{ "schema_name": "page", "schema_version": "2.0", "page_type": "event", "url": "/football/matches/derby-county-vs-wrexham-2026-10-10/", "canonical": "/football/matches/derby-county-vs-wrexham-2026-10-10/", "language": "en", "hreflang": [], "translations": [], "heading": "Derby County vs Wrexham: recorded predictions and results", "description": "Derby County vs Wrexham, 10 October 2026. Final score 1-1 · EFL Championship: 9 distinct predictions from 6 authors.", "first_paragraph": { "body": "Derby County finished 1-1 against Wrexham. None of the 4 recorded correct-score predictions matched that score. Other markets are shown separately below. 1 prediction found after kick-off is shown separately and excluded from the pre-match count. Forecast Record recorded 9 statements from 6 authors on Derby County vs Wrexham (EFL Championship, kick-off 10 October 2026): 9 distinct predictions, 8 of the statements recorded before kick-off.", "key_number": "9", "data": "2026-10-10", "source_info": "our own evidence archive", "brand": "Forecast Record" }, "indexable": true, "noindex_reason": null, "indexing_threshold": { "settled_count": 9, "date_count": 1, "required_settled": 0, "required_dates": 0 }, "data_date": "2026-10-12T20:06:55.789Z", "built_at": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z", "lastmod": "2026-11-08T02:12:33.000Z", "content_hash": null, "meaning_hash": "918aff11327dd89673ec25bf25e80273826f4996bcd7694bbf9f8b1fa746995f", "dependency_group": "event:s-75359e8318d6", "release_id": "20261107-195223", "markup": [ { "type_code": "WebPage", "allowed": true, "cause": null }, { "type_code": "Organization", "allowed": true, "cause": null }, { "type_code": "SportsEvent", "allowed": true, "cause": null } ], "exports": [ { "type_code": "json", "url": "/football/matches/derby-county-vs-wrexham-2026-10-10/index.json", "bytes": null }, { "type_code": "csv", "url": "/football/matches/derby-county-vs-wrexham-2026-10-10/picks.csv", "bytes": null } ], "modules": { "affiliate": true, "api": true, "compare_yourself": false }, "affiliate_block": { "container": true, "request_url": "/partnery/moi", "disclosure": "Some links below are affiliate links and are marked as such. They never affect what you see above: the order of any table is computed before any commission is known.", "page_category": "event" }, "restrictions": { "name_withdrawn": false, "tracker_number": null, "withdrawn_quotes": [], "removed_at": null, "cause": null, "suspended_records": [], "withdrawal_log_number": 0 }, "page_links": { "methodology": "/methodology/", "right_of_reply": "/right-of-reply/", "source_coverage": "/coverage/", "corrections_log": "/corrections/", "api": "/api/", "claim": "/claim/" }, "event": { "id": "s-75359e8318d6", "display_name": "Derby County — Wrexham", "competition_name": "EFL Championship", "starts_at": "2026-10-10T14:00:00.000Z", "status": "finished", "scoreline": "1-1", "condition": "finished", "condition_words": "finished", "result_received_at": "2026-10-10T16:02:22.337Z", "postponement": null, "consensus": { "market_label": "Correct score", "distribution": [ { "outcome_label": "Derby County 0-2 Wrexham", "figure": 1, "share": "25.0" }, { "outcome_label": "Derby County 1-0 Wrexham", "figure": 1, "share": "25.0" }, { "outcome_label": "Derby County 1-2 Wrexham", "figure": 1, "share": "25.0" }, { "outcome_label": "Derby County 2-0 Wrexham", "figure": 1, "share": "25.0" } ], "n": 4, "author_count": 4, "median_odds": "10.00", "summary": "No single most common selection in this market: Derby County 0-2 Wrexham and Derby County 1-0 Wrexham and 2 more — 1 of 4 eligible picks each (one per author), median stated price 10.00", "late_excluded": 0, "contributions": 4, "prediction_count": 4, "chain": { "publications": 8, "unique": 8, "comparable": 8, "admissible": 8, "contributions": 8 }, "differing_choices": 0, "different_products": 0, "counting_rule": "1" }, "country_name": "England", "competition_full": "EFL Championship (England)" }, "evidence_items": [ { "observation_id": "n-f370c189f313f704b4564af6", "url": "/authors/tony-incenzo/picks/37/#pick-n-f370c189f313f704b4564af6", "quote_text": "Derby County v Wrexham: 0-2", "fragment_from": 2602, "fragment_to": 2629, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "rss", "url": "https://news.williamhill.com/football/championship/best-bets-and-predictions-saturday-10th-october-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Tony Incenzo", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "654e276065761e14d2a164a1bf2b256df59b1e06aeb142efdeefed2b58e0a595", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-08T10:15:23.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-08T10:23:29.540Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "score_forecast", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-75359e8318d6", "display_name": "Derby County — Wrexham", "competition_name": "EFL Championship", "starts_at": "2026-10-10T14:00:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/derby-county-vs-wrexham-2026-10-10/", "scoreline": "1-1", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "Correct score", "outcome_label": "Derby County 0-2 Wrexham", "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": "loss", "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-08T10:15:23.000Z", "fragment_basis": "element", "source_page_at": "2026-10-08T10:15:23.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-08T10:23:29.540Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Correct score", "choice": "Derby County 0-2 Wrexham", "author_odds": null, "market_key": "correct_score_market", "choice_key": "0-2", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Correct score: Derby County 0-2 Wrexham" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "1-1", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Did not match: the final score was Derby County 1-1 Wrexham." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "9028d2661bb466ca953c2901dbdb85842235e29e2449e9430ba7cb6fbb0a202b", "series_key": "derived_series", "series_label": "Forecast Record reconstruction from the predicted score", "derived": true, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": false, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Wrexham", "decimal_odds": "2.5600", "odds_role": "market_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-10-10T23:35:09.280Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": false, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": { "material_author": "Tony Incenzo", "publisher": "news.williamhill.com", "forecaster": "Tony Incenzo", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://news.williamhill.com/football/championship/best-bets-and-predictions-saturday-10th-october-2026/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-70b324dc29f48b59b5db060f", "url": "/authors/carter-white/picks/2/#pick-n-70b324dc29f48b59b5db060f", "quote_text": "We say: Derby County 1-2 Wrexham", "fragment_from": 4023, "fragment_to": 4055, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "rss", "url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/derby-county/preview/derby-vs-wrexham-prediction-team-news-lineups_606485.html", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Carter White", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "bd4a970480eed3b85e705d729a997b67d1c7cac1aab2714a74f85cc2e1d06b60", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-08T15:43:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-08T16:07:14.298Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "score_forecast", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-75359e8318d6", "display_name": "Derby County — Wrexham", "competition_name": "EFL Championship", "starts_at": "2026-10-10T14:00:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/derby-county-vs-wrexham-2026-10-10/", "scoreline": "1-1", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "Correct score", "outcome_label": "Derby County 1-2 Wrexham", "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": "loss", "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-08T15:43:00.000Z", "fragment_basis": "element", "source_page_at": "2026-10-08T15:43:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-08T16:07:14.298Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Correct score", "choice": "Derby County 1-2 Wrexham", "author_odds": null, "market_key": "correct_score_market", "choice_key": "1-2", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Correct score: Derby County 1-2 Wrexham" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "1-1", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Did not match: the final score was Derby County 1-1 Wrexham." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "68763b99f3806a229e40119bc257c1037205a56171684810f65d82b82717ff01", "series_key": "derived_series", "series_label": "Forecast Record reconstruction from the predicted score", "derived": true, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": false, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Wrexham", "decimal_odds": "2.5600", "odds_role": "market_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-10-10T23:35:08.828Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": false, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": { "material_author": "Carter White", "publisher": "Sports Mole", "forecaster": "Carter White", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/derby-county/preview/derby-vs-wrexham-prediction-team-news-lineups_606485.html", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-a59cf3723cadc599737c264f", "url": "/sources/free-super-tips/picks/9/#pick-n-a59cf3723cadc599737c264f", "quote_text": "Derby to Win\n\nReasoning\n\nReason for tip\n\nDerby could be worth backing to upset the odds against Wrexham at Pride Park. The visitors are narrow favourites but have failed to win their last three Championship matches when fancied by the bookmakers. Despite sitting eight places below Wrexham, John Eustace’s side can take advantage of the visitors’ struggles to justify favouritism and secure a much-needed home victory.\n\n17/10odds when tipped", "fragment_from": 202, "fragment_to": 643, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.freesupertips.com/predictions/derby-vs-wrexham-predictions-betting-tips-match-previews/", "display_name": null, "speaker": null, "authorship": "channel_consensus", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "cea8142e96c2e798a51ab88749720dbde9e0a6d56e5d70611b9bd5a14647b826", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": null, "detected_at": "2026-10-08T16:48:06.056Z", "executed_at": "2026-10-10T23:35:08.755Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-75359e8318d6", "display_name": "Derby County — Wrexham", "competition_name": "EFL Championship", "starts_at": "2026-10-10T14:00:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/derby-county-vs-wrexham-2026-10-10/", "scoreline": "1-1", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "outcome_label": "Derby County", "odds_set": { "by_author": "2.7", "our_snapshot": "2.6500", "our_snapshot_at": "2026-10-08T16:47:14.069Z", "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot", "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "loss", "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": null, "fragment_basis": "no", "source_page_at": null, "detected_at": "2026-10-08T16:48:06.056Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [ "no_date" ], "flag_words": "The source states no publication date.", "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Derby County", "author_odds": "2.7", "market_key": "1x2", "choice_key": "1", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "1X2, match result: Derby County at 2.7" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "1-1", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Derby County 1-1 Wrexham." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "d9d5641b6019b8b1ee6c23cca841b6768fe1075f34202b4ad37580c371137ebc", "series_key": "author_price", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Derby County", "decimal_odds": "2.7", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-10-08T16:50:48.014Z", "methodology_version": "2.1", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "8f9423e24705fe2decac0a8e4c1e9f0ae91369b2c7f6c4af323874685de90224", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Derby County", "decimal_odds": "2.6500", "odds_role": "market_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-10-10T23:35:08.755Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Free Super Tips", "publisher": "Free Super Tips", "forecaster": "Free Super Tips", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.freesupertips.com/predictions/derby-vs-wrexham-predictions-betting-tips-match-previews/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-f92a6a38d9713e1eab7f09a5", "url": "/sources/free-super-tips/picks/9/#pick-n-f92a6a38d9713e1eab7f09a5", "quote_text": "Derby 2-0\n\nReasoning\n\nReason for tip\n\nA low-scoring encounter looks possible given Derby’s record this season. Only four of their eight Championship matches have seen both teams score, suggesting that at least one side could draw a blank. Wrexham have won just two of their opening eight games, and Derby can capitalise with a 2-0 home success.\n\n12/1odds when tipped", "fragment_from": 1343, "fragment_to": 1709, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.freesupertips.com/predictions/derby-vs-wrexham-predictions-betting-tips-match-previews/", "display_name": null, "speaker": null, "authorship": "channel_consensus", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "cea8142e96c2e798a51ab88749720dbde9e0a6d56e5d70611b9bd5a14647b826", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": null, "detected_at": "2026-10-08T16:48:06.056Z", "executed_at": "2026-10-09T11:29:52.353Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-75359e8318d6", "display_name": "Derby County — Wrexham", "competition_name": "EFL Championship", "starts_at": "2026-10-10T14:00:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/derby-county-vs-wrexham-2026-10-10/", "scoreline": "1-1", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "Correct score", "outcome_label": "Derby County 2-0 Wrexham", "odds_set": { "by_author": "13", "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "loss", "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": null, "fragment_basis": "no", "source_page_at": null, "detected_at": "2026-10-08T16:48:06.056Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [ "no_date" ], "flag_words": "The source states no publication date.", "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Correct score", "choice": "Derby County 2-0 Wrexham", "author_odds": "13", "market_key": "correct_score_market", "choice_key": "2-0", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Correct score: Derby County 2-0 Wrexham at 13" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "1-1", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Did not match: the final score was Derby County 1-1 Wrexham." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "1be19651f2f5a787955240bfb8f0c3d619892abe42596b1285acc6c4a502b2bb", "series_key": "author_price", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Correct score", "choice": "Derby County 2-0 Wrexham", "decimal_odds": "13", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-10-09T11:29:52.353Z", "methodology_version": "2.1", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "132e08bfd0498a67f59016732ec8fee3d27f5e4afca02c534fac9b1a4876774b", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Correct score", "choice": "Derby County 2-0 Wrexham", "decimal_odds": null, "odds_role": null, "stake_hundredths": null, "status": "skipped", "status_text": "Not executed: ", "result": null, "result_words": null, "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Free Super Tips", "publisher": "Free Super Tips", "forecaster": "Free Super Tips", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the 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"methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "42c81e67acd605084c4c3a044b80f8f9015ca34469cc22fed52a89a4d760c922", "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm", "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Over/Under 1.5 goals", "choice": "over 1.5", "decimal_odds": "1.2500", "odds_role": "closing_odds", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 2500, "executed_at": "2026-10-13T20:11:03.964Z", "methodology_version": "retro-1.1", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "7", "publisher": "Bottadiculo", "forecaster": "7", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.bottadiculo.it/pronostico-derby-county-wrexham-10-ottobre-2026-9a-giornata-di-championship/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null } ], "record_counts": { "dictionary_version": "1", "dictionary_url": "/methodology/#words", "statements": 9, "predictions": 9, "authors": 6, "statements_before_kickoff": 8, "settled_picks": 5, "duplicates": 0, "junk": {} }, "match_summary": { "contract_version": "1", "final_score": "1-1", "state_words": "finished", "distinct_predictions": 9, "sources": 6, "one_source": false, "sentence": "Derby County finished 1-1 against Wrexham. None of the 4 recorded correct-score predictions matched that score. Other markets are shown separately below. 1 prediction found after kick-off is shown separately and excluded from the pre-match count.", "who_predicted_what": [ { "record_id": "n-a59cf3723cadc599737c264f", "url": "/sources/free-super-tips/picks/9/#pick-n-a59cf3723cadc599737c264f", "author": "Free Super Tips", "author_url": "/sources/free-super-tips/", "market": "1X2, match result", "selection": "Derby County", "outcome": "Lost", "price": "2.70", "published_at": null, "recorded_at": "2026-10-08T16:48:06.056Z", "lead_hours": 45.2, "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "outcome_reason": null, "before_kickoff": true, "attribution": null }, { "record_id": "n-2fe42b3a05d53024544f62f9", "url": "/sources/sportsgambler/picks/94/#pick-n-2fe42b3a05d53024544f62f9", "author": "SportsGambler", "author_url": "/sources/sportsgambler/", "market": "Asian handicap 0.25", "selection": "Derby County +0.25", "outcome": "Half won", "price": "1.64", "published_at": "2026-10-08T20:28:26.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-08T20:45:11.653Z", "lead_hours": 41.2, "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "outcome_reason": null, "before_kickoff": true, "attribution": null }, { "record_id": "n-70b324dc29f48b59b5db060f", "url": "/authors/carter-white/picks/2/#pick-n-70b324dc29f48b59b5db060f", "author": "Carter White", "author_url": "/authors/carter-white/", "market": "Correct score", "selection": "Derby County 1-2 Wrexham", "outcome": "Lost", "price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-08T15:43:00.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-08T16:07:14.298Z", "lead_hours": 45.9, "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "outcome_reason": null, "before_kickoff": true, "attribution": null }, { "record_id": "n-f92a6a38d9713e1eab7f09a5", "url": "/sources/free-super-tips/picks/9/#pick-n-f92a6a38d9713e1eab7f09a5", "author": "Free Super Tips", "author_url": "/sources/free-super-tips/", "market": "Correct score", "selection": "Derby County 2-0 Wrexham", "outcome": "Lost", "price": "13.00", "published_at": null, "recorded_at": "2026-10-08T16:48:06.056Z", "lead_hours": 45.2, "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "outcome_reason": null, "before_kickoff": true, "attribution": null }, { "record_id": "n-893783e856b54d7ab44bc546", "url": "/sources/sportsgambler/picks/94/#pick-n-893783e856b54d7ab44bc546", "author": "SportsGambler", "author_url": "/sources/sportsgambler/", "market": "Correct score", "selection": "Derby County 1-0 Wrexham", "outcome": "Lost", "price": "7.00", "published_at": "2026-10-08T20:28:26.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-08T20:45:11.653Z", "lead_hours": 41.2, "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "outcome_reason": null, "before_kickoff": true, "attribution": null }, { "record_id": "n-f370c189f313f704b4564af6", "url": "/authors/tony-incenzo/picks/37/#pick-n-f370c189f313f704b4564af6", "author": "Tony Incenzo", "author_url": "/authors/tony-incenzo/", "market": "Correct score", "selection": "Derby County 0-2 Wrexham", "outcome": "Lost", "price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-08T10:15:23.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-08T10:23:29.540Z", "lead_hours": 51.6, "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "outcome_reason": null, "before_kickoff": true, "attribution": null }, { "record_id": "n-2877a201d2d14a1ca1ca8d40", "url": "/authors/dan-childs/picks/24/#pick-n-2877a201d2d14a1ca1ca8d40", "author": "Dan Childs", "author_url": "/authors/dan-childs/", "market": "Draw no bet", "selection": "Wrexham", "outcome": "Void", "price": "1.83", "published_at": "2026-10-09T15:00:00.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-09T15:06:22.225Z", "lead_hours": 22.9, "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "outcome_reason": null, "before_kickoff": true, "attribution": null }, { "record_id": "n-b63f2cab7e5c58245ecdfef3", "url": "/authors/enrico-giordano/picks/23/#pick-n-b63f2cab7e5c58245ecdfef3", "author": "Enrico Giordano", "author_url": "/authors/enrico-giordano/", "market": "Over/Under 1.5 goals", "selection": "over 1.5", "outcome": "Won", "price": "1.28", "published_at": "2026-10-09T08:02:00.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-12T20:06:55.789Z", "lead_hours": -54.1, "origin": "Source-reported history", "outcome_reason": null, "before_kickoff": false, "attribution": null }, { "record_id": "n-9332bcb295f4ef0eed6eedd9", "url": "/sources/sportsgambler/picks/94/#pick-n-9332bcb295f4ef0eed6eedd9", "author": "SportsGambler", "author_url": "/sources/sportsgambler/", "market": "Player shots on target over/under 0.5", "selection": "Josh Windass over 0.5 shots on target", "outcome": "Not settled", "price": "1.93", "published_at": "2026-10-08T20:28:26.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-08T20:45:11.653Z", "lead_hours": 41.2, "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "outcome_reason": "the result data received so far does not include the player shot counts this market needs", "before_kickoff": true, "attribution": null } ], "by_market": [ { "market": "Correct score", "predictions": 4, "sources": 4, "one_source": false, "eligible": 4, "different_selections": 0, "selections": [ { "selection": "Derby County 0-2 Wrexham", "predictions": 1, "eligible": 1 }, { "selection": "Derby County 1-0 Wrexham", "predictions": 1, "eligible": 1 }, { "selection": "Derby County 1-2 Wrexham", "predictions": 1, "eligible": 1 }, { "selection": "Derby County 2-0 Wrexham", "predictions": 1, "eligible": 1 } ], "implied_by_score": [ { "selection": "Derby County", "predictions": 2 }, { "selection": "Wrexham", "predictions": 2 } ], "median_odds": "10.00", "odds_from_author": 2, "odds_from_snapshot": 0 }, { "market": "1X2, match result", "predictions": 1, "sources": 1, "one_source": true, "eligible": 1, "different_selections": 0, "selections": [ { "selection": "Derby County", "predictions": 1, "eligible": 1 } ], "median_odds": "2.70", "odds_from_author": 1, "odds_from_snapshot": 0 }, { "market": "Asian handicap 0.25", "predictions": 1, "sources": 1, "one_source": true, "eligible": 1, "different_selections": 0, "selections": [ { "selection": "Derby County +0.25", "predictions": 1, "eligible": 1 } ], "median_odds": "1.64", "odds_from_author": 1, "odds_from_snapshot": 0 }, { "market": "Draw no bet", "predictions": 1, "sources": 1, "one_source": true, "eligible": 1, "different_selections": 0, "selections": [ { "selection": "Wrexham", "predictions": 1, "eligible": 1 } ], "median_odds": "1.83", "odds_from_author": 1, "odds_from_snapshot": 0 }, { "market": "Player shots on target over/under 0.5", "predictions": 1, "sources": 1, "one_source": true, "eligible": 1, "different_selections": 0, "selections": [ { "selection": "Josh Windass over 0.5 shots on target", "predictions": 1, "eligible": 1 } ], "median_odds": "1.93", "odds_from_author": 1, "odds_from_snapshot": 0 } ], "found_after_kickoff": 1, "selections_before_kickoff": 8, "independent_sources": 5, "same_material_repeats": 0, "sources_list": [ { "source": "sportsgambler.com", "materials": 1, "authors": 1, "selections": 3 }, { "source": "freesupertips.com", "materials": 1, "authors": 1, "selections": 2 }, { "source": "news.williamhill.com", "materials": 1, "authors": 1, "selections": 1 }, { "source": "racingpost.com", "materials": 1, "authors": 1, "selections": 1 }, { "source": "sportsmole.co.uk", "materials": 1, "authors": 1, "selections": 1 } ], "what_happened": { "won": 0, "lost": 5, "void": 1, "half_won": 1, "half_lost": 0, "not_settled": 1 }, "scenarios": [ { "author": "SportsGambler", "author_url": "/sources/sportsgambler/", "picks": 3, "record_ids": [ "n-9332bcb295f4ef0eed6eedd9", "n-2fe42b3a05d53024544f62f9", "n-893783e856b54d7ab44bc546" ], "markets": [ "Player shots on target over/under 0.5", "Asian handicap 0.25", "Correct score" ], "selections": [ "Josh Windass over 0.5 shots on target", "Derby County +0.25", "Derby County 1-0 Wrexham" ], "prices": [ "1.93", "1.64", "7.00" ], "outcomes": [ "Not settled", "Half won", "Lost" ], "scenario": "Josh Windass over 0.5 shots on target · Derby County +0.25 · Derby County 1-0 Wrexham", "result": "any_wrong", "recorded_at": "2026-10-08T20:45:11.653Z", "lead_hours": 41.2, "evidence_urls": [ "/sources/sportsgambler/picks/94/#pick-n-9332bcb295f4ef0eed6eedd9", "/sources/sportsgambler/picks/94/#pick-n-2fe42b3a05d53024544f62f9", "/sources/sportsgambler/picks/94/#pick-n-893783e856b54d7ab44bc546" ] }, { "author": "Free Super Tips", "author_url": "/sources/free-super-tips/", "picks": 2, "record_ids": [ "n-a59cf3723cadc599737c264f", "n-f92a6a38d9713e1eab7f09a5" ], "markets": [ "1X2, match result", "Correct score" ], "selections": [ "Derby County", "Derby County 2-0 Wrexham" ], "prices": [ "2.70", "13.00" ], "outcomes": [ "Lost", "Lost" ], "scenario": "Derby County · Derby County 2-0 Wrexham", "result": "any_wrong", "recorded_at": "2026-10-08T16:48:06.056Z", "lead_hours": 45.2, "evidence_urls": [ "/sources/free-super-tips/picks/9/#pick-n-a59cf3723cadc599737c264f", "/sources/free-super-tips/picks/9/#pick-n-f92a6a38d9713e1eab7f09a5" ] } ], "lead_time": { "contract_version": 1, "threshold_hours": 2.0, "picks": 9, 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] }, { "phrase": "Draw no bet — Most common recorded selection: Wrexham — 1 of 1 eligible", "source_group": "draw_no_bet|*|match|*|*#explicit", "leader": "2", "n": 1, "market_label": "Draw no bet", "row_list": [ { "figure": 1, "in_words": "Wrexham", "choice": "2" } ] }, { "phrase": "Over/Under 1.5 goals — Most common recorded selection: over 1.5 — 1 of 1 eligible", "source_group": "total|1.5|match|*|*#explicit", "leader": "over", "n": 1, "market_label": "Over/Under 1.5 goals", "row_list": [ { "figure": 1, "in_words": "over 1.5", "choice": "over" } ] }, { "phrase": null, "source_group": "player_shots|0.5|match|ig-c29f05821d08|*#explicit", "leader": "over", "n": 1, "market_label": "Player shots on target over/under 0.5", "row_list": [ { "figure": 1, "in_words": null, "choice": "over" } ] } ], "counting_rule": "1", "different_products": 0, "differing_choices": 0, "not_counted": 0 }, "composition": [ "n-2877a201d2d14a1ca1ca8d40", "n-2dadee8c5c75148bf7de910e", "n-2fe42b3a05d53024544f62f9", 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