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 "heading": "Elche vs Real Betis prediction: tipster picks compared",
 "description": "Elche vs Real Betis, 8 November 2026: 7 tipsters and sources with 10 or more predictions checked against the final score picked this match — who tipped what.",
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  "body": "Forecast Record recorded 13 statements from 7 authors on Elche vs Real Betis (LaLiga, kick-off 8 November 2026): 13 distinct predictions, all of the statements recorded before kick-off; the selections are listed below by market.",
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  "data": "2026-11-08",
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 "event": {
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  "display_name": "Elche — Real Betis",
  "competition_name": "LaLiga",
  "starts_at": "2026-11-08T13:00:00.000Z",
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     "figure": 4,
     "share": "100.0"
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   "author_count": 4,
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   "summary": "Most common recorded selection in this market: Real Betis — 4 of 4 eligible picks (one per author), median stated price 2.12",
   "late_excluded": 0,
   "contributions": 4,
   "prediction_count": 4,
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   "quote_text": "BTTS Oui @1.54 Probabilité implicite : 64,9 %\n\nElche marque dans la plupart de ses matchs",
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   "quote_text": "Over 2.5 buts @1.734 Probabilité implicite : 57,7 %\n\nCe marché découle de l’analyse des deux équipes.",
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     "logged_at": "2026-11-07T00:12:11.234Z",
     "posted_at": "2026-11-06T20:00:15.000Z",
     "author_quoted_price": "4.00",
     "our_snapshot": "4.0000",
     "closing_line": null,
     "outcome_label": "Pending",
     "pre_match": true,
     "proof": "/authors/lmguerra/picks/3/#pick-n-780c8829ce42091c970e97ca",
     "original": null,
     "contradictory": false,
     "authorship": null,
     "source_type": "prediction_sites",
     "own_page": true,
     "trust_settled_count": 15
    }
   ],
   "not_counted": [],
   "after_start": [],
   "forecaster_split": {
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     {
      "contract_code": "1x2|*|match|*|*#explicit",
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      "market_label": "1X2, match result",
      "market_key": "1x2",
      "choices": [
       {
        "code_name": "1",
        "in_words": "Elche",
        "tips": [],
        "figure": 0
       },
       {
        "code_name": "X",
        "in_words": "Draw",
        "tips": [],
        "figure": 0
       },
       {
        "code_name": "2",
        "in_words": "Real Betis",
        "tips": [
         {
          "author_name": "Dailysports",
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          "outcome_label": "Pending",
          "source_group": "websites"
         },
         {
          "author_name": "Italo Verde",
          "entry_id": "n-fd4cb53508864071622b2d73",
          "outcome_label": "Pending",
          "source_group": "tipsters"
         },
         {
          "author_name": "Koffi Mensah",
          "entry_id": "n-4deb598a3b82810602154961",
          "outcome_label": "Pending",
          "source_group": "tipsters"
         },
         {
          "author_name": "LMGuerra",
          "entry_id": "n-70517992861efd2ddc6224e5",
          "outcome_label": "Pending",
          "source_group": "tipsters"
         }
        ],
        "figure": 4
       }
      ],
      "n": 4,
      "publisher_count": 4
     },
     {
      "contract_code": "total|2.5|match|*|*#explicit",
      "source_group": "explicit",
      "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
      "market_key": "total",
      "choices": [
       {
        "code_name": "over",
        "in_words": "over 2.5",
        "tips": [
         {
          "author_name": "Delfina Elias",
          "entry_id": "n-8ee3431a6d22594e5ef5b21d",
          "outcome_label": "Pending",
          "source_group": "tipsters"
         },
         {
          "author_name": "Koffi Mensah",
          "entry_id": "n-849182d1c7b5dc4af87cd106",
          "outcome_label": "Pending",
          "source_group": "tipsters"
         }
        ],
        "figure": 2
       },
       {
        "code_name": "under",
        "in_words": "under 2.5",
        "tips": [
         {
          "author_name": "Fabio Spanu",
          "entry_id": "n-935bc59469480ffc32a8fe0f",
          "outcome_label": "Pending",
          "source_group": "tipsters"
         }
        ],
        "figure": 1
       }
      ],
      "n": 3,
      "publisher_count": 3
     },
     {
      "contract_code": "both_teams_score|*|match|*|*#explicit",
      "source_group": "explicit",
      "market_label": "Both teams to score",
      "market_key": "both_teams_score",
      "choices": [
       {
        "code_name": "yes",
        "in_words": "yes",
        "tips": [
         {
          "author_name": "Delfina Elias",
          "entry_id": "n-52ecf91c90ffe4d80f28a413",
          "outcome_label": "Pending",
          "source_group": "tipsters"
         },
         {
          "author_name": "Koffi Mensah",
          "entry_id": "n-082cc1d76caa07d66a3cbbb0",
          "outcome_label": "Pending",
          "source_group": "tipsters"
         }
        ],
        "figure": 2
       }
      ],
      "n": 2,
      "publisher_count": 2
     },
     {
      "contract_code": "correct_score_market|*|match|*|*#explicit",
      "source_group": "explicit",
      "market_label": "Correct score",
      "market_key": "correct_score_market",
      "choices": [
       {
        "code_name": "1-2",
        "in_words": "Elche 1-2 Real Betis",
        "tips": [
         {
          "author_name": "Delfina Elias",
          "entry_id": "n-7517f9bca9b48c8601205d66",
          "outcome_label": "Pending",
          "source_group": "tipsters"
         },
         {
          "author_name": "Matt Law",
          "entry_id": "n-8d068f13cd5162d9e1dff1fd",
          "outcome_label": "Pending",
          "source_group": "experts"
         }
        ],
        "figure": 2
       }
      ],
      "n": 2,
      "publisher_count": 2
     },
     {
      "contract_code": "double_chance|*|match|*|*#explicit",
      "source_group": "explicit",
      "market_label": "Double chance",
      "market_key": "double_chance",
      "choices": [
       {
        "code_name": "X2",
        "in_words": "draw or Real Betis",
        "tips": [
         {
          "author_name": "Delfina Elias",
          "entry_id": "n-7c27cee8e421467be0520219",
          "outcome_label": "Pending",
          "source_group": "tipsters"
         }
        ],
        "figure": 1
       }
      ],
      "n": 1,
      "publisher_count": 1
     },
     {
      "contract_code": "both_teams_score_and_result|*|match|*|*#explicit",
      "source_group": "explicit",
      "market_label": "Match result and both teams to score",
      "market_key": "both_teams_score_and_result",
      "choices": [
       {
        "code_name": "2-no",
        "in_words": "Real Betis win, both teams to score: no",
        "tips": [
         {
          "author_name": "LMGuerra",
          "entry_id": "n-780c8829ce42091c970e97ca",
          "outcome_label": "Pending",
          "source_group": "tipsters"
         }
        ],
        "figure": 1
       }
      ],
      "n": 1,
      "publisher_count": 1
     }
    ],
    "author_count": 7,
    "below_threshold": {
     "prediction_count": 0,
     "author_count": 0
    },
    "limit": 10
   },
   "chain": {
    "publications": 2,
    "unique": 2,
    "comparable": 2,
    "admissible": 2,
    "contributions": 2
   },
   "differing_choices": 0,
   "visible_who": 2,
   "newcomers_who": 5,
   "newcomers_before": 11,
   "titles_shown": true,
   "legend": "Badges show titles earned before this prediction, by published rules."
  },
  "arguments": {
   "topics": [
    {
     "code_name": "recent_form",
     "display_name": "Form",
     "checkable_item": false,
     "bullet_points": [
      {
       "entry_id": "n-8d068f13cd5162d9e1dff1fd",
       "author_name": "Matt Law",
       "author_href": "/authors/matt-law/",
       "source_group": "experts",
       "choice": "Elche 1-2 Real Betis",
       "market_label": "Correct score",
       "logged_at": "2026-11-06T15:10:19.873Z",
       "original": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/betis/preview/elche-vs-betis-prediction-team-news-lineups_608608.html",
       "proof": "/authors/matt-law/picks/16/#pick-n-8d068f13cd5162d9e1dff1fd",
       "quote_text": "Elche have been in solid form of late, and this is not a straightforward match for Real Betis, but we are backing the Seville outfit to secure a valuable three…",
       "retelling": null,
       "checkable_item": false,
       "against": false
      }
     ],
     "total_count": 1
    }
   ],
   "against": [],
   "other_languages": 0,
   "other_language_hosts": [],
   "mode": "quotes",
   "topics_total": 1,
   "checkable": 0
  },
  "market_label": {
   "favourite_code": "2",
   "favourite": "Real Betis",
   "probabilities": [
    {
     "outcome_label": "1",
     "in_words": "Elche",
     "percent_value": 28
    },
    {
     "outcome_label": "X",
     "in_words": "Draw",
     "percent_value": 25
    },
    {
     "outcome_label": "2",
     "in_words": "Real Betis",
     "percent_value": 47
    }
   ],
   "prices": {
    "1": "3.40",
    "X": "3.75",
    "2": "2.00"
   },
   "group_count": 29,
   "bookmakers": 43,
   "snapshot_at": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z",
   "closing_line": false,
   "first_at": "2026-10-25T23:25:50.652Z",
   "shift_pp": 4.7,
   "phrase": "The market has moved a little since our first snapshot on 25 October 2026: Real Betis 52% then, 47% now.",
   "technique": "Median across groups of bookmakers, without margin: brands on one platform count once (median within the group); betting exchanges and prediction markets are excluded. Market price from an odds aggregator; the data provider is not named.",
   "t24": {
    "snapshot_at": "2026-11-07T13:00:00.000Z",
    "probabilities": {
     "1": 28,
     "2": 47,
     "X": 25
    }
   }
  },
  "market_mode": "show",
  "fact_sheet": {
   "tournament": "LaLiga (Spain)",
   "matchday": "Matchweek 12",
   "starts_at": "2026-11-08T13:00:00.000Z",
   "form": {
    "home_side": [
     {
      "res": "L",
      "scoreline": "0-1",
      "opponent": "Valencia",
      "at_home": true,
      "data": "2026-11-01"
     },
     {
      "res": "W",
      "scoreline": "3-0",
      "opponent": "Rayo Vallecano",
      "at_home": false,
      "data": "2026-10-24"
     },
     {
      "res": "D",
      "scoreline": "0-0",
      "opponent": "Villarreal",
      "at_home": false,
      "data": "2026-10-17"
     },
     {
      "res": "D",
      "scoreline": "0-0",
      "opponent": "Celta Vigo",
      "at_home": true,
      "data": "2026-10-11"
     },
     {
      "res": "W",
      "scoreline": "3-1",
      "opponent": "Espanyol",
      "at_home": false,
      "data": "2026-09-18"
     }
    ],
    "away": [
     {
      "res": "L",
      "scoreline": "1-2",
      "opponent": "Borussia Dortmund",
      "at_home": false,
      "data": "2026-11-04"
     },
     {
      "res": "W",
      "scoreline": "2-1",
      "opponent": "Málaga CF",
      "at_home": true,
      "data": "2026-10-31"
     },
     {
      "res": "D",
      "scoreline": "0-0",
      "opponent": "Celta Vigo",
      "at_home": false,
      "data": "2026-10-25"
     },
     {
      "res": "W",
      "scoreline": "1-0",
      "opponent": "Feyenoord",
      "at_home": true,
      "data": "2026-10-21"
     },
     {
      "res": "L",
      "scoreline": "2-5",
      "opponent": "FC Barcelona",
      "at_home": true,
      "data": "2026-10-17"
     }
    ]
   },
   "head_to_head": [],
   "past_cards": [],
   "reach": ""
  },
  "after_match": null,
  "prices": [],
  "revisions": [
   "9 new picks recorded in the last 24 hours.",
   "Market 24 hours before kick-off: Real Betis 47%.",
   "First published with predictions on 6 November 2026."
  ],
  "titles": {
   "shown": true,
   "legend": "Badges show titles earned before this prediction, by published rules.",
   "frozen_in": null
  },
  "tracker": null,
  "source_groups": {
   "as_of": "2026-11-08T13:00:00.000Z",
   "groups": [
    {
     "key": "prediction_sites",
     "label": "Prediction sites"
    },
    {
     "key": "media",
     "label": "Media"
    },
    {
     "key": "telegram_channels",
     "label": "Telegram channels"
    },
    {
     "key": "private_authors",
     "label": "Independent tipsters"
    }
   ],
   "authors": 7,
   "by_group": [
    {
     "key": "prediction_sites",
     "authors": 4
    },
    {
     "key": "media",
     "authors": 2
    },
    {
     "key": "telegram_channels",
     "authors": 1
    },
    {
     "key": "private_authors",
     "authors": 0
    }
   ],
   "markets": [
    {
     "key": "1x2",
     "label": "Match result",
     "authors": 4,
     "by_group": [
      {
       "key": "prediction_sites",
       "authors": 3
      },
      {
       "key": "media",
       "authors": 0
      },
      {
       "key": "telegram_channels",
       "authors": 1
      },
      {
       "key": "private_authors",
       "authors": 0
      }
     ],
     "choices": [
      {
       "code_name": "1",
       "in_words": "Elche",
       "authors": 0,
       "by_group": [
        {
         "key": "prediction_sites",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "media",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "telegram_channels",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "private_authors",
         "authors": 0
        }
       ]
      },
      {
       "code_name": "X",
       "in_words": "Draw",
       "authors": 0,
       "by_group": [
        {
         "key": "prediction_sites",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "media",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "telegram_channels",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "private_authors",
         "authors": 0
        }
       ]
      },
      {
       "code_name": "2",
       "in_words": "Real Betis",
       "authors": 4,
       "by_group": [
        {
         "key": "prediction_sites",
         "authors": 3
        },
        {
         "key": "media",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "telegram_channels",
         "authors": 1
        },
        {
         "key": "private_authors",
         "authors": 0
        }
       ]
      }
     ]
    },
    {
     "key": "totals",
     "label": "Goal totals",
     "authors": 3,
     "by_group": [
      {
       "key": "prediction_sites",
       "authors": 2
      },
      {
       "key": "media",
       "authors": 1
      },
      {
       "key": "telegram_channels",
       "authors": 0
      },
      {
       "key": "private_authors",
       "authors": 0
      }
     ]
    },
    {
     "key": "other",
     "label": "Handicaps, both teams to score, correct score and other markets",
     "authors": 4,
     "by_group": [
      {
       "key": "prediction_sites",
       "authors": 2
      },
      {
       "key": "media",
       "authors": 2
      },
      {
       "key": "telegram_channels",
       "authors": 0
      },
      {
       "key": "private_authors",
       "authors": 0
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  "market_line": {
   "line_state": "moved",
   "line_frozen": false,
   "phrase": "Market line on 7 November 2026, 19:52 GMT: Elche 28%, draw 25%, Real Betis 47%. Since 25 October 2026, 23:25 GMT the line has moved 4.7 percentage points (Real Betis down).",
   "line_markets": [
    {
     "market_text": "1X2, match result",
     "market_group": "1x2",
     "line_kind": "median_line",
     "margin_included": false,
     "snapshot_at": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z",
     "closing_line": false,
     "probabilities": [
      {
       "outcome_label": "1",
       "in_words": "Elche",
       "percent_value": 28
      },
      {
       "outcome_label": "X",
       "in_words": "Draw",
       "percent_value": 25
      },
      {
       "outcome_label": "2",
       "in_words": "Real Betis",
       "percent_value": 47
      }
     ],
     "group_count": 29,
     "first_at": "2026-10-25T23:25:50.652Z",
     "first_probabilities": {
      "1": 24,
      "2": 52,
      "X": 24
     },
     "shift_pp": 4.7,
     "shift_outcome": "2",
     "shift_direction": "down",
     "line_state": "moved",
     "phrase": "Market line on 7 November 2026, 19:52 GMT: Elche 28%, draw 25%, Real Betis 47%. Since 25 October 2026, 23:25 GMT the line has moved 4.7 percentage points (Real Betis down)."
    },
    {
     "market_text": "Both teams to score",
     "market_group": "other",
     "line_kind": "recorded_price",
     "margin_included": true,
     "closing_line": false,
     "price_sides": [
      {
       "choice": "yes",
       "snapshot_price": "1.56",
       "percent_value": 64,
       "snapshot_at": "2026-11-06T20:38:47.850Z",
       "snapshot_count": 2,
       "first_snapshot_price": "1.56",
       "first_at": "2026-11-06T10:29:09.334Z",
       "shift_pp": 0.0,
       "shift_direction": null,
       "line_state": "not_moved"
      }
     ],
     "line_state": "not_moved",
     "phrase": "Both teams to score, yes: market price 1.56 on 6 November 2026, 20:38 GMT (implied 64%, margin included), the same as on 6 November 2026, 10:29 GMT."
    },
    {
     "market_text": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
     "market_group": "totals",
     "line_kind": "recorded_price",
     "margin_included": true,
     "closing_line": false,
     "price_sides": [
      {
       "choice": "over 2.5",
       "snapshot_price": "1.65",
       "percent_value": 61,
       "snapshot_at": "2026-11-06T20:38:47.850Z",
       "snapshot_count": 2,
       "first_snapshot_price": "1.65",
       "first_at": "2026-11-06T10:29:09.334Z",
       "shift_pp": 0.0,
       "shift_direction": null,
       "line_state": "not_moved"
      },
      {
       "choice": "under 2.5",
       "snapshot_price": "2.20",
       "percent_value": 45,
       "snapshot_at": "2026-11-07T07:16:46.404Z",
       "snapshot_count": 1,
       "first_snapshot_price": null,
       "first_at": null,
       "shift_pp": null,
       "shift_direction": null,
       "line_state": "single_snapshot"
      }
     ],
     "line_state": "not_moved",
     "phrase": "Over/Under 2.5 goals, over 2.5 goals: market price 1.65 on 6 November 2026, 20:38 GMT (implied 61%, margin included), the same as on 6 November 2026, 10:29 GMT. Over/Under 2.5 goals, under 2.5 goals: market price 2.20 on 7 November 2026, 07:16 GMT (implied 45%, margin included)."
    }
   ]
  },
  "pre_kickoff_snapshot": {
   "frozen_before_kickoff": false,
   "as_of_moment": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z",
   "starts_at": "2026-11-08T13:00:00.000Z",
   "phrase": "As of 7 November 2026, 19:52 GMT: market line Elche 28%, draw 25%, Real Betis 47%; 1X2, match result, recorded picks before the match (4): 0 on Elche, 0 on the draw, 4 on Real Betis; Over/Under 2.5 goals, recorded picks before the match (3): 2 on over 2.5 goals, 1 on under 2.5 goals; Both teams to score, recorded picks before the match (2): 2 on yes.",
   "market_line_brief": {
    "snapshot_at": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z",
    "closing_line": false,
    "probabilities": {
     "1": 28,
     "X": 25,
     "2": 47
    }
   },
   "market_groups": [
    {
     "market_group": "1x2",
     "group_markets": [
      {
       "market_text": "1X2, match result",
       "prediction_count": 4,
       "row_count": 4,
       "market_choices": [
        {
         "choice": "Real Betis",
         "figure": 4
        }
       ],
       "phrase_mode": "listing",
       "leader_choice": null,
       "leader_count": null,
       "share_percent": 100,
       "phrase": "1X2, match result, recorded picks before the match (4): 0 on Elche, 0 on the draw, 4 on Real Betis",
       "sides_1x2": [
        {
         "side": "1",
         "in_words": "Elche",
         "figure": 0
        },
        {
         "side": "X",
         "in_words": "draw",
         "figure": 0
        },
        {
         "side": "2",
         "in_words": "Real Betis",
         "figure": 4
        }
       ]
      }
     ]
    },
    {
     "market_group": "totals",
     "group_markets": [
      {
       "market_text": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
       "prediction_count": 3,
       "row_count": 3,
       "market_choices": [
        {
         "choice": "over 2.5",
         "figure": 2
        },
        {
         "choice": "under 2.5",
         "figure": 1
        }
       ],
       "phrase_mode": "listing",
       "leader_choice": null,
       "leader_count": null,
       "share_percent": 67,
       "phrase": "Over/Under 2.5 goals, recorded picks before the match (3): 2 on over 2.5 goals, 1 on under 2.5 goals"
      }
     ]
    },
    {
     "market_group": "other",
     "group_markets": [
      {
       "market_text": "Both teams to score",
       "prediction_count": 2,
       "row_count": 2,
       "market_choices": [
        {
         "choice": "yes",
         "figure": 2
        }
       ],
       "phrase_mode": "listing",
       "leader_choice": null,
       "leader_count": null,
       "share_percent": 100,
       "phrase": "Both teams to score, recorded picks before the match (2): 2 on yes"
      },
      {
       "market_text": "Correct score",
       "prediction_count": 2,
       "row_count": 2,
       "market_choices": [
        {
         "choice": "Elche 1-2 Real Betis",
         "figure": 2
        }
       ],
       "phrase_mode": "listing",
       "leader_choice": null,
       "leader_count": null,
       "share_percent": 100,
       "phrase": "Correct score, recorded picks before the match (2): 2 on Elche 1-2 Real Betis"
      },
      {
       "market_text": "Double chance",
       "prediction_count": 1,
       "row_count": 1,
       "market_choices": [
        {
         "choice": "draw or Real Betis",
         "figure": 1
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