private_authors", "label": "Independent tipsters" } ], "authors": 49, "by_group": [ { "key": "prediction_sites", "authors": 18 }, { "key": "media", "authors": 10 }, { "key": "telegram_channels", "authors": 21 }, { "key": "private_authors", "authors": 0 } ], "markets": [ { "key": "1x2", "label": "Match result", "authors": 24, "by_group": [ { "key": "prediction_sites", "authors": 13 }, { "key": "media", "authors": 5 }, { "key": "telegram_channels", "authors": 6 }, { "key": "private_authors", "authors": 0 } ], "choices": [ { "code_name": "1", "in_words": "Liverpool", "authors": 22, "by_group": [ { "key": "prediction_sites", "authors": 11 }, { "key": "media", "authors": 5 }, { "key": "telegram_channels", "authors": 6 }, { "key": "private_authors", "authors": 0 } ] }, { "code_name": "X", "in_words": "Draw", "authors": 2, "by_group": [ { "key": "prediction_sites", "authors": 2 }, { "key": "media", "authors": 0 }, { "key": "telegram_channels", "authors": 0 }, { "key": "private_authors", "authors": 0 } ] }, { "code_name": "2", "in_words": "Chelsea", "authors": 0, "by_group": [ { "key": "prediction_sites", "authors": 0 }, { "key": "media", "authors": 0 }, { "key": "telegram_channels", "authors": 0 }, { "key": "private_authors", "authors": 0 } ] } ] }, { "key": "totals", "label": "Goal totals", "authors": 21, "by_group": [ { "key": "prediction_sites", "authors": 7 }, { "key": "media", "authors": 5 }, { "key": "telegram_channels", "authors": 9 }, { "key": "private_authors", "authors": 0 } ] }, { "key": "other", "label": "Handicaps, both teams to score, correct score and other markets", "authors": 28, "by_group": [ { "key": "prediction_sites", "authors": 9 }, { "key": "media", "authors": 6 }, { "key": "telegram_channels", "authors": 13 }, { "key": "private_authors", "authors": 0 } ] } ] }, "market_line": { "line_state": "moved", "line_frozen": true, "phrase": "Market line at kick-off (28 October 2026, 20:00 GMT): Liverpool 38%, draw 26%, Chelsea 36%. From 22 October 2026, 12:07 BST to kick-off the line moved 4.9 percentage points (Chelsea down).", "line_markets": [ { "market_text": "1X2, match result", "market_group": "1x2", "line_kind": "median_line", "margin_included": false, "snapshot_at": "2026-10-28T20:00:00.000Z", "closing_line": true, "probabilities": [ { "outcome_label": "1", "in_words": "Liverpool", "percent_value": 38 }, { "outcome_label": "X", "in_words": "Draw", "percent_value": 26 }, { "outcome_label": "2", "in_words": "Chelsea", "percent_value": 36 } ], "group_count": 15, "first_at": "2026-10-22T11:07:23.936Z", "first_probabilities": { "1": 34, "2": 40, "X": 26 }, "shift_pp": 4.9, "shift_outcome": "2", "shift_direction": "down", "line_state": "moved", "phrase": "Market line at kick-off (28 October 2026, 20:00 GMT): Liverpool 38%, draw 26%, Chelsea 36%. From 22 October 2026, 12:07 BST to kick-off the line moved 4.9 percentage points (Chelsea down)." }, { "market_text": "Both teams to score", "market_group": "other", "line_kind": "recorded_price", "margin_included": true, "closing_line": false, "price_sides": [ { "choice": "yes", "snapshot_price": "1.46", "percent_value": 68, "snapshot_at": "2026-10-28T18:26:53.101Z", "snapshot_count": 10, "first_snapshot_price": "1.40", "first_at": "2026-10-25T02:39:05.621Z", "shift_pp": 3.1, "shift_direction": "down", "line_state": "moved" } ], "line_state": "moved", "phrase": "Both teams to score, yes: market price 1.46 on 28 October 2026, 18:26 GMT (implied 68%, margin included), 3.1 percentage points down from 25 October 2026, 02:39 GMT." }, { "market_text": "Over/Under 0.5 goals", "market_group": "totals", "line_kind": "recorded_price", "margin_included": true, "closing_line": false, "price_sides": [ { "choice": "over 0.5", "snapshot_price": "1.03", "percent_value": 97, "snapshot_at": "2026-10-28T18:37:44.093Z", "snapshot_count": 1, "first_snapshot_price": null, "first_at": null, "shift_pp": null, "shift_direction": null, "line_state": "single_snapshot" } ], "line_state": "single_snapshot", "phrase": "Over/Under 0.5 goals, over 0.5 goals: market price 1.03 on 28 October 2026, 18:37 GMT (implied 97%, margin included)." }, { "market_text": "Over/Under 10.5 corners", "market_group": "totals", "line_kind": "recorded_price", "margin_included": true, "closing_line": false, "price_sides": [ { "choice": "under 10.5", "snapshot_price": "1.60", "percent_value": 62, "snapshot_at": "2026-10-28T17:43:34.701Z", "snapshot_count": 1, "first_snapshot_price": null, "first_at": null, "shift_pp": null, "shift_direction": null, "line_state": "single_snapshot" } ], "line_state": "single_snapshot", "phrase": "Over/Under 10.5 corners, under 10.5 corners: market price 1.60 on 28 October 2026, 17:43 GMT (implied 62%, margin included)." }, { "market_text": "Over/Under 2.5 goals", "market_group": "totals", "line_kind": "recorded_price", "margin_included": true, "closing_line": false, "price_sides": [ { "choice": "over 2.5", "snapshot_price": "1.51", "percent_value": 66, "snapshot_at": "2026-10-28T18:27:19.271Z", "snapshot_count": 6, "first_snapshot_price": "1.45", "first_at": "2026-10-26T11:09:02.758Z", "shift_pp": 2.7, "shift_direction": "down", "line_state": "barely_moved" }, { "choice": "under 2.5", "snapshot_price": "2.59", "percent_value": 39, "snapshot_at": "2026-10-27T09:55:12.657Z", "snapshot_count": 1, "first_snapshot_price": null, "first_at": null, "shift_pp": null, "shift_direction": null, "line_state": "single_snapshot" } ], "line_state": "barely_moved", "phrase": "Over/Under 2.5 goals, over 2.5 goals: market price 1.51 on 28 October 2026, 18:27 GMT (implied 66%, margin included), 2.7 percentage points down from 26 October 2026, 11:09 GMT. Over/Under 2.5 goals, under 2.5 goals: market price 2.59 on 27 October 2026, 09:55 GMT (implied 39%, margin included)." }, { "market_text": "Over/Under 3 goals", "market_group": "totals", "line_kind": "recorded_price", "margin_included": true, "closing_line": false, "price_sides": [ { "choice": "over 3.0", "snapshot_price": "1.69", "percent_value": 59, "snapshot_at": "2026-10-27T08:38:46.271Z", "snapshot_count": 1, "first_snapshot_price": null, "first_at": null, "shift_pp": null, "shift_direction": null, "line_state": "single_snapshot" } ], "line_state": "single_snapshot", "phrase": "Over/Under 3 goals, over 3.0 goals: market price 1.69 on 27 October 2026, 08:38 GMT (implied 59%, margin included)." }, { "market_text": "Over/Under 3.5 goals", "market_group": "totals", "line_kind": "recorded_price", "margin_included": true, "closing_line": false, "price_sides": [ { "choice": "over 3.5", "snapshot_price": "2.18", "percent_value": 46, "snapshot_at": "2026-10-27T11:58:19.772Z", "snapshot_count": 3, "first_snapshot_price": "2.17", "first_at": "2026-10-26T09:02:06.839Z", "shift_pp": 0.2, "shift_direction": "down", "line_state": "barely_moved" }, { "choice": "under 3.5", "snapshot_price": "1.63", "percent_value": 61, "snapshot_at": "2026-10-28T17:43:34.701Z", "snapshot_count": 2, "first_snapshot_price": "1.72", "first_at": "2026-10-28T00:47:34.331Z", "shift_pp": 3.2, "shift_direction": "up", "line_state": "moved" } ], "line_state": "moved", "phrase": "Over/Under 3.5 goals, over 3.5 goals: market price 2.18 on 27 October 2026, 11:58 GMT (implied 46%, margin included), 0.2 percentage points down from 26 October 2026, 09:02 GMT. Over/Under 3.5 goals, under 3.5 goals: market price 1.63 on 28 October 2026, 17:43 GMT (implied 61%, margin included), 3.2 percentage points up from 28 October 2026, 00:47 GMT." }, { "market_text": "Team goals over/under 1.5", "market_group": "totals", "line_kind": "recorded_price", "margin_included": true, "closing_line": false, "price_sides": [ { "choice": "Liverpool over 1.5", "snapshot_price": "1.74", "percent_value": 57, "snapshot_at": "2026-10-27T21:45:14.243Z", "snapshot_count": 5, "first_snapshot_price": "1.81", "first_at": "2026-10-26T19:53:06.964Z", "shift_pp": 2.1, "shift_direction": "up", "line_state": "barely_moved" } ], "line_state": "barely_moved", "phrase": "Team goals over/under 1.5, Liverpool over 1.5 goals: market price 1.74 on 27 October 2026, 21:45 GMT (implied 57%, margin included), 2.1 percentage points up from 26 October 2026, 19:53 GMT." } ] }, "pre_kickoff_snapshot": { "frozen_before_kickoff": true, "as_of_moment": "2026-10-28T20:00:00.000Z", "starts_at": "2026-10-28T20:00:00.000Z", "phrase": "Before kick-off on 28 October 2026, 20:00 GMT: market line at kick-off Liverpool 38%, draw 26%, Chelsea 36%; 1X2, match result: most expected Liverpool (22 of 24 predictions); Over/Under 2.5 goals: most expected over 2.5 goals (7 of 8 predictions); Both teams to score: most expected goals at both ends (11 of 11 predictions).", "market_line_brief": { "snapshot_at": "2026-10-28T20:00:00.000Z", "closing_line": true, "probabilities": { "1": 38, "X": 26, "2": 36 } }, "market_groups": [ { "market_group": "1x2", "group_markets": [ { "market_text": "1X2, match result", "prediction_count": 24, "row_count": 24, "market_choices": [ { "choice": "Liverpool", "figure": 22 }, { "choice": "draw", "figure": 2 } ], "phrase_mode": "majority", "leader_choice": "Liverpool", "leader_count": 22, "share_percent": 92, "phrase": "1X2, match result: most expected Liverpool (22 of 24 predictions)", "sides_1x2": [ { "side": "1", "in_words": "Liverpool", "figure": 22 }, { "side": "X", "in_words": "draw", "figure": 2 }, { "side": "2", "in_words": "Chelsea", "figure": 0 } ] }, { "market_text": "1X2, match result, second half", "prediction_count": 1, "row_count": 1, "market_choices": [ { "choice": "draw", "figure": 1 } ], "phrase_mode": "listing", "leader_choice": null, "leader_count": null, "share_percent": 100, "phrase": "1X2, match result, second half, recorded picks before the match (1): 1 on the draw", "sides_1x2": [ { "side": "1", "in_words": "Liverpool", "figure": 0 }, { "side": "X", "in_words": "draw", "figure": 1 }, { "side": "2", "in_words": "Chelsea", "figure": 0 } ] } ] }, { "market_group": "totals", "group_markets": [ { "market_text": "Over/Under 2.5 goals", "prediction_count": 8, "row_count": 8, "market_choices": [ { "choice": "over 2.5", "figure": 7 }, { "choice": "under 2.5", "figure": 1 } ], "phrase_mode": "majority", "leader_choice": "over 2.5", "leader_count": 7, "share_percent": 88, "phrase": "Over/Under 2.5 goals: most expected over 2.5 goals (7 of 8 predictions)" }, { "market_text": "Over/Under 3.5 goals", "prediction_count": 7, "row_count": 7, "market_choices": [ { "choice": "over 3.5", "figure": 4 }, { "choice": "under 3.5", "figure": 3 } ], "phrase_mode": "listing", "leader_choice": null, "leader_count": null, "share_percent": 57, "phrase": "Over/Under 3.5 goals, recorded picks before the match (7): 4 on over 3.5 goals, 3 on under 3.5 goals" }, { "market_text": "Team goals over/under 1.5", "prediction_count": 5, "row_count": 5, "market_choices": [ { "choice": "Liverpool over 1.5", "figure": 5 } ], "phrase_mode": "majority", "leader_choice": "Liverpool over 1.5", "leader_count": 5, "share_percent": 100, "phrase": "Team goals over/under 1.5: most expected Liverpool over 1.5 goals (5 of 5 predictions)" }, { "market_text": "Over/Under 0.5 goals", "prediction_count": 1, "row_count": 1, "market_choices": [ { "choice": "over 0.5", "figure": 1 } ], "phrase_mode": "listing", "leader_choice": null, "leader_count": null, "share_percent": 100, "phrase": "Over/Under 0.5 goals, recorded picks before the match (1): 1 on over 0.5 goals" }, { "market_text": "Over/Under 1.5 goals", "prediction_count": 1, "row_count": 1, "market_choices": [ { "choice": "over 1.5", "figure": 1 } ], "phrase_mode": "listing", "leader_choice": null, "leader_count": null, "share_percent": 100, "phrase": "Over/Under 1.5 goals, recorded picks before the match (1): 1 on over 1.5 goals" }, { "market_text": "Over/Under 10.5 corners", "prediction_count": 1, "row_count": 1, "market_choices": [ { "choice": "under 10.5", "figure": 1 } ], "phrase_mode": "listing", "leader_choice": null, "leader_count": null, "share_percent": 100, "phrase": "Over/Under 10.5 corners, recorded picks before the match (1): 1 on under 10.5 corners" }, { "market_text": "Over/Under 3 goals", "prediction_count": 1, "row_count": 1, "market_choices": [ { "choice": "over 3.0", "figure": 1 } ], "phrase_mode": "listing", "leader_choice": null, "leader_count": null, "share_percent": 100, "phrase": "Over/Under 3 goals, recorded picks before the match (1): 1 on over 3.0 goals" } ] }, { "market_group": "other", "group_markets": [ { "market_text": "Both teams to score", "prediction_count": 11, "row_count": 11, "market_choices": [ { "choice": "yes", "figure": 11 } ], "phrase_mode": "majority", "leader_choice": "yes", "leader_count": 11, "share_percent": 100, "phrase": "Both teams to score: most expected goals at both ends (11 of 11 predictions)" }, { "market_text": "Correct score", "prediction_count": 10, "row_count": 10, "market_choices": [ { "choice": "Liverpool 2-1 Chelsea", "figure": 4 }, { "choice": "Liverpool 3-2 Chelsea", "figure": 3 }, { "choice": "Liverpool 2-0 Chelsea", "figure": 2 }, { "choice": "Liverpool 3-1 Chelsea", "figure": 1 } ], "phrase_mode": "listing", "leader_choice": null, "leader_count": null, "share_percent": 40, "phrase": "Correct score, recorded picks before the match (10): 4 on Liverpool 2-1 Chelsea, 3 on Liverpool 3-2 Chelsea, 2 on Liverpool 2-0 Chelsea, 1 on other picks" }, { "market_text": "Double chance", "prediction_count": 5, "row_count": 5, "market_choices": [ { "choice": "Liverpool or Chelsea", "figure": 2 }, { "choice": "Liverpool or draw", "figure": 2 }, { "choice": "draw or Chelsea", "figure": 1 } ], "phrase_mode": "listing", "leader_choice": null, "leader_count": null, "share_percent": null, "phrase": "Double chance, recorded picks before the match (5): 2 on Liverpool or Chelsea, 2 on Liverpool or draw, 1 on draw or Chelsea" }, { "market_text": "Draw no bet", "prediction_count": 2, "row_count": 2, "market_choices": [ { "choice": "Chelsea", "figure": 1 }, { "choice": "Liverpool", "figure": 1 } ], "phrase_mode": "listing", "leader_choice": null, "leader_count": null, "share_percent": null, "phrase": "Draw no bet, recorded picks before the match (2): 1 on Chelsea, 1 on Liverpool" }, { "market_text": "Both teams to score, first half", "prediction_count": 1, "row_count": 1, "market_choices": [ { "choice": "yes", "figure": 1 } ], "phrase_mode": "listing", "leader_choice": null, "leader_count": null, "share_percent": 100, "phrase": "Both teams to score, first half, recorded picks before the match (1): 1 on yes" }, { "market_text": "Player to score", "prediction_count": 1, "row_count": 1, "market_choices": [ { "choice": "Cody Gakpo to score", "figure": 1 } ], "phrase_mode": "listing", "leader_choice": null, "leader_count": null, "share_percent": 100, "phrase": "Player to score, recorded picks before the match (1): 1 on Cody Gakpo to score" } ] } ], "predictions_before_kickoff": 79, "majority_threshold": { "min_predictions": 5, "min_share_percent": 60.0 } }, "teams_prev_next": [ { "side": "home", "team": "Liverpool", "team_url": "/football/teams/liverpool/", "participant_id": "u-6671b665741b", "previous": { "kickoff": "2026-10-25T14:00:00.000Z", "name": "Liverpool vs Brighton & Hove Albion", "url": "/football/matches/liverpool-vs-brighton-and-hove-albion-2026-10-25/", "competition": "Premier League", "state": "played", "score": "2-0" }, "next": { "kickoff": "2026-11-01T16:30:00.000Z", "name": "Liverpool vs Arsenal", "url": "/football/matches/liverpool-vs-arsenal-2026-11-01/", "competition": "Premier League", "state": "played", "score": "0-1" }, "why": null }, { "side": "away", "team": "Chelsea", "team_url": "/football/teams/chelsea/", "participant_id": "u-4ecfb94885a0", "previous": { "kickoff": "2026-10-24T16:30:00.000Z", "name": "Chelsea vs Tottenham Hotspur", "url": "/football/matches/chelsea-vs-tottenham-hotspur-2026-10-24/", "competition": "Premier League", "state": "played", "score": "0-2" }, "next": { "kickoff": "2026-10-31T12:30:00.000Z", "name": "Chelsea vs Manchester United", "url": "/football/matches/chelsea-vs-manchester-united-2026-10-31/", "competition": "Premier League", "state": "played", "score": "2-0" }, "why": null } ] }, "number_sets": [ { "set": "match.market_line.percent", "entity": 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