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 "heading": "FK Crvena Zvezda vs FC København: recorded predictions and results",
 "description": "FK Crvena Zvezda vs FC København, 22 October 2026. Final score 2-2 · UEFA Conference League: 7 distinct predictions from 4 authors.",
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    },
    {
     "outcome_label": "2",
     "in_words": "FC København",
     "percent_value": 30
    }
   ],
   "prices": {
    "1": "2.17",
    "X": "3.59",
    "2": "3.10"
   },
   "group_count": 14,
   "bookmakers": 15,
   "snapshot_at": "2026-10-22T16:45:00.000Z",
   "closing_line": true,
   "first_at": "2026-10-22T10:09:25.695Z",
   "shift_pp": 1.9,
   "phrase": "The market has barely changed its mind since our first snapshot on 22 October 2026: FK Crvena Zvezda 42% then, 43% at kick-off.",
   "technique": "Median across groups of bookmakers, without margin: brands on one platform count once (median within the group); betting exchanges and prediction markets are excluded. Market price from an odds aggregator; the data provider is not named.",
   "t2": {
    "snapshot_at": "2026-10-22T14:45:00.000Z",
    "probabilities": {
     "1": 41,
     "2": 32,
     "X": 27
    }
   }
  },
  "market_mode": "show",
  "fact_sheet": {
   "tournament": "UEFA Conference League (Europe)",
   "matchday": "League Stage · Matchday 2",
   "starts_at": "2026-10-22T16:45:00.000Z",
   "form": {
    "home_side": [
     {
      "res": "W",
      "scoreline": "5-1",
      "opponent": "Mladost Lucani",
      "at_home": true,
      "data": "2026-10-18"
     },
     {
      "res": "L",
      "scoreline": "2-3",
      "opponent": "FC Lugano",
      "at_home": false,
      "data": "2026-10-15"
     },
     {
      "res": "W",
      "scoreline": "3-0",
      "opponent": "FK Radnicki 1923",
      "at_home": false,
      "data": "2026-10-10"
     },
     {
      "res": "D",
      "scoreline": "0-0",
      "opponent": "FK Radnik Surdulica",
      "at_home": false,
      "data": "2026-09-10"
     },
     {
      "res": "W",
      "scoreline": "2-1",
      "opponent": "Partizan Belgrade",
      "at_home": true,
      "data": "2026-09-06"
     }
    ],
    "away": [
     {
      "res": "W",
      "scoreline": "3-0",
      "opponent": "Sporting Braga",
      "at_home": true,
      "data": "2026-10-15"
     },
     {
      "res": "W",
      "scoreline": "4-1",
      "opponent": "Inter Turku",
      "at_home": true,
      "data": "2026-08-27"
     },
     {
      "res": "D",
      "scoreline": "0-0",
      "opponent": "Inter Turku",
      "at_home": false,
      "data": "2026-08-20"
     },
     {
      "res": "W",
      "scoreline": "5-1",
      "opponent": "Debrecen",
      "at_home": true,
      "data": "2026-08-12"
     },
     {
      "res": "W",
      "scoreline": "3-0",
      "opponent": "Debrecen",
      "at_home": false,
      "data": "2026-08-06"
     }
    ]
   },
   "head_to_head": [],
   "past_cards": [],
   "reach": ""
  },
  "after_match": {
   "scoreline": "2-2",
   "fact_code": "X",
   "row_list": [
    "Match-result predictions from tipsters and sources with 10 or more predictions checked against the final score to date: 0 of 2 matched · Tipsters 0 of 1 · Prediction sites 0 of 1",
    "Most common selection among tipsters and sources with 10 or more predictions checked against the final score to date: FK Crvena Zvezda (2 of 2), missed",
    "Market favourite at kick-off: FK Crvena Zvezda (missed)"
   ],
   "by_group": {
    "tipsters": {
     "correct": 0,
     "of": 1
    },
    "websites": {
     "correct": 0,
     "of": 1
    }
   },
   "placement": null,
   "checks": []
  },
  "prices": [],
  "revisions": [
   "Market 2 hours before kick-off: FK Crvena Zvezda 41%.",
   "First published with predictions on 20 October 2026."
  ],
  "titles": {
   "shown": true,
   "legend": "Badges show titles earned before this prediction, by published rules.",
   "frozen_in": "sr-c3e3ee063c8a6cf46101f0ae"
  },
  "tracker": null,
  "source_groups": {
   "as_of": "2026-10-22T16:45:00.000Z",
   "groups": [
    {
     "key": "prediction_sites",
     "label": "Prediction sites"
    },
    {
     "key": "media",
     "label": "Media"
    },
    {
     "key": "telegram_channels",
     "label": "Telegram channels"
    },
    {
     "key": "private_authors",
     "label": "Independent tipsters"
    }
   ],
   "authors": 4,
   "by_group": [
    {
     "key": "prediction_sites",
     "authors": 1
    },
    {
     "key": "media",
     "authors": 0
    },
    {
     "key": "telegram_channels",
     "authors": 2
    },
    {
     "key": "private_authors",
     "authors": 1
    }
   ],
   "markets": [
    {
     "key": "1x2",
     "label": "Match result",
     "authors": 2,
     "by_group": [
      {
       "key": "prediction_sites",
       "authors": 1
      },
      {
       "key": "media",
       "authors": 0
      },
      {
       "key": "telegram_channels",
       "authors": 1
      },
      {
       "key": "private_authors",
       "authors": 0
      }
     ],
     "choices": [
      {
       "code_name": "1",
       "in_words": "FK Crvena Zvezda",
       "authors": 2,
       "by_group": [
        {
         "key": "prediction_sites",
         "authors": 1
        },
        {
         "key": "media",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "telegram_channels",
         "authors": 1
        },
        {
         "key": "private_authors",
         "authors": 0
        }
       ]
      },
      {
       "code_name": "X",
       "in_words": "Draw",
       "authors": 0,
       "by_group": [
        {
         "key": "prediction_sites",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "media",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "telegram_channels",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "private_authors",
         "authors": 0
        }
       ]
      },
      {
       "code_name": "2",
       "in_words": "FC København",
       "authors": 0,
       "by_group": [
        {
         "key": "prediction_sites",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "media",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "telegram_channels",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "private_authors",
         "authors": 0
        }
       ]
      }
     ]
    },
    {
     "key": "totals",
     "label": "Goal totals",
     "authors": 2,
     "by_group": [
      {
       "key": "prediction_sites",
       "authors": 0
      },
      {
       "key": "media",
       "authors": 0
      },
      {
       "key": "telegram_channels",
       "authors": 1
      },
      {
       "key": "private_authors",
       "authors": 1
      }
     ]
    },
    {
     "key": "other",
     "label": "Handicaps, both teams to score, correct score and other markets",
     "authors": 3,
     "by_group": [
      {
       "key": "prediction_sites",
       "authors": 0
      },
      {
       "key": "media",
       "authors": 0
      },
      {
       "key": "telegram_channels",
       "authors": 2
      },
      {
       "key": "private_authors",
       "authors": 1
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  "market_line": {
   "line_state": "barely_moved",
   "line_frozen": true,
   "phrase": "Market line at kick-off (22 October 2026, 17:45 BST): FK Crvena Zvezda 43%, draw 26%, FC København 30%. From 22 October 2026, 11:09 BST to kick-off it barely moved: the largest change was 1.9 percentage points (FK Crvena Zvezda up).",
   "line_markets": [
    {
     "market_text": "1X2, match result",
     "market_group": "1x2",
     "line_kind": "median_line",
     "margin_included": false,
     "snapshot_at": "2026-10-22T16:45:00.000Z",
     "closing_line": true,
     "probabilities": [
      {
       "outcome_label": "1",
       "in_words": "FK Crvena Zvezda",
       "percent_value": 43
      },
      {
       "outcome_label": "X",
       "in_words": "Draw",
       "percent_value": 26
      },
      {
       "outcome_label": "2",
       "in_words": "FC København",
       "percent_value": 30
      }
     ],
     "group_count": 14,
     "first_at": "2026-10-22T10:09:25.695Z",
     "first_probabilities": {
      "1": 42,
      "2": 32,
      "X": 26
     },
     "shift_pp": 1.9,
     "shift_outcome": "1",
     "shift_direction": "up",
     "line_state": "barely_moved",
     "phrase": "Market line at kick-off (22 October 2026, 17:45 BST): FK Crvena Zvezda 43%, draw 26%, FC København 30%. From 22 October 2026, 11:09 BST to kick-off it barely moved: the largest change was 1.9 percentage points (FK Crvena Zvezda up)."
    },
    {
     "market_text": "Over/Under 0.5 goals, first half",
     "market_group": "totals",
     "line_kind": "recorded_price",
     "margin_included": true,
     "closing_line": false,
     "price_sides": [
      {
       "choice": "over 0.5",
       "snapshot_price": "1.30",
       "percent_value": 77,
       "snapshot_at": "2026-10-22T10:00:52.156Z",
       "snapshot_count": 1,
       "first_snapshot_price": null,
       "first_at": null,
       "shift_pp": null,
       "shift_direction": null,
       "line_state": "single_snapshot"
      }
     ],
     "line_state": "single_snapshot",
     "phrase": "Over/Under 0.5 goals, first half, over 0.5 goals: market price 1.30 on 22 October 2026, 11:00 BST (implied 77%, margin included)."
    },
    {
     "market_text": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
     "market_group": "totals",
     "line_kind": "recorded_price",
     "margin_included": true,
     "closing_line": false,
     "price_sides": [
      {
       "choice": "over 2.5",
       "snapshot_price": "1.67",
       "percent_value": 60,
       "snapshot_at": "2026-10-22T10:00:52.156Z",
       "snapshot_count": 1,
       "first_snapshot_price": null,
       "first_at": null,
       "shift_pp": null,
       "shift_direction": null,
       "line_state": "single_snapshot"
      }
     ],
     "line_state": "single_snapshot",
     "phrase": "Over/Under 2.5 goals, over 2.5 goals: market price 1.67 on 22 October 2026, 11:00 BST (implied 60%, margin included)."
    }
   ]
  },
  "pre_kickoff_snapshot": {
   "frozen_before_kickoff": true,
   "as_of_moment": "2026-10-22T16:45:00.000Z",
   "starts_at": "2026-10-22T16:45:00.000Z",
   "phrase": "Before kick-off on 22 October 2026, 17:45 BST: market line at kick-off FK Crvena Zvezda 43%, draw 26%, FC København 30%; 1X2, match result, recorded picks before the match (2): 2 on FK Crvena Zvezda, 0 on the draw, 0 on FC København; Over/Under 2.5 goals, recorded picks before the match (2): 2 on over 2.5 goals; Both teams to score, recorded picks before the match (2): 2 on yes.",
   "market_line_brief": {
    "snapshot_at": "2026-10-22T16:45:00.000Z",
    "closing_line": true,
    "probabilities": {
     "1": 43,
     "X": 26,
     "2": 30
    }
   },
   "market_groups": [
    {
     "market_group": "1x2",
     "group_markets": [
      {
       "market_text": "1X2, match result",
       "prediction_count": 2,
       "row_count": 2,
       "market_choices": [
        {
         "choice": "FK Crvena Zvezda",
         "figure": 2
        }
       ],
       "phrase_mode": "listing",
       "leader_choice": null,
       "leader_count": null,
       "share_percent": 100,
       "phrase": "1X2, match result, recorded picks before the match (2): 2 on FK Crvena Zvezda, 0 on the draw, 0 on FC København",
       "sides_1x2": [
        {
         "side": "1",
         "in_words": "FK Crvena Zvezda",
         "figure": 2
        },
        {
         "side": "X",
         "in_words": "draw",
         "figure": 0
        },
        {
         "side": "2",
         "in_words": "FC København",
         "figure": 0
        }
       ]
      }
     ]
    },
    {
     "market_group": "totals",
     "group_markets": [
      {
       "market_text": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
       "prediction_count": 2,
       "row_count": 2,
       "market_choices": [
        {
         "choice": "over 2.5",
         "figure": 2
        }
       ],
       "phrase_mode": "listing",
       "leader_choice": null,
       "leader_count": null,
       "share_percent": 100,
       "phrase": "Over/Under 2.5 goals, recorded picks before the match (2): 2 on over 2.5 goals"
      },
      {
       "market_text": "Over/Under 0.5 goals, first half",
       "prediction_count": 1,
       "row_count": 1,
       "market_choices": [
        {
         "choice": "over 0.5",
         "figure": 1
        }
       ],
       "phrase_mode": "listing",
       "leader_choice": null,
       "leader_count": null,
       "share_percent": 100,
       "phrase": "Over/Under 0.5 goals, first half, recorded picks before the match (1): 1 on over 0.5 goals"
      }
     ]
    },
    {
     "market_group": "other",
     "group_markets": [
      {
       "market_text": "Both teams to score",
       "prediction_count": 2,
       "row_count": 2,
       "market_choices": [
        {
         "choice": "yes",
         "figure": 2
        }
       ],
       "phrase_mode": "listing",
       "leader_choice": null,
       "leader_count": null,
       "share_percent": 100,
       "phrase": "Both teams to score, recorded picks before the match (2): 2 on yes"
      }
     ]
    }
   ],
   "predictions_before_kickoff": 7,
   "majority_threshold": {
    "min_predictions": 5,
    "min_share_percent": 60.0
   }
  },
  "teams_prev_next": [
   {
    "side": "home",
    "team": "FK Crvena Zvezda",
    "team_url": "/football/teams/fk-crvena-zvezda/",
    "participant_id": "u-4ca94d1d2c9b",
    "previous": {
     "kickoff": "2026-10-18T14:00:00.000Z",
     "name": "FK Crvena Zvezda vs Mladost Lucani",
     "url": "/football/matches/fk-crvena-zvezda-vs-mladost-lucani-2026-10-18/",
     "competition": "Serbia Super Liga",
     "state": "played",
     "score": "5-1"
    },
    "next": {
     "kickoff": "2026-10-25T15:00:00.000Z",
     "name": "OFK Beograd vs FK Crvena Zvezda",
     "url": null,
     "competition": "Serbia Super Liga",
     "state": "played",
     "score": "0-1"
    },
    "why": null
   },
   {
    "side": "away",
    "team": "FC København",
    "team_url": null,
    "participant_id": "u-f769f7c1ad5c",
    "previous": {
     "kickoff": "2026-10-15T19:00:00.000Z",
     "name": "FC København vs Sporting Braga",
     "url": null,
     "competition": "UEFA Conference League",
     "state": "played",
     "score": "3-0"
    },
    "next": {
     "kickoff": "2026-11-05T20:00:00.000Z",
     "name": "FC København vs FC Iberia 1999",
     "url": "/football/matches/fc-kobenhavn-vs-fc-iberia-1999-2026-11-05/",
     "competition": "UEFA Conference League",
     "state": "played",
     "score": "2-1"
    },
    "why": null
   }
  ]
 },
 "number_sets": [
  {
   "set": "match.market_line.percent",
   "entity": "/football/matches/fk-crvena-zvezda-vs-fc-kobenhavn-2026-10-22/|1x2|1",
   "value": 43,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.market_line.percent",
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   "where": null,
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   "value": 30,
   "where": null,
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  },
  {
   "set": "match.recorded_price.percent",
   "entity": "/football/matches/fk-crvena-zvezda-vs-fc-kobenhavn-2026-10-22/|Over/Under 0.5 goals, first half|over 0.5",
   "value": 77,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.recorded_price.percent",
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   "value": 60,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.before_kickoff.market",
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   "value": 2,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.before_kickoff.leader_share_percent",
   "entity": "/football/matches/fk-crvena-zvezda-vs-fc-kobenhavn-2026-10-22/|1X2, match result",
   "value": 100,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.before_kickoff.selection",
   "entity": "/football/matches/fk-crvena-zvezda-vs-fc-kobenhavn-2026-10-22/|1X2, match result|FK Crvena Zvezda",
   "value": 2,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.before_kickoff.selection",
   "entity": "/football/matches/fk-crvena-zvezda-vs-fc-kobenhavn-2026-10-22/|1X2, match result|draw",
   "value": 0,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.before_kickoff.selection",
   "entity": "/football/matches/fk-crvena-zvezda-vs-fc-kobenhavn-2026-10-22/|1X2, match result|FC København",
   "value": 0,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.before_kickoff.market",
   "entity": "/football/matches/fk-crvena-zvezda-vs-fc-kobenhavn-2026-10-22/|Over/Under 2.5 goals",
   "value": 2,
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   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
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   "set": "match.before_kickoff.leader_share_percent",
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   "set": "match.before_kickoff.selection",
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   "value": 2,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.before_kickoff.market",
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   "value": 1,
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   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
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   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
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  },
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   "value": 2,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.other_forecasters",
   "entity": "/football/matches/fk-crvena-zvezda-vs-fc-kobenhavn-2026-10-22/",
   "value": 7,
   "where": "new-forecasters",
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  }
 ],
 "data_changes": {
  "records_corrected": 0,
  "last_correction_at": null,
  "corrections_url": "/corrections/"
 },
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}