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 "heading": "Birmingham City vs Millwall: recorded predictions and results",
 "description": "Birmingham City vs Millwall, 3 November 2026. Final score 3-0 · EFL Championship: 25 distinct predictions from 16 authors.",
 "first_paragraph": {
  "body": "Birmingham City finished 3-0 against Millwall. None of the 3 recorded correct-score predictions matched that score. Other markets are shown separately below. Forecast Record recorded 32 statements from 16 authors on Birmingham City vs Millwall (EFL Championship, kick-off 3 November 2026): 25 distinct predictions, all of the statements recorded before kick-off.",
  "key_number": "32",
  "data": "2026-11-03",
  "source_info": "our own evidence archive",
  "brand": "Forecast Record"
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 "data_date": "2026-11-03T22:02:09.716Z",
 "built_at": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z",
 "lastmod": "2026-11-08T02:12:33.000Z",
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 "release_id": "20261107-195223",
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   "url": "/football/matches/birmingham-city-vs-millwall-2026-11-03/picks.csv",
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 ],
 "modules": {
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  "request_url": "/partnery/moi",
  "disclosure": "Some links below are affiliate links and are marked as such. They never affect what you see above: the order of any table is computed before any commission is known.",
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 "restrictions": {
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 "event": {
  "id": "s-74ec0ac465b5",
  "display_name": "Birmingham City — Millwall",
  "competition_name": "EFL Championship",
  "starts_at": "2026-11-03T20:00:00.000Z",
  "status": "finished",
  "scoreline": "3-0",
  "condition": "finished",
  "condition_words": "finished",
  "result_received_at": "2026-11-03T22:02:09.716Z",
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  "consensus": {
   "market_label": "1X2, match result",
   "distribution": [
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     "outcome_label": "Birmingham City",
     "figure": 7,
     "share": "100.0"
    }
   ],
   "n": 7,
   "author_count": 7,
   "median_odds": "1.77",
   "summary": "Most common recorded selection in this market: Birmingham City — 7 of 7 eligible picks (one per author), median stated price 1.77",
   "late_excluded": 0,
   "contributions": 7,
   "prediction_count": 7,
   "chain": {
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    "unique": 25,
    "comparable": 25,
    "admissible": 25,
    "contributions": 25
   },
   "differing_choices": 0,
   "different_products": 0,
   "counting_rule": "1"
  },
  "country_name": "England",
  "competition_full": "EFL Championship (England)"
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   "executed_at": "2026-11-02T17:43:04.012Z",
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    "url": "/football/matches/birmingham-city-vs-millwall-2026-11-03/",
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   "outcome_label": "Birmingham City",
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   "simulation_change_hundredths": 9600,
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   "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
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    "url": "/football/matches/birmingham-city-vs-millwall-2026-11-03/",
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   "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
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   "author_claim": {
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    "choice": "over 2.5",
    "author_odds": "1.6",
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    "subject": "goals_total",
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   "corrections": [],
   "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
   "authorship": {
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   "url": "/authors/darren-plant/picks/3/#pick-n-9d3feff242965865ba3cdb1f",
   "quote_text": "We say: Birmingham City 2-1 Millwall",
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   "source_info": {
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   "event": {
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    "url": "/football/matches/birmingham-city-vs-millwall-2026-11-03/",
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   "market_label": "1X2, match result",
   "outcome_label": "Birmingham City",
   "odds_set": {
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    "closing": null,
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    "entity_ref": "e-4134291031759e292318093e",
    "name_shown": "Infobetting — Redazione",
    "url": "/sources/infobetting-com/products/redazione/"
   },
   {
    "id": "sr-478e830e06b5a2fe7177597a",
    "type_code": "author_before_match",
    "moment_at": "2026-11-03T20:00:00.000Z",
    "freeze_at": "2026-11-03T21:12:30.042Z",
    "approach": "by_capture_time",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "counting_rule": "1",
    "figures": {
     "matches": 178,
     "method_version": "2.2",
     "net_points_hundredths": -160047,
     "period_from": "2026-10-19",
     "period_to": "2026-11-02",
     "price_rule": "Our market snapshot",
     "return_percent": "-5.30",
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     "staked_hundredths": 3020000,
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    "entity_ref": "e-720ec2720a5ebeecc34f3c04",
    "name_shown": "WhoScored",
    "url": "/sources/whoscored-com/"
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   {
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    "type_code": "author_before_match",
    "moment_at": "2026-11-03T20:00:00.000Z",
    "freeze_at": "2026-11-03T21:12:30.042Z",
    "approach": "by_capture_time",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "counting_rule": "1",
    "figures": {
     "matches": 283,
     "method_version": "2.2",
     "net_points_hundredths": 122652,
     "period_from": "2026-10-18",
     "period_to": "2026-11-03",
     "price_rule": "Our market snapshot",
     "return_percent": "4.29",
     "settled_picks": 286,
     "staked_hundredths": 2860000,
     "void": 0
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    "entity_ref": "e-a5cbe196f3e50ad470002c21",
    "name_shown": "Enrico Giordano",
    "url": "/authors/enrico-giordano/"
   },
   {
    "id": "sr-d0d139c9b87b30f33ec1e3b8",
    "type_code": "author_before_match",
    "moment_at": "2026-11-03T20:00:00.000Z",
    "freeze_at": "2026-11-03T21:12:30.042Z",
    "approach": "by_capture_time",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "counting_rule": "1",
    "figures": {
     "matches": 202,
     "method_version": "2.2",
     "net_points_hundredths": 345261,
     "period_from": "2026-10-11",
     "period_to": "2026-11-02",
     "price_rule": "Our market snapshot",
     "return_percent": "14.33",
     "settled_picks": 245,
     "staked_hundredths": 2410000,
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    "entity_ref": "e-db760645a3ae9e4e98f32a30",
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    "type_code": "author_before_match",
    "moment_at": "2026-11-03T20:00:00.000Z",
    "freeze_at": "2026-11-03T21:12:30.042Z",
    "approach": "by_capture_time",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
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     "price_rule": "Our market snapshot",
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  "after_match": {
   "scoreline": "3-0",
   "fact_code": "1",
   "row_list": [
    "Match-result predictions from tipsters and sources with 10 or more predictions checked against the final score to date: 7 of 7 matched · Tipsters 2 of 2 · Prediction sites 5 of 5",
    "All recorded exact-score predictions: 0 of 3 matched",
    "Exact-score predictions from tipsters and sources with 10 or more predictions checked against the final score to date: 0 of 3 matched the score, 3 of 3 the outcome",
    "Most common selection among tipsters and sources with 10 or more predictions checked against the final score to date: Birmingham City (7 of 7), matched",
    "Market favourite at kick-off: Birmingham City (matched)"
   ],
   "by_group": {
    "tipsters": {
     "correct": 2,
     "of": 2
    },
    "websites": {
     "correct": 5,
     "of": 5
    }
   },
   "placement": null,
   "checks": []
  },
  "prices": [
   {
    "author_name": "Baptiste Couturiaux",
    "choice": "Birmingham City",
    "market_label": "1X2, match result",
    "author_quoted_price": "1.77",
    "our_snapshot": "1.9800",
    "closing_line": null
   },
   {
    "author_name": "Enrico Giordano",
    "choice": "Birmingham City or draw",
    "market_label": "Double chance",
    "author_quoted_price": "1.28",
    "our_snapshot": "1.2800",
    "closing_line": null
   },
   {
    "author_name": "Dailysports",
    "choice": "over 2.5",
    "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
    "author_quoted_price": "1.75",
    "our_snapshot": "1.7700",
    "closing_line": null
   }
  ],
  "revisions": [
   "Market 24 hours before kick-off: Birmingham City 48%.",
   "Market 2 hours before kick-off: Birmingham City 48%.",
   "First published with predictions on 3 November 2026."
  ],
  "titles": {
   "shown": true,
   "legend": "Badges show titles earned before this prediction, by published rules.",
   "frozen_in": "sr-c02b640c10df01f15bcab8bc"
  },
  "tracker": null,
  "source_groups": {
   "as_of": "2026-11-03T20:00:00.000Z",
   "groups": [
    {
     "key": "prediction_sites",
     "label": "Prediction sites"
    },
    {
     "key": "media",
     "label": "Media"
    },
    {
     "key": "telegram_channels",
     "label": "Telegram channels"
    },
    {
     "key": "private_authors",
     "label": "Independent tipsters"
    }
   ],
   "authors": 16,
   "by_group": [
    {
     "key": "prediction_sites",
     "authors": 5
    },
    {
     "key": "media",
     "authors": 1
    },
    {
     "key": "telegram_channels",
     "authors": 10
    },
    {
     "key": "private_authors",
     "authors": 0
    }
   ],
   "markets": [
    {
     "key": "1x2",
     "label": "Match result",
     "authors": 7,
     "by_group": [
      {
       "key": "prediction_sites",
       "authors": 3
      },
      {
       "key": "media",
       "authors": 0
      },
      {
       "key": "telegram_channels",
       "authors": 4
      },
      {
       "key": "private_authors",
       "authors": 0
      }
     ],
     "choices": [
      {
       "code_name": "1",
       "in_words": "Birmingham City",
       "authors": 7,
       "by_group": [
        {
         "key": "prediction_sites",
         "authors": 3
        },
        {
         "key": "media",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "telegram_channels",
         "authors": 4
        },
        {
         "key": "private_authors",
         "authors": 0
        }
       ]
      },
      {
       "code_name": "X",
       "in_words": "Draw",
       "authors": 0,
       "by_group": [
        {
         "key": "prediction_sites",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "media",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "telegram_channels",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "private_authors",
         "authors": 0
        }
       ]
      },
      {
       "code_name": "2",
       "in_words": "Millwall",
       "authors": 0,
       "by_group": [
        {
         "key": "prediction_sites",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "media",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "telegram_channels",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "private_authors",
         "authors": 0
        }
       ]
      }
     ]
    },
    {
     "key": "totals",
     "label": "Goal totals",
     "authors": 5,
     "by_group": [
      {
       "key": "prediction_sites",
       "authors": 1
      },
      {
       "key": "media",
       "authors": 0
      },
      {
       "key": "telegram_channels",
       "authors": 4
      },
      {
       "key": "private_authors",
       "authors": 0
      }
     ]
    },
    {
     "key": "other",
     "label": "Handicaps, both teams to score, correct score and other markets",
     "authors": 9,
     "by_group": [
      {
       "key": "prediction_sites",
       "authors": 3
      },
      {
       "key": "media",
       "authors": 1
      },
      {
       "key": "telegram_channels",
       "authors": 5
      },
      {
       "key": "private_authors",
       "authors": 0
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  "market_line": {
   "line_state": "barely_moved",
   "line_frozen": true,
   "phrase": "Market line at kick-off (3 November 2026, 20:00 GMT): Birmingham City 48%, draw 26%, Millwall 26%. From 29 October 2026, 08:48 GMT to kick-off it barely moved: the largest change was 1.4 percentage points (Millwall down).",
   "line_markets": [
    {
     "market_text": "1X2, match result",
     "market_group": "1x2",
     "line_kind": "median_line",
     "margin_included": false,
     "snapshot_at": "2026-11-03T20:00:00.000Z",
     "closing_line": true,
     "probabilities": [
      {
       "outcome_label": "1",
       "in_words": "Birmingham City",
       "percent_value": 48
      },
      {
       "outcome_label": "X",
       "in_words": "Draw",
       "percent_value": 26
      },
      {
       "outcome_label": "2",
       "in_words": "Millwall",
       "percent_value": 26
      }
     ],
     "group_count": 13,
     "first_at": "2026-10-29T08:48:16.650Z",
     "first_probabilities": {
      "1": 47,
      "2": 27,
      "X": 26
     },
     "shift_pp": 1.4,
     "shift_outcome": "2",
     "shift_direction": "down",
     "line_state": "barely_moved",
     "phrase": "Market line at kick-off (3 November 2026, 20:00 GMT): Birmingham City 48%, draw 26%, Millwall 26%. From 29 October 2026, 08:48 GMT to kick-off it barely moved: the largest change was 1.4 percentage points (Millwall down)."
    },
    {
     "market_text": "Both teams to score",
     "market_group": "other",
     "line_kind": "recorded_price",
     "margin_included": true,
     "closing_line": false,
     "price_sides": [
      {
       "choice": "yes",
       "snapshot_price": "1.65",
       "percent_value": 61,
       "snapshot_at": "2026-11-03T01:47:37.049Z",
       "snapshot_count": 2,
       "first_snapshot_price": "1.65",
       "first_at": "2026-11-03T00:19:36.976Z",
       "shift_pp": 0.0,
       "shift_direction": null,
       "line_state": "not_moved"
      }
     ],
     "line_state": "not_moved",
     "phrase": "Both teams to score, yes: market price 1.65 on 3 November 2026, 01:47 GMT (implied 61%, margin included), the same as on 3 November 2026, 00:19 GMT."
    },
    {
     "market_text": "Over/Under 1.5 goals",
     "market_group": "totals",
     "line_kind": "recorded_price",
     "margin_included": true,
     "closing_line": false,
     "price_sides": [
      {
       "choice": "over 1.5",
       "snapshot_price": "1.19",
       "percent_value": 84,
       "snapshot_at": "2026-11-03T12:18:00.354Z",
       "snapshot_count": 1,
       "first_snapshot_price": null,
       "first_at": null,
       "shift_pp": null,
       "shift_direction": null,
       "line_state": "single_snapshot"
      }
     ],
     "line_state": "single_snapshot",
     "phrase": "Over/Under 1.5 goals, over 1.5 goals: market price 1.19 on 3 November 2026, 12:18 GMT (implied 84%, margin included)."
    },
    {
     "market_text": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
     "market_group": "totals",
     "line_kind": "recorded_price",
     "margin_included": true,
     "closing_line": false,
     "price_sides": [
      {
       "choice": "over 2.5",
       "snapshot_price": "1.77",
       "percent_value": 56,
       "snapshot_at": "2026-11-03T12:18:00.354Z",
       "snapshot_count": 5,
       "first_snapshot_price": "1.74",
       "first_at": "2026-11-01T03:29:29.411Z",
       "shift_pp": 1.0,
       "shift_direction": "down",
       "line_state": "barely_moved"
      }
     ],
     "line_state": "barely_moved",
     "phrase": "Over/Under 2.5 goals, over 2.5 goals: market price 1.77 on 3 November 2026, 12:18 GMT (implied 56%, margin included), 1.0 percentage point down from 1 November 2026, 03:29 GMT."
    },
    {
     "market_text": "Over/Under 4.5 goals",
     "market_group": "totals",
     "line_kind": "recorded_price",
     "margin_included": true,
     "closing_line": false,
     "price_sides": [
      {
       "choice": "under 4.5",
       "snapshot_price": "1.12",
       "percent_value": 89,
       "snapshot_at": "2026-11-03T01:47:37.049Z",
       "snapshot_count": 1,
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       "shift_pp": null,
       "shift_direction": null,
       "line_state": "single_snapshot"
      }
     ],
     "line_state": "single_snapshot",
     "phrase": "Over/Under 4.5 goals, under 4.5 goals: market price 1.12 on 3 November 2026, 01:47 GMT (implied 89%, margin included)."
    }
   ]
  },
  "pre_kickoff_snapshot": {
   "frozen_before_kickoff": true,
   "as_of_moment": "2026-11-03T20:00:00.000Z",
   "starts_at": "2026-11-03T20:00:00.000Z",
   "phrase": "Before kick-off on 3 November 2026, 20:00 GMT: market line at kick-off Birmingham City 48%, draw 26%, Millwall 26%; 1X2, match result: most expected Birmingham City (7 of 7 predictions); Over/Under 2.5 goals: most expected over 2.5 goals (5 of 5 predictions); Double chance, recorded picks before the match (4): 4 on Birmingham City or draw.",
   "market_line_brief": {
    "snapshot_at": "2026-11-03T20:00:00.000Z",
    "closing_line": true,
    "probabilities": {
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     "X": 26,
     "2": 26
    }
   },
   "market_groups": [
    {
     "market_group": "1x2",
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      {
       "market_text": "1X2, match result",
       "prediction_count": 7,
       "row_count": 7,
       "market_choices": [
        {
         "choice": "Birmingham City",
         "figure": 7
        }
       ],
       "phrase_mode": "majority",
       "leader_choice": "Birmingham City",
       "leader_count": 7,
       "share_percent": 100,
       "phrase": "1X2, match result: most expected Birmingham City (7 of 7 predictions)",
       "sides_1x2": [
        {
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         "in_words": "Birmingham City",
         "figure": 7
        },
        {
         "side": "X",
         "in_words": "draw",
         "figure": 0
        },
        {
         "side": "2",
         "in_words": "Millwall",
         "figure": 0
        }
       ]
      }
     ]
    },
    {
     "market_group": "totals",
     "group_markets": [
      {
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       "row_count": 5,
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        {
         "choice": "over 2.5",
         "figure": 5
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       ],
       "phrase_mode": "majority",
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       "leader_count": 5,
       "share_percent": 100,
       "phrase": "Over/Under 2.5 goals: most expected over 2.5 goals (5 of 5 predictions)"
      },
      {
       "market_text": "Over/Under 1.5 goals",
       "prediction_count": 1,
       "row_count": 1,
       "market_choices": [
        {
         "choice": "over 1.5",
         "figure": 1
        }
       ],
       "phrase_mode": "listing",
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       "leader_count": null,
       "share_percent": 100,
       "phrase": "Over/Under 1.5 goals, recorded picks before the match (1): 1 on over 1.5 goals"
      },
      {
       "market_text": "Over/Under 4.5 goals",
       "prediction_count": 1,
       "row_count": 1,
       "market_choices": [
        {
         "choice": "under 4.5",
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        }
       ],
       "phrase_mode": "listing",
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       "share_percent": 100,
       "phrase": "Over/Under 4.5 goals, recorded picks before the match (1): 1 on under 4.5 goals"
      }
     ]
    },
    {
     "market_group": "other",
     "group_markets": [
      {
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       "row_count": 4,
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        {
         "choice": "Birmingham City or draw",
         "figure": 4
        }
       ],
       "phrase_mode": "listing",
       "leader_choice": null,
       "leader_count": null,
       "share_percent": 100,
       "phrase": "Double chance, recorded picks before the match (4): 4 on Birmingham City or draw"
      },
      {
       "market_text": "Correct score",
       "prediction_count": 3,
       "row_count": 3,
       "market_choices": [
        {
         "choice": "Birmingham City 2-1 Millwall",
         "figure": 2
        },
        {
         "choice": "Birmingham City 3-2 Millwall",
         "figure": 1
        }
       ],
       "phrase_mode": "listing",
       "leader_choice": null,
       "leader_count": null,
       "share_percent": 67,
       "phrase": "Correct score, recorded picks before the match (3): 2 on Birmingham City 2-1 Millwall, 1 on Birmingham City 3-2 Millwall"
      },
      {
       "market_text": "Both teams to score",
       "prediction_count": 2,
       "row_count": 2,
       "market_choices": [
        {
         "choice": "yes",
         "figure": 2
        }
       ],
       "phrase_mode": "listing",
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       "share_percent": 100,
       "phrase": "Both teams to score, recorded picks before the match (2): 2 on yes"
      },
      {
       "market_text": "Draw no bet",
       "prediction_count": 2,
       "row_count": 2,
       "market_choices": [
        {
         "choice": "Birmingham City",
         "figure": 2
        }
       ],
       "phrase_mode": "listing",
       "leader_choice": null,
       "leader_count": null,
       "share_percent": 100,
       "phrase": "Draw no bet, recorded picks before the match (2): 2 on Birmingham City"
      }
     ]
    }
   ],
   "predictions_before_kickoff": 25,
   "majority_threshold": {
    "min_predictions": 5,
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  },
  "teams_prev_next": [
   {
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    "team": "Birmingham City",
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     "kickoff": "2026-10-31T12:30:00.000Z",
     "name": "Lincoln City vs Birmingham City",
     "url": "/football/matches/lincoln-city-vs-birmingham-city-2026-10-31/",
     "competition": "EFL Championship",
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     "score": "1-3"
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    "next": {
     "kickoff": "2026-11-07T15:00:00.000Z",
     "name": "Birmingham City vs Swansea City",
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     "competition": "EFL Championship",
     "state": "played",
     "score": "2-1"
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    "why": null
   },
   {
    "side": "away",
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    "participant_id": "u-4eb52ff9d921",
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     "kickoff": "2026-10-31T15:00:00.000Z",
     "name": "Millwall vs Derby County",
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     "competition": "EFL Championship",
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     "score": "4-1"
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    "next": {
     "kickoff": "2026-11-07T15:00:00.000Z",
     "name": "West Bromwich Albion vs Millwall",
     "url": "/football/matches/west-bromwich-albion-vs-millwall-2026-11-07/",
     "competition": "EFL Championship",
     "state": "played",
     "score": "3-0"
    },
    "why": null
   }
  ]
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 "number_sets": [
  {
   "set": "match.market_line.percent",
   "entity": "/football/matches/birmingham-city-vs-millwall-2026-11-03/|1x2|1",
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   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
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  },
  {
   "set": "match.recorded_price.percent",
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   "value": 61,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
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  {
   "set": "match.recorded_price.percent",
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  },
  {
   "set": "match.before_kickoff.market",
   "entity": "/football/matches/birmingham-city-vs-millwall-2026-11-03/|1X2, match result",
   "value": 7,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
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   "where": null,
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  },
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   "set": "match.before_kickoff.selection",
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  },
  {
   "set": "match.before_kickoff.market",
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  },
  {
   "set": "match.before_kickoff.market",
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  },
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  },
  {
   "set": "match.before_kickoff.selection",
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   "value": 1,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.before_kickoff.market",
   "entity": "/football/matches/birmingham-city-vs-millwall-2026-11-03/|Over/Under 4.5 goals",
   "value": 1,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.before_kickoff.leader_share_percent",
   "entity": "/football/matches/birmingham-city-vs-millwall-2026-11-03/|Over/Under 4.5 goals",
   "value": 100,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.before_kickoff.selection",
   "entity": "/football/matches/birmingham-city-vs-millwall-2026-11-03/|Over/Under 4.5 goals|under 4.5",
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   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.before_kickoff.market",
   "entity": "/football/matches/birmingham-city-vs-millwall-2026-11-03/|Double chance",
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