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 "heading": "FC Cincinnati vs Philadelphia Union: recorded predictions and results",
 "description": "FC Cincinnati vs Philadelphia Union, 31 October 2026. Final score 1-0 · MLS: 5 distinct predictions from 3 authors.",
 "first_paragraph": {
  "body": "FC Cincinnati finished 1-0 against Philadelphia Union. The recorded predictions are listed below by market, each with its own outcome. Forecast Record recorded 5 statements from 3 authors on FC Cincinnati vs Philadelphia Union (MLS, kick-off 31 October 2026): 5 distinct predictions, all of the statements recorded before kick-off.",
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  "data": "2026-10-31",
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  "display_name": "FC Cincinnati — Philadelphia Union",
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   "quote_text": "el mercado \"Ambos equipos marcan - Sí\" aparece muy plausible y barato (1.33)",
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   "quote_text": "Goles totales\n\nBajo 5,5\n\nSe han marcado menos de 5,5 goles en 6 de los últimos 6 partidos del FC Cincinnati.\n\nSe han marcado menos de 5,5 goles en 4 de los últimos 4 partidos del Philadelphia Union.",
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    "entity_ref": "e-5aff6034c3930ab6c56f10de",
    "name_shown": "Javier Ortega",
    "url": "/authors/javier-ortega/"
   },
   {
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    "type_code": "author_before_match",
    "moment_at": "2026-10-31T18:00:00.000Z",
    "freeze_at": "2026-10-31T20:52:12.314Z",
    "approach": "by_capture_time",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "counting_rule": "1",
    "figures": {
     "matches": 239,
     "method_version": "2.2",
     "net_points_hundredths": 159344,
     "period_from": "2026-10-18",
     "period_to": "2026-10-30",
     "price_rule": "Our market snapshot",
     "return_percent": "6.64",
     "settled_picks": 240,
     "staked_hundredths": 2400000,
     "void": 0
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      "source_group": "explicit",
      "market_label": "Over/Under 5.5 goals",
      "market_key": "total",
      "choices": [
       {
        "code_name": "under",
        "in_words": "under 5.5",
        "tips": [
         {
          "author_name": "Javier Ortega",
          "entry_id": "n-0dbc4d531759e06dcee43751",
          "outcome_label": "Won",
          "source_group": "tipsters"
         }
        ],
        "figure": 1
       }
      ],
      "n": 1,
      "publisher_count": 1
     }
    ],
    "author_count": 3,
    "below_threshold": {
     "prediction_count": 0,
     "author_count": 0
    },
    "limit": 10
   },
   "chain": null,
   "differing_choices": 0,
   "visible_who": 0,
   "newcomers_who": 3,
   "newcomers_before": 5,
   "titles_shown": true,
   "legend": "Badges show titles earned before this prediction, by published rules."
  },
  "arguments": {
   "topics": [],
   "against": [],
   "other_languages": 0,
   "other_language_hosts": [],
   "mode": "quotes",
   "topics_total": 0,
   "checkable": 0
  },
  "market_label": {
   "favourite_code": "1",
   "favourite": "FC Cincinnati",
   "probabilities": [
    {
     "outcome_label": "1",
     "in_words": "FC Cincinnati",
     "percent_value": 41
    },
    {
     "outcome_label": "X",
     "in_words": "Draw",
     "percent_value": 25
    },
    {
     "outcome_label": "2",
     "in_words": "Philadelphia Union",
     "percent_value": 34
    }
   ],
   "prices": {
    "1": "2.30",
    "X": "3.80",
    "2": "2.74"
   },
   "group_count": 29,
   "bookmakers": 46,
   "snapshot_at": "2026-10-31T18:00:00.000Z",
   "closing_line": true,
   "first_at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00.000Z",
   "shift_pp": 2.4,
   "phrase": "The market has barely changed its mind since our first snapshot on 30 October 2026: FC Cincinnati 39% then, 41% at kick-off.",
   "technique": "Median across groups of bookmakers, without margin: brands on one platform count once (median within the group); betting exchanges and prediction markets are excluded. Market price from an odds aggregator; the data provider is not named.",
   "t24": {
    "snapshot_at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00.000Z",
    "probabilities": {
     "1": 39,
     "2": 37,
     "X": 24
    }
   },
   "t2": {
    "snapshot_at": "2026-10-31T16:00:00.000Z",
    "probabilities": {
     "1": 41,
     "2": 35,
     "X": 25
    }
   }
  },
  "market_mode": "show",
  "fact_sheet": {
   "tournament": "MLS (United States)",
   "matchday": null,
   "starts_at": "2026-10-31T18:00:00.000Z",
   "form": {
    "home_side": [
     {
      "res": "D",
      "scoreline": "2-2",
      "opponent": "Inter Miami CF",
      "at_home": false,
      "data": "2026-10-28"
     },
     {
      "res": "W",
      "scoreline": "2-0",
      "opponent": "DC United",
      "at_home": false,
      "data": "2026-10-25"
     },
     {
      "res": "W",
      "scoreline": "2-1",
      "opponent": "DC United",
      "at_home": true,
      "data": "2026-10-22"
     },
     {
      "res": "L",
      "scoreline": "0-2",
      "opponent": "Columbus Crew",
      "at_home": true,
      "data": "2026-10-18"
     },
     {
      "res": "L",
      "scoreline": "2-3",
      "opponent": "New England Revolution",
      "at_home": true,
      "data": "2026-10-15"
     }
    ],
    "away": [
     {
      "res": "D",
      "scoreline": "0-0",
      "opponent": "Nashville SC",
      "at_home": false,
      "data": "2026-10-29"
     },
     {
      "res": "L",
      "scoreline": "1-2",
      "opponent": "New England Revolution",
      "at_home": true,
      "data": "2026-10-25"
     },
     {
      "res": "D",
      "scoreline": "2-2",
      "opponent": "Charlotte FC",
      "at_home": true,
      "data": "2026-10-17"
     },
     {
      "res": "W",
      "scoreline": "3-1",
      "opponent": "Chicago Fire",
      "at_home": false,
      "data": "2026-10-15"
     },
     {
      "res": "W",
      "scoreline": "2-1",
      "opponent": "Real Salt Lake",
      "at_home": true,
      "data": "2026-10-11"
     }
    ]
   },
   "head_to_head": [
    {
     "data": "2026-09-10",
     "match_list": "Philadelphia Union 5-0 FC Cincinnati",
     "event_id": "s-dbe147a3292e"
    }
   ],
   "past_cards": [],
   "reach": ""
  },
  "after_match": {
   "scoreline": "1-0",
   "fact_code": "1",
   "row_list": [
    "Match-result predictions from tipsters and sources with 10 or more predictions checked against the final score to date: 0 of 1 matched",
    "Most common selection among tipsters and sources with 10 or more predictions checked against the final score to date: Draw (1 of 1), missed",
    "Market favourite at kick-off: FC Cincinnati (matched)"
   ],
   "by_group": {
    "websites": {
     "correct": 0,
     "of": 1
    }
   },
   "placement": null,
   "checks": []
  },
  "prices": [],
  "revisions": [
   "Market 24 hours before kick-off: FC Cincinnati 39%.",
   "Market 2 hours before kick-off: FC Cincinnati 41%.",
   "First published with predictions on 30 October 2026."
  ],
  "titles": {
   "shown": true,
   "legend": "Badges show titles earned before this prediction, by published rules.",
   "frozen_in": "sr-f7c8be03785066362cfc9480"
  },
  "tracker": null,
  "source_groups": {
   "as_of": "2026-10-31T18:00:00.000Z",
   "groups": [
    {
     "key": "prediction_sites",
     "label": "Prediction sites"
    },
    {
     "key": "media",
     "label": "Media"
    },
    {
     "key": "telegram_channels",
     "label": "Telegram channels"
    },
    {
     "key": "private_authors",
     "label": "Independent tipsters"
    }
   ],
   "authors": 3,
   "by_group": [
    {
     "key": "prediction_sites",
     "authors": 0
    },
    {
     "key": "media",
     "authors": 1
    },
    {
     "key": "telegram_channels",
     "authors": 2
    },
    {
     "key": "private_authors",
     "authors": 0
    }
   ],
   "markets": [
    {
     "key": "1x2",
     "label": "Match result",
     "authors": 1,
     "by_group": [
      {
       "key": "prediction_sites",
       "authors": 0
      },
      {
       "key": "media",
       "authors": 0
      },
      {
       "key": "telegram_channels",
       "authors": 1
      },
      {
       "key": "private_authors",
       "authors": 0
      }
     ],
     "choices": [
      {
       "code_name": "1",
       "in_words": "FC Cincinnati",
       "authors": 0,
       "by_group": [
        {
         "key": "prediction_sites",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "media",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "telegram_channels",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "private_authors",
         "authors": 0
        }
       ]
      },
      {
       "code_name": "X",
       "in_words": "Draw",
       "authors": 1,
       "by_group": [
        {
         "key": "prediction_sites",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "media",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "telegram_channels",
         "authors": 1
        },
        {
         "key": "private_authors",
         "authors": 0
        }
       ]
      },
      {
       "code_name": "2",
       "in_words": "Philadelphia Union",
       "authors": 0,
       "by_group": [
        {
         "key": "prediction_sites",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "media",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "telegram_channels",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "private_authors",
         "authors": 0
        }
       ]
      }
     ]
    },
    {
     "key": "totals",
     "label": "Goal totals",
     "authors": 1,
     "by_group": [
      {
       "key": "prediction_sites",
       "authors": 0
      },
      {
       "key": "media",
       "authors": 1
      },
      {
       "key": "telegram_channels",
       "authors": 0
      },
      {
       "key": "private_authors",
       "authors": 0
      }
     ]
    },
    {
     "key": "other",
     "label": "Handicaps, both teams to score, correct score and other markets",
     "authors": 2,
     "by_group": [
      {
       "key": "prediction_sites",
       "authors": 0
      },
      {
       "key": "media",
       "authors": 1
      },
      {
       "key": "telegram_channels",
       "authors": 1
      },
      {
       "key": "private_authors",
       "authors": 0
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  "market_line": {
   "line_state": "barely_moved",
   "line_frozen": true,
   "phrase": "Market line at kick-off (31 October 2026, 18:00 GMT): FC Cincinnati 41%, draw 25%, Philadelphia Union 34%. From 30 October 2026, 18:00 GMT to kick-off it barely moved: the largest change was 2.4 percentage points (Philadelphia Union down).",
   "line_markets": [
    {
     "market_text": "1X2, match result",
     "market_group": "1x2",
     "line_kind": "median_line",
     "margin_included": false,
     "snapshot_at": "2026-10-31T18:00:00.000Z",
     "closing_line": true,
     "probabilities": [
      {
       "outcome_label": "1",
       "in_words": "FC Cincinnati",
       "percent_value": 41
      },
      {
       "outcome_label": "X",
       "in_words": "Draw",
       "percent_value": 25
      },
      {
       "outcome_label": "2",
       "in_words": "Philadelphia Union",
       "percent_value": 34
      }
     ],
     "group_count": 29,
     "first_at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00.000Z",
     "first_probabilities": {
      "1": 39,
      "2": 37,
      "X": 24
     },
     "shift_pp": 2.4,
     "shift_outcome": "2",
     "shift_direction": "down",
     "line_state": "barely_moved",
     "phrase": "Market line at kick-off (31 October 2026, 18:00 GMT): FC Cincinnati 41%, draw 25%, Philadelphia Union 34%. From 30 October 2026, 18:00 GMT to kick-off it barely moved: the largest change was 2.4 percentage points (Philadelphia Union down)."
    },
    {
     "market_text": "Both teams to score",
     "market_group": "other",
     "line_kind": "recorded_price",
     "margin_included": true,
     "closing_line": false,
     "price_sides": [
      {
       "choice": "yes",
       "snapshot_price": "1.33",
       "percent_value": 75,
       "snapshot_at": "2026-10-31T00:48:11.935Z",
       "snapshot_count": 1,
       "first_snapshot_price": null,
       "first_at": null,
       "shift_pp": null,
       "shift_direction": null,
       "line_state": "single_snapshot"
      }
     ],
     "line_state": "single_snapshot",
     "phrase": "Both teams to score, yes: market price 1.33 on 31 October 2026, 00:48 GMT (implied 75%, margin included)."
    },
    {
     "market_text": "Over/Under 4.5 goals",
     "market_group": "totals",
     "line_kind": "recorded_price",
     "margin_included": true,
     "closing_line": false,
     "price_sides": [
      {
       "choice": "under 4.5",
       "snapshot_price": "1.36",
       "percent_value": 73,
       "snapshot_at": "2026-10-31T00:48:11.935Z",
       "snapshot_count": 1,
       "first_snapshot_price": null,
       "first_at": null,
       "shift_pp": null,
       "shift_direction": null,
       "line_state": "single_snapshot"
      }
     ],
     "line_state": "single_snapshot",
     "phrase": "Over/Under 4.5 goals, under 4.5 goals: market price 1.36 on 31 October 2026, 00:48 GMT (implied 73%, margin included)."
    },
    {
     "market_text": "Over/Under 5.5 goals",
     "market_group": "totals",
     "line_kind": "recorded_price",
     "margin_included": true,
     "closing_line": false,
     "price_sides": [
      {
       "choice": "under 5.5",
       "snapshot_price": "1.15",
       "percent_value": 87,
       "snapshot_at": "2026-10-31T00:48:11.935Z",
       "snapshot_count": 1,
       "first_snapshot_price": null,
       "first_at": null,
       "shift_pp": null,
       "shift_direction": null,
       "line_state": "single_snapshot"
      }
     ],
     "line_state": "single_snapshot",
     "phrase": "Over/Under 5.5 goals, under 5.5 goals: market price 1.15 on 31 October 2026, 00:48 GMT (implied 87%, margin included)."
    }
   ]
  },
  "pre_kickoff_snapshot": {
   "frozen_before_kickoff": true,
   "as_of_moment": "2026-10-31T18:00:00.000Z",
   "starts_at": "2026-10-31T18:00:00.000Z",
   "phrase": "Before kick-off on 31 October 2026, 18:00 GMT: market line at kick-off FC Cincinnati 41%, draw 25%, Philadelphia Union 34%; 1X2, match result, recorded picks before the match (1): 0 on FC Cincinnati, 1 on the draw, 0 on Philadelphia Union; Over/Under 4.5 goals, recorded picks before the match (1): 1 on under 4.5 goals; Both teams to score, recorded picks before the match (1): 1 on yes.",
   "market_line_brief": {
    "snapshot_at": "2026-10-31T18:00:00.000Z",
    "closing_line": true,
    "probabilities": {
     "1": 41,
     "X": 25,
     "2": 34
    }
   },
   "market_groups": [
    {
     "market_group": "1x2",
     "group_markets": [
      {
       "market_text": "1X2, match result",
       "prediction_count": 1,
       "row_count": 1,
       "market_choices": [
        {
         "choice": "draw",
         "figure": 1
        }
       ],
       "phrase_mode": "listing",
       "leader_choice": null,
       "leader_count": null,
       "share_percent": 100,
       "phrase": "1X2, match result, recorded picks before the match (1): 0 on FC Cincinnati, 1 on the draw, 0 on Philadelphia Union",
       "sides_1x2": [
        {
         "side": "1",
         "in_words": "FC Cincinnati",
         "figure": 0
        },
        {
         "side": "X",
         "in_words": "draw",
         "figure": 1
        },
        {
         "side": "2",
         "in_words": "Philadelphia Union",
         "figure": 0
        }
       ]
      }
     ]
    },
    {
     "market_group": "totals",
     "group_markets": [
      {
       "market_text": "Over/Under 4.5 goals",
       "prediction_count": 1,
       "row_count": 1,
       "market_choices": [
        {
         "choice": "under 4.5",
         "figure": 1
        }
       ],
       "phrase_mode": "listing",
       "leader_choice": null,
       "leader_count": null,
       "share_percent": 100,
       "phrase": "Over/Under 4.5 goals, recorded picks before the match (1): 1 on under 4.5 goals"
      },
      {
       "market_text": "Over/Under 5.5 goals",
       "prediction_count": 1,
       "row_count": 1,
       "market_choices": [
        {
         "choice": "under 5.5",
         "figure": 1
        }
       ],
       "phrase_mode": "listing",
       "leader_choice": null,
       "leader_count": null,
       "share_percent": 100,
       "phrase": "Over/Under 5.5 goals, recorded picks before the match (1): 1 on under 5.5 goals"
      }
     ]
    },
    {
     "market_group": "other",
     "group_markets": [
      {
       "market_text": "Both teams to score",
       "prediction_count": 1,
       "row_count": 1,
       "market_choices": [
        {
         "choice": "yes",
         "figure": 1
        }
       ],
       "phrase_mode": "listing",
       "leader_choice": null,
       "leader_count": null,
       "share_percent": 100,
       "phrase": "Both teams to score, recorded picks before the match (1): 1 on yes"
      },
      {
       "market_text": "Double chance",
       "prediction_count": 1,
       "row_count": 1,
       "market_choices": [
        {
         "choice": "draw or Philadelphia Union",
         "figure": 1
        }
       ],
       "phrase_mode": "listing",
       "leader_choice": null,
       "leader_count": null,
       "share_percent": 100,
       "phrase": "Double chance, recorded picks before the match (1): 1 on draw or Philadelphia Union"
      }
     ]
    }
   ],
   "predictions_before_kickoff": 5,
   "majority_threshold": {
    "min_predictions": 5,
    "min_share_percent": 60.0
   }
  },
  "teams_prev_next": [
   {
    "side": "home",
    "team": "FC Cincinnati",
    "team_url": null,
    "participant_id": "u-fcf6a4642125",
    "previous": {
     "kickoff": "2026-10-28T23:30:00.000Z",
     "name": "Inter Miami CF vs FC Cincinnati",
     "url": "/football/matches/inter-miami-cf-vs-fc-cincinnati-2026-10-28/",
     "competition": "MLS",
     "state": "played",
     "score": "2-2"
    },
    "next": {
     "kickoff": "2026-11-07T21:00:00.000Z",
     "name": "FC Cincinnati vs Nashville SC",
     "url": "/football/matches/fc-cincinnati-vs-nashville-sc-2026-11-07/",
     "competition": "MLS",
     "state": "upcoming",
     "score": null
    },
    "why": null
   },
   {
    "side": "away",
    "team": "Philadelphia Union",
    "team_url": null,
    "participant_id": "u-59e2ced8e8b6",
    "previous": {
     "kickoff": "2026-10-29T00:30:00.000Z",
     "name": "Nashville SC vs Philadelphia Union",
     "url": "/football/matches/nashville-sc-vs-philadelphia-union-2026-10-29/",
     "competition": "MLS",
     "state": "played",
     "score": "0-0"
    },
    "next": {
     "kickoff": "2026-11-07T21:00:00.000Z",
     "name": "Philadelphia Union vs Toronto FC",
     "url": "/football/matches/philadelphia-union-vs-toronto-fc-2026-11-07/",
     "competition": "MLS",
     "state": "upcoming",
     "score": null
    },
    "why": null
   }
  ]
 },
 "number_sets": [
  {
   "set": "match.market_line.percent",
   "entity": "/football/matches/fc-cincinnati-vs-philadelphia-union-2026-10-31/|1x2|1",
   "value": 41,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.market_line.percent",
   "entity": "/football/matches/fc-cincinnati-vs-philadelphia-union-2026-10-31/|1x2|X",
   "value": 25,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.market_line.percent",
   "entity": "/football/matches/fc-cincinnati-vs-philadelphia-union-2026-10-31/|1x2|2",
   "value": 34,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.recorded_price.percent",
   "entity": "/football/matches/fc-cincinnati-vs-philadelphia-union-2026-10-31/|Both teams to score|yes",
   "value": 75,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.recorded_price.percent",
   "entity": "/football/matches/fc-cincinnati-vs-philadelphia-union-2026-10-31/|Over/Under 4.5 goals|under 4.5",
   "value": 73,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.recorded_price.percent",
   "entity": "/football/matches/fc-cincinnati-vs-philadelphia-union-2026-10-31/|Over/Under 5.5 goals|under 5.5",
   "value": 87,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.before_kickoff.market",
   "entity": "/football/matches/fc-cincinnati-vs-philadelphia-union-2026-10-31/|1X2, match result",
   "value": 1,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.before_kickoff.leader_share_percent",
   "entity": "/football/matches/fc-cincinnati-vs-philadelphia-union-2026-10-31/|1X2, match result",
   "value": 100,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.before_kickoff.selection",
   "entity": "/football/matches/fc-cincinnati-vs-philadelphia-union-2026-10-31/|1X2, match result|FC Cincinnati",
   "value": 0,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.before_kickoff.selection",
   "entity": "/football/matches/fc-cincinnati-vs-philadelphia-union-2026-10-31/|1X2, match result|draw",
   "value": 1,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.before_kickoff.selection",
   "entity": "/football/matches/fc-cincinnati-vs-philadelphia-union-2026-10-31/|1X2, match result|Philadelphia Union",
   "value": 0,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.before_kickoff.market",
   "entity": "/football/matches/fc-cincinnati-vs-philadelphia-union-2026-10-31/|Over/Under 4.5 goals",
   "value": 1,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.before_kickoff.leader_share_percent",
   "entity": "/football/matches/fc-cincinnati-vs-philadelphia-union-2026-10-31/|Over/Under 4.5 goals",
   "value": 100,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
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