{ "schema_name": "page", "schema_version": "2.0", "page_type": "event", "url": "/football/matches/boca-juniors-vs-river-plate-2026-11-01/", "canonical": "/football/matches/boca-juniors-vs-river-plate-2026-11-01/", "language": "en", "hreflang": [], "translations": [], "heading": "Boca Juniors vs River Plate: recorded predictions and results", "description": "Boca Juniors vs River Plate, 1 November 2026. Final score 1-0 · Liga Profesional: 15 distinct predictions from 9 authors.", "first_paragraph": { "body": "Boca Juniors finished 1-0 against River Plate. The recorded predictions are listed below by market, each with its own outcome. 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They never affect what you see above: the order of any table is computed before any commission is known.", "page_category": "event" }, "restrictions": { "name_withdrawn": false, "tracker_number": null, "withdrawn_quotes": [], "removed_at": null, "cause": null, "suspended_records": [], "withdrawal_log_number": 0 }, "page_links": { "methodology": "/methodology/", "right_of_reply": "/right-of-reply/", "source_coverage": "/coverage/", "corrections_log": "/corrections/", "api": "/api/", "claim": "/claim/" }, "event": { "id": "s-e1b0b780738d", "display_name": "Boca Juniors — River Plate", "competition_name": "Liga Profesional", "starts_at": "2026-11-01T18:00:00.000Z", "status": "finished", "scoreline": "1-0", "condition": "finished", "condition_words": "finished", "result_received_at": "2026-11-01T21:05:10.141Z", "postponement": null, "consensus": { "market_label": "Both teams to score", "distribution": [ { "outcome_label": "yes", "figure": 2, "share": "50.0" }, { "outcome_label": "no", 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Boca Juniors ha sumado victorias en los últimos dos Superclásicos oficiales de liga (1-0 en el Apertura 2026 y 2-0 en el Clausura 2025), lo que respalda al cuadro xeneize como la opción a seguir para buscar el triunfo en casa.", "fragment_from": 2295, "fragment_to": 2695, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.365scores.com/es-mx/apuestas-mexico/pronosticos/boca-juniors-vs-river-plate-clausura-2026", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Jonas Caetano", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "caeb7f9dd64feaf02e65699b5f0c4faaf2e17c09a5aa48806fac902fc03b8ba4", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-31T00:45:39.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-31T13:52:27.500Z", "executed_at": "2026-10-31T15:51:32.012Z", "statement_class": "unpriced", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-e1b0b780738d", "display_name": "Boca Juniors — River Plate", "competition_name": "Liga Profesional", "starts_at": "2026-11-01T18:00:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/boca-juniors-vs-river-plate-2026-11-01/", "scoreline": "1-0", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "outcome_label": "Boca Juniors", "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": "2.2500", "our_snapshot_at": "2026-10-31T13:54:18.419Z", "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot", "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "win", "simulation_change_hundredths": 12500, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-31T00:45:39.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-31T00:45:39.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-31T13:52:27.500Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Boca Juniors", "author_odds": null, "market_key": "1x2", "choice_key": "1", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "1X2, match result: Boca Juniors" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "win", "scoreline": "1-0", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Won: the final score was Boca Juniors 1-0 River Plate." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "c05624c8b448ee5eb107f77a0342a7f571c834939ad1b3627c284c15c6912dd3", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Boca Juniors", "decimal_odds": "2.2500", "odds_role": "market_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 12500, "executed_at": "2026-10-31T15:51:32.012Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Jonas Caetano", "publisher": "365Scores México — Apuestas", "forecaster": "Jonas Caetano", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.365scores.com/es-mx/apuestas-mexico/pronosticos/boca-juniors-vs-river-plate-clausura-2026", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-48f68382287871c18fb30896", "url": "/authors/jonas-caetano/picks/8/#pick-n-48f68382287871c18fb30896", "quote_text": "Menos de 2.5 goles\n\nTratándose de un Superclásico de alta fricción táctica donde se juegan puestos vitales en la penúltima jornada de la fase regular, se espera un trámite cerrado y con pocos espacios. 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10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 7143, "executed_at": "2026-10-31T15:51:45.827Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Jonas Caetano", "publisher": "365Scores México — Apuestas", "forecaster": "Jonas Caetano", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.365scores.com/es-mx/apuestas-mexico/pronosticos/boca-juniors-vs-river-plate-clausura-2026", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-cf82fb4817fc51de7da096c4", "url": "/authors/ricardo-fernandez/picks/5/#pick-n-cf82fb4817fc51de7da096c4", "quote_text": "El mercado de ambos equipos marcan aparece como una de las alternativas más interesantes de las apuestas deportivas.", "fragment_from": 5482, "fragment_to": 5598, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "rss", "url": "https://www.marca.com/apuestas-deportivas/predicciones/2026/10/31/apuestas-pronosticos-boca-vs-river.html", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Ricardo Fernández", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "8324e6bfd8b4eddd71039dc1373f97a0200ba9173aa6c54d1fd2f4a88ab30df2", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-31T14:58:32.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-31T14:59:43.443Z", "executed_at": "2026-10-31T19:18:27.865Z", "statement_class": "unpriced", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-e1b0b780738d", "display_name": "Boca Juniors — River Plate", "competition_name": "Liga Profesional", "starts_at": 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"status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-10-31T19:18:27.865Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Ricardo Fernández", "publisher": "MARCA — «Predicciones»", "forecaster": "Ricardo Fernández", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.marca.com/apuestas-deportivas/predicciones/2026/10/31/apuestas-pronosticos-boca-vs-river.html", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-534e2db0e5bfb9c07c457f9e", "url": "/authors/ricardo-fernandez/picks/5/#pick-n-534e2db0e5bfb9c07c457f9e", "quote_text": "La línea de 2.5 goles, por tanto, genera dudas para el Over, que Bwin sitúa a 2.4. No obstante, la tensión y la necesidad de ambos equipos de sumar puntos pueden abrir el partido en los minutos finales. El Under 2.5 se paga a 1.49.", "fragment_from": 6666, "fragment_to": 6897, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "rss", "url": "https://www.marca.com/apuestas-deportivas/predicciones/2026/10/31/apuestas-pronosticos-boca-vs-river.html", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Ricardo Fernández", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "8324e6bfd8b4eddd71039dc1373f97a0200ba9173aa6c54d1fd2f4a88ab30df2", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-31T14:58:32.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-31T14:59:43.443Z", "executed_at": "2026-10-31T19:18:31.310Z", "statement_class": "unpriced", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-e1b0b780738d", "display_name": "Boca Juniors — River Plate", "competition_name": "Liga Profesional", "starts_at": "2026-11-01T18:00:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/boca-juniors-vs-river-plate-2026-11-01/", "scoreline": "1-0", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals", "outcome_label": "under 2.5", "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": "1.5200", "our_snapshot_at": "2026-10-31T14:55:04.955Z", "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot", "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "win", "simulation_change_hundredths": 5200, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-31T14:58:32.000Z", "fragment_basis": "element", "source_page_at": "2026-10-31T14:58:32.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-31T14:59:43.443Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals", "choice": "under 2.5", "author_odds": null, "market_key": "total", "choice_key": "under", "period": "match", "line": "2.5", "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Over/Under 2.5 goals: under 2.5" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "win", "scoreline": "1-0", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Won: the final score was Boca Juniors 1-0 River Plate." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "61e6e5c77e3e9a0e29c7dcb9fcfa534f78b78172ddb2964da0860ab0cb2b67fc", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals", "choice": "under 2.5", "decimal_odds": "1.5200", "odds_role": "market_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 5200, "executed_at": "2026-10-31T19:18:31.310Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Ricardo Fernández", "publisher": "MARCA — «Predicciones»", "forecaster": "Ricardo Fernández", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.marca.com/apuestas-deportivas/predicciones/2026/10/31/apuestas-pronosticos-boca-vs-river.html", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-bf9a4d432eab1c37cf344ccb", "url": "/authors/julian-mazzara/picks/3/#pick-n-bf9a4d432eab1c37cf344ccb", "quote_text": "Total de tarjetas: Más de 6.5\n\nEl Superclásico se juega con dientes apretados. Boca promedia 3.4 amarillas recientemente y River 3.2. 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Tras definir el clásico del Apertura desde los doce pasos, su festejo representa una oportunidad inmejorable con gran cuota.\n\nbet365\n\n4.50", "fragment_from": 547, "fragment_to": 816, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "rss", "url": "https://bolavip.com/ar/apuestas/pronosticos/boca-juniors-vs-river-plate-01-11-2026", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Martin Jiménez Guerra", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "51e9db251bc6dda4d3b24d14be522ab8607ed5e40c4e0ba24abb4539c640970a", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-31T18:00:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-31T18:11:20.911Z", "executed_at": "2026-11-01T17:13:59.430Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-e1b0b780738d", "display_name": "Boca Juniors — River Plate", "competition_name": "Liga Profesional", "starts_at": "2026-11-01T18:00:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/boca-juniors-vs-river-plate-2026-11-01/", "scoreline": "1-0", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "Player to score", "outcome_label": "Leandro Paredes to score", "odds_set": { "by_author": "4.5", "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "loss", "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-31T18:00:00.000Z", "fragment_basis": "element", "source_page_at": "2026-10-31T18:00:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-31T18:11:20.911Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Player to score", "choice": "Leandro Paredes to score", "author_odds": "4.5", "market_key": "player_to_score", "choice_key": "yes", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "player_goals", "in_words": "Player to score: Leandro Paredes to score at 4.5" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "1-0", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Lost — Leandro Paredes scored 0 goals; the final score was Boca Juniors 1-0 River Plate." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "f6a4c68111bacdef748b59beeb0e6331e5f51961775c2cf615fc5f37554f947c", "series_key": "author_price", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Player to score", "choice": "Leandro Paredes to score", "decimal_odds": "4.5", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-11-01T17:13:59.430Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "b5a9c26fc53d26264074e835df9cadbad1b2be36e19d880de4098633ed86fe50", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Player to score", "choice": "Leandro Paredes to score", "decimal_odds": null, "odds_role": null, "stake_hundredths": null, "status": "skipped", "status_text": "Not executed: ", "result": null, "result_words": null, "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Martin Jiménez Guerra", "publisher": "Bolavip Argentina — Pronósticos", "forecaster": "Martin Jiménez Guerra", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://bolavip.com/ar/apuestas/pronosticos/boca-juniors-vs-river-plate-01-11-2026", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-039e1592b1a0d8e721c09c60", "url": "/authors/martin-jimenez-guerra/picks/5/#pick-n-039e1592b1a0d8e721c09c60", "quote_text": "Total de Tarjetas: Más de 9.5\n\nLa alta fricción y los roces constantes desbordan disciplinariamente el duelo en La Bombonera. Considerando las diez tarjetas del cruce anterior y la fuerte disputa territorial, superar las 9.5 amonestaciones convence plenamente.\n\nbet365\n\n2.02", "fragment_from": 830, "fragment_to": 1104, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "rss", "url": "https://bolavip.com/ar/apuestas/pronosticos/boca-juniors-vs-river-plate-01-11-2026", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Martin Jiménez Guerra", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "51e9db251bc6dda4d3b24d14be522ab8607ed5e40c4e0ba24abb4539c640970a", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-31T18:00:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-31T18:11:20.911Z", "executed_at": "2026-11-01T17:13:58.712Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-e1b0b780738d", "display_name": "Boca Juniors — River Plate", "competition_name": "Liga Profesional", "starts_at": "2026-11-01T18:00:00.000Z", "url": 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"added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Over/Under 9.5 cards", "choice": "over 9.5", "author_odds": "2.02", "market_key": "cards_over_under", "choice_key": "over", "period": "match", "line": "9.5", "subject": "bookings", "in_words": "Over/Under 9.5 cards: over 9.5 at 2.02" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "win", "scoreline": "1-0", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Won — cards 7-4 in the match (11 in total); the final score was Boca Juniors 1-0 River Plate." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "5e8c8d72f822259606737a536149ca1e4d7925b8b573b1bddc248eb4028ab304", "series_key": "author_price", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Over/Under 9.5 cards", "choice": "over 9.5", "decimal_odds": "2.02", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", 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true, "trust_settled_count": 114 }, { "entry_id": "n-766be83676805f302a75281a", "author_name": "Renzo Castillo", "author_href": "/authors/renzo-castillo/", "source_group": "tipsters", "trust_tier": "probation", "market_label": "Team goals over/under 0.5", "market_key": "team_total", "choice": "River Plate over 0.5", "choice_key": "2-over", "byline": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "logged_at": "2026-10-30T20:10:50.382Z", "posted_at": "2026-10-30T20:04:43.000Z", "author_quoted_price": "1.55", "our_snapshot": "1.5263", "closing_line": null, "outcome_label": "Lost", "pre_match": true, "proof": "/authors/renzo-castillo/picks/8/#pick-n-766be83676805f302a75281a", "original": null, "contradictory": false, "authorship": null, "source_type": "prediction_sites", "own_page": true, "trust_settled_count": 114 }, { "entry_id": "n-cf82fb4817fc51de7da096c4", "author_name": "Ricardo Fernández", "author_href": "/authors/ricardo-fernandez/", "source_group": "tipsters", "trust_tier": "probation", "market_label": "Both teams to score", "market_key": "both_teams_score", "choice": "yes", "choice_key": "yes", "byline": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "logged_at": "2026-10-31T14:59:43.443Z", "posted_at": "2026-10-31T14:58:32.000Z", "author_quoted_price": null, "our_snapshot": "2.0700", "closing_line": null, "outcome_label": "Lost", "pre_match": true, "proof": "/authors/ricardo-fernandez/picks/5/#pick-n-cf82fb4817fc51de7da096c4", "original": null, "contradictory": false, "authorship": null, "source_type": "media", "own_page": true, "trust_settled_count": 66 }, { "entry_id": "n-534e2db0e5bfb9c07c457f9e", "author_name": "Ricardo Fernández", "author_href": "/authors/ricardo-fernandez/", "source_group": "tipsters", "trust_tier": "probation", "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals", "market_key": "total", "choice": "under 2.5", "choice_key": "under", "byline": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "logged_at": "2026-10-31T14:59:43.443Z", "posted_at": "2026-10-31T14:58:32.000Z", "author_quoted_price": null, "our_snapshot": "1.5200", "closing_line": null, "outcome_label": "Won", "pre_match": true, "proof": "/authors/ricardo-fernandez/picks/5/#pick-n-534e2db0e5bfb9c07c457f9e", "original": null, "contradictory": false, "authorship": null, "source_type": "media", "own_page": true, "trust_settled_count": 66 }, { "entry_id": "n-df97657da6d8358ae72a7fca", "author_name": "Théo Becker", "author_href": "/authors/theo-becker/", "source_group": "tipsters", "trust_tier": "probation", "market_label": "Both teams to score", "market_key": "both_teams_score", "choice": "no", "choice_key": "no", "byline": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "logged_at": "2026-11-01T03:30:15.970Z", "posted_at": "2026-10-29T00:26:59.000Z", "author_quoted_price": null, "our_snapshot": "1.7752", "closing_line": null, "outcome_label": "Won", "pre_match": true, "proof": "/authors/theo-becker/picks/134/#pick-n-df97657da6d8358ae72a7fca", "original": null, "contradictory": false, "authorship": null, "source_type": "prediction_sites", "own_page": true, "trust_settled_count": 2170 } ], "not_counted": [], "after_start": [], "forecaster_split": { "contracts": [ { "contract_code": "1x2|*|match|*|*#explicit", "source_group": "explicit", "market_label": "1X2, match result", "market_key": "1x2", "choices": [ { "code_name": "1", "in_words": "Boca Juniors", "tips": [ { "author_name": "Jonas Caetano", "entry_id": "n-e2b02498bffcebfada3aeceb", "outcome_label": "Won", "source_group": "tipsters" }, { "author_name": "Théo Becker", "entry_id": "n-db0d962b6303b5dc55d8ef30", "outcome_label": "Won", "source_group": "tipsters" } ], "figure": 2 }, { "code_name": "X", "in_words": "Draw", "tips": [ { "author_name": "Tomasz Dmytruszyński", "entry_id": "n-0e14b8efeba4596fb6926c18", "outcome_label": "Lost", "source_group": "tipsters" } ], "figure": 1 }, { "code_name": "2", "in_words": "River Plate", "tips": [], "figure": 0 } ], "n": 3, "publisher_count": 3 }, { "contract_code": "total|2.5|match|*|*#explicit", "source_group": "explicit", "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals", "market_key": "total", "choices": [ { "code_name": "under", "in_words": "under 2.5", "tips": [ { "author_name": "Hugo Cruz", "entry_id": "n-917a4aace1a38ac249263f2e", "outcome_label": "Won", "source_group": "tipsters" }, { "author_name": "Jonas Caetano", "entry_id": "n-48f68382287871c18fb30896", "outcome_label": "Won", "source_group": "tipsters" }, { "author_name": "Renzo Castillo", "entry_id": "n-a1de8320910750bbe9904dd5", "outcome_label": "Won", "source_group": "tipsters" }, { "author_name": "Ricardo Fernández", "entry_id": "n-534e2db0e5bfb9c07c457f9e", "outcome_label": "Won", "source_group": "tipsters" } ], "figure": 4 } ], "n": 4, "publisher_count": 4 }, { "contract_code": "both_teams_score|*|match|*|*#explicit", "source_group": "explicit", "market_label": "Both teams to score", "market_key": "both_teams_score", "choices": [ { "code_name": "no", "in_words": "no", "tips": [ { "author_name": "Jonas Caetano", "entry_id": "n-56407e40eb374966a70f6c11", "outcome_label": "Won", "source_group": "tipsters" }, { "author_name": "Théo Becker", "entry_id": "n-df97657da6d8358ae72a7fca", "outcome_label": "Won", "source_group": "tipsters" } ], "figure": 2 }, { "code_name": "yes", "in_words": "yes", "tips": [ { "author_name": "Ricardo Fernández", "entry_id": "n-cf82fb4817fc51de7da096c4", "outcome_label": "Lost", "source_group": "tipsters" } ], "figure": 1 } ], "n": 3, "publisher_count": 3 }, { "contract_code": "cards_over_under|6.5|match|*|*#explicit", "source_group": "explicit", "market_label": "Over/Under 6.5 cards", "market_key": "cards_over_under", "choices": [ { "code_name": "over", "in_words": "over 6.5", "tips": [ { "author_name": "Julián Mazzara", "entry_id": "n-bf9a4d432eab1c37cf344ccb", "outcome_label": "Won", "source_group": "tipsters" } ], "figure": 1 } ], "n": 1, "publisher_count": 1 }, { "contract_code": "cards_over_under|9.5|match|*|*#explicit", "source_group": "explicit", "market_label": "Over/Under 9.5 cards", "market_key": "cards_over_under", "choices": [ { "code_name": "over", "in_words": "over 9.5", "tips": [ { "author_name": "Martin Jiménez Guerra", "entry_id": "n-039e1592b1a0d8e721c09c60", "outcome_label": "Won", "source_group": "tipsters" } ], "figure": 1 } ], "n": 1, "publisher_count": 1 }, { "contract_code": "player_to_score|*|match|ig-6dc29bc4a495|*#explicit", "source_group": "explicit", "market_label": "Player to score", "market_key": "player_to_score", "choices": [ { "code_name": "yes", "in_words": "Leandro Paredes to score", "tips": [ { "author_name": "Martin Jiménez Guerra", "entry_id": "n-ca8e7f26bdb47150065be62a", "outcome_label": "Lost", "source_group": "tipsters" } ], "figure": 1 } ], "n": 1, "publisher_count": 1 }, { "contract_code": "team_total|0.5|match|*|*#explicit", "source_group": "explicit", "market_label": "Team goals over/under 0.5", "market_key": "team_total", "choices": [ { "code_name": "2-over", "in_words": "River Plate over 0.5", "tips": [ { "author_name": "Renzo Castillo", "entry_id": "n-766be83676805f302a75281a", "outcome_label": "Lost", "source_group": "tipsters" } ], "figure": 1 } ], "n": 1, "publisher_count": 1 } ], "author_count": 8, "below_threshold": { "prediction_count": 1, "author_count": 1 }, "limit": 10 }, "chain": null, "differing_choices": 0, "visible_who": 0, "newcomers_who": 9, "newcomers_before": 15, "titles_shown": true, "legend": "Badges show titles earned before this prediction, by published rules." }, "arguments": { "topics": [], "against": [], "other_languages": 0, "other_language_hosts": [], "mode": "quotes", "topics_total": 0, "checkable": 0 }, "market_label": { "favourite_code": "1", "favourite": "Boca Juniors", "probabilities": [ { "outcome_label": "1", "in_words": "Boca Juniors", "percent_value": 43 }, { "outcome_label": "X", "in_words": "Draw", "percent_value": 31 }, { "outcome_label": "2", "in_words": "River Plate", "percent_value": 26 } ], "prices": { "1": "2.20", "X": "3.10", "2": "3.70" }, "group_count": 3, "bookmakers": 3, "snapshot_at": "2026-11-01T18:00:00.000Z", "closing_line": true, "first_at": "2026-10-31T18:00:00.000Z", "shift_pp": 2.7, "phrase": "The market has barely changed its mind since our first snapshot on 31 October 2026: Boca Juniors 42% then, 43% at kick-off.", "technique": "Median across groups of bookmakers, without margin: brands on one platform count once (median within the group); betting exchanges and prediction markets are excluded. Market price from an odds aggregator; the data provider is not named.", "t24": { "snapshot_at": "2026-10-31T18:00:00.000Z", "probabilities": { "1": 42, "2": 28, "X": 30 } }, "t2": { "snapshot_at": "2026-11-01T16:00:00.000Z", "probabilities": { "1": 44, "2": 25, "X": 30 } } }, "market_mode": "show", "fact_sheet": { "tournament": "Liga Profesional (Argentina)", "matchday": null, "starts_at": "2026-11-01T18:00:00.000Z", "form": { "home_side": [ { "res": "W", "scoreline": "1-0", "opponent": "CA Independiente", "at_home": false, "data": "2026-10-25" }, { "res": "W", "scoreline": "3-1", "opponent": "Vasco da Gama", "at_home": false, "data": "2026-10-21" }, { "res": "W", "scoreline": "2-1", "opponent": "CA Talleres", "at_home": true, "data": "2026-10-17" }, { "res": "L", "scoreline": "0-1", "opponent": "Vasco da Gama", "at_home": true, "data": "2026-10-14" }, { "res": "D", "scoreline": "2-2", "opponent": "Instituto De Córdoba", "at_home": false, "data": "2026-10-09" } ], "away": [ { "res": "W", "scoreline": "1-0", "opponent": "Racing Club", "at_home": true, "data": "2026-10-25" }, { "res": "W", "scoreline": "3-0", "opponent": "Club Atlético Belgrano", "at_home": false, "data": "2026-10-19" }, { "res": "D", "scoreline": "1-1", "opponent": "Sarmiento", "at_home": false, "data": "2026-10-14" }, { "res": "W", "scoreline": "1-0", "opponent": "Estudiantes de Río Cuarto", "at_home": true, "data": "2026-10-11" }, { "res": "L", "scoreline": "1-2", "opponent": "Huracán", "at_home": true, "data": "2026-09-19" } ] }, "head_to_head": [], "past_cards": [], "reach": "" }, "after_match": { "scoreline": "1-0", "fact_code": "1", "row_list": [ "Match-result predictions from tipsters and sources with 10 or more predictions checked against the final score to date: 2 of 3 matched", "Predictions from tipsters and sources with fewer than 10 predictions checked against the final score to date, recorded before kick-off: 1 prediction · 1 lost", "Most common selection among tipsters and sources with 10 or more predictions checked against the final score to date: Boca Juniors (2 of 3), matched", "Market favourite at kick-off: Boca Juniors (matched)" ], "by_group": { "tipsters": { "correct": 2, "of": 3 } }, "placement": null, "checks": [] }, "prices": [], "revisions": [ "Market 24 hours before kick-off: Boca Juniors 42%.", "Market 2 hours before kick-off: Boca Juniors 44%.", "First published with predictions on 27 October 2026." ], "titles": { "shown": true, "legend": "Badges show titles earned before this prediction, by published rules.", "frozen_in": "sr-1dc2028719ad85f788b4d0ca" }, "tracker": null, "source_groups": { "as_of": "2026-11-01T18:00:00.000Z", "groups": [ { "key": "prediction_sites", "label": "Prediction sites" }, { "key": "media", "label": "Media" }, { "key": "telegram_channels", "label": "Telegram channels" }, { "key": "private_authors", "label": "Independent tipsters" } ], "authors": 9, "by_group": [ { "key": "prediction_sites", "authors": 4 }, { "key": "media", "authors": 5 }, { "key": "telegram_channels", "authors": 0 }, { "key": "private_authors", "authors": 0 } ], "markets": [ { "key": "1x2", "label": "Match result", "authors": 3, "by_group": [ { "key": "prediction_sites", "authors": 1 }, { "key": "media", "authors": 2 }, { "key": "telegram_channels", "authors": 0 }, { "key": "private_authors", "authors": 0 } ], "choices": [ { "code_name": "1", "in_words": "Boca Juniors", "authors": 2, "by_group": [ { "key": "prediction_sites", "authors": 1 }, { "key": "media", "authors": 1 }, { "key": "telegram_channels", "authors": 0 }, { "key": "private_authors", "authors": 0 } ] }, { "code_name": "X", "in_words": "Draw", "authors": 1, "by_group": [ { "key": "prediction_sites", "authors": 0 }, { "key": "media", "authors": 1 }, { "key": "telegram_channels", "authors": 0 }, { "key": "private_authors", "authors": 0 } ] }, { "code_name": "2", "in_words": "River Plate", "authors": 0, "by_group": [ { "key": "prediction_sites", "authors": 0 }, { "key": "media", "authors": 0 }, { "key": "telegram_channels", "authors": 0 }, { "key": "private_authors", "authors": 0 } ] } ] }, { "key": "totals", "label": "Goal totals", "authors": 4, "by_group": [ { "key": "prediction_sites", "authors": 2 }, { "key": "media", "authors": 2 }, { "key": "telegram_channels", "authors": 0 }, { "key": "private_authors", "authors": 0 } ] }, { "key": "other", "label": "Handicaps, both teams to score, correct score and other markets", "authors": 6, "by_group": [ { "key": "prediction_sites", "authors": 2 }, { "key": "media", "authors": 4 }, { "key": "telegram_channels", "authors": 0 }, { "key": "private_authors", "authors": 0 } ] } ] }, "market_line": { "line_state": "barely_moved", "line_frozen": true, "phrase": "Market line at kick-off (1 November 2026, 18:00 GMT): Boca Juniors 43%, draw 31%, River Plate 26%. From 31 October 2026, 18:00 GMT to kick-off it barely moved: the largest change was 2.7 percentage points (River Plate down).", "line_markets": [ { "market_text": "1X2, match result", "market_group": "1x2", "line_kind": "median_line", "margin_included": false, "snapshot_at": "2026-11-01T18:00:00.000Z", "closing_line": true, "probabilities": [ { "outcome_label": "1", "in_words": "Boca Juniors", "percent_value": 43 }, { "outcome_label": "X", "in_words": "Draw", "percent_value": 31 }, { "outcome_label": "2", "in_words": "River Plate", "percent_value": 26 } ], "group_count": 3, "first_at": "2026-10-31T18:00:00.000Z", "first_probabilities": { "1": 42, "2": 28, "X": 30 }, "shift_pp": 2.7, "shift_outcome": "2", "shift_direction": "down", "line_state": "barely_moved", "phrase": "Market line at kick-off (1 November 2026, 18:00 GMT): Boca Juniors 43%, draw 31%, River Plate 26%. From 31 October 2026, 18:00 GMT to kick-off it barely moved: the largest change was 2.7 percentage points (River Plate down)." }, { "market_text": "Both teams to score", "market_group": "other", "line_kind": "recorded_price", "margin_included": true, "closing_line": false, "price_sides": [ { "choice": "no", "snapshot_price": "1.78", "percent_value": 56, "snapshot_at": "2026-11-01T03:25:17.091Z", "snapshot_count": 2, "first_snapshot_price": "1.71", "first_at": "2026-10-31T13:59:03.515Z", "shift_pp": 2.0, "shift_direction": "down", "line_state": "barely_moved" }, { "choice": "yes", "snapshot_price": "2.07", "percent_value": 48, "snapshot_at": "2026-10-31T14:59:36.696Z", "snapshot_count": 2, "first_snapshot_price": "2.00", "first_at": "2026-10-30T22:46:52.398Z", "shift_pp": 1.7, "shift_direction": "down", "line_state": "barely_moved" } ], "line_state": "barely_moved", "phrase": "Both teams to score, no: market price 1.78 on 1 November 2026, 03:25 GMT (implied 56%, margin included), 2.0 percentage points down from 31 October 2026, 13:59 GMT. Both teams to score, yes: market price 2.07 on 31 October 2026, 14:59 GMT (implied 48%, margin included), 1.7 percentage points down from 30 October 2026, 22:46 GMT." }, { "market_text": "Over/Under 2.5 goals", "market_group": "totals", "line_kind": "recorded_price", "margin_included": true, "closing_line": false, "price_sides": [ { "choice": "under 2.5", "snapshot_price": "1.52", "percent_value": 66, "snapshot_at": "2026-10-31T14:55:04.955Z", "snapshot_count": 4, "first_snapshot_price": "1.51", "first_at": "2026-10-30T19:01:33.290Z", "shift_pp": 0.4, "shift_direction": "down", "line_state": "barely_moved" } ], "line_state": "barely_moved", "phrase": "Over/Under 2.5 goals, under 2.5 goals: market price 1.52 on 31 October 2026, 14:55 GMT (implied 66%, margin included), 0.4 percentage points down from 30 October 2026, 19:01 GMT." }, { "market_text": "Team goals over/under 0.5", "market_group": "totals", "line_kind": "recorded_price", "margin_included": true, "closing_line": false, "price_sides": [ { "choice": "River Plate over 0.5", "snapshot_price": "1.53", "percent_value": 66, "snapshot_at": "2026-10-30T20:14:26.749Z", "snapshot_count": 1, "first_snapshot_price": null, "first_at": null, "shift_pp": null, "shift_direction": null, "line_state": "single_snapshot" } ], "line_state": "single_snapshot", "phrase": "Team goals over/under 0.5, River Plate over 0.5 goals: market price 1.53 on 30 October 2026, 20:14 GMT (implied 66%, margin included)." } ] }, "pre_kickoff_snapshot": { "frozen_before_kickoff": true, "as_of_moment": "2026-11-01T18:00:00.000Z", "starts_at": "2026-11-01T18:00:00.000Z", "phrase": "Before kick-off on 1 November 2026, 18:00 GMT: market line at kick-off Boca Juniors 43%, draw 31%, River Plate 26%; 1X2, match result, recorded picks before the match (3): 2 on Boca Juniors, 1 on the draw, 0 on River Plate; Over/Under 2.5 goals, recorded picks before the match (4): 4 on under 2.5 goals; Both teams to score, recorded picks before the match (4): 2 on 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