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 "heading": "Fenerbahçe vs Liverpool: recorded predictions and results",
 "description": "Fenerbahçe vs Liverpool, 4 November 2026. Final score 3-2 · UEFA Champions League: 81 distinct predictions from 46 authors.",
 "first_paragraph": {
  "body": "Fenerbahçe finished 3-2 against Liverpool. None of the 12 recorded correct-score predictions matched that score. Other markets are shown separately below. 1 prediction found after kick-off is shown separately and excluded from the pre-match count. Forecast Record recorded 83 statements from 46 authors on Fenerbahçe vs Liverpool (UEFA Champions League, kick-off 4 November 2026): 81 distinct predictions, 82 of the statements recorded before kick-off.",
  "key_number": "83",
  "data": "2026-11-04",
  "source_info": "our own evidence archive",
  "brand": "Forecast Record"
 },
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 "indexing_threshold": {
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  "date_count": 1,
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 },
 "data_date": "2026-11-04T20:14:50.395Z",
 "built_at": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z",
 "lastmod": "2026-11-08T02:12:33.000Z",
 "content_hash": null,
 "meaning_hash": "981042a541fde7e2fac692a14b98f5efe775dd2cf97ff2263029b16a9f87ec5e",
 "dependency_group": "event:s-e11039d41c22",
 "release_id": "20261107-195223",
 "markup": [
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  {
   "type_code": "csv",
   "url": "/football/matches/fenerbahce-vs-liverpool-2026-11-04/picks.csv",
   "bytes": null
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 ],
 "modules": {
  "affiliate": true,
  "api": true,
  "compare_yourself": false
 },
 "affiliate_block": {
  "container": true,
  "request_url": "/partnery/moi",
  "disclosure": "Some links below are affiliate links and are marked as such. They never affect what you see above: the order of any table is computed before any commission is known.",
  "page_category": "event"
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 "restrictions": {
  "name_withdrawn": false,
  "tracker_number": null,
  "withdrawn_quotes": [],
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  "suspended_records": [],
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 "page_links": {
  "methodology": "/methodology/",
  "right_of_reply": "/right-of-reply/",
  "source_coverage": "/coverage/",
  "corrections_log": "/corrections/",
  "api": "/api/",
  "claim": "/claim/"
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 "event": {
  "id": "s-e11039d41c22",
  "display_name": "Fenerbahçe — Liverpool",
  "competition_name": "UEFA Champions League",
  "starts_at": "2026-11-04T17:45:00.000Z",
  "status": "finished",
  "scoreline": "3-2",
  "condition": "finished",
  "condition_words": "finished",
  "result_received_at": "2026-11-04T20:14:50.395Z",
  "postponement": null,
  "consensus": {
   "market_label": "1X2, match result",
   "distribution": [
    {
     "outcome_label": "Liverpool",
     "figure": 22,
     "share": "100.0"
    }
   ],
   "n": 22,
   "author_count": 22,
   "median_odds": "1.53",
   "summary": "Most common recorded selection in this market: Liverpool — 22 of 22 eligible picks (one per author), median stated price 1.53",
   "late_excluded": 0,
   "contributions": 22,
   "prediction_count": 22,
   "chain": {
    "publications": 80,
    "unique": 80,
    "comparable": 80,
    "admissible": 80,
    "contributions": 80
   },
   "differing_choices": 0,
   "different_products": 0,
   "counting_rule": "1"
  },
  "country_name": "Europe",
  "competition_full": "UEFA Champions League (Europe)"
 },
 "evidence_items": [
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   "url": "/sources/wincomparator-com/products/l-equipe-wincomparator/picks/65/#pick-n-d98459c0c426f6b4ee8f8ff6",
   "quote_text": "Notre pronostic\n\nLiverpool gagne le match\n\nProbabilité : 46.29%\n\nProbabilité : 46.29%\n\n1.54",
   "fragment_from": 785,
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   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "website",
    "url": "https://www.wincomparator.com/fr-fr/pronostics/fenerbahce-liverpool-8786654/",
    "display_name": null,
    "speaker": "L'équipe Wincomparator",
    "authorship": "channel_owner",
    "media_from_ms": null,
    "bundle_id": "77d89c2f14324daaa7bc8fb4c0f9913d2d72fe1c618235ce5447d7e9e4e7db0c",
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   "published_at": null,
   "detected_at": "2026-10-26T06:29:54.878Z",
   "executed_at": "2026-11-02T11:51:34.000Z",
   "statement_class": "priced",
   "status": "recognised",
   "cause": null,
   "cause_code": null,
   "event": {
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    "display_name": "Fenerbahçe — Liverpool",
    "competition_name": "UEFA Champions League",
    "starts_at": "2026-11-04T17:45:00.000Z",
    "url": "/football/matches/fenerbahce-vs-liverpool-2026-11-04/",
    "scoreline": "3-2",
    "condition": "finished"
   },
   "market_label": "1X2, match result",
   "outcome_label": "Liverpool",
   "odds_set": {
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    "our_snapshot": "1.6410",
    "our_snapshot_at": "2026-10-26T06:25:19.385Z",
    "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot",
    "closing": null,
    "closing_source": null
   },
   "stake_hundredths": 10000,
   "result": "loss",
   "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000,
   "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
   "executed_by": "ours",
   "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
   "withdrawn": false,
   "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
   "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "dates": {
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    "fragment_basis": "no",
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   "added_on": null,
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   "author_claim": {
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    "choice": "Liverpool",
    "author_odds": "1.54",
    "market_key": "1x2",
    "choice_key": "2",
    "period": "match",
    "line": null,
    "subject": "goals_total",
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    "data_status": "measured",
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    "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Fenerbahçe 3-2 Liverpool."
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     "series_label": "At the author's stated price",
     "derived": false,
     "site_simulation": true,
     "author_words": true,
     "market_label": "1X2, match result",
     "choice": "Liverpool",
     "decimal_odds": "1.54",
     "odds_role": "author_price",
     "stake_hundredths": 10000,
     "status": "confirmed",
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     "result": "loss",
     "result_words": "Lost",
     "change_hundredths": -10000,
     "executed_at": "2026-11-02T11:51:31.343Z",
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   "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
   "authorship": {
    "material_author": "L'équipe Wincomparator",
    "publisher": "Wincomparator",
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    "basis": null,
    "status": "not_named",
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    "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
    "evidence_fragment": null,
    "material_url": "https://www.wincomparator.com/fr-fr/pronostics/fenerbahce-liverpool-8786654/",
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   "url": "/sources/wincomparator-com/products/l-equipe-wincomparator/picks/65/#pick-n-a6aaa7adb02332ca6393bed8",
   "quote_text": "Notre pronostic\n\n+2.5\n\nProbabilité : 71.59%\n\nProbabilité : 71.59%",
   "fragment_from": 1250,
   "fragment_to": 1315,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
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    "url": "https://www.wincomparator.com/fr-fr/pronostics/fenerbahce-liverpool-8786654/",
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    "speaker": "L'équipe Wincomparator",
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    "display_name": "Fenerbahçe — Liverpool",
    "competition_name": "UEFA Champions League",
    "starts_at": "2026-11-04T17:45:00.000Z",
    "url": "/football/matches/fenerbahce-vs-liverpool-2026-11-04/",
    "scoreline": "3-2",
    "condition": "finished"
   },
   "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
   "outcome_label": "over 2.5",
   "odds_set": {
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    "our_snapshot": "1.4890",
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    "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot",
    "closing": null,
    "closing_source": null
   },
   "stake_hundredths": 10000,
   "result": "win",
   "simulation_change_hundredths": 4890,
   "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
   "executed_by": "ours",
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   "withdrawn": false,
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   "dates": {
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    "fragment_basis": "no",
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    "flags": [
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    ],
    "flag_words": "The source states no publication date.",
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
   "origin_detail": null,
   "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": {
    "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
    "choice": "over 2.5",
    "author_odds": null,
    "market_key": "total",
    "choice_key": "over",
    "period": "match",
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    "subject": "goals_total",
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   },
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    "in_words": "Won: the final score was Fenerbahçe 3-2 Liverpool."
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   "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
   "authorship": {
    "material_author": "L'équipe Wincomparator",
    "publisher": "Wincomparator",
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    "basis": null,
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    "evidence_fragment": null,
    "material_url": "https://www.wincomparator.com/fr-fr/pronostics/fenerbahce-liverpool-8786654/",
    "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
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   },
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  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-476f3a36efe493ab867681c3",
   "url": "/authors/alexey-andrianov/picks/24/#pick-n-476f3a36efe493ab867681c3",
   "quote_text": "O/U\nUnder 2.5",
   "fragment_from": 901,
   "fragment_to": 914,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "website",
    "url": "https://wedtips.ai/uefa-champions-league-voorspellingen-weddenschappen",
    "display_name": null,
    "speaker": "Alexey Andrianov",
    "authorship": "channel_owner",
    "media_from_ms": null,
    "bundle_id": "1fad90d84ccd29a49765d6e1e56e71807fcff1c9f52b785968f93056045dc328",
    "material_removed": false
   },
   "published_at": null,
   "detected_at": "2026-10-27T23:02:59.124Z",
   "executed_at": "2026-10-28T20:33:32.473Z",
   "statement_class": "unpriced",
   "status": "recognised",
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    "competition_name": "UEFA Champions League",
    "starts_at": "2026-11-04T17:45:00.000Z",
    "url": "/football/matches/fenerbahce-vs-liverpool-2026-11-04/",
    "scoreline": "3-2",
    "condition": "finished"
   },
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   "outcome_label": "under 2.5",
   "odds_set": {
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    "our_snapshot": "2.6000",
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   },
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   "executed_by": "ours",
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   "withdrawn": false,
   "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
   "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "dates": {
    "fragment_at": null,
    "fragment_basis": "no",
    "source_page_at": "2026-02-25T08:49:17.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-27T23:02:59.124Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [
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     "not_fragment_date"
    ],
    "flag_words": "The source page is dated long before this match: it is a page that is updated over time, so the page date is set aside for this prediction.",
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
   "origin_detail": null,
   "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "added_on": null,
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   "author_claim": {
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    "choice": "under 2.5",
    "author_odds": null,
    "market_key": "total",
    "choice_key": "under",
    "period": "match",
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    "subject": "goals_total",
    "in_words": "Over/Under 2.5 goals: under 2.5"
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   },
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     "derived": false,
     "site_simulation": true,
     "author_words": true,
     "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
     "choice": "under 2.5",
     "decimal_odds": "2.6000",
     "odds_role": "market_price",
     "stake_hundredths": 10000,
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     "executed_at": "2026-10-28T20:33:32.473Z",
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   ],
   "corrections": [],
   "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
   "authorship": {
    "material_author": "Alexey Andrianov",
    "publisher": "wedtips.ai",
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  },
  {
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   "url": "/authors/pierre-antoine-michel/picks/6/#pick-n-ab4a93e4498b1018c84bf940",
   "quote_text": "Misez par exemple sur le pari \"Victoire Liverpool\" (cote à 1,48)",
   "fragment_from": 7777,
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   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
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    "url": "https://www.ruedesjoueurs.com/pronostic/fenerbahce-liverpool-6106330.html",
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    "speaker": "Pierre-Antoine Michel",
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   "published_at": "2026-10-29T16:09:00.000Z",
   "detected_at": "2026-10-30T07:10:28.550Z",
   "executed_at": "2026-11-03T03:19:04.294Z",
   "statement_class": "priced",
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   "event": {
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    "display_name": "Fenerbahçe — Liverpool",
    "competition_name": "UEFA Champions League",
    "starts_at": "2026-11-04T17:45:00.000Z",
    "url": "/football/matches/fenerbahce-vs-liverpool-2026-11-04/",
    "scoreline": "3-2",
    "condition": "finished"
   },
   "market_label": "1X2, match result",
   "outcome_label": "Liverpool",
   "odds_set": {
    "by_author": "1.48",
    "our_snapshot": "1.6154",
    "our_snapshot_at": "2026-10-30T07:08:36.184Z",
    "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot",
    "closing": null,
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   },
   "stake_hundredths": 10000,
   "result": "loss",
   "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000,
   "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
   "executed_by": "ours",
   "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
   "withdrawn": false,
   "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
   "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
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    "author": "Francisco Tochón Rosales",
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    "author": "Jasper van den Boogaard",
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    "hash": "a424e3f25c3aab1c2cd076973f30ddbed23b5b1c5fd3d022cc3b81dc4cf2b16f",
    "entity_ref": "e-ad4e9e7a0ab53b4c5c4ceff4",
    "name_shown": "Tomasz Dmytruszyński",
    "url": "/authors/tomasz-dmytruszynski/"
   },
   {
    "id": "sr-5f129dad370f630a275b0152",
    "type_code": "author_before_match",
    "moment_at": "2026-11-04T17:45:00.000Z",
    "freeze_at": "2026-11-04T17:56:05.688Z",
    "approach": "by_capture_time",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "counting_rule": "1",
    "figures": {
     "matches": 188,
     "method_version": "2.2",
     "net_points_hundredths": -477503,
     "period_from": "2026-10-11",
     "period_to": "2026-11-03",
     "price_rule": "Our market snapshot",
     "return_percent": "-12.15",
     "settled_picks": 415,
     "staked_hundredths": 3930000,
     "void": 22
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        "figure": 4
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       },
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       }
      ],
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     {
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      "market_key": "player_to_score",
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     {
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      ],
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     },
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        ],
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      ],
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     },
     {
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      "source_group": "explicit",
      "market_label": "Player shots on target over/under 1.5",
      "market_key": "player_shots",
      "choices": [
       {
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        "in_words": "Vedat Muriqi over 1.5 shots on target",
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      ],
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     {
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      "market_key": "player_to_score",
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       {
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        "in_words": "Cody Gakpo to score",
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        ],
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       }
      ],
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     },
     {
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      "market_key": "team_total",
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      ],
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     },
     {
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      ],
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     },
     {
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      ],
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    ],
    "author_count": 43,
    "below_threshold": {
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     "author_count": 2
    },
    "limit": 10
   },
   "chain": {
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    "unique": 18,
    "comparable": 18,
    "admissible": 18,
    "contributions": 18
   },
   "differing_choices": 0,
   "visible_who": 11,
   "newcomers_who": 34,
   "newcomers_before": 62,
   "titles_shown": true,
   "legend": "Badges show titles earned before this prediction, by published rules."
  },
  "arguments": {
   "topics": [
    {
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     "display_name": "Form",
     "checkable_item": false,
     "bullet_points": [
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      },
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       "retelling": null,
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      }
     ],
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    },
    {
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     "checkable_item": false,
     "bullet_points": [
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       "choice": "over 3.5",
       "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals",
       "logged_at": "2026-11-02T17:14:21.475Z",
       "original": "https://footballwhispers.com/blog/fenerbahce-vs-liverpool-prediction-04-11-2026/",
       "proof": "/authors/adam-clancy/picks/12/#pick-n-dc470d732b1e744ae276644b",
       "quote_text": "Four of both teams' six league phase games have featured over 3.5 goals.",
       "retelling": null,
       "checkable_item": false,
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      },
      {
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       "author_name": "Sporting Life",
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       "choice": "Ryan Gravenberch to score",
       "market_label": "Player to score",
       "logged_at": "2026-11-03T16:52:05.371Z",
       "original": "https://www.sportinglife.com/football/news/wednesday-best-bets-champions-league-and-efl-tips-for-november-4-2026/235206",
       "proof": "/sources/sporting-life/picks/14/#pick-n-74e4b290972fd6d7582f1f44",
       "quote_text": "He has looked at his most threatening in the Champions League when starting against Villarreal and LASK - matches where Liverpool scored a total of 10 goals …",
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      }
     ],
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    },
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       "original": "https://dailysports.net/predictions/can-liverpool-extend-their-winning-run-in-istanbul-fenerbahce-vs-liverpool-prediction-november-4-2026/",
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       "quote_text": "Both teams have shown vulnerabilities at the back, while their attacking performances provide reasons to expect chances at both ends.",
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      },
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       "logged_at": "2026-11-03T16:54:35.619Z",
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       "proof": "/authors/joe-townsend/picks/11/#pick-n-e2746a6ae13cac0bf6c38976",
       "quote_text": "He has looked at his most threatening in the Champions League when starting against Villarreal and LASK - matches where Liverpool scored a total of 10 goals …",
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       "against": false
      }
     ],
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    },
    {
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       "market_label": "Player to score",
       "logged_at": "2026-11-02T10:44:50.508Z",
       "original": "https://www.freesupertips.com/predictions/fenerbahce-vs-liverpool-predictions-betting-tips-match-previews/",
       "proof": "/sources/free-super-tips/picks/37/#pick-n-53c0e2a9bdd44e5e1bb3c582",
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   "other_language_hosts": [
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   "mode": "quotes",
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   "checkable": 0
  },
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   "probabilities": [
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     "in_words": "Fenerbahçe",
     "percent_value": 18
    },
    {
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    },
    {
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     "in_words": "Liverpool",
     "percent_value": 61
    }
   ],
   "prices": {
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    "X": "4.56",
    "2": "1.53"
   },
   "group_count": 31,
   "bookmakers": 48,
   "snapshot_at": "2026-11-04T17:45:00.000Z",
   "closing_line": true,
   "first_at": "2026-10-21T21:20:14.965Z",
   "shift_pp": 10.1,
   "phrase": "The market has moved clearly since our first snapshot on 21 October 2026: Liverpool 51% then, 61% at kick-off.",
   "technique": "Median across groups of bookmakers, without margin: brands on one platform count once (median within the group); betting exchanges and prediction markets are excluded. Market price from an odds aggregator; the data provider is not named.",
   "t24": {
    "snapshot_at": "2026-11-03T17:45:00.000Z",
    "probabilities": {
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     "2": 64,
     "X": 20
    }
   },
   "t2": {
    "snapshot_at": "2026-11-04T15:45:00.000Z",
    "probabilities": {
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     "X": 19
    }
   }
  },
  "market_mode": "show",
  "fact_sheet": {
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   "matchday": "League Stage · Matchday 4",
   "starts_at": "2026-11-04T17:45:00.000Z",
   "form": {
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      "scoreline": "1-2",
      "opponent": "Göztepe",
      "at_home": true,
      "data": "2026-10-31"
     },
     {
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      "opponent": "Galatasaray",
      "at_home": false,
      "data": "2026-10-26"
     },
     {
      "res": "D",
      "scoreline": "2-2",
      "opponent": "SK Slavia Praha",
      "at_home": true,
      "data": "2026-10-20"
     },
     {
      "res": "W",
      "scoreline": "3-0",
      "opponent": "Alanyaspor",
      "at_home": true,
      "data": "2026-10-17"
     },
     {
      "res": "L",
      "scoreline": "0-6",
      "opponent": "Aston Villa",
      "at_home": false,
      "data": "2026-10-14"
     }
    ],
    "away": [
     {
      "res": "L",
      "scoreline": "0-1",
      "opponent": "Arsenal",
      "at_home": true,
      "data": "2026-11-01"
     },
     {
      "res": "D",
      "scoreline": "1-1",
      "opponent": "Chelsea",
      "at_home": true,
      "data": "2026-10-28"
     },
     {
      "res": "W",
      "scoreline": "2-0",
      "opponent": "Brighton & Hove Albion",
      "at_home": true,
      "data": "2026-10-25"
     },
     {
      "res": "W",
      "scoreline": "4-3",
      "opponent": "Villarreal",
      "at_home": true,
      "data": "2026-10-20"
     },
     {
      "res": "W",
      "scoreline": "2-1",
      "opponent": "Brentford",
      "at_home": false,
      "data": "2026-10-17"
     }
    ]
   },
   "head_to_head": [],
   "past_cards": [],
   "reach": ""
  },
  "after_match": {
   "scoreline": "3-2",
   "fact_code": "1",
   "row_list": [
    "Match-result predictions from tipsters and sources with 10 or more predictions checked against the final score to date: 0 of 20 matched · Tipsters 0 of 13 · Prediction sites 0 of 7",
    "All recorded exact-score predictions: 0 of 12 matched",
    "Exact-score predictions from tipsters and sources with 10 or more predictions checked against the final score to date: 0 of 12 matched the score, 0 of 12 the outcome",
    "Predictions from tipsters and sources with fewer than 10 predictions checked against the final score to date, recorded before kick-off: 3 predictions · 1 won, 2 lost",
    "Most common selection among tipsters and sources with 10 or more predictions checked against the final score to date: Liverpool (20 of 20), missed",
    "Market favourite at kick-off: Liverpool (missed)"
   ],
   "by_group": {
    "tipsters": {
     "correct": 0,
     "of": 13
    },
    "websites": {
     "correct": 0,
     "of": 7
    }
   },
   "placement": null,
   "checks": []
  },
  "prices": [
   {
    "author_name": "Bren Gray",
    "choice": "Fenerbahçe 1-3 Liverpool",
    "market_label": "Correct score",
    "author_quoted_price": "11.00",
    "our_snapshot": "10.0000",
    "closing_line": null
   },
   {
    "author_name": "Adam Clancy",
    "choice": "yes",
    "market_label": "Both teams to score",
    "author_quoted_price": "1.58",
    "our_snapshot": "1.5495",
    "closing_line": null
   },
   {
    "author_name": "Andrea Colucci",
    "choice": "yes",
    "market_label": "Both teams to score",
    "author_quoted_price": "1.52",
    "our_snapshot": "1.5682",
    "closing_line": null
   },
   {
    "author_name": "Dailysports",
    "choice": "over 3.5",
    "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals",
    "author_quoted_price": "1.76",
    "our_snapshot": "2.0950",
    "closing_line": null
   },
   {
    "author_name": "Sporting Life",
    "choice": "Ryan Gravenberch to score",
    "market_label": "Player to score",
    "author_quoted_price": "6.00",
    "our_snapshot": "5.8750",
    "closing_line": null
   },
   {
    "author_name": "Joe Townsend",
    "choice": "Ryan Gravenberch to score",
    "market_label": "Player to score",
    "author_quoted_price": "6.00",
    "our_snapshot": "5.8750",
    "closing_line": null
   },
   {
    "author_name": "Dan Childs",
    "choice": "Liverpool -1.0",
    "market_label": "Asian handicap -1",
    "author_quoted_price": "1.85",
    "our_snapshot": "1.8696",
    "closing_line": null
   },
   {
    "author_name": "Dan Childs",
    "choice": "Liverpool -1",
    "market_label": "Asian handicap -1",
    "author_quoted_price": "1.85",
    "our_snapshot": "1.7800",
    "closing_line": null
   },
   {
    "author_name": "Bren Gray",
    "choice": "Liverpool win, both teams to score: yes",
    "market_label": "Match result and both teams to score",
    "author_quoted_price": "2.70",
    "our_snapshot": "2.4750",
    "closing_line": null
   },
   {
    "author_name": "Dan Childs",
    "choice": "Alexander Isak to score",
    "market_label": "Player to score",
    "author_quoted_price": "2.15",
    "our_snapshot": "1.9500",
    "closing_line": null
   },
   {
    "author_name": "Free Super Tips",
    "choice": "Alexis Mac Allister to score",
    "market_label": "Player to score",
    "author_quoted_price": "5.00",
    "our_snapshot": "5.0000",
    "closing_line": null
   }
  ],
  "revisions": [
   "Market 24 hours before kick-off: Liverpool 64%.",
   "Market 2 hours before kick-off: Liverpool 65%.",
   "First published with predictions on 29 October 2026."
  ],
  "titles": {
   "shown": true,
   "legend": "Badges show titles earned before this prediction, by published rules.",
   "frozen_in": "sr-cf97a8c5a334088109e12fe0"
  },
  "tracker": null,
  "source_groups": {
   "as_of": "2026-11-04T17:45:00.000Z",
   "groups": [
    {
     "key": "prediction_sites",
     "label": "Prediction sites"
    },
    {
     "key": "media",
     "label": "Media"
    },
    {
     "key": "telegram_channels",
     "label": "Telegram channels"
    },
    {
     "key": "private_authors",
     "label": "Independent tipsters"
    }
   ],
   "authors": 45,
   "by_group": [
    {
     "key": "prediction_sites",
     "authors": 16
    },
    {
     "key": "media",
     "authors": 11
    },
    {
     "key": "telegram_channels",
     "authors": 14
    },
    {
     "key": "private_authors",
     "authors": 4
    }
   ],
   "markets": [
    {
     "key": "1x2",
     "label": "Match result",
     "authors": 22,
     "by_group": [
      {
       "key": "prediction_sites",
       "authors": 8
      },
      {
       "key": "media",
       "authors": 3
      },
      {
       "key": "telegram_channels",
       "authors": 8
      },
      {
       "key": "private_authors",
       "authors": 3
      }
     ],
     "choices": [
      {
       "code_name": "1",
       "in_words": "Fenerbahçe",
       "authors": 0,
       "by_group": [
        {
         "key": "prediction_sites",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "media",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "telegram_channels",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "private_authors",
         "authors": 0
        }
       ]
      },
      {
       "code_name": "X",
       "in_words": "Draw",
       "authors": 0,
       "by_group": [
        {
         "key": "prediction_sites",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "media",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "telegram_channels",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "private_authors",
         "authors": 0
        }
       ]
      },
      {
       "code_name": "2",
       "in_words": "Liverpool",
       "authors": 22,
       "by_group": [
        {
         "key": "prediction_sites",
         "authors": 8
        },
        {
         "key": "media",
         "authors": 3
        },
        {
         "key": "telegram_channels",
         "authors": 8
        },
        {
         "key": "private_authors",
         "authors": 3
        }
       ]
      }
     ]
    },
    {
     "key": "totals",
     "label": "Goal totals",
     "authors": 17,
     "by_group": [
      {
       "key": "prediction_sites",
       "authors": 7
      },
      {
       "key": "media",
       "authors": 5
      },
      {
       "key": "telegram_channels",
       "authors": 3
      },
      {
       "key": "private_authors",
       "authors": 2
      }
     ]
    },
    {
     "key": "other",
     "label": "Handicaps, both teams to score, correct score and other markets",
     "authors": 27,
     "by_group": [
      {
       "key": "prediction_sites",
       "authors": 12
      },
      {
       "key": "media",
       "authors": 9
      },
      {
       "key": "telegram_channels",
       "authors": 4
      },
      {
       "key": "private_authors",
       "authors": 2
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  "market_line": {
   "line_state": "moved",
   "line_frozen": true,
   "phrase": "Market line at kick-off (4 November 2026, 17:45 GMT): Fenerbahçe 18%, draw 21%, Liverpool 61%. From 21 October 2026, 22:20 BST to kick-off the line moved 10.1 percentage points (Liverpool up).",
   "line_markets": [
    {
     "market_text": "1X2, match result",
     "market_group": "1x2",
     "line_kind": "median_line",
     "margin_included": false,
     "snapshot_at": "2026-11-04T17:45:00.000Z",
     "closing_line": true,
     "probabilities": [
      {
       "outcome_label": "1",
       "in_words": "Fenerbahçe",
       "percent_value": 18
      },
      {
       "outcome_label": "X",
       "in_words": "Draw",
       "percent_value": 21
      },
      {
       "outcome_label": "2",
       "in_words": "Liverpool",
       "percent_value": 61
      }
     ],
     "group_count": 31,
     "first_at": "2026-10-21T21:20:14.965Z",
     "first_probabilities": {
      "1": 24,
      "2": 51,
      "X": 25
     },
     "shift_pp": 10.1,
     "shift_outcome": "2",
     "shift_direction": "up",
     "line_state": "moved",
     "phrase": "Market line at kick-off (4 November 2026, 17:45 GMT): Fenerbahçe 18%, draw 21%, Liverpool 61%. From 21 October 2026, 22:20 BST to kick-off the line moved 10.1 percentage points (Liverpool up)."
    },
    {
     "market_text": "Both teams to score",
     "market_group": "other",
     "line_kind": "recorded_price",
     "margin_included": true,
     "closing_line": false,
     "price_sides": [
      {
       "choice": "yes",
       "snapshot_price": "1.48",
       "percent_value": 67,
       "snapshot_at": "2026-11-04T12:25:41.797Z",
       "snapshot_count": 6,
       "first_snapshot_price": "1.55",
       "first_at": "2026-11-02T17:09:24.173Z",
       "shift_pp": 2.9,
       "shift_direction": "up",
       "line_state": "barely_moved"
      }
     ],
     "line_state": "barely_moved",
     "phrase": "Both teams to score, yes: market price 1.48 on 4 November 2026, 12:25 GMT (implied 67%, margin included), 2.9 percentage points up from 2 November 2026, 17:09 GMT."
    },
    {
     "market_text": "Over/Under 1.5 goals",
     "market_group": "totals",
     "line_kind": "recorded_price",
     "margin_included": true,
     "closing_line": false,
     "price_sides": [
      {
       "choice": "over 1.5",
       "snapshot_price": "1.11",
       "percent_value": 90,
       "snapshot_at": "2026-11-04T00:08:12.528Z",
       "snapshot_count": 2,
       "first_snapshot_price": "1.14",
       "first_at": "2026-11-02T02:49:22.840Z",
       "shift_pp": 2.3,
       "shift_direction": "up",
       "line_state": "barely_moved"
      }
     ],
     "line_state": "barely_moved",
     "phrase": "Over/Under 1.5 goals, over 1.5 goals: market price 1.11 on 4 November 2026, 00:08 GMT (implied 90%, margin included), 2.3 percentage points up from 2 November 2026, 02:49 GMT."
    },
    {
     "market_text": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
     "market_group": "totals",
     "line_kind": "recorded_price",
     "margin_included": true,
     "closing_line": false,
     "price_sides": [
      {
       "choice": "over 2.5",
       "snapshot_price": "1.33",
       "percent_value": 75,
       "snapshot_at": "2026-11-04T15:38:29.984Z",
       "snapshot_count": 9,
       "first_snapshot_price": "1.49",
       "first_at": "2026-10-26T06:25:19.385Z",
       "shift_pp": 7.8,
       "shift_direction": "up",
       "line_state": "moved"
      },
      {
       "choice": "under 2.5",
       "snapshot_price": "2.60",
       "percent_value": 38,
       "snapshot_at": "2026-10-27T23:01:02.794Z",
       "snapshot_count": 1,
       "first_snapshot_price": null,
       "first_at": null,
       "shift_pp": null,
       "shift_direction": null,
       "line_state": "single_snapshot"
      }
     ],
     "line_state": "moved",
     "phrase": "Over/Under 2.5 goals, over 2.5 goals: market price 1.33 on 4 November 2026, 15:38 GMT (implied 75%, margin included), 7.8 percentage points up from 26 October 2026, 06:25 GMT. Over/Under 2.5 goals, under 2.5 goals: market price 2.60 on 27 October 2026, 23:01 GMT (implied 38%, margin included)."
    },
    {
     "market_text": "Over/Under 3.5 goals",
     "market_group": "totals",
     "line_kind": "recorded_price",
     "margin_included": true,
     "closing_line": false,
     "price_sides": [
      {
       "choice": "over 3.5",
       "snapshot_price": "2.03",
       "percent_value": 49,
       "snapshot_at": "2026-11-03T18:12:30.728Z",
       "snapshot_count": 4,
       "first_snapshot_price": "2.19",
       "first_at": "2026-11-02T17:09:24.173Z",
       "shift_pp": 3.6,
       "shift_direction": "up",
       "line_state": "moved"
      }
     ],
     "line_state": "moved",
     "phrase": "Over/Under 3.5 goals, over 3.5 goals: market price 2.03 on 3 November 2026, 18:12 GMT (implied 49%, margin included), 3.6 percentage points up from 2 November 2026, 17:09 GMT."
    },
    {
     "market_text": "Team goals over/under 0.5",
     "market_group": "totals",
     "line_kind": "recorded_price",
     "margin_included": true,
     "closing_line": false,
     "price_sides": [
      {
       "choice": "Fenerbahçe over 0.5",
       "snapshot_price": "1.39",
       "percent_value": 72,
       "snapshot_at": "2026-11-03T17:29:48.139Z",
       "snapshot_count": 1,
       "first_snapshot_price": null,
       "first_at": null,
       "shift_pp": null,
       "shift_direction": null,
       "line_state": "single_snapshot"
      }
     ],
     "line_state": "single_snapshot",
     "phrase": "Team goals over/under 0.5, Fenerbahçe over 0.5 goals: market price 1.39 on 3 November 2026, 17:29 GMT (implied 72%, margin included)."
    },
    {
     "market_text": "Team goals over/under 2.5",
     "market_group": "totals",
     "line_kind": "recorded_price",
     "margin_included": true,
     "closing_line": false,
     "price_sides": [
      {
       "choice": "Liverpool over 2.5",
       "snapshot_price": "2.26",
       "percent_value": 44,
       "snapshot_at": "2026-11-03T14:10:34.343Z",
       "snapshot_count": 1,
       "first_snapshot_price": null,
       "first_at": null,
       "shift_pp": null,
       "shift_direction": null,
       "line_state": "single_snapshot"
      }
     ],
     "line_state": "single_snapshot",
     "phrase": "Team goals over/under 2.5, Liverpool over 2.5 goals: market price 2.26 on 3 November 2026, 14:10 GMT (implied 44%, margin included)."
    },
    {
     "market_text": "Team goals over/under 3.5",
     "market_group": "totals",
     "line_kind": "recorded_price",
     "margin_included": true,
     "closing_line": false,
     "price_sides": [
      {
       "choice": "Liverpool over 3.5",
       "snapshot_price": "5.00",
       "percent_value": 20,
       "snapshot_at": "2026-10-30T07:08:36.184Z",
       "snapshot_count": 1,
       "first_snapshot_price": null,
       "first_at": null,
       "shift_pp": null,
       "shift_direction": null,
       "line_state": "single_snapshot"
      }
     ],
     "line_state": "single_snapshot",
     "phrase": "Team goals over/under 3.5, Liverpool over 3.5 goals: market price 5.00 on 30 October 2026, 07:08 GMT (implied 20%, margin included)."
    }
   ]
  },
  "pre_kickoff_snapshot": {
   "frozen_before_kickoff": true,
   "as_of_moment": "2026-11-04T17:45:00.000Z",
   "starts_at": "2026-11-04T17:45:00.000Z",
   "phrase": "Before kick-off on 4 November 2026, 17:45 GMT: market line at kick-off Fenerbahçe 18%, draw 21%, Liverpool 61%; 1X2, match result: most expected Liverpool (22 of 22 predictions); Over/Under 2.5 goals: most expected over 2.5 goals (9 of 10 predictions); Correct score, recorded picks before the match (12): 5 on Fenerbahçe 1-3 Liverpool, 4 on Fenerbahçe 1-2 Liverpool, 2 on Fenerbahçe 2-4 Liverpool, 1 on other picks.",
   "market_line_brief": {
    "snapshot_at": "2026-11-04T17:45:00.000Z",
    "closing_line": true,
    "probabilities": {
     "1": 18,
     "X": 21,
     "2": 61
    }
   },
   "market_groups": [
    {
     "market_group": "1x2",
     "group_markets": [
      {
       "market_text": "1X2, match result",
       "prediction_count": 22,
       "row_count": 22,
       "market_choices": [
        {
         "choice": "Liverpool",
         "figure": 22
        }
       ],
       "phrase_mode": "majority",
       "leader_choice": "Liverpool",
       "leader_count": 22,
       "share_percent": 100,
       "phrase": "1X2, match result: most expected Liverpool (22 of 22 predictions)",
       "sides_1x2": [
        {
         "side": "1",
         "in_words": "Fenerbahçe",
         "figure": 0
        },
        {
         "side": "X",
         "in_words": "draw",
         "figure": 0
        },
        {
         "side": "2",
         "in_words": "Liverpool",
         "figure": 22
        }
       ]
      }
     ]
    },
    {
     "market_group": "totals",
     "group_markets": [
      {
       "market_text": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
       "prediction_count": 10,
       "row_count": 10,
       "market_choices": [
        {
         "choice": "over 2.5",
         "figure": 9
        },
        {
         "choice": "under 2.5",
         "figure": 1
        }
       ],
       "phrase_mode": "majority",
       "leader_choice": "over 2.5",
       "leader_count": 9,
       "share_percent": 90,
       "phrase": "Over/Under 2.5 goals: most expected over 2.5 goals (9 of 10 predictions)"
      },
      {
       "market_text": "Over/Under 3.5 goals",
       "prediction_count": 4,
       "row_count": 4,
       "market_choices": [
        {
         "choice": "over 3.5",
         "figure": 4
        }
       ],
       "phrase_mode": "listing",
       "leader_choice": null,
       "leader_count": null,
       "share_percent": 100,
       "phrase": "Over/Under 3.5 goals, recorded picks before the match (4): 4 on over 3.5 goals"
      },
      {
       "market_text": "Over/Under 1.5 goals",
       "prediction_count": 2,
       "row_count": 2,
       "market_choices": [
        {
         "choice": "over 1.5",
         "figure": 2
        }
       ],
       "phrase_mode": "listing",
       "leader_choice": null,
       "leader_count": null,
       "share_percent": 100,
       "phrase": "Over/Under 1.5 goals, recorded picks before the match (2): 2 on over 1.5 goals"
      },
      {
       "market_text": "Team goals over/under 0.5",
       "prediction_count": 1,
       "row_count": 1,
       "market_choices": [
        {
         "choice": "Fenerbahçe over 0.5",
         "figure": 1
        }
       ],
       "phrase_mode": "listing",
       "leader_choice": null,
       "leader_count": null,
       "share_percent": 100,
       "phrase": "Team goals over/under 0.5, recorded picks before the match (1): 1 on Fenerbahçe over 0.5 goals"
      },
      {
       "market_text": "Team goals over/under 2.5",
       "prediction_count": 1,
       "row_count": 1,
       "market_choices": [
        {
         "choice": "Liverpool over 2.5",
         "figure": 1
        }
       ],
       "phrase_mode": "listing",
       "leader_choice": null,
       "leader_count": null,
       "share_percent": 100,
       "phrase": "Team goals over/under 2.5, recorded picks before the match (1): 1 on Liverpool over 2.5 goals"
      },
      {
       "market_text": "Team goals over/under 3.5",
       "prediction_count": 1,
       "row_count": 1,
       "market_choices": [
        {
         "choice": "Liverpool over 3.5",
         "figure": 1
        }
       ],
       "phrase_mode": "listing",
       "leader_choice": null,
       "leader_count": null,
       "share_percent": 100,
       "phrase": "Team goals over/under 3.5, recorded picks before the match (1): 1 on Liverpool over 3.5 goals"
      }
     ]
    },
    {
     "market_group": "other",
     "group_markets": [
      {
       "market_text": "Correct score",
       "prediction_count": 12,
       "row_count": 12,
       "market_choices": [
        {
         "choice": "Fenerbahçe 1-3 Liverpool",
         "figure": 5
        },
        {
         "choice": "Fenerbahçe 1-2 Liverpool",
         "figure": 4
        },
        {
         "choice": "Fenerbahçe 2-4 Liverpool",
         "figure": 2
        },
        {
         "choice": "Fenerbahçe 1-5 Liverpool",
         "figure": 1
        }
       ],
       "phrase_mode": "listing",
       "leader_choice": null,
       "leader_count": null,
       "share_percent": 42,
       "phrase": "Correct score, recorded picks before the match (12): 5 on Fenerbahçe 1-3 Liverpool, 4 on Fenerbahçe 1-2 Liverpool, 2 on Fenerbahçe 2-4 Liverpool, 1 on other picks"
      },
      {
       "market_text": "Player to score",
       "prediction_count": 7,
       "row_count": 7,
       "market_choices": [
        {
         "choice": "Alexander Isak to score",
         "figure": 3
        },
        {
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