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 "heading": "Gil Vicente vs FC Porto: recorded predictions and results",
 "description": "Gil Vicente vs FC Porto, 24 October 2026. Final score 0-1 · Primeira Liga: 19 distinct predictions from 13 authors.",
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  "body": "Gil Vicente finished 0-1 against FC Porto. None of the 2 recorded correct-score predictions matched that score. Other markets are shown separately below. Forecast Record recorded 20 statements from 13 authors on Gil Vicente vs FC Porto (Primeira Liga, kick-off 24 October 2026): 19 distinct predictions, all of the statements recorded before kick-off.",
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          "entry_id": "n-747cf9ff221fdda6c5637f4e",
          "outcome_label": "Lost",
          "source_group": "tipsters"
         }
        ],
        "figure": 1
       }
      ],
      "n": 1,
      "publisher_count": 1
     }
    ],
    "author_count": 13,
    "below_threshold": {
     "prediction_count": 0,
     "author_count": 0
    },
    "limit": 10
   },
   "chain": {
    "publications": 5,
    "unique": 5,
    "comparable": 5,
    "admissible": 5,
    "contributions": 5
   },
   "differing_choices": 0,
   "visible_who": 3,
   "newcomers_who": 10,
   "newcomers_before": 14,
   "titles_shown": true,
   "legend": "Badges show titles earned before this prediction, by published rules."
  },
  "arguments": {
   "topics": [
    {
     "code_name": "recent_form",
     "display_name": "Form",
     "checkable_item": false,
     "bullet_points": [
      {
       "entry_id": "n-76ef4847476b409233f41eef",
       "author_name": "Adeyeye Oluwapelumi",
       "author_href": "/authors/adeyeye-oluwapelumi/",
       "source_group": "experts",
       "choice": "Gil Vicente 1-2 FC Porto",
       "market_label": "Correct score",
       "logged_at": "2026-10-23T01:10:08.703Z",
       "original": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/porto/preview/gil-vicente-vs-porto-prediction-team-news-lineups_607496.html",
       "proof": "/authors/adeyeye-oluwapelumi/picks/8/#pick-n-76ef4847476b409233f41eef",
       "quote_text": "Gil Vicente have enough momentum to make this a competitive encounter, particularly after their recent victories over Moreirense and Braga, but Porto’s…",
       "retelling": null,
       "checkable_item": false,
       "against": false
      }
     ],
     "total_count": 1
    }
   ],
   "against": [],
   "other_languages": 2,
   "other_language_hosts": [
    "sportwetten.bild.de"
   ],
   "mode": "quotes",
   "topics_total": 1,
   "checkable": 0
  },
  "market_label": {
   "favourite_code": "2",
   "favourite": "FC Porto",
   "probabilities": [
    {
     "outcome_label": "1",
     "in_words": "Gil Vicente",
     "percent_value": 13
    },
    {
     "outcome_label": "X",
     "in_words": "Draw",
     "percent_value": 22
    },
    {
     "outcome_label": "2",
     "in_words": "FC Porto",
     "percent_value": 65
    }
   ],
   "prices": {
    "1": "7.00",
    "X": "4.25",
    "2": "1.45"
   },
   "group_count": 14,
   "bookmakers": 16,
   "snapshot_at": "2026-10-24T19:30:00.000Z",
   "closing_line": true,
   "first_at": "2026-10-22T10:09:25.695Z",
   "shift_pp": 0.2,
   "phrase": "The market has barely changed its mind since our first snapshot on 22 October 2026: FC Porto 65% then, 65% at kick-off.",
   "technique": "Median across groups of bookmakers, without margin: brands on one platform count once (median within the group); betting exchanges and prediction markets are excluded. Market price from an odds aggregator; the data provider is not named.",
   "t24": {
    "snapshot_at": "2026-10-23T19:30:00.000Z",
    "probabilities": {
     "1": 13,
     "2": 65,
     "X": 22
    }
   },
   "t2": {
    "snapshot_at": "2026-10-24T17:30:00.000Z",
    "probabilities": {
     "1": 13,
     "2": 65,
     "X": 21
    }
   }
  },
  "market_mode": "show",
  "fact_sheet": {
   "tournament": "Primeira Liga (Portugal)",
   "matchday": "Matchweek 9",
   "starts_at": "2026-10-24T19:30:00.000Z",
   "form": {
    "home_side": [
     {
      "res": "W",
      "scoreline": "2-1",
      "opponent": "Sporting Braga",
      "at_home": false,
      "data": "2026-10-19"
     },
     {
      "res": "D",
      "scoreline": "2-2",
      "opponent": "UD Santarem",
      "at_home": false,
      "data": "2026-10-14"
     },
     {
      "res": "W",
      "scoreline": "1-0",
      "opponent": "Moreirense",
      "at_home": false,
      "data": "2026-10-09"
     },
     {
      "res": "D",
      "scoreline": "1-1",
      "opponent": "Marítimo",
      "at_home": true,
      "data": "2026-09-19"
     },
     {
      "res": "L",
      "scoreline": "1-3",
      "opponent": "Benfica",
      "at_home": false,
      "data": "2026-09-13"
     }
    ],
    "away": [
     {
      "res": "L",
      "scoreline": "0-1",
      "opponent": "PSV Eindhoven",
      "at_home": true,
      "data": "2026-10-20"
     },
     {
      "res": "L",
      "scoreline": "2-3",
      "opponent": "Real Betis",
      "at_home": false,
      "data": "2026-10-14"
     },
     {
      "res": "W",
      "scoreline": "2-1",
      "opponent": "Marítimo",
      "at_home": false,
      "data": "2026-10-10"
     },
     {
      "res": "W",
      "scoreline": "3-1",
      "opponent": "Benfica",
      "at_home": true,
      "data": "2026-09-20"
     },
     {
      "res": "W",
      "scoreline": "4-1",
      "opponent": "Casa Pia",
      "at_home": false,
      "data": "2026-09-12"
     }
    ]
   },
   "head_to_head": [],
   "past_cards": [],
   "reach": ""
  },
  "after_match": {
   "scoreline": "0-1",
   "fact_code": "2",
   "row_list": [
    "Match-result predictions from tipsters and sources with 10 or more predictions checked against the final score to date: 5 of 6 matched · Tipsters 0 of 1 · Prediction sites 5 of 5",
    "All recorded exact-score predictions: 0 of 2 matched",
    "Exact-score predictions from tipsters and sources with 10 or more predictions checked against the final score to date: 0 of 2 matched the score, 2 of 2 the outcome",
    "Most common selection among tipsters and sources with 10 or more predictions checked against the final score to date: FC Porto (5 of 6), matched",
    "Market favourite at kick-off: FC Porto (matched)"
   ],
   "by_group": {
    "tipsters": {
     "correct": 0,
     "of": 1
    },
    "websites": {
     "correct": 5,
     "of": 5
    }
   },
   "placement": null,
   "checks": []
  },
  "prices": [
   {
    "author_name": "Jonas Meyer",
    "choice": "Gil Vicente +1.5",
    "market_label": "Asian handicap 1.5",
    "author_quoted_price": "1.55",
    "our_snapshot": "1.5900",
    "closing_line": null
   },
   {
    "author_name": "Joshua Ojele",
    "choice": "yes",
    "market_label": "Both teams to score",
    "author_quoted_price": "2.00",
    "our_snapshot": "2.0250",
    "closing_line": null
   },
   {
    "author_name": "Joshua Ojele",
    "choice": "over 2.5",
    "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
    "author_quoted_price": "1.85",
    "our_snapshot": "1.8200",
    "closing_line": null
   }
  ],
  "revisions": [
   "Market 24 hours before kick-off: FC Porto 65%.",
   "Market 2 hours before kick-off: FC Porto 65%.",
   "First published with predictions on 19 October 2026."
  ],
  "titles": {
   "shown": true,
   "legend": "Badges show titles earned before this prediction, by published rules.",
   "frozen_in": "sr-319fe288ae327555809a551c"
  },
  "tracker": null,
  "source_groups": {
   "as_of": "2026-10-24T19:30:00.000Z",
   "groups": [
    {
     "key": "prediction_sites",
     "label": "Prediction sites"
    },
    {
     "key": "media",
     "label": "Media"
    },
    {
     "key": "telegram_channels",
     "label": "Telegram channels"
    },
    {
     "key": "private_authors",
     "label": "Independent tipsters"
    }
   ],
   "authors": 13,
   "by_group": [
    {
     "key": "prediction_sites",
     "authors": 1
    },
    {
     "key": "media",
     "authors": 4
    },
    {
     "key": "telegram_channels",
     "authors": 7
    },
    {
     "key": "private_authors",
     "authors": 1
    }
   ],
   "markets": [
    {
     "key": "1x2",
     "label": "Match result",
     "authors": 6,
     "by_group": [
      {
       "key": "prediction_sites",
       "authors": 1
      },
      {
       "key": "media",
       "authors": 0
      },
      {
       "key": "telegram_channels",
       "authors": 5
      },
      {
       "key": "private_authors",
       "authors": 0
      }
     ],
     "choices": [
      {
       "code_name": "1",
       "in_words": "Gil Vicente",
       "authors": 0,
       "by_group": [
        {
         "key": "prediction_sites",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "media",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "telegram_channels",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "private_authors",
         "authors": 0
        }
       ]
      },
      {
       "code_name": "X",
       "in_words": "Draw",
       "authors": 1,
       "by_group": [
        {
         "key": "prediction_sites",
         "authors": 1
        },
        {
         "key": "media",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "telegram_channels",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "private_authors",
         "authors": 0
        }
       ]
      },
      {
       "code_name": "2",
       "in_words": "FC Porto",
       "authors": 5,
       "by_group": [
        {
         "key": "prediction_sites",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "media",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "telegram_channels",
         "authors": 5
        },
        {
         "key": "private_authors",
         "authors": 0
        }
       ]
      }
     ]
    },
    {
     "key": "totals",
     "label": "Goal totals",
     "authors": 3,
     "by_group": [
      {
       "key": "prediction_sites",
       "authors": 0
      },
      {
       "key": "media",
       "authors": 1
      },
      {
       "key": "telegram_channels",
       "authors": 2
      },
      {
       "key": "private_authors",
       "authors": 0
      }
     ]
    },
    {
     "key": "other",
     "label": "Handicaps, both teams to score, correct score and other markets",
     "authors": 9,
     "by_group": [
      {
       "key": "prediction_sites",
       "authors": 1
      },
      {
       "key": "media",
       "authors": 4
      },
      {
       "key": "telegram_channels",
       "authors": 3
      },
      {
       "key": "private_authors",
       "authors": 1
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  "market_line": {
   "line_state": "not_moved",
   "line_frozen": true,
   "phrase": "Market line at kick-off (24 October 2026, 20:30 BST): Gil Vicente 13%, draw 22%, FC Porto 65%. No change from 22 October 2026, 11:09 BST to kick-off.",
   "line_markets": [
    {
     "market_text": "1X2, match result",
     "market_group": "1x2",
     "line_kind": "median_line",
     "margin_included": false,
     "snapshot_at": "2026-10-24T19:30:00.000Z",
     "closing_line": true,
     "probabilities": [
      {
       "outcome_label": "1",
       "in_words": "Gil Vicente",
       "percent_value": 13
      },
      {
       "outcome_label": "X",
       "in_words": "Draw",
       "percent_value": 22
      },
      {
       "outcome_label": "2",
       "in_words": "FC Porto",
       "percent_value": 65
      }
     ],
     "group_count": 14,
     "first_at": "2026-10-22T10:09:25.695Z",
     "first_probabilities": {
      "1": 13,
      "2": 65,
      "X": 22
     },
     "shift_pp": 0.2,
     "shift_outcome": "2",
     "shift_direction": "down",
     "line_state": "not_moved",
     "phrase": "Market line at kick-off (24 October 2026, 20:30 BST): Gil Vicente 13%, draw 22%, FC Porto 65%. No change from 22 October 2026, 11:09 BST to kick-off."
    },
    {
     "market_text": "Both teams to score",
     "market_group": "other",
     "line_kind": "recorded_price",
     "margin_included": true,
     "closing_line": false,
     "price_sides": [
      {
       "choice": "no",
       "snapshot_price": "1.69",
       "percent_value": 59,
       "snapshot_at": "2026-10-24T05:18:40.768Z",
       "snapshot_count": 1,
       "first_snapshot_price": null,
       "first_at": null,
       "shift_pp": null,
       "shift_direction": null,
       "line_state": "single_snapshot"
      },
      {
       "choice": "yes",
       "snapshot_price": "2.05",
       "percent_value": 49,
       "snapshot_at": "2026-10-23T19:28:03.344Z",
       "snapshot_count": 2,
       "first_snapshot_price": "2.02",
       "first_at": "2026-10-23T05:02:08.169Z",
       "shift_pp": 0.6,
       "shift_direction": "down",
       "line_state": "barely_moved"
      }
     ],
     "line_state": "barely_moved",
     "phrase": "Both teams to score, no: market price 1.69 on 24 October 2026, 06:18 BST (implied 59%, margin included). Both teams to score, yes: market price 2.05 on 23 October 2026, 20:28 BST (implied 49%, margin included), 0.6 percentage points down from 23 October 2026, 06:02 BST."
    },
    {
     "market_text": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
     "market_group": "totals",
     "line_kind": "recorded_price",
     "margin_included": true,
     "closing_line": false,
     "price_sides": [
      {
       "choice": "over 2.5",
       "snapshot_price": "1.87",
       "percent_value": 53,
       "snapshot_at": "2026-10-24T17:55:23.908Z",
       "snapshot_count": 3,
       "first_snapshot_price": "1.82",
       "first_at": "2026-10-23T05:07:27.765Z",
       "shift_pp": 1.5,
       "shift_direction": "down",
       "line_state": "barely_moved"
      }
     ],
     "line_state": "barely_moved",
     "phrase": "Over/Under 2.5 goals, over 2.5 goals: market price 1.87 on 24 October 2026, 18:55 BST (implied 53%, margin included), 1.5 percentage points down from 23 October 2026, 06:07 BST."
    }
   ]
  },
  "pre_kickoff_snapshot": {
   "frozen_before_kickoff": true,
   "as_of_moment": "2026-10-24T19:30:00.000Z",
   "starts_at": "2026-10-24T19:30:00.000Z",
   "phrase": "Before kick-off on 24 October 2026, 20:30 BST: market line at kick-off Gil Vicente 13%, draw 22%, FC Porto 65%; 1X2, match result: most expected FC Porto (5 of 6 predictions); Over/Under 2.5 goals, recorded picks before the match (3): 3 on over 2.5 goals; Both teams to score, recorded picks before the match (4): 3 on yes, 1 on no.",
   "market_line_brief": {
    "snapshot_at": "2026-10-24T19:30:00.000Z",
    "closing_line": true,
    "probabilities": {
     "1": 13,
     "X": 22,
     "2": 65
    }
   },
   "market_groups": [
    {
     "market_group": "1x2",
     "group_markets": [
      {
       "market_text": "1X2, match result",
       "prediction_count": 6,
       "row_count": 6,
       "market_choices": [
        {
         "choice": "FC Porto",
         "figure": 5
        },
        {
         "choice": "draw",
         "figure": 1
        }
       ],
       "phrase_mode": "majority",
       "leader_choice": "FC Porto",
       "leader_count": 5,
       "share_percent": 83,
       "phrase": "1X2, match result: most expected FC Porto (5 of 6 predictions)",
       "sides_1x2": [
        {
         "side": "1",
         "in_words": "Gil Vicente",
         "figure": 0
        },
        {
         "side": "X",
         "in_words": "draw",
         "figure": 1
        },
        {
         "side": "2",
         "in_words": "FC Porto",
         "figure": 5
        }
       ]
      },
      {
       "market_text": "1X2, match result, first half",
       "prediction_count": 1,
       "row_count": 1,
       "market_choices": [
        {
         "choice": "FC Porto",
         "figure": 1
        }
       ],
       "phrase_mode": "listing",
       "leader_choice": null,
       "leader_count": null,
       "share_percent": 100,
       "phrase": "1X2, match result, first half, recorded picks before the match (1): 1 on FC Porto",
       "sides_1x2": [
        {
         "side": "1",
         "in_words": "Gil Vicente",
         "figure": 0
        },
        {
         "side": "X",
         "in_words": "draw",
         "figure": 0
        },
        {
         "side": "2",
         "in_words": "FC Porto",
         "figure": 1
        }
       ]
      }
     ]
    },
    {
     "market_group": "totals",
     "group_markets": [
      {
       "market_text": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
       "prediction_count": 3,
       "row_count": 3,
       "market_choices": [
        {
         "choice": "over 2.5",
         "figure": 3
        }
       ],
       "phrase_mode": "listing",
       "leader_choice": null,
       "leader_count": null,
       "share_percent": 100,
       "phrase": "Over/Under 2.5 goals, recorded picks before the match (3): 3 on over 2.5 goals"
      }
     ]
    },
    {
     "market_group": "other",
     "group_markets": [
      {
       "market_text": "Both teams to score",
       "prediction_count": 4,
       "row_count": 4,
       "market_choices": [
        {
         "choice": "yes",
         "figure": 3
        },
        {
         "choice": "no",
         "figure": 1
        }
       ],
       "phrase_mode": "listing",
       "leader_choice": null,
       "leader_count": null,
       "share_percent": 75,
       "phrase": "Both teams to score, recorded picks before the match (4): 3 on yes, 1 on no"
      },
      {
       "market_text": "Correct score",
       "prediction_count": 2,
       "row_count": 2,
       "market_choices": [
        {
         "choice": "Gil Vicente 1-2 FC Porto",
         "figure": 2
        }
       ],
       "phrase_mode": "listing",
       "leader_choice": null,
       "leader_count": null,
       "share_percent": 100,
       "phrase": "Correct score, recorded picks before the match (2): 2 on Gil Vicente 1-2 FC Porto"
      },
      {
       "market_text": "Asian handicap -1.5",
       "prediction_count": 1,
       "row_count": 1,
       "market_choices": [
        {
         "choice": "FC Porto -1.5",
         "figure": 1
        }
       ],
       "phrase_mode": "listing",
       "leader_choice": null,
       "leader_count": null,
       "share_percent": 100,
       "phrase": "Asian handicap -1.5, recorded picks before the match (1): 1 on FC Porto -1.5"
      },
      {
       "market_text": "Asian handicap 1.5",
       "prediction_count": 1,
       "row_count": 1,
       "market_choices": [
        {
         "choice": "Gil Vicente +1.5",
         "figure": 1
        }
       ],
       "phrase_mode": "listing",
       "leader_choice": null,
       "leader_count": null,
       "share_percent": 100,
       "phrase": "Asian handicap 1.5, recorded picks before the match (1): 1 on Gil Vicente +1.5"
      },
      {
       "market_text": "Double chance",
       "prediction_count": 1,
       "row_count": 1,
       "market_choices": [
        {
         "choice": "Gil Vicente or draw",
         "figure": 1
        }
       ],
       "phrase_mode": "listing",
       "leader_choice": null,
       "leader_count": null,
       "share_percent": 100,
       "phrase": "Double chance, recorded picks before the match (1): 1 on Gil Vicente or draw"
      }
     ]
    }
   ],
   "predictions_before_kickoff": 19,
   "majority_threshold": {
    "min_predictions": 5,
    "min_share_percent": 60.0
   }
  },
  "teams_prev_next": [
   {
    "side": "home",
    "team": "Gil Vicente",
    "team_url": "/football/teams/gil-vicente/",
    "participant_id": "u-9f0bdaef3363",
    "previous": {
     "kickoff": "2026-10-19T19:15:00.000Z",
     "name": "Sporting Braga vs Gil Vicente",
     "url": "/football/matches/sporting-braga-vs-gil-vicente-2026-10-19/",
     "competition": "Primeira Liga",
     "state": "played",
     "score": "1-2"
    },
    "next": {
     "kickoff": "2026-11-02T20:15:00.000Z",
     "name": "Gil Vicente vs Vitória Guimarães",
     "url": "/football/matches/gil-vicente-vs-vitoria-guimaraes-2026-11-02/",
     "competition": "Primeira Liga",
     "state": "played",
     "score": "0-0"
    },
    "why": null
   },
   {
    "side": "away",
    "team": "FC Porto",
    "team_url": "/football/teams/fc-porto/",
    "participant_id": "u-d2e349973a8e",
    "previous": {
     "kickoff": "2026-10-20T19:00:00.000Z",
     "name": "FC Porto vs PSV Eindhoven",
     "url": "/football/matches/fc-porto-vs-psv-eindhoven-2026-10-20/",
     "competition": "UEFA Champions League",
     "state": "played",
     "score": "0-1"
    },
    "next": {
     "kickoff": "2026-10-31T20:30:00.000Z",
     "name": "FC Porto vs Estoril",
     "url": "/football/matches/fc-porto-vs-estoril-2026-10-31/",
     "competition": "Primeira Liga",
     "state": "played",
     "score": "4-0"
    },
    "why": null
   }
  ]
 },
 "number_sets": [
  {
   "set": "match.market_line.percent",
   "entity": "/football/matches/gil-vicente-vs-fc-porto-2026-10-24/|1x2|1",
   "value": 13,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
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