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 "heading": "Chapecoense vs Fluminense: recorded predictions and results",
 "description": "Chapecoense vs Fluminense, 24 October 2026. Final score 2-1 · Brasileiro Série A: 6 distinct predictions from 5 authors.",
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  "body": "Chapecoense finished 2-1 against Fluminense. The recorded predictions are listed below by market, each with its own outcome. Forecast Record recorded 6 statements from 5 authors on Chapecoense vs Fluminense (Brasileiro Série A, kick-off 24 October 2026): 6 distinct predictions, all of the statements recorded before kick-off.",
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   "contributions": 3,
   "prediction_count": 3,
   "chain": {
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  "country_name": "Brazil",
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 "title_tag": "Chapecoense vs Fluminense: Predictions and Results — 24 Oct 2026",
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  "competition_authors_total": 12,
  "competition_authors_10": 3,
  "full": false,
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  "first_screen": {
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   "byline": "Split of recorded tipsters and sources.",
   "outcome_split": {
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    "X": 0,
    "2": 2
   },
   "forecasters_outcome": 2,
   "from_score": {},
   "forecasters_from_score": 0,
   "other_markets_only": 2,
   "newcomers": "Also recorded before kick-off: 1 prediction from 1 tipster with fewer than 10 predictions checked against the final score to date, listed below.",
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   "predictions_at": "2026-10-24T21:34:17.568Z",
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     "trust_tier": "probation",
     "market_label": "Double chance",
     "market_key": "double_chance",
     "choice": "draw or Fluminense",
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     "byline": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
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     "author_quoted_price": "1.80",
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     "original": null,
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   "not_counted": [],
   "after_start": [],
   "forecaster_split": {
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      "source_group": "explicit",
      "market_label": "1X2, match result",
      "market_key": "1x2",
      "choices": [
       {
        "code_name": "1",
        "in_words": "Chapecoense",
        "tips": [],
        "figure": 0
       },
       {
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        "in_words": "Draw",
        "tips": [],
        "figure": 0
       },
       {
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        "in_words": "Fluminense",
        "tips": [
         {
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          "source_group": "tipsters"
         },
         {
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          "outcome_label": "Lost",
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         }
        ],
        "figure": 2
       }
      ],
      "n": 2,
      "publisher_count": 2
     },
     {
      "contract_code": "total|2.5|match|*|*#explicit",
      "source_group": "explicit",
      "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
      "market_key": "total",
      "choices": [
       {
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        "in_words": "over 2.5",
        "tips": [
         {
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          "entry_id": "n-afba45f2ed7c1df0f8e6d50f",
          "outcome_label": "Won",
          "source_group": "websites"
         },
         {
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          "entry_id": "n-e77128c51afc12fb2d56ad67",
          "outcome_label": "Won",
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         }
        ],
        "figure": 2
       }
      ],
      "n": 2,
      "publisher_count": 2
     },
     {
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      "source_group": "explicit",
      "market_label": "Double chance",
      "market_key": "double_chance",
      "choices": [
       {
        "code_name": "X2",
        "in_words": "draw or Fluminense",
        "tips": [
         {
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          "outcome_label": "Lost",
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         }
        ],
        "figure": 1
       }
      ],
      "n": 1,
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     }
    ],
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    "below_threshold": {
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    },
    "limit": 10
   },
   "chain": null,
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   "visible_who": 0,
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   "newcomers_before": 6,
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   "legend": "Badges show titles earned before this prediction, by published rules."
  },
  "arguments": {
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   "against": [],
   "other_languages": 0,
   "other_language_hosts": [],
   "mode": "quotes",
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   "checkable": 0
  },
  "market_label": {
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   "favourite": "Fluminense",
   "probabilities": [
    {
     "outcome_label": "1",
     "in_words": "Chapecoense",
     "percent_value": 24
    },
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     "in_words": "Draw",
     "percent_value": 26
    },
    {
     "outcome_label": "2",
     "in_words": "Fluminense",
     "percent_value": 50
    }
   ],
   "prices": {
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    "X": "3.55",
    "2": "1.88"
   },
   "group_count": 29,
   "bookmakers": 44,
   "snapshot_at": "2026-10-24T22:30:00.000Z",
   "closing_line": true,
   "first_at": "2026-10-22T10:09:25.695Z",
   "shift_pp": 0.5,
   "phrase": "The market has barely changed its mind since our first snapshot on 22 October 2026: Fluminense 50% then, 50% at kick-off.",
   "technique": "Median across groups of bookmakers, without margin: brands on one platform count once (median within the group); betting exchanges and prediction markets are excluded. Market price from an odds aggregator; the data provider is not named.",
   "t24": {
    "snapshot_at": "2026-10-23T22:30:00.000Z",
    "probabilities": {
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     "2": 52,
     "X": 26
    }
   },
   "t2": {
    "snapshot_at": "2026-10-24T20:30:00.000Z",
    "probabilities": {
     "1": 21,
     "2": 53,
     "X": 26
    }
   }
  },
  "market_mode": "show",
  "fact_sheet": {
   "tournament": "Brasileiro Série A (Brazil)",
   "matchday": "Matchweek 32",
   "starts_at": "2026-10-24T22:30:00.000Z",
   "form": {
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     {
      "res": "L",
      "scoreline": "0-1",
      "opponent": "Botafogo",
      "at_home": false,
      "data": "2026-10-17"
     },
     {
      "res": "L",
      "scoreline": "1-4",
      "opponent": "Athletico",
      "at_home": true,
      "data": "2026-10-12"
     },
     {
      "res": "L",
      "scoreline": "0-4",
      "opponent": "Vitória",
      "at_home": false,
      "data": "2026-10-08"
     },
     {
      "res": "D",
      "scoreline": "1-1",
      "opponent": "Atlético Mineiro",
      "at_home": false,
      "data": "2026-09-19"
     },
     {
      "res": "L",
      "scoreline": "1-2",
      "opponent": "Internacional",
      "at_home": true,
      "data": "2026-09-12"
     }
    ],
    "away": [
     {
      "res": "W",
      "scoreline": "1-0",
      "opponent": "Palmeiras",
      "at_home": false,
      "data": "2026-10-22"
     },
     {
      "res": "L",
      "scoreline": "1-2",
      "opponent": "Santos",
      "at_home": true,
      "data": "2026-10-18"
     },
     {
      "res": "L",
      "scoreline": "1-2",
      "opponent": "Palmeiras",
      "at_home": true,
      "data": "2026-10-15"
     },
     {
      "res": "L",
      "scoreline": "0-1",
      "opponent": "Flamengo",
      "at_home": false,
      "data": "2026-10-11"
     },
     {
      "res": "W",
      "scoreline": "4-0",
      "opponent": "Coritiba",
      "at_home": true,
      "data": "2026-10-09"
     }
    ]
   },
   "head_to_head": [
    {
     "data": "2026-04-27",
     "match_list": "Fluminense 2-1 Chapecoense",
     "event_id": "sm:19621959"
    }
   ],
   "past_cards": [],
   "reach": ""
  },
  "after_match": {
   "scoreline": "2-1",
   "fact_code": "1",
   "row_list": [
    "Match-result predictions from tipsters and sources with 10 or more predictions checked against the final score to date: 0 of 2 matched · Tipsters 0 of 1 · Prediction sites 0 of 1",
    "Predictions from tipsters and sources with fewer than 10 predictions checked against the final score to date, recorded before kick-off: 1 prediction · 1 lost",
    "Most common selection among tipsters and sources with 10 or more predictions checked against the final score to date: Fluminense (2 of 2), missed",
    "Market favourite at kick-off: Fluminense (missed)"
   ],
   "by_group": {
    "tipsters": {
     "correct": 0,
     "of": 1
    },
    "websites": {
     "correct": 0,
     "of": 1
    }
   },
   "placement": null,
   "checks": []
  },
  "prices": [],
  "revisions": [
   "Market 24 hours before kick-off: Fluminense 52%.",
   "Market 2 hours before kick-off: Fluminense 53%.",
   "First published with predictions on 23 October 2026."
  ],
  "titles": {
   "shown": true,
   "legend": "Badges show titles earned before this prediction, by published rules.",
   "frozen_in": "sr-ec7ea349899a90679315a947"
  },
  "tracker": null,
  "source_groups": {
   "as_of": "2026-10-24T22:30:00.000Z",
   "groups": [
    {
     "key": "prediction_sites",
     "label": "Prediction sites"
    },
    {
     "key": "media",
     "label": "Media"
    },
    {
     "key": "telegram_channels",
     "label": "Telegram channels"
    },
    {
     "key": "private_authors",
     "label": "Independent tipsters"
    }
   ],
   "authors": 5,
   "by_group": [
    {
     "key": "prediction_sites",
     "authors": 2
    },
    {
     "key": "media",
     "authors": 0
    },
    {
     "key": "telegram_channels",
     "authors": 3
    },
    {
     "key": "private_authors",
     "authors": 0
    }
   ],
   "markets": [
    {
     "key": "1x2",
     "label": "Match result",
     "authors": 3,
     "by_group": [
      {
       "key": "prediction_sites",
       "authors": 2
      },
      {
       "key": "media",
       "authors": 0
      },
      {
       "key": "telegram_channels",
       "authors": 1
      },
      {
       "key": "private_authors",
       "authors": 0
      }
     ],
     "choices": [
      {
       "code_name": "1",
       "in_words": "Chapecoense",
       "authors": 0,
       "by_group": [
        {
         "key": "prediction_sites",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "media",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "telegram_channels",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "private_authors",
         "authors": 0
        }
       ]
      },
      {
       "code_name": "X",
       "in_words": "Draw",
       "authors": 0,
       "by_group": [
        {
         "key": "prediction_sites",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "media",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "telegram_channels",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "private_authors",
         "authors": 0
        }
       ]
      },
      {
       "code_name": "2",
       "in_words": "Fluminense",
       "authors": 3,
       "by_group": [
        {
         "key": "prediction_sites",
         "authors": 2
        },
        {
         "key": "media",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "telegram_channels",
         "authors": 1
        },
        {
         "key": "private_authors",
         "authors": 0
        }
       ]
      }
     ]
    },
    {
     "key": "totals",
     "label": "Goal totals",
     "authors": 2,
     "by_group": [
      {
       "key": "prediction_sites",
       "authors": 0
      },
      {
       "key": "media",
       "authors": 0
      },
      {
       "key": "telegram_channels",
       "authors": 2
      },
      {
       "key": "private_authors",
       "authors": 0
      }
     ]
    },
    {
     "key": "other",
     "label": "Handicaps, both teams to score, correct score and other markets",
     "authors": 1,
     "by_group": [
      {
       "key": "prediction_sites",
       "authors": 0
      },
      {
       "key": "media",
       "authors": 0
      },
      {
       "key": "telegram_channels",
       "authors": 1
      },
      {
       "key": "private_authors",
       "authors": 0
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  "market_line": {
   "line_state": "barely_moved",
   "line_frozen": true,
   "phrase": "Market line at kick-off (24 October 2026, 23:30 BST): Chapecoense 24%, draw 26%, Fluminense 50%. From 22 October 2026, 11:09 BST to kick-off it barely moved: the largest change was 0.5 percentage points (Fluminense down).",
   "line_markets": [
    {
     "market_text": "1X2, match result",
     "market_group": "1x2",
     "line_kind": "median_line",
     "margin_included": false,
     "snapshot_at": "2026-10-24T22:30:00.000Z",
     "closing_line": true,
     "probabilities": [
      {
       "outcome_label": "1",
       "in_words": "Chapecoense",
       "percent_value": 24
      },
      {
       "outcome_label": "X",
       "in_words": "Draw",
       "percent_value": 26
      },
      {
       "outcome_label": "2",
       "in_words": "Fluminense",
       "percent_value": 50
      }
     ],
     "group_count": 29,
     "first_at": "2026-10-22T10:09:25.695Z",
     "first_probabilities": {
      "1": 24,
      "2": 50,
      "X": 26
     },
     "shift_pp": 0.5,
     "shift_outcome": "2",
     "shift_direction": "down",
     "line_state": "barely_moved",
     "phrase": "Market line at kick-off (24 October 2026, 23:30 BST): Chapecoense 24%, draw 26%, Fluminense 50%. From 22 October 2026, 11:09 BST to kick-off it barely moved: the largest change was 0.5 percentage points (Fluminense down)."
    },
    {
     "market_text": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
     "market_group": "totals",
     "line_kind": "recorded_price",
     "margin_included": true,
     "closing_line": false,
     "price_sides": [
      {
       "choice": "over 2.5",
       "snapshot_price": "1.83",
       "percent_value": 55,
       "snapshot_at": "2026-10-24T21:31:21.274Z",
       "snapshot_count": 1,
       "first_snapshot_price": null,
       "first_at": null,
       "shift_pp": null,
       "shift_direction": null,
       "line_state": "single_snapshot"
      }
     ],
     "line_state": "single_snapshot",
     "phrase": "Over/Under 2.5 goals, over 2.5 goals: market price 1.83 on 24 October 2026, 22:31 BST (implied 55%, margin included)."
    }
   ]
  },
  "pre_kickoff_snapshot": {
   "frozen_before_kickoff": true,
   "as_of_moment": "2026-10-24T22:30:00.000Z",
   "starts_at": "2026-10-24T22:30:00.000Z",
   "phrase": "Before kick-off on 24 October 2026, 23:30 BST: market line at kick-off Chapecoense 24%, draw 26%, Fluminense 50%; 1X2, match result, recorded picks before the match (3): 0 on Chapecoense, 0 on the draw, 3 on Fluminense; Over/Under 2.5 goals, recorded picks before the match (2): 2 on over 2.5 goals; Double chance, recorded picks before the match (1): 1 on draw or Fluminense.",
   "market_line_brief": {
    "snapshot_at": "2026-10-24T22:30:00.000Z",
    "closing_line": true,
    "probabilities": {
     "1": 24,
     "X": 26,
     "2": 50
    }
   },
   "market_groups": [
    {
     "market_group": "1x2",
     "group_markets": [
      {
       "market_text": "1X2, match result",
       "prediction_count": 3,
       "row_count": 3,
       "market_choices": [
        {
         "choice": "Fluminense",
         "figure": 3
        }
       ],
       "phrase_mode": "listing",
       "leader_choice": null,
       "leader_count": null,
       "share_percent": 100,
       "phrase": "1X2, match result, recorded picks before the match (3): 0 on Chapecoense, 0 on the draw, 3 on Fluminense",
       "sides_1x2": [
        {
         "side": "1",
         "in_words": "Chapecoense",
         "figure": 0
        },
        {
         "side": "X",
         "in_words": "draw",
         "figure": 0
        },
        {
         "side": "2",
         "in_words": "Fluminense",
         "figure": 3
        }
       ]
      }
     ]
    },
    {
     "market_group": "totals",
     "group_markets": [
      {
       "market_text": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
       "prediction_count": 2,
       "row_count": 2,
       "market_choices": [
        {
         "choice": "over 2.5",
         "figure": 2
        }
       ],
       "phrase_mode": "listing",
       "leader_choice": null,
       "leader_count": null,
       "share_percent": 100,
       "phrase": "Over/Under 2.5 goals, recorded picks before the match (2): 2 on over 2.5 goals"
      }
     ]
    },
    {
     "market_group": "other",
     "group_markets": [
      {
       "market_text": "Double chance",
       "prediction_count": 1,
       "row_count": 1,
       "market_choices": [
        {
         "choice": "draw or Fluminense",
         "figure": 1
        }
       ],
       "phrase_mode": "listing",
       "leader_choice": null,
       "leader_count": null,
       "share_percent": 100,
       "phrase": "Double chance, recorded picks before the match (1): 1 on draw or Fluminense"
      }
     ]
    }
   ],
   "predictions_before_kickoff": 6,
   "majority_threshold": {
    "min_predictions": 5,
    "min_share_percent": 60.0
   }
  },
  "teams_prev_next": [
   {
    "side": "home",
    "team": "Chapecoense",
    "team_url": null,
    "participant_id": "u-1f837661168d",
    "previous": {
     "kickoff": "2026-10-18T20:00:00.000Z",
     "name": "Botafogo vs Chapecoense",
     "url": null,
     "competition": "Brasileiro Série A",
     "state": "no_result",
     "score": null
    },
    "next": {
     "kickoff": "2026-10-28T22:30:00.000Z",
     "name": "Red Bull Bragantino vs Chapecoense",
     "url": "/football/matches/red-bull-bragantino-vs-chapecoense-2026-10-28/",
     "competition": "Brasileiro Série A",
     "state": "played",
     "score": "3-0"
    },
    "why": null
   },
   {
    "side": "away",
    "team": "Fluminense",
    "team_url": null,
    "participant_id": "u-3058074d5ca5",
    "previous": {
     "kickoff": "2026-10-22T00:30:00.000Z",
     "name": "Palmeiras vs Fluminense",
     "url": "/football/matches/palmeiras-vs-fluminense-2026-10-22/",
     "competition": "Copa Libertadores",
     "state": "played",
     "score": "0-1"
    },
    "next": {
     "kickoff": "2026-10-28T22:30:00.000Z",
     "name": "Fluminense vs Internacional",
     "url": "/football/matches/fluminense-vs-internacional-2026-10-28/",
     "competition": "Brasileiro Série A",
     "state": "played",
     "score": "2-1"
    },
    "why": null
   }
  ]
 },
 "number_sets": [
  {
   "set": "match.market_line.percent",
   "entity": "/football/matches/chapecoense-vs-fluminense-2026-10-24/|1x2|1",
   "value": 24,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.market_line.percent",
   "entity": "/football/matches/chapecoense-vs-fluminense-2026-10-24/|1x2|X",
   "value": 26,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.market_line.percent",
   "entity": "/football/matches/chapecoense-vs-fluminense-2026-10-24/|1x2|2",
   "value": 50,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.recorded_price.percent",
   "entity": "/football/matches/chapecoense-vs-fluminense-2026-10-24/|Over/Under 2.5 goals|over 2.5",
   "value": 55,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.before_kickoff.market",
   "entity": "/football/matches/chapecoense-vs-fluminense-2026-10-24/|1X2, match result",
   "value": 3,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.before_kickoff.leader_share_percent",
   "entity": "/football/matches/chapecoense-vs-fluminense-2026-10-24/|1X2, match result",
   "value": 100,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.before_kickoff.selection",
   "entity": "/football/matches/chapecoense-vs-fluminense-2026-10-24/|1X2, match result|Chapecoense",
   "value": 0,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.before_kickoff.selection",
   "entity": "/football/matches/chapecoense-vs-fluminense-2026-10-24/|1X2, match result|draw",
   "value": 0,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.before_kickoff.selection",
   "entity": "/football/matches/chapecoense-vs-fluminense-2026-10-24/|1X2, match result|Fluminense",
   "value": 3,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.before_kickoff.market",
   "entity": "/football/matches/chapecoense-vs-fluminense-2026-10-24/|Over/Under 2.5 goals",
   "value": 2,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.before_kickoff.leader_share_percent",
   "entity": "/football/matches/chapecoense-vs-fluminense-2026-10-24/|Over/Under 2.5 goals",
   "value": 100,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.before_kickoff.selection",
   "entity": "/football/matches/chapecoense-vs-fluminense-2026-10-24/|Over/Under 2.5 goals|over 2.5",
   "value": 2,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.before_kickoff.market",
   "entity": "/football/matches/chapecoense-vs-fluminense-2026-10-24/|Double chance",
   "value": 1,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.before_kickoff.leader_share_percent",
   "entity": "/football/matches/chapecoense-vs-fluminense-2026-10-24/|Double chance",
   "value": 100,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.before_kickoff.selection",
   "entity": "/football/matches/chapecoense-vs-fluminense-2026-10-24/|Double chance|draw or Fluminense",
   "value": 1,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.other_forecasters",
   "entity": "/football/matches/chapecoense-vs-fluminense-2026-10-24/",
   "value": 6,
   "where": "new-forecasters",
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.snapshot",
   "entity": "/football/matches/chapecoense-vs-fluminense-2026-10-24/",
   "value": 8,
   "where": "pre-match-record",
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.snapshot.on_page",
   "entity": "/football/matches/chapecoense-vs-fluminense-2026-10-24/",
   "value": 4,
   "where": "pre-match-record",
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.snapshot.left",
   "entity": "/football/matches/chapecoense-vs-fluminense-2026-10-24/",
   "value": 4,
   "where": "pre-match-record",
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  }
 ],
 "data_changes": {
  "records_corrected": 0,
  "last_correction_at": null,
  "corrections_url": "/corrections/"
 },
 "entity_id": "event:s-c18f601de88a",
 "source_revision": 164,
 "title_short": {
  "length": 64,
  "names": [
   "Chapecoense",
   "Fluminense"
  ],
  "title": null,
  "title_length": 64
 }
}