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 "heading": "Fleetwood Town vs Arsenal: recorded predictions and results",
 "description": "Fleetwood Town vs Arsenal, 27 October 2026. Final score 1-1 · EFL Cup (Carabao): 37 distinct predictions from 20 authors.",
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  "body": "Fleetwood Town finished 1-1 against Arsenal. None of the 6 recorded correct-score predictions matched that score. Other markets are shown separately below. 1 prediction found after kick-off is shown separately and excluded from the pre-match count. Forecast Record recorded 38 statements from 20 authors on Fleetwood Town vs Arsenal (EFL Cup (Carabao), kick-off 27 October 2026): 37 distinct predictions, 37 of the statements recorded before kick-off.",
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    "recorded_at": "2026-10-25T20:09:41.084Z",
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    "author": "Ben Horlock",
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    "published_at": "2026-10-26T15:12:50.000Z",
    "recorded_at": "2026-10-26T15:20:16.746Z",
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   {
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    "url": "/sources/footballpredictions-com/picks/244/#pick-n-c066663fce676e5788d9b03f",
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    "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
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   {
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    "record_ids": [
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     "Lost"
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    "result": "any_wrong",
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     "Lost"
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 "title_tag": "Fleetwood Town vs Arsenal: Predictions and Results — 27 Oct 2026",
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    "entity_ref": "e-b0bfb9308866fece07daabfa",
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   {
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    "type_code": "author_before_match",
    "moment_at": "2026-10-27T20:00:00.000Z",
    "freeze_at": "2026-10-28T01:16:51.150Z",
    "approach": "by_capture_time",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
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    "figures": {
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     "method_version": "2.2",
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     "period_from": "2026-10-11",
     "period_to": "2026-10-27",
     "price_rule": "Our market snapshot",
     "return_percent": "-6.64",
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     "price_rule": "Our market snapshot",
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      "n": 1,
      "publisher_count": 1
     },
     {
      "contract_code": "draw_no_bet|*|match|*|*#explicit",
      "source_group": "explicit",
      "market_label": "Draw no bet",
      "market_key": "draw_no_bet",
      "choices": [
       {
        "code_name": "2",
        "in_words": "Arsenal",
        "tips": [
         {
          "author_name": "FootballPredictions.com",
          "entry_id": "n-4735d19505a562d29df6d1e7",
          "outcome_label": "Void",
          "source_group": "websites"
         }
        ],
        "figure": 1
       }
      ],
      "n": 1,
      "publisher_count": 1
     },
     {
      "contract_code": "handicap_european|-2|match|*|*#explicit",
      "source_group": "explicit",
      "market_label": "European handicap -2",
      "market_key": "handicap_european",
      "choices": [
       {
        "code_name": "2",
        "in_words": "Arsenal -2",
        "tips": [
         {
          "author_name": "FootballPredictions.com",
          "entry_id": "n-09f41ff27159ffc967920f06",
          "outcome_label": "Lost",
          "source_group": "websites"
         }
        ],
        "figure": 1
       }
      ],
      "n": 1,
      "publisher_count": 1
     },
     {
      "contract_code": "half_time_full_time|*|match|*|*#explicit",
      "source_group": "explicit",
      "market_label": "Half-time/full-time",
      "market_key": "half_time_full_time",
      "choices": [
       {
        "code_name": "2/2",
        "in_words": "Arsenal at half-time, Arsenal at full-time",
        "tips": [
         {
          "author_name": "FootballPredictions.com",
          "entry_id": "n-c0fa9b3f36c99dfac5df5326",
          "outcome_label": "Lost",
          "source_group": "websites"
         }
        ],
        "figure": 1
       }
      ],
      "n": 1,
      "publisher_count": 1
     },
     {
      "contract_code": "total|1.5|match|*|*#explicit",
      "source_group": "explicit",
      "market_label": "Over/Under 1.5 goals",
      "market_key": "total",
      "choices": [
       {
        "code_name": "over",
        "in_words": "over 1.5",
        "tips": [
         {
          "author_name": "FootballPredictions.com",
          "entry_id": "n-84be7a00ea84d6c1047ed0b1",
          "outcome_label": "Won",
          "source_group": "websites"
         }
        ],
        "figure": 1
       }
      ],
      "n": 1,
      "publisher_count": 1
     }
    ],
    "author_count": 19,
    "below_threshold": {
     "prediction_count": 0,
     "author_count": 0
    },
    "limit": 10
   },
   "chain": {
    "publications": 9,
    "unique": 9,
    "comparable": 9,
    "admissible": 9,
    "contributions": 9
   },
   "differing_choices": 0,
   "visible_who": 7,
   "newcomers_who": 12,
   "newcomers_before": 27,
   "titles_shown": true,
   "legend": "Badges show titles earned before this prediction, by published rules."
  },
  "arguments": {
   "topics": [
    {
     "code_name": "other_topic",
     "display_name": "Other reasons",
     "checkable_item": false,
     "bullet_points": [
      {
       "entry_id": "n-2fe08fa12220a7d985827815",
       "author_name": "Ben Knapton",
       "author_href": "/authors/ben-knapton/",
       "source_group": "experts",
       "choice": "Fleetwood Town 0-4 Arsenal",
       "market_label": "Correct score",
       "logged_at": "2026-10-25T12:30:33.496Z",
       "original": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/arsenal/league-cup/preview/fleetwood-vs-arsenal-prediction-team-news-lineups_607669.html",
       "proof": "/authors/ben-knapton/picks/4/#pick-n-2fe08fa12220a7d985827815",
       "quote_text": "However, Arteta's combination of second-string players and youthful prospects should still propel the Premier League champions into the quarter-finals with…",
       "retelling": null,
       "checkable_item": false,
       "against": false
      },
      {
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       "author_name": "Aaron Ashley",
       "author_href": "/authors/aaron-ashley/",
       "source_group": "experts",
       "choice": "Max Dowman to score",
       "market_label": "Player to score",
       "logged_at": "2026-10-26T17:15:17.626Z",
       "original": "https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/efl-cup/fleetwood-vs-arsenal-predictions-team-news-odds-betting-tips-bet-builder-aI15k6Q7mR2Q/",
       "proof": "/authors/aaron-ashley/picks/29/#pick-n-5381cb6d97496137c3f8cc6f",
       "quote_text": "Arsenal's teenage prodigy scored twice in the 4-2 win at Ipswich in the previous round and can show why there is so much hype surrounding him at Highbury…",
       "retelling": null,
       "checkable_item": false,
       "against": false
      }
     ],
     "total_count": 3
    },
    {
     "code_name": "recent_form",
     "display_name": "Form",
     "checkable_item": false,
     "bullet_points": [
      {
       "entry_id": "n-6faf58fdca9fd4dce101abce",
       "author_name": "Bren Gray",
       "author_href": "/authors/bren-gray/",
       "source_group": "tipsters",
       "choice": "Arsenal over 3.5",
       "market_label": "Team goals over/under 3.5",
       "logged_at": "2026-10-25T21:06:46.924Z",
       "original": "https://www.bettingtop10.co.nz/betting-tips/football/fleetwood-town-vs-arsenal-prediction-odds/",
       "proof": "/authors/bren-gray/picks/31/#pick-n-6faf58fdca9fd4dce101abce",
       "quote_text": "A changed Arsenal side were 4-0 up at Ipswich by the hour mark in the last round, and Ipswich are a Premier League club. Fleetwood are three divisions lower.…",
       "retelling": null,
       "checkable_item": false,
       "against": false
      },
      {
       "entry_id": "n-636082efa386c6ab79bfdc0a",
       "author_name": "Aaron Ashley",
       "author_href": "/authors/aaron-ashley/",
       "source_group": "experts",
       "choice": "no",
       "market_label": "Both teams to score",
       "logged_at": "2026-10-26T17:15:17.626Z",
       "original": "https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/efl-cup/fleetwood-vs-arsenal-predictions-team-news-odds-betting-tips-bet-builder-aI15k6Q7mR2Q/",
       "proof": "/authors/aaron-ashley/picks/29/#pick-n-636082efa386c6ab79bfdc0a",
       "quote_text": "Arsenal have kept eight clean sheets in 13 matches this season and even a second-string Gunners side should have a comfortable evening against League Two…",
       "retelling": null,
       "checkable_item": false,
       "against": false
      }
     ],
     "total_count": 2
    },
    {
     "code_name": "home_form",
     "display_name": "Home and away",
     "checkable_item": false,
     "bullet_points": [
      {
       "entry_id": "n-15b336222022a8c335179345",
       "author_name": "Bren Gray",
       "author_href": "/authors/bren-gray/",
       "source_group": "tipsters",
       "choice": "Fleetwood Town 0-4 Arsenal",
       "market_label": "Correct score",
       "logged_at": "2026-10-25T21:06:46.924Z",
       "original": "https://www.bettingtop10.co.nz/betting-tips/football/fleetwood-town-vs-arsenal-prediction-odds/",
       "proof": "/authors/bren-gray/picks/30/#pick-n-15b336222022a8c335179345",
       "quote_text": "If they don’t score early, I’m calling 4-0 to Arsenal. Fleetwood have been tough to break down at home, but a second-string Arsenal side is a big step up from…",
       "retelling": null,
       "checkable_item": false,
       "against": false
      }
     ],
     "total_count": 1
    },
    {
     "code_name": "lineup",
     "display_name": "Injuries, suspensions and team news",
     "checkable_item": true,
     "bullet_points": [
      {
       "entry_id": "n-a035725b9c9ded4c8766e7f4",
       "author_name": "Dailysports",
       "author_href": "/sources/dailysports-net/",
       "source_group": "websites",
       "choice": "over 3.5",
       "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals",
       "logged_at": "2026-10-26T07:49:27.271Z",
       "original": "https://dailysports.net/predictions/fleetwood-arsenal-can-the-underdog-stop-the-favorite/",
       "proof": "/sources/dailysports-net/picks/19/#pick-n-a035725b9c9ded4c8766e7f4",
       "quote_text": "The difference in quality is too significant to ignore when selecting the favorite. The Londoners have the stronger squad, experience at the highest level and…",
       "retelling": null,
       "checkable_item": true,
       "against": false
      }
     ],
     "total_count": 1
    }
   ],
   "against": [],
   "other_languages": 0,
   "other_language_hosts": [],
   "mode": "quotes",
   "topics_total": 4,
   "checkable": 1
  },
  "market_label": {
   "favourite_code": "2",
   "favourite": "Arsenal",
   "probabilities": [
    {
     "outcome_label": "1",
     "in_words": "Fleetwood Town",
     "percent_value": 4
    },
    {
     "outcome_label": "X",
     "in_words": "Draw",
     "percent_value": 9
    },
    {
     "outcome_label": "2",
     "in_words": "Arsenal",
     "percent_value": 88
    }
   ],
   "prices": {
    "1": "26.00",
    "X": "11.00",
    "2": "1.08"
   },
   "group_count": 13,
   "bookmakers": 15,
   "snapshot_at": "2026-10-27T20:00:00.000Z",
   "closing_line": true,
   "first_at": "2026-10-26T20:00:00.000Z",
   "shift_pp": 0.6,
   "phrase": "The market has barely changed its mind since our first snapshot on 26 October 2026: Arsenal 88% then, 88% at kick-off.",
   "technique": "Median across groups of bookmakers, without margin: brands on one platform count once (median within the group); betting exchanges and prediction markets are excluded. Market price from an odds aggregator; the data provider is not named.",
   "t24": {
    "snapshot_at": "2026-10-26T20:00:00.000Z",
    "probabilities": {
     "1": 4,
     "2": 88,
     "X": 8
    }
   },
   "t2": {
    "snapshot_at": "2026-10-27T18:00:00.000Z",
    "probabilities": {
     "1": 3,
     "2": 89,
     "X": 7
    }
   }
  },
  "market_mode": "show",
  "fact_sheet": {
   "tournament": "EFL Cup (Carabao) (England)",
   "matchday": null,
   "starts_at": "2026-10-27T20:00:00.000Z",
   "form": {
    "home_side": [
     {
      "res": "L",
      "scoreline": "1-2",
      "opponent": "Exeter City",
      "at_home": false,
      "data": "2026-10-24"
     },
     {
      "res": "L",
      "scoreline": "2-4",
      "opponent": "Cheltenham Town",
      "at_home": false,
      "data": "2026-10-20"
     },
     {
      "res": "W",
      "scoreline": "2-0",
      "opponent": "Rotherham United",
      "at_home": true,
      "data": "2026-10-17"
     },
     {
      "res": "D",
      "scoreline": "1-1",
      "opponent": "Walsall",
      "at_home": true,
      "data": "2026-10-10"
     },
     {
      "res": "W",
      "scoreline": "4-1",
      "opponent": "Barnsley",
      "at_home": true,
      "data": "2026-10-06"
     }
    ],
    "away": [
     {
      "res": "W",
      "scoreline": "2-0",
      "opponent": "Everton",
      "at_home": true,
      "data": "2026-10-24"
     },
     {
      "res": "D",
      "scoreline": "2-2",
      "opponent": "FC Bayern München",
      "at_home": false,
      "data": "2026-10-21"
     },
     {
      "res": "W",
      "scoreline": "1-0",
      "opponent": "Nottingham Forest",
      "at_home": false,
      "data": "2026-10-18"
     },
     {
      "res": "W",
      "scoreline": "3-0",
      "opponent": "Lille",
      "at_home": true,
      "data": "2026-10-13"
     },
     {
      "res": "W",
      "scoreline": "2-1",
      "opponent": "Leeds United",
      "at_home": true,
      "data": "2026-10-10"
     }
    ]
   },
   "head_to_head": [],
   "past_cards": [],
   "reach": ""
  },
  "after_match": {
   "scoreline": "1-1",
   "fact_code": "X",
   "row_list": [
    "Match-result predictions from tipsters and sources with 10 or more predictions checked against the final score to date: 0 of 5 matched · Tipsters 0 of 1 · Prediction sites 0 of 4",
    "All recorded exact-score predictions: 0 of 6 matched",
    "Exact-score predictions from tipsters and sources with 10 or more predictions checked against the final score to date: 0 of 6 matched the score, 0 of 6 the outcome",
    "Most common selection among tipsters and sources with 10 or more predictions checked against the final score to date: Arsenal (5 of 5), missed",
    "Market favourite at kick-off: Arsenal (missed)"
   ],
   "by_group": {
    "tipsters": {
     "correct": 0,
     "of": 1
    },
    "websites": {
     "correct": 0,
     "of": 4
    }
   },
   "placement": null,
   "checks": []
  },
  "prices": [
   {
    "author_name": "Infobetting",
    "choice": "Max Dowman to score",
    "market_label": "Player to score",
    "author_quoted_price": "2.40",
    "our_snapshot": "2.5000",
    "closing_line": null
   },
   {
    "author_name": "Dailysports",
    "choice": "over 3.5",
    "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals",
    "author_quoted_price": "1.89",
    "our_snapshot": "1.8850",
    "closing_line": null
   },
   {
    "author_name": "Bren Gray",
    "choice": "Arsenal over 3.5",
    "market_label": "Team goals over/under 3.5",
    "author_quoted_price": "2.25",
    "our_snapshot": "2.3000",
    "closing_line": null
   }
  ],
  "revisions": [
   "Market 24 hours before kick-off: Arsenal 88%.",
   "Market 2 hours before kick-off: Arsenal 89%.",
   "First published with predictions on 27 October 2026."
  ],
  "titles": {
   "shown": true,
   "legend": "Badges show titles earned before this prediction, by published rules.",
   "frozen_in": "sr-f81dce674098e802fdb21ab7"
  },
  "tracker": null,
  "source_groups": {
   "as_of": "2026-10-27T20:00:00.000Z",
   "groups": [
    {
     "key": "prediction_sites",
     "label": "Prediction sites"
    },
    {
     "key": "media",
     "label": "Media"
    },
    {
     "key": "telegram_channels",
     "label": "Telegram channels"
    },
    {
     "key": "private_authors",
     "label": "Independent tipsters"
    }
   ],
   "authors": 19,
   "by_group": [
    {
     "key": "prediction_sites",
     "authors": 5
    },
    {
     "key": "media",
     "authors": 6
    },
    {
     "key": "telegram_channels",
     "authors": 8
    },
    {
     "key": "private_authors",
     "authors": 0
    }
   ],
   "markets": [
    {
     "key": "1x2",
     "label": "Match result",
     "authors": 5,
     "by_group": [
      {
       "key": "prediction_sites",
       "authors": 1
      },
      {
       "key": "media",
       "authors": 0
      },
      {
       "key": "telegram_channels",
       "authors": 4
      },
      {
       "key": "private_authors",
       "authors": 0
      }
     ],
     "choices": [
      {
       "code_name": "1",
       "in_words": "Fleetwood Town",
       "authors": 0,
       "by_group": [
        {
         "key": "prediction_sites",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "media",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "telegram_channels",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "private_authors",
         "authors": 0
        }
       ]
      },
      {
       "code_name": "X",
       "in_words": "Draw",
       "authors": 0,
       "by_group": [
        {
         "key": "prediction_sites",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "media",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "telegram_channels",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "private_authors",
         "authors": 0
        }
       ]
      },
      {
       "code_name": "2",
       "in_words": "Arsenal",
       "authors": 5,
       "by_group": [
        {
         "key": "prediction_sites",
         "authors": 1
        },
        {
         "key": "media",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "telegram_channels",
         "authors": 4
        },
        {
         "key": "private_authors",
         "authors": 0
        }
       ]
      }
     ]
    },
    {
     "key": "totals",
     "label": "Goal totals",
     "authors": 10,
     "by_group": [
      {
       "key": "prediction_sites",
       "authors": 3
      },
      {
       "key": "media",
       "authors": 3
      },
      {
       "key": "telegram_channels",
       "authors": 4
      },
      {
       "key": "private_authors",
       "authors": 0
      }
     ]
    },
    {
     "key": "other",
     "label": "Handicaps, both teams to score, correct score and other markets",
     "authors": 10,
     "by_group": [
      {
       "key": "prediction_sites",
       "authors": 3
      },
      {
       "key": "media",
       "authors": 4
      },
      {
       "key": "telegram_channels",
       "authors": 3
      },
      {
       "key": "private_authors",
       "authors": 0
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  "market_line": {
   "line_state": "barely_moved",
   "line_frozen": true,
   "phrase": "Market line at kick-off (27 October 2026, 20:00 GMT): Fleetwood Town 4%, draw 9%, Arsenal 88%. From 26 October 2026, 20:00 GMT to kick-off it barely moved: the largest change was 0.6 percentage points (Arsenal down).",
   "line_markets": [
    {
     "market_text": "1X2, match result",
     "market_group": "1x2",
     "line_kind": "median_line",
     "margin_included": false,
     "snapshot_at": "2026-10-27T20:00:00.000Z",
     "closing_line": true,
     "probabilities": [
      {
       "outcome_label": "1",
       "in_words": "Fleetwood Town",
       "percent_value": 4
      },
      {
       "outcome_label": "X",
       "in_words": "Draw",
       "percent_value": 9
      },
      {
       "outcome_label": "2",
       "in_words": "Arsenal",
       "percent_value": 88
      }
     ],
     "group_count": 13,
     "first_at": "2026-10-26T20:00:00.000Z",
     "first_probabilities": {
      "1": 4,
      "2": 88,
      "X": 8
     },
     "shift_pp": 0.6,
     "shift_outcome": "2",
     "shift_direction": "down",
     "line_state": "barely_moved",
     "phrase": "Market line at kick-off (27 October 2026, 20:00 GMT): Fleetwood Town 4%, draw 9%, Arsenal 88%. From 26 October 2026, 20:00 GMT to kick-off it barely moved: the largest change was 0.6 percentage points (Arsenal down)."
    },
    {
     "market_text": "Both teams to score",
     "market_group": "other",
     "line_kind": "recorded_price",
     "margin_included": true,
     "closing_line": false,
     "price_sides": [
      {
       "choice": "no",
       "snapshot_price": "1.44",
       "percent_value": 69,
       "snapshot_at": "2026-10-26T17:11:37.112Z",
       "snapshot_count": 2,
       "first_snapshot_price": "1.44",
       "first_at": "2026-10-26T15:15:32.858Z",
       "shift_pp": 0.0,
       "shift_direction": null,
       "line_state": "not_moved"
      },
      {
       "choice": "yes",
       "snapshot_price": "2.75",
       "percent_value": 36,
       "snapshot_at": "2026-10-27T14:19:59.667Z",
       "snapshot_count": 1,
       "first_snapshot_price": null,
       "first_at": null,
       "shift_pp": null,
       "shift_direction": null,
       "line_state": "single_snapshot"
      }
     ],
     "line_state": "not_moved",
     "phrase": "Both teams to score, no: market price 1.44 on 26 October 2026, 17:11 GMT (implied 69%, margin included), the same as on 26 October 2026, 15:15 GMT. Both teams to score, yes: market price 2.75 on 27 October 2026, 14:19 GMT (implied 36%, margin included)."
    },
    {
     "market_text": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
     "market_group": "totals",
     "line_kind": "recorded_price",
     "margin_included": true,
     "closing_line": false,
     "price_sides": [
      {
       "choice": "over 2.5",
       "snapshot_price": "1.33",
       "percent_value": 75,
       "snapshot_at": "2026-10-26T21:31:29.564Z",
       "snapshot_count": 4,
       "first_snapshot_price": "1.33",
       "first_at": "2026-10-25T21:52:02.437Z",
       "shift_pp": 0.0,
       "shift_direction": null,
       "line_state": "not_moved"
      }
     ],
     "line_state": "not_moved",
     "phrase": "Over/Under 2.5 goals, over 2.5 goals: market price 1.33 on 26 October 2026, 21:31 GMT (implied 75%, margin included), the same as on 25 October 2026, 21:52 GMT."
    },
    {
     "market_text": "Over/Under 3.5 goals",
     "market_group": "totals",
     "line_kind": "recorded_price",
     "margin_included": true,
     "closing_line": false,
     "price_sides": [
      {
       "choice": "over 3.5",
       "snapshot_price": "1.90",
       "percent_value": 53,
       "snapshot_at": "2026-10-26T19:58:09.785Z",
       "snapshot_count": 3,
       "first_snapshot_price": "1.89",
       "first_at": "2026-10-26T07:46:23.389Z",
       "shift_pp": 0.4,
       "shift_direction": "down",
       "line_state": "barely_moved"
      }
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  "title": "Fleetwood vs Arsenal: Predictions and Results — 27 Oct 2026",
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}