{ "schema_name": "page", "schema_version": "2.0", "page_type": "event", "url": "/football/matches/estoril-vs-moreirense-2026-10-25/", "canonical": "/football/matches/estoril-vs-moreirense-2026-10-25/", "language": "en", "hreflang": [], "translations": [], "heading": "Estoril vs Moreirense: recorded predictions and results", "description": "Estoril vs Moreirense, 25 October 2026. Final score 1-3 · Primeira Liga: 11 distinct predictions from 7 authors.", "first_paragraph": { "body": "Estoril finished 1-3 against Moreirense. The one recorded correct-score prediction (Estoril 1-0 Moreirense) did not match. Other markets are shown separately below. 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"bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-22T00:26:11.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-22T00:26:11.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-25T01:31:04.934Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Double chance", "choice": "Estoril or draw", "author_odds": null, "market_key": "double_chance", "choice_key": "1X", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Double chance: Estoril or draw" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "1-3", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, 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result", "Over/Under 2.5 goals" ], "selections": [ "draw", "under 2.5" ], "prices": [ "3.20", null ], "outcomes": [ "Lost", "Lost" ], "scenario": "draw · under 2.5 goals", "result": "any_wrong", "recorded_at": "2026-10-23T15:09:36.829Z", "lead_hours": 48.3, "evidence_urls": [ "/authors/nuno-goncalves/picks/7/#pick-n-9d404da313579fe569711474", "/authors/nuno-goncalves/picks/7/#pick-n-a4cd5090034693e03e082391" ] } ], "lead_time": { "contract_version": 1, "threshold_hours": 2.0, "picks": 11, "before_kickoff": 11, "after_kickoff": 0, "at_least_2h": 11, "share_2h_plus": 100.0, "median_hours": 14.0, "min_hours": 9.7, "max_hours": 270.6, "words": "Hours between the moment we recorded the pick and kick-off; the share counts picks recorded at least two hours before kick-off." } }, "title_tag": "Estoril vs Moreirense: Predictions and Results — 25 Oct 2026", "snapshots": { "counting_rule": "1", "early": { "id": "sr-d9e7cbcf79bc00cd93a0b9f8", "type_code": "early", "moment_at": 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Becker", "entry_id": "n-8fac82c4b6a693ade250363b", "outcome_label": "Lost", "source_group": "tipsters" } ], "figure": 2 } ], "n": 2, "publisher_count": 2 }, { "contract_code": "correct_score_market|*|match|*|*#explicit", "source_group": "explicit", "market_label": "Correct score", "market_key": "correct_score_market", "choices": [ { "code_name": "1-0", "in_words": "Estoril 1-0 Moreirense", "tips": [ { "author_name": "FootballPredictions.com", "entry_id": "n-2e3cc191bbbb005a6d0c5e2d", "outcome_label": "Lost", "source_group": "websites" } ], "figure": 1 } ], "n": 1, "publisher_count": 1 }, { "contract_code": "double_chance|*|match|*|*#explicit", "source_group": "explicit", "market_label": "Double chance", "market_key": "double_chance", "choices": [ { "code_name": "1X", "in_words": "Estoril or draw", "tips": [ { "author_name": "Théo Becker", "entry_id": "n-8469a0b2995b3e5b69a0a659", "outcome_label": "Lost", "source_group": "tipsters" } ], "figure": 1 } ], "n": 1, "publisher_count": 1 }, { "contract_code": "total|3.5|match|*|*#explicit", "source_group": "explicit", "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals", "market_key": "total", "choices": [ { "code_name": "under", "in_words": "under 3.5", "tips": [ { "author_name": "Baba", "entry_id": "n-488677e7f62d8d1e4d91f9ef", "outcome_label": "Lost", "source_group": "tipsters" } ], "figure": 1 } ], "n": 1, "publisher_count": 1 }, { "contract_code": "total|4.5|match|*|*#explicit", "source_group": "explicit", "market_label": "Over/Under 4.5 goals", "market_key": "total", "choices": [ { "code_name": "under", "in_words": "under 4.5", "tips": [ { "author_name": "Théo Becker", "entry_id": "n-41ddd810d004ae7a0c82a6f2", "outcome_label": "Won", "source_group": "tipsters" } ], "figure": 1 } ], "n": 1, "publisher_count": 1 } ], "author_count": 7, "below_threshold": { "prediction_count": 0, "author_count": 0 }, "limit": 10 }, "chain": { "publications": 3, "unique": 3, "comparable": 3, "admissible": 3, "contributions": 3 }, "differing_choices": 0, "visible_who": 2, "newcomers_who": 5, "newcomers_before": 8, "titles_shown": true, "legend": "Badges show titles earned before this prediction, by published rules." }, "arguments": { "topics": [ { "code_name": "recent_form", "display_name": "Form", "checkable_item": false, "bullet_points": [ { "entry_id": "n-488677e7f62d8d1e4d91f9ef", "author_name": "Baba", "author_href": "/authors/baba/", "source_group": "tipsters", "choice": "under 3.5", "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals", "logged_at": "2026-10-25T05:50:39.300Z", "original": "https://www.livetipsportal.com/en/sportsbetting-tips/gd-estoril-vs-moreirense-fc-primeira-liga-12223783/", "proof": "/authors/baba/picks/180/#pick-n-488677e7f62d8d1e4d91f9ef", "quote_text": "There have been under 3.5 goals scored in 5 of GD Estoril's last 5 matches. There have been under 3.5 goals scored in 3 of Moreirense FC's last 5 matches.", "retelling": null, "checkable_item": false, "against": false } ], "total_count": 1 }, { "code_name": "tactics", "display_name": "Tactics and style", "checkable_item": false, "bullet_points": [ { "entry_id": "n-26b8d816538ab10a71fe996a", "author_name": "Baba", "author_href": "/authors/baba/", "source_group": "tipsters", "choice": "yes", "market_label": "Both teams to score", "logged_at": "2026-10-25T05:50:39.300Z", "original": "https://www.livetipsportal.com/en/sportsbetting-tips/gd-estoril-vs-moreirense-fc-primeira-liga-12223783/", "proof": "/authors/baba/picks/180/#pick-n-26b8d816538ab10a71fe996a", "quote_text": "given the defensive frailties exhibited by both sides this season", "retelling": null, "checkable_item": false, "against": false } ], "total_count": 1 } ], "against": [], "other_languages": 1, "other_language_hosts": [ "sportwetten.bild.de" ], "mode": "quotes", "topics_total": 2, "checkable": 0 }, "market_label": { "favourite_code": "1", "favourite": "Estoril", "probabilities": [ { "outcome_label": "1", "in_words": "Estoril", "percent_value": 51 }, { "outcome_label": "X", "in_words": "Draw", "percent_value": 26 }, { "outcome_label": "2", "in_words": "Moreirense", "percent_value": 23 } ], "prices": { "1": "1.83", "X": "3.60", "2": "4.15" }, "group_count": 13, "bookmakers": 15, "snapshot_at": "2026-10-25T15:30:00.000Z", "closing_line": true, "first_at": "2026-10-22T10:09:25.695Z", "shift_pp": 2.1, "phrase": "The market has barely changed its mind since our first snapshot on 22 October 2026: Estoril 49% then, 51% at kick-off.", "technique": "Median across groups of bookmakers, without margin: brands on one platform count once (median within the group); betting exchanges and prediction markets are excluded. Market price from an odds aggregator; the data provider is not named.", "t24": { "snapshot_at": "2026-10-24T15:30:00.000Z", "probabilities": { "1": 48, "2": 25, "X": 26 } }, "t2": { "snapshot_at": "2026-10-25T13:30:00.000Z", "probabilities": { "1": 51, "2": 23, "X": 26 } } }, "market_mode": "show", "fact_sheet": { "tournament": "Primeira Liga (Portugal)", "matchday": "Matchweek 9", "starts_at": "2026-10-25T15:30:00.000Z", "form": { "home_side": [ { "res": "D", "scoreline": "1-1", "opponent": "Salgueiros", "at_home": false, "data": "2026-10-18" }, { "res": "L", "scoreline": "1-2", "opponent": "Academico Viseu", "at_home": false, "data": "2026-10-10" }, { "res": "L", "scoreline": "1-2", "opponent": "Casa Pia", "at_home": true, "data": "2026-09-20" }, { "res": "L", "scoreline": "0-1", "opponent": "Sporting Braga", "at_home": false, "data": "2026-09-14" }, { "res": "D", "scoreline": "0-0", "opponent": "Arouca", "at_home": true, "data": "2026-09-07" } ], "away": [ { "res": "L", "scoreline": "0-1", "opponent": "AVS", "at_home": false, "data": "2026-10-17" }, { "res": "L", "scoreline": "0-1", "opponent": "Gil Vicente", "at_home": true, "data": "2026-10-09" }, { "res": "D", "scoreline": "1-1", "opponent": "Vitória Guimarães", "at_home": false, "data": "2026-09-20" }, { "res": "W", "scoreline": "3-1", "opponent": "Marítimo", "at_home": true, "data": "2026-09-14" }, { "res": "L", "scoreline": "0-4", "opponent": "Benfica", "at_home": true, "data": "2026-09-09" } ] }, "head_to_head": [], "past_cards": [], "reach": "" }, "after_match": { "scoreline": "1-3", "fact_code": "2", "row_list": [ "Match-result predictions from tipsters and sources with 10 or more predictions checked against the final score to date: 1 of 3 matched · Tipsters 0 of 2 · Prediction sites 1 of 1", "All recorded exact-score predictions: 0 of 1 matched", "Exact-score predictions from tipsters and sources with 10 or more predictions checked against the final score to date: 0 of 1 matched the score, 0 of 1 the outcome", "Most common selection among tipsters and sources with 10 or more predictions checked against the final score to date: Draw (2 of 3), missed", "Market favourite at kick-off: Estoril (missed)" ], "by_group": { "tipsters": { "correct": 0, "of": 2 }, "websites": { "correct": 1, "of": 1 } }, "placement": null, "checks": [] }, "prices": [ { "author_name": "Ali Demir", "choice": "draw", "market_label": "1X2, match result", "author_quoted_price": "3.50", "our_snapshot": "3.5000", "closing_line": null }, { "author_name": "Baba", "choice": "yes", "market_label": "Both teams to score", "author_quoted_price": "1.80", "our_snapshot": "1.7300", "closing_line": null } ], "revisions": [ "Market 24 hours before kick-off: Estoril 48%.", "Market 2 hours before kick-off: Estoril 51%.", "First published with predictions on 19 October 2026." ], "titles": { "shown": true, "legend": "Badges show titles earned before this prediction, by published rules.", "frozen_in": "sr-4ec6c0cdb19c66c8fffa2e71" }, "tracker": null, "source_groups": { "as_of": "2026-10-25T15:30:00.000Z", "groups": [ { "key": "prediction_sites", "label": "Prediction sites" }, { "key": "media", "label": "Media" }, { "key": "telegram_channels", "label": "Telegram channels" }, { "key": "private_authors", "label": "Independent tipsters" } ], "authors": 7, "by_group": [ { "key": "prediction_sites", "authors": 3 }, { "key": "media", "authors": 1 }, { "key": "telegram_channels", "authors": 3 }, { "key": "private_authors", "authors": 0 } ], "markets": [ { "key": "1x2", "label": "Match result", "authors": 3, "by_group": [ { "key": "prediction_sites", "authors": 1 }, { "key": "media", "authors": 1 }, { "key": "telegram_channels", "authors": 1 }, { "key": "private_authors", "authors": 0 } ], "choices": [ { "code_name": "1", "in_words": "Estoril", "authors": 0, "by_group": [ { "key": "prediction_sites", "authors": 0 }, { "key": "media", "authors": 0 }, { "key": "telegram_channels", "authors": 0 }, { "key": "private_authors", "authors": 0 } ] }, { "code_name": "X", "in_words": "Draw", "authors": 2, "by_group": [ { "key": "prediction_sites", "authors": 1 }, { "key": "media", "authors": 1 }, { "key": "telegram_channels", "authors": 0 }, { "key": "private_authors", "authors": 0 } ] }, { "code_name": "2", "in_words": "Moreirense", "authors": 1, "by_group": [ { "key": "prediction_sites", "authors": 0 }, { "key": "media", "authors": 0 }, { "key": "telegram_channels", "authors": 1 }, { "key": "private_authors", "authors": 0 } ] } ] }, { "key": "totals", "label": "Goal totals", "authors": 3, "by_group": [ { "key": "prediction_sites", "authors": 3 }, { "key": "media", "authors": 0 }, { "key": "telegram_channels", "authors": 0 }, { "key": "private_authors", "authors": 0 } ] }, { "key": "other", "label": "Handicaps, both teams to score, correct score and other markets", "authors": 4, "by_group": [ { "key": "prediction_sites", "authors": 2 }, { "key": "media", "authors": 0 }, { "key": "telegram_channels", "authors": 2 }, { "key": "private_authors", "authors": 0 } ] } ] }, "market_line": { "line_state": "barely_moved", "line_frozen": true, "phrase": "Market line at kick-off (25 October 2026, 15:30 GMT): Estoril 51%, draw 26%, Moreirense 23%. From 22 October 2026, 11:09 BST to kick-off it barely moved: the largest change was 2.1 percentage points (Moreirense down).", "line_markets": [ { "market_text": "1X2, match result", "market_group": "1x2", "line_kind": "median_line", "margin_included": false, "snapshot_at": "2026-10-25T15:30:00.000Z", "closing_line": true, "probabilities": [ { "outcome_label": "1", "in_words": "Estoril", "percent_value": 51 }, { "outcome_label": "X", "in_words": "Draw", "percent_value": 26 }, { "outcome_label": "2", "in_words": "Moreirense", "percent_value": 23 } ], "group_count": 13, "first_at": "2026-10-22T10:09:25.695Z", "first_probabilities": { "1": 49, "2": 25, "X": 26 }, "shift_pp": 2.1, "shift_outcome": "2", "shift_direction": "down", "line_state": "barely_moved", "phrase": "Market line at kick-off (25 October 2026, 15:30 GMT): Estoril 51%, draw 26%, Moreirense 23%. From 22 October 2026, 11:09 BST to kick-off it barely moved: the largest change was 2.1 percentage points (Moreirense down)." }, { "market_text": "Both teams to score", "market_group": "other", "line_kind": "recorded_price", "margin_included": true, "closing_line": false, "price_sides": [ { "choice": "yes", "snapshot_price": "1.73", "percent_value": 58, "snapshot_at": "2026-10-25T05:50:35.425Z", "snapshot_count": 2, "first_snapshot_price": "1.73", "first_at": "2026-10-25T02:28:51.990Z", "shift_pp": 0.0, "shift_direction": null, "line_state": "not_moved" } ], "line_state": "not_moved", "phrase": "Both teams to score, yes: market price 1.73 on 25 October 2026, 05:50 GMT (implied 58%, margin included), the same as on 25 October 2026, 02:28 GMT." }, { "market_text": "Over/Under 2.5 goals", "market_group": "totals", "line_kind": "recorded_price", "margin_included": true, "closing_line": false, "price_sides": [ { "choice": "under 2.5", "snapshot_price": "1.89", "percent_value": 53, "snapshot_at": "2026-10-25T01:29:44.729Z", "snapshot_count": 1, "first_snapshot_price": null, "first_at": null, "shift_pp": null, "shift_direction": null, "line_state": "single_snapshot" } ], "line_state": "single_snapshot", "phrase": "Over/Under 2.5 goals, under 2.5 goals: market price 1.89 on 25 October 2026, 01:29 GMT (implied 53%, margin included)." }, { "market_text": "Over/Under 3.5 goals", "market_group": "totals", "line_kind": "recorded_price", "margin_included": true, "closing_line": false, "price_sides": [ { "choice": "under 3.5", "snapshot_price": "1.32", "percent_value": 76, "snapshot_at": "2026-10-25T05:50:35.425Z", "snapshot_count": 1, "first_snapshot_price": null, "first_at": null, "shift_pp": null, "shift_direction": null, "line_state": "single_snapshot" } ], "line_state": "single_snapshot", "phrase": "Over/Under 3.5 goals, under 3.5 goals: market price 1.32 on 25 October 2026, 05:50 GMT (implied 76%, margin included)." }, { "market_text": "Over/Under 4.5 goals", "market_group": "totals", "line_kind": "recorded_price", "margin_included": true, "closing_line": false, "price_sides": [ { "choice": "under 4.5", "snapshot_price": "1.09", "percent_value": 92, "snapshot_at": "2026-10-25T01:29:44.729Z", "snapshot_count": 1, "first_snapshot_price": null, "first_at": null, "shift_pp": null, "shift_direction": null, "line_state": "single_snapshot" } ], "line_state": "single_snapshot", "phrase": "Over/Under 4.5 goals, under 4.5 goals: market price 1.09 on 25 October 2026, 01:29 GMT (implied 92%, margin included)." } ] }, "pre_kickoff_snapshot": { "frozen_before_kickoff": true, "as_of_moment": "2026-10-25T15:30:00.000Z", "starts_at": "2026-10-25T15:30:00.000Z", "phrase": "Before kick-off on 25 October 2026, 15:30 GMT: market line at kick-off Estoril 51%, draw 26%, Moreirense 23%; 1X2, match result, recorded picks before the match (3): 0 on Estoril, 2 on the draw, 1 on Moreirense; Over/Under 2.5 goals, recorded picks before the match (2): 2 on under 2.5 goals; Both teams to score, recorded picks before the match (2): 2 on yes.", "market_line_brief": { "snapshot_at": "2026-10-25T15:30:00.000Z", "closing_line": true, "probabilities": { "1": 51, "X": 26, "2": 23 } }, "market_groups": [ { "market_group": "1x2", "group_markets": [ { "market_text": "1X2, match result", "prediction_count": 3, "row_count": 3, "market_choices": [ { "choice": "draw", "figure": 2 }, { "choice": "Moreirense", "figure": 1 } ], "phrase_mode": "listing", "leader_choice": null, "leader_count": null, "share_percent": 67, "phrase": "1X2, match result, recorded picks before the match (3): 0 on Estoril, 2 on the draw, 1 on Moreirense", "sides_1x2": [ { "side": "1", "in_words": "Estoril", "figure": 0 }, { "side": "X", "in_words": "draw", "figure": 2 }, { "side": "2", "in_words": "Moreirense", "figure": 1 } ] } ] }, { "market_group": "totals", "group_markets": [ { "market_text": "Over/Under 2.5 goals", "prediction_count": 2, "row_count": 2, "market_choices": [ { "choice": "under 2.5", "figure": 2 } ], "phrase_mode": "listing", "leader_choice": null, "leader_count": null, "share_percent": 100, "phrase": "Over/Under 2.5 goals, recorded picks before the match (2): 2 on under 2.5 goals" }, { "market_text": "Over/Under 3.5 goals", "prediction_count": 1, "row_count": 1, "market_choices": [ { "choice": "under 3.5", "figure": 1 } ], "phrase_mode": "listing", "leader_choice": null, "leader_count": null, "share_percent": 100, "phrase": "Over/Under 3.5 goals, recorded picks before the match (1): 1 on under 3.5 goals" }, { "market_text": "Over/Under 4.5 goals", "prediction_count": 1, "row_count": 1, "market_choices": [ { "choice": "under 4.5", "figure": 1 } ], "phrase_mode": "listing", "leader_choice": null, "leader_count": null, "share_percent": 100, "phrase": "Over/Under 4.5 goals, recorded picks before the match (1): 1 on under 4.5 goals" } ] }, { "market_group": "other", "group_markets": [ { "market_text": "Both teams to score", "prediction_count": 2, "row_count": 2, "market_choices": [ { "choice": "yes", "figure": 2 } ], "phrase_mode": "listing", "leader_choice": null, "leader_count": null, "share_percent": 100, "phrase": "Both teams to score, recorded picks before the match (2): 2 on yes" }, { "market_text": "Correct score", "prediction_count": 1, "row_count": 1, "market_choices": [ { "choice": "Estoril 1-0 Moreirense", "figure": 1 } ], "phrase_mode": "listing", "leader_choice": null, "leader_count": null, "share_percent": 100, "phrase": "Correct score, recorded picks before the match (1): 1 on Estoril 1-0 Moreirense" }, { "market_text": "Double chance", "prediction_count": 1, "row_count": 1, "market_choices": [ { "choice": "Estoril or draw", "figure": 1 } ], "phrase_mode": "listing", "leader_choice": null, "leader_count": null, "share_percent": 100, "phrase": "Double chance, recorded picks before the match (1): 1 on Estoril or draw" } ] } ], "predictions_before_kickoff": 11, "majority_threshold": { "min_predictions": 5, "min_share_percent": 60.0 } }, "teams_prev_next": [ { "side": "home", "team": "Estoril", "team_url": "/football/teams/estoril/", "participant_id": "u-364fd3b98a5e", "previous": { "kickoff": "2026-10-18T14:00:00.000Z", "name": "Salgueiros vs Estoril", "url": null, "competition": "Portugal Cup", "state": "played", "score": "1-1" }, "next": { "kickoff": "2026-10-31T20:30:00.000Z", "name": "FC Porto vs Estoril", "url": "/football/matches/fc-porto-vs-estoril-2026-10-31/", "competition": "Primeira Liga", "state": "played", "score": "4-0" }, "why": null }, { "side": "away", "team": "Moreirense", "team_url": "/football/teams/moreirense/", "participant_id": "u-05059d2873af", "previous": { "kickoff": "2026-10-17T15:00:00.000Z", "name": "AVS vs Moreirense", "url": null, "competition": "Portugal Cup", "state": "played", "score": "1-0" }, "next": { "kickoff": "2026-10-31T15:30:00.000Z", "name": "Moreirense vs Estrela Amadora", "url": "/football/matches/moreirense-vs-estrela-amadora-2026-10-31/", 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