{ "schema_name": "page", "schema_version": "2.0", "page_type": "event", "url": "/football/matches/deportivo-alaves-vs-malaga-cf-2026-10-23/", "canonical": "/football/matches/deportivo-alaves-vs-malaga-cf-2026-10-23/", "language": "en", "hreflang": [], "translations": [], "heading": "Deportivo Alavés vs Málaga CF: recorded predictions and results", "description": "Deportivo Alavés vs Málaga CF, 23 October 2026. Final score 1-1 · LaLiga: 39 distinct predictions from 27 authors.", "first_paragraph": { "body": "Deportivo Alavés finished 1-1 against Málaga CF. 1 of the 4 recorded correct-score predictions matched that score. Other markets are shown separately below. 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"admissible": 17, "contributions": 17 }, "differing_choices": 0, "visible_who": 10, "newcomers_who": 17, "newcomers_before": 22, "titles_shown": true, "legend": "Badges show titles earned before this prediction, by published rules." }, "arguments": { "topics": [ { "code_name": "recent_form", "display_name": "Form", "checkable_item": false, "bullet_points": [ { "entry_id": "n-fac7466c58359a4c5cef344a", "author_name": "Matt Law", "author_href": "/authors/matt-law/", "source_group": "experts", "choice": "Deportivo Alavés 1-1 Málaga CF", "market_label": "Correct score", "logged_at": "2026-10-21T13:10:02.528Z", "original": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/malaga/preview/alaves-vs-malaga-prediction-team-news-lineups_607364.html", "proof": "/authors/matt-law/picks/11/#pick-n-fac7466c58359a4c5cef344a", "quote_text": "Malaga are going to end their winless run at some stage, but we are not expecting that to occur on Friday, with the points potentially being shared in a…", "retelling": null, "checkable_item": false, "against": false }, { "entry_id": "n-0ce6fa9343fd3bb5269fe5fe", "author_name": "Kelechi Udoka", "author_href": "/authors/kelechi-udoka/", "source_group": "experts", "choice": "yes", "market_label": "Both teams to score", "logged_at": "2026-10-22T04:54:17.532Z", "original": "https://footballwhispers.com/blog/alaves-vs-malaga-prediction-23-10-2026/", "proof": "/authors/kelechi-udoka/picks/13/#pick-n-0ce6fa9343fd3bb5269fe5fe", "quote_text": "Both teams found the net in four of Malaga's last five fixtures.", "retelling": null, "checkable_item": false, "against": false } ], "total_count": 4 }, { "code_name": "other_topic", "display_name": "Other reasons", "checkable_item": false, "bullet_points": [ { "entry_id": "n-af0e5909ee59c427ba03acb9", "author_name": "Kelechi Udoka", "author_href": "/authors/kelechi-udoka/", "source_group": "experts", "choice": "Deportivo Alavés", "market_label": "1X2, match result", "logged_at": "2026-10-22T04:54:17.532Z", "original": "https://footballwhispers.com/blog/alaves-vs-malaga-prediction-23-10-2026/", "proof": "/authors/kelechi-udoka/picks/14/#pick-n-af0e5909ee59c427ba03acb9", "quote_text": "The hosts have won three of their five home games this season, and considering Malaga's struggles, coupled with their poor track record against Alaves, we are…", "retelling": null, "checkable_item": false, "against": false }, { "entry_id": "n-a6cec952e32806fdbf794b49", "author_name": "Baba", "author_href": "/authors/baba/", "source_group": "tipsters", "choice": "no", "market_label": "Both teams to score", "logged_at": "2026-10-23T00:39:44.313Z", "original": "https://www.livetipsportal.com/en/sportsbetting-tips/deportivo-alaves-vs-malaga-cf-la-liga-12188071/", "proof": "/authors/baba/picks/137/#pick-n-a6cec952e32806fdbf794b49", "quote_text": "Additionally, considering Málaga's current offensive struggles, we predict that both teams may not find the back of the net.", "retelling": null, "checkable_item": false, "against": false } ], "total_count": 3 }, { "code_name": "home_form", "display_name": "Home and away", "checkable_item": false, "bullet_points": [ { "entry_id": "n-9e88939a2c6b0835524a51e1", "author_name": "Dailysports", "author_href": "/sources/dailysports-net/", "source_group": "websites", "choice": "under 2.5", "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals", "logged_at": "2026-10-22T08:09:25.297Z", "original": "https://dailysports.net/predictions/it-will-be-difficult-for-the-hosts-to-end-their-slump-alaves-vs-malaga-prediction/", "proof": "/sources/dailysports-net/picks/14/#pick-n-9e88939a2c6b0835524a51e1", "quote_text": "Given the visitors' lack of attacking output and Alavés' inconsistency, the most logical scenario is a cautious game with few goals.", "retelling": null, "checkable_item": false, "against": false } ], "total_count": 1 }, { "code_name": "head_to_head", "display_name": "Head-to-head", "checkable_item": false, "bullet_points": [ { "entry_id": "n-24f6f406f68e63adbbdc3b82", "author_name": "Kelechi Udoka", "author_href": "/authors/kelechi-udoka/", "source_group": "experts", "choice": "over 4.5", "market_label": "Over/Under 4.5 cards", "logged_at": "2026-10-22T04:54:17.532Z", "original": "https://footballwhispers.com/blog/alaves-vs-malaga-prediction-23-10-2026/", "proof": "/authors/kelechi-udoka/picks/14/#pick-n-24f6f406f68e63adbbdc3b82", "quote_text": "as was the case in eight of the last nine H2Hs", "retelling": null, "checkable_item": false, "against": false } ], "total_count": 1 } ], "against": [], "other_languages": 6, "other_language_hosts": [ "bottadiculo.it", "infobetting.com", "metaratings.ru", "sportwetten.bild.de", "sportytrader.es" ], "mode": "quotes", "topics_total": 4, "checkable": 0 }, "market_label": { "favourite_code": "1", "favourite": "Deportivo Alavés", "probabilities": [ { "outcome_label": "1", "in_words": "Deportivo Alavés", "percent_value": 59 }, { "outcome_label": "X", "in_words": "Draw", "percent_value": 25 }, { "outcome_label": "2", "in_words": "Málaga CF", "percent_value": 16 } ], "prices": { "1": "1.60", "X": "3.77", "2": "5.85" }, "group_count": 28, "bookmakers": 43, "snapshot_at": "2026-10-23T19:00:00.000Z", "closing_line": true, "first_at": "2026-10-21T03:07:05.746Z", "shift_pp": 4.7, "phrase": "The market has moved a little since our first snapshot on 21 October 2026: Deportivo Alavés 54% then, 59% at kick-off.", "technique": "Median across groups of bookmakers, without margin: brands on one platform count once (median within the group); betting exchanges and prediction markets are excluded. Market price from an odds aggregator; the data provider is not named.", "t24": { "snapshot_at": "2026-10-22T19:00:00.000Z", "probabilities": { "1": 56, "2": 18, "X": 26 } }, "t2": { "snapshot_at": "2026-10-23T17:00:00.000Z", "probabilities": { "1": 59, "2": 16, "X": 25 } } }, "market_mode": "show", "fact_sheet": { "tournament": "LaLiga (Spain)", "matchday": "Matchweek 10", "starts_at": "2026-10-23T19:00:00.000Z", "form": { "home_side": [ { "res": "L", "scoreline": "1-2", "opponent": "Celta Vigo", "at_home": false, "data": "2026-10-18" }, { "res": "L", "scoreline": "1-2", "opponent": "Atlético Madrid", "at_home": true, "data": "2026-10-10" }, { "res": "D", "scoreline": "0-0", "opponent": "Athletic Club", "at_home": false, "data": "2026-09-19" }, { "res": "L", "scoreline": "0-1", "opponent": "Valencia", "at_home": true, "data": "2026-09-15" }, { "res": "L", "scoreline": "1-2", "opponent": "Real Racing Club", "at_home": false, "data": "2026-09-12" } ], "away": [ { "res": "L", "scoreline": "2-5", "opponent": "Real Sociedad", "at_home": true, "data": "2026-10-18" }, { "res": "D", "scoreline": "1-1", "opponent": "Espanyol", "at_home": true, "data": "2026-10-09" }, { "res": "L", "scoreline": "0-1", "opponent": "Getafe", "at_home": false, "data": "2026-09-20" }, { "res": "L", "scoreline": "1-3", "opponent": "Villarreal", "at_home": true, "data": "2026-09-17" }, { "res": "D", "scoreline": "1-1", "opponent": "Celta Vigo", "at_home": false, "data": "2026-09-13" } ] }, "head_to_head": [], "past_cards": [], "reach": "" }, "after_match": { "scoreline": "1-1", "fact_code": "X", "row_list": [ "Match-result predictions from tipsters and sources with 10 or more predictions checked against the final score to date: 1 of 16 matched · Tipsters 1 of 7 · Pundits 0 of 1 · Prediction sites 0 of 8", "All recorded exact-score predictions: 1 of 4 matched", "Exact-score predictions from tipsters and sources with 10 or more predictions checked against the final score to date: 1 of 4 matched the score, 1 of 4 the outcome", "Most common selection among tipsters and sources with 10 or more predictions checked against the final score to date: Deportivo Alavés (15 of 16), missed", "Market favourite at kick-off: Deportivo Alavés (missed)" ], "by_group": { "tipsters": { "correct": 1, "of": 7 }, "websites": { "correct": 0, "of": 8 }, "experts": { "correct": 0, "of": 1 } }, "placement": null, "checks": [] }, "prices": [ { "author_name": "Kelechi Udoka", "choice": "Deportivo Alavés", "market_label": "1X2, match result", "author_quoted_price": "1.80", "our_snapshot": "1.7519", "closing_line": null }, { "author_name": "Enrico Giordano", "choice": "Deportivo Alavés", "market_label": "1X2, match result", "author_quoted_price": "1.75", "our_snapshot": "1.7407", "closing_line": null }, { "author_name": "Infobetting", "choice": "Deportivo Alavés", "market_label": "1X2, match result", "author_quoted_price": "1.78", "our_snapshot": "1.6667", "closing_line": null }, { "author_name": "David Ratabouil", "choice": "Deportivo Alavés", "market_label": "1X2, match result", "author_quoted_price": "1.66", "our_snapshot": "1.7407", "closing_line": null }, { "author_name": "Alberto Bravo", "choice": "Deportivo Alavés", "market_label": "1X2, match result", "author_quoted_price": "1.76", "our_snapshot": "1.7407", "closing_line": null }, { "author_name": "Jonas Meyer", "choice": "draw", "market_label": "1X2, match result", "author_quoted_price": "3.80", "our_snapshot": "3.7500", "closing_line": null }, { "author_name": "Dailysports", "choice": "under 2.5", "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals", "author_quoted_price": "1.74", "our_snapshot": "1.7392", "closing_line": null }, { "author_name": "Jonas Meyer", "choice": "under 2.5", "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals", "author_quoted_price": "1.78", "our_snapshot": "1.7704", "closing_line": null }, { "author_name": "Alberto Bravo", "choice": "over 2.5", "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals", "author_quoted_price": "2.02", "our_snapshot": "1.9524", "closing_line": null }, { "author_name": "Kelechi Udoka", "choice": "yes", "market_label": "Both teams to score", "author_quoted_price": "2.00", "our_snapshot": "1.9091", "closing_line": null }, { "author_name": "Artem Kapustin", "choice": "Málaga CF under 0.5", "market_label": "Team goals over/under 0.5", "author_quoted_price": "2.15", "our_snapshot": "1.9901", "closing_line": null } ], "revisions": [ "Market 24 hours before kick-off: Deportivo Alavés 56%.", "Market 2 hours before kick-off: Deportivo Alavés 59%.", "First published with predictions on 18 October 2026." ], "titles": { "shown": true, "legend": "Badges show titles earned before this prediction, by published rules.", "frozen_in": "sr-0f9e3d42d729bb96dd7d05fb" }, "tracker": null, "source_groups": { "as_of": "2026-10-23T19:00:00.000Z", "groups": [ { "key": "prediction_sites", "label": "Prediction sites" }, { "key": "media", "label": "Media" }, { "key": "telegram_channels", "label": "Telegram channels" }, { "key": "private_authors", "label": "Independent tipsters" } ], "authors": 27, "by_group": [ { "key": "prediction_sites", "authors": 12 }, { "key": "media", "authors": 4 }, { "key": "telegram_channels", "authors": 10 }, { "key": "private_authors", "authors": 1 } ], "markets": [ { "key": "1x2", "label": "Match result", "authors": 16, "by_group": [ { "key": "prediction_sites", "authors": 5 }, { "key": "media", "authors": 2 }, { "key": "telegram_channels", "authors": 8 }, { "key": "private_authors", "authors": 1 } ], "choices": [ { "code_name": "1", "in_words": "Deportivo Alavés", "authors": 15, "by_group": [ { "key": "prediction_sites", "authors": 5 }, { "key": "media", "authors": 1 }, { "key": "telegram_channels", "authors": 8 }, { "key": "private_authors", "authors": 1 } ] }, { "code_name": "X", "in_words": "Draw", "authors": 1, "by_group": [ { "key": "prediction_sites", "authors": 0 }, { "key": "media", "authors": 1 }, { "key": "telegram_channels", "authors": 0 }, { "key": "private_authors", "authors": 0 } ] }, { "code_name": "2", "in_words": "Málaga CF", "authors": 0, "by_group": [ { "key": "prediction_sites", "authors": 0 }, { "key": "media", "authors": 0 }, { "key": "telegram_channels", "authors": 0 }, { "key": "private_authors", "authors": 0 } ] } ] }, { "key": "totals", "label": "Goal totals", "authors": 10, "by_group": [ { "key": "prediction_sites", "authors": 6 }, { "key": "media", "authors": 1 }, { "key": "telegram_channels", "authors": 3 }, { "key": "private_authors", "authors": 0 } ] }, { "key": "other", "label": "Handicaps, both teams to score, correct score and other markets", "authors": 9, "by_group": [ { "key": "prediction_sites", "authors": 4 }, { "key": "media", "authors": 3 }, { "key": "telegram_channels", "authors": 1 }, { "key": "private_authors", "authors": 1 } ] } ] }, "market_line": { "line_state": "moved", "line_frozen": true, "phrase": "Market line at kick-off (23 October 2026, 20:00 BST): Deportivo Alavés 59%, draw 25%, Málaga CF 16%. From 21 October 2026, 04:07 BST to kick-off the line moved 4.7 percentage points (Deportivo Alavés up).", "line_markets": [ { "market_text": "1X2, match result", "market_group": "1x2", "line_kind": "median_line", "margin_included": false, "snapshot_at": "2026-10-23T19:00:00.000Z", "closing_line": true, "probabilities": [ { "outcome_label": "1", "in_words": "Deportivo Alavés", "percent_value": 59 }, { "outcome_label": "X", "in_words": "Draw", "percent_value": 25 }, { "outcome_label": "2", "in_words": "Málaga CF", "percent_value": 16 } ], "group_count": 28, "first_at": "2026-10-21T03:07:05.746Z", "first_probabilities": { "1": 54, "2": 20, "X": 26 }, "shift_pp": 4.7, "shift_outcome": "1", "shift_direction": "up", "line_state": "moved", "phrase": "Market line at kick-off (23 October 2026, 20:00 BST): Deportivo Alavés 59%, draw 25%, Málaga CF 16%. From 21 October 2026, 04:07 BST to kick-off the line moved 4.7 percentage points (Deportivo Alavés up)." }, { "market_text": "Both teams to score", "market_group": "other", "line_kind": "recorded_price", "margin_included": true, "closing_line": false, "price_sides": [ { "choice": "no", "snapshot_price": "1.78", "percent_value": 56, "snapshot_at": "2026-10-23T01:00:06.900Z", "snapshot_count": 3, "first_snapshot_price": "1.87", "first_at": "2026-10-21T04:24:53.648Z", "shift_pp": 2.7, "shift_direction": "up", "line_state": "barely_moved" }, { "choice": "yes", "snapshot_price": "1.91", "percent_value": 52, "snapshot_at": "2026-10-22T04:52:15.900Z", "snapshot_count": 1, "first_snapshot_price": null, "first_at": null, "shift_pp": null, "shift_direction": null, "line_state": "single_snapshot" } ], "line_state": "barely_moved", "phrase": "Both teams to score, no: market price 1.78 on 23 October 2026, 02:00 BST (implied 56%, margin included), 2.7 percentage points up from 21 October 2026, 05:24 BST. Both teams to score, yes: market price 1.91 on 22 October 2026, 05:52 BST (implied 52%, margin included)." }, { "market_text": "Over/Under 2.5 goals", "market_group": "totals", "line_kind": "recorded_price", "margin_included": true, "closing_line": false, "price_sides": [ { "choice": "over 2.5", "snapshot_price": "2.08", "percent_value": 48, "snapshot_at": "2026-10-22T11:49:13.540Z", "snapshot_count": 2, "first_snapshot_price": "1.95", "first_at": "2026-10-21T19:08:52.832Z", "shift_pp": 3.1, "shift_direction": "down", "line_state": "moved" }, { "choice": "under 2.5", "snapshot_price": "1.77", "percent_value": 56, "snapshot_at": "2026-10-23T13:08:21.626Z", "snapshot_count": 3, "first_snapshot_price": "1.74", "first_at": "2026-10-22T08:08:56.766Z", "shift_pp": 1.0, "shift_direction": "down", "line_state": "barely_moved" } ], "line_state": "moved", "phrase": "Over/Under 2.5 goals, over 2.5 goals: market price 2.08 on 22 October 2026, 12:49 BST (implied 48%, margin included), 3.1 percentage points down from 21 October 2026, 20:08 BST. Over/Under 2.5 goals, under 2.5 goals: market price 1.77 on 23 October 2026, 14:08 BST (implied 56%, margin included), 1.0 percentage point down from 22 October 2026, 09:08 BST." }, { "market_text": "Over/Under 3.5 goals", "market_group": "totals", "line_kind": "recorded_price", "margin_included": true, "closing_line": false, "price_sides": [ { "choice": "under 3.5", "snapshot_price": "1.27", "percent_value": 79, "snapshot_at": "2026-10-23T01:08:25.123Z", "snapshot_count": 2, "first_snapshot_price": "1.27", "first_at": "2026-10-23T00:37:41.988Z", "shift_pp": 0.0, "shift_direction": null, "line_state": "not_moved" } ], "line_state": "not_moved", "phrase": "Over/Under 3.5 goals, under 3.5 goals: market price 1.27 on 23 October 2026, 02:08 BST (implied 79%, margin included), the same as on 23 October 2026, 01:37 BST." }, { "market_text": "Over/Under 4.5 goals", "market_group": "totals", "line_kind": "recorded_price", "margin_included": true, "closing_line": false, "price_sides": [ { "choice": "under 4.5", "snapshot_price": "1.06", "percent_value": 94, "snapshot_at": "2026-10-23T01:08:25.123Z", "snapshot_count": 2, "first_snapshot_price": "1.06", "first_at": "2026-10-23T00:37:41.988Z", "shift_pp": 0.0, "shift_direction": null, "line_state": "not_moved" } ], "line_state": "not_moved", "phrase": "Over/Under 4.5 goals, under 4.5 goals: market price 1.06 on 23 October 2026, 02:08 BST (implied 94%, margin included), the same as on 23 October 2026, 01:37 BST." }, { "market_text": "Team goals over/under 0.5", "market_group": "totals", "line_kind": "recorded_price", "margin_included": true, "closing_line": false, "price_sides": [ { "choice": "Málaga CF under 0.5", "snapshot_price": "1.99", "percent_value": 50, "snapshot_at": "2026-10-23T18:36:56.393Z", "snapshot_count": 1, "first_snapshot_price": null, "first_at": null, "shift_pp": null, "shift_direction": null, "line_state": "single_snapshot" } ], "line_state": "single_snapshot", "phrase": "Team goals over/under 0.5, Málaga CF under 0.5 goals: market price 1.99 on 23 October 2026, 19:36 BST (implied 50%, margin included)." }, { "market_text": "Team goals over/under 1.5", "market_group": "totals", "line_kind": "recorded_price", "margin_included": true, "closing_line": false, "price_sides": [ { "choice": "Deportivo Alavés over 1.5", "snapshot_price": "1.81", "percent_value": 55, "snapshot_at": "2026-10-23T00:09:07.305Z", "snapshot_count": 1, "first_snapshot_price": null, "first_at": null, "shift_pp": null, "shift_direction": null, "line_state": "single_snapshot" } ], "line_state": "single_snapshot", "phrase": "Team goals over/under 1.5, Deportivo Alavés over 1.5 goals: market price 1.81 on 23 October 2026, 01:09 BST (implied 55%, margin included)." } ] }, "pre_kickoff_snapshot": { "frozen_before_kickoff": true, "as_of_moment": "2026-10-23T19:00:00.000Z", "starts_at": "2026-10-23T19:00:00.000Z", "phrase": "Before kick-off on 23 October 2026, 20:00 BST: market line at kick-off Deportivo Alavés 59%, draw 25%, Málaga CF 16%; 1X2, match result: most expected Deportivo Alavés (15 of 16 predictions); Over/Under 2.5 goals, recorded picks before the match (6): 3 on over 2.5 goals, 3 on under 2.5 goals; Both teams to score, recorded picks before the match (4): 3 on no, 1 on yes.", "market_line_brief": { "snapshot_at": "2026-10-23T19:00:00.000Z", "closing_line": true, "probabilities": { "1": 59, "X": 25, "2": 16 } }, "market_groups": [ { "market_group": "1x2", "group_markets": [ { "market_text": "1X2, match result", "prediction_count": 16, "row_count": 16, "market_choices": [ { "choice": "Deportivo Alavés", "figure": 15 }, { "choice": "draw", "figure": 1 } ], "phrase_mode": "majority", "leader_choice": "Deportivo Alavés", "leader_count": 15, "share_percent": 94, "phrase": "1X2, match result: most expected Deportivo Alavés (15 of 16 predictions)", "sides_1x2": [ { "side": "1", "in_words": "Deportivo Alavés", "figure": 15 }, { "side": "X", "in_words": "draw", "figure": 1 }, { "side": "2", 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