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 "heading": "Fortuna Sittard vs Excelsior: recorded predictions and results",
 "description": "Fortuna Sittard vs Excelsior, 25 October 2026. Final score 1-0 · Eredivisie: 6 distinct predictions from 5 authors.",
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  "body": "Fortuna Sittard finished 1-0 against Excelsior. The recorded predictions are listed below by market, each with its own outcome. Forecast Record recorded 6 statements from 5 authors on Fortuna Sittard vs Excelsior (Eredivisie, kick-off 25 October 2026): 6 distinct predictions, all of the statements recorded before kick-off.",
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 "event": {
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  "display_name": "Fortuna Sittard — Excelsior",
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  "status": "finished",
  "scoreline": "1-0",
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   "contributions": 2,
   "prediction_count": 2,
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   "counting_rule": "1"
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  "country_name": "Netherlands",
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    "source": "sportytrader.com",
    "materials": 1,
    "authors": 1,
    "selections": 1
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   "won": 2,
   "lost": 4,
   "void": 0,
   "half_won": 0,
   "half_lost": 0,
   "not_settled": 0
  },
  "scenarios": [
   {
    "author": "Jasper van den Boogaard",
    "author_url": "/authors/jasper-van-den-boogaard/",
    "picks": 2,
    "record_ids": [
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    "selections": [
     "Fortuna Sittard or draw",
     "over 1.5"
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    "prices": [
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    ],
    "outcomes": [
     "Won",
     "Lost"
    ],
    "scenario": "Fortuna Sittard or draw · over 1.5 goals",
    "result": "any_wrong",
    "recorded_at": "2026-10-20T18:59:37.206Z",
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   "threshold_hours": 2.0,
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   "before_kickoff": 6,
   "after_kickoff": 0,
   "at_least_2h": 5,
   "share_2h_plus": 83.3,
   "median_hours": 49.3,
   "min_hours": 1.4,
   "max_hours": 112.3,
   "words": "Hours between the moment we recorded the pick and kick-off; the share counts picks recorded at least two hours before kick-off."
  }
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 "title_tag": "Fortuna Sittard vs Excelsior: Predictions & Results — 25 Oct 2026",
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      "n": 1,
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   "freeze_at": "2026-10-25T12:47:22.553Z",
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   "body": "Before kick-off, 1 tipster with 10 or more predictions checked against the final score to date had a 90-minute match-result prediction: Fortuna Sittard 1 · Draw 0 · Excelsior 0. 4 gave other markets only.",
   "byline": "Split of recorded tipsters and sources.",
   "outcome_split": {
    "1": 1,
    "X": 0,
    "2": 0
   },
   "forecasters_outcome": 1,
   "from_score": {},
   "forecasters_from_score": 0,
   "other_markets_only": 4,
   "newcomers": null,
   "market_label": "Market favourite at kick-off: Excelsior · implied 37%",
   "market_at": "2026-10-25T11:15:00.000Z",
   "predictions_at": "2026-10-25T09:49:23.624Z",
   "comparison": null
  },
  "who_what": {
   "contracts": [],
   "newcomers": [
    {
     "entry_id": "n-9d3e8ad4862841d6e479e2fc",
     "author_name": "Ilies Peeters",
     "author_href": "/authors/ilies-peeters/",
     "source_group": "tipsters",
     "trust_tier": "probation",
     "market_label": "1X2, match result",
     "market_key": "1x2",
     "choice": "Fortuna Sittard",
     "choice_key": "1",
     "byline": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
     "logged_at": "2026-10-23T10:26:51.818Z",
     "posted_at": null,
     "author_quoted_price": "2.10",
     "our_snapshot": "2.3500",
     "closing_line": null,
     "outcome_label": "Won",
     "pre_match": true,
     "proof": "/authors/ilies-peeters/picks/3/#pick-n-9d3e8ad4862841d6e479e2fc",
     "original": null,
     "contradictory": false,
     "authorship": null,
     "source_type": "prediction_sites",
     "own_page": true,
     "trust_settled_count": 34
    },
    {
     "entry_id": "n-1486765e484d3001fbc2c610",
     "author_name": "FootyStats",
     "author_href": "/sources/footystats-org/",
     "source_group": "websites",
     "trust_tier": "probation",
     "market_label": "Over/Under 1.5 goals",
     "market_key": "total",
     "choice": "over 1.5",
     "choice_key": "over",
     "byline": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
     "logged_at": "2026-10-25T09:49:23.624Z",
     "posted_at": null,
     "author_quoted_price": "1.19",
     "our_snapshot": "1.2150",
     "closing_line": null,
     "outcome_label": "Lost",
     "pre_match": true,
     "proof": "/sources/footystats-org/picks/68/#pick-n-1486765e484d3001fbc2c610",
     "original": null,
     "contradictory": false,
     "authorship": null,
     "source_type": "telegram_channels",
     "own_page": true,
     "trust_settled_count": 855
    },
    {
     "entry_id": "n-c34de03a91e20abc69074752",
     "author_name": "FreeTips.com",
     "author_href": "/sources/freetips-com/",
     "source_group": "websites",
     "trust_tier": "probation",
     "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals",
     "market_key": "total",
     "choice": "over 3.5",
     "choice_key": "over",
     "byline": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
     "logged_at": "2026-10-23T09:28:03.774Z",
     "posted_at": "2026-10-22T17:58:00.000Z",
     "author_quoted_price": "2.40",
     "our_snapshot": "2.3600",
     "closing_line": null,
     "outcome_label": "Lost",
     "pre_match": true,
     "proof": "/sources/freetips-com/picks/4/#pick-n-c34de03a91e20abc69074752",
     "original": null,
     "contradictory": false,
     "authorship": null,
     "source_type": "prediction_sites",
     "own_page": true,
     "trust_settled_count": 116
    },
    {
     "entry_id": "n-6e3eca8127daf842ba9a2ac0",
     "author_name": "Jasper van den Boogaard",
     "author_href": "/authors/jasper-van-den-boogaard/",
     "source_group": "tipsters",
     "trust_tier": "probation",
     "market_label": "Double chance",
     "market_key": "double_chance",
     "choice": "Fortuna Sittard or draw",
     "choice_key": "1X",
     "byline": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
     "logged_at": "2026-10-20T18:59:37.206Z",
     "posted_at": "2026-10-20T18:54:22.000Z",
     "author_quoted_price": null,
     "our_snapshot": "1.4630",
     "closing_line": null,
     "outcome_label": "Won",
     "pre_match": true,
     "proof": "/authors/jasper-van-den-boogaard/picks/12/#pick-n-6e3eca8127daf842ba9a2ac0",
     "original": null,
     "contradictory": false,
     "authorship": null,
     "source_type": "prediction_sites",
     "own_page": true,
     "trust_settled_count": 521
    },
    {
     "entry_id": "n-f07939f72a182a06eb19ef04",
     "author_name": "Jasper van den Boogaard",
     "author_href": "/authors/jasper-van-den-boogaard/",
     "source_group": "tipsters",
     "trust_tier": "probation",
     "market_label": "Over/Under 1.5 goals",
     "market_key": "total",
     "choice": "over 1.5",
     "choice_key": "over",
     "byline": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
     "logged_at": "2026-10-20T18:59:37.206Z",
     "posted_at": "2026-10-20T18:54:22.000Z",
     "author_quoted_price": null,
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "closing_line": null,
     "outcome_label": "Lost",
     "pre_match": true,
     "proof": "/authors/jasper-van-den-boogaard/picks/12/#pick-n-f07939f72a182a06eb19ef04",
     "original": null,
     "contradictory": false,
     "authorship": null,
     "source_type": "prediction_sites",
     "own_page": true,
     "trust_settled_count": 521
    },
    {
     "entry_id": "n-8b694f582a92835f0f571b5e",
     "author_name": "Scores24",
     "author_href": "/sources/scores24-live/",
     "source_group": "websites",
     "trust_tier": "probation",
     "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
     "market_key": "total",
     "choice": "over 2.5",
     "choice_key": "over",
     "byline": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
     "logged_at": "2026-10-24T00:09:43.413Z",
     "posted_at": null,
     "author_quoted_price": "1.57",
     "our_snapshot": "1.5700",
     "closing_line": null,
     "outcome_label": "Lost",
     "pre_match": true,
     "proof": "/sources/scores24-live/picks/34/#pick-n-8b694f582a92835f0f571b5e",
     "original": null,
     "contradictory": false,
     "authorship": null,
     "source_type": "telegram_channels",
     "own_page": true,
     "trust_settled_count": 450
    }
   ],
   "not_counted": [],
   "after_start": [],
   "forecaster_split": {
    "contracts": [
     {
      "contract_code": "1x2|*|match|*|*#explicit",
      "source_group": "explicit",
      "market_label": "1X2, match result",
      "market_key": "1x2",
      "choices": [
       {
        "code_name": "1",
        "in_words": "Fortuna Sittard",
        "tips": [
         {
          "author_name": "Ilies Peeters",
          "entry_id": "n-9d3e8ad4862841d6e479e2fc",
          "outcome_label": "Won",
          "source_group": "tipsters"
         }
        ],
        "figure": 1
       },
       {
        "code_name": "X",
        "in_words": "Draw",
        "tips": [],
        "figure": 0
       },
       {
        "code_name": "2",
        "in_words": "Excelsior",
        "tips": [],
        "figure": 0
       }
      ],
      "n": 1,
      "publisher_count": 1
     },
     {
      "contract_code": "total|1.5|match|*|*#explicit",
      "source_group": "explicit",
      "market_label": "Over/Under 1.5 goals",
      "market_key": "total",
      "choices": [
       {
        "code_name": "over",
        "in_words": "over 1.5",
        "tips": [
         {
          "author_name": "FootyStats",
          "entry_id": "n-1486765e484d3001fbc2c610",
          "outcome_label": "Lost",
          "source_group": "websites"
         },
         {
          "author_name": "Jasper van den Boogaard",
          "entry_id": "n-f07939f72a182a06eb19ef04",
          "outcome_label": "Lost",
          "source_group": "tipsters"
         }
        ],
        "figure": 2
       }
      ],
      "n": 2,
      "publisher_count": 2
     },
     {
      "contract_code": "double_chance|*|match|*|*#explicit",
      "source_group": "explicit",
      "market_label": "Double chance",
      "market_key": "double_chance",
      "choices": [
       {
        "code_name": "1X",
        "in_words": "Fortuna Sittard or draw",
        "tips": [
         {
          "author_name": "Jasper van den Boogaard",
          "entry_id": "n-6e3eca8127daf842ba9a2ac0",
          "outcome_label": "Won",
          "source_group": "tipsters"
         }
        ],
        "figure": 1
       }
      ],
      "n": 1,
      "publisher_count": 1
     },
     {
      "contract_code": "total|2.5|match|*|*#explicit",
      "source_group": "explicit",
      "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
      "market_key": "total",
      "choices": [
       {
        "code_name": "over",
        "in_words": "over 2.5",
        "tips": [
         {
          "author_name": "Scores24",
          "entry_id": "n-8b694f582a92835f0f571b5e",
          "outcome_label": "Lost",
          "source_group": "websites"
         }
        ],
        "figure": 1
       }
      ],
      "n": 1,
      "publisher_count": 1
     },
     {
      "contract_code": "total|3.5|match|*|*#explicit",
      "source_group": "explicit",
      "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals",
      "market_key": "total",
      "choices": [
       {
        "code_name": "over",
        "in_words": "over 3.5",
        "tips": [
         {
          "author_name": "FreeTips.com",
          "entry_id": "n-c34de03a91e20abc69074752",
          "outcome_label": "Lost",
          "source_group": "websites"
         }
        ],
        "figure": 1
       }
      ],
      "n": 1,
      "publisher_count": 1
     }
    ],
    "author_count": 5,
    "below_threshold": {
     "prediction_count": 0,
     "author_count": 0
    },
    "limit": 10
   },
   "chain": null,
   "differing_choices": 0,
   "visible_who": 0,
   "newcomers_who": 5,
   "newcomers_before": 6,
   "titles_shown": true,
   "legend": "Badges show titles earned before this prediction, by published rules."
  },
  "arguments": {
   "topics": [],
   "against": [],
   "other_languages": 0,
   "other_language_hosts": [],
   "mode": "quotes",
   "topics_total": 0,
   "checkable": 0
  },
  "market_label": {
   "favourite_code": "2",
   "favourite": "Excelsior",
   "probabilities": [
    {
     "outcome_label": "1",
     "in_words": "Fortuna Sittard",
     "percent_value": 36
    },
    {
     "outcome_label": "X",
     "in_words": "Draw",
     "percent_value": 28
    },
    {
     "outcome_label": "2",
     "in_words": "Excelsior",
     "percent_value": 37
    }
   ],
   "prices": {
    "1": "2.62",
    "X": "3.40",
    "2": "2.55"
   },
   "group_count": 13,
   "bookmakers": 15,
   "snapshot_at": "2026-10-25T11:15:00.000Z",
   "closing_line": true,
   "first_at": "2026-10-22T10:09:25.695Z",
   "shift_pp": 3.7,
   "phrase": "The market has moved a little since our first snapshot on 22 October 2026: Fortuna Sittard 39% then, 36% at kick-off.",
   "technique": "Median across groups of bookmakers, without margin: brands on one platform count once (median within the group); betting exchanges and prediction markets are excluded. Market price from an odds aggregator; the data provider is not named.",
   "t24": {
    "snapshot_at": "2026-10-24T11:15:00.000Z",
    "probabilities": {
     "1": 40,
     "2": 34,
     "X": 26
    }
   },
   "t2": {
    "snapshot_at": "2026-10-25T09:15:00.000Z",
    "probabilities": {
     "1": 36,
     "2": 36,
     "X": 27
    }
   }
  },
  "market_mode": "show",
  "fact_sheet": {
   "tournament": "Eredivisie (Netherlands)",
   "matchday": "Matchweek 10",
   "starts_at": "2026-10-25T11:15:00.000Z",
   "form": {
    "home_side": [
     {
      "res": "D",
      "scoreline": "2-2",
      "opponent": "NEC Nijmegen",
      "at_home": false,
      "data": "2026-10-18"
     },
     {
      "res": "D",
      "scoreline": "1-1",
      "opponent": "FC Twente",
      "at_home": true,
      "data": "2026-10-10"
     },
     {
      "res": "W",
      "scoreline": "1-0",
      "opponent": "Willem II Tilburg",
      "at_home": false,
      "data": "2026-09-19"
     },
     {
      "res": "L",
      "scoreline": "1-5",
      "opponent": "AFC Ajax",
      "at_home": true,
      "data": "2026-09-12"
     },
     {
      "res": "W",
      "scoreline": "3-2",
      "opponent": "ADO Den Haag",
      "at_home": false,
      "data": "2026-09-06"
     }
    ],
    "away": [
     {
      "res": "L",
      "scoreline": "0-4",
      "opponent": "SC Heerenveen",
      "at_home": false,
      "data": "2026-10-16"
     },
     {
      "res": "L",
      "scoreline": "1-5",
      "opponent": "FC Groningen",
      "at_home": true,
      "data": "2026-10-11"
     },
     {
      "res": "D",
      "scoreline": "2-2",
      "opponent": "AFC Ajax",
      "at_home": false,
      "data": "2026-09-19"
     },
     {
      "res": "L",
      "scoreline": "1-2",
      "opponent": "FC Utrecht",
      "at_home": true,
      "data": "2026-09-13"
     },
     {
      "res": "D",
      "scoreline": "2-2",
      "opponent": "NEC Nijmegen",
      "at_home": false,
      "data": "2026-09-08"
     }
    ]
   },
   "head_to_head": [],
   "past_cards": [],
   "reach": ""
  },
  "after_match": {
   "scoreline": "1-0",
   "fact_code": "1",
   "row_list": [
    "Match-result predictions from tipsters and sources with 10 or more predictions checked against the final score to date: 1 of 1 matched",
    "Most common selection among tipsters and sources with 10 or more predictions checked against the final score to date: Fortuna Sittard (1 of 1), matched",
    "Market favourite at kick-off: Excelsior (missed)"
   ],
   "by_group": {
    "tipsters": {
     "correct": 1,
     "of": 1
    }
   },
   "placement": null,
   "checks": []
  },
  "prices": [],
  "revisions": [
   "Market 24 hours before kick-off: Excelsior 34%.",
   "Market 2 hours before kick-off: Excelsior 36%.",
   "First published with predictions on 23 October 2026."
  ],
  "titles": {
   "shown": true,
   "legend": "Badges show titles earned before this prediction, by published rules.",
   "frozen_in": "sr-c6e02afe11b7dad79d7d2f4a"
  },
  "tracker": null,
  "source_groups": {
   "as_of": "2026-10-25T11:15:00.000Z",
   "groups": [
    {
     "key": "prediction_sites",
     "label": "Prediction sites"
    },
    {
     "key": "media",
     "label": "Media"
    },
    {
     "key": "telegram_channels",
     "label": "Telegram channels"
    },
    {
     "key": "private_authors",
     "label": "Independent tipsters"
    }
   ],
   "authors": 5,
   "by_group": [
    {
     "key": "prediction_sites",
     "authors": 3
    },
    {
     "key": "media",
     "authors": 0
    },
    {
     "key": "telegram_channels",
     "authors": 2
    },
    {
     "key": "private_authors",
     "authors": 0
    }
   ],
   "markets": [
    {
     "key": "1x2",
     "label": "Match result",
     "authors": 1,
     "by_group": [
      {
       "key": "prediction_sites",
       "authors": 1
      },
      {
       "key": "media",
       "authors": 0
      },
      {
       "key": "telegram_channels",
       "authors": 0
      },
      {
       "key": "private_authors",
       "authors": 0
      }
     ],
     "choices": [
      {
       "code_name": "1",
       "in_words": "Fortuna Sittard",
       "authors": 1,
       "by_group": [
        {
         "key": "prediction_sites",
         "authors": 1
        },
        {
         "key": "media",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "telegram_channels",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "private_authors",
         "authors": 0
        }
       ]
      },
      {
       "code_name": "X",
       "in_words": "Draw",
       "authors": 0,
       "by_group": [
        {
         "key": "prediction_sites",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "media",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "telegram_channels",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "private_authors",
         "authors": 0
        }
       ]
      },
      {
       "code_name": "2",
       "in_words": "Excelsior",
       "authors": 0,
       "by_group": [
        {
         "key": "prediction_sites",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "media",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "telegram_channels",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "private_authors",
         "authors": 0
        }
       ]
      }
     ]
    },
    {
     "key": "totals",
     "label": "Goal totals",
     "authors": 4,
     "by_group": [
      {
       "key": "prediction_sites",
       "authors": 2
      },
      {
       "key": "media",
       "authors": 0
      },
      {
       "key": "telegram_channels",
       "authors": 2
      },
      {
       "key": "private_authors",
       "authors": 0
      }
     ]
    },
    {
     "key": "other",
     "label": "Handicaps, both teams to score, correct score and other markets",
     "authors": 1,
     "by_group": [
      {
       "key": "prediction_sites",
       "authors": 1
      },
      {
       "key": "media",
       "authors": 0
      },
      {
       "key": "telegram_channels",
       "authors": 0
      },
      {
       "key": "private_authors",
       "authors": 0
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  "market_line": {
   "line_state": "moved",
   "line_frozen": true,
   "phrase": "Market line at kick-off (25 October 2026, 11:15 GMT): Fortuna Sittard 36%, draw 28%, Excelsior 37%. From 22 October 2026, 11:09 BST to kick-off the line moved 3.7 percentage points (Fortuna Sittard down).",
   "line_markets": [
    {
     "market_text": "1X2, match result",
     "market_group": "1x2",
     "line_kind": "median_line",
     "margin_included": false,
     "snapshot_at": "2026-10-25T11:15:00.000Z",
     "closing_line": true,
     "probabilities": [
      {
       "outcome_label": "1",
       "in_words": "Fortuna Sittard",
       "percent_value": 36
      },
      {
       "outcome_label": "X",
       "in_words": "Draw",
       "percent_value": 28
      },
      {
       "outcome_label": "2",
       "in_words": "Excelsior",
       "percent_value": 37
      }
     ],
     "group_count": 13,
     "first_at": "2026-10-22T10:09:25.695Z",
     "first_probabilities": {
      "1": 39,
      "2": 35,
      "X": 26
     },
     "shift_pp": 3.7,
     "shift_outcome": "1",
     "shift_direction": "down",
     "line_state": "moved",
     "phrase": "Market line at kick-off (25 October 2026, 11:15 GMT): Fortuna Sittard 36%, draw 28%, Excelsior 37%. From 22 October 2026, 11:09 BST to kick-off the line moved 3.7 percentage points (Fortuna Sittard down)."
    },
    {
     "market_text": "Over/Under 1.5 goals",
     "market_group": "totals",
     "line_kind": "recorded_price",
     "margin_included": true,
     "closing_line": false,
     "price_sides": [
      {
       "choice": "over 1.5",
       "snapshot_price": "1.22",
       "percent_value": 82,
       "snapshot_at": "2026-10-25T09:47:39.779Z",
       "snapshot_count": 1,
       "first_snapshot_price": null,
       "first_at": null,
       "shift_pp": null,
       "shift_direction": null,
       "line_state": "single_snapshot"
      }
     ],
     "line_state": "single_snapshot",
     "phrase": "Over/Under 1.5 goals, over 1.5 goals: market price 1.22 on 25 October 2026, 09:47 GMT (implied 82%, margin included)."
    },
    {
     "market_text": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
     "market_group": "totals",
     "line_kind": "recorded_price",
     "margin_included": true,
     "closing_line": false,
     "price_sides": [
      {
       "choice": "over 2.5",
       "snapshot_price": "1.57",
       "percent_value": 64,
       "snapshot_at": "2026-10-24T00:08:25.558Z",
       "snapshot_count": 1,
       "first_snapshot_price": null,
       "first_at": null,
       "shift_pp": null,
       "shift_direction": null,
       "line_state": "single_snapshot"
      }
     ],
     "line_state": "single_snapshot",
     "phrase": "Over/Under 2.5 goals, over 2.5 goals: market price 1.57 on 24 October 2026, 01:08 BST (implied 64%, margin included)."
    },
    {
     "market_text": "Over/Under 3.5 goals",
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 "entity_id": "event:s-325e491eb03e",
 "source_revision": 71,
 "title_short": {
  "length": 65,
  "names": [
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   "Excelsior"
  ],
  "title": "FOR vs Excelsior: Predictions & Results — 25 Oct 2026",
  "title_length": 53
 }
}