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 "heading": "Grêmio vs Athletico: recorded predictions and results",
 "description": "Grêmio vs Athletico, 30 October 2026. Final score 2-0 · Brasileiro Série A: 6 distinct predictions from 3 authors.",
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  "body": "Grêmio finished 2-0 against Athletico. The recorded predictions are listed below by market, each with its own outcome. Forecast Record recorded 6 statements from 3 authors on Grêmio vs Athletico (Brasileiro Série A, kick-off 30 October 2026): 6 distinct predictions, all of the statements recorded before kick-off.",
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 "event": {
  "id": "s-694fb3734121",
  "display_name": "Grêmio — Athletico",
  "competition_name": "Brasileiro Série A",
  "starts_at": "2026-10-30T00:30:00.000Z",
  "status": "finished",
  "scoreline": "2-0",
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     "outcome_label": "Grêmio",
     "figure": 1,
     "share": "50.0"
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     "outcome_label": "draw",
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     "share": "50.0"
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   "author_count": 2,
   "median_odds": "2.90",
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   "prediction_count": 2,
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  "country_name": "Brazil",
  "competition_full": "Brasileiro Série A (Brazil)"
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   "authorship": {
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    "recorded_at": "2026-10-29T07:12:09.327Z",
    "lead_hours": 17.3,
    "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
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    "before_kickoff": true,
    "attribution": null
   },
   {
    "record_id": "n-cdfb40426841dd78b1b6841e",
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    "published_at": "2026-10-28T22:13:52.000Z",
    "recorded_at": "2026-10-28T22:20:18.690Z",
    "lead_hours": 26.2,
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    "before_kickoff": true,
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   {
    "record_id": "n-205570e414e91b29f66edf5d",
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    "published_at": "2026-10-27T00:04:56.000Z",
    "recorded_at": "2026-10-29T00:20:12.674Z",
    "lead_hours": 24.2,
    "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
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    "before_kickoff": true,
    "attribution": null
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   {
    "record_id": "n-ef471d7cc9a3bd46592b8140",
    "url": "/authors/ali-demir/picks/23/#pick-n-ef471d7cc9a3bd46592b8140",
    "author": "Ali Demir",
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    "lead_hours": 26.2,
    "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
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    "attribution": null
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   {
    "record_id": "n-005a6dd805fe0641b1a62e04",
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    "author": "Théo Becker",
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    "market": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
    "selection": "under 2.5",
    "outcome": "Won",
    "price": null,
    "published_at": "2026-10-27T00:04:56.000Z",
    "recorded_at": "2026-10-29T00:20:12.674Z",
    "lead_hours": 24.2,
    "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
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    "before_kickoff": true,
    "attribution": null
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    "one_source": false,
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    "different_selections": 0,
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      "eligible": 1
     },
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    ],
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   },
   {
    "market": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
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    "sources": 2,
    "one_source": false,
    "eligible": 2,
    "different_selections": 0,
    "selections": [
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      "eligible": 2
     }
    ],
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   },
   {
    "market": "Over/Under 1.5 goals",
    "predictions": 1,
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    "selections": [
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   },
   {
    "market": "Over/Under 1.5 goals, second half",
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         "source_type": "media",
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     "market_key": "total",
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     "choice_key": "under",
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     "logged_at": "2026-10-28T22:20:18.690Z",
     "posted_at": "2026-10-28T22:13:52.000Z",
     "author_quoted_price": "1.90",
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    {
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     "choice_key": "over",
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     "posted_at": "2026-10-27T00:04:56.000Z",
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     "pre_match": true,
     "proof": "/authors/theo-becker/picks/102/#pick-n-205570e414e91b29f66edf5d",
     "original": null,
     "contradictory": false,
     "authorship": null,
     "source_type": "prediction_sites",
     "own_page": true,
     "trust_settled_count": 2170
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    {
     "entry_id": "n-005a6dd805fe0641b1a62e04",
     "author_name": "Théo Becker",
     "author_href": "/authors/theo-becker/",
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     "choice_key": "under",
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   ],
   "not_counted": [],
   "after_start": [],
   "forecaster_split": {
    "contracts": [
     {
      "contract_code": "1x2|*|match|*|*#explicit",
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       {
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        "tips": [
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       {
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        "figure": 0
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      ],
      "n": 2,
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     },
     {
      "contract_code": "total|2.5|match|*|*#explicit",
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      "market_key": "total",
      "choices": [
       {
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         {
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      ],
      "n": 2,
      "publisher_count": 2
     },
     {
      "contract_code": "total|1.5|match|*|*#explicit",
      "source_group": "explicit",
      "market_label": "Over/Under 1.5 goals",
      "market_key": "total",
      "choices": [
       {
        "code_name": "over",
        "in_words": "over 1.5",
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      ],
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     },
     {
      "contract_code": "total|1.5|second_half|*|*#explicit",
      "source_group": "explicit",
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      "market_key": "total",
      "choices": [
       {
        "code_name": "under",
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        "figure": 1
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    "author_count": 3,
    "below_threshold": {
     "prediction_count": 0,
     "author_count": 0
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    "limit": 10
   },
   "chain": {
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    "unique": 2,
    "comparable": 2,
    "admissible": 2,
    "contributions": 2
   },
   "differing_choices": 0,
   "visible_who": 1,
   "newcomers_who": 2,
   "newcomers_before": 4,
   "titles_shown": true,
   "legend": "Badges show titles earned before this prediction, by published rules."
  },
  "arguments": {
   "topics": [
    {
     "code_name": "other_topic",
     "display_name": "Other reasons",
     "checkable_item": false,
     "bullet_points": [
      {
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       "choice": "draw",
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       "logged_at": "2026-10-29T07:12:09.327Z",
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       "proof": "/authors/ali-demir/picks/23/#pick-n-c8c20f76d13436a302d98c77",
       "quote_text": "Der ausgeglichene Wettmarkt macht ein Unentschieden nach regulärer Spielzeit interessant: Grêmio spielte in drei der letzten fünf Ligaspiele remis, Athletico…",
       "retelling": null,
       "checkable_item": false,
       "against": false
      }
     ],
     "total_count": 1
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   ],
   "against": [],
   "other_languages": 1,
   "other_language_hosts": [
    "sportwetten.bild.de"
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   "mode": "quotes",
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   "checkable": 0
  },
  "market_label": {
   "favourite_code": "1",
   "favourite": "Grêmio",
   "probabilities": [
    {
     "outcome_label": "1",
     "in_words": "Grêmio",
     "percent_value": 42
    },
    {
     "outcome_label": "X",
     "in_words": "Draw",
     "percent_value": 28
    },
    {
     "outcome_label": "2",
     "in_words": "Athletico",
     "percent_value": 30
    }
   ],
   "prices": {
    "1": "2.25",
    "X": "3.34",
    "2": "3.08"
   },
   "group_count": 26,
   "bookmakers": 38,
   "snapshot_at": "2026-10-30T00:30:00.000Z",
   "closing_line": true,
   "first_at": "2026-10-23T13:51:50.640Z",
   "shift_pp": 1.9,
   "phrase": "The market has barely changed its mind since our first snapshot on 23 October 2026: Grêmio 40% then, 42% at kick-off.",
   "technique": "Median across groups of bookmakers, without margin: brands on one platform count once (median within the group); betting exchanges and prediction markets are excluded. Market price from an odds aggregator; the data provider is not named.",
   "t24": {
    "snapshot_at": "2026-10-29T00:30:00.000Z",
    "probabilities": {
     "1": 40,
     "2": 32,
     "X": 28
    }
   },
   "t2": {
    "snapshot_at": "2026-10-29T22:30:00.000Z",
    "probabilities": {
     "1": 41,
     "2": 31,
     "X": 28
    }
   }
  },
  "market_mode": "show",
  "fact_sheet": {
   "tournament": "Brasileiro Série A (Brazil)",
   "matchday": "Matchweek 33",
   "starts_at": "2026-10-30T00:30:00.000Z",
   "form": {
    "home_side": [
     {
      "res": "W",
      "scoreline": "1-0",
      "opponent": "Coritiba",
      "at_home": false,
      "data": "2026-10-26"
     },
     {
      "res": "L",
      "scoreline": "2-4",
      "opponent": "Cruzeiro",
      "at_home": true,
      "data": "2026-10-18"
     },
     {
      "res": "D",
      "scoreline": "1-1",
      "opponent": "Internacional",
      "at_home": true,
      "data": "2026-10-11"
     },
     {
      "res": "D",
      "scoreline": "1-1",
      "opponent": "Remo",
      "at_home": false,
      "data": "2026-10-07"
     },
     {
      "res": "D",
      "scoreline": "0-0",
      "opponent": "Palmeiras",
      "at_home": true,
      "data": "2026-09-20"
     }
    ],
    "away": [
     {
      "res": "D",
      "scoreline": "1-1",
      "opponent": "Vitória",
      "at_home": false,
      "data": "2026-10-24"
     },
     {
      "res": "L",
      "scoreline": "0-2",
      "opponent": "Palmeiras",
      "at_home": true,
      "data": "2026-10-17"
     },
     {
      "res": "W",
      "scoreline": "4-1",
      "opponent": "Chapecoense",
      "at_home": false,
      "data": "2026-10-12"
     },
     {
      "res": "D",
      "scoreline": "2-2",
      "opponent": "Atlético Mineiro",
      "at_home": true,
      "data": "2026-10-09"
     },
     {
      "res": "W",
      "scoreline": "2-1",
      "opponent": "Bahia",
      "at_home": true,
      "data": "2026-09-20"
     }
    ]
   },
   "head_to_head": [
    {
     "data": "2026-05-03",
     "match_list": "Athletico 0-0 Grêmio",
     "event_id": "sm:19621942"
    }
   ],
   "past_cards": [],
   "reach": ""
  },
  "after_match": {
   "scoreline": "2-0",
   "fact_code": "1",
   "row_list": [
    "Match-result predictions from tipsters and sources with 10 or more predictions checked against the final score to date: 1 of 2 matched",
    "No single most common selection among 2 tipsters and sources with 10 or more predictions checked against the final score to date",
    "Market favourite at kick-off: Grêmio (matched)"
   ],
   "by_group": {
    "tipsters": {
     "correct": 1,
     "of": 2
    }
   },
   "placement": null,
   "checks": []
  },
  "prices": [
   {
    "author_name": "Ali Demir",
    "choice": "draw",
    "market_label": "1X2, match result",
    "author_quoted_price": "3.30",
    "our_snapshot": "3.2850",
    "closing_line": null
   },
   {
    "author_name": "Ali Demir",
    "choice": "under 1.5",
    "market_label": "Over/Under 1.5 goals, second half",
    "author_quoted_price": "1.70",
    "our_snapshot": "1.6452",
    "closing_line": null
   }
  ],
  "revisions": [
   "Market 24 hours before kick-off: Grêmio 40%.",
   "Market 2 hours before kick-off: Grêmio 41%.",
   "First published with predictions on 27 October 2026."
  ],
  "titles": {
   "shown": true,
   "legend": "Badges show titles earned before this prediction, by published rules.",
   "frozen_in": "sr-657475e3a347f549948801a8"
  },
  "tracker": null,
  "source_groups": {
   "as_of": "2026-10-30T00:30:00.000Z",
   "groups": [
    {
     "key": "prediction_sites",
     "label": "Prediction sites"
    },
    {
     "key": "media",
     "label": "Media"
    },
    {
     "key": "telegram_channels",
     "label": "Telegram channels"
    },
    {
     "key": "private_authors",
     "label": "Independent tipsters"
    }
   ],
   "authors": 3,
   "by_group": [
    {
     "key": "prediction_sites",
     "authors": 2
    },
    {
     "key": "media",
     "authors": 1
    },
    {
     "key": "telegram_channels",
     "authors": 0
    },
    {
     "key": "private_authors",
     "authors": 0
    }
   ],
   "markets": [
    {
     "key": "1x2",
     "label": "Match result",
     "authors": 2,
     "by_group": [
      {
       "key": "prediction_sites",
       "authors": 1
      },
      {
       "key": "media",
       "authors": 1
      },
      {
       "key": "telegram_channels",
       "authors": 0
      },
      {
       "key": "private_authors",
       "authors": 0
      }
     ],
     "choices": [
      {
       "code_name": "1",
       "in_words": "Grêmio",
       "authors": 1,
       "by_group": [
        {
         "key": "prediction_sites",
         "authors": 1
        },
        {
         "key": "media",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "telegram_channels",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "private_authors",
         "authors": 0
        }
       ]
      },
      {
       "code_name": "X",
       "in_words": "Draw",
       "authors": 1,
       "by_group": [
        {
         "key": "prediction_sites",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "media",
         "authors": 1
        },
        {
         "key": "telegram_channels",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "private_authors",
         "authors": 0
        }
       ]
      },
      {
       "code_name": "2",
       "in_words": "Athletico",
       "authors": 0,
       "by_group": [
        {
         "key": "prediction_sites",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "media",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "telegram_channels",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "private_authors",
         "authors": 0
        }
       ]
      }
     ]
    },
    {
     "key": "totals",
     "label": "Goal totals",
     "authors": 2,
     "by_group": [
      {
       "key": "prediction_sites",
       "authors": 2
      },
      {
       "key": "media",
       "authors": 0
      },
      {
       "key": "telegram_channels",
       "authors": 0
      },
      {
       "key": "private_authors",
       "authors": 0
      }
     ]
    },
    {
     "key": "other",
     "label": "Handicaps, both teams to score, correct score and other markets",
     "authors": 1,
     "by_group": [
      {
       "key": "prediction_sites",
       "authors": 0
      },
      {
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     ]
    }
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  },
  "market_line": {
   "line_state": "barely_moved",
   "line_frozen": true,
   "phrase": "Market line at kick-off (30 October 2026, 00:30 GMT): Grêmio 42%, draw 28%, Athletico 30%. From 23 October 2026, 14:51 BST to kick-off it barely moved: the largest change was 1.9 percentage points (Grêmio up).",
   "line_markets": [
    {
     "market_text": "1X2, match result",
     "market_group": "1x2",
     "line_kind": "median_line",
     "margin_included": false,
     "snapshot_at": "2026-10-30T00:30:00.000Z",
     "closing_line": true,
     "probabilities": [
      {
       "outcome_label": "1",
       "in_words": "Grêmio",
       "percent_value": 42
      },
      {
       "outcome_label": "X",
       "in_words": "Draw",
       "percent_value": 28
      },
      {
       "outcome_label": "2",
       "in_words": "Athletico",
       "percent_value": 30
      }
     ],
     "group_count": 26,
     "first_at": "2026-10-23T13:51:50.640Z",
     "first_probabilities": {
      "1": 40,
      "2": 31,
      "X": 29
     },
     "shift_pp": 1.9,
     "shift_outcome": "1",
     "shift_direction": "up",
     "line_state": "barely_moved",
     "phrase": "Market line at kick-off (30 October 2026, 00:30 GMT): Grêmio 42%, draw 28%, Athletico 30%. From 23 October 2026, 14:51 BST to kick-off it barely moved: the largest change was 1.9 percentage points (Grêmio up)."
    },
    {
     "market_text": "Over/Under 1.5 goals",
     "market_group": "totals",
     "line_kind": "recorded_price",
     "margin_included": true,
     "closing_line": false,
     "price_sides": [
      {
       "choice": "over 1.5",
       "snapshot_price": "1.26",
       "percent_value": 79,
       "snapshot_at": "2026-10-29T00:18:33.468Z",
       "snapshot_count": 1,
       "first_snapshot_price": null,
       "first_at": null,
       "shift_pp": null,
       "shift_direction": null,
       "line_state": "single_snapshot"
      }
     ],
     "line_state": "single_snapshot",
     "phrase": "Over/Under 1.5 goals, over 1.5 goals: market price 1.26 on 29 October 2026, 00:18 GMT (implied 79%, margin included)."
    },
    {
     "market_text": "Over/Under 1.5 goals, second half",
     "market_group": "totals",
     "line_kind": "recorded_price",
     "margin_included": true,
     "closing_line": false,
     "price_sides": [
      {
       "choice": "under 1.5",
       "snapshot_price": "1.65",
       "percent_value": 61,
       "snapshot_at": "2026-10-29T07:10:09.887Z",
       "snapshot_count": 1,
       "first_snapshot_price": null,
       "first_at": null,
       "shift_pp": null,
       "shift_direction": null,
       "line_state": "single_snapshot"
      }
     ],
     "line_state": "single_snapshot",
     "phrase": "Over/Under 1.5 goals, second half, under 1.5 goals: market price 1.65 on 29 October 2026, 07:10 GMT (implied 61%, margin included)."
    },
    {
     "market_text": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
     "market_group": "totals",
     "line_kind": "recorded_price",
     "margin_included": true,
     "closing_line": false,
     "price_sides": [
      {
       "choice": "under 2.5",
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       "percent_value": 53,
       "snapshot_at": "2026-10-29T00:18:33.468Z",
       "snapshot_count": 2,
       "first_snapshot_price": "1.88",
       "first_at": "2026-10-28T22:19:13.121Z",
       "shift_pp": 0.0,
       "shift_direction": null,
       "line_state": "not_moved"
      }
     ],
     "line_state": "not_moved",
     "phrase": "Over/Under 2.5 goals, under 2.5 goals: market price 1.88 on 29 October 2026, 00:18 GMT (implied 53%, margin included), the same as on 28 October 2026, 22:19 GMT."
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   ]
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   "market_line_brief": {
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    "probabilities": {
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     "2": 30
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   },
   "market_groups": [
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     "group_markets": [
      {
       "market_text": "1X2, match result",
       "prediction_count": 2,
       "row_count": 2,
       "market_choices": [
        {
         "choice": "Grêmio",
         "figure": 1
        },
        {
         "choice": "draw",
         "figure": 1
        }
       ],
       "phrase_mode": "listing",
       "leader_choice": null,
       "leader_count": null,
       "share_percent": null,
       "phrase": "1X2, match result, recorded picks before the match (2): 1 on Grêmio, 1 on the draw, 0 on Athletico",
       "sides_1x2": [
        {
         "side": "1",
         "in_words": "Grêmio",
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        },
        {
         "side": "X",
         "in_words": "draw",
         "figure": 1
        },
        {
         "side": "2",
         "in_words": "Athletico",
         "figure": 0
        }
       ]
      }
     ]
    },
    {
     "market_group": "totals",
     "group_markets": [
      {
       "market_text": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
       "prediction_count": 2,
       "row_count": 2,
       "market_choices": [
        {
         "choice": "under 2.5",
         "figure": 2
        }
       ],
       "phrase_mode": "listing",
       "leader_choice": null,
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       "share_percent": 100,
       "phrase": "Over/Under 2.5 goals, recorded picks before the match (2): 2 on under 2.5 goals"
      },
      {
       "market_text": "Over/Under 1.5 goals",
       "prediction_count": 1,
       "row_count": 1,
       "market_choices": [
        {
         "choice": "over 1.5",
         "figure": 1
        }
       ],
       "phrase_mode": "listing",
       "leader_choice": null,
       "leader_count": null,
       "share_percent": 100,
       "phrase": "Over/Under 1.5 goals, recorded picks before the match (1): 1 on over 1.5 goals"
      },
      {
       "market_text": "Over/Under 1.5 goals, second half",
       "prediction_count": 1,
       "row_count": 1,
       "market_choices": [
        {
         "choice": "under 1.5",
         "figure": 1
        }
       ],
       "phrase_mode": "listing",
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       "share_percent": 100,
       "phrase": "Over/Under 1.5 goals, second half, recorded picks before the match (1): 1 on under 1.5 goals"
      }
     ]
    }
   ],
   "predictions_before_kickoff": 6,
   "majority_threshold": {
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    "min_share_percent": 60.0
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  },
  "teams_prev_next": [
   {
    "side": "home",
    "team": "Grêmio",
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    "participant_id": "u-cdc50ce45216",
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     "kickoff": "2026-10-26T22:30:00.000Z",
     "name": "Coritiba vs Grêmio",
     "url": "/football/matches/coritiba-vs-gremio-2026-10-26/",
     "competition": "Brasileiro Série A",
     "state": "played",
     "score": "0-1"
    },
    "next": {
     "kickoff": "2026-11-04T22:30:00.000Z",
     "name": "Flamengo vs Grêmio",
     "url": "/football/matches/flamengo-vs-gremio-2026-11-04/",
     "competition": "Brasileiro Série A",
     "state": "played",
     "score": "3-1"
    },
    "why": null
   },
   {
    "side": "away",
    "team": "Athletico",
    "team_url": null,
    "participant_id": "u-6303ff5cf15f",
    "previous": {
     "kickoff": "2026-10-24T19:30:00.000Z",
     "name": "Vitória vs Athletico",
     "url": "/football/matches/vitoria-vs-athletico-2026-10-24/",
     "competition": "Brasileiro Série A",
     "state": "played",
     "score": "1-1"
    },
    "next": {
     "kickoff": "2026-11-04T22:30:00.000Z",
     "name": "Athletico vs Vasco da Gama",
     "url": "/football/matches/athletico-vs-vasco-da-gama-2026-11-04/",
     "competition": "Brasileiro Série A",
     "state": "played",
     "score": "1-3"
    },
    "why": null
   }
  ]
 },
 "number_sets": [
  {
   "set": "match.market_line.percent",
   "entity": "/football/matches/gremio-vs-athletico-2026-10-30/|1x2|1",
   "value": 42,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.market_line.percent",
   "entity": "/football/matches/gremio-vs-athletico-2026-10-30/|1x2|X",
   "value": 28,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
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   "value": 30,
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   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
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   "set": "match.recorded_price.percent",
   "entity": "/football/matches/gremio-vs-athletico-2026-10-30/|Over/Under 1.5 goals|over 1.5",
   "value": 79,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.recorded_price.percent",
   "entity": "/football/matches/gremio-vs-athletico-2026-10-30/|Over/Under 1.5 goals, second half|under 1.5",
   "value": 61,
   "where": null,
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  {
   "set": "match.recorded_price.percent",
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   "value": 53,
   "where": null,
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  {
   "set": "match.before_kickoff.market",
   "entity": "/football/matches/gremio-vs-athletico-2026-10-30/|1X2, match result",
   "value": 2,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.before_kickoff.selection",
   "entity": "/football/matches/gremio-vs-athletico-2026-10-30/|1X2, match result|Grêmio",
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   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
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   "set": "match.before_kickoff.selection",
   "entity": "/football/matches/gremio-vs-athletico-2026-10-30/|1X2, match result|draw",
   "value": 1,
   "where": null,
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   "set": "match.before_kickoff.selection",
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  {
   "set": "match.before_kickoff.market",
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   "set": "match.before_kickoff.leader_share_percent",
   "entity": "/football/matches/gremio-vs-athletico-2026-10-30/|Over/Under 2.5 goals",
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   "value": 4,
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   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
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  "corrections_url": "/corrections/"
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 "source_revision": 88
}