{ "schema_name": "page", "schema_version": "2.0", "page_type": "event", "url": "/football/matches/granada-cf-vs-real-valladolid-2026-10-23/", "canonical": "/football/matches/granada-cf-vs-real-valladolid-2026-10-23/", "language": "en", "hreflang": [], "translations": [], "heading": "Granada CF vs Real Valladolid: recorded predictions and results", "description": "Granada CF vs Real Valladolid, 23 October 2026. Final score 2-1 · LaLiga Segunda: 18 distinct predictions from 6 authors.", "first_paragraph": { "body": "Granada CF finished 2-1 against Real Valladolid. The recorded predictions are listed below by market, each with its own outcome. Forecast Record recorded 18 statements from 6 authors on Granada CF vs Real Valladolid (LaLiga Segunda, kick-off 23 October 2026): 18 distinct predictions, all of the statements recorded before kick-off.", "key_number": "18", "data": "2026-10-23", "source_info": "our own evidence archive", "brand": "Forecast Record" }, "indexable": true, "noindex_reason": null, "indexing_threshold": { "settled_count": 18, "date_count": 1, "required_settled": 0, "required_dates": 0 }, "data_date": "2026-10-23T21:05:55.699Z", "built_at": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z", "lastmod": "2026-11-08T02:12:33.000Z", "content_hash": null, "meaning_hash": "fc41681e35d0a9dcd51d10a87674c4b584d9ae6e3294a54b960d2b592f25e9e2", "dependency_group": "event:s-9e1b44760df1", "release_id": "20261107-195223", "markup": [ { "type_code": "WebPage", "allowed": true, "cause": null }, { "type_code": "Organization", "allowed": true, "cause": null }, { "type_code": "SportsEvent", "allowed": true, "cause": null } ], "exports": [ { "type_code": "json", "url": "/football/matches/granada-cf-vs-real-valladolid-2026-10-23/index.json", "bytes": null }, { "type_code": "csv", "url": "/football/matches/granada-cf-vs-real-valladolid-2026-10-23/picks.csv", "bytes": null } ], "modules": { "affiliate": true, "api": true, "compare_yourself": false }, "affiliate_block": { "container": true, "request_url": "/partnery/moi", "disclosure": "Some links below are affiliate links and are marked as such. They never affect what you see above: the order of any table is computed before any commission is known.", "page_category": "event" }, "restrictions": { "name_withdrawn": false, "tracker_number": null, "withdrawn_quotes": [], "removed_at": null, "cause": null, "suspended_records": [], "withdrawal_log_number": 0 }, "page_links": { "methodology": "/methodology/", "right_of_reply": "/right-of-reply/", "source_coverage": "/coverage/", "corrections_log": "/corrections/", "api": "/api/", "claim": "/claim/" }, "event": { "id": "s-9e1b44760df1", "display_name": "Granada CF — Real Valladolid", "competition_name": "LaLiga Segunda", "starts_at": "2026-10-23T18:30:00.000Z", "status": "finished", "scoreline": "2-1", "condition": "finished", "condition_words": "finished", "result_received_at": "2026-10-23T21:05:55.699Z", "postponement": null, "consensus": { "market_label": "1X2, match result", "distribution": [ { "outcome_label": "Granada CF", "figure": 5, "share": "100.0" } ], "n": 5, "author_count": 5, "median_odds": "2.23", "summary": "Most common recorded selection in this market: Granada CF — 5 of 5 eligible picks (one per author), median stated price 2.23", "late_excluded": 0, "contributions": 5, "prediction_count": 5, "chain": { "publications": 18, "unique": 18, "comparable": 18, "admissible": 18, "contributions": 18 }, "differing_choices": 0, "different_products": 0, "counting_rule": "1" }, "country_name": "Spain", "competition_full": "LaLiga Segunda (Spain)" }, "evidence_items": [ { "observation_id": "n-38d0f31b9579a015bb07527b", "url": "/authors/alberto-bravo/picks/4/#pick-n-38d0f31b9579a015bb07527b", "quote_text": "El pronóstico :\n\nGranada gana\n\n2.20", "fragment_from": 13396, "fragment_to": 13431, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.sportytrader.es/pronosticos/granada-real-valladolid-380866/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Alberto Bravo", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "c502186b56b9db1a9223232c14bd451b87794e0736bc7bb696c7961e93bfe947", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": null, "detected_at": "2026-10-21T18:39:58.313Z", "executed_at": "2026-10-22T05:54:14.343Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-9e1b44760df1", "display_name": "Granada CF — Real Valladolid", "competition_name": "LaLiga Segunda", "starts_at": "2026-10-23T18:30:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/granada-cf-vs-real-valladolid-2026-10-23/", "scoreline": "2-1", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "outcome_label": "Granada CF", "odds_set": { "by_author": "2.2", "our_snapshot": "2.1750", "our_snapshot_at": "2026-10-21T18:37:30.900Z", "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot", "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "win", "simulation_change_hundredths": 11750, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": null, "fragment_basis": "no", "source_page_at": null, "detected_at": "2026-10-21T18:39:58.313Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [ "no_date" ], "flag_words": "The source states no publication date.", "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Granada CF", "author_odds": "2.2", "market_key": "1x2", "choice_key": "1", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "1X2, match result: Granada CF at 2.2" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "win", "scoreline": "2-1", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Won: the final score was Granada CF 2-1 Real 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"stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 11750, "executed_at": "2026-10-22T05:54:14.343Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Alberto Bravo", "publisher": "sportytrader.es", "forecaster": "Alberto Bravo", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.sportytrader.es/pronosticos/granada-real-valladolid-380866/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-471bbe296432fa6ae2c879f9", "url": "/authors/alberto-bravo/picks/4/#pick-n-471bbe296432fa6ae2c879f9", "quote_text": "Más de 2.5 goles\n\nCuota\n2.04", "fragment_from": 13482, "fragment_to": 13510, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.sportytrader.es/pronosticos/granada-real-valladolid-380866/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Alberto Bravo", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "c502186b56b9db1a9223232c14bd451b87794e0736bc7bb696c7961e93bfe947", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": null, "detected_at": "2026-10-21T18:39:58.313Z", "executed_at": "2026-11-07T09:52:30.610Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-9e1b44760df1", "display_name": "Granada CF — Real Valladolid", "competition_name": "LaLiga Segunda", "starts_at": "2026-10-23T18:30:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/granada-cf-vs-real-valladolid-2026-10-23/", "scoreline": "2-1", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals", "outcome_label": "over 2.5", "odds_set": { "by_author": "2.04", "our_snapshot": "2.0500", "our_snapshot_at": "2026-10-21T18:37:30.900Z", "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot", "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "win", "simulation_change_hundredths": 10500, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": null, "fragment_basis": "no", "source_page_at": null, "detected_at": "2026-10-21T18:39:58.313Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [ "no_date" ], "flag_words": "The source states no publication date.", "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals", "choice": "over 2.5", "author_odds": "2.04", "market_key": "total", "choice_key": "over", "period": "match", "line": "2.5", "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Over/Under 2.5 goals: over 2.5 at 2.04" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "win", "scoreline": "2-1", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Won: the final score was Granada CF 2-1 Real Valladolid." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "a0e504034823589e73340de44b6bd2805ec9e8a6fb65c7306172d8db8001a1fd", "series_key": "author_price", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals", "choice": "over 2.5", "decimal_odds": "2.04", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 10400, "executed_at": 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The odds for this outcome at Betano stand at 2.30", "fragment_from": 2168, "fragment_to": 2288, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.livetipsportal.com/en/sportsbetting-tips/granada-fc-vs-real-valladolid-la-liga-2-12205591/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Baba", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "4f50f015052522fcfd9d2330bae9ee09f6eb662b0045069ed752cd3955c4ffa8", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-20T00:19:55.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-23T00:39:45.009Z", "executed_at": "2026-10-23T06:47:48.336Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-9e1b44760df1", "display_name": "Granada CF — Real Valladolid", "competition_name": "LaLiga Segunda", "starts_at": "2026-10-23T18:30:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/granada-cf-vs-real-valladolid-2026-10-23/", "scoreline": "2-1", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "outcome_label": "Granada CF", "odds_set": { "by_author": "2.3", "our_snapshot": "2.2000", "our_snapshot_at": "2026-10-23T00:37:41.988Z", "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot", "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "win", "simulation_change_hundredths": 12000, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-20T00:19:55.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-20T00:19:55.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-23T00:39:45.009Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Granada CF", "author_odds": "2.3", "market_key": "1x2", "choice_key": "1", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "1X2, match result: Granada CF at 2.3" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "win", "scoreline": "2-1", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Won: the final score was Granada CF 2-1 Real Valladolid." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "f73739dadade433f36f91c16b285ee2c45847e000bd56519f0be63d6fa370e5e", "series_key": "author_price", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Granada CF", "decimal_odds": "2.3", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 13000, "executed_at": "2026-10-23T06:47:48.041Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "4ac625068a8a4b0a64d727d4257b86be11a7428d5e4f789a2b490443f2451ed7", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Granada CF", "decimal_odds": "2.2000", "odds_role": "market_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 12000, "executed_at": "2026-10-23T06:47:48.336Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Baba", "publisher": "Livetipsportal", "forecaster": "Baba", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.livetipsportal.com/en/sportsbetting-tips/granada-fc-vs-real-valladolid-la-liga-2-12205591/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-760c68deaab9eaa9e62ac92f", "url": "/authors/baba/picks/137/#pick-n-760c68deaab9eaa9e62ac92f", "quote_text": "we believe that both teams will find the back of the net, making our second tip “Both teams to score? Yes,\" with odds available at Mozzart for 1.87", "fragment_from": 2411, "fragment_to": 2558, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.livetipsportal.com/en/sportsbetting-tips/granada-fc-vs-real-valladolid-la-liga-2-12205591/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Baba", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "4f50f015052522fcfd9d2330bae9ee09f6eb662b0045069ed752cd3955c4ffa8", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-20T00:19:55.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-23T00:39:45.009Z", "executed_at": "2026-10-23T06:47:48.743Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-9e1b44760df1", "display_name": "Granada CF — Real Valladolid", "competition_name": "LaLiga Segunda", "starts_at": "2026-10-23T18:30:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/granada-cf-vs-real-valladolid-2026-10-23/", "scoreline": "2-1", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "Both 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"author_name": "Théo Becker", "author_href": "/authors/theo-becker/", "source_group": "tipsters", "trust_tier": "probation", "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals", "market_key": "total", "choice": "over 3.5", "choice_key": "over", "byline": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "logged_at": "2026-10-23T01:10:38.856Z", "posted_at": "2026-10-20T00:06:37.000Z", "author_quoted_price": null, "our_snapshot": null, "closing_line": null, "outcome_label": "Lost", "pre_match": true, "proof": "/authors/theo-becker/picks/73/#pick-n-ef46fcd9f57204730a0d136d", "original": null, "contradictory": false, "authorship": null, "source_type": "prediction_sites", "own_page": true, "trust_settled_count": 2170 } ], "not_counted": [], "after_start": [], "forecaster_split": { "contracts": [ { "contract_code": "1x2|*|match|*|*#explicit", "source_group": "explicit", "market_label": "1X2, match result", "market_key": "1x2", "choices": [ { "code_name": "1", "in_words": "Granada CF", "tips": [ { "author_name": "Alberto Bravo", "entry_id": "n-38d0f31b9579a015bb07527b", "outcome_label": "Won", "source_group": "tipsters" }, { "author_name": "Baba", "entry_id": "n-b2d6430bcf6a0cce3d4087f0", "outcome_label": "Won", "source_group": "tipsters" }, { "author_name": "Futbol24", "entry_id": "n-16f1c00bfe37392dadcca23b", "outcome_label": "Won", "source_group": "websites" }, { "author_name": "Javier Ortega", "entry_id": "n-9de7e9664f629c222ad83eb6", "outcome_label": "Won", "source_group": "tipsters" }, { "author_name": "Théo Becker", "entry_id": "n-37d3acb1de05fe26db9e67e3", "outcome_label": "Won", "source_group": "tipsters" } ], "figure": 5 }, { "code_name": "X", "in_words": "Draw", "tips": [], "figure": 0 }, { "code_name": "2", "in_words": "Real Valladolid", "tips": [], "figure": 0 } ], "n": 5, "publisher_count": 4 }, { "contract_code": "both_teams_score|*|match|*|*#explicit", "source_group": "explicit", "market_label": "Both teams to score", "market_key": "both_teams_score", "choices": [ { "code_name": "yes", "in_words": "yes", "tips": [ { "author_name": "Baba", "entry_id": "n-760c68deaab9eaa9e62ac92f", "outcome_label": "Won", "source_group": "tipsters" }, { "author_name": "FootyStats", "entry_id": "n-f9a052548785ed776396e9cc", "outcome_label": "Won", "source_group": "websites" }, { "author_name": "Futbol24", "entry_id": "n-c984689bd4aa77cf80ac6eb1", "outcome_label": "Won", "source_group": "websites" }, { "author_name": "Javier Ortega", "entry_id": "n-7884a3429438dba80e3e9f2b", "outcome_label": "Won", "source_group": "tipsters" } ], "figure": 4 } ], "n": 4, "publisher_count": 4 }, { "contract_code": "total|2.5|match|*|*#explicit", "source_group": "explicit", "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals", "market_key": "total", "choices": [ { "code_name": "over", "in_words": "over 2.5", "tips": [ { "author_name": "Alberto Bravo", "entry_id": "n-471bbe296432fa6ae2c879f9", "outcome_label": "Won", "source_group": "tipsters" }, { "author_name": "Baba", "entry_id": "n-6323223a5e000c5e61282733", "outcome_label": "Won", "source_group": "tipsters" }, { "author_name": "Javier Ortega", "entry_id": "n-c6a9987e65e1972ac21293f0", "outcome_label": "Won", "source_group": "tipsters" }, { "author_name": "Théo Becker", "entry_id": "n-91406be65b174730d57701e9", "outcome_label": "Won", "source_group": "tipsters" } ], "figure": 4 } ], "n": 4, "publisher_count": 3 }, { "contract_code": "total|1.5|match|*|*#explicit", "source_group": "explicit", "market_label": "Over/Under 1.5 goals", "market_key": "total", "choices": [ { "code_name": "over", "in_words": "over 1.5", "tips": [ { "author_name": "Baba", "entry_id": "n-7239492eb0a0a2e0bd4e3504", "outcome_label": "Won", "source_group": "tipsters" }, { "author_name": "Javier Ortega", "entry_id": "n-108c1ed3870e90d960a01115", "outcome_label": "Won", "source_group": "tipsters" }, { "author_name": "Théo Becker", "entry_id": "n-e4d315670bb7899acafbd495", "outcome_label": "Won", "source_group": "tipsters" } ], "figure": 3 } ], "n": 3, "publisher_count": 2 }, { "contract_code": "total|3.5|match|*|*#explicit", "source_group": "explicit", "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals", "market_key": "total", "choices": [ { "code_name": "over", "in_words": "over 3.5", "tips": [ { "author_name": "Javier Ortega", "entry_id": "n-f93472f8254c5eb7da3787f7", "outcome_label": "Lost", "source_group": "tipsters" }, { "author_name": "Théo Becker", "entry_id": "n-ef46fcd9f57204730a0d136d", "outcome_label": "Lost", "source_group": "tipsters" } ], "figure": 2 } ], "n": 2, "publisher_count": 2 } ], "author_count": 6, "below_threshold": { "prediction_count": 0, "author_count": 0 }, "limit": 10 }, "chain": { "publications": 6, "unique": 6, "comparable": 6, "admissible": 6, "contributions": 6 }, "differing_choices": 0, "visible_who": 2, "newcomers_who": 4, "newcomers_before": 12, "titles_shown": true, "legend": "Badges show titles earned before this prediction, by published rules." }, "arguments": { "topics": [ { "code_name": "recent_form", "display_name": "Form", "checkable_item": false, "bullet_points": [ { "entry_id": "n-38d0f31b9579a015bb07527b", "author_name": "Alberto Bravo", "author_href": "/authors/alberto-bravo/", "source_group": "tipsters", "choice": "Granada CF", "market_label": "1X2, match result", "logged_at": "2026-10-21T18:39:58.313Z", "original": "https://www.sportytrader.es/pronosticos/granada-real-valladolid-380866/", "proof": "/authors/alberto-bravo/picks/4/#pick-n-38d0f31b9579a015bb07527b", "quote_text": "El conjunto andaluz llega en un estado de forma sobresaliente, con tres triunfos de manera consecutiva. Una racha que coloca a los de Pacheta a las puertas de…", "retelling": null, "checkable_item": false, "against": false }, { "entry_id": "n-6323223a5e000c5e61282733", "author_name": "Baba", "author_href": "/authors/baba/", "source_group": "tipsters", "choice": "over 2.5", "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals", "logged_at": "2026-10-23T00:39:45.009Z", "original": "https://www.livetipsportal.com/en/sportsbetting-tips/granada-fc-vs-real-valladolid-la-liga-2-12205591/", "proof": "/authors/baba/picks/137/#pick-n-6323223a5e000c5e61282733", "quote_text": "There have been over 2.5 goals scored in 3 of Granada FC's last 5 matches. There have been over 2.5 goals scored in 4 of Real Valladolid's last 5 matches.", "retelling": null, "checkable_item": false, "against": false } ], "total_count": 3 }, { "code_name": "home_form", "display_name": "Home and away", "checkable_item": false, "bullet_points": [ { "entry_id": "n-b2d6430bcf6a0cce3d4087f0", "author_name": "Baba", "author_href": "/authors/baba/", "source_group": "tipsters", "choice": "Granada CF", "market_label": "1X2, match result", "logged_at": "2026-10-23T00:39:45.009Z", "original": "https://www.livetipsportal.com/en/sportsbetting-tips/granada-fc-vs-real-valladolid-la-liga-2-12205591/", "proof": "/authors/baba/picks/137/#pick-n-b2d6430bcf6a0cce3d4087f0", "quote_text": "This prediction is grounded in the attacking capabilities displayed by both teams in previous matches, particularly Granada FC's ability to score at home.", "retelling": null, "checkable_item": false, "against": false } ], "total_count": 1 } ], "against": [], "other_languages": 1, "other_language_hosts": [ "sportytrader.es" ], "mode": "quotes", "topics_total": 2, "checkable": 0 }, "market_label": { "favourite_code": "1", "favourite": "Granada CF", "probabilities": [ { "outcome_label": "1", "in_words": "Granada CF", "percent_value": 43 }, { "outcome_label": "X", "in_words": "Draw", "percent_value": 29 }, { "outcome_label": "2", "in_words": "Real Valladolid", "percent_value": 28 } ], "prices": { "1": "2.13", "X": "3.21", "2": "3.30" }, "group_count": 12, "bookmakers": 14, "snapshot_at": "2026-10-23T18:30:00.000Z", "closing_line": true, "first_at": "2026-10-22T10:09:25.695Z", "shift_pp": 0.7, "phrase": "The market has barely changed its mind since our first snapshot on 22 October 2026: Granada CF 43% then, 43% at kick-off.", "technique": "Median across groups of bookmakers, without margin: brands on one platform count once (median within the group); betting exchanges and prediction markets are excluded. Market price from an odds aggregator; the data provider is not named.", "t24": { "snapshot_at": "2026-10-22T18:30:00.000Z", "probabilities": { "1": 42, "2": 29, "X": 29 } }, "t2": { "snapshot_at": "2026-10-23T16:30:00.000Z", "probabilities": { "1": 43, "2": 28, "X": 29 } } }, "market_mode": "show", "fact_sheet": { "tournament": "LaLiga Segunda (Spain)", "matchday": "Matchweek 11", "starts_at": "2026-10-23T18:30:00.000Z", "form": { "home_side": [ { "res": "W", "scoreline": "2-0", "opponent": "Cadiz", "at_home": true, "data": "2026-10-18" }, { "res": "W", "scoreline": "1-0", "opponent": "Burgos Club de Fútbol", "at_home": false, "data": "2026-10-12" }, { "res": "W", "scoreline": "3-2", "opponent": "Real Sociedad II", "at_home": false, "data": "2026-10-04" }, { "res": "L", "scoreline": "2-3", "opponent": "Andorra", "at_home": true, "data": "2026-09-26" }, { "res": "L", "scoreline": "2-3", "opponent": "Leganés", "at_home": false, "data": "2026-09-20" } ], "away": [ { "res": "L", "scoreline": "2-3", "opponent": "Eldense", "at_home": true, "data": "2026-10-18" }, { "res": "W", "scoreline": "5-0", "opponent": "Albacete Balompié", "at_home": true, "data": "2026-10-12" }, { "res": "D", "scoreline": "2-2", "opponent": "Las Palmas", "at_home": false, "data": "2026-10-04" }, { "res": "W", "scoreline": "3-1", "opponent": "Córdoba", "at_home": true, "data": "2026-09-27" }, { "res": "D", "scoreline": "1-1", "opponent": "AD Ceuta", "at_home": false, "data": "2026-09-20" } ] }, "head_to_head": [], "past_cards": [], "reach": "" }, "after_match": { "scoreline": "2-1", "fact_code": "1", "row_list": [ "Match-result predictions from tipsters and sources with 10 or more predictions checked against the final score to date: 5 of 5 matched · Tipsters 4 of 4 · Prediction sites 1 of 1", "Most common selection among tipsters and sources with 10 or more predictions checked against the final score to date: Granada CF (5 of 5), matched", "Market favourite at kick-off: Granada CF (matched)" ], "by_group": { "tipsters": { "correct": 4, "of": 4 }, "websites": { "correct": 1, "of": 1 } }, "placement": null, "checks": [] }, "prices": [ { "author_name": "Baba", "choice": "Granada CF", "market_label": "1X2, match result", "author_quoted_price": "2.30", "our_snapshot": "2.2000", "closing_line": null }, { "author_name": "Alberto Bravo", "choice": "Granada CF", "market_label": "1X2, match result", "author_quoted_price": "2.20", "our_snapshot": "2.1750", "closing_line": null }, { "author_name": "Alberto Bravo", "choice": "over 2.5", "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals", "author_quoted_price": "2.04", "our_snapshot": "2.0500", "closing_line": null }, { "author_name": "Baba", "choice": "yes", "market_label": "Both teams to score", "author_quoted_price": "1.87", "our_snapshot": "1.7800", "closing_line": null } ], "revisions": [ "Market 24 hours before kick-off: Granada CF 42%.", "Market 2 hours before kick-off: Granada CF 43%.", "First published with predictions on 21 October 2026." ], "titles": { "shown": true, "legend": "Badges show titles earned before this prediction, by published rules.", "frozen_in": "sr-fcacce8a81ff3ba061714418" }, "tracker": null, "source_groups": { "as_of": "2026-10-23T18:30:00.000Z", "groups": [ { "key": "prediction_sites", "label": "Prediction sites" }, { "key": "media", "label": "Media" }, { "key": "telegram_channels", "label": "Telegram channels" }, { "key": "private_authors", "label": "Independent tipsters" } ], "authors": 6, "by_group": [ { "key": "prediction_sites", "authors": 3 }, { "key": "media", "authors": 1 }, { "key": "telegram_channels", "authors": 2 }, { "key": "private_authors", "authors": 0 } ], "markets": [ { "key": "1x2", "label": "Match result", "authors": 5, "by_group": [ { "key": "prediction_sites", "authors": 3 }, { "key": "media", "authors": 1 }, { "key": "telegram_channels", "authors": 1 }, { "key": "private_authors", "authors": 0 } ], "choices": [ { "code_name": "1", "in_words": "Granada CF", "authors": 5, "by_group": [ { "key": "prediction_sites", "authors": 3 }, { "key": "media", "authors": 1 }, { "key": "telegram_channels", "authors": 1 }, { "key": "private_authors", "authors": 0 } ] }, { "code_name": "X", "in_words": "Draw", "authors": 0, "by_group": [ { "key": "prediction_sites", "authors": 0 }, { "key": "media", "authors": 0 }, { "key": "telegram_channels", "authors": 0 }, { "key": "private_authors", "authors": 0 } ] }, { "code_name": "2", "in_words": "Real Valladolid", "authors": 0, "by_group": [ { "key": "prediction_sites", "authors": 0 }, { "key": "media", "authors": 0 }, { "key": "telegram_channels", "authors": 0 }, { "key": "private_authors", "authors": 0 } ] } ] }, { "key": "totals", "label": "Goal totals", "authors": 4, "by_group": [ { "key": "prediction_sites", "authors": 3 }, { "key": "media", "authors": 1 }, { "key": "telegram_channels", "authors": 0 }, { "key": "private_authors", "authors": 0 } ] }, { "key": "other", "label": "Handicaps, both teams to score, correct score and other markets", "authors": 4, "by_group": [ { "key": "prediction_sites", "authors": 1 }, { "key": "media", "authors": 1 }, { "key": "telegram_channels", "authors": 2 }, { "key": "private_authors", "authors": 0 } ] } ] }, "market_line": { "line_state": "barely_moved", "line_frozen": true, "phrase": "Market line at kick-off (23 October 2026, 19:30 BST): Granada CF 43%, draw 29%, Real Valladolid 28%. From 22 October 2026, 11:09 BST to kick-off it barely moved: the largest change was 0.7 percentage points (Real Valladolid down).", "line_markets": [ { "market_text": "1X2, match result", "market_group": "1x2", "line_kind": "median_line", "margin_included": false, "snapshot_at": "2026-10-23T18:30:00.000Z", "closing_line": true, "probabilities": [ { "outcome_label": "1", "in_words": "Granada CF", "percent_value": 43 }, { "outcome_label": "X", "in_words": "Draw", "percent_value": 29 }, { "outcome_label": "2", "in_words": "Real Valladolid", "percent_value": 28 } ], "group_count": 12, "first_at": "2026-10-22T10:09:25.695Z", "first_probabilities": { "1": 43, "2": 29, "X": 29 }, "shift_pp": 0.7, "shift_outcome": "2", "shift_direction": "down", "line_state": "barely_moved", "phrase": "Market line at kick-off (23 October 2026, 19:30 BST): Granada CF 43%, draw 29%, Real Valladolid 28%. From 22 October 2026, 11:09 BST to kick-off it barely moved: the largest change was 0.7 percentage points (Real Valladolid down)." }, { "market_text": "Both teams to score", "market_group": "other", "line_kind": "recorded_price", "margin_included": true, "closing_line": false, "price_sides": [ { "choice": "yes", "snapshot_price": "1.75", "percent_value": 57, "snapshot_at": "2026-10-23T12:19:03.880Z", "snapshot_count": 4, "first_snapshot_price": "1.78", "first_at": "2026-10-23T00:37:41.988Z", "shift_pp": 1.0, "shift_direction": "up", "line_state": "barely_moved" } ], "line_state": "barely_moved", "phrase": "Both teams to score, yes: market price 1.75 on 23 October 2026, 13:19 BST (implied 57%, margin included), 1.0 percentage point up from 23 October 2026, 01:37 BST." }, { "market_text": "Over/Under 1.5 goals", "market_group": "totals", "line_kind": "recorded_price", "margin_included": true, "closing_line": false, "price_sides": [ { "choice": "over 1.5", "snapshot_price": "1.32", "percent_value": 75, "snapshot_at": "2026-10-23T06:52:58.388Z", "snapshot_count": 2, "first_snapshot_price": "1.32", "first_at": "2026-10-23T00:37:41.988Z", "shift_pp": 0.0, "shift_direction": null, "line_state": "not_moved" } ], "line_state": "not_moved", "phrase": "Over/Under 1.5 goals, over 1.5 goals: market price 1.32 on 23 October 2026, 07:52 BST (implied 75%, margin included), the same as on 23 October 2026, 01:37 BST." }, { "market_text": "Over/Under 2.5 goals", "market_group": "totals", "line_kind": "recorded_price", "margin_included": true, "closing_line": false, "price_sides": [ { "choice": "over 2.5", "snapshot_price": "2.01", "percent_value": 50, "snapshot_at": "2026-10-23T05:27:32.848Z", "snapshot_count": 3, "first_snapshot_price": "2.05", "first_at": "2026-10-21T18:37:30.900Z", "shift_pp": 1.0, "shift_direction": "up", "line_state": "barely_moved" } ], "line_state": "barely_moved", "phrase": "Over/Under 2.5 goals, over 2.5 goals: market price 2.01 on 23 October 2026, 06:27 BST (implied 50%, margin included), 1.0 percentage point up from 21 October 2026, 19:37 BST." }, { "market_text": "Over/Under 3.5 goals", "market_group": "totals", "line_kind": "recorded_price", "margin_included": true, "closing_line": false, "price_sides": [ { "choice": "over 3.5", "snapshot_price": "3.50", "percent_value": 29, "snapshot_at": "2026-10-23T05:27:14.683Z", "snapshot_count": 1, "first_snapshot_price": null, "first_at": null, "shift_pp": null, "shift_direction": null, "line_state": "single_snapshot" } ], "line_state": "single_snapshot", "phrase": "Over/Under 3.5 goals, over 3.5 goals: market price 3.50 on 23 October 2026, 06:27 BST (implied 29%, margin included)." } ] }, "pre_kickoff_snapshot": { "frozen_before_kickoff": true, "as_of_moment": "2026-10-23T18:30:00.000Z", "starts_at": "2026-10-23T18:30:00.000Z", "phrase": "Before kick-off on 23 October 2026, 19:30 BST: market line at kick-off Granada CF 43%, draw 29%, Real Valladolid 28%; 1X2, match result: most 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"prediction_count": 4, "row_count": 4, "market_choices": [ { "choice": "over 2.5", "figure": 4 } ], "phrase_mode": "listing", "leader_choice": null, "leader_count": null, "share_percent": 100, "phrase": "Over/Under 2.5 goals, recorded picks before the match (4): 4 on over 2.5 goals" }, { "market_text": "Over/Under 1.5 goals", "prediction_count": 3, "row_count": 3, "market_choices": [ { "choice": "over 1.5", "figure": 3 } ], "phrase_mode": "listing", "leader_choice": null, "leader_count": null, "share_percent": 100, "phrase": "Over/Under 1.5 goals, recorded picks before the match (3): 3 on over 1.5 goals" }, { "market_text": "Over/Under 3.5 goals", "prediction_count": 2, "row_count": 2, "market_choices": [ { "choice": "over 3.5", "figure": 2 } ], "phrase_mode": "listing", "leader_choice": null, "leader_count": null, "share_percent": 100, "phrase": "Over/Under 3.5 goals, recorded picks before the match (2): 2 on over 3.5 goals" } ] }, { "market_group": "other", "group_markets": [ { 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