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 "heading": "FC Twente vs Pafos: recorded predictions and results",
 "description": "FC Twente vs Pafos, 5 November 2026. Final score 3-1 · UEFA Conference League: 9 distinct predictions from 8 authors.",
 "first_paragraph": {
  "body": "FC Twente finished 3-1 against Pafos. The one recorded correct-score prediction (FC Twente 3-1 Pafos) matched it. Other markets are shown separately below. Forecast Record recorded 9 statements from 8 authors on FC Twente vs Pafos (UEFA Conference League, kick-off 5 November 2026): 9 distinct predictions, all of the statements recorded before kick-off.",
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  "data": "2026-11-05",
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  "disclosure": "Some links below are affiliate links and are marked as such. They never affect what you see above: the order of any table is computed before any commission is known.",
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 "event": {
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  "competition_name": "UEFA Conference League",
  "starts_at": "2026-11-05T20:00:00.000Z",
  "status": "finished",
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   "contributions": 3,
   "prediction_count": 3,
   "chain": {
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 "record_counts": {
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    "evidence_urls": [
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 "title_tag": "FC Twente vs Pafos: Recorded Predictions and Results — 5 Nov 2026",
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     },
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   {
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    "type_code": "author_before_match",
    "moment_at": "2026-11-05T20:00:00.000Z",
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    "approach": "by_capture_time",
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     "period_to": "2026-11-04",
     "price_rule": "Our market snapshot",
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    "entity_ref": "e-7f83bd7721d89891f4e099e8",
    "name_shown": "Statarea",
    "url": "/sources/statarea-com/"
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   {
    "id": "sr-b1d0ad3ae5c3b627830abc4f",
    "type_code": "author_before_match",
    "moment_at": "2026-11-05T20:00:00.000Z",
    "freeze_at": "2026-11-06T14:34:25.686Z",
    "approach": "by_capture_time",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "counting_rule": "1",
    "figures": {
     "matches": 196,
     "method_version": "2.2",
     "net_points_hundredths": -253889,
     "period_from": "2026-10-14",
     "period_to": "2026-11-04",
     "price_rule": "Our market snapshot",
     "return_percent": "-12.57",
     "settled_picks": 206,
     "staked_hundredths": 2020000,
     "void": 4
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      "market_key": "1x2",
      "choices": [
       {
        "code_name": "1",
        "in_words": "FC Twente",
        "tips": [
         {
          "author_name": "İddaaTahmin",
          "entry_id": "n-60000e9b48aaf8ac8432da97",
          "outcome_label": "Won",
          "source_group": "websites"
         },
         {
          "author_name": "Sergio Stanco",
          "entry_id": "n-89e381d9e62e9eee1fd4a57f",
          "outcome_label": "Won",
          "source_group": "tipsters"
         },
         {
          "author_name": "Statarea",
          "entry_id": "n-63f7901e70d4261c38b4e1fd",
          "outcome_label": "Won",
          "source_group": "websites"
         }
        ],
        "figure": 3
       },
       {
        "code_name": "X",
        "in_words": "Draw",
        "tips": [],
        "figure": 0
       },
       {
        "code_name": "2",
        "in_words": "Pafos",
        "tips": [],
        "figure": 0
       }
      ],
      "n": 3,
      "publisher_count": 3
     },
     {
      "contract_code": "total|3.0|match|*|*#explicit",
      "source_group": "explicit",
      "market_label": "Over/Under 3 goals",
      "market_key": "total",
      "choices": [
       {
        "code_name": "over",
        "in_words": "over 3.0",
        "tips": [
         {
          "author_name": "Cris7iano Tips",
          "entry_id": "n-71b448e630e4240dcd32c75a",
          "outcome_label": "Won",
          "source_group": "websites"
         },
         {
          "author_name": "Dailysports",
          "entry_id": "n-cde72924c1c393c2249c0cfb",
          "outcome_label": "Won",
          "source_group": "websites"
         }
        ],
        "figure": 2
       }
      ],
      "n": 2,
      "publisher_count": 2
     },
     {
      "contract_code": "handicap_asian|2.00|match|*|*#explicit",
      "source_group": "explicit",
      "market_label": "Asian handicap 2",
      "market_key": "handicap_asian",
      "choices": [
       {
        "code_name": "2",
        "in_words": "Pafos +2.00",
        "tips": [
         {
          "author_name": "BETSiE (AceOdds)",
          "entry_id": "n-e36ef64cec37ccb39be267c3",
          "outcome_label": "Void",
          "source_group": "websites"
         }
        ],
        "figure": 1
       }
      ],
      "n": 1,
      "publisher_count": 1
     },
     {
      "contract_code": "correct_score_market|*|match|*|*#explicit",
      "source_group": "explicit",
      "market_label": "Correct score",
      "market_key": "correct_score_market",
      "choices": [
       {
        "code_name": "3-1",
        "in_words": "FC Twente 3-1 Pafos",
        "tips": [
         {
          "author_name": "Nsidibe Akpan",
          "entry_id": "n-6fee0d9c484a45abc558e7ab",
          "outcome_label": "Won",
          "source_group": "experts"
         }
        ],
        "figure": 1
       }
      ],
      "n": 1,
      "publisher_count": 1
     },
     {
      "contract_code": "total|2.5|match|*|*#explicit",
      "source_group": "explicit",
      "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
      "market_key": "total",
      "choices": [
       {
        "code_name": "over",
        "in_words": "over 2.5",
        "tips": [
         {
          "author_name": "FootballPredictions.net",
          "entry_id": "n-6b40367f8765df09373fac07",
          "outcome_label": "Won",
          "source_group": "websites"
         }
        ],
        "figure": 1
       }
      ],
      "n": 1,
      "publisher_count": 1
     },
     {
      "contract_code": "total|3.5|match|*|*#explicit",
      "source_group": "explicit",
      "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals",
      "market_key": "total",
      "choices": [
       {
        "code_name": "under",
        "in_words": "under 3.5",
        "tips": [
         {
          "author_name": "Sergio Stanco",
          "entry_id": "n-056ab7aaf6096e43f7a70699",
          "outcome_label": "Lost",
          "source_group": "tipsters"
         }
        ],
        "figure": 1
       }
      ],
      "n": 1,
      "publisher_count": 1
     }
    ],
    "author_count": 8,
    "below_threshold": {
     "prediction_count": 0,
     "author_count": 0
    },
    "limit": 10
   },
   "chain": {
    "publications": 2,
    "unique": 2,
    "comparable": 2,
    "admissible": 2,
    "contributions": 2
   },
   "differing_choices": 0,
   "visible_who": 2,
   "newcomers_who": 6,
   "newcomers_before": 7,
   "titles_shown": true,
   "legend": "Badges show titles earned before this prediction, by published rules."
  },
  "arguments": {
   "topics": [
    {
     "code_name": "tactics",
     "display_name": "Tactics and style",
     "checkable_item": false,
     "bullet_points": [
      {
       "entry_id": "n-cde72924c1c393c2249c0cfb",
       "author_name": "Dailysports",
       "author_href": "/sources/dailysports-net/",
       "source_group": "websites",
       "choice": "over 3.0",
       "market_label": "Over/Under 3 goals",
       "logged_at": "2026-11-05T01:49:30.998Z",
       "original": "https://dailysports.net/predictions/twente-chasing-a-third-straight-win-twente-vs-pafos-prediction/",
       "proof": "/sources/dailysports-net/picks/32/#pick-n-cde72924c1c393c2249c0cfb",
       "quote_text": "Twente look like clear favorites thanks to their attacking firepower and confident performances in recent matches. Van den Brom's team consistently creates…",
       "retelling": null,
       "checkable_item": false,
       "against": false
      }
     ],
     "total_count": 1
    }
   ],
   "against": [],
   "other_languages": 0,
   "other_language_hosts": [],
   "mode": "quotes",
   "topics_total": 1,
   "checkable": 0
  },
  "market_label": {
   "favourite_code": "1",
   "favourite": "FC Twente",
   "probabilities": [
    {
     "outcome_label": "1",
     "in_words": "FC Twente",
     "percent_value": 76
    },
    {
     "outcome_label": "X",
     "in_words": "Draw",
     "percent_value": 14
    },
    {
     "outcome_label": "2",
     "in_words": "Pafos",
     "percent_value": 10
    }
   ],
   "prices": {
    "1": "1.24",
    "X": "6.73",
    "2": "9.90"
   },
   "group_count": 13,
   "bookmakers": 15,
   "snapshot_at": "2026-11-05T20:00:00.000Z",
   "closing_line": true,
   "first_at": "2026-10-26T00:11:25.463Z",
   "shift_pp": 13.2,
   "phrase": "The market has moved clearly since our first snapshot on 26 October 2026: FC Twente 63% then, 76% at kick-off.",
   "technique": "Median across groups of bookmakers, without margin: brands on one platform count once (median within the group); betting exchanges and prediction markets are excluded. Market price from an odds aggregator; the data provider is not named.",
   "t24": {
    "snapshot_at": "2026-11-04T20:00:00.000Z",
    "probabilities": {
     "1": 72,
     "2": 11,
     "X": 17
    }
   },
   "t2": {
    "snapshot_at": "2026-11-05T18:00:00.000Z",
    "probabilities": {
     "1": 77,
     "2": 10,
     "X": 13
    }
   }
  },
  "market_mode": "show",
  "fact_sheet": {
   "tournament": "UEFA Conference League (Europe)",
   "matchday": "League Stage · Matchday 3",
   "starts_at": "2026-11-05T20:00:00.000Z",
   "form": {
    "home_side": [
     {
      "res": "W",
      "scoreline": "9-0",
      "opponent": "Excelsior",
      "at_home": false,
      "data": "2026-11-01"
     },
     {
      "res": "W",
      "scoreline": "2-0",
      "opponent": "AZ Alkmaar",
      "at_home": false,
      "data": "2026-10-25"
     },
     {
      "res": "W",
      "scoreline": "4-1",
      "opponent": "Lincoln Red Imps",
      "at_home": false,
      "data": "2026-10-22"
     },
     {
      "res": "L",
      "scoreline": "1-2",
      "opponent": "FC Utrecht",
      "at_home": true,
      "data": "2026-10-18"
     },
     {
      "res": "W",
      "scoreline": "1-0",
      "opponent": "FC Thun",
      "at_home": true,
      "data": "2026-10-15"
     }
    ],
    "away": [
     {
      "res": "D",
      "scoreline": "2-2",
      "opponent": "Apollon Limassol",
      "at_home": false,
      "data": "2026-10-31"
     },
     {
      "res": "D",
      "scoreline": "0-0",
      "opponent": "Nea Salamis Famagusta",
      "at_home": false,
      "data": "2026-10-26"
     },
     {
      "res": "D",
      "scoreline": "1-1",
      "opponent": "Riga",
      "at_home": true,
      "data": "2026-10-22"
     },
     {
      "res": "D",
      "scoreline": "0-0",
      "opponent": "Apoel Nicosia",
      "at_home": true,
      "data": "2026-10-19"
     },
     {
      "res": "L",
      "scoreline": "1-3",
      "opponent": "Atalanta",
      "at_home": false,
      "data": "2026-10-15"
     }
    ]
   },
   "head_to_head": [],
   "past_cards": [],
   "reach": ""
  },
  "after_match": {
   "scoreline": "3-1",
   "fact_code": "1",
   "row_list": [
    "Match-result predictions from tipsters and sources with 10 or more predictions checked against the final score to date: 3 of 3 matched · Tipsters 1 of 1 · Prediction sites 2 of 2",
    "All recorded exact-score predictions: 1 of 1 matched",
    "Exact-score predictions from tipsters and sources with 10 or more predictions checked against the final score to date: 1 of 1 matched the score, 1 of 1 the outcome",
    "Most common selection among tipsters and sources with 10 or more predictions checked against the final score to date: FC Twente (3 of 3), matched",
    "Market favourite at kick-off: FC Twente (matched)"
   ],
   "by_group": {
    "websites": {
     "correct": 2,
     "of": 2
    },
    "tipsters": {
     "correct": 1,
     "of": 1
    }
   },
   "placement": null,
   "checks": []
  },
  "prices": [
   {
    "author_name": "Dailysports",
    "choice": "over 3.0",
    "market_label": "Over/Under 3 goals",
    "author_quoted_price": "1.60",
    "our_snapshot": "1.6350",
    "closing_line": null
   }
  ],
  "revisions": [
   "Market 24 hours before kick-off: FC Twente 72%.",
   "Market 2 hours before kick-off: FC Twente 77%.",
   "First published with predictions on 4 November 2026."
  ],
  "titles": {
   "shown": true,
   "legend": "Badges show titles earned before this prediction, by published rules.",
   "frozen_in": "sr-ea0fc8f748fd4405f4bcf3f4"
  },
  "tracker": null,
  "source_groups": {
   "as_of": "2026-11-05T20:00:00.000Z",
   "groups": [
    {
     "key": "prediction_sites",
     "label": "Prediction sites"
    },
    {
     "key": "media",
     "label": "Media"
    },
    {
     "key": "telegram_channels",
     "label": "Telegram channels"
    },
    {
     "key": "private_authors",
     "label": "Independent tipsters"
    }
   ],
   "authors": 8,
   "by_group": [
    {
     "key": "prediction_sites",
     "authors": 2
    },
    {
     "key": "media",
     "authors": 1
    },
    {
     "key": "telegram_channels",
     "authors": 5
    },
    {
     "key": "private_authors",
     "authors": 0
    }
   ],
   "markets": [
    {
     "key": "1x2",
     "label": "Match result",
     "authors": 3,
     "by_group": [
      {
       "key": "prediction_sites",
       "authors": 1
      },
      {
       "key": "media",
       "authors": 0
      },
      {
       "key": "telegram_channels",
       "authors": 2
      },
      {
       "key": "private_authors",
       "authors": 0
      }
     ],
     "choices": [
      {
       "code_name": "1",
       "in_words": "FC Twente",
       "authors": 3,
       "by_group": [
        {
         "key": "prediction_sites",
         "authors": 1
        },
        {
         "key": "media",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "telegram_channels",
         "authors": 2
        },
        {
         "key": "private_authors",
         "authors": 0
        }
       ]
      },
      {
       "code_name": "X",
       "in_words": "Draw",
       "authors": 0,
       "by_group": [
        {
         "key": "prediction_sites",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "media",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "telegram_channels",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "private_authors",
         "authors": 0
        }
       ]
      },
      {
       "code_name": "2",
       "in_words": "Pafos",
       "authors": 0,
       "by_group": [
        {
         "key": "prediction_sites",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "media",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "telegram_channels",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "private_authors",
         "authors": 0
        }
       ]
      }
     ]
    },
    {
     "key": "totals",
     "label": "Goal totals",
     "authors": 4,
     "by_group": [
      {
       "key": "prediction_sites",
       "authors": 2
      },
      {
       "key": "media",
       "authors": 0
      },
      {
       "key": "telegram_channels",
       "authors": 2
      },
      {
       "key": "private_authors",
       "authors": 0
      }
     ]
    },
    {
     "key": "other",
     "label": "Handicaps, both teams to score, correct score and other markets",
     "authors": 2,
     "by_group": [
      {
       "key": "prediction_sites",
       "authors": 0
      },
      {
       "key": "media",
       "authors": 1
      },
      {
       "key": "telegram_channels",
       "authors": 1
      },
      {
       "key": "private_authors",
       "authors": 0
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  "market_line": {
   "line_state": "moved",
   "line_frozen": true,
   "phrase": "Market line at kick-off (5 November 2026, 20:00 GMT): FC Twente 76%, draw 14%, Pafos 10%. From 26 October 2026, 00:11 GMT to kick-off the line moved 13.2 percentage points (FC Twente up).",
   "line_markets": [
    {
     "market_text": "1X2, match result",
     "market_group": "1x2",
     "line_kind": "median_line",
     "margin_included": false,
     "snapshot_at": "2026-11-05T20:00:00.000Z",
     "closing_line": true,
     "probabilities": [
      {
       "outcome_label": "1",
       "in_words": "FC Twente",
       "percent_value": 76
      },
      {
       "outcome_label": "X",
       "in_words": "Draw",
       "percent_value": 14
      },
      {
       "outcome_label": "2",
       "in_words": "Pafos",
       "percent_value": 10
      }
     ],
     "group_count": 13,
     "first_at": "2026-10-26T00:11:25.463Z",
     "first_probabilities": {
      "1": 63,
      "2": 15,
      "X": 22
     },
     "shift_pp": 13.2,
     "shift_outcome": "1",
     "shift_direction": "up",
     "line_state": "moved",
     "phrase": "Market line at kick-off (5 November 2026, 20:00 GMT): FC Twente 76%, draw 14%, Pafos 10%. From 26 October 2026, 00:11 GMT to kick-off the line moved 13.2 percentage points (FC Twente up)."
    },
    {
     "market_text": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
     "market_group": "totals",
     "line_kind": "recorded_price",
     "margin_included": true,
     "closing_line": false,
     "price_sides": [
      {
       "choice": "over 2.5",
       "snapshot_price": "1.40",
       "percent_value": 71,
       "snapshot_at": "2026-11-05T03:03:39.784Z",
       "snapshot_count": 1,
       "first_snapshot_price": null,
       "first_at": null,
       "shift_pp": null,
       "shift_direction": null,
       "line_state": "single_snapshot"
      }
     ],
     "line_state": "single_snapshot",
     "phrase": "Over/Under 2.5 goals, over 2.5 goals: market price 1.40 on 5 November 2026, 03:03 GMT (implied 71%, margin included)."
    },
    {
     "market_text": "Over/Under 3 goals",
     "market_group": "totals",
     "line_kind": "recorded_price",
     "margin_included": true,
     "closing_line": false,
     "price_sides": [
      {
       "choice": "over 3.0",
       "snapshot_price": "1.49",
       "percent_value": 67,
       "snapshot_at": "2026-11-05T11:26:27.028Z",
       "snapshot_count": 2,
       "first_snapshot_price": "1.64",
       "first_at": "2026-11-05T01:47:22.461Z",
       "shift_pp": 6.0,
       "shift_direction": "up",
       "line_state": "moved"
      }
     ],
     "line_state": "moved",
     "phrase": "Over/Under 3 goals, over 3.0 goals: market price 1.49 on 5 November 2026, 11:26 GMT (implied 67%, margin included), 6.0 percentage points up from 5 November 2026, 01:47 GMT."
    },
    {
     "market_text": "Over/Under 3.5 goals",
     "market_group": "totals",
     "line_kind": "recorded_price",
     "margin_included": true,
     "closing_line": false,
     "price_sides": [
      {
       "choice": "under 3.5",
       "snapshot_price": "1.72",
       "percent_value": 58,
       "snapshot_at": "2026-11-03T20:24:17.858Z",
       "snapshot_count": 1,
       "first_snapshot_price": null,
       "first_at": null,
       "shift_pp": null,
       "shift_direction": null,
       "line_state": "single_snapshot"
      }
     ],
     "line_state": "single_snapshot",
     "phrase": "Over/Under 3.5 goals, under 3.5 goals: market price 1.72 on 3 November 2026, 20:24 GMT (implied 58%, margin included)."
    }
   ]
  },
  "pre_kickoff_snapshot": {
   "frozen_before_kickoff": true,
   "as_of_moment": "2026-11-05T20:00:00.000Z",
   "starts_at": "2026-11-05T20:00:00.000Z",
   "phrase": "Before kick-off on 5 November 2026, 20:00 GMT: market line at kick-off FC Twente 76%, draw 14%, Pafos 10%; 1X2, match result, recorded picks before the match (3): 3 on FC Twente, 0 on the draw, 0 on Pafos; Over/Under 3 goals, recorded picks before the match (2): 2 on over 3.0 goals; Asian handicap 2, recorded picks before the match (1): 1 on Pafos +2.00.",
   "market_line_brief": {
    "snapshot_at": "2026-11-05T20:00:00.000Z",
    "closing_line": true,
    "probabilities": {
     "1": 76,
     "X": 14,
     "2": 10
    }
   },
   "market_groups": [
    {
     "market_group": "1x2",
     "group_markets": [
      {
       "market_text": "1X2, match result",
       "prediction_count": 3,
       "row_count": 3,
       "market_choices": [
        {
         "choice": "FC Twente",
         "figure": 3
        }
       ],
       "phrase_mode": "listing",
       "leader_choice": null,
       "leader_count": null,
       "share_percent": 100,
       "phrase": "1X2, match result, recorded picks before the match (3): 3 on FC Twente, 0 on the draw, 0 on Pafos",
       "sides_1x2": [
        {
         "side": "1",
         "in_words": "FC Twente",
         "figure": 3
        },
        {
         "side": "X",
         "in_words": "draw",
         "figure": 0
        },
        {
         "side": "2",
         "in_words": "Pafos",
         "figure": 0
        }
       ]
      }
     ]
    },
    {
     "market_group": "totals",
     "group_markets": [
      {
       "market_text": "Over/Under 3 goals",
       "prediction_count": 2,
       "row_count": 2,
       "market_choices": [
        {
         "choice": "over 3.0",
         "figure": 2
        }
       ],
       "phrase_mode": "listing",
       "leader_choice": null,
       "leader_count": null,
       "share_percent": 100,
       "phrase": "Over/Under 3 goals, recorded picks before the match (2): 2 on over 3.0 goals"
      },
      {
       "market_text": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
       "prediction_count": 1,
       "row_count": 1,
       "market_choices": [
        {
         "choice": "over 2.5",
         "figure": 1
        }
       ],
       "phrase_mode": "listing",
       "leader_choice": null,
       "leader_count": null,
       "share_percent": 100,
       "phrase": "Over/Under 2.5 goals, recorded picks before the match (1): 1 on over 2.5 goals"
      },
      {
       "market_text": "Over/Under 3.5 goals",
       "prediction_count": 1,
       "row_count": 1,
       "market_choices": [
        {
         "choice": "under 3.5",
         "figure": 1
        }
       ],
       "phrase_mode": "listing",
       "leader_choice": null,
       "leader_count": null,
       "share_percent": 100,
       "phrase": "Over/Under 3.5 goals, recorded picks before the match (1): 1 on under 3.5 goals"
      }
     ]
    },
    {
     "market_group": "other",
     "group_markets": [
      {
       "market_text": "Asian handicap 2",
       "prediction_count": 1,
       "row_count": 1,
       "market_choices": [
        {
         "choice": "Pafos +2.00",
         "figure": 1
        }
       ],
       "phrase_mode": "listing",
       "leader_choice": null,
       "leader_count": null,
       "share_percent": 100,
       "phrase": "Asian handicap 2, recorded picks before the match (1): 1 on Pafos +2.00"
      },
      {
       "market_text": "Correct score",
       "prediction_count": 1,
       "row_count": 1,
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