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 "heading": "Defensor Sporting vs Racing Club: recorded predictions and results",
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   "visible_who": 1,
   "newcomers_who": 1,
   "newcomers_before": 1,
   "titles_shown": true,
   "legend": "Badges show titles earned before this prediction, by published rules."
  },
  "arguments": {
   "topics": [],
   "against": [],
   "other_languages": 0,
   "other_language_hosts": [],
   "mode": "quotes",
   "topics_total": 0,
   "checkable": 0
  },
  "market_label": {
   "favourite_code": "2",
   "favourite": "Racing Club",
   "probabilities": [
    {
     "outcome_label": "1",
     "in_words": "Defensor Sporting",
     "percent_value": 29
    },
    {
     "outcome_label": "X",
     "in_words": "Draw",
     "percent_value": 30
    },
    {
     "outcome_label": "2",
     "in_words": "Racing Club",
     "percent_value": 41
    }
   ],
   "prices": {
    "1": "3.10",
    "X": "3.05",
    "2": "2.21"
   },
   "group_count": 13,
   "bookmakers": 15,
   "snapshot_at": "2026-10-24T19:00:00.000Z",
   "closing_line": true,
   "first_at": "2026-10-22T10:09:25.695Z",
   "shift_pp": 2.2,
   "phrase": "The market has barely changed its mind since our first snapshot on 22 October 2026: Racing Club 39% then, 41% at kick-off.",
   "technique": "Median across groups of bookmakers, without margin: brands on one platform count once (median within the group); betting exchanges and prediction markets are excluded. Market price from an odds aggregator; the data provider is not named.",
   "t24": {
    "snapshot_at": "2026-10-23T19:00:00.000Z",
    "probabilities": {
     "1": 32,
     "2": 39,
     "X": 30
    }
   },
   "t2": {
    "snapshot_at": "2026-10-24T17:00:00.000Z",
    "probabilities": {
     "1": 31,
     "2": 39,
     "X": 30
    }
   }
  },
  "market_mode": "show",
  "fact_sheet": {
   "tournament": "Primera División (Uruguay)",
   "matchday": "Clausura · Matchday 12",
   "starts_at": "2026-10-24T19:00:00.000Z",
   "form": {
    "home_side": [
     {
      "res": "L",
      "scoreline": "0-1",
      "opponent": "Boston River",
      "at_home": false,
      "data": "2026-10-17"
     },
     {
      "res": "L",
      "scoreline": "2-3",
      "opponent": "Cerro",
      "at_home": true,
      "data": "2026-10-10"
     },
     {
      "res": "L",
      "scoreline": "2-3",
      "opponent": "Albion",
      "at_home": false,
      "data": "2026-10-03"
     },
     {
      "res": "W",
      "scoreline": "1-0",
      "opponent": "Danubio",
      "at_home": true,
      "data": "2026-09-27"
     },
     {
      "res": "L",
      "scoreline": "2-3",
      "opponent": "Nacional",
      "at_home": false,
      "data": "2026-09-20"
     }
    ],
    "away": [
     {
      "res": "W",
      "scoreline": "3-0",
      "opponent": "Wanderers",
      "at_home": true,
      "data": "2026-10-17"
     },
     {
      "res": "L",
      "scoreline": "0-2",
      "opponent": "Juventud",
      "at_home": false,
      "data": "2026-10-11"
     },
     {
      "res": "L",
      "scoreline": "0-1",
      "opponent": "Peñarol",
      "at_home": true,
      "data": "2026-10-04"
     },
     {
      "res": "L",
      "scoreline": "1-2",
      "opponent": "Atlético Progreso",
      "at_home": false,
      "data": "2026-09-26"
     },
     {
      "res": "D",
      "scoreline": "0-0",
      "opponent": "Liverpool",
      "at_home": false,
      "data": "2026-09-21"
     }
    ]
   },
   "head_to_head": [
    {
     "data": "2026-05-30",
     "match_list": "Racing Club 0-0 Defensor Sporting",
     "event_id": "sm:19708559"
    },
    {
     "data": "2026-04-18",
     "match_list": "Racing Club 1-1 Defensor Sporting",
     "event_id": "sm:19678887"
    }
   ],
   "past_cards": [],
   "reach": ""
  },
  "after_match": {
   "scoreline": "3-3",
   "fact_code": "X",
   "row_list": [
    "Match-result predictions from tipsters and sources with 10 or more predictions checked against the final score to date: 0 of 1 matched",
    "All recorded exact-score predictions: 0 of 1 matched",
    "Exact-score predictions from tipsters and sources with 10 or more predictions checked against the final score to date: 0 of 1 matched the score, 1 of 1 the outcome",
    "Most common selection among tipsters and sources with 10 or more predictions checked against the final score to date: Racing Club (1 of 1), missed",
    "Market favourite at kick-off: Racing Club (missed)"
   ],
   "by_group": {
    "websites": {
     "correct": 0,
     "of": 1
    }
   },
   "placement": null,
   "checks": []
  },
  "prices": [],
  "revisions": [
   "Market 24 hours before kick-off: Racing Club 39%.",
   "Market 2 hours before kick-off: Racing Club 39%.",
   "First published with predictions on 23 October 2026."
  ],
  "titles": {
   "shown": true,
   "legend": "Badges show titles earned before this prediction, by published rules.",
   "frozen_in": "sr-cf2d5425d059974678ec9dc8"
  },
  "tracker": null,
  "source_groups": {
   "as_of": "2026-10-24T19:00:00.000Z",
   "groups": [
    {
     "key": "prediction_sites",
     "label": "Prediction sites"
    },
    {
     "key": "media",
     "label": "Media"
    },
    {
     "key": "telegram_channels",
     "label": "Telegram channels"
    },
    {
     "key": "private_authors",
     "label": "Independent tipsters"
    }
   ],
   "authors": 2,
   "by_group": [
    {
     "key": "prediction_sites",
     "authors": 1
    },
    {
     "key": "media",
     "authors": 0
    },
    {
     "key": "telegram_channels",
     "authors": 1
    },
    {
     "key": "private_authors",
     "authors": 0
    }
   ],
   "markets": [
    {
     "key": "1x2",
     "label": "Match result",
     "authors": 1,
     "by_group": [
      {
       "key": "prediction_sites",
       "authors": 0
      },
      {
       "key": "media",
       "authors": 0
      },
      {
       "key": "telegram_channels",
       "authors": 1
      },
      {
       "key": "private_authors",
       "authors": 0
      }
     ],
     "choices": [
      {
       "code_name": "1",
       "in_words": "Defensor Sporting",
       "authors": 0,
       "by_group": [
        {
         "key": "prediction_sites",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "media",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "telegram_channels",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "private_authors",
         "authors": 0
        }
       ]
      },
      {
       "code_name": "X",
       "in_words": "Draw",
       "authors": 0,
       "by_group": [
        {
         "key": "prediction_sites",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "media",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "telegram_channels",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "private_authors",
         "authors": 0
        }
       ]
      },
      {
       "code_name": "2",
       "in_words": "Racing Club",
       "authors": 1,
       "by_group": [
        {
         "key": "prediction_sites",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "media",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "telegram_channels",
         "authors": 1
        },
        {
         "key": "private_authors",
         "authors": 0
        }
       ]
      }
     ]
    },
    {
     "key": "totals",
     "label": "Goal totals",
     "authors": 0,
     "by_group": [
      {
       "key": "prediction_sites",
       "authors": 0
      },
      {
       "key": "media",
       "authors": 0
      },
      {
       "key": "telegram_channels",
       "authors": 0
      },
      {
       "key": "private_authors",
       "authors": 0
      }
     ]
    },
    {
     "key": "other",
     "label": "Handicaps, both teams to score, correct score and other markets",
     "authors": 1,
     "by_group": [
      {
       "key": "prediction_sites",
       "authors": 1
      },
      {
       "key": "media",
       "authors": 0
      },
      {
       "key": "telegram_channels",
       "authors": 0
      },
      {
       "key": "private_authors",
       "authors": 0
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  "market_line": {
   "line_state": "barely_moved",
   "line_frozen": true,
   "phrase": "Market line at kick-off (24 October 2026, 20:00 BST): Defensor Sporting 29%, draw 30%, Racing Club 41%. From 22 October 2026, 11:09 BST to kick-off it barely moved: the largest change was 2.2 percentage points (Defensor Sporting down).",
   "line_markets": [
    {
     "market_text": "1X2, match result",
     "market_group": "1x2",
     "line_kind": "median_line",
     "margin_included": false,
     "snapshot_at": "2026-10-24T19:00:00.000Z",
     "closing_line": true,
     "probabilities": [
      {
       "outcome_label": "1",
       "in_words": "Defensor Sporting",
       "percent_value": 29
      },
      {
       "outcome_label": "X",
       "in_words": "Draw",
       "percent_value": 30
      },
      {
       "outcome_label": "2",
       "in_words": "Racing Club",
       "percent_value": 41
      }
     ],
     "group_count": 13,
     "first_at": "2026-10-22T10:09:25.695Z",
     "first_probabilities": {
      "1": 31,
      "2": 39,
      "X": 29
     },
     "shift_pp": 2.2,
     "shift_outcome": "1",
     "shift_direction": "down",
     "line_state": "barely_moved",
     "phrase": "Market line at kick-off (24 October 2026, 20:00 BST): Defensor Sporting 29%, draw 30%, Racing Club 41%. From 22 October 2026, 11:09 BST to kick-off it barely moved: the largest change was 2.2 percentage points (Defensor Sporting down)."
    }
   ]
  },
  "pre_kickoff_snapshot": {
   "frozen_before_kickoff": true,
   "as_of_moment": "2026-10-24T19:00:00.000Z",
   "starts_at": "2026-10-24T19:00:00.000Z",
   "phrase": "Before kick-off on 24 October 2026, 20:00 BST: market line at kick-off Defensor Sporting 29%, draw 30%, Racing Club 41%; 1X2, match result, recorded picks before the match (1): 0 on Defensor Sporting, 0 on the draw, 1 on Racing Club; Correct score, recorded picks before the match (1): 1 on Defensor Sporting 1-1 Racing Club.",
   "market_line_brief": {
    "snapshot_at": "2026-10-24T19:00:00.000Z",
    "closing_line": true,
    "probabilities": {
     "1": 29,
     "X": 30,
     "2": 41
    }
   },
   "market_groups": [
    {
     "market_group": "1x2",
     "group_markets": [
      {
       "market_text": "1X2, match result",
       "prediction_count": 1,
       "row_count": 1,
       "market_choices": [
        {
         "choice": "Racing Club",
         "figure": 1
        }
       ],
       "phrase_mode": "listing",
       "leader_choice": null,
       "leader_count": null,
       "share_percent": 100,
       "phrase": "1X2, match result, recorded picks before the match (1): 0 on Defensor Sporting, 0 on the draw, 1 on Racing Club",
       "sides_1x2": [
        {
         "side": "1",
         "in_words": "Defensor Sporting",
         "figure": 0
        },
        {
         "side": "X",
         "in_words": "draw",
         "figure": 0
        },
        {
         "side": "2",
         "in_words": "Racing Club",
         "figure": 1
        }
       ]
      }
     ]
    },
    {
     "market_group": "other",
     "group_markets": [
      {
       "market_text": "Correct score",
       "prediction_count": 1,
       "row_count": 1,
       "market_choices": [
        {
         "choice": "Defensor Sporting 1-1 Racing Club",
         "figure": 1
        }
       ],
       "phrase_mode": "listing",
       "leader_choice": null,
       "leader_count": null,
       "share_percent": 100,
       "phrase": "Correct score, recorded picks before the match (1): 1 on Defensor Sporting 1-1 Racing Club"
      }
     ]
    }
   ],
   "predictions_before_kickoff": 2,
   "majority_threshold": {
    "min_predictions": 5,
    "min_share_percent": 60.0
   }
  },
  "teams_prev_next": [
   {
    "side": "home",
    "team": "Defensor Sporting",
    "team_url": null,
    "participant_id": "u-bf65481590b1",
    "previous": {
     "kickoff": "2026-10-17T19:00:00.000Z",
     "name": "Boston River vs Defensor Sporting",
     "url": null,
     "competition": "Primera División (Uruguay)",
     "state": "played",
     "score": "1-0"
    },
    "next": {
     "kickoff": "2026-11-01T13:00:00.000Z",
     "name": "Atlético Progreso vs Defensor Sporting",
     "url": null,
     "competition": "Primera División (Uruguay)",
     "state": "played",
     "score": "0-2"
    },
    "why": null
   },
   {
    "side": "away",
    "team": "Racing Club",
    "team_url": null,
    "participant_id": "u-cf51787e2e1a",
    "previous": {
     "kickoff": "2026-10-11T14:00:00.000Z",
     "name": "Juventud vs Racing Club",
     "url": null,
     "competition": "Primera División (Uruguay)",
     "state": "played",
     "score": "2-0"
    },
    "next": {
     "kickoff": "2026-10-31T13:00:00.000Z",
     "name": "Racing Club vs Cerro Largo",
     "url": null,
     "competition": "Primera División (Uruguay)",
     "state": "played",
     "score": "3-1"
    },
    "why": null
   }
  ]
 },
 "number_sets": [
  {
   "set": "match.market_line.percent",
   "entity": "/football/matches/defensor-sporting-vs-racing-club-2026-10-24/|1x2|1",
   "value": 29,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.market_line.percent",
   "entity": "/football/matches/defensor-sporting-vs-racing-club-2026-10-24/|1x2|X",
   "value": 30,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.market_line.percent",
   "entity": "/football/matches/defensor-sporting-vs-racing-club-2026-10-24/|1x2|2",
   "value": 41,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.before_kickoff.market",
   "entity": "/football/matches/defensor-sporting-vs-racing-club-2026-10-24/|1X2, match result",
   "value": 1,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.before_kickoff.leader_share_percent",
   "entity": "/football/matches/defensor-sporting-vs-racing-club-2026-10-24/|1X2, match result",
   "value": 100,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.before_kickoff.selection",
   "entity": "/football/matches/defensor-sporting-vs-racing-club-2026-10-24/|1X2, match result|Defensor Sporting",
   "value": 0,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.before_kickoff.selection",
   "entity": "/football/matches/defensor-sporting-vs-racing-club-2026-10-24/|1X2, match result|draw",
   "value": 0,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.before_kickoff.selection",
   "entity": "/football/matches/defensor-sporting-vs-racing-club-2026-10-24/|1X2, match result|Racing Club",
   "value": 1,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.before_kickoff.market",
   "entity": "/football/matches/defensor-sporting-vs-racing-club-2026-10-24/|Correct score",
   "value": 1,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.before_kickoff.leader_share_percent",
   "entity": "/football/matches/defensor-sporting-vs-racing-club-2026-10-24/|Correct score",
   "value": 100,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.before_kickoff.selection",
   "entity": "/football/matches/defensor-sporting-vs-racing-club-2026-10-24/|Correct score|Defensor Sporting 1-1 Racing Club",
   "value": 1,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.other_forecasters",
   "entity": "/football/matches/defensor-sporting-vs-racing-club-2026-10-24/",
   "value": 1,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  }
 ],
 "data_changes": {
  "records_corrected": 0,
  "last_correction_at": null,
  "corrections_url": "/corrections/"
 },
 "entity_id": "event:s-f4630f765668",
 "source_revision": 61
}