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 "heading": "Carrarese vs Arezzo: recorded predictions and results",
 "description": "Carrarese vs Arezzo, 28 October 2026. Final score 2-1 · Serie B: 3 distinct predictions from 3 authors.",
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  "body": "Carrarese finished 2-1 against Arezzo. The one recorded correct-score prediction (Carrarese 1-1 Arezzo) did not match. Other markets are shown separately below. Forecast Record recorded 3 statements from 3 authors on Carrarese vs Arezzo (Serie B, kick-off 28 October 2026): 3 distinct predictions, all of the statements recorded before kick-off.",
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 "title_tag": "Carrarese vs Arezzo: Predictions and Results — 28 Oct 2026",
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    "entity_ref": "e-7f83bd7721d89891f4e099e8",
    "name_shown": "Statarea",
    "url": "/sources/statarea-com/"
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    "type_code": "author_before_match",
    "moment_at": "2026-10-28T19:00:00.000Z",
    "freeze_at": "2026-10-28T19:29:09.110Z",
    "approach": "by_capture_time",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "counting_rule": "1",
    "figures": {
     "matches": 91,
     "method_version": "2.2",
     "net_points_hundredths": -33184,
     "period_from": "2026-10-11",
     "period_to": "2026-10-27",
     "price_rule": "Our market snapshot",
     "return_percent": "-1.60",
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     "staked_hundredths": 2070000,
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     "posted_at": "2026-10-22T06:11:14.000Z",
     "author_quoted_price": null,
     "our_snapshot": "5.9500",
     "closing_line": null,
     "outcome_label": "Lost",
     "pre_match": true,
     "proof": "/sources/footballpredictions-com/picks/252/#pick-n-484267ab0a450c8fa68989e8",
     "original": null,
     "contradictory": false,
     "authorship": null,
     "source_type": "telegram_channels",
     "own_page": true,
     "trust_settled_count": 3753
    },
    {
     "entry_id": "n-0d0d9f47957b5bb1ee9f1734",
     "author_name": "Salvatore Maniaci",
     "author_href": "/authors/salvatore-maniaci/",
     "source_group": "tipsters",
     "trust_tier": "probation",
     "market_label": "Both teams to score",
     "market_key": "both_teams_score",
     "choice": "yes",
     "choice_key": "yes",
     "byline": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
     "logged_at": "2026-10-27T06:18:45.657Z",
     "posted_at": "2026-10-27T05:20:00.000Z",
     "author_quoted_price": "1.76",
     "our_snapshot": "1.7521",
     "closing_line": null,
     "outcome_label": "Won",
     "pre_match": true,
     "proof": "/authors/salvatore-maniaci/picks/10/#pick-n-0d0d9f47957b5bb1ee9f1734",
     "original": null,
     "contradictory": false,
     "authorship": null,
     "source_type": "prediction_sites",
     "own_page": true,
     "trust_settled_count": 78
    },
    {
     "entry_id": "n-db08274eb4a89be00670b5ff",
     "author_name": "Statarea",
     "author_href": "/sources/statarea-com/",
     "source_group": "websites",
     "trust_tier": "probation",
     "market_label": "Double chance",
     "market_key": "double_chance",
     "choice": "draw or Arezzo",
     "choice_key": "X2",
     "byline": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
     "logged_at": "2026-10-27T23:32:51.551Z",
     "posted_at": null,
     "author_quoted_price": null,
     "our_snapshot": "1.6944",
     "closing_line": null,
     "outcome_label": "Lost",
     "pre_match": true,
     "proof": "/sources/statarea-com/picks/142/#pick-n-db08274eb4a89be00670b5ff",
     "original": null,
     "contradictory": false,
     "authorship": null,
     "source_type": "telegram_channels",
     "own_page": true,
     "trust_settled_count": 1947
    }
   ],
   "not_counted": [],
   "after_start": [],
   "forecaster_split": {
    "contracts": [
     {
      "contract_code": "both_teams_score|*|match|*|*#explicit",
      "source_group": "explicit",
      "market_label": "Both teams to score",
      "market_key": "both_teams_score",
      "choices": [
       {
        "code_name": "yes",
        "in_words": "yes",
        "tips": [
         {
          "author_name": "Salvatore Maniaci",
          "entry_id": "n-0d0d9f47957b5bb1ee9f1734",
          "outcome_label": "Won",
          "source_group": "tipsters"
         }
        ],
        "figure": 1
       }
      ],
      "n": 1,
      "publisher_count": 1
     },
     {
      "contract_code": "correct_score_market|*|match|*|*#explicit",
      "source_group": "explicit",
      "market_label": "Correct score",
      "market_key": "correct_score_market",
      "choices": [
       {
        "code_name": "1-1",
        "in_words": "Carrarese 1-1 Arezzo",
        "tips": [
         {
          "author_name": "FootballPredictions.com",
          "entry_id": "n-484267ab0a450c8fa68989e8",
          "outcome_label": "Lost",
          "source_group": "websites"
         }
        ],
        "figure": 1
       }
      ],
      "n": 1,
      "publisher_count": 1
     },
     {
      "contract_code": "double_chance|*|match|*|*#explicit",
      "source_group": "explicit",
      "market_label": "Double chance",
      "market_key": "double_chance",
      "choices": [
       {
        "code_name": "X2",
        "in_words": "draw or Arezzo",
        "tips": [
         {
          "author_name": "Statarea",
          "entry_id": "n-db08274eb4a89be00670b5ff",
          "outcome_label": "Lost",
          "source_group": "websites"
         }
        ],
        "figure": 1
       }
      ],
      "n": 1,
      "publisher_count": 1
     }
    ],
    "author_count": 3,
    "below_threshold": {
     "prediction_count": 0,
     "author_count": 0
    },
    "limit": 10
   },
   "chain": null,
   "differing_choices": 0,
   "visible_who": 0,
   "newcomers_who": 3,
   "newcomers_before": 3,
   "titles_shown": true,
   "legend": "Badges show titles earned before this prediction, by published rules."
  },
  "arguments": {
   "topics": [],
   "against": [],
   "other_languages": 0,
   "other_language_hosts": [],
   "mode": "quotes",
   "topics_total": 0,
   "checkable": 0
  },
  "market_label": {
   "favourite_code": "1",
   "favourite": "Carrarese",
   "probabilities": [
    {
     "outcome_label": "1",
     "in_words": "Carrarese",
     "percent_value": 44
    },
    {
     "outcome_label": "X",
     "in_words": "Draw",
     "percent_value": 29
    },
    {
     "outcome_label": "2",
     "in_words": "Arezzo",
     "percent_value": 27
    }
   ],
   "prices": {
    "1": "2.10",
    "X": "3.20",
    "2": "3.40"
   },
   "group_count": 13,
   "bookmakers": 15,
   "snapshot_at": "2026-10-28T19:00:00.000Z",
   "closing_line": true,
   "first_at": "2026-10-23T13:51:50.640Z",
   "shift_pp": 5.4,
   "phrase": "The market has moved a little since our first snapshot on 23 October 2026: Carrarese 39% then, 44% at kick-off.",
   "technique": "Median across groups of bookmakers, without margin: brands on one platform count once (median within the group); betting exchanges and prediction markets are excluded. Market price from an odds aggregator; the data provider is not named.",
   "t24": {
    "snapshot_at": "2026-10-27T19:00:00.000Z",
    "probabilities": {
     "1": 42,
     "2": 30,
     "X": 28
    }
   },
   "t2": {
    "snapshot_at": "2026-10-28T17:00:00.000Z",
    "probabilities": {
     "1": 44,
     "2": 27,
     "X": 29
    }
   }
  },
  "market_mode": "show",
  "fact_sheet": {
   "tournament": "Serie B (Italy)",
   "matchday": "Matchweek 9",
   "starts_at": "2026-10-28T19:00:00.000Z",
   "form": {
    "home_side": [
     {
      "res": "L",
      "scoreline": "1-2",
      "opponent": "Palermo",
      "at_home": false,
      "data": "2026-10-25"
     },
     {
      "res": "W",
      "scoreline": "2-1",
      "opponent": "Modena",
      "at_home": true,
      "data": "2026-10-17"
     },
     {
      "res": "W",
      "scoreline": "2-0",
      "opponent": "Padova",
      "at_home": false,
      "data": "2026-10-11"
     },
     {
      "res": "L",
      "scoreline": "0-1",
      "opponent": "Benevento",
      "at_home": true,
      "data": "2026-09-19"
     },
     {
      "res": "L",
      "scoreline": "0-1",
      "opponent": "Catanzaro",
      "at_home": false,
      "data": "2026-09-12"
     }
    ],
    "away": [
     {
      "res": "L",
      "scoreline": "0-3",
      "opponent": "Benevento",
      "at_home": true,
      "data": "2026-10-24"
     },
     {
      "res": "W",
      "scoreline": "2-1",
      "opponent": "Sampdoria",
      "at_home": false,
      "data": "2026-10-18"
     },
     {
      "res": "D",
      "scoreline": "0-0",
      "opponent": "Cremonese",
      "at_home": true,
      "data": "2026-10-10"
     },
     {
      "res": "L",
      "scoreline": "1-4",
      "opponent": "Südtirol",
      "at_home": true,
      "data": "2026-09-20"
     },
     {
      "res": "W",
      "scoreline": "1-0",
      "opponent": "Empoli",
      "at_home": false,
      "data": "2026-09-11"
     }
    ]
   },
   "head_to_head": [],
   "past_cards": [],
   "reach": ""
  },
  "after_match": {
   "scoreline": "2-1",
   "fact_code": "1",
   "row_list": [
    "All recorded exact-score predictions: 0 of 1 matched",
    "Exact-score predictions from tipsters and sources with 10 or more predictions checked against the final score to date: 0 of 1 matched the score, 0 of 1 the outcome",
    "Market favourite at kick-off: Carrarese (matched)"
   ],
   "by_group": {},
   "placement": null,
   "checks": []
  },
  "prices": [],
  "revisions": [
   "Market 24 hours before kick-off: Carrarese 42%.",
   "Market 2 hours before kick-off: Carrarese 44%.",
   "First published with predictions on 28 October 2026."
  ],
  "titles": {
   "shown": true,
   "legend": "Badges show titles earned before this prediction, by published rules.",
   "frozen_in": "sr-f37e1c6ea30de374401969f9"
  },
  "tracker": null,
  "source_groups": {
   "as_of": "2026-10-28T19:00:00.000Z",
   "groups": [
    {
     "key": "prediction_sites",
     "label": "Prediction sites"
    },
    {
     "key": "media",
     "label": "Media"
    },
    {
     "key": "telegram_channels",
     "label": "Telegram channels"
    },
    {
     "key": "private_authors",
     "label": "Independent tipsters"
    }
   ],
   "authors": 3,
   "by_group": [
    {
     "key": "prediction_sites",
     "authors": 1
    },
    {
     "key": "media",
     "authors": 0
    },
    {
     "key": "telegram_channels",
     "authors": 2
    },
    {
     "key": "private_authors",
     "authors": 0
    }
   ],
   "markets": [
    {
     "key": "1x2",
     "label": "Match result",
     "authors": 0,
     "by_group": [
      {
       "key": "prediction_sites",
       "authors": 0
      },
      {
       "key": "media",
       "authors": 0
      },
      {
       "key": "telegram_channels",
       "authors": 0
      },
      {
       "key": "private_authors",
       "authors": 0
      }
     ],
     "choices": [
      {
       "code_name": "1",
       "in_words": "Carrarese",
       "authors": 0,
       "by_group": [
        {
         "key": "prediction_sites",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "media",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "telegram_channels",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "private_authors",
         "authors": 0
        }
       ]
      },
      {
       "code_name": "X",
       "in_words": "Draw",
       "authors": 0,
       "by_group": [
        {
         "key": "prediction_sites",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "media",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "telegram_channels",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "private_authors",
         "authors": 0
        }
       ]
      },
      {
       "code_name": "2",
       "in_words": "Arezzo",
       "authors": 0,
       "by_group": [
        {
         "key": "prediction_sites",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "media",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "telegram_channels",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "private_authors",
         "authors": 0
        }
       ]
      }
     ]
    },
    {
     "key": "totals",
     "label": "Goal totals",
     "authors": 0,
     "by_group": [
      {
       "key": "prediction_sites",
       "authors": 0
      },
      {
       "key": "media",
       "authors": 0
      },
      {
       "key": "telegram_channels",
       "authors": 0
      },
      {
       "key": "private_authors",
       "authors": 0
      }
     ]
    },
    {
     "key": "other",
     "label": "Handicaps, both teams to score, correct score and other markets",
     "authors": 3,
     "by_group": [
      {
       "key": "prediction_sites",
       "authors": 1
      },
      {
       "key": "media",
       "authors": 0
      },
      {
       "key": "telegram_channels",
       "authors": 2
      },
      {
       "key": "private_authors",
       "authors": 0
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  "market_line": {
   "line_state": "moved",
   "line_frozen": true,
   "phrase": "Market line at kick-off (28 October 2026, 19:00 GMT): Carrarese 44%, draw 29%, Arezzo 27%. From 23 October 2026, 14:51 BST to kick-off the line moved 5.4 percentage points (Carrarese up).",
   "line_markets": [
    {
     "market_text": "1X2, match result",
     "market_group": "1x2",
     "line_kind": "median_line",
     "margin_included": false,
     "snapshot_at": "2026-10-28T19:00:00.000Z",
     "closing_line": true,
     "probabilities": [
      {
       "outcome_label": "1",
       "in_words": "Carrarese",
       "percent_value": 44
      },
      {
       "outcome_label": "X",
       "in_words": "Draw",
       "percent_value": 29
      },
      {
       "outcome_label": "2",
       "in_words": "Arezzo",
       "percent_value": 27
      }
     ],
     "group_count": 13,
     "first_at": "2026-10-23T13:51:50.640Z",
     "first_probabilities": {
      "1": 39,
      "2": 32,
      "X": 30
     },
     "shift_pp": 5.4,
     "shift_outcome": "1",
     "shift_direction": "up",
     "line_state": "moved",
     "phrase": "Market line at kick-off (28 October 2026, 19:00 GMT): Carrarese 44%, draw 29%, Arezzo 27%. From 23 October 2026, 14:51 BST to kick-off the line moved 5.4 percentage points (Carrarese up)."
    },
    {
     "market_text": "Both teams to score",
     "market_group": "other",
     "line_kind": "recorded_price",
     "margin_included": true,
     "closing_line": false,
     "price_sides": [
      {
       "choice": "yes",
       "snapshot_price": "1.75",
       "percent_value": 57,
       "snapshot_at": "2026-10-27T06:15:27.238Z",
       "snapshot_count": 1,
       "first_snapshot_price": null,
       "first_at": null,
       "shift_pp": null,
       "shift_direction": null,
       "line_state": "single_snapshot"
      }
     ],
     "line_state": "single_snapshot",
     "phrase": "Both teams to score, yes: market price 1.75 on 27 October 2026, 06:15 GMT (implied 57%, margin included)."
    }
   ]
  },
  "pre_kickoff_snapshot": {
   "frozen_before_kickoff": true,
   "as_of_moment": "2026-10-28T19:00:00.000Z",
   "starts_at": "2026-10-28T19:00:00.000Z",
   "phrase": "Before kick-off on 28 October 2026, 19:00 GMT: market line at kick-off Carrarese 44%, draw 29%, Arezzo 27%; Both teams to score, recorded picks before the match (1): 1 on yes.",
   "market_line_brief": {
    "snapshot_at": "2026-10-28T19:00:00.000Z",
    "closing_line": true,
    "probabilities": {
     "1": 44,
     "X": 29,
     "2": 27
    }
   },
   "market_groups": [
    {
     "market_group": "other",
     "group_markets": [
      {
       "market_text": "Both teams to score",
       "prediction_count": 1,
       "row_count": 1,
       "market_choices": [
        {
         "choice": "yes",
         "figure": 1
        }
       ],
       "phrase_mode": "listing",
       "leader_choice": null,
       "leader_count": null,
       "share_percent": 100,
       "phrase": "Both teams to score, recorded picks before the match (1): 1 on yes"
      },
      {
       "market_text": "Correct score",
       "prediction_count": 1,
       "row_count": 1,
       "market_choices": [
        {
         "choice": "Carrarese 1-1 Arezzo",
         "figure": 1
        }
       ],
       "phrase_mode": "listing",
       "leader_choice": null,
       "leader_count": null,
       "share_percent": 100,
       "phrase": "Correct score, recorded picks before the match (1): 1 on Carrarese 1-1 Arezzo"
      },
      {
       "market_text": "Double chance",
       "prediction_count": 1,
       "row_count": 1,
       "market_choices": [
        {
         "choice": "draw or Arezzo",
         "figure": 1
        }
       ],
       "phrase_mode": "listing",
       "leader_choice": null,
       "leader_count": null,
       "share_percent": 100,
       "phrase": "Double chance, recorded picks before the match (1): 1 on draw or Arezzo"
      }
     ]
    }
   ],
   "predictions_before_kickoff": 3,
   "majority_threshold": {
    "min_predictions": 5,
    "min_share_percent": 60.0
   }
  },
  "teams_prev_next": [
   {
    "side": "home",
    "team": "Carrarese",
    "team_url": "/football/teams/carrarese/",
    "participant_id": "u-94cc9acf4c3c",
    "previous": {
     "kickoff": "2026-10-25T14:00:00.000Z",
     "name": "Palermo vs Carrarese",
     "url": "/football/matches/palermo-vs-carrarese-2026-10-25/",
     "competition": "Serie B",
     "state": "played",
     "score": "2-1"
    },
    "next": {
     "kickoff": "2026-11-01T16:15:00.000Z",
     "name": "Hellas Verona vs Carrarese",
     "url": "/football/matches/hellas-verona-vs-carrarese-2026-11-01/",
     "competition": "Serie B",
     "state": "played",
     "score": "3-0"
    },
    "why": null
   },
   {
    "side": "away",
    "team": "Arezzo",
    "team_url": null,
    "participant_id": "u-44588f78031e",
    "previous": {
     "kickoff": "2026-10-24T17:30:00.000Z",
     "name": "Arezzo vs Benevento",
     "url": "/football/matches/arezzo-vs-benevento-2026-10-24/",
     "competition": "Serie B",
     "state": "played",
     "score": "0-3"
    },
    "next": {
     "kickoff": "2026-11-01T14:00:00.000Z",
     "name": "Arezzo vs Ascoli",
     "url": "/football/matches/arezzo-vs-ascoli-2026-11-01/",
     "competition": "Serie B",
     "state": "played",
     "score": "0-0"
    },
    "why": null
   }
  ]
 },
 "number_sets": [
  {
   "set": "match.market_line.percent",
   "entity": "/football/matches/carrarese-vs-arezzo-2026-10-28/|1x2|1",
   "value": 44,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.market_line.percent",
   "entity": "/football/matches/carrarese-vs-arezzo-2026-10-28/|1x2|X",
   "value": 29,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.market_line.percent",
   "entity": "/football/matches/carrarese-vs-arezzo-2026-10-28/|1x2|2",
   "value": 27,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.recorded_price.percent",
   "entity": "/football/matches/carrarese-vs-arezzo-2026-10-28/|Both teams to score|yes",
   "value": 57,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.before_kickoff.market",
   "entity": "/football/matches/carrarese-vs-arezzo-2026-10-28/|Both teams to score",
   "value": 1,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.before_kickoff.leader_share_percent",
   "entity": "/football/matches/carrarese-vs-arezzo-2026-10-28/|Both teams to score",
   "value": 100,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.before_kickoff.selection",
   "entity": "/football/matches/carrarese-vs-arezzo-2026-10-28/|Both teams to score|yes",
   "value": 1,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.before_kickoff.market",
   "entity": "/football/matches/carrarese-vs-arezzo-2026-10-28/|Correct score",
   "value": 1,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.before_kickoff.leader_share_percent",
   "entity": "/football/matches/carrarese-vs-arezzo-2026-10-28/|Correct score",
   "value": 100,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.before_kickoff.selection",
   "entity": "/football/matches/carrarese-vs-arezzo-2026-10-28/|Correct score|Carrarese 1-1 Arezzo",
   "value": 1,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.before_kickoff.market",
   "entity": "/football/matches/carrarese-vs-arezzo-2026-10-28/|Double chance",
   "value": 1,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.before_kickoff.leader_share_percent",
   "entity": "/football/matches/carrarese-vs-arezzo-2026-10-28/|Double chance",
   "value": 100,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
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