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 "heading": "CF Pachuca vs Cruz Azul: recorded predictions and results",
 "description": "CF Pachuca vs Cruz Azul, 22 October 2026. Final score 1-2 · Liga MX: 12 distinct predictions from 6 authors.",
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  "body": "CF Pachuca finished 1-2 against Cruz Azul. The recorded predictions are listed below by market, each with its own outcome. Forecast Record recorded 12 statements from 6 authors on CF Pachuca vs Cruz Azul (Liga MX, kick-off 22 October 2026): 12 distinct predictions, all of the statements recorded before kick-off. The kick-off was moved by the organiser: originally 22 October 2026, 04:00 BST, now 22 October 2026, 04:10 BST; picks are timed against the new kick-off.",
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  "data": "2026-10-22",
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  "display_name": "CF Pachuca — Cruz Azul",
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  "status": "finished",
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   "now": "22 October 2026 03:10 UTC",
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     "outcome_label": "Cruz Azul",
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     "share": "75.0"
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     "share": "25.0"
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   "n": 4,
   "author_count": 4,
   "median_odds": "2.27",
   "summary": "Most common recorded selection in this market: Cruz Azul — 3 of 4 eligible picks (one per author), median stated price 2.27",
   "late_excluded": 0,
   "contributions": 4,
   "prediction_count": 4,
   "chain": {
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    "recorded_at": "2026-10-21T05:59:30.330Z",
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     "entry_id": "n-42c7d760d6bda57f26410cd2",
     "author_name": "FootyStats",
     "author_href": "/sources/footystats-org/",
     "source_group": "websites",
     "trust_tier": "probation",
     "market_label": "Over/Under 9.5 corners",
     "market_key": "corners_total",
     "choice": "over 9.5",
     "choice_key": "over",
     "byline": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
     "logged_at": "2026-10-21T09:29:22.678Z",
     "posted_at": null,
     "author_quoted_price": "1.92",
     "our_snapshot": "1.6897",
     "closing_line": null,
     "outcome_label": "Lost",
     "pre_match": true,
     "proof": "/sources/footystats-org/picks/46/#pick-n-42c7d760d6bda57f26410cd2",
     "original": null,
     "contradictory": false,
     "authorship": null,
     "source_type": "telegram_channels",
     "own_page": true,
     "trust_settled_count": 855
    },
    {
     "entry_id": "n-0d04697ddf36d51879bf65ce",
     "author_name": "Futbol24",
     "author_href": "/sources/futbol24-com/",
     "source_group": "websites",
     "trust_tier": "probation",
     "market_label": "Both teams to score",
     "market_key": "both_teams_score",
     "choice": "yes",
     "choice_key": "yes",
     "byline": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
     "logged_at": "2026-10-22T02:00:10.870Z",
     "posted_at": "2026-10-19T00:12:22.000Z",
     "author_quoted_price": "1.57",
     "our_snapshot": "1.4878",
     "closing_line": null,
     "outcome_label": "Won",
     "pre_match": true,
     "proof": "/sources/futbol24-com/picks/48/#pick-n-0d04697ddf36d51879bf65ce",
     "original": null,
     "contradictory": false,
     "authorship": null,
     "source_type": "telegram_channels",
     "own_page": true,
     "trust_settled_count": 1547
    },
    {
     "entry_id": "n-c9805a274334e93d7a5d4c30",
     "author_name": "Jonas Caetano",
     "author_href": "/authors/jonas-caetano/",
     "source_group": "tipsters",
     "trust_tier": "probation",
     "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
     "market_key": "total",
     "choice": "over 2.5",
     "choice_key": "over",
     "byline": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
     "logged_at": "2026-10-21T10:51:45.887Z",
     "posted_at": "2026-10-20T18:46:59.000Z",
     "author_quoted_price": null,
     "our_snapshot": "1.6289",
     "closing_line": null,
     "outcome_label": "Won",
     "pre_match": true,
     "proof": "/authors/jonas-caetano/picks/7/#pick-n-c9805a274334e93d7a5d4c30",
     "original": null,
     "contradictory": false,
     "authorship": null,
     "source_type": "media",
     "own_page": true,
     "trust_settled_count": 32
    },
    {
     "entry_id": "n-fe4f856120d5f8679a7db193",
     "author_name": "Melissa Reyes",
     "author_href": "/authors/melissa-reyes/",
     "source_group": "tipsters",
     "trust_tier": "probation",
     "market_label": "Both teams to score",
     "market_key": "both_teams_score",
     "choice": "yes",
     "choice_key": "yes",
     "byline": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
     "logged_at": "2026-10-20T20:30:13.365Z",
     "posted_at": "2026-10-20T20:25:35.000Z",
     "author_quoted_price": "1.54",
     "our_snapshot": "1.5195",
     "closing_line": null,
     "outcome_label": "Won",
     "pre_match": true,
     "proof": "/authors/melissa-reyes/picks/4/#pick-n-fe4f856120d5f8679a7db193",
     "original": null,
     "contradictory": false,
     "authorship": null,
     "source_type": "prediction_sites",
     "own_page": true,
     "trust_settled_count": 81
    },
    {
     "entry_id": "n-4befb7ccf979672c79c95ad6",
     "author_name": "wetttipps-heute.com",
     "author_href": "/sources/wetttipps-heute-com/",
     "source_group": "websites",
     "trust_tier": "probation",
     "market_label": "Both teams to score",
     "market_key": "both_teams_score",
     "choice": "yes",
     "choice_key": "yes",
     "byline": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
     "logged_at": "2026-10-21T05:59:30.330Z",
     "posted_at": "2026-10-16T13:59:07.000Z",
     "author_quoted_price": "1.57",
     "our_snapshot": "1.5362",
     "closing_line": null,
     "outcome_label": "Won",
     "pre_match": true,
     "proof": "/sources/wetttipps-heute-com/picks/19/#pick-n-4befb7ccf979672c79c95ad6",
     "original": null,
     "contradictory": false,
     "authorship": null,
     "source_type": "telegram_channels",
     "own_page": true,
     "trust_settled_count": 249
    },
    {
     "entry_id": "n-432ffa6fc55e7a5583888d20",
     "author_name": "Wincomparator",
     "author_href": "/sources/wincomparator-com/",
     "source_group": "websites",
     "trust_tier": "probation",
     "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
     "market_key": "total",
     "choice": "over 2.5",
     "choice_key": "over",
     "byline": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
     "logged_at": "2026-10-17T06:40:05.773Z",
     "posted_at": null,
     "author_quoted_price": null,
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "closing_line": null,
     "outcome_label": "Won",
     "pre_match": true,
     "proof": "/sources/wincomparator-com/products/el-equipo-de-wincomparator-pronosticos-liga-mx/picks/3/#pick-n-432ffa6fc55e7a5583888d20",
     "original": null,
     "contradictory": false,
     "authorship": null,
     "source_type": "telegram_channels",
     "own_page": true,
     "trust_settled_count": 2135
    }
   ],
   "not_counted": [],
   "after_start": [],
   "forecaster_split": {
    "contracts": [
     {
      "contract_code": "1x2|*|match|*|*#explicit",
      "source_group": "explicit",
      "market_label": "1X2, match result",
      "market_key": "1x2",
      "choices": [
       {
        "code_name": "1",
        "in_words": "CF Pachuca",
        "tips": [
         {
          "author_name": "Wincomparator",
          "entry_id": "n-b85a488fe705fff7a123960c",
          "outcome_label": "Lost",
          "source_group": "websites"
         }
        ],
        "figure": 1
       },
       {
        "code_name": "X",
        "in_words": "Draw",
        "tips": [],
        "figure": 0
       },
       {
        "code_name": "2",
        "in_words": "Cruz Azul",
        "tips": [
         {
          "author_name": "Futbol24",
          "entry_id": "n-d565cf12fab518e19da572b8",
          "outcome_label": "Won",
          "source_group": "websites"
         },
         {
          "author_name": "Jonas Caetano",
          "entry_id": "n-5d089172eb977b5a4dfe19c2",
          "outcome_label": "Won",
          "source_group": "tipsters"
         },
         {
          "author_name": "Melissa Reyes",
          "entry_id": "n-08cd7e113a09a258b7784f07",
          "outcome_label": "Won",
          "source_group": "tipsters"
         }
        ],
        "figure": 3
       }
      ],
      "n": 4,
      "publisher_count": 4
     },
     {
      "contract_code": "both_teams_score|*|match|*|*#explicit",
      "source_group": "explicit",
      "market_label": "Both teams to score",
      "market_key": "both_teams_score",
      "choices": [
       {
        "code_name": "yes",
        "in_words": "yes",
        "tips": [
         {
          "author_name": "Futbol24",
          "entry_id": "n-0d04697ddf36d51879bf65ce",
          "outcome_label": "Won",
          "source_group": "websites"
         },
         {
          "author_name": "Melissa Reyes",
          "entry_id": "n-fe4f856120d5f8679a7db193",
          "outcome_label": "Won",
          "source_group": "tipsters"
         },
         {
          "author_name": "wetttipps-heute.com",
          "entry_id": "n-4befb7ccf979672c79c95ad6",
          "outcome_label": "Won",
          "source_group": "websites"
         }
        ],
        "figure": 3
       }
      ],
      "n": 3,
      "publisher_count": 3
     },
     {
      "contract_code": "total|2.5|match|*|*#explicit",
      "source_group": "explicit",
      "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
      "market_key": "total",
      "choices": [
       {
        "code_name": "over",
        "in_words": "over 2.5",
        "tips": [
         {
          "author_name": "FootyStats",
          "entry_id": "n-3c4aee40145aa51db09c73bf",
          "outcome_label": "Won",
          "source_group": "websites"
         },
         {
          "author_name": "Jonas Caetano",
          "entry_id": "n-c9805a274334e93d7a5d4c30",
          "outcome_label": "Won",
          "source_group": "tipsters"
         },
         {
          "author_name": "Wincomparator",
          "entry_id": "n-432ffa6fc55e7a5583888d20",
          "outcome_label": "Won",
          "source_group": "websites"
         }
        ],
        "figure": 3
       }
      ],
      "n": 3,
      "publisher_count": 3
     },
     {
      "contract_code": "total|3.5|match|*|*#explicit",
      "source_group": "explicit",
      "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals",
      "market_key": "total",
      "choices": [
       {
        "code_name": "over",
        "in_words": "over 3.5",
        "tips": [
         {
          "author_name": "FootyStats",
          "entry_id": "n-3df7b78bb4871a881a03e053",
          "outcome_label": "Lost",
          "source_group": "websites"
         }
        ],
        "figure": 1
       }
      ],
      "n": 1,
      "publisher_count": 1
     },
     {
      "contract_code": "corners_total|9.5|match|*|*#explicit",
      "source_group": "explicit",
      "market_label": "Over/Under 9.5 corners",
      "market_key": "corners_total",
      "choices": [
       {
        "code_name": "over",
        "in_words": "over 9.5",
        "tips": [
         {
          "author_name": "FootyStats",
          "entry_id": "n-42c7d760d6bda57f26410cd2",
          "outcome_label": "Lost",
          "source_group": "websites"
         }
        ],
        "figure": 1
       }
      ],
      "n": 1,
      "publisher_count": 1
     }
    ],
    "author_count": 6,
    "below_threshold": {
     "prediction_count": 0,
     "author_count": 0
    },
    "limit": 10
   },
   "chain": null,
   "differing_choices": 0,
   "visible_who": 0,
   "newcomers_who": 6,
   "newcomers_before": 12,
   "titles_shown": true,
   "legend": "Badges show titles earned before this prediction, by published rules."
  },
  "arguments": {
   "topics": [],
   "against": [],
   "other_languages": 0,
   "other_language_hosts": [],
   "mode": "quotes",
   "topics_total": 0,
   "checkable": 0
  },
  "market_label": {
   "favourite_code": "2",
   "favourite": "Cruz Azul",
   "probabilities": [
    {
     "outcome_label": "1",
     "in_words": "CF Pachuca",
     "percent_value": 30
    },
    {
     "outcome_label": "X",
     "in_words": "Draw",
     "percent_value": 26
    },
    {
     "outcome_label": "2",
     "in_words": "Cruz Azul",
     "percent_value": 44
    }
   ],
   "prices": {
    "1": "3.04",
    "X": "3.55",
    "2": "2.11"
   },
   "group_count": 22,
   "bookmakers": 33,
   "snapshot_at": "2026-10-22T03:10:00.000Z",
   "closing_line": true,
   "first_at": "2026-10-21T03:00:27.637Z",
   "shift_pp": 1.8,
   "phrase": "The market has barely changed its mind since our first snapshot on 21 October 2026: Cruz Azul 42% then, 44% at kick-off.",
   "technique": "Median across groups of bookmakers, without margin: brands on one platform count once (median within the group); betting exchanges and prediction markets are excluded. Market price from an odds aggregator; the data provider is not named.",
   "t24": {
    "snapshot_at": "2026-10-21T03:10:00.000Z",
    "probabilities": {
     "1": 32,
     "2": 42,
     "X": 26
    }
   },
   "t2": {
    "snapshot_at": "2026-10-22T01:10:00.000Z",
    "probabilities": {
     "1": 32,
     "2": 42,
     "X": 26
    }
   }
  },
  "market_mode": "show",
  "fact_sheet": {
   "tournament": "Liga MX (Mexico)",
   "matchday": "Apertura · Matchday 13",
   "starts_at": "2026-10-22T03:10:00.000Z",
   "form": {
    "home_side": [
     {
      "res": "L",
      "scoreline": "1-2",
      "opponent": "Monterrey",
      "at_home": false,
      "data": "2026-10-19"
     },
     {
      "res": "D",
      "scoreline": "3-3",
      "opponent": "Necaxa",
      "at_home": true,
      "data": "2026-10-12"
     },
     {
      "res": "L",
      "scoreline": "0-1",
      "opponent": "Santos Laguna",
      "at_home": false,
      "data": "2026-09-27"
     },
     {
      "res": "D",
      "scoreline": "2-2",
      "opponent": "Club Tijuana",
      "at_home": true,
      "data": "2026-09-21"
     },
     {
      "res": "W",
      "scoreline": "3-0",
      "opponent": "Atlante",
      "at_home": false,
      "data": "2026-09-12"
     }
    ],
    "away": [
     {
      "res": "W",
      "scoreline": "5-0",
      "opponent": "FC Juarez",
      "at_home": true,
      "data": "2026-10-18"
     },
     {
      "res": "D",
      "scoreline": "3-3",
      "opponent": "U.N.A.M. - Pumas",
      "at_home": false,
      "data": "2026-10-12"
     },
     {
      "res": "D",
      "scoreline": "3-3",
      "opponent": "Toluca",
      "at_home": true,
      "data": "2026-09-26"
     },
     {
      "res": "L",
      "scoreline": "0-1",
      "opponent": "Monterrey",
      "at_home": false,
      "data": "2026-09-20"
     },
     {
      "res": "W",
      "scoreline": "4-3",
      "opponent": "Club America",
      "at_home": true,
      "data": "2026-09-13"
     }
    ]
   },
   "head_to_head": [],
   "past_cards": [],
   "reach": ""
  },
  "after_match": {
   "scoreline": "1-2",
   "fact_code": "2",
   "row_list": [
    "Match-result predictions from tipsters and sources with 10 or more predictions checked against the final score to date: 3 of 4 matched · Tipsters 2 of 2 · Prediction sites 1 of 2",
    "Most common selection among tipsters and sources with 10 or more predictions checked against the final score to date: Cruz Azul (3 of 4), matched",
    "Market favourite at kick-off: Cruz Azul (matched)"
   ],
   "by_group": {
    "websites": {
     "correct": 1,
     "of": 2
    },
    "tipsters": {
     "correct": 2,
     "of": 2
    }
   },
   "placement": null,
   "checks": []
  },
  "prices": [],
  "revisions": [
   "Market 24 hours before kick-off: Cruz Azul 42%.",
   "Market 2 hours before kick-off: Cruz Azul 42%.",
   "First published with predictions on 20 October 2026."
  ],
  "titles": {
   "shown": true,
   "legend": "Badges show titles earned before this prediction, by published rules.",
   "frozen_in": "sr-3f537b15660f993f90ee6683"
  },
  "tracker": null,
  "source_groups": {
   "as_of": "2026-10-22T03:10:00.000Z",
   "groups": [
    {
     "key": "prediction_sites",
     "label": "Prediction sites"
    },
    {
     "key": "media",
     "label": "Media"
    },
    {
     "key": "telegram_channels",
     "label": "Telegram channels"
    },
    {
     "key": "private_authors",
     "label": "Independent tipsters"
    }
   ],
   "authors": 6,
   "by_group": [
    {
     "key": "prediction_sites",
     "authors": 1
    },
    {
     "key": "media",
     "authors": 1
    },
    {
     "key": "telegram_channels",
     "authors": 4
    },
    {
     "key": "private_authors",
     "authors": 0
    }
   ],
   "markets": [
    {
     "key": "1x2",
     "label": "Match result",
     "authors": 4,
     "by_group": [
      {
       "key": "prediction_sites",
       "authors": 1
      },
      {
       "key": "media",
       "authors": 1
      },
      {
       "key": "telegram_channels",
       "authors": 2
      },
      {
       "key": "private_authors",
       "authors": 0
      }
     ],
     "choices": [
      {
       "code_name": "1",
       "in_words": "CF Pachuca",
       "authors": 1,
       "by_group": [
        {
         "key": "prediction_sites",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "media",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "telegram_channels",
         "authors": 1
        },
        {
         "key": "private_authors",
         "authors": 0
        }
       ]
      },
      {
       "code_name": "X",
       "in_words": "Draw",
       "authors": 0,
       "by_group": [
        {
         "key": "prediction_sites",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "media",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "telegram_channels",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "private_authors",
         "authors": 0
        }
       ]
      },
      {
       "code_name": "2",
       "in_words": "Cruz Azul",
       "authors": 3,
       "by_group": [
        {
         "key": "prediction_sites",
         "authors": 1
        },
        {
         "key": "media",
         "authors": 1
        },
        {
         "key": "telegram_channels",
         "authors": 1
        },
        {
         "key": "private_authors",
         "authors": 0
        }
       ]
      }
     ]
    },
    {
     "key": "totals",
     "label": "Goal totals",
     "authors": 3,
     "by_group": [
      {
       "key": "prediction_sites",
       "authors": 0
      },
      {
       "key": "media",
       "authors": 1
      },
      {
       "key": "telegram_channels",
       "authors": 2
      },
      {
       "key": "private_authors",
       "authors": 0
      }
     ]
    },
    {
     "key": "other",
     "label": "Handicaps, both teams to score, correct score and other markets",
     "authors": 4,
     "by_group": [
      {
       "key": "prediction_sites",
       "authors": 1
      },
      {
       "key": "media",
       "authors": 0
      },
      {
       "key": "telegram_channels",
       "authors": 3
      },
      {
       "key": "private_authors",
       "authors": 0
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  "market_line": {
   "line_state": "barely_moved",
   "line_frozen": true,
   "phrase": "Market line at kick-off (22 October 2026, 04:10 BST): CF Pachuca 30%, draw 26%, Cruz Azul 44%. From 21 October 2026, 04:00 BST to kick-off it barely moved: the largest change was 1.8 percentage points (Cruz Azul up).",
   "line_markets": [
    {
     "market_text": "1X2, match result",
     "market_group": "1x2",
     "line_kind": "median_line",
     "margin_included": false,
     "snapshot_at": "2026-10-22T03:10:00.000Z",
     "closing_line": true,
     "probabilities": [
      {
       "outcome_label": "1",
       "in_words": "CF Pachuca",
       "percent_value": 30
      },
      {
       "outcome_label": "X",
       "in_words": "Draw",
       "percent_value": 26
      },
      {
       "outcome_label": "2",
       "in_words": "Cruz Azul",
       "percent_value": 44
      }
     ],
     "group_count": 22,
     "first_at": "2026-10-21T03:00:27.637Z",
     "first_probabilities": {
      "1": 32,
      "2": 42,
      "X": 26
     },
     "shift_pp": 1.8,
     "shift_outcome": "2",
     "shift_direction": "up",
     "line_state": "barely_moved",
     "phrase": "Market line at kick-off (22 October 2026, 04:10 BST): CF Pachuca 30%, draw 26%, Cruz Azul 44%. From 21 October 2026, 04:00 BST to kick-off it barely moved: the largest change was 1.8 percentage points (Cruz Azul up)."
    },
    {
     "market_text": "Both teams to score",
     "market_group": "other",
     "line_kind": "recorded_price",
     "margin_included": true,
     "closing_line": false,
     "price_sides": [
      {
       "choice": "yes",
       "snapshot_price": "1.49",
       "percent_value": 67,
       "snapshot_at": "2026-10-22T01:55:14.377Z",
       "snapshot_count": 3,
       "first_snapshot_price": "1.52",
       "first_at": "2026-10-20T20:30:06.942Z",
       "shift_pp": 1.4,
       "shift_direction": "up",
       "line_state": "barely_moved"
      }
     ],
     "line_state": "barely_moved",
     "phrase": "Both teams to score, yes: market price 1.49 on 22 October 2026, 02:55 BST (implied 67%, margin included), 1.4 percentage points up from 20 October 2026, 21:30 BST."
    },
    {
     "market_text": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
     "market_group": "totals",
     "line_kind": "recorded_price",
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}